Estimating impacts of reducing acrylonitrile exposure on lung cancer mortality in an occupational cohort with the parametric g-formula.

OBJECTIVES: To inform the potential human carcinogenicity of acrylonitrile, we estimate associations between acrylonitrile exposures and lung cancer mortality in US workers with the objectives of (1) assessing potential for healthy worker survivor bias and (2) adjusting for this bias while assessing the expected lung cancer mortality under different hypothetical occupational exposure limits on acrylonitrile exposure using the parametric g-formula. METHODS: We used data from a cohort of 25 460 workers at facilities making or using acrylonitrile in the USA. We estimated HRs to quantify associations between employment and lung cancer mortality, and exposure and leaving employment. Using the parametric g-formula, we estimated cumulative lung cancer mortality at hypothetical limits on acrylonitrile exposure. RESULTS: Recent and current employment was associated with lung cancer, and exposure was associated with leaving employment, indicating potential for healthy worker survivor bias. Relative to no intervention, reducing the historical exposure under limits of 2.0, 1.0 and 0.45 parts per million would have been expected to reduce lung cancer mortality by age 90 by 4.46 (95% CI 0.78 to 8.15), 5.03 (95% CI 0.96 to 9.11) and 6.45 (95% CI 2.35 to 10.58) deaths per 1000 workers, respectively. A larger lung cancer mortality reduction would be expected under elimination of exposure: 7.21 (95% CI 2.72 to 11.70) deaths per 1000 workers. CONCLUSIONS: Healthy worker survivor bias likely led to underestimation of excess risk. Our results corroborate previous study findings of an excess hazard of lung cancer among the highest exposed workers.

Urinary mutagenicity and bladder cancer risk in northern New England.

The etiology of bladder cancer among never smokers without occupational or environmental exposure to established urothelial carcinogens remains unclear. Urinary mutagenicity is an integrative measure that reflects recent exposure to genotoxic agents. Here, we investigated its potential association with bladder cancer in rural northern New England. We analyzed 156 bladder cancer cases and 247 cancer-free controls from a large population-based case-control study conducted in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont. Overnight urine samples were deconjugated enzymatically and the extracted organics were assessed for mutagenicity using the plate-incorporation Ames assay with the Salmonella frameshift strain YG1041 + S9. Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of bladder cancer in relation to having mutagenic versus nonmutagenic urine, adjusted for age, sex, and state, and stratified by smoking status (never, former, and current). We found evidence for an association between having mutagenic urine and increased bladder cancer risk among never smokers (OR = 3.8, 95% CI: 1.3-11.2) but not among former or current smokers. Risk could not be estimated among current smokers because nearly all cases and controls had mutagenic urine. Urinary mutagenicity among never-smoking controls could not be explained by recent exposure to established occupational and environmental mutagenic bladder carcinogens evaluated in our study. Our findings suggest that among never smokers, urinary mutagenicity potentially reflects genotoxic exposure profiles relevant to bladder carcinogenesis. Future studies are needed to replicate our findings and identify compounds and their sources that influence bladder cancer risk.

Diesel exhaust and respiratory dust exposure in miners and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality in DEMS II.

BACKGROUND: Diesel exhaust and respirable dust exposures in the mining industry have not been studied in depth with respect to non-malignant respiratory disease including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), with most available evidence coming from other settings. OBJECTIVES: To assess the relationship between occupational diesel exhaust and respirable dust exposures and COPD mortality, while addressing issues of survivor bias in exposed miners. METHODS: The study population consisted of 11,817 male workers from the Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study II, followed from 1947 to 2015, with 279 observed COPD deaths. We fit Cox proportional hazards models for the relationship between respirable elemental carbon (REC) and respirable dust (RD) exposure and COPD mortality. To address healthy worker survivor bias, we leveraged the parametric g-formula to assess effects of hypothetical interventions on both exposures. RESULTS: Cox models yielded elevated estimates for the associations between average intensity of REC and RD and COPD mortality, with hazard ratios (HR) corresponding to an interquartile range width increase in exposure of 1.46 (95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.12, 1.91) and 1.20 (95 % CI: 0.96, 1.49), respectively for each exposure. HRs for cumulative exposures were negative for both REC and RD. Based on results from the parametric g-formula, the risk ratio (RR) for COPD mortality comparing risk under an intervention eliminating REC to the observed risk was 0.85 (95 % CI: 0.55, 1.06), equivalent to an attributable risk of 15 %. The corresponding RR comparing risk under an intervention eliminating RD to the observed risk was 0.93 (95 % CI: 0.56, 1.31). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings, based on data from a cohort of nonmetal miners, are suggestive of an increased risk of COPD mortality associated with REC and RD, as well as evidence of survivor bias in this population leading to negative associations between cumulative exposures and COPD mortality in traditional regression analysis.

