Cost of SARS-CoV-2 self-test distribution programmes by different modalities: a micro-costing study in five countries (Brazil, Georgia, Malaysia, Ethiopia and the Philippines).

OBJECTIVE: Diagnostic testing is an important tool to combat the COVID-19 pandemic, yet access to and uptake of testing vary widely 3 years into the pandemic. The WHO recommends the use of COVID-19 self-testing as an option to help expand testing access. We aimed to calculate the cost of providing COVID-19 self-testing across countries and distribution modalities. DESIGN: We estimated economic costs from the provider perspective to calculate the total cost and the cost per self-test kit distributed for three scenarios that differed by costing period (pilot, annual), the number of tests distributed (actual, planned, scaled assuming an epidemic peak) and self-test kit costs (pilot purchase price, 50% reduction). SETTING: We used data collected between August and December 2022 in Brazil, Georgia, Malaysia, Ethiopia and the Philippines from pilot implementation studies designed to provide COVID-19 self-tests in a variety of settings-namely, workplace and healthcare facilities. RESULTS: Across all five countries, 173 000 kits were distributed during pilot implementation with the cost/test distributed ranging from $2.44 to $12.78. The cost/self-test kit distributed was lowest in the scenario that assumed implementation over a longer period (year), with higher test demand (peak) and a test kit price reduction of 50% ($1.04-3.07). Across all countries and scenarios, test procurement occupied the greatest proportion of costs: 58-87% for countries with off-site self-testing (outside the workplace, for example, home) and 15-50% for countries with on-site self-testing (at the workplace). Staffing was the next key cost driver, particularly for distribution modalities that had on-site self-testing (29-35%) versus off-site self-testing (7-27%). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that it is likely to cost between $2.44 and $12.78 per test to distribute COVID-19 self-tests across common settings in five heterogeneous countries. Cost-effectiveness analyses using these results will allow policymakers to make informed decisions on optimally scaling up COVID-19 self-test distribution programmes across diverse settings and evolving needs.

Comparison of statistical methods for the early detection of disease outbreaks in small population settings.

Objectives: This study examines the performance of 6 aberration detection algorithms for the early detection of disease outbreaks in small population settings using syndrome-based early warning surveillance data collected by the Pacific Syndromic Surveillance System (PSSS). Although previous studies have proposed statistical methods for detecting aberrations in larger datasets, there is limited knowledge about how these perform in the presence of small numbers of background cases. Methods: To address this gap a simulation model was developed to test and compare the performance of the 6 algorithms in detecting outbreaks of different magnitudes, durations, and case distributions. Results: The study found that while the Early Aberration Reporting System-C1 algorithm developed by Hutwagner et al. outperformed others, no single approach provided reliable monitoring across all outbreak types. Furthermore, aberration detection approaches could only detect very large and acute outbreaks with any reliability. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that algorithm-based approaches to outbreak signal detection perform poorly when applied to settings with small numbers of background cases and should not be relied upon in these contexts. This highlights the need for alternative approaches for accurate and timely outbreak detection in small population settings, particularly those that are resource-constrained.

Budget Impact Analysis of Utilization of Sacubitril/Valsartan for the Treatment of Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction in the Philippines.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to estimate the financial and economic impact of sacubitril/valsartan compared with enalapril for the treatment and prevention of hospitalization/rehospitalization because of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). METHODS: The budget impact analysis was guided by the Philippine Reference Case and ISPOR's Principles of Good Practice for Budget Impact Analysis. A government-funded healthcare payer perspective and a societal perspective were considered. Data collection was guided by the pathways of disease progression and care. Collection of costing data followed a bottom-up approach. The model was based on a Markov model used in a study in Thailand. RESULTS: Over the next 5 years, there will be 17 625 less hospitalizations (∼5.1% less than enalapril arm) and 7968 less cardiovascular-related deaths (∼7.0% less than enalapril arm). In 5 years, the total cost of treating patients with HFrEF with sacubitril/valsartan at current market coverage and annual growth conditions is ₱15.430 billion, which is ₱11.077 billion higher than fully treating with enalapril only. The total required additional investment with treatment of sacubitril/valsartan compared with the full enalapril arm are ₱407 million (at 30-day coverage), ₱800 million (at 60-day coverage), and ₱1.181 billion (at 90-day coverage). If hospitalizations costs alone are considered, only the 30-day coverage is cost-saving. If a societal perspective is considered, all options are cost-saving where at least ₱4.003 billion is saved by the economy. CONCLUSION: The initial investment required to treat patients with HFrEF with sacubitril/valsartan is high; nevertheless, the year-on-year cost deficit shrinks in favor of investing in sacubitril/valsartan treatment.

