Setbacks in the quest for universal health coverage in Mexico: polarised politics, policy upheaval, and pandemic disruption.

2023 marks the 20-year anniversary of the creation of Mexico's System of Social Protection for Health and the Seguro Popular, a model for the global quest to achieve universal health coverage through health system reform. We analyse the success and challenges after 2012, the consequences of reform ageing, and the unique coincidence of systemic reorganisation during the COVID-19 pandemic to identify strategies for health system disaster preparedness. We document that population health and financial protection improved as the Seguro Popular aged, despite erosion of the budget and absent needed reforms. The Seguro Popular closed in January, 2020, and Mexico embarked on a complex, extensive health system reorganisation. We posit that dismantling the Seguro Popular while trying to establish a new programme in 2020-21 made the Mexican health system more vulnerable in the worst pandemic period and shows the precariousness of evidence-based policy making to political polarisation and populism. Reforms should be designed to be flexible yet insulated from political volatility and constructed and managed to be structurally permeable and adaptable to new evidence to face changing health needs. Simultaneously, health systems should be grounded to withstand systemic shocks of politics and natural disasters.

Global priorities for large-scale biomarker-based prospective cohorts.

The focus of this paper is on strategic approaches for establishing population-based prospective cohorts that collect and store biological samples from very large numbers of participants to help identify the determinants of common health outcomes. In particular, it aims to address key issues related to investigation of genetic, as well as social, environmental, and ancestral, diversity; generation of detailed genetic and other types of assay data; collection of detailed lifestyle and environmental exposure information; follow-up and characterization of incident health outcomes; and overcoming obstacles to data sharing and access (including capacity building). It concludes that there is a need for strategic planning at an international level (rather than the current ad hoc approach) toward the development of a carefully selected set of deeply characterized large-scale prospective cohorts that are readily accessible by researchers around the world.

Not far enough: Public health policies to combat COVID-19 in Mexico's states.

BACKGROUND: Mexican state governments' actions are essential to control the COVID-19 pandemic within the country. However, the type, rigor and pace of implementation of public policies have varied considerably between states. Little is known about the subnational (state) variation policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We collected daily information on public policies designed to inform the public, as well as to promote distancing, and mask use. The policies analyzed were: School Closure, Workplace Closure, Cancellation of Public Events, Restrictions on Gatherings, Stay at Home Order, Public Transit Suspensions, Information Campaigns, Internal Travel Controls, International Travel Controls, Use of Face Masks We use these data to create a composite index to evaluate the adoption of these policies in the 32 states. We then assess the timeliness and rigor of the policies across the country, from the date of the first case, February 27, 2020. RESULTS: The national average in the index during the 143 days of the pandemic was 41.1 out of a possible 100 points on our index. Nuevo León achieved the highest performance (50.4); San Luis Potosí the lowest (34.1). The differential between the highest versus the lowest performance was 47.4%. CONCLUSIONS: The study identifies variability and heterogeneity in how and when Mexican states implemented policies to contain COVID-19. We demonstrate the absence of a uniform national response and widely varying stringency of state responses. We also show how these responses are not based on testing and do not reflect the local burden of disease. National health system stewardship and a coordinated, timely, rigorous response to the pandemic did not occur in Mexico but is desirable to contain COVID-19.

A comparative study on active and passive epidemiological surveillance for dengue in five countries of Latin America.

BACKGROUND: Dengue is a notifiable infectious disease in many countries, but under-reporting of cases to National Epidemiological Surveillance Systems (NESSs) conceals the true extent of the disease burden. The incidence of dengue identified in a cohort study was compared with those reported to NESSs. METHODS: A randomized, placebo-controlled study was undertaken in Brazil, Colombia, Honduras, Mexico, and Puerto Rico to assess the efficacy of a tetravalent dengue vaccine (CYD-TDV) in children aged 9-16 years. The incidence of dengue in the placebo group was compared with that reported to NESSs in a similar age group (10-19 years) from June 2011 to April 2014. RESULTS: Three thousand six hundred and fifteen suspected dengue cases were identified in the study over 13527 person-years of observation. The overall incidence of confirmed dengue was 2.9 per 100 person-years (range 1.5 to 4.1 per 100 person-years). In the NESSs combined, over 3.2 million suspected dengue cases were reported during the same period, corresponding to over 1 billion person-years of observation. The incidence of confirmed dengue reported by the NESSs in the same locality where the study took place was 0.286 per 100 person-years across Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico (range 0.180 to 0.734 per 100 person-years). The incidence of confirmed dengue was 10.0-fold higher in the study than that reported to NESSs in the same localities (range 3.5- to 19.4-fold higher). CONCLUSIONS: There is a substantial under-reporting of dengue in the NESSs. Understanding the level of under-reporting would allow more accurate estimates of the dengue burden in Latin America.