Occupational exposure to organic solvents and risk of bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer has been linked to several occupations that involve the use of solvents, including those used in the dry-cleaning industry. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated exposure to solvents and risk of bladder cancer in 1182 incident cases and 1408 controls from a population-based study. METHODS: Exposure to solvents was quantitatively assessed using a job-exposure matrix (CANJEM). Exposure to benzene, toluene and xylene often co-occur. Therefore, we created two additional sets of metrics for combined benzene, toluene and xylene (BTX) exposure: (1) CANJEM-based BTX metrics and (2) hybrid BTX metrics, using an approach that integrates the CANJEM-based BTX metrics together with lifetime occupational histories and exposure-oriented modules that captured within-job, respondent-specific details about tasks and chemicals. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated using logistic regression. RESULTS: Bladder cancer risks were increased among those ever exposed to benzene (OR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.14-2.32), toluene (OR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.06-2.43), and xylene (OR = 1.67, 95% CI: 1.13-2.48) individually. We further observed a statistically significant exposure-response relationship for cumulative BTX exposure, with a stronger association using the hybrid BTX metrics (ORQ1vsUnexposed = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.83-1.90; ORQ2vsUnexposed = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.00-2.31; ORQ3vsUnexposed = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.24-2.85; and ORQ4vsUnexposed = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.35-3.69) (p-trend=0.001) than using CANJEM-based metrics (p-trend=0.02). IMPACT: There is limited evidence about the role of exposure to specific organic solvents, alone or in combination on the risk of developing bladder cancer. In this study, workers with increasing exposure to benzene, toluene, and xylene as a group (BTX) had a statistically significant exposure-response relationship with bladder cancer. Future evaluation of the carcinogenicity of BTX and other organic solvents, particularly concurrent exposure, on bladder cancer development is needed.

An Updated Evaluation of Atrazine-Cancer Incidence Associations among Pesticide Applicators in the Agricultural Health Study Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Atrazine is a common agricultural herbicide in the United States. Few epidemiologic studies have evaluated cancer risks. Previous analyses within the Agricultural Health Study (AHS) have found some evidence of associations with cancer at some sites. OBJECTIVE: We updated exposure information, incident cases, and follow-up time to assess the associations between atrazine use and cancer at specific sites in the AHS. METHODS: Information about lifetime pesticide use was reported at enrollment (1993-1997) and follow-up (1999-2005). Among 53,562 pesticide applicators in North Carolina and Iowa, we identified 8,915 incident cases through cancer registry linkages through 2014 (North Carolina)/2017 (Iowa). We used Poisson regression to evaluate the association between ever/never and intensity-weighted lifetime days of atrazine use and incident cancer risk controlling for several confounders. We also evaluated lagged exposures and age-stratified risk. RESULTS: Approximately 71.2% of applicators reported ever using atrazine, which was associated with lung cancer [rate ratios (RR)=1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 1.46]. Aggressive prostate cancer risk was increased in the highest quartile (RRQ4=1.20; 95% CI: 0.95, 1.52; p-trend=0.19), particularly among those <60 years old (RRQ4=3.04; 95% CI: 1.61, 5.75; p-trend<0.001; p-interaction=0.04). Among applicators <50 years of age, ever-atrazine use was associated with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) (RR=2.43; 95% CI: 1.10, 5.38; p-interaction=0.60). For soft tissue sarcoma, there was an elevated risk in the highest tertile of exposure (RRT3: 2.54; 95% CI: 0.97, 6.62; p-trend=0.31). In analyses with exposure lagged by 25 years, there was an elevated risk of pharyngeal (RRT3=3.04; 95% CI: 1.45, 6.36; p-trend=0.07) and kidney (RRQ4=1.62; 95% CI: 1.15, 2.29; p-trend<0.005) cancers. DISCUSSION: We observed suggestive associations with some malignancies in overall, age-specific, and lagged analyses. Associations with aggressive prostate cancer and NHL were apparent among those diagnosed at younger ages and with cancers of the pharynx and kidney, and soft tissue sarcomas were observed in lagged analyses. Further work is needed to confirm these observed associations and elucidate potential underlying mechanisms. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13684.