Changes in Iron Availability with Roxadustat in Nondialysis- and Dialysis-Dependent Patients with Anemia of CKD.

Background: Roxadustat, a hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor, increases hemoglobin by stimulating erythropoietin synthesis and improving iron availability through facilitation of iron uptake and/or release from stores. In this exploratory analysis, we assessed the effect of roxadustat treatment on laboratory parameters related to iron metabolism in patients with anemia of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: Data were pooled from pivotal, randomized, phase 3 roxadustat trials: three placebo-controlled, double-blind trials in nondialysis-dependent (NDD) CKD and three open-label, active-comparator (epoetin alfa) trials in dialysis-dependent (DD) CKD. In this exploratory analysis, mean changes from baseline in hemoglobin, iron parameters, and hepcidin, and intravenous (iv) iron use were evaluated. Pooled results in NDD CKD and DD CKD patients are reported. Results: Overall, 4277 patients with NDD CKD and 3890 patients with DD CKD were evaluated. Hemoglobin increases with roxadustat treatment were accompanied by increases in serum iron and total iron-binding capacity (TIBC) and decreases in serum ferritin and hepcidin from baseline through week 52. With epoetin alfa, the hemoglobin increase was accompanied by decreases in serum ferritin and hepcidin, but serum iron decreased, and there was no change in TIBC. With placebo, there were no changes in hemoglobin, iron parameters, or hepcidin. During treatment, iv iron use was reduced with roxadustat versus placebo and epoetin alfa. Conclusions: In patients with NDD CKD and DD CKD, roxadustat treatment is associated with increases in serum iron and TIBC, accompanied by reduced hepcidin and indicative of improved iron kinetics. Patients treated with roxadustat achieved target hemoglobin levels with less iv iron use versus comparators. Practitioners treating patients with anemia of CKD with roxadustat should consider its unique effects when interpreting iron parameters.

Returning to the emergency department: a retrospective analysis of mental health re-presentations among young people in New South Wales, Australia.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to describe mental health emergency department (ED) presentations among young people aged 8-26 years in New South Wales, Australia, and to identify key characteristics associated with higher risk of ED mental health re-presentation. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective analysis of linked ED data records for mental health presentations between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome was the total number of mental health ED re-presentations within 1 year, following initial presentation. Count regression models were fitted to estimate factors associated with higher likelihood of re-presentations. RESULTS: Forty thousand two hundred and ninety patients were included in the analyses, and 9713 (~25%) re-presented during the following year; 1831 (20%) presented at least three times. On average, patients re-presented 0.61 times per 365 person-days, with average time until first re-presentation of ~92 days but greatest risk of re-presentation within first 30-60 days. Young people with self-harm or suicidal diagnoses at initial presentation were more likely to re-present. Re-presentations were highest among young people <15 years (IRR 1.18 vs ≥20 years old), female (IRR=1.13 vs male), young people residing outside of major cities (IRR 1.08 vs major cities) and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander young people (IRR 1.27 vs non-Indigenous). CONCLUSIONS: ED mental health re-presentation is high among young people. We demonstrate factors associated with re-presentation that EDs could target for timely, high-quality care that is youth friendly and culturally safe, with appropriate referral pathways into community-based primary and mental healthcare services.

