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1.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 8710, 2021 04 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33888744

ABSTRACT

Epidemiological studies have yielded conflicting results regarding climate and incident SARS-CoV-2 infection, and seasonality of infection rates is debated. Moreover, few studies have focused on COVD-19 deaths. We studied the association of average ambient temperature with subsequent COVID-19 mortality in the OECD countries and the individual United States (US), while accounting for other important meteorological and non-meteorological co-variates. The exposure of interest was average temperature and other weather conditions, measured at 25 days prior and 25 days after the first reported COVID-19 death was collected in the OECD countries and US states. The outcome of interest was cumulative COVID-19 mortality, assessed for each region at 25, 30, 35, and 40 days after the first reported death. Analyses were performed with negative binomial regression and adjusted for other weather conditions, particulate matter, sociodemographic factors, smoking, obesity, ICU beds, and social distancing. A 1 °C increase in ambient temperature was associated with 6% lower COVID-19 mortality at 30 days following the first reported death (multivariate-adjusted mortality rate ratio: 0.94, 95% CI 0.90, 0.99, p = 0.016). The results were robust for COVID-19 mortality at 25, 35 and 40 days after the first death, as well as other sensitivity analyses. The results provide consistent evidence across various models of an inverse association between higher average temperatures and subsequent COVID-19 mortality rates after accounting for other meteorological variables and predictors of SARS-CoV-2 infection or death. This suggests potentially decreased viral transmission in warmer regions and during the summer season.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/mortality , Hot Temperature , Air Pollutants/analysis , Climate , Comorbidity , Global Health , Humans , Models, Statistical , Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development , Particulate Matter/analysis , Seasons , United States/epidemiology
2.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 55(1): 105836, 2020 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31704213

ABSTRACT

Although analysis of retrospective studies has documented survival benefit from the addition of a macrolide to the treatment regimen for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), no data are available to determine if there is differential efficacy between members of the macrolide family. In order to investigate this, an analysis was undertaken of data from 1174 patients with CAP who met the new Sepsis-3 definitions and were enrolled prospectively in the data registry of the Hellenic Sepsis Study Group. Four well-matched treatment groups were identified with 130 patients per group: clarithromycin and ß-lactam; azithromycin and ß-lactam; respiratory fluoroquinolone and ß-lactam monotherapy. The primary endpoint was comparison of the effects of clarithromycin with ß-lactam monotherapy on 28-day mortality. The secondary endpoint was resolution of CAP. Mortality rates for the clarithromycin, azithromycin, respiratory fluoroquinolone and ß-lactam groups were 20.8%, 33.8% (P=0.026 vs clarithromycin), 32.3% (P=0.049 vs clarithromycin) and 36.2% (P=0.009 vs clarithromycin), respectively. After stepwise Cox regression analysis among all groups, clarithromycin was the only treatment modality associated with a favourable outcome (hazard ratio 0.61; P=0.021). CAP resolved in 73.1%, 65.9% (P=0.226 vs clarithromycin), 58.5% (P=0.009 vs clarithromycin) and 61.5% (P=0.046 vs clarithromycin) of patients, respectively. It is concluded that the addition of clarithromycin to the treatment regimen of patients with severe CAP leads to better survival rates.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Clarithromycin/toxicity , Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Bacterial/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Azithromycin/therapeutic use , Clarithromycin/therapeutic use , Cohort Studies , Community-Acquired Infections/microbiology , Female , Fluoroquinolones/therapeutic use , Humans , Macrolides/therapeutic use , Male , Middle Aged , Pneumonia, Bacterial/microbiology , Treatment Outcome , beta-Lactams/therapeutic use
4.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 53(3): 294-301, 2019 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30395988

ABSTRACT

Factors influencing treatment outcome of patients with Gram-negative bacterial (GNB) multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug-resistant (XDR) prosthetic joint infection (PJIs) were analysed. Data were collected (2000-2015) by 18 centres. Treatment success was analysed by surgery type for PJI, resistance (MDR/XDR) and antimicrobials (colistin/non-colistin) using logistic regression and survival analyses. A total of 131 patients (mean age 73.0 years, 35.9% male, 58.8% with co-morbidities) with MDR (n = 108) or XDR (n = 23) GNB PJI were assessed. The most common pathogens were Escherichia coli (33.6%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (25.2%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (21.4%) and Enterobacter cloacae (17.6%). Pseudomonas aeruginosa predominated in XDR cases. Isolates were carbapenem-resistant (n = 12), fluoroquinolone-resistant (n = 63) and ESBL-producers (n = 94). Treatment outcome was worse in XDR versus MDR cases (P = 0.018). Success rates did not differ for colistin versus non-colistin in XDR cases (P = 0.657), but colistin was less successful in MDR cases (P = 0.018). Debridement, antibiotics and implant retention (DAIR) (n = 67) was associated with higher failure rates versus non-DAIR (n = 64) (OR = 3.57, 95% CI 1.68-7.58; P < 0.001). Superiority of non-DAIR was confirmed by Kaplan-Meir analysis (HR = 0.36, 95% CI 0.20-0.67) and remained unchangeable by time of infection (early/late), antimicrobial resistance (MDR/XDR) and antimicrobials (colistin/non-colistin) (Breslow-Day, P = 0.737). DAIR is associated with higher failure rates even in early MDR/XDR GNB PJIs versus implant removal. Colistin should be preserved for XDR cases as it is detrimental in MDR infections.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Colistin/therapeutic use , Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial , Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections/drug therapy , Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections/surgery , Prosthesis-Related Infections/drug therapy , Prosthesis-Related Infections/surgery , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Gram-Negative Bacteria/drug effects , Gram-Negative Bacteria/isolation & purification , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis , Treatment Outcome
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