Joint associations between established genetic susceptibility loci, pesticide exposures, and risk of prostate cancer.

More than 200 genetic variants have been independently associated with prostate cancer risk. Studies among farmers have also observed increased prostate cancer risk associated with exposure to specific organophosphate (fonofos, terbufos, malathion, dimethoate) and organochlorine (aldrin, chlordane) insecticides. We examined the joint associations between these pesticides, established prostate cancer loci, and prostate cancer risk among 1,162 cases (588 aggressive) and 2,206 frequency-matched controls nested in the Agricultural Health Study cohort. History of lifetime pesticide use was combined with a polygenic risk score (PRS) generated using 256 established prostate cancer risk variants. Logistic regression models estimated the joint associations of the pesticides, the PRS, and the 256 individual genetic variants with risk of total and aggressive prostate cancer. Likelihood ratio tests assessed multiplicative interaction. We observed interaction between ever use of fonofos and the PRS in relation to total and aggressive prostate cancer risk. Compared to the reference group (never use, PRS < median), men with ever use of fonofos and PRS > median had elevated risks of total (OR 1.35 [1.06-1.73], p-interaction = 0.03) and aggressive (OR 1.49 [1.09-2.04], p-interaction = 0.19) prostate cancer. There was also suggestion of interaction between pesticides and individual genetic variants occurring in regions associated with DNA damage response (CDH3, EMSY genes) and with variants related to altered androgen receptor-driven transcriptional programs critical for prostate cancer. Our study provides evidence that men with greater genetic susceptibility to prostate cancer may be at higher risk if they are also exposed to pesticides and suggests potential mechanisms by which pesticides may increase prostate cancer risk.

The Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study (DEMS) II: Temporal Factors Related to Diesel Exhaust Exposure and Lung Cancer Mortality in the Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: The Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study (DEMS) was an important contributor to the International Agency for Research on Cancer reclassification of diesel exhaust as a Group I carcinogen and subsequent risk assessment. We extended the DEMS cohort follow-up by 18 y and the nested case-control study to include all newly identified lung cancer deaths and matched controls (DEMS II), nearly doubling the number of lung cancer deaths. OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to characterize the exposure-response relationship with a focus on the effects of timing of exposure and exposure cessation. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of lung cancer nested in a cohort of 12,315 workers in eight nonmetal mines (376 lung cancer deaths, 718 controls). Controls were selected from workers who were alive when the case died, individually matched on mine, sex, race/ethnicity, and birth year (within 5 y). Based on an extensive historical exposure assessment, we estimated respirable elemental carbon (REC), an index of diesel exposure, for each cohort member. Odds ratios (ORs) were estimated by conditional regression analyses controlling for smoking and other confounders. To evaluate time windows of exposure, we evaluated the joint OR patterns for cumulative REC within each of four preselected exposure time windows, <5, 5-9, 10-19, and ≥20 y prior to death/reference date, and we evaluated the interaction of cumulative exposure across time windows under additive and multiplicative forms for the joint association. RESULTS: ORs increased with increasing 15-y lagged cumulative exposure, peaking with a tripling of risk for exposures of ∼950 to<1,700 µg/m3-y [OR=3.23; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.47, 7.10], followed by a plateau/decline among the heavily exposed (OR=1.85; 95% CI: 0.85, 4.04). Patterns of risk by cumulative REC exposure varied across four exposure time windows (phomogeneity<0.001), with ORs increasing for exposures accrued primarily 10-19 y prior to death (ptrend<0.001). Results provided little support for a waning of risk among workers whose exposures ceased for ≥20 y. CONCLUSION: DEMS II findings provide insight into the exposure-response relationship between diesel exhaust and lung cancer mortality. The pronounced effect of exposures occurring in the window 10-19 y prior to death, the sustained risk 20 or more years after exposure ceases, and the plateau/decline in risk among the most heavily exposed provide direction for future research on the mechanism of diesel-induced carcinogenesis in addition to having important implications for the assessment of risk from diesel exhaust by regulatory agencies. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11980.

Diesel Exhaust Exposure and Cause-Specific Mortality in the Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study II (DEMS II) Cohort.