Sex differences in sepsis hospitalisations and outcomes in older women and men: A prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: To examine the association of sex with hospitalisation due to sepsis and related outcomes. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of 264,678 adults, average age 62.7 years at recruitment (2006-2009) in Australia. Participants were followed for sepsis hospitalisation identified using the International Classification of Diseases coding. Outcomes included sex differences in the risk of an incident sepsis hospitalisation, mortality, length of ICU and hospital stay and readmissions during the following year. RESULTS: Over 2,070,343 years of follow-up there were 12,912 sepsis hospitalisations, 59.6% in men. Age-standardised risk of hospitalisation was higher in men versus women (10.37 vs 6.77 per 1,000 person years; age-adjusted HR 1.58; 95% CI 1.53-1.59) and did not attenuate after adjusting for sociodemographics, health behaviours and co-morbidities. Relative risks were similar for sepsis-related ICU admissions (adjusted HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.57-1.88). Death at one year was more common in men than women (39.3% vs 33.7% p<0.001). After adjusting for age, men had a longer hospital (12.0 vs 11.2 days; p<0.001) and ICU (6.5 vs 5.8 days; p<0.001) stays and were more likely to be readmitted to hospital for sepsis (22.3 vs 19.4%; p<0.001) or any reason (73.0% vs 70.7%; p<0.001) at one year. CONCLUSION: In older adults, compared to women, men are at an increased risk of sepsis hospitalisation, sepsis-related ICU admission, death and readmission to hospital within one year after a sepsis hospitalisation. Understanding these sex differences and their mechanisms may offer opportunities for better prevention and management and improved patient outcomes.

Retraction notice to "Pooled Analysis of Roxadustat for Anemia in Patients With Kidney Failure Incident to Dialysis." Kidney Int Rep. 2021;6:613-623.

[This retracts the article DOI: 10.1016/j.ekir.2020.12.018.].

Roxadustat for the treatment of anemia in patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndrome: Open-label, dose-selection, lead-in stage of a phase 3 study.

Anemia is the predominant cytopenia in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and treatment options are limited. Roxadustat is a hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor approved for the treatment of anemia of chronic kidney disease in the UK, EU, China, Japan, South Korea, and Chile. MATTERHORN is a phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study to assess the efficacy and safety of roxadustat in anemia of lower risk-MDS. Eligible patients had baseline serum erythropoietin ≤ 400 mIU/mL, and a low packed RBC transfusion burden. In this open-label (OL), dose-selection, lead-in phase, enrolled patients were assigned to 1 of 3 roxadustat starting doses (n = 8 each): 1.5, 2.0, and 2.5 mg/kg. The primary efficacy endpoint of the OL phase was the proportion of patients with transfusion independence (TI) for ≥ 8 consecutive weeks in the first 28 treatment weeks. A secondary efficacy endpoint was the proportion of patients with a ≥ 50% reduction in RBC transfusions over an 8-week period compared with baseline. Adverse events were monitored. Patients were followed for 52 weeks. Of the 24 treated patients, TI was achieved in 9 patients (37.5%) at 28 and 52 weeks; 7 of these patients were receiving 2.5 mg/kg dose when TI was achieved. A ≥ 50% reduction in RBC transfusions was achieved in 54.2% and 58.3% of patients at 28 and 52 weeks, respectively. Oral roxadustat dosed thrice weekly was well tolerated. There were no fatalities or progression to acute myeloid leukemia. Based on these outcomes, 2.5 mg/kg was the chosen starting roxadustat dose for the ongoing double-blind study phase.