Prevalence of Neisseria meningitidis carriers in children under five years of age and teenagers in certain populations of Mexico City.

OBJECTIVE: To carry out a pilot study to discover the frequency of colonization in healthy children under five years old and teenagers, as well as the distribution of the different N. meningitidis serogroups isolated from nasopharyngeal samples collected from the population under study. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The population included youth between 15 and 19 years old living in social rehabilitation centers (SRC) and university teenagers (UT) as well as children under the age of five attending day care centers (DCC) in Mexico City. Nasopharyngeal exudates were processed using standard microbiological techniques in order to identify Nm, the serogroup, type and subtype of these isolates. RESULTS: A total of 2 310 samples (774 SRC, 800 UT and 736 DCC) were taken. Total prevalence of Nm was 1.6 per cent. In teenagers living in SRC the prevalence was 2.9%. The most frequent serogroups were Y (29.7%), C (24.3%) and B (10.8%). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of carriers in the study environment was significant (1.6%) and similar to countries in which the invasive illness is much more frequent.

Prevalence of Neisseria meningitidis carriers in children under five years of age and teenagers in certain populations of Mexico City / Prevalencia de portadores de Neisseria meningitidis en niños menores de cinco años de edad y adolescentes en determinadas poblaciones de la Ciudad de México

OBJECTIVE: To carry out a pilot study to discover the frequency of colonization in healthy children under five years old and teenagers, as well as the distribution of the different N. meningitidis serogroups isolated from nasopharyngeal samples collected from the population under study. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The population included youth between 15 and 19 years old living in social rehabilitation centers (SRC) and university teenagers (UT) as well as children under the age of five attending day care centers (DCC) in Mexico City. Nasopharyngeal exudates were processed using standard microbiological techniques in order to identify Nm, the serogroup, type and subtype of these isolates. RESULTS: A total of 2 310 samples (774 SRC, 800 UT and 736 DCC) were taken. Total prevalence of Nm was 1.6 per cent. In teenagers living in SRC the prevalence was 2.9 percent. The most frequent serogroups were Y (29.7 percent), C (24.3 percent) and B (10.8 percent). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of carriers in the study environment was significant (1.6 percent) and similar to countries in which the invasive illness is much more frequent.

OBJETIVO: Realizar un estudio piloto que permita conocer la frecuencia de colonización en niños sanos menores de cinco años y adolescentes, así como la distribución de serogrupos de los aislamientos de Neisseria meningitidis (Nm) obtenidos de la nasofaringe de la población estudiada. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se incluyeron, jóvenes entre los 15 y 19 años de edad, de centros de readaptación social (CRS) y adolescentes universitarios (AU), así como niños menores de cinco años que asisten a estancias infantiles (EI) en la Ciudad de México. Se tomaron exudados nasofaríngeos y fueron procesados, usando las técnicas microbiológicas clásicas, para identificar Nm, serogrupo, tipo y subtipo de estos aislamientos. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron un total de 2310 muestras (774 CRS, 800 AU y 736 EI). La prevalencia total de Nm fue 1.6 por ciento y en los adolescentes de CRS fue 2.9 por ciento. Los serogrupos más frecuentes son; Y (29.7 por ciento), C (24.3 por ciento) y B (10.8 por ciento). CONCLUSIÓN: La prevalencia de portadores en nuestro medio fue significativa (1.6 por ciento) y similar a los países en los que la enfermedad invasiva es mucho más frecuente.