BACKGROUND: With the exception of lung cancer, the health effects associated with diesel exhaust for other cancers and nonmalignant health outcomes are not well understood. OBJECTIVES: We extended the mortality follow-up of the Diesel Exhaust in Miners Study, a cohort study of 12,315 workers, by 18 y (ending 31 December 2015), more than doubling the number of observed deaths to n=4,887, to evaluate associations between mortality and diesel exhaust exposure. METHODS: Quantitative estimates of historical exposure to respirable elemental carbon (REC), a surrogate for diesel exhaust, were created for all jobs, by year and facility, using measurements collected from each mine, as well as historical measurements. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated for the entire cohort and by worker location (surface, underground). RESULTS: We observed an excess of death for cancers of the lung, trachea, and bronchus (n=409; SMR=1.24; 95% CI: 1.13, 1.37). Among workers who ever worked underground, where the majority of diesel exposure occurred, excess deaths were evident for lung, trachea, and bronchus cancers (n=266; SMR=1.26; 95% CI: 1.11, 1.42). Several nonmalignant diseases were associated with excess mortality among workers ever-employed underground, including ischemic heart disease (SMR=1.08; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.16), cerebrovascular disease (SMR=1.22; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.43), and nonmalignant diseases of the respiratory system (SMR=1.13; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.26). Continuous 15-y lagged cumulative REC exposure <1,280 µg/m3-y was associated with increased lung cancer risk (HR=1.93; 95% CI: 1.24, 3.03), but the risk declined at the highest exposures (HR=1.29; 95% CI: 0.74, 2.26). We also observed a significant trend in non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) risk with increasing 20-y lagged cumulative REC (HRTertile3 vs. Tertile1=3.12; 95% CI: 1.00, 9.79; p-trend=0.031). DISCUSSION: Increased risks of lung cancer mortality observed in the original study were sustained. Observed associations between diesel exposure and risk of death from NHL and the excesses in deaths for diseases of the respiratory and cardiovascular system, including ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease, warrant further study and provide evidence of the potential widespread public health impact of diesel exposure. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12840.

Use of genomic markers to improve epidemiologic and clinical research in urology.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Urologic cancers result from the appearance of genomic alterations in the target organ due to the combination of genetic and environmental factors. Knowledge of the genomic markers involved in their etiology and mechanisms for their development continue to progress. This reviewed provides an update on recent genomic studies that have informed epidemiologic and clinical research in urology. RECENT FINDINGS: Inherited variations are an established risk factor for urologic cancers with significant estimates of heritability for prostate, kidney, and bladder cancer. The roles of both rare germline variants, identified from family-based studies, and common variants, identified from genome-wide association studies, have provided important information about the genetic architecture for urologic cancers. Large-scale analyses of tumors have generated genomic, epigenomic, transcriptomic, and proteomic data that have also provided novel insights into etiology and mechanisms. These tumors characteristics, along with the associated tumor microenvironment, have attempted to provide more accurate risk stratification, prognosis of disease and therapeutic management. SUMMARY: Genomic studies of inherited and acquired variation are changing the landscape of our understanding of the causes of urologic cancers and providing important translational insights for their management. Their use in epidemiologic and clinical studies is thus essential.

Analysis of Several Common APOBEC-type Mutations in Bladder Tumors Suggests Links to Viral Infection.

FGFR3 and PIK3CA are among the most frequently mutated genes in bladder tumors. We hypothesized that recurrent mutations in these genes might be caused by common carcinogenic exposures such as smoking and other factors. We analyzed 2,816 bladder tumors with available data on FGFR3 and/or PIK3CA mutations, focusing on the most recurrent mutations detected in ≥10% of tumors. Compared to tumors with other FGFR3/PIK3CA mutations, FGFR3-Y375C was more common in tumors from smokers than never-smokers (P = 0.009), while several APOBEC-type driver mutations were enriched in never-smokers: FGFR3-S249C (P = 0.013) and PIK3CA-E542K/PIK3CA-E545K (P = 0.009). To explore possible causes of these APOBEC-type mutations, we analyzed RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) data from 798 bladder tumors and detected several viruses, with BK polyomavirus (BKPyV) being the most common. We then performed IHC staining for polyomavirus (PyV) Large T-antigen (LTAg) in an independent set of 211 bladder tumors. Overall, by RNA-seq or IHC-LTAg, we detected PyV in 26 out of 1,010 bladder tumors with significantly higher detection (P = 4.4 × 10-5), 25 of 554 (4.5%) in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancers (NMIBC) versus 1 of 456 (0.2%) of muscle-invasive bladder cancers (MIBC). In the NMIBC subset, the FGFR3/PIK3CA APOBEC-type driver mutations were detected in 94.7% (18/19) of PyV-positive versus 68.3% (259/379) of PyV-negative tumors (P = 0.011). BKPyV tumor positivity in the NMIBC subset with FGFR3- or PIK3CA-mutated tumors was also associated with a higher risk of progression to MIBC (P = 0.019). In conclusion, our results support smoking and BKPyV infection as risk factors contributing to bladder tumorigenesis in the general patient population through distinct molecular mechanisms. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: Tobacco smoking likely causes one of the most common mutations in bladder tumors (FGFR3-Y375C), while viral infections might contribute to three others (FGFR3-S249C, PIK3CA-E542K, and PIK3CA-E545K). Understanding the causes of these mutations may lead to new prevention and treatment strategies, such as viral screening and vaccination.