Efficacy and Cardiovascular Safety of Roxadustat for Treatment of Anemia in Patients with Non-Dialysis-Dependent CKD: Pooled Results of Three Randomized Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the efficacy and cardiovascular safety of roxadustat versus placebo by analyzing data pooled from three phase 3 studies of roxadustat in patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD and CKD-related anemia. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: In the three phase 3, double-blind studies of roxadustat versus placebo evaluating the treatment of CKD-related anemia in patients not requiring dialysis, the primary efficacy end point was mean change from baseline in hemoglobin averaged over weeks 28-52, regardless of rescue therapy. The primary cardiovascular safety end point was a composite measure of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke). MACE plus (MACE+; MACE plus unstable angina and heart failure requiring hospitalization) and all-cause mortality were key secondary safety end points. These safety end points were adjudicated. RESULTS: A total of 4277 patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD were randomized (roxadustat, n=2391; placebo, n=1886). Baseline characteristics were comparable between groups; the mean (SD) hemoglobin was 9.1 (0.7) g/dl and mean eGFR was 20 (12) ml/min per 1.73 m2. Patients treated with roxadustat versus those treated with placebo showed a mean change from baseline in hemoglobin averaged over weeks 28-52, regardless of rescue therapy, of 1.9 versus 0.2 g/dl, a treatment difference of 1.7 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.7 to 1.8). Roxadustat reduced the need for red blood cell transfusion in the first 52 weeks versus placebo (6.1 versus 20.4 per 100 patient-exposure years, respectively; hazard ratio [HR], 0.26; 95% CI, 0.21 to 0.32). There were no increased risks of MACE (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.27), MACE+ (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.94 to 1.21), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.26), or individual MACE+ components in patients treated with roxadustat versus those treated with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: Roxadustat was more effective than placebo at increasing hemoglobin in patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD and anemia, while decreasing transfusion rate and being noninferior to placebo with respect to risk of MACE. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER: A Study of FG-4592 for the Treatment of Anemia in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients Not Receiving Dialysis, NCT01750190; Roxadustat in the Treatment of Anemia in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients Not Requiring Dialysis (ALPS), NCT01887600; Safety and Efficacy Study of Roxadustat to Treat Anemia in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD), Not on Dialysis, NCT02174627.

A Randomized Trial of Roxadustat in Anemia of Kidney Failure: SIERRAS Study.

INTRODUCTION: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, standard of care for anemia of end-stage kidney disease, are associated with cardiovascular events. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of roxadustat, an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor that stimulates erythropoiesis. METHODS: SIERRAS was a phase 3, randomized, open-label, active-controlled study enrolled adults on dialysis for end-stage kidney disease receiving erythropoiesis-stimulating agents for anemia. Patients were randomized (1:1) to thrice-weekly roxadustat or epoetin alfa. Doses were based on previous epoetin alfa dose and adjusted in the roxadustat arm to maintain hemoglobin at ∼11 g/dl during treatment. Epoetin alfa dosing was adjusted per US package insert. Primary efficacy endpoint was mean hemoglobin (g/dl) change from baseline averaged over weeks 28 to 52. Treatment-emergent adverse events were monitored. RESULTS: Enrolled patients (roxadustat, n = 370 and epoetin alfa, n = 371) had similar mean (SD) baseline hemoglobin levels (10.30 [0.66] g/dl). Mean (SD) hemoglobin changes for weeks 28 to 52 were 0.39 (0.93) and -0.09 (0.84) in roxadustat and epoetin alfa, respectively. Roxadustat was noninferior (least squares mean difference: 0.48 [95% confidence interval: 0.37, 0.59]; P < 0.001) to epoetin alfa. Tolerability was comparable between treatments. CONCLUSION: In end-stage kidney disease, roxadustat was noninferior to epoetin alfa in up to 52 weeks of treatment in this erythropoietin-stimulating agent conversion study. Roxadustat had an acceptable tolerability profile.

Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 initially caused less severe outbreaks in many low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) compared with many high-income countries, possibly because of differing demographics, socioeconomics, surveillance, and policy responses. Here, we investigate the role of multiple factors on COVID-19 dynamics in the Philippines, a LMIC that has had a relatively severe COVID-19 outbreak. METHODS: We applied an age-structured compartmental model that incorporated time-varying mobility, testing, and personal protective behaviors (through a "Minimum Health Standards" policy, MHS) to represent the first wave of the Philippines COVID-19 epidemic nationally and for three highly affected regions (Calabarzon, Central Visayas, and the National Capital Region). We estimated effects of control measures, key epidemiological parameters, and interventions. FINDINGS: Population age structure, contact rates, mobility, testing, and MHS were sufficient to explain the Philippines epidemic based on the good fit between modelled and reported cases, hospitalisations, and deaths. The model indicated that MHS reduced the probability of transmission per contact by 13-27%. The February 2021 case detection rate was estimated at ~8%, population recovered at ~9%, and scenario projections indicated high sensitivity to MHS adherence. INTERPRETATION: COVID-19 dynamics in the Philippines are driven by age, contact structure, mobility, and MHS adherence. Continued compliance with low-cost MHS should help the Philippines control the epidemic until vaccines are widely distributed, but disease resurgence may be occurring due to a combination of low population immunity and detection rates and new variants of concern.