Diseño y metodología de la Encuesta Nacional de Salud 2000 / National Health Survey 2000: design and methodology

OBJETIVO: Como parte del Sistema de Encuestas Nacionales de Salud, durante los últimos meses de 1999 y los primeros tres del año 2000 se realizó la Encuesta Nacional de Salud de México (ENSA 2000). Se estudió la accesibilidad, calidad, utilización y cobertura de los Servicios de Salud; de modo adicional se actualizaron los marcadores serológicos de enfermedades infecciosas prevenibles por vacunación, infecciones de transmisión sexual y hepatitis. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Para la ENSA 2000 se seleccionaron tres grupos etarios y a los utilizadores de los servicios de salud. Se captó la información mediante entrevista directa y se tomaron muestras biológicas para análisis clínicos y medidas de parámetros biológicos y somatométricos. El diseño muestral de la ENSA 2000 fue probabilístico, polietápico, estratificado y de conglomerados. El tamaño de la muestra fue de 1 470 viviendas por estado, para un total de 47 040 viviendas a nivel nacional; los factores de expansión se modificaron por la falta de respuesta y la posestratificación. El personal operativo se capacitó y estandarizó para mantener una alta respuesta, en especial para las muestras de sangre. RESULTADOS: En total se obtuvieron 83 157 muestras de sangre de las 94 000 esperadas (respuesta de 88 por ciento) que se mantuvieron refrigeradas en tanto se ubicaron en el laboratorio del Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública donde se prepararon cuatro alícuotas y se congelaron a -150° C hasta el análisis.

OBJECTIVE: The 2000 Mexican National Health Survey (NHS) was created as part of the System for National Health Surveys conducted during the last months of 1999 and the first three of 2000. The 2000 NHS is a probabilistic survey of households from which users of health services were selected according to three age groups. Information was gathered through direct interviews with appropriate informants. Biological samples were taken for clinical tests as well as for measuring biological and somatometric parameters. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The sample design of the 2000 NHS was stratified and clustered. Sample size was 1 470 households per state for a total of 47 040 households nationwide (there are 32 states in México). Sample weights were calculated and modified according to the non-response and post-stratified to calibrate for population distribution. Interviewers were trained in order to maintain a high response rate, especially for biological samples. RESULTS: A total of 83 157 blood samples were collected from the 94 000 expected (88 percent response rate). All samples were refrigerated immediately after collection and divided in four vials for storage at the National Institute for Public Health's laboratory. Samples were frozen at -150° Celsius until further analysis.

Diarrhea morbidity and mortality in Mexican children: impact of rotavirus disease.

AIM: To analyze changes in prevalence and seasonality of diarrhea morbidity and mortality and to evaluate the impact of rotavirus disease among Mexican children younger than 5 years old. METHODS: Diarrhea surveillance was performed from 1990 to 2002. Rotavirus testing was performed on stool specimens from 1996 to 2002. Data were obtained from different surveillance systems considering a nationwide representation in Mexico. Diarrhea morbidity and mortality rates were analyzed against time to determine trends or seasonal patterns. RESULTS: Improvement of surveillance for all diarrhea episodes denoted an initial morbidity increase from 1995 to 1999, followed by a decrease by 2002, without any seasonal pattern. However, from 1990 to 1995, morbidity for severe diarrhea decreased 63%. From 1996 to 2002, 62-68% of severe diarrhea episodes occurring during the fall-winter season (FWS) were rotavirus-positive compared with 6-12% in the spring-summer season (SSS). From 1990 to 2002, diarrhea mortality decreased 84%. Higher mortality rates for children younger than 1 year old coincided precisely during the FWS, annually. Both severe diarrhea episodes and diarrhea deaths denoted a changing seasonal pattern. In 1990-1991, 2 waves of increased diarrhea activity occurred. The increase in SSS was much more pronounced than that in FWS. From 1992 to 1995 for severe diarrhea and from 1993 to 2002 for diarrhea deaths, the SSS frequencies subsequently reduced, whereas the FWS peaks remained annually. CONCLUSIONS: A significant reduction in morbidity and mortality of severe diarrhea has occurred from 1990 and 2002 in Mexican children younger than 5 years old. This is a consequence of preventive programs initiated for cholera control since 1991, which had greater impact on SSS diarrhea and limited response for FWS diarrhea, when rotavirus is mainly present. Currently rotavirus diarrhea requires new prevention strategies and specific control measures, such as a specific national vaccine program.

Measles in Mexico, 1941-2001: interruption of endemic transmission and lessons learned.