Evaluating Approaches for Constructing Polygenic Risk Scores for Prostate Cancer in Men of African and European Ancestry.

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores (GW-PRS) have been reported to have better predictive ability than PRS based on genome-wide significance thresholds across numerous traits. We compared the predictive ability of several GW-PRS approaches to a recently developed PRS of 269 established prostate cancer risk variants from multi-ancestry GWAS and fine-mapping studies (PRS 269 ). GW-PRS models were trained using a large and diverse prostate cancer GWAS of 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls used to develop the multi-ancestry PRS 269 . Resulting models were independently tested in 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry from the California/Uganda Study and 8,046 cases and 191,825 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and further validated in 13,643 cases and 210,214 controls of European ancestry and 6,353 cases and 53,362 controls of African ancestry from the Million Veteran Program. In the testing data, the best performing GW-PRS approach had AUCs of 0.656 (95% CI=0.635-0.677) in African and 0.844 (95% CI=0.840-0.848) in European ancestry men and corresponding prostate cancer OR of 1.83 (95% CI=1.67-2.00) and 2.19 (95% CI=2.14-2.25), respectively, for each SD unit increase in the GW-PRS. However, compared to the GW-PRS, in African and European ancestry men, the PRS 269 had larger or similar AUCs (AUC=0.679, 95% CI=0.659-0.700 and AUC=0.845, 95% CI=0.841-0.849, respectively) and comparable prostate cancer OR (OR=2.05, 95% CI=1.87-2.26 and OR=2.21, 95% CI=2.16-2.26, respectively). Findings were similar in the validation data. This investigation suggests that current GW-PRS approaches may not improve the ability to predict prostate cancer risk compared to the multi-ancestry PRS 269 constructed with fine-mapping.

Obesity and prostate cancer screening, incidence, and mortality in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial.

BACKGROUND: Though obesity, measured by body mass index (BMI), is an established risk factor for several cancer sites, there is conflicting evidence on whether obesity increases prostate cancer risk or mortality and, if it does, whether it increases risk directly or indirectly by affecting prostate cancer screening efficacy. METHODS: We examined associations between BMI and prostate cancer screening outcomes, incidence, and mortality in men randomly assigned to the intervention arm of the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (n = 36 756) between 1993 and 2001. Participants received annual screening with the prostate-specific antigen test and digital rectal exam. Associations between baseline BMI and screening outcomes were assessed via multinomial logistic regression, and associations with prostate cancer incidence and mortality were assessed via Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Individuals with higher BMI were less likely to screen positive via the prostate-specific antigen test and/or digital rectal exam and more likely to have an inadequate screen (all Ptrend < .01). Higher BMI was inversely associated with prostate cancer incidence (per 5 kg/m2 BMI increase: hazard ratio [HR] = 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.91 to 0.97), including incidence of early stage (HR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.90 to 0.97) and advanced-stage (HR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.82 to 1.02) disease, but positively associated with prostate cancer mortality (HR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.06 to 1.37). The association with mortality was not modified by screening outcome (Pinteraction = .13). CONCLUSIONS: Within this screened population, individuals with higher BMI had lower risk of prostate cancer diagnosis but higher risk of prostate cancer mortality. As higher BMI was not positively associated with advanced-stage prostate cancer risk, the increased mortality is unlikely to be due to delayed prostate cancer detection.

Evaluating approaches for constructing polygenic risk scores for prostate cancer in men of African and European ancestry.

