ABSTRACT
Background Valvular heart disease and intracardiac shunts can disrupt the balance between left ventricular (LV) and right ventricular (RV) stroke volumes. However, the prognostic value of such imbalances has not been established among asymptomatic individuals. Purpose To assess the association between differential ventricular stroke volumes quantified using cardiac MRI and clinical outcomes in individuals without cardiovascular disease. Materials and Methods This secondary analysis of a prospective study included participants without cardiovascular disease at enrollment (July 2000 to July 2002) who underwent cardiac MRI. Differences in stroke volume were calculated as LV stroke volume minus RV stroke volume, and participants were categorized as having balanced (greater than or equal to -30 mL to ≤30 mL), negative (less than -30 mL), or positive (>30 mL) differential stroke volumes. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to test the association between differences in stroke volume and adverse outcomes. Results A cohort of 4058 participants (mean age, 61.4 years ± 10 [SD]; 2120 female) were included and followed up for a median of 18.4 years (IQR, 18.3-18.5 years). During follow-up, 1006 participants died, 235 participants developed heart failure, and 764 participants developed atrial fibrillation. Compared with participants who had a balanced differential stroke volume, those with an increased differential stroke volume showed a higher risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.73 [95% CI: 1.12, 2.67]; P = .01), heart failure (HR, 2.40 [95% CI: 1.11, 5.20]; P = .03), and atrial fibrillation (HR, 1.89 [95% CI: 1.16, 3.08]; P = .01) in adjusted models. Participants in the negative group, with a decreased differential stroke volume, showed an increased risk of heart failure compared with those in the balanced group (HR, 2.09 [95% CI: 1.09, 3.99]; P = .03); however, this was no longer observed after adjusting for baseline LV function (P = .34). Conclusion Participants without cardiovascular disease at the time of study enrollment who had an LV stroke volume exceeding the RV stroke volume by greater than 30 mL had an increased risk of mortality, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation compared with those with balanced stroke volumes. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00005487 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Almeida in this issue.
Subject(s)
Heart Ventricles , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Stroke Volume , Humans , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Stroke Volume/physiology , Heart Ventricles/diagnostic imaging , Heart Ventricles/physiopathology , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Aged , Prognosis , Predictive Value of TestsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Heart failure mortality remains high despite recent progress in pharmacological treatment. AZD3427 is a selective long-acting analog of relaxin, a vasodilatory hormone with antifibrotic effects. We assessed the safety, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of AZD3427 in healthy volunteers and patients with heart failure on standard-of-care therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this first-in-human, phase 1a/b, randomized, single-blind, placebo-controlled study, healthy volunteers were randomized 6:2 to receive a single dose of AZD3427 or placebo by subcutaneous injection in 5 mixed-ethnicity cohorts (5, 10, 30, 90, or 270 mg) and 1 Japanese-descent cohort (270 mg), or by intravenous injection in 1 cohort (15 mg). After confirming safety and tolerability in healthy volunteers, 3 cohorts of patients with heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% and 3 cohorts with ejection fraction ≥41% were randomized 6:2 to receive 5 weekly doses of AZD3427 (5, 15, or 45 mg) or placebo by subcutaneous injection. In total, 56 healthy volunteers and 48 patients with heart failure were randomized. AZD3427 was well tolerated at all doses. After subcutaneous administration, AZD3427 was absorbed slowly, and exposure was approximately linear across the dose range. In patients with heart failure, AZD3427 terminal half-life was 13 to 14 days and there were numerical increases in stroke volume and estimated glomerular filtration rate. No treatment-emergent antidrug antibodies were detected. CONCLUSIONS: AZD3427 had favorable safety and pharmacokinetic profiles. Hemodynamic changes in patients with heart failure were consistent with the anticipated effects of a relaxin analog. These findings support further development of AZD3427 as a novel long-term treatment for patients with heart failure. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique Identifier: NCT04630067.
Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Receptors, G-Protein-Coupled , Humans , Heart Failure/drug therapy , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Male , Female , Single-Blind Method , Middle Aged , Receptors, G-Protein-Coupled/agonists , Adult , Aged , Treatment Outcome , Receptors, Peptide/agonists , Stroke Volume/drug effects , Injections, Subcutaneous , Ventricular Function, Left/drug effects , Young Adult , Relaxin/pharmacokinetics , Relaxin/administration & dosage , Relaxin/adverse effects , Relaxin/therapeutic use , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Injections, IntravenousABSTRACT
Background: The initiation of coronary artery calcium (CAC) is an important physiologic milestone associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk. However, traditional risk factors (RF) do not perform well for predicting incident CAC among the 54 million older U.S. adults. Objectives: The authors sought to assess the association between nontraditional cardiovascular disease RF and incident CAC in older persons. Methods: There were 815 MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) participants ≥65 years of age who had CAC = 0 at Visit 1 and a follow-up CAC scan. Multivariable adjusted Cox hazards ratios (aHR) and C-statistics were calculated to examine the association of nontraditional RF with incident CAC. Results: The mean age was 70.2 years and 67% were women. The median follow-up time to repeat CAC scan was 3.6 years (IQR: 2.6-9.2 years) and 45% of participants developed incident CAC. Albuminuria (aHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.07-2.09), carotid plaque (aHR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.04-1.66), and thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) (aHR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.10-1.75) were significantly associated with incident CAC, while higher levels of nontraditional RF including apolipoprotein-B, lipoprotein(a), high-sensitivity troponin T, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide were not. When added to demographics, albuminuria, carotid plaque, and TAC provided a greater C-statistic improvement (+0.047, P = 0.004) vs all traditional RF combined (+0.033, P = 0.05). Conclusions: Among nontraditional RF and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis, only albuminuria, carotid plaque, and TAC were significantly associated with incident CAC in persons ≥65 years of age. Identification of albuminuria or extracoronary atherosclerosis may help guide the timing of repeat CAC scoring in older persons with baseline CAC = 0.
ABSTRACT
Objectives: Risk assessment models for cardiac surgery do not distinguish between degrees of liver dysfunction. We have previously shown that preoperative liver stiffness is associated with hospital length of stay following cardiac surgery. The authors hypothesized that a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥ 9.5 kPa would rule out a short hospital length of stay (LOS < 6 days) following isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery. Methods: A prospective observational study of one hundred sixty-four adult patients undergoing non-emergent isolated CABG surgery at a single university hospital center. Preoperative liver stiffness measured by ultrasound elastography was obtained for each participant. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess the adjusted relationship between LSM and a short hospital stay. Results: We performed multivariate logistic regression models using short hospital LOS (<6 days) as the dependent variable. Independent variables included LSM (< 9.5 kPa, ≥ 9.5 kPa), age, sex, STS predicted morbidity and mortality, and baseline hemoglobin. After adjusting for included variables, LSM ≥ 9.5 kPa was associated with lower odds of early discharge as compared to LSM < 9.5 kPa (OR: 0.22, 95% CI: 0.06-0.84, p = 0.03). The ROC curve and resulting AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.68-0.83) suggest the final multivariate model provides good discriminatory performance when predicting early discharge. Conclusions: A preoperative LSM ≥ 9.5 kPa ruled out a short length of stay in nearly 80% of patients when compared to patients with a LSM < 9.5 kPa. Preoperative liver stiffness may be a useful metric to incorporate into preoperative risk stratification.