In Mexico, measles occurred in a cyclical endemic-epidemic pattern until the early 1970s. Beginning in 1973, routine vaccination augmented by mass vaccination campaigns led to a decrease in the incidence of measles until the 1989-1990 regional pandemic, when the measles attack rate rose to 80 cases per 100000, resulting in 5899 deaths. Since the pandemic, measles elimination efforts in Mexico have resulted in increasing coverage to >95% among children aged 1-6 years with 2 doses of either measles or measles-mumps-rubella vaccine since 1996 and in coverage of 97.6% among children aged 6-10 since 1999. Surveillance data suggest that the transmission of indigenous measles virus was interrupted in 1997. After almost 4 years without measles cases, in April 2000, measles virus was reintroduced into Mexico and 30 laboratory-confirmed cases were reported. Detection of relatively few cases in nonprogrammatic age groups affirms the high immunization coverage and the sensitivity of measles surveillance in Mexico. We conclude that the specific strategies adopted for measles elimination have enabled Mexico to eliminate the endemic transmission of measles.

[From tobacco use to other drugs use: does the early use of tobacco increase the probability of use of other drugs]. / Del tabaco al uso de otras drogas: el uso temprano de tabaco aumenta la probabilidad de usar otras drogas?

OBJECTIVE: To assess the likelihood of substance abuse predicted by age of first exposure to tobacco. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data from the 1998 National Household Survey on Addictions in urban areas were analyzed. RESULTS: The age period of greater likelihood of drug experimentation is between 15 and 19 years; only 5.6% of drug users and 13% of alcohol beverage drinkers reported having experimented with drugs before trying tobacco. The probability of heavy drinking and dependence was higher at early ages of first exposure to tobacco and decreased with increasing age. Experimentation with drugs, continued use, and multiple drug use, are more frequent among smokers who started before 15 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: Early tobacco use increases the likelihood of substance abuse.

Del tabaco al uso de otras drogas: ¿el uso temprano de tabaco aumenta la probabilidad de usar otras drogas? / x

Objetivo. Analizar la probabilidad de abuso de sustancias en relación con la edad de inicio del consumo de tabaco. Material y métodos. Los datos provienen de la Encuesta Nacional de Adicciones (1998) realizada en población urbana. Resultados. La edad de mayor riesgo para experimentar con sustancias es entre los 15 y los 19 años. Solamente en 5.6 por ciento de los usuarios de drogas y 13 por ciento de los que han consumido alcohol, el uso del tabaco no ocurrió primero. La probabilidad de beber en forma consuetudinaria y de presentar dependencia es mayor cuando la edad de inicio es temprana y disminuye en la medida en que se retrasa la edad de inicio. La experimentación con drogas, el continuar usándolas y el poliuso son más frecuentes entre quienes se iniciaron antes de los 15 años. Conclusiones. El inicio temprano en el consumo de tabaco incrementa la probabilidad de uso y abuso de sustancias.

Objective. To assess the likelihood of substance abuse predicted by age of first exposure to tobacco. Material and Methods. Data from the 1998 National Household Survey on Addictions in urban areas were analyzed. Results. The age period of greater likelihood of drug experimentation is between 15 and 19 years; only 5.6 percent of drug users and 13 percent of alcohol beverage drinkers reported having experimented with drugs before trying tobacco. The probability of heavy drinking and dependence was higher at early ages of first exposure to tobacco and decreased with increasing age. Experimentation with drugs, continued use, and multiple drug use, are more frequent among smokers who started before 15 years of age. Conclusions. Early tobacco use increases the likelihood of substance abuse.

Dificultades en los métodos de estudio de exposiciones ambientales y defectos del tubo neural / Methodological challenges to assess environmental exposure related to neural tube defects

