Low risk pregnancies after a cesarean section: Determinants of trial of labor and its failure.

INTRODUCTION: In pregnancies after a previous cesarean section (CS), a planned repeat CS delivery has been associated with excess risk of adverse outcome. However, also the alternative, a trial of labor after CS (TOLAC), has been associated with excess risks. A TOLAC failure, involving a non-planned CS, carries the highest risk of adverse outcome and a vaginal delivery the lowest. Thus, the decision regarding delivery mode is pivotal in clinical handling of these pregnancies. However, even with a high TOLAC rate, as seen in Norway, repeat CSs are regularly performed for no apparent medical reason. The objective of the present study was to assess to which extent demographic, socioeconomic, and health system factors are determinants of TOLAC and TOLAC failure in low risk pregnancies, and whether any effects observed changed with time. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study group comprised 24 645 second deliveries (1989-2014) after a first delivery CS. Thus, none of the women had prior vaginal deliveries or more than one CS. Included pregnancies were low risk, cephalic, single, and had gestational age ≥ 37 weeks. Data were obtained from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway (MBRN). The exposure variables were (second delivery) maternal age, length of maternal education, maternal country of origin, size of the delivery unit, health region (South-East, West, Mid, North), and maternal county of residence. The outcomes were TOLAC and TOLAC failure, as rates (%), relative risk (RR) and relative risk adjusted (ARR). Changes in determinant effects over time were assessed by comparing rates in two periods, 1989-2002 vs 2003-2014, and including these periods in an interaction model. RESULTS: The TOLAC rate was 74.9%, with a TOLAC failure rate of 16.2%, resulting in a vaginal birth rate of 62.8%. Low TOLAC rates were observed at high maternal age and in women from East Asia or Latin America. High TOLAC failure rates were observed at high maternal age, in women with less than 11 years of education, and in women of non-western origin. The effects of health system factors, i.e. delivery unit size and administrative region were considerable, on both TOLAC and TOLAC failure. The effects of several determinants changed significantly (P < 0.05) from 1989-2002 to 2003-2014: The association between non-TOLAC and maternal age > 39 years became weaker, the association between short education and TOLAC failure became stronger, and the association between TOLAC failure and small size of delivery unit became stronger. CONCLUSION: Low maternal age, high education, and western country of origin were associated with high TOLAC rates, and low TOLAC failure rates. Maternity unit characteristics (size and region) contributed with effects on the same level as individual determinants studied. Temporal changes were observed in determinant effects.

Trial of labor after cesarean section in risk pregnancies: A population-based cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: In most pregnancies after a cesarean section, a trial of labor is an option. The objective of the study was to explore trial of labor and its failure in pregnancies with medical risk conditions, in a population with a high trial of labor rate. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In a cohort study (n = 57 109), using data from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway 1989-2014, women with a second delivery after a first pregnancy cesarean section were included. Preterm, multiple, and non-cephalic deliveries were excluded. The outcomes were trial of labor and failed trial of labor, assessed as rates and relative risk, using deliveries without risk conditions as reference. Temporal trends were assessed by 3-year periods. The exposures were selected medical risk conditions, ie previous offspring death, labor dystocia, diabetes, heart conditions, chronic hypertension, chronic kidney disease, rheumatoid arthritis, thyroid disease, asthma, prepregnancy psychiatric conditions, epilepsy, obesity, gestational diabetes, eclampsia and preeclampsia, gestational hypertension, major malformations, second-pregnancy psychiatric conditions, assisted reproduction, macrosomia, and small-for-gestational-age neonates. Induced onset of labor was compared with spontaneous onset of labor for each condition studied. RESULTS: In risk pregnancies (n = 31 994) the trial of labor rate was 64.9% and failure rate was 27.6%, compared with 74.6% and 16.4% in pregnancies without any of the risk conditions studied (n = 25 115). The lowest trial of labor rates were observed in diabetes type 1 (49.5%), diabetes type 2 (46.7%), maternal heart conditions (54.5%), and pregnancy-related psychiatric conditions (19.7%). The highest failure rates were observed in diabetes type 1 (43.1%), diabetes type 2 (40.3%), maternal obesity (36.9%), gestational diabetes (36.0%), and offspring macrosomia (43.0%). Induced labor was associated with failed trial of labor (P < .05), whereas after spontaneous labor, failure rates were less than 40% in all conditions studied. CONCLUSIONS: In conditions with high rates of failed trial of labor, eg diabetes, macrosomia, and obesity, a planned cesarean section might be a better option than a trial of labor, particularly if induction of delivery might be needed.

Perinatal outcome in births after a previous cesarean section at high trial of labor rates.

INTRODUCTION: Trial of labor (TOLAC) is an option in most preganancies after a cesarean section The objective of the study was to compare perinatal outcome in TOLAC and non-TOLAC deliveries in a population with high TOLAC rates. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This was a cohort study based on population data from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway. We included term, cephalic, single, second deliveries, 1989-2009, after a first cesarean section (n = 43 422). TOLAC, TOLAC failure, non-TOLAC deliveries, and after high-risk and low-risk pregnancies (no risk/any risk), were compared with respect to offspring mortality, 5-minute Apgar score Apgar < 7 and < 4, transfer to a neonatal intensive care unit, and neonatal respiratory distress syndrome. RESULTS: Statistically significant differences were observed (P <0.05). In the low-risk group the offspring mortality was 2.3/1000 in TOLAC compared with 0.9/1000 in non-TOLAC. In the high-risk group, the offspring mortality was 3.7/1000 in TOLAC compared with 0.9/1000 in non-TOLAC, and the 5-minute Apgar score < 4 was 3.1/1000 in TOLAC compared with 0.9/1000 in non-TOLAC. In both risk groups, TOLAC delivery had a higher rate of 5-minute Apgar score < 7. In the low-risk group, non-TOLAC deliveries had a higher rate of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome than TOLAC deliveries. CONCLUSIONS: We observed higher risk of offspring mortality and lower 5-minute Apgar score in TOLAC than in non-TOLAC. Possible causes and preventive measures should be explored.

Validation of data in the Medical Birth Registry of Norway on delivery after a previous cesarean section.

INTRODUCTION: Trial of labor (TOL) is an option in most deliveries after a previous cesarean section (CS). The Medical Birth Registry of Norway (MBRN) has received compulsory notification of all deliveries in the country since 1967, including data that could identify TOL in epidemiologic research. The objective of this study was to validate MBRN data for identification of TOL deliveries after a previous cesarean section (CS). MATERIAL AND METHODS: The MBRN provided a random national sample of 500 birth order two deliveries during 1989-2012 in women with a registered birth order one CS delivery. The reporting maternity units were asked to complete a questionnaire on data items in both deliveries, using hospital record data as the gold standard. RESULTS: Completed questionnaires were returned for 477 women (95.5%) with data on both deliveries. An algorithm to identify TOL using MBRN data from the birth order two delivery had a positive predictive value of 93.2%, a negative predictive value of 93.5%, a sensitivity of 96.1%, and a specificity of 88.8%. Validity of MBRN data on mode and onset of delivery, CS subtype, and planned mode of delivery is also reported. CONCLUSIONS: MBRN data on planned and actual mode of delivery, CS subtype, and the algorithm to identify TOL in deliveries after a previous CS had satisfactory quality for a registry-based study of TOL.

Norwegian midwives and doctors have increased cesarean section rates.

BACKGROUND: Increasing cesarean section (CS) rates over the last 3 decades may, in part, be explained by improved obstetric procedures, but socio-economic factors also play a major role. Much attention has been given to professionals' attitudes to operative delivery, and several studies have been performed to clarify the issue. The present study explored CS rates among Norwegian doctors and midwives, compared to other professionals with an education of 17-18 years (doctors) and 15-16 years (midwives). METHODS: Data on mode of delivery notified to the Medical Birth Registry of Norway for 1969-1998 (n=1,733,665) were linked with data on formal education from Statistics Norway. CS rates and crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for the observation period. RESULTS: Female doctors and midwives had higher CS rates; the crude ORs were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.12-1.28) for doctors, and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.21-1.49) for midwives. Adjusted for age and birth order, the ORs were 1.22 (95% CI: 1.12-1.33) for doctors and 1.14 (95% CI: 1.03-1.27) for midwives. CONCLUSION: From 1969 to 1998, Norwegian female doctors and midwives had higher CS rates than other professionals with an education of comparable duration.