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores (GW-PRSs) have been reported to have better predictive ability than PRSs based on genome-wide significance thresholds across numerous traits. We compared the predictive ability of several GW-PRS approaches to a recently developed PRS of 269 established prostate cancer-risk variants from multi-ancestry GWASs and fine-mapping studies (PRS269). GW-PRS models were trained with a large and diverse prostate cancer GWAS of 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls that we previously used to develop the multi-ancestry PRS269. Resulting models were independently tested in 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry from the California Uganda Study and 8,046 cases and 191,825 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and further validated in 13,643 cases and 210,214 controls of European ancestry and 6,353 cases and 53,362 controls of African ancestry from the Million Veteran Program. In the testing data, the best performing GW-PRS approach had AUCs of 0.656 (95% CI = 0.635-0.677) in African and 0.844 (95% CI = 0.840-0.848) in European ancestry men and corresponding prostate cancer ORs of 1.83 (95% CI = 1.67-2.00) and 2.19 (95% CI = 2.14-2.25), respectively, for each SD unit increase in the GW-PRS. Compared to the GW-PRS, in African and European ancestry men, the PRS269 had larger or similar AUCs (AUC = 0.679, 95% CI = 0.659-0.700 and AUC = 0.845, 95% CI = 0.841-0.849, respectively) and comparable prostate cancer ORs (OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.87-2.26 and OR = 2.21, 95% CI = 2.16-2.26, respectively). Findings were similar in the validation studies. This investigation suggests that current GW-PRS approaches may not improve the ability to predict prostate cancer risk compared to the PRS269 developed from multi-ancestry GWASs and fine-mapping.

Urine pH and Risk of Bladder Cancer in Northern New England.

BACKGROUND: Acidic urine pH is associated with rapid hydrolysis of N-glucuronide conjugates of aromatic amines into metabolites that may undergo metabolism in the bladder lumen to form mutagenic DNA adducts. We previously reported that consistently acidic urine was associated with increased bladder cancer risk in a hospital-based case-control study in Spain. Here, we conducted a separate study in northern New England to replicate these findings. METHODS: In a large, population-based case-control study conducted in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont, we examined bladder cancer risk in relation to consistent urine pH, measured twice daily by participants over 4 consecutive days using dipsticks. In parallel, we collected spot urine samples and conducted laboratory measurements of urinary acidity using a pH meter. Unconditional logistic regression was used to estimate associations, adjusting for age, gender, race, Hispanic status, and state. Analyses were further stratified by smoking status. RESULTS: Among 616 urothelial carcinoma cases and 897 controls, urine pH consistently ≤ 6.0 was associated with increased bladder cancer risk (OR = 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.57), with the effect limited to ever-smokers. These findings were supported by analyses of a spot urine, with statistically significant exposure-response relationships for bladder cancer risk overall (Ptrend = 5.1×10-3) and among ever-smokers (Ptrend = 1.2×10-3). CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with a previous study in Spain, our findings suggest that acidic urine pH is associated with increased bladder cancer risk. IMPACT: Our findings align with experimental results showing that acidic urine pH, which is partly modifiable by lifestyle factors, is linked to hydrolysis of acid-labile conjugates of carcinogenic aromatic amines.

Genome-wide Association Study of Bladder Cancer Reveals New Biological and Translational Insights.

BACKGROUND: Genomic regions identified by genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for bladder cancer risk provide new insights into etiology. OBJECTIVE: To identify new susceptibility variants for bladder cancer in a meta-analysis of new and existing genome-wide genotype data. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data from 32 studies that includes 13,790 bladder cancer cases and 343,502 controls of European ancestry were used for meta-analysis. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSES: Log-additive associations of genetic variants were assessed using logistic regression models. A fixed-effects model was used for meta-analysis of the results. Stratified analyses were conducted to evaluate effect modification by sex and smoking status. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was generated on the basis of known and novel susceptibility variants and tested for interaction with smoking. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Multiple novel bladder cancer susceptibility loci (6p.22.3, 7q36.3, 8q21.13, 9p21.3, 10q22.1, 19q13.33) as well as improved signals in three known regions (4p16.3, 5p15.33, 11p15.5) were identified, bringing the number of independent markers at genome-wide significance (p < 5 × 10-8) to 24. The 4p16.3 (FGFR3/TACC3) locus was associated with a stronger risk for women than for men (p-interaction = 0.002). Bladder cancer risk was increased by interactions between smoking status and genetic variants at 8p22 (NAT2; multiplicative p value for interaction [pM-I] = 0.004), 8q21.13 (PAG1; pM-I = 0.01), and 9p21.3 (LOC107987026/MTAP/CDKN2A; pM-I = 0.02). The PRS based on the 24 independent GWAS markers (odds ratio per standard deviation increase 1.49, 95% confidence interval 1.44-1.53), which also showed comparable results in two prospective cohorts (UK Biobank, PLCO trial), revealed an approximately fourfold difference in the lifetime risk of bladder cancer according to the PRS (e.g., 1st vs 10th decile) for both smokers and nonsmokers. CONCLUSIONS: We report novel loci associated with risk of bladder cancer that provide clues to its biological underpinnings. Using 24 independent markers, we constructed a PRS to stratify lifetime risk. The PRS combined with smoking history, and other established risk factors, has the potential to inform future screening efforts for bladder cancer. PATIENT SUMMARY: We identified new genetic markers that provide biological insights into the genetic causes of bladder cancer. These genetic risk factors combined with lifestyle risk factors, such as smoking, may inform future preventive and screening strategies for bladder cancer.

