Left Atrial Strain Predicts Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality.

Background: Left atrial strain can usefully reflect left atrial function. The follow-up periods in previous studies assessing left atrial strain as a survival predictor have been relatively short, and few studies have examined the ability of left atrial strain to predict mortality in patients with borderline diastolic function. This study sought to investigate the survival predictive value of left atrial strain with a longer follow-up duration. In addition, we also evaluated the survival predictive value of left atrial strain in patients with borderline diastolic function. Methods: In total, 652 participants who received routine echocardiography underwent 2-D speckle tracking echocardiography to evaluate left atrial reservoir function by peak atrial longitudinal strain. The study endpoints were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Results: The mean left atrial strain was 27.6%, and the median follow-up duration was 92 months. During follow-up, 72 patients died of cardiovascular causes and 181 died of all causes. Univariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower left atrial strain significantly predicted an increase in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. After adjusting for common clinical and echocardiographic parameters, lower left atrial strain was still associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.942, p = 0.011] and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.915, p = 0.018) in multivariable Cox-regression analysis. In addition, 293 patients had borderline left ventricular diastolic function. Multivariable analysis still revealed that left atrial strain could predict cardiovascular mortality in this population. Conclusions: Our data showed that left atrial strain could predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, even after adjusting for general clinical and echocardiographic parameters.

Significant impact of body mass index on the relationship between increased white blood cell count and new-onset diabetes.

An elevated white blood cell (WBC) count has been linked to incident diabetes. WBC count has been positively associated with body mass index (BMI), and elevated BMI has been reported to be a strong predictor of future diabetes. Hence, the association of increased WBC count with the subsequent development of diabetes may be mediated by increased BMI. This study was designed to address this issue. We selected subjects from the 104,451 participants enrolled from 2012 to 2018 in the Taiwan Biobank. We only included those with complete data at baseline and follow-up and those without diabetes at baseline. Finally, 24,514 participants were enrolled in this study. During an average 3.88 years of follow-up, 248 (1.0%) of the participants had new-onset diabetes. After adjusting for demographic, clinical, and biochemical parameters, increased WBC count was associated with new-onset diabetes in all of these participants (p ≤ 0.024). After further adjustment for BMI, the association became insignificant (p = 0.096). In addition, subgroup analysis of 23,430 subjects with a normal WBC count (range: 3500-10500/µl) demonstrated that increased WBC count was significantly associated with new-onset diabetes after adjusting for demographic, clinical, and biochemical parameters (p ≤ 0.016). After further adjustment for BMI, this association was attenuated (p = 0.050). In conclusion, our results showed that BMI had a significant impact on the relationship between increased WBC count and new-onset diabetes in all study participants, and BMI also attenuated the association in those with a normal WBC count. Hence, the association between increased WBC count and the future development of diabetes may be mediated by BMI.

Components of the Complete Blood Count as a Risk Predictor for Incident Hypertension in a Large Taiwanese Population Follow-up Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies investigating the relationship between hypertension (HT) and hematological parameters report inconsistent results, and most them included a small number of participants or only conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 1 or 2 hematological factors. Moreover, no large cohort follow-up studies have investigated this topic. The aim of this longitudinal study was to explore associations between components of the complete blood count (CBC) and incident HT using data from a large Taiwanese biobankMethods and Results: Hematological parameters including white blood cell (WBC) count, red blood cell (RBC) count, hemoglobin, hematocrit (HCT), and platelet count were evaluated. We included 21,293 participants who did not have HT at baseline and followed them for a mean period of 3.9 years. During follow-up, 3,002 participants with new-onset HT (defined as incident HT) were identified. Univariable analysis revealed that high WBC count, high RBC count, high hemoglobin, high HCT, and low platelet count were associated with incident HT. Multivariable analysis after adjusting potential confounding factors found high WBC count (odds ratio [OR], 1.057; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.028 to 1.087; P<0.001) and high HCT (OR, 1.023; 95% CI, 1.010 to 1.036; P<0.001) were still significantly associated with incident HT. CONCLUSIONS: High WBC count and high HCT were associated with incident HT.