Estimating pertussis incidence in general practice using a large Australian primary care database.

BACKGROUND: While pertussis is notifiable in most countries, notifications typically underestimate the true pertussis burden. We explored the incidence of pertussis in general practice in Australia. METHODS: Using MedicineInsight, a large longitudinal electronic medical record database of general practice (primary care) encounters which includes >1.5 million patients, we first defined a cohort of active patients and then used free-text search algorithms to identify patients with pertussis-related encounters. We defined and identified pertussis-related encounters in four patient categories: pertussis-associated (category 1), potential pertussis (category 2), epidemiologically-linked pertussis (category 3), and symptoms consistent with pertussis (category 4). Incident pertussis-related encounter rates per 100,000 active patients were calculated from Jan 2008 to Aug 2015. RESULTS: Estimated mean annual pertussis incidence increased as definitions were expanded, from 94.3 (category 1 patients only) to 148.8 (categories 1+2+3 patients combined) per 100,000 active patients per year. Monthly time-series corresponding to the first three categories were highly correlated (Pearson's r > 90% for each pair), but each was poorly correlated with category 4. For categories 1+2+3, the highest incidence was among 0-4 and 5-9 year olds. Incidence was 30% higher in females than males (i.e. 184.5 vs 139.8 per 100,00 active patients for categories 1-3 patients combined). Pertussis-associated incidence (category 1) was similar to national pertussis notification rates. Categories 2 and 3 added 25% and 33%, respectively, on average relative to category 1 incidence. The estimated incidence from categories 1+2+3 together were on average 64% higher than national pertussis notification rates. CONCLUSION: We provide comprehensive estimates of pertussis-related incidence in general practice (primary care), well in excess of notified pertussis incidence in Australia. This highlights the utility of MedicineInsight data in providing a greater understanding of the burden of medically-attended pertussis infections.

Rotavirus Vaccination Likely to Be Cost Saving to Society in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Following the introduction of rotavirus immunization in 2006 in the United States, there were substantial declines in the domestic rotavirus disease burden. In this study, we assess the value for money achieved by the program in the decade following vaccine introduction. METHODS: We applied an age-specific, static, multicohort compartmental model to examine the impact and cost-effectiveness of the US rotavirus immunization program in children <5 years of age using healthcare utilization data from 2001 to 2015 inclusive. We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained from both a healthcare system and societal perspective. RESULTS: Declines in healthcare use associated with the rotavirus and acute gastroenteritis occurred from 2006 and continued to grow before stabilizing from 2010 through 2011. From 2011 to 2015, an estimated annual average of approximately 118 000 hospitalizations, 86 000 emergency department presentations, and 460 000 outpatient and physician office visits were prevented. From a societal perspective during this same period, the program was estimated to be cost saving in the base case model and in >90% of probabilistic sensitivity analysis simulations and from a healthcare system perspective >98% of simulations found an ICER below $100 000 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: After the program stabilized, we found the rotavirus immunization in the United States was likely to have been cost saving to society. The greater than expected healthcare and productivity savings reflect the success of the rotavirus immunization program in the United States.

Pooled Analysis of Roxadustat for Anemia in Patients With Kidney Failure Incident to Dialysis.

INTRODUCTION: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents are associated with increased cardiovascular risk when higher doses are used toward higher hematocrit targets. Patients new to dialysis are at higher risk for morbidity and mortality. Systematic evaluation of this population was predefined in the roxadustat clinical development program. Roxadustat is a hypoxia-inducible prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor. METHODS: Data were pooled from 3 phase 3, randomized, open-label, active-controlled trials. Eligible adults had kidney failure and initiated dialysis for 2 weeks to ≤ 4 months prior to randomization to roxadustat or epoetin alfa. Efficacy was assessed as mean change in hemoglobin from baseline averaged over weeks 28 to 52, regardless of rescue therapy. Key cardiovascular safety endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; all-cause mortality [ACM], myocardial infarction, and stroke), and MACE+ (MACE plus unstable angina or congestive heart failure requiring hospitalization), and ACM. RESULTS: This study included 1530 patients with kidney failure incident to dialysis. Mean (SD) changes in hemoglobin from baseline averaged over weeks 28 to 52, regardless of rescue therapy, were 2.12 (1.45) versus 1.91 (1.42) g/dl in the roxadustat and epoetin alfa groups (least-squares mean difference: 0.22; 95% CI, 0.05 to 0.40; P = 0.0130). Risks of MACE and MACE+ were lower in the roxadustat group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.96) than the epoetin alfa group (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.89); the HR for ACM was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.52 to 1.11). CONCLUSION: Roxadustat was at least as efficacious as epoetin alfa. Roxadustat had a lower risk of MACE/MACE+ in patients new to dialysis.

Roxadustat for CKD-related Anemia in Non-dialysis Patients.

INTRODUCTION: Roxadustat is an oral hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor that stimulates erythropoiesis and improves iron metabolism. We assessed the efficacy and tolerability of roxadustat in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD)-related anemia not on dialysis. METHODS: ANDES was a global Phase 3 randomized study in which adults with stage 3-5 CKD not on dialysis received roxadustat or placebo. Patients were initially dosed thrice weekly; dose was titrated to achieve a hemoglobin level ≥11.0 g/dl, followed by titration for maintenance. The primary endpoints were change in hemoglobin (weeks 28-52) and proportion of patients achieving a hemoglobin response (hemoglobin ≥11.0 g/dl and increase ≥1.0 g/dl [baseline >8.0 g/dl], or increase ≥2.0 g/dl [baseline ≤8.0 g/dl]) (week 24). Treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) and serious adverse events (TESAEs) were recorded. RESULTS: In roxadustat (n = 616) and placebo (n = 306) groups, hemoglobin mean (SD) change from baseline over weeks 28-52 was significantly larger for roxadustat (2.00 [0.95]) versus placebo (0.16 [0.90]), corresponding to least-squares mean difference of 1.85 g/dl (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.74-1.97; P < 0.0001). The proportion of patients achieving a response at week 24 was larger for roxadustat (86.0%; 95% CI 83.0%-88.7%) versus placebo (6.6%; 95% CI 4.1%-9.9%; P < 0.0001). The proportion of patients receiving rescue therapy at week 52 was smaller for roxadustat (8.9%) versus placebo (28.9%); hazard ratio, 0.19 (95% CI 0.14-0.28; P < .0001). The incidences of TEAEs and TESAEs were comparable. CONCLUSION: This study showed that roxadustat corrected and maintained hemoglobin and was well tolerated in patients with CKD-related anemia not on dialysis (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01750190).

Roxadustat for anemia in patients with end-stage renal disease incident to dialysis.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the efficacy and safety of roxadustat versus epoetin alfa for the treatment of chronic kidney disease-related anemia in patients new to dialysis. METHODS: HIMALAYAS was a Phase 3, open-label, epoetin alfa-controlled trial. Eligible adults were incident to hemodialysis/peritoneal dialysis for 2 weeks to ≤4 months prior to randomization and had mean hemoglobin (Hb) ≤10.0 g/dL. Primary endpoints were mean Hb (g/dL) change from baseline averaged over Weeks 28-52 regardless of rescue therapy [non-inferiority criterion: lower limit of 95% confidence interval (CI) for treatment difference >-0.75] and percentage of patients achieving an Hb response between Weeks 1 and 24 censored for rescue therapy (non-inferiority margin for between-group difference -15%). Adverse events were monitored. RESULTS: The intent-to-treat population included patients randomized to roxadustat (n = 522) or epoetin alfa (n = 521). Mean (standard deviation) Hb changes from baseline averaged over Weeks 28-52 were 2.57 (1.27) and 2.36 (1.21) in the roxadustat and epoetin alfa groups. Roxadustat was non-inferior [least squares mean difference: 0.18 (95% CI 0.08, 0.29)] to epoetin alfa. Percentages of patients with an Hb response were 88.2% and 84.4% in the roxadustat and epoetin alfa groups, respectively. Roxadustat was non-inferior to epoetin alfa [treatment-group difference 3.5% (95% CI -0.7%, 7.7%)]. Adverse event rates were comparable between treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: Roxadustat was efficacious for correcting and maintaining Hb levels compared with epoetin alfa. Roxadustat had an acceptable safety profile.

Vaccine coverage in children born to migrant mothers in Australia: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Overall, infant immunisation coverage is currently >90% in Australia, but there are pockets of under-immunised children including children from migrant backgrounds. This study aimed to examine whether on-time vaccination coverage of diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis dose 3 (DTP3) for children born in Australia differed by mother's region of birth and if so, what factors were associated with these differences. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study using linked data on perinatal, immunisation and birth records for 2 million children born in Western Australia and New South Wales between 1996 and 2012. We assessed on-time coverage of DTP3 (vaccination from 2 weeks prior to, and up until 30 days after, the due date) in children with mothers born overseas. Logistic regression models were developed to determine factors associated with on-time coverage for each maternal region of birth and all regions combined, adjusting for a range of demographic factors. Adjusted estimates of coverage were calculated for the different regions of birth. RESULTS: On-time DTP3 coverage was 76.2% in children of Australian born mothers, lower in children of mothers from Oceania (66.7%) and North America (68%), and higher in children born to mothers from South-East Asia (79.9%) and Southern Asia (79.3%). While most variables were consistently associated with lower coverage in all regions of birth, higher socioeconomic status and jurisdiction of birth showed varied results. Adjusted estimates of DTP3 coverage increased in children born to mothers from Australia (78.3%), Oceania (70.5%), Northern Africa (81.5%) and the Middle East (79.6%). DTP3 coverage decreased in children born to mothers from Europe and former USSR (74.6%), North-east Asia (75.2%), Southern Asia (76.7%), North America (65.5) and South/Central America and the Caribbean (73.2%). CONCLUSIONS: On-time vaccination rates differed by mother's region of birth. More research is needed to determine the main reasons for these remaining differences to improve vaccine uptake and also help guide policy and practice.

Incidence and outcomes of sepsis in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous residents of New South Wales: population-based cohort study.

Objective: To estimate the incidence and outcomes of sepsis hospitalisations in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous residents of New South Wales. Design and participants: Prospective cohort study of residents aged 45 years and older, recruited between 2006 and 2009, and followed for hospitalisation for sepsis. Main outcome measures: Incidence and hazard ratio (HR) of sepsis hospitalisation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission identified using International Classification of Diseases (10th revision) coding on discharge data. Length of stay, readmission and mortality in those admitted for sepsis. Results: Of 264 678 participants, 1928 (0.7%) identified as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Sepsis hospitalisation was higher in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander participants (8.67 v 6.12 per 1000 person-years; age- and sex-adjusted HR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.98-2.80) but was attenuated after adjusting for sociodemographic factors, health behaviour and comorbidities (adjusted HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.31-1.86). Among those hospitalised for sepsis, after adjusting for age and sex, there were no differences between the proportions of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous participants admitted to an ICU (18.0% v 16.1%; P = 0.42) or deceased at 1 year (36.1% v 36.8%; P = 0.92). Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander participants had shorter lengths of hospital stay (9.98 v 11.72 days; P < 0.001) and ICU stay (4.38 v 6.35 days; P < 0.001) than non-Indigenous participants. Overall, more than 70% of participants were readmitted to hospital within 1 year. Conclusion: We found that the rate of sepsis hospitalisation in NSW was higher for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander adults. Culturally appropriate, community-led strategies targeting chronic disease prevention and the social determinants of health may reduce this gap. Preventing readmission following sepsis is a priority for all Australians.

