Growth differentiation factor-15 in patients with or at risk of heart failure but before first hospitalisation.

OBJECTIVE: Identification of patients at risk of adverse outcome from heart failure (HF) at an early stage is a priority. Growth differentiation factor (GDF)-15 has emerged as a potentially useful biomarker. This study sought to identify determinants of circulating GDF-15 and evaluate its prognostic value, in patients at risk of HF or with HF but before first hospitalisation. METHODS: Prospective, longitudinal cohort study of 2166 consecutive patients in stage A-C HF undergoing cardiovascular magnetic resonance and measurement of GDF-15. Multivariable linear regression investigated determinants of GDF-15. Cox proportional hazards modelling, Net Reclassification Improvement and decision curve analysis examined its incremental prognostic value. Primary outcome was a composite of first hospitalisation for HF or all-cause mortality. Median follow-up was 1093 (939-1231) days. RESULTS: Major determinants of GDF-15 were age, diabetes and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, although despite extensive phenotyping, only around half of the variability of GDF-15 could be explained (R2 0.51). Log-transformed GDF-15 was the strongest predictor of outcome (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.71 to 2.63) and resulted in a risk prediction model with higher predictive accuracy (continuous Net Reclassification Improvement 0.26; 95% CI 0.13 to 0.39) and with greater clinical net benefit across the entire range of threshold probabilities. CONCLUSION: In patients at risk of HF, or with HF but before first hospitalisation, GDF-15 provides unique information and is highly predictive of hospitalisation for HF or all-cause mortality, leading to more accurate risk stratification that can improve clinical decision making. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02326324.

Treatment Adherence in a Randomized Controlled Trial of Pirfenidone in HFpEF: Determinants and Impact on Efficacy.

OBJECTIVES: Medication adherence in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is unclear. This study sought to evaluate treatment adherence in the Pirfenidone in Patients with Heart Failure and Preserved Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (PIROUETTE) trial. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adherence was evaluated through pill counts and diary cards. Univariable and multivariable regression models were used to assess the relationship between adherence and baseline characteristics. Instrumental variable regression was used to estimate the causal effect of pirfenidone treatment duration on myocardial fibrosis. Complete adherence data were available in 54 of 80 participants completing the trial. Mean adherence to study medication was 94.7% and 96.9% in the pirfenidone and placebo groups, respectively. Each additional day of treatment with pirfenidone resulted in a significant decrease in myocardial extracellular volume (-0.004%; 95% confidence interval: -0.007% to -0.001%; P = 0.007). Associations with adherence included older age, higher symptom burden, lower body weight, and smaller right ventricular size. CONCLUSION: Adherence to study medication in the PIROUETTE trial was very high among patients for whom complete adherence data were available. Importantly, each additional day of treatment reduced myocardial fibrosis. Potential predictors of adherence were identified. Implementation of improved methods for assessing adherence is required.

Impact of Myocardial Fibrosis on Cardiovascular Structure, Function and Functional Status in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Myocardial fibrosis, measured using cardiovascular magnetic resonance extracellular volume (ECV), is associated with adverse outcome in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, but the mechanisms by which myocardial fibrosis exerts this deleterious effect are unclear. We performed mediation analyses of data from the Pirfenidone in Patients with Heart Failure and Preserved Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (PIROUETTE) trial to determine whether myocardial fibrotic regression causes changes in cardiovascular function and functional status following antifibrotic therapy. Regression of myocardial fibrosis correlated with improvements in 6-min walk test and KCCQ clinical summary score. The only outcome variable that demonstrated a treatment effect was an increase in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). The estimated average causal mediation effects of myocardial ECV, absolute myocardial extracellular matrix volume and absolute myocardial cellular volume on LVEF were 6.1%, 21.5% and 13.7%, respectively, none of which was significant and therefore not mediated by myocardial fibrosis. (PIROUETTE; NCT02932566).

Characteristics Associated With Growth Differentiation Factor 15 in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction and the Impact of Pirfenidone.

Background Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is elevated in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and is associated with adverse outcome, but its relationship with myocardial fibrosis and other characteristics remains unclear. We sought to evaluate the effect of pirfenidone, a novel antifibrotic agent, on GDF-15 in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and identify characteristics that associate with GDF-15 and with change in GDF-15 over 1 year. Methods and Results Among patients enrolled (n=107) in the PIROUETTE (Pirfenidone in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction) trial, GDF-15 was measured at baseline and at prespecified time points in patients randomized (n=94) to pirfenidone or placebo. The response of GDF-15 to pirfenidone and the association with baseline patient characteristics were evaluated. Pirfenidone had no impact on circulating GDF-15 at any time point during the 52-week trial period. In multivariable analysis, male sex, diabetes, higher circulating levels of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, lower renal function, and shorter 6-minute walk test distance at baseline were associated with baseline log-GDF-15. Impaired global longitudinal strain at baseline was the strongest predictor of increased GDF-15 over 52 weeks. Conclusions In patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, circulating levels of GDF-15 were unaffected by treatment with pirfenidone and do not appear to be determined by myocardial fibrosis. Circulating GDF-15 was associated with a spectrum of important heart failure characteristics and it may represent a marker of overall physiological disruption. Registration URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02932566; Unique identifier: NCT02932566.

Predicting hospitalisation for heart failure and death in patients with, or at risk of, heart failure before first hospitalisation: a retrospective model development and external validation study.

BACKGROUND: Identifying people who are at risk of being admitted to hospital (hospitalised) for heart failure and death, and particularly those who have not previously been hospitalised for heart failure, is a priority. We aimed to develop and externally validate a prognostic model involving contemporary deep phenotyping that can be used to generate individual risk estimates of hospitalisation for heart failure or all-cause mortality in patients with, or at risk of, heart failure, but who have not previously been hospitalised for heart failure. METHODS: Between June 1, 2016, and May 31, 2018, 3019 consecutive adult patients (aged ≥16 years) undergoing cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) at Manchester University National Health Service Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK, were prospectively recruited into a model development cohort. Candidate predictor variables were selected according to clinical practice and literature review. Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to develop a prognostic model. The final model was validated in an external cohort of 1242 consecutive adult patients undergoing CMR at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, between June 1, 2010, and March 25, 2016. Exclusion criteria for both cohorts included previous hospitalisation for heart failure. Our study outcome was a composite of first hospitalisation for heart failure or all-cause mortality after CMR. Model performance was evaluated in both cohorts by discrimination (Harrell's C-index) and calibration (assessed graphically). FINDINGS: Median follow-up durations were 1118 days (IQR 950-1324) for the development cohort and 2117 days (1685-2446) for the validation cohort. The composite outcome occurred in 225 (7·5%) of 3019 patients in the development cohort and in 219 (17·6%) of 1242 patients in the validation cohort. The final, externally validated, parsimonious, multivariable model comprised the predictors: age, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and the CMR variables, global longitudinal strain, myocardial infarction, and myocardial extracellular volume. The median optimism-adjusted C-index for the externally validated model across 20 imputed model development datasets was 0·805 (95% CI 0·793-0·829) in the development cohort and 0·793 (0·766-0·820) in the external validation cohort. Model calibration was excellent across the full risk profile. A risk calculator that provides an estimated risk of hospitalisation for heart failure or all-cause mortality at 3 years after CMR for individual patients was generated. INTERPRETATION: We developed and externally validated a risk prediction model that provides accurate, individualised estimates of the risk of hospitalisation for heart failure and all-cause mortality in patients with, or at risk of, heart failure, before first hospitalisation. It could be used to direct intensified therapy and closer follow-up to those at increased risk. FUNDING: The UK National Institute for Health Research, Guerbet Laboratories, and Roche Diagnostics International.

Predictors of myocardial fibrosis and response to anti-fibrotic therapy in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

Myocardial fibrosis, measured using magnetic resonance extracellular volume (ECV), associates with adverse outcome in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). In the PIROUETTE (The Pirfenidone in Patients with Heart Failure and Preserved Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction) trial, the novel anti-fibrotic agent pirfenidone reduced myocardial fibrosis. We sought to identify baseline characteristics that associate with myocardial fibrotic burden, the change in myocardial fibrosis over a year, and predict response to pirfenidone in patients with HFpEF. Amongst patients enrolled in the PIROUETTE trial (n = 107), linear regression models were used to assess the relationship between baseline variables and baseline myocardial ECV, with change in myocardial ECV adjusting for treatment allocation, and to identify variables that modified the pirfenidone treatment effect. Body mass index, left atrial reservoir strain, haemoglobin and aortic distensibility were associated with baseline ECV in stepwise modelling, and systolic blood pressure, and log N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide were associated with baseline ECV in clinically-guided modelling. QRS duration, left ventricular mass and presence of an infarct at baseline were associated with an increase in ECV from baseline to week 52. Whilst QRS duration, presence of an infarct, global longitudinal strain and left atrial strain modified the treatment effect of pirfenidone when considered individually, no variable modified treatment effect on multivariable modelling. Baseline characteristics were identified that associate with myocardial fibrosis and predict change in myocardial fibrosis. No variables that independently modify the treatment effect of pirfenidone were identified (PIROUETTE, NCT02932566).

Pirfenidone in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a randomized phase 2 trial.

In heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), the occurrence of myocardial fibrosis is associated with adverse outcome. Whether pirfenidone, an oral antifibrotic agent without hemodynamic effect, is efficacious and safe for the treatment of HFpEF is unknown. In this double-blind, phase 2 trial ( NCT02932566 ), we enrolled patients with heart failure, an ejection fraction of 45% or higher and elevated levels of natriuretic peptides. Eligible patients underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance and those with evidence of myocardial fibrosis, defined as a myocardial extracellular volume of 27% or greater, were randomly assigned to receive pirfenidone or placebo for 52 weeks. Forty-seven patients were randomized to each of the pirfenidone and placebo groups. The primary outcome was change in myocardial extracellular volume, from baseline to 52 weeks. In comparison to placebo, pirfenidone reduced myocardial extracellular volume (between-group difference, -1.21%; 95% confidence interval, -2.12 to -0.31; P = 0.009), meeting the predefined primary outcome. Twelve patients (26%) in the pirfenidone group and 14 patients (30%) in the placebo group experienced one or more serious adverse events. The most common adverse events in the pirfenidone group were nausea, insomnia and rash. In conclusion, among patients with HFpEF and myocardial fibrosis, administration of pirfenidone for 52 weeks reduced myocardial fibrosis. The favorable effects of pirfenidone in patients with HFpEF will need to be confirmed in future trials.

The utility of cardiovascular imaging in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: diagnosis, biological classification and risk stratification.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) does not exist as a singular clinical or pathological entity but as a syndrome encompassing a wide range of clinical and biological phenotypes. There is an urgent need to progress from the unsuccessful 'one-size-fits-all' approach to more precise disease classification, in order to develop targeted therapies, personalise risk stratification and guide future research. In this regard, this review discusses the current and emerging roles of cardiovascular imaging for the diagnosis of HFpEF, for distilling HFpEF into distinct disease entities according to underlying pathobiology and for risk stratification.

Considerations for Clinical Trials Targeting the Myocardial Interstitium.

The myocardial interstitium has emerged as a potential therapeutic target and as a biological entity to improve risk stratification and better guide existing interventions. Clinical trials focusing on the myocardial interstitium are required to establish causality and improve patient outcomes. This review will discuss issues around clinical trials targeting the myocardial interstitium, including antifibrotic therapies, efficacy outcome measurements, mechanistic outcome measurements and mediation analysis, sample size, trial duration, considerations for multicenter trials, stratifying trial recruitment according to the interstitium, and approaches to enrich recruitment, using examples of ongoing clinical trials.