Biochemical activity induced by a germline variation in KLK3 (PSA) associates with cellular function and clinical outcome in prostate cancer.

Genetic variation at the 19q13.3 KLK locus is linked with prostate cancer susceptibility. The non-synonymous KLK3 SNP, rs17632542 (c.536T>C; Ile163Thr-substitution in PSA) is associated with reduced prostate cancer risk, however, the functional relevance is unknown. Here, we identify that the SNP variant-induced change in PSA biochemical activity as a previously undescribed function mediating prostate cancer pathogenesis. The 'Thr' PSA variant led to small subcutaneous tumours, supporting reduced prostate cancer risk. However, 'Thr' PSA also displayed higher metastatic potential with pronounced osteolytic activity in an experimental metastasis in-vivo model. Biochemical characterization of this PSA variant demonstrated markedly reduced proteolytic activity that correlated with differences in in-vivo tumour burden. The SNP is associated with increased risk for aggressive disease and prostate cancer-specific mortality in three independent cohorts, highlighting its critical function in mediating metastasis. Carriers of this SNP allele had reduced serum total PSA and a higher free/total PSA ratio that could contribute to late biopsy decisions and delay in diagnosis. Our results provide a molecular explanation for the prominent 19q13.3 KLK locus, rs17632542 SNP, association with a spectrum of prostate cancer clinical outcomes.

Nitrated Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (Nitro-PAH) Signatures and Somatic Mutations in Diesel Exhaust-Exposed Bladder Tumors.

BACKGROUND: Diesel exhaust is a complex mixture, including polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) and nitrated PAHs (nitro-PAH), many of which are potent mutagens and possible bladder carcinogens. To explore the association between diesel exposure and bladder carcinogenesis, we examined the relationship between exposure and somatic mutations and mutational signatures in bladder tumors. METHODS: Targeted sequencing was conducted in bladder tumors from the New England Bladder Cancer Study. Using data on 797 cases and 1,418 controls, two-stage polytomous logistic regression was used to evaluate etiologic heterogeneity between bladder cancer subtypes and quantitative, lifetime estimates of respirable elemental carbon (REC), a surrogate for diesel exposure. Poisson regression was used to evaluate associations between REC and mutational signatures. RESULTS: We observed significant heterogeneity in the diesel-bladder cancer risk relationship, with a strong positive association among cases with high-grade, nonmuscle invasive TP53-mutated tumors compared with controls [ORTop Tertile vs.Unexposed, 4.8; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.2-10.5; Ptrend < 0.001; Pheterogeneity = 0.002]. In muscle-invasive tumors, we observed a positive association between diesel exposure and the nitro-PAH signatures of 1,6-dintropyrene (RR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.28-2.92) and 3-nitrobenzoic acid (RR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.33-2.92). CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between diesel exhaust and bladder cancer was heterogeneous based on the presence of TP53 mutations in tumors, further supporting the link between PAH exposure and TP53 mutations in carcinogenesis. Future studies that can identify nitro-PAH signatures in exposed tumors are warranted to add human data supporting the link between diesel and bladder cancer. IMPACT: This study provides additional insight into the etiology and possible mechanisms related to diesel exhaust-induced bladder cancer.

A genome-wide gene-based gene-environment interaction study of breast cancer in more than 90,000 women.

Background: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified more than 200 susceptibility loci for breast cancer, but these variants explain less than a fifth of the disease risk. Although gene-environment interactions have been proposed to account for some of the remaining heritability, few studies have empirically assessed this. Methods: We obtained genotype and risk factor data from 46,060 cases and 47,929 controls of European ancestry from population-based studies within the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC). We built gene expression prediction models for 4,864 genes with a significant (P<0.01) heritable component using the transcriptome and genotype data from the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project. We leveraged predicted gene expression information to investigate the interactions between gene-centric genetic variation and 14 established risk factors in association with breast cancer risk, using a mixed-effects score test. Results: After adjusting for number of tests using Bonferroni correction, no interaction remained statistically significant. The strongest interaction observed was between the predicted expression of the C13orf45 gene and age at first full-term pregnancy (PGXE=4.44×10-6). Conclusion: In this transcriptome-informed genome-wide gene-environment interaction study of breast cancer, we found no strong support for the role of gene expression in modifying the associations between established risk factors and breast cancer risk. Impact: Our study suggests a limited role of gene-environment interactions in breast cancer risk.

Estimating cumulative spatial risk over time with low-rank kriging multiple membership models.

Many health outcomes result from accumulated exposures to one or more environmental factors. Accordingly, spatial risk studies have begun to consider multiple residential locations of participants, acknowledging that participants move and thus are exposed to environmental factors in several places. However, novel methods are needed to estimate cumulative spatial risk for disease while accounting for other risk factors. To this end, we propose a Bayesian model (LRK-MMM) that embeds a multiple membership model (MMM) into a low-rank kriging (LRK) model in order to estimate cumulative spatial risk at the point level while allowing for multiple residential locations per subject. The LRK approach offers a more computationally efficient means to analyze spatial risk in case-control study data at the point level compared with a Bayesian generalized additive model, and as increased precision in spatial risk estimates by analyzing point locations instead of administrative areas. Through a simulation study, we demonstrate the efficacy of the model and its improvement upon an existing multiple membership model that uses area-level spatial random effects to estimate risk. The results show that our proposed method provides greater spatial sensitivity (improvements ranging from 0.12 to 0.54) and power (improvements ranging from 0.02 to 0.94) to detect regions of elevated risk for disease across a range of exposure scenarios. Finally, we apply our model to case-control data from the New England bladder cancer study to estimate cumulative spatial risk while adjusting for many covariates.

Distinct Reproductive Risk Profiles for Intrinsic-Like Breast Cancer Subtypes: Pooled Analysis of Population-Based Studies.

BACKGROUND: Reproductive factors have been shown to be differentially associated with risk of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and ER-negative breast cancer. However, their associations with intrinsic-like subtypes are less clear. METHODS: Analyses included up to 23 353 cases and 71 072 controls pooled from 31 population-based case-control or cohort studies in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium across 16 countries on 4 continents. Polytomous logistic regression was used to estimate the association between reproductive factors and risk of breast cancer by intrinsic-like subtypes (luminal A-like, luminal B-like, luminal B-HER2-like, HER2-enriched-like, and triple-negative breast cancer) and by invasiveness. All statistical tests were 2-sided. RESULTS: Compared with nulliparous women, parous women had a lower risk of luminal A-like, luminal B-like, luminal B-HER2-like, and HER2-enriched-like disease. This association was apparent only after approximately 10 years since last birth and became stronger with increasing time (odds ratio [OR] = 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.49 to 0.71; and OR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.28 to 0.46 for multiparous women with luminal A-like tumors 20 to less than 25 years after last birth and 45 to less than 50 years after last birth, respectively). In contrast, parous women had a higher risk of triple-negative breast cancer right after their last birth (for multiparous women: OR = 3.12, 95% CI = 2.02 to 4.83) that was attenuated with time but persisted for decades (OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.79 to 1.34, for multiparous women 25 to less than 30 years after last birth). Older age at first birth (Pheterogeneity < .001 for triple-negative compared with luminal A-like breast cancer) and breastfeeding (Pheterogeneity < .001 for triple-negative compared with luminal A-like breast cancer) were associated with lower risk of triple-negative breast cancer but not with other disease subtypes. Younger age at menarche was associated with higher risk of all subtypes; older age at menopause was associated with higher risk of luminal A-like but not triple-negative breast cancer. Associations for in situ tumors were similar to luminal A-like. CONCLUSIONS: This large and comprehensive study demonstrates a distinct reproductive risk factor profile for triple-negative breast cancer compared with other subtypes, with implications for the understanding of disease etiology and risk prediction.