High healthcare resource utilisation due to pertussis in Australian adults aged 65 years and over.

BACKGROUND: In the context of co-morbid illness and increasing age, data on excess morbidity from pertussis in older adults is crucial for immunisation policy but has been largely limited to case-series. METHODS: We designed a matched case-control study nested within a population-based cohort of 267,153 adults aged ≥45 years in New South Wales, Australia (The 45 and Up Study cohort). Excess hospital bed days, emergency department (ED) admissions, general practitioner (GP) visits, and prescriptions were estimated using negative binomial regression models. An additional self-controlled analysis was also conducted to validate the main models, and to evaluate results for those with either asthma or a body mass index (BMI)≥30 compared to those without these risk factors. RESULTS: Based on 524 pairs of PCR-confirmed pertussis cases and matched controls, we estimated an excess healthcare utilisation per case of 2.5 prescriptions (95% CI: 0.2-4.7), of which 1.1 (95% CI: 0.5-2.2) were antibiotics, 2.3 GP visits (95% CI: 2.0-2.6), and 0.1 ED admissions (95% CI: 0.1-0.2). Compared to those 45-64 years, cases ≥65 years had a significantly greater excess for all prescriptions (1.1 vs 4.7/case), antibiotic prescriptions (0.1 vs 2.2/case), and ED admissions (0.1 vs 0.2/case), but no significant excess of respiratory-related hospital bed days. An additional self-controlled analysis confirmed that cases with either asthma or BMI≥30 had higher overall healthcare utilisation but this was not associated with pertussis infection. CONCLUSION: We found a substantial excess outpatient healthcare burden among adults aged 65 years and over with PCR-confirmed pertussis, supporting further evaluation of preventive measures.

Roxadustat for Anemia in Patients with Kidney Disease Not Receiving Dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Roxadustat (FG-4592) is an oral inhibitor of hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) prolyl hydroxylase that stimulates erythropoiesis and regulates iron metabolism. In phase 2 studies involving patients with chronic kidney disease, roxadustat increased levels of endogenous erythropoietin to within or near the physiologic range, along with increasing hemoglobin levels and improving iron homeostasis. Additional data are needed regarding the efficacy and safety of roxadustat for the treatment of anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease who are not undergoing dialysis. METHODS: In this phase 3 trial conducted at 29 sites in China, we randomly assigned 154 patients with chronic kidney disease in a 2:1 ratio to receive roxadustat or placebo three times a week for 8 weeks in a double-blind manner. All the patients had a hemoglobin level of 7.0 to 10.0 g per deciliter at baseline. The randomized phase of the trial was followed by an 18-week open-label period in which all the patients received roxadustat; parenteral iron was withheld. The primary end point was the mean change from baseline in the hemoglobin level, averaged over weeks 7 through 9. RESULTS: During the primary-analysis period, the mean (±SD) change from baseline in the hemoglobin level was an increase of 1.9±1.2 g per deciliter in the roxadustat group and a decrease of 0.4±0.8 g per deciliter in the placebo group (P<0.001). The mean reduction from baseline in the hepcidin level (associated with greater iron availability) was 56.14±63.40 ng per milliliter in the roxadustat group and 15.10±48.06 ng per milliliter in the placebo group. The reduction from baseline in the total cholesterol level was 40.6 mg per deciliter in the roxadustat group and 7.7 mg per deciliter in the placebo group. Hyperkalemia and metabolic acidosis occurred more frequently in the roxadustat group than in the placebo group. The efficacy of roxadustat in hemoglobin correction and maintenance was maintained during the 18-week open-label period. CONCLUSIONS: In Chinese patients with chronic kidney disease who were not undergoing dialysis, those in the roxadustat group had a higher mean hemoglobin level than those in the placebo group after 8 weeks. During the 18-week open-label phase of the trial, roxadustat was associated with continued efficacy. (Funded by FibroGen and FibroGen [China] Medical Technology Development; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02652819.).