ABSTRACT
AIMS: The role of change in left atrial (LA) parameters prior to the onset of heart failure (HF) remains unclear. We used cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging to investigate the relationship between longitudinal change in LA function and incident HF in a multi-ethnic population with subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS AND RESULTS: In this prospective multi-ethnic cohort study, 2470 participants (60 ± 9 years, 47% males), free at baseline of clinical CVD, had LA volume and function assessed via multimodality tissue tracking on CMR imaging at baseline (2000-02) and a second study 9.4 ± 0.6 years later. Free of HF, 73 participants developed incident HF [HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), n = 39; reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), n = 34] 7.1 ± 2.1 years after the second study. An annual decrease of 1 SD unit in peak LA strain (ΔLASmax) was most strongly associated with the risk of HFpEF [subdistribution hazard ratios (HR) = 2.56, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.34-4.90), P = 0.004] and improved model reclassification and discrimination in predicting HFpEF [C-statistic = 0.84, 95% CI (0.79-0.90); net reclassification index (NRI) = 0.34, P = 0.01; and integrated discrimination index (IDI) = 0.02, P = 0.02], whilst an annual decrease of 1â mL/m2 of pre-atrial indexed LA volumes (ΔLAVipreA) was most strongly associated with the risk of HFrEF [subdistribution HR = 1.88, 95% CI (1.44-2.45), P < 0.001] and improved model reclassification and discrimination in predicting HFrEF [C-statistic = 0.81, 95% CI (0.72-0.90); NRI = 0.31, P = 0.03; and IDI = 0.01, P = 0.50] after adjusting for event-specific risk factors and baseline LA measures. CONCLUSION: ΔLASmax and ΔLAVipreA were associated with and incrementally predictive of HFpEF and HFrEF, after adjusting for risk factors and baseline LA measures in this population of subclinical CVD.
ABSTRACT
AIM: To investigate the association between endogenous sex hormone levels and history of tooth loss related to periodontitis in healthy middle-aged to older men and post-menopausal women. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 5649 participants aged 45-84 (mean age, 63 ± 10 years) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis cohort who had sex hormone levels measured and answered a questionnaire regarding perceived periodontal status at exam 1. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association of sex hormones (exposure) with history of tooth loss (outcome), stratified by sex. RESULTS: Among post-menopausal women, higher free testosterone (per 1SD) was associated with a greater prevalence of tooth loss [OR 1.49 (95% CI, 1.08-2.05)], whereas higher sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) was associated with a lower prevalence of tooth loss [OR 0.74 (0.58-0.94)], after adjustment for cardiometabolic risk factors and reproductive factors. In men, higher free testosterone and lower SHBG were associated with a lower prevalent probability of tooth loss in unadjusted analysis, but these associations lost significance after covariate adjustment. CONCLUSION: A higher androgenic sex hormone profile in post-menopausal women (i.e., increased free testosterone, lower SHBG) was associated with an increased prevalence of tooth loss, after adjusting cardiometabolic risk factors. No such association was found in men. These findings suggest that sex hormones may influence or serve as a marker for periodontal health.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is associated with higher incidence of frailty. However, the nature of the mechanisms underlying this association remains unclear. The purpose of this study is to identify cardiovascular phenotypes most associated with physical frailty and functional performance in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). METHODS: As part of the MESA study, 3 045 participants underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance and computed tomography between 2010 and 2012. Of these, 1 743 completed a Six-Minute Walk test (6MWT) and questionnaires (follow-up exam: 2016-2018) which were used to generate a binary combined frail/prefrail versus robust score according to a modified FRAIL Scale (self-report questionnaire). Multivariable logistic (binary frail outcome) or linear (6MWT) regression assessed the association between frailty and cardiovascular structure and function, aortic stiffness, coronary artery calcium, and myocardial fibrosis (ECV, extracellular volume fraction). RESULTS: Participants were 66â ±â 8 years, 52% female at the time of imaging, and 29.4% were classified as frail or prefrail. Older age and female gender were associated with greater odds of being in the frail/prefrail group. Concentric left ventricular remodeling (odds ratio [OR] 1.89, pâ =â .008; Coef. -52.9, pâ <â .001), increased ECV (OR 1.10, pâ =â .002; Coef. -4.0, pâ =â .001), and worsening left atrial strain rate at early diastole (OR 1.56, p ≤ .001; Coef. -22.75, pâ =â .027) were found to be associated with a greater likelihood of being in a frail state and lower 6MWT distance (m). All associations with 6MWT performance were attenuated with adjustments for risk factors whereas ECV and LA strain rate remained independently associated with frailty. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest a significant overlap in pathways associated with subclinical cardiac dysfunction, cardiovascular fibrosis, and physical frailty.
Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis , Fibrosis , Frailty , Humans , Female , Male , Aged , Frailty/physiopathology , Atherosclerosis/ethnology , Atherosclerosis/physiopathology , Physical Functional Performance , Walk Test , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Frail Elderly , Ventricular Remodeling/physiology , Vascular Stiffness/physiology , United States/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Cardiovascular Diseases/physiopathology , Cardiovascular Diseases/ethnology , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiologySubject(s)
Computed Tomography Angiography , Coronary Angiography , Coronary Artery Disease , Early Diagnosis , Humans , Coronary Artery Disease/diagnostic imaging , Computed Tomography Angiography/methods , Coronary Angiography/methods , Male , Female , Risk Factors , Risk Assessment , Middle Aged , AgedABSTRACT
Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging has become an invaluable clinical and research tool. Starting from the discovery of nuclear magnetic resonance, this article provides a brief overview of the key developments that have led to CMR as it is today, and how it became the modality of choice for large-scale population studies.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Direct coronary arterial evaluation via computed tomography (CT) angiography is the most accurate noninvasive test for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD). However, diagnostic accuracy is limited in the setting of severe coronary calcification or stents. Ultra-high-resolution CT (UHR-CT) may overcome this limitation, but no rigorous study has tested this hypothesis. METHODS: The CORE-PRECISION is an international, multicenter, prospective diagnostic accuracy study testing the non-inferiority of UHR-CT compared to invasive coronary angiography (ICA) for identifying patients with hemodynamically significant CAD. The study will enroll 150 patients with history of CAD, defined as prior documentation of lumen obstruction, stenting, or a calcium score ≥400, who will undergo UHR-CT before clinically prompted ICA. Assessment of hemodynamically significant CAD by UHR-CT and ICA will follow clinical standards. The reference standard will be the quantitative flow ratio (QFR) with <0.8 defined as abnormal. All data will be analyzed in independent core laboratories. RESULTS: The primary outcome will be the comparative diagnostic accuracy of UHR-CT vs. ICA for detecting hemodynamically significant CAD on a patient level. Secondary analyses will focus on vessel level diagnostic accuracy, quantitative stenosis analysis, automated contour detection, in-depth plaque analysis, and others. CONCLUSION: CORE-PRECISION aims to investigate if UHR-CT is non-inferior to ICA for detecting hemodynamically significant CAD in high-risk patients, including those with severe coronary calcification or stents. We anticipate this study to provide valuable insights into the utility of UHR-CT in this challenging population and for its potential to establish a new standard for CAD assessment.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) are at greater risk for diastolic dysfunction compared with persons without HIV (PWOH). An increase in visceral adipose tissue is common among PWH and greater visceral adipose tissue is associated with diastolic dysfunction among PWOH. We investigated associations of visceral adipose tissue, subcutaneous adipose tissue, and other fat depots with subclinical diastolic dysfunction among men with and without HIV (MWH and MWOH). DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of MWH and MWOH in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS). METHODS: Participants underwent echocardiography for diastolic dysfunction assessment and CT scanning including subcutaneous, visceral, epicardial, and liver adiposity measurements. Diastolic dysfunction was defined by characterizing heart function on antiretroviral therapy0 criteria. Odds for diastolic dysfunction with each measure of adiposity were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 403 participants (median age 57, 55% white, median BMI 26âkg/m 2 ), 25% met criteria for diastolic dysfunction and 59% MWH (82% undetectable plasma HIV RNA). Greater epicardial adipose tissue area was associated with higher odds of diastolic dysfunction [odds ratio:1.54 per SD; 95%confidence interval (CI) 1.15-2.05] when adjusted for demographics, HIV serostatus, and cardiovascular risk factors. This association did not differ by HIV serostatus and persisted when excluding MWH who were not virally suppressed. Less subcutaneous adipose tissue was associated with higher odds of diastolic dysfunction. Other adipose depots were not associated with diastolic dysfunction. CONCLUSION: Greater epicardial adipose tissue and less subcutaneous adipose tissue were associated with diastolic dysfunction, regardless of HIV serostatus and viral suppression. Greater epicardial adipose tissue and less subcutaneous adipose tissue observed among PWH may contribute to risk for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in this population.
Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Intra-Abdominal Fat , Subcutaneous Fat , Humans , Male , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Cross-Sectional Studies , Middle Aged , Subcutaneous Fat/diagnostic imaging , Intra-Abdominal Fat/diagnostic imaging , Pericardium/diagnostic imaging , Echocardiography , Adult , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , AgedABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Our understanding of the specific aspects of vascular contributions to dementia remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: We aim to identify the correlates of incident dementia in a multi-ethnic cardiovascular cohort. METHODS: A total of 6806 participants with follow-up data for incident dementia were included. Probable dementia diagnoses were identified using hospitalization discharge diagnoses according to the International Classification of Diseases Codes (ICD). We used Random Forest analyses to identify the correlates of incident dementia and cognitive function from among 198 variables collected at the baseline MESA exam entailing demographic risk factors, medical history, anthropometry, lab biomarkers, electrocardiograms, cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging, carotid ultrasonography, coronary artery calcium and liver fat content. Death and stroke were considered competing events. RESULTS: Over 14 years of follow-up, 326 dementia events were identified. Beyond age, the top correlates of dementia included coronary artery calcification, high sensitivity troponin, common carotid artery intima to media thickness, NT-proBNP, physical activity, pulse pressure, tumor necrosis factor-α, history of cancer, and liver to spleen attenuation ratio from computed tomography. Correlates of cognitive function included income and physical activity, body size, serum glucose, glomerular filtration rate, measures of carotid artery stiffness, alcohol use, and inflammation indexed as IL-2 and TNF soluble receptors and plasmin-antiplasmin complex. CONCLUSION: In a deeply phenotyped cardiovascular cohort we identified the key correlates of dementia beyond age as subclinical atherosclerosis and myocyte damage, vascular function, inflammation, physical activity, hepatic steatosis, and history of cancer.
Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis , Cardiovascular Diseases , Coronary Artery Disease , Dementia , Neoplasms , Humans , Risk Factors , Carotid Intima-Media Thickness , Inflammation , Dementia/diagnosis , IncidenceABSTRACT
Background: Left atrial (LA) mechanics are strongly linked with left ventricular (LV) filling. The LA diastasis strain slope (LADSS), which spans between the passive and active LA emptying phases, may be a key indicator of the LA-LV interplay during diastole. Aim: This study aimed to investigate the LA-LV interdependencies in post-ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), with particular focus on the LADSS. Materials and methods: Patients with post-anterior STEMI who received primary percutaneous coronary intervention underwent contrast cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) during acute (5-9 days post-STEMI) and chronic (at 6 months) phases. The LADSS was categorized into three groups: Groups 1, 2, and 3 representing positive, flat, and negative slopes, respectively. Cross-sectional correlates of LADSS Group 2 or 3 compared to Group 1 were identified, adjusting for demographics, LA indices, and with or without LV indices. The associations of acute phase LADSS with the recovery of LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and scar amount were investigated. Results: Sixty-six acute phase (86.4% male, 63.1 ± 11.8 years) and 59 chronic phase cardiac MRI images were investigated. The distribution across LADSS Groups 1, 2, and 3 in the acute phase was 24.2%, 28.9%, and 47.0%, respectively, whereas in the chronic phase, it was 33.9%, 22.0%, and 44.1%, respectively. LADSS Group 3 demonstrated a higher heart rate than Group 1 in the acute phase (61.9 ± 8.7 vs. 73.5 ± 11.9â bpm, p < 0.01); lower LVEF (48.7 ± 8.6 vs. 41.8 ± 9.9%, p = 0.041) and weaker LA passive strain rate (SR) (-1.1 ± 0.4 vs. -0.7 [-1.2 to -0.6]â s-1, p = 0.037) in the chronic phase. Chronic phase Group 3 exhibited weaker LA passive SR [relative risk ratio (RRR) = 8.8, p = 0.012] than Group 1 after adjusting for demographics and LA indices; lower LVEF (RRR = 0.85, p < 0.01), higher heart rate (RRR = 1.1, p = 0.070), and less likelihood of being male (RRR = 0.08, p = 0.058) after full adjustment. Acute phase LADSS Groups 2 and 3 predicted poor recovery of LVEF when adjusted for demographics and LA indices; LADSS Group 2 remained a predictor in the fully adjusted model (ß = -5.8, p = 0.013). Conclusion: The LADSS serves both as a marker of current LV hemodynamics and its recovery in post-anterior STEMI. The LADSS is an important index of LA-LV interdependency during diastole. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/, identifier NCT03950310.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Although VCAM-1 (vascular cell adhesion molecule-1) and ICAM-1 (intercellular adhesion molecule-1) have been associated with incident heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF), the associations of VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 with sensitive measures of cardiac structure/function are unclear. The objective of this study is to evaluate associations between VCAM-1, ICAM-1, and measures of cardiac structure and function as potential pathways through which cellular adhesion molecules promote HFpEF and AF risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: In MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), we evaluated the associations of circulating VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 at examination 2 (2002-2004) with measures of cardiac structure/function on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging at examination 5 (2010-2011) after multivariable adjustment. Mediation analysis of left atrial (LA) strain on the association between VCAM-1 or ICAM-1 and AF or HFpEF was also performed. Overall, 2304 individuals (63±10 years; 47% men) with VCAM-1 or ICAM-1, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, and covariate data were included in analysis. Higher VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 were associated with lower LA peak longitudinal strain and worse global circumferential left ventricular strain but were not associated with left ventricular myocardial scar or interstitial fibrosis. Lower LA peak longitudinal strain mediated 8% (95% CI, 2-30) of the relationship between VCAM-1 and HFpEF and 9% (95% CI, 2-21) of the relationship between VCAM-1 and AF. CONCLUSIONS: Higher VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 were associated with lower LA function and left ventricular systolic function but were not associated with myocardial scar or interstitial fibrosis. VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 may promote HFpEF and AF risk through impaired LA reservoir function.
Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Heart Failure , Female , Humans , Male , Cicatrix , Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1 , Stroke Volume , Vascular Cell Adhesion Molecule-1 , Middle Aged , AgedABSTRACT
Background: Medical examinations contain repeatedly measured data from multiple visits, including imaging variables collected from different modalities. However, the utility of such data for the prediction of time-to-event is unknown, and only a fraction of the data is typically used for risk prediction. We hypothesized that multimodal longitudinal imaging data could improve dynamic disease prognosis of cardiovascular and renal disease (CVRD). Methods: In a multi-centered cohort of 5,114 CARDIA participants, we included 166 longitudinal imaging variables from five imaging modalities: Echocardiography (Echo), Cardiac and Abdominal Computed Tomography (CT), Dual-Energy x-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA), Brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) collected from young adulthood to mid-life over 30 years (1985-2016) to perform dynamic survival analysis of CVRD events using machine learning dynamic survival analysis (Dynamic-DeepHit, LTRCforest, and Extended Cox for Time-varying Covariates). Risk probabilities were continuously updated as new data were collected. Model performance was assessed using integrated AUC and C-index and compared to traditional risk factors. Results: Longitudinal imaging data, even when being irregularly collected with high missing rates, improved CVRD dynamic prediction (0.03 in integrated AUC, up to 0.05 in C-index compared to traditional risk factors; best model's C-index = 0.80-0.83 up to 20 years from baseline) from young adulthood followed up to midlife. Among imaging variables, Echo and CT variables contributed significantly to improved risk estimation. Echo measured in early adulthood predicted midlife CVRD risks almost as well as Echo measured 10-15 years later (0.01 C-index difference). The most recent CT exam provided the most accurate prediction for short-term risk estimation. Brain MRI markers provided additional information from cardiac Echo and CT variables that led to a slightly improved prediction. Conclusions: Longitudinal multimodal imaging data readily collected from follow-up exams can improve CVRD dynamic prediction. Echocardiography measured early can provide a good long-term risk estimation, while CT/calcium scoring variables carry atherosclerotic signatures that benefit more immediate risk assessment starting in middle-age.