Pirfenidone in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction-Rationale and Design of the PIROUETTE Trial.

BACKGROUND: The PIROUETTE (PIRfenidOne in patients with heart failUre and preserved lEfT venTricular Ejection fraction) trial is designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of the anti-fibrotic pirfenidone in patients with chronic heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and myocardial fibrosis. HFpEF is a diverse syndrome associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Myocardial fibrosis is a key pathophysiological mechanism of HFpEF and myocardial fibrotic burden is strongly and independently associated with adverse outcome. Pirfenidone is an oral anti-fibrotic agent, without haemodynamic effect, that leads to regression of myocardial fibrosis in preclinical models. It has proven clinical effectiveness in pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: The PIROUETTE trial is a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of 52 weeks of treatment with pirfenidone in patients with chronic HFpEF (symptoms and signs of heart failure, left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 45%, elevated natriuretic peptides [BNP ≥ 100 pg/ml or NT-proBNP ≥ 300 pg/ml; or BNP ≥ 300 pg/ml or NT-proBNP ≥ 900 pg/ml if in atrial fibrillation]) and myocardial fibrosis (extracellular matrix (ECM) volume ≥ 27% measured using cardiovascular magnetic resonance). The primary outcome measure is change in myocardial ECM volume. A sub-study will investigate the relationship between myocardial fibrosis and myocardial energetics, and the impact of pirfenidone, using 31phosphorus magnetic resonance spectroscopy. DISCUSSION: PIROUETTE will determine whether pirfenidone is superior to placebo in relation to regression of myocardial fibrosis and improvement in myocardial energetics in patients with HFpEF and myocardial fibrosis (NCT02932566). CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02932566) https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02932566.

The effect of 1.5 T cardiac magnetic resonance on human circulating leucocytes.

Aims: Investigators have proposed that cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) should have restrictions similar to those of ionizing imaging techniques. We aimed to investigate the acute effect of 1.5 T CMR on leucocyte DNA integrity, cell counts, and function in vitro, and in a large cohort of patients in vivo. Methods and results: In vitro study: peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were isolated from healthy volunteers, and histone H2AX phosphorylation (γ-H2AX) expression, leucocyte counts, and functional parameters were quantified using flow cytometry under the following conditions: (i) immediately following PBMC isolation, (ii) after standing on the benchside as a temperature and time control, (iii) after a standard CMR scan. In vivo study: blood samples were taken from 64 consecutive consenting patients immediately before and after a standard clinical scan. Samples were analysed for γ-H2AX expression and leucocyte counts. CMR was not associated with a significant change in γ-H2AX expression in vitro or in vivo, although there were significant inter-patient variations. In vitro cell integrity and function did not change with CMR. There was a significant reduction in circulating T cells in vivo following CMR. Conclusion: 1.5 T CMR was not associated with DNA damage in vitro or in vivo. Histone H2AX phosphorylation expression varied markedly between individuals; therefore, small studies using γ-H2AX as a marker of DNA damage should be interpreted with caution. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance was not associated with loss of leucocyte viability or function in vitro. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance was associated with a statistically significant reduction in viable leucocytes in vivo.

Biological Phenotypes of Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) involves multiple pathophysiological mechanisms, which result in the heterogeneous phenotypes that are evident clinically, and which have potentially confounded previous HFpEF trials. A greater understanding of the in vivo human processes involved, and in particular, which are the causes and which are the downstream effects, may allow the syndrome of HFpEF to be distilled into distinct diagnoses based on the underlying biology. From this, specific interventions can follow, targeting individuals identified on the basis of their biological phenotype. This review describes the biological phenotypes of HFpEF and therapeutic interventions aimed at targeting these phenotypes.