Liver-function parameters are associated with incident hypertension in a large Taiwanese population follow-up study.

Previous studies demonstrated inconsistent results regarding the association between liver function and hypertension. In addition, large cohort follow-up studies are lacking. Therefore, this longitudinal study aimed to investigate the association between liver function and incident hypertension using data from the Taiwan Biobank (TWB). We evaluated liver biomarkers, including aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), total bilirubin, and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) in this study. A total of 21,293 participants without hypertension at baseline were analyzed. During the mean 3.9-year follow-up, 3002 participants developed hypertension (defined as incident hypertension). Multivariable analysis revealed that high AST (odds ratio [OR], 1.004; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.001-1.007; p = 0.014), high ALT (OR, 1.004; 95% CI, 1.002-1.006; p < 0.001), high albumin (OR, 1.897; 95% CI, 1.573-2.286; p < 0.001), and high GGT (OR, 1.004; 95% CI, 1.003-1.005; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with incident hypertension in all study participants. In subgroup analysis of the participants with an ALT level ≤2 times the normal limit (80 u/l) (n = 20,983), multivariable analysis demonstrated that high ALT (OR, 1.009; 95% CI, 1.005-1.012; p < 0.001) and high GGT (OR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.003-1.006; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with incident hypertension. In conclusion, we found that elevated AST, ALT, albumin, and GGT were associated with incident hypertension in a large Taiwanese cohort. A greater understanding of potential risk factors for hypertension may help to reduce the burden of hypertension in this Taiwanese population.

Prognostic Factors of New-Onset Hypertension in New and Traditional Hypertension Definition in a Large Taiwanese Population Follow-up Study.

The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of new-onset hypertension when the definition of hypertension is changed from the traditional definition (140/90 mmHg) to a new definition (130/80 mmHg). Using data from the Taiwan Biobank, a total of 17,072 and 21,293 participants in the new and traditional definition groups were analyzed, respectively. During a mean follow-up period of 3.9 years, 3641 and 3002 participants developed hypertension in the new and traditional definition groups, respectively. After multivariable analysis, older age (OR, 1.035; 95% CI, 1.030 to 1.039; p < 0.001), male sex (OR, 1.332; 95% CI, 1.194 to 1.486; p < 0.001), high systolic blood pressure (SBP) (OR, 1.067; 95% CI, 1.062 to 1.073; p < 0.001), high diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (OR, 1.048; 95% CI, 1.040 to 1.056; p < 0.001), high heart rate (OR, 1.007; 95% CI, 1.002 to 1.012; p = 0.004), high body mass index (BMI) (OR, 1.091; 95% CI, 1.077 to 1.106; p < 0.001), high fasting glucose (OR, 1.004; 95% CI, 1.001 to 1.006; p = 0.002), and high triglycerides (OR, 1.001; 95% CI, 1.000 to 1.001; p = 0.004) were significantly associated with new-onset hypertension in the new definition group. In the traditional definition group, the predictors of new-onset hypertension were older age (OR, 1.038; 95% CI, 1.032 to 1.043; p < 0.001), high SBP (OR, 1.078; 95% CI, 1.072 to 1.084; p < 0.001), high DBP (OR, 1.039; 95% CI, 1.031 to 1.046; p < 0.001), high heart rate (OR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.000 to 1.010; p = 0.032), high BMI (OR, 1.072; 95% CI, 1.058 to 1.087; p < 0.001), high fasting glucose (OR, 1.003; 95% CI, 1.000 to 1.005; p = 0.020), low cholesterol (OR, 0.998; 95% CI, 0.997 to 0.999; p = 0.004), high triglycerides (OR, 1.001; 95% CI, 1.000 to 1.001; p = 0.001), and low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (OR, 0.995; 95% CI, 0.993 to 0.997; p < 0.001). In conclusion, older age, high SBP and DBP, high heart rate, high BMI, high fasting glucose, and high triglycerides were useful predictors of new-onset hypertension in both the new and traditional definition groups. However, male sex was a significant predictor of new-onset hypertension only in the new definition group, and low cholesterol and low eGFR were significant predictors of new-onset hypertension only in the traditional definition group. Hence, changing the diagnostic cut-off value for hypertension may have a significant impact on the association of some clinical and laboratory parameters with new-onset hypertension.