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) measures may reflect biological pathways that contribute to increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) events, stroke, and dementia beyond conventional risk scores. METHODS: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) followed 6814 participants (45-84 years of age) from baseline in 2000-2002 to 2018 over 6 clinical examinations and annual follow-up interviews. MESA baseline subclinical CVD procedures included: seated and supineblood pressure, coronary calcium scan, radial artery tonometry, and carotid ultrasound. Baseline subclinical CVD measures were transformed into z-scores before factor analysis to derive composite factor scores. Time to clinical event for all-cause CVD, CHD, stroke and ICD code-based dementia events were modeled using Cox proportional hazards models reported as area under the curve (AUC) with 95% Confidence Intervals (95%CI) at 10 and 15 years of follow-up. All models included all factor scores together, and adjustment for conventional risk scores for global CVD, stroke, and dementia. RESULTS: After factor selection, 24 subclinical measures aggregated into four distinct factors representing: blood pressure, atherosclerosis, arteriosclerosis, and cardiac factors. Each factor significantly predicted time to CVD events and dementia at 10 and 15 years independent of each other and conventional risk scores. Subclinical vascular composites of atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis best predicted time to clinical events of CVD, CHD, stroke, and dementia. These results were consistent across sex and racial and ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: Subclinical vascular composites of atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis may be useful biomarkers to inform the vascular pathways contributing to events of CVD, CHD, stroke, and dementia.
Subject(s)
Dementia , Stroke , Humans , Aged , Female , Male , Dementia/ethnology , Dementia/epidemiology , Dementia/diagnosis , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Stroke/ethnology , Stroke/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , United States/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Cardiovascular Diseases/ethnology , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Atherosclerosis/ethnology , Atherosclerosis/diagnosis , Asymptomatic Diseases , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Time Factors , PrognosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Current prevalence estimates of heart failure (HF) are primarily based on self-report or HF hospitalizations. There is an unmet need to define the prevalence and pathogenesis of early symptomatic HF, which may be undiagnosed and precedes HF hospitalization. METHODS: The MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) Early HF study was conducted during MESA exam 6 to determine the prevalence of early HF and investigate the transition from risk factors to early HF in a diverse population-based cohort of older adults. Between 2016 and 2018, 3285 MESA participants from 6 field centers underwent comprehensive speckle-tracking echocardiography with passive leg raise maneuver, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, 6-minute walk test, arterial stiffness assessment, and proteomics (including NT-proBNP [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide]). RESULTS: Median age was 73 (25th-75th percentile 67-81) years, 53.2% were female, 25.6% were Black, 12.8% were Chinese, and 40.0% were White. The prevalence of HF risk factors was high: hypertension, 61.9%; former or current smoking, 53.7%; obesity 34.8%; diabetes; 24.7%; and chronic kidney disease; 22%. Overt cardiovascular disease, which ranged from 2.1% (HF) to 13.6% (atrial fibrillation), was less common. Of the 3285 participants, 96% underwent proteomics, 94% Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, 93% speckle-tracking echocardiography with passive leg raise, 82% arterial stiffness exam, and 77% 6-minute walk test. Feasibility of resting speckle-tracking echocardiography (87%-99% across cardiac chambers) and passive leg raise Doppler/speckle-tracking echocardiography (>84%) measurements was high. A total of 120 unique echocardiographic indices were measured. CONCLUSIONS: The MESA Early HF study is a key resource for cardiovascular researchers who are interested in improving the epidemiological and phenotypic characterization of early HF. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00005487.
Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis , Cardiomyopathies , Cardiovascular Diseases , Heart Failure , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Atherosclerosis/diagnosis , Atherosclerosis/epidemiology , Biomarkers , Heart Failure/diagnosis , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Natriuretic Peptide, Brain , Peptide Fragments , Risk Factors , Aged, 80 and overABSTRACT
AIM: Left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS) may detect subtle abnormalities in myocardial contractility among individuals with normal LV ejection fraction (LVEF). However, the prognostic implications of GLS among healthy, community-dwelling adults is not well-established. METHODS AND RESULTS: Overall, 2234 community-dwelling adults (56% women, 47% Black) with LVEF ≥50% without a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) from the Dallas Heart Study who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) with GLS assessed by feature tracking CMR (FT-CMR) were included. The association of GLS with the risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; composite of incident myocardial infarction, incident heart failure [HF], hospitalization for atrial fibrillation, coronary revascularization, and all-cause death), and incident HF or death were assessed with adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. A total of 309 participants (13.8%) had MACE during a median follow-up duration of 17 years. Participants with the worst GLS (Q4) were more likely male and of the Black race with a history of tobacco use and diabetes with lower LVEF, higher LV end-diastolic volume, and higher LV mass index. Cumulative incidence of MACE was higher among participants with worse (Q4 vs. Q1) GLS (20.4% vs. 9.0%). In multivariable-adjusted Cox models that included clinical characteristics, cardiac biomarkers and baseline LVEF, worse GLS (Q4 vs. Q1) was associated with a significantly higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-2.24, p = 0.02) and incident HF or death (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.03-2.38, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Impaired LV GLS assessed by FT-CMR among adults free of cardiovascular disease is associated with a higher risk of incident MACE and incident HF or death independent of cardiovascular risk factors, cardiac biomarkers and LVEF.
Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Heart Failure , Adult , Humans , Male , Female , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Global Longitudinal Strain , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Independent Living , Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cine/methods , Ventricular Function, Left , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Stroke Volume , Prognosis , Biomarkers , Predictive Value of TestsABSTRACT
Rationale: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and emphysema are associated with endothelial damage and altered pulmonary microvascular perfusion. The molecular mechanisms underlying these changes are poorly understood in patients, in part because of the inaccessibility of the pulmonary vasculature. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) interact with the pulmonary endothelium. Objectives: To test the association between gene expression in PBMCs and pulmonary microvascular perfusion in COPD. Methods: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) COPD Study recruited two independent samples of COPD cases and controls with ⩾10 pack-years of smoking history. In both samples, pulmonary microvascular blood flow, pulmonary microvascular blood volume, and mean transit time were assessed on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging, and PBMC gene expression was assessed by microarray. Additional replication was performed in a third sample with pulmonary microvascular blood volume measures on contrast-enhanced dual-energy computed tomography. Differential expression analyses were adjusted for age, gender, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, height, weight, smoking status, and pack-years of smoking. Results: The 79 participants in the discovery sample had a mean age of 69 ± 6 years, 44% were female, 25% were non-White, 34% were current smokers, and 66% had COPD. There were large PBMC gene expression signatures associated with pulmonary microvascular perfusion traits, with several replicated in the replication sets with magnetic resonance imaging (n = 47) or dual-energy contrast-enhanced computed tomography (n = 157) measures. Many of the identified genes are involved in inflammatory processes, including nuclear factor-κB and chemokine signaling pathways. