ABSTRACT
Ethnic minorities in developed countries suffer a disproportionately high burden of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, and COVID-19 ethnic disparities have been attributed to social determinants of health. Vitamin D has been proposed as a modifiable risk factor that could mitigate COVID-19 health disparities. We investigated the relationship between vitamin D and COVID-19 susceptibility and severity using the UK Biobank, a large progressive cohort study of the United Kingdom population. Structural equation modelling was used to evaluate the ability of vitamin D, socioeconomic deprivation, and other known risk factors to mediate COVID-19 ethnic health disparities. Asian ethnicity is associated with higher COVID-19 susceptibility, compared to the majority White population, and Asian and Black ethnicity are both associated with higher COVID-19 severity. Socioeconomic deprivation mediates all three ethnic disparities and shows the highest overall signal of mediation for any COVID-19 risk factor. Vitamin supplements, including vitamin D, mediate the Asian disparity in COVID-19 susceptibility, and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (calcifediol) levels mediate Asian and Black COVID-19 severity disparities. Several measures of overall health also mediate COVID-19 ethnic disparities, underscoring the importance of comorbidities. Our results support ethnic minorities' use of vitamin D as both a prophylactic and a supplemental therapeutic for COVID-19.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Efficient management of study drug inventory shipments is critical to keep research sites enrolling into multisite clinical treatment trials. A standard manual drug-management process used by the Tuberculosis Trials Consortium (TBTC), did not accommodate import permit approval timelines, shipment transit-times and time-zone differences. We compared a new web-based solution with the manual process, during an international 34-site clinical trial conducted by the TBTC and the AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG); TBTC Study 31/ACTG A5349. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We developed and implemented a technological solution by integrating logistical and regulatory requirements for drug importation with statistical simulations that estimated stock-out times in an online Drug Management Module (DMM). We measured the average shipment-related drug stock-outs and time to drug availability, to assess the efficiency of the DMM compared to the manual approach. RESULTS: An Interrupted Time-Series (ITS) analysis showed a 15.4% [p-value = 0.03; 95% C.I. (-28.8%, -2.0%)] reduction in average shipment-related study drug stock-out after DMM implementation. The DMM streamlined the restocking process at study sites, reducing median transit-time for sites associated with a depot by 2 days [95% C.I. (-3.0, -1.0)]. Under the DMM, study drugs were available for treatment assignment on the day received, compared to one day after receipt under the manual process. DISCUSSION: The DMM provided TBTC's Data and Coordinating Center and site staff with more efficient procedures to manage and consistently maintain study drug inventory at enrolling sites. This DMM framework can improve efficiency in future multicenter clinical trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (Identifier: NCT02410772) on April 8, 2015.