Associations of Liver Function Parameters with New-Onset Hyperuricemia in a Large Taiwanese Population Study.

Hyperuricemia is the chief cause of gout and has been linked with hypertension, cardiovascular and renal disease, diabetes and metabolic syndrome. Liver with the highest protein expression of xanthine oxidase, the main enzyme responsible for uric acid formation, is the primary site of uric acid biosynthesis. However, there are few studies that examine the association between liver function and new-onset hyperuricemia. Hence, using the Taiwan Biobank dataset, we aimed to explore the capability of liver function parameters, including gamma-glutamyl transferase, total bilirubin, albumin, alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase in association with the subsequent development of hyperuricemia. We analyzed 21,030 participants without hyperuricemia at baseline. Hyperuricemia was defined as a uric acid concentration > 6.0 mg/dL in women or >7.0 mg/dL in men. New-onset hyperuricemia was defined as participants without baseline hyperuricemia having developed hyperuricemia upon subsequent exam. Overall, 1804 (8.6%) of the study subjects developed new-onset hyperuricemia. After multivariable analysis, significant associations were found between the male sex (odds ratio [OR], 4.412; p < 0.001), high values of systolic blood pressure (SBP) (OR, 1.006; p = 0.012), body mass index (BMI) (OR, 1.064; p < 0.001), fasting glucose (OR, 1.005; p < 0.001), triglycerides (OR, 1.001; p = 0.003), uric acid (OR, 5.120; p < 0.001), low values of estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) (OR, 0.995; p < 0.001), total bilirubin (OR, 0.616; p < 0.001) and new-onset hyperuricemia. The cutoff level of total bilirubin, according to the Youden index, of receiver operating characteristic curve for identifying new-onset hyperuricemia was 0.65 mg/dL. Low total bilirubin was defined as ≤0.65 mg/dL. After multivariable analysis, we found a significant association between low total bilirubin level (≤0.65 mg/dL) (OR = 0.806; p < 0.001) and new-onset hyperuricemia. Our present study demonstrated that in addition to male sex, high SBP, BMI, fasting glucose, triglycerides, and uric acid and low eGFR, the serum's total bilirubin levels were negatively associated with new-onset hyperuricemia in a large Taiwanese cohort.

Epstein-Barr virus-induced ectopic CD137 expression helps nasopharyngeal carcinoma to escape immune surveillance and enables targeting by chimeric antigen receptors.

Non-keratinizing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a malignancy with a poor prognosis for relapsing patients and those with metastatic disease. Here, we identify a novel disease mechanism of NPC which may be its Achilles' heel that makes it susceptible to immunotherapy. CD137 is a potent costimulatory receptor on activated T cells, and CD137 agonists strongly enhance anti-tumor immune responses. A negative feedback mechanism prevents overstimulation by transferring CD137 from T cells to CD137 ligand (CD137L)-expressing antigen presenting cells (APC) during cognate interaction, upon which the CD137-CD137L complex is internalized and degraded. We found ectopic expression of CD137 on 42 of 122 (34.4%) NPC cases, and that CD137 is induced by the Epstein-Barr virus latent membrane protein (LMP) 1. CD137 expression enables NPC to hijack the inbuilt negative feedback mechanism to downregulate the costimulatory CD137L on APC, facilitating its escape from immune surveillance. Further, the ectopically expressed CD137 signals into NPC cells via the p38-MAPK pathway, and induces the expression of IL-6, IL-8 and Laminin γ2. As much as ectopic CD137 expression may support the growth and spread of NPC, it may be a target for its immunotherapeutic elimination. Natural killer cells that express a CD137-specific chimeric antigen receptor induce death in CD137+ NPC cells, in vitro, and in vivo in a murine xenograft model. These data identify a novel immune escape mechanism of NPC, and lay the foundation for an urgently needed immunotherapeutic approach for NPC.

Usefulness of Upstroke Time per Cardiac Cycle for Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality Prediction in Patients with Normal Ankle-Brachial Index.

AIM: Abnormal ankle-brachial index (ABI) is regarded as peripheral artery disease and can be used to predict cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. However, the usefulness of ABI for the prediction of CV outcome in patients with normal ABI is limited. Upstroke time per cardiac cycle (UTCC) is recently reported to be associated with mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction and the elderly. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate UTCC, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV), and ABI for the prediction of mortality in patients with normal ABI. METHODS: Patients arranged for echocardiographic examinations were enrolled, and 1076 patients with normal ABI were included. ABI, baPWV, and UTCC were measured by an ABI-form device. RESULTS: The median follow-up to mortality was 95 months. There were 88 CV and 244 all-cause deaths. After multivariate analysis, UTCC was associated with increased CV and all-cause mortality (P ≤ 0.004). Age, diabetes, heart failure, left ventricular hypertrophy, baPWV, and LVEF were also independent predictors of CV and all-cause mortality, but ABI was not. Furthermore, UTCC had a better additive predictive value than ABI, baPWV, and LVEF for CV mortality ( P ≤ 0.012). It also had a better additive predictive value than ABI and LVEF for all-cause mortality (P ≤ 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: UTCC is an independent predictor for CV and all-cause mortality in patients with normal ABI. It also has a better additive predictive value of CV and all-cause mortality than ABI and LVEF. Therefore, UTCC is a simple, novel, and useful parameter for identifying high-risk patients with normal ABI.

Association of Pulmonary Function Decline over Time with Longitudinal Change of Glycated Hemoglobin in Participants without Diabetes Mellitus.

Pulmonary damage and function impairment were frequently noted in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). However, the relationship between lung function and glycemic status in non-DM subjects was not well-known. Here, we evaluated the association of longitudinal changes of lung function parameters with longitudinal changes of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in non-DM participants. The study enrolled participants without prior type 2 DM, hypertension, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) from the Taiwan Biobank database. Laboratory profiles and pulmonary function parameters, including forced vital capacity (FVC) and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), were examined at baseline and follow-up. Finally, 7055 participants were selected in this study. During a mean 3.9-year follow-up, FVC and FEV1 were significantly decreased over time (both p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, the baseline (unstandardized coefficient ß = -0.032, p < 0.001) and longitudinal change (unstandardized coefficient ß = -0.025, p = 0.026) of FVC were negatively associated with the baseline and longitudinal change of HbA1c, respectively. Additionally, the longitudinal change of FVC was negatively associated with the risk of newly diagnosed type 2 DM (p = 0.018). During a mean 3.9-year follow-up, our present study, including participants without type 2 DM, hypertension, and COPD, demonstrated that the baseline and longitudinal change of FVC were negatively and respectively correlated with the baseline and longitudinal change of HbA1c. Furthermore, compared to those without new-onset DM, participants with new-onset DM had a more pronounced decline of FVC over time.

Determinants of Longitudinal Change of Glycated Hemoglobin in a Large Non-Diabetic Population.