Objetivo. Discutir las actitudes en la evaluación de las exposiciones ambientales como factores de riesgo para defectos de riesgo del tubo neural, al tiempo que se presentan los principales factores estudiados hasta la fecha. Resultados. Las exposiciones ambientales se citan muy a menudo como causa de malformaciones congénitas; sin embargo, ha sido difícil establecer esta asociación en los estudios de poblaciones humanas, debido a problemas en su diseño y conducción. Lo anterior es particularmente marcado en el caso del estudio de los defectos del cierre del tubo neural (DTN), que es una de las principales malformaciones y que incluye anencefalia, espina bífida y encefalocele, y su asociación con exposiciones ambientales. Las dificultades en los métodos surgen de: a) la medida de frecuencia para realizar comparaciones espacio-temporales; b) la clasificación y heterogeneidad de las malformaciones; c) la consideración de los factores relacionados con la madre, el padre y el producto, de manera conjunta, y d) la evaluación de las exposiciones ambientales. Conclusiones. Hipotéticamente las exposiciones ambientales tanto del padre como de la madre pueden producir daño genético antes y/o después de la concepción por la acción directa sobre el embrión o sobre el complejo fetoplacentario, de tal manera que en la evaluación de exposiciones ambientales: a) deben tomarse en cuenta las exposiciones maternas y paternas; b) debe considerarse el periodo crítico de exposición, esto es, tres meses anteriores a la concepción para el padre y un mes alrededor de la concepción para la madre; c) en la medida de lo posible, la evaluación de la exposición deberá ser cuantitativa, evitando clasificar a los grupos únicamente como expuestos y no expuestos, y d) es recomendable emplear marcadores biológicos de exposición siempre que sea posible, así como utilizar marcadores biológicos que permitan clasificar a la población en grupos con distinta susceptibilidad genética

Cigarette smoking; Knowledge and attitudes among Mexican physicians

Objetivo. Determinar la prevalencia del hábito de fumar entre médicos mexicanos y de algunas actitudes e información sobre cuestiones específicas relativas al tabaquismo. Material y métodos. En 1993 se realizó una encuesta entre 3568 médicos de las tres instituciones oficiales de salud más importantes de la Ciudad de México aplicando un cuestionario diseñado para la Encuesta Nacional de Adicciones (ENA 1993). Se evaluaron la prevalencia del hábito de fumar cigarrillos, la edad de inicio, la cantidad de cigarrillos que se fuman al día, así como la información y actitudes respecto al hábito de fumar. Resultados. La edad promedio fue de 37 años y 66 por ciento eran hombres. De los 3488 (98 por ciento) médicos encuestados, 26.9 por ciento eran fumadores (62 por ciento fumaban diario), 20.6 por ciento eran ex fumadores y 52.5 por ciento no eran fumadores. Hubo diferencias relacionadas con la edad y el sexo (p< 0.05). De los fumadores del diario 36 por ciento fumaban entre uno y cinco cigarrillos. Se observó una tendencia significativa entre ex fumadores en la que se asocia el tiempo que llevan sin fumar con el temor de comenzar a fumar otra vez. Los médicos estaban bien informados sobre la relación entre fumar cigarrillos y el cáncer del pulmón. Más de 80 por ciento consideraron que el tabaco es una droga adictiva; sin embargo, sólo 65 por ciento se declararon a favor de prohibir fumar en sus sitios de trabajo y más del 10 por ciento no sabían que está prohibido fumar en instituciones de salud. Conclusiones. Estos resultados difieren de otros estudios que indican que la prevalencia del hábito de fumar entre médicos es menor que en la población general. Nuestro estudio mostró mayor prevalencia del hábito de fumar ente médicas, y la cantidad de cigarrillos que se fuman al día fue mayor que la que se registra para la población en general, sin importar el sexo

Objective. To determine the prevalence of the smoking habit among Mexican physicians as well as some of their attitudes and information on specific issues concerning smoking. Material and methods. In 1993, a survey was carried out among 3 568 physicians of the three major official health care institutions in Mexico City. A questionnaire designed for The Mexican National Survey of Addictions (ENA 1993) was used. Prevalence of cigarette smoking, age of onset, number of cigarettes per day; also information and attitudes concerning smoking were assessed. Results. The mean age was 37, 66% were males. Of the 3,488 (98%) surveyed, 26.9% were smokers (62% daily), 20.6% were ex-smokers and 52.5% non-smokers. There were differences related to age and sex (p< 0.05). Of daily smokers, 36% smoked between 1 and 5 cigarettes. There was a significant trend among ex-smokers that linked the time they had ceased smoking with the fear to start smoking again. Physicians were well informed of the relationship between cigarette smoking and lung cancer. Over 80% considered tobacco an addictive drug but only 65% were in favor of banning smoking from their workplaces and over 10% were not aware that it is forbidden to smoke inside health care facilities. Conclusions. These results differ from other studies that find the prevalence of smoking among physicians lower than in the general population. Our study revealed a greater prevalence of the smoking habit among female physicians and the number of cigarettes smoked per day was greater than in the general population regardless of sex.