Although many cross-section studies have assessed the determinants of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), there have been limited studies designed to evaluate the temporal correlates of HbA1c in non-diabetic patients. This study aimed to identify the major determinants of longitudinal change of HbA1c in non-diabetic patients. This study included subjects from the 104,451 participants enrolled between 2012 and 2018 in the Taiwan Biobank. We only included participants with complete data at baseline and follow-up (n = 27,209). Patients with diabetes at baseline or follow-up (n = 3983) were excluded. Finally, 23,226 participants without diabetes at baseline and follow-up were selected in this study. △Parameters was defined as the difference between the measurement baseline and follow-up. Multivariable linear regression analysis was used to identify the major determinants of HbA1c longitudinal change (△HbA1c). During a mean 3.8 year follow-up, after multivariable analysis, new-onset hypertension (coefficient ß: 0.014, p < 0.001), high △heart rate (coefficient ß: 0.020, p = 0.002), high △BMI (coefficient ß: 0.171, p = 0.028), high △fasting glucose (coefficient ß: 0.107, p < 0.001), low △creatinine (coefficient ß: -0.042, p < 0.001), high △total cholesterol (coefficient ß: 0.040, p < 0.001), high △hemoglobin (coefficient ß: 0.062, p < 0.001), high △GPT (coefficient ß: 0.041, p = 0.001), and low △albumin (coefficient ß: -0.070, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with high △HbA1c. In non-diabetic population, strategies to decrease the development of new-onset hypertension, resting heart rate, body mass index, fasting glucose, total cholesterol, and GPT and increase serum albumin level might be helpful in slowing the longitudinal change of HbA1c. In addition, increased hemoglobin and decreased serum creatinine over time also had an impact on the HbA1c elevation over time in non-diabetic population.

Low Albumin, Low Bilirubin, and High Alfa-Fetoprotein Are Associated with a Rapid Renal Function Decline in a Large Population Follow-Up Study.

A rapid decline in renal function is associated with high cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, and therefore it is important to identify those at high-risk of rapid renal function decline. The relationship between liver function and renal function is unclear. Therefore, in this longitudinal study, we aimed to investigate associations between liver function and rapid renal function decline. A total of 27,116 participants were enrolled from the Taiwan Biobank and followed for 3.8 years. A rapid decline in renal function was defined as a decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≥25%. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify associations between liver function parameters (glutamic-oxalacetic transaminase, glutamic-pyruvic transaminase, albumin, α-fetoprotein [AFP], total bilirubin, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase) and eGFR decline ≥ 25%. The rate of eGFR decline of ≥25% was 4.7%. Multivariable analysis showed that low albumin (odds ratio [OR], 0.173; p < 0.001), high AFP (OR, 1.006; p = 0.010), and low total bilirubin (OR, 0.588; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with eGFR decline ≥ 25% in all study participants. After excluding abnormal liver function, low albumin (OR, 0.189; p < 0.001), high AFP (OR, 1.007; p = 0.011), and low total bilirubin (OR, 0.569; p = 0.001) were still significantly associated with an eGFR decline of ≥25%. The results of this large population-based cohort study showed associations between low albumin, low bilirubin, and high AFP with a rapid renal function decline. A greater understanding of potential risk factors for a rapid decline in renal function may help to reduce the burden of renal failure in this high-risk population.

Association of Heavy Metals with Overall Mortality in a Taiwanese Population.

Previous studies have shown links between heavy metals and many health issues. However, data on the association between heavy metals and mortality in the general population are still limited. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between heavy metals and overall mortality in the general population. We enrolled 2497 participants (1001 males and 1496 females) living in southern Taiwan, and measured levels of seven heavy metals: lead (Pb) in blood and cadmium (Cd), nickel (Ni), copper (Cu), chromium (Cr), manganese (Mn) and arsenic (As) in urine. The median follow-up period was 41.8 (4-50) months, during which 40 (1.6%) patients died. Compared to the participants who survived, those who died had higher urine Cd, higher urine Cu and lower urine Mn levels. Multivariate analysis showed that high urine Cd (per 1 µg/L; hazard ratio [HR], 1.352; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.089-1.680; p = 0.006), high urine Cu (per 1 µg/dL; HR, 1.350; 95% CI, 1.151-1.583; p < 0.001), and low urine Mn (per 1 µg/L; HR, 0.717; 95% CI, 0.557-0.923; p = 0.010) were associated with increased overall mortality. In conclusion, our results demonstrated that high levels of urine Cd and Cu and low urine Mn level were associated with increased overall mortality in the general population.

Association between Reduced Serum Zinc and Diastolic Dysfunction in Maintenance Hemodialysis Patients.

Diastolic dysfunction is an emerging challenge among hemodialysis (HD) patients, and the associations between serum zinc with echocardiographic parameters and diastolic function remain uncertain. A total of 185 maintenance HD patients were stratified by the tertiles of serum zinc level to compare their clinical characteristics and echocardiography. Correlations of serum zinc levels with echocardiographic parameters were examined using Pearson's analysis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate the determinants of E/e' ratio >15 and left atrial volume index (LAVI) > 34 mL/m2, both indicators of diastolic dysfunction. Patients belonging to the first tertile of serum zinc level had a significantly higher E/e' ratio and LAVI. Serum zinc levels were negatively correlated with E (r = -0.204, p = 0.005), E/e' ratio (r = -0.217, p = 0.003), and LAVI (r = -0.197, p = 0.007). In a multivariate analysis, older age, diabetes, coronary artery disease, and lower serum zinc levels (OR = 0.974, 95% CI = 0.950-0.999, p = 0.039) were significantly associated with E/e' ratio >15. Furthermore, diabetes and lower serum zinc levels (OR = 0.978, 95% CI = 0.958-0.999, p = 0.041) were significantly associated with LAVI >34 mL/m2. Reduced serum zinc level was significantly associated with diastolic dysfunction among HD patients. Further prospective studies are warranted to investigate whether zinc supplementation can attenuate cardiac dysfunction in maintenance HD patients.

Effect of hydrophilic and lipophilic statins on early onset cataract: A nationwide case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Statin is biologically plausible in cataract development, but inconclusive associations between statin and cataract are presented in human studies. Given most early onset cataract (EOC) occurs in regions with high cholesterol composition, we therefore aimed to assess the association between statin and EOC. METHODS: A population based case-control study was performed using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). The case involved patients aged 20-55 years with EOC. Controls were 1:1 matched by age, gender, year of index date, and propensity score estimated from comorbidities and comedications. Statin exposure, including intensity, properties and cumulative exposure one year before the index date were tracked. The odds ratios (ORs) of EOC associated with statin were estimated by conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 4213 cases and 4213 controls were included. Statins were associated with EOC (OR = 3.257, 95% CI 2.519-4.211). The ORs of cataract was positively associated with cumulative exposure. Subgroup analysis indicated that the ORs of cataract were significant both in lipophilic (OR = 3.485, 95% CI 2.606-4.659) and hydrophilic (OR = 3.241, 95% CI 1.975-5.321) statin users. CONCLUSIONS: Statins were associated with an increased risk of cataract in young populations.

CHA2DS2-VASc Score and Risk of New-Onset Peripheral Arterial Occlusive Disease in Patients without Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: CHA2DS2-VASc score is a useful score to evaluate the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), and it has been shown to outperform CHADS2 score. Our recent cross-sectional study showed that CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with an ankle-brachial index < 0.9. The aim of the current study was to evaluate whether CHA2DS2-VASc score is a useful predictor of new-onset peripheral artery occlusive disease (PAOD) and whether it can outperform CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores. METHODS: We used the National Health Insurance Research Database to survey 723750 patients from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2001. CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were calculated for every patient. Finally, 280176 (score 0), 307209 (score 1), 61093 (score 2), 35594 (score 3), 18956 (score 4), 11032 (score 5), 6006 (score 6), 2696 (score 7), 843 (score 8), and 145 (score 9) patients were studied and followed to evaluate new-onset PAOD. We further divided the study patients into six groups: group 1 (score 0), group 2 (score 1-2), group 3 (score 3-4), group 4 (score 5-6), group 5 (score 7-8), and group 6 (score 9). RESULTS: Overall, 24775 (3.4%) patients experienced new-onset PAOD during 9.8 years of follow-up. The occurrence rate of PAOD increased from 1.3% (group 1) to 23.4% (group 6). Subgroup analysis by gender also showed an association between CHA2DS2-VASc score and the occurrence rate of PAOD. After multivariate analysis, groups 2-6 were significantly associated with new-onset PAOD. CHA2DS2-VASc score also outperformed CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores for predicting new-onset PAOD. CONCLUSIONS: CHA2DS2-VASc score was a more powerful predictor of new-onset PAOD than CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 scores in patients without AF.

Combination of low ankle-brachial index and high ankle-brachial index difference for mortality prediction.

Low ankle-brachial index (ABI) and high ABI difference (ABID) are each associated with poor prognosis. No study has assessed the ability of the combination of low ABI and high ABID to predict survival. We created an ABI score by assigning 1 point for ABI < 0.9 and 1 point for ABID ≥ 0.17 and examine the ability of this ABI score to predict mortality. We included 941 patients scheduled for echocardiographic examination. The ABI was measured using an ABI-form device. ABID was calculated as |right ABI-left ABI|. Among the 941 subjects, the prevalence of ABI < 0.9 and ABID ≥ 0.17 was 6.1% and 6.8%, respectively. Median follow-up to mortality was 93 months. There were 87 cardiovascular and 228 overall deaths. All ABI-related parameters, including ABI, ABID, ABI < 0.9, ABID ≥ 0.17, and ABI score, were significantly associated with overall and cardiovascular mortality in the multivariable analysis (P ≤ 0.009). Further, in the direct comparison of multivariable models, the basic model + ABI score was the best at predicting overall and cardiovascular mortality among the five ABI-related multivariable models (P ≤ 0.049). Hence, the ABI score, a combination of ABI < 0.9 and ABID ≥ 0.17, should be calculated for better mortality prediction.

Usefulness of Estimated Pulse Wave Velocity in Prediction of Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: Pulse wave velocity (PWV) is an excellent index of arterial stiffness and can be used to predict long-term cardiovascular (CV) outcome. In recent years, estimated PWV (ePWV), calculated by equations using age and mean blood pressure, was also reported to be a significant predictor of CV outcomes. However, there was no literature discussing about usefulness of ePWV in patients of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) for prediction of long-term CV and overall mortality. Therefore, we conducted this study for further evaluation. METHODS: A total of 187 patients with AMI admitted to cardiac care unit were enrolled. ePWV were calculated by the equations for each patient. RESULTS: The median follow-up to mortality was 73 months (25th-75th percentile: 8-174 months). There were 35 and 125 patients documented as CV and overall mortality, respectively. Under univariable analysis, ePWV could independently predict long-term CV and overall mortality. However, after multivariable analysis, ePWV could only predict long-term CV mortality in AMI patients. CONCLUSIONS: To the best of our knowledge, our study was the first to evaluate the usefulness of ePWV in AMI patients for prediction of long-term CV and overall mortality. Our study showed ePWV was not only easy to calculate by formula, but also an independent predictor for long-term CV mortality in univariable and multivariable analyses. Therefore, ePWV was a simple and useful tool to measure arterial stiffness and to predict CV mortality outcome in AMI patients without the necessity for equipment to measure PWV.

Usefulness of Ankle-Brachial Index Calculated Using Diastolic Blood Pressure and Mean Arterial Pressure in Predicting Overall and Cardiovascular Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients.

No study has investigated the predictive ability of ankle-brachial index (ABI) calculated using diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (ABIdbp) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) (ABImap) for overall and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. Our study was aimed to investigate the issue. Two hundred and seven routine HD patients were enrolled. ABI values were measured by ABI-form device. During the follow-up period (122 months), 124 of the 207 patients (59.0%) died, and 59 deaths due to CV cause. Multivariate analysis showed that low ABIsbp, ABIdbp, and ABImap were all significantly associated with increased overall (p ≤ 0.015) and CV mortality (p ≤ 0.015) in whole study patients. A subgroup analysis after excluding 37 patients with ABIsbp < 0.9 or > 1.3 found ABIsbp and ABIsbp < 0.9 were not associated with overall and CV mortality. However, ABImap and ABIdbp < 0.87 were significantly associated with overall mortality (p ≤ 0.042). Furthermore, ABIdbp and ABIdbp < 0.87 were significantly associated with CV mortality (p ≤ 0.030). In conclusion, ABIsbp, ABIdbp, and ABImap were all useful in predicting overall and CV mortality in our HD patients. In the subgroup patients with normal ABIsbp, ABIsbp and ABIsbp < 0.9 were not useful to predict overall and CV mortality. Nevertheless, ABImap and ABIdbp < 0.87 could still predict overall mortality, and ABIdbp and ABIdbp < 0.87 could predict CV mortality. Hence, calculating ABI using DBP and MAP may provide benefit in survival prediction in HD patients, especially in the patients with normal ABIsbp.

Using CHADS2, R2CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc score for mortality prediction in patients with abnormal low and high ankle-brachial index.

Abnormal low and high ankle brachial index (ABI) is regarded as peripheral artery disease (PAD) which has extremely high morbidity and mortality. How to identify high-risk PAD patients with increased mortality is very important to improve the outcome. CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score are clinically useful scores to evaluate the annual risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, there was no literature discussing the usefulness of these scores for cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality prediction in the patients with abnormal ABI. This longitudinal study enrolled 195 patients with abnormal low (< 0.9) and high ABI (> 1.3). CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score were calculated for each patient. CV and all-cause mortality data were collected for outcome prediction. The median follow-up to mortality was 90 months. After multivariate analysis, CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score were significant predictors of CV and all-cause mortality (all P < 0.001). CHA2DS2-VASc score had a better additive predictive value than CHADS2 and R2CHADS2 score for CV mortality prediction. R2CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score had better additive predictive values than CHADS2 score for all-cause mortality prediction. In conclusion, our study is the first study to investigate the usefulness of CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc score for mortality prediction in patients with abnormal ABI. Our study showed all three scores are significant predictors for CV and all-cause mortality although there are some differences between the scores. Therefore, using the three scoring systems may help physicians to identify the high-risk PAD patients with increased mortality.

Significant association between blood lead (Pb) level and haemoglobin A1c in non-diabetic population.

Although many heavy metals are necessary for normal biological function, a subset of heavy metals have no role in human physiology, such as lead (Pb) and arsenic (As). Such elements have deleterious effects on physiology and be associated with the incidence of diabetes and related metabolic syndromes. Haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is not only a useful diagnostic and prognostic parameter in patients with diabetes, but it is also helpful in prediction of future diabetic risk in non-diabetic patients. However, no studies have evaluated the relationship between heavy metal concentration and HbA1c in non-diabetic patients. Therefore, the present study was designed to address this issue. We performed surveys for general populations living in southern Taiwan from June 2016 to September 2018. All participants received face-to-face interviews, laboratory tests, and measurements of weight and height, waist circumference, heart rate, and systolic and diastolic blood pressures. HbA1c was positively associated with Log blood Pb, after adjustments for age, body mass index, fasting blood glucose, total cholesterol, and triglyceride. Additionally, a Log 1 µg/dL increase in Pb was associated with a small (0.819 mmol/mol, 95% confidence interval = 0.072-1.566) increase in HbA1c (P = 0.032). No association with HbA1c was observed for urine nickel, chromium, manganese, As, copper, and cadmium in the multivariable analysis. In conclusion, after adjusting for important clinical parameters, Log blood Pb was positively associated with HbA1c in our non-diabetic population. This finding implies that high blood Pb might have the potential to predict future diabetic risk in non-diabetic populations. Further prospective studies are necessary to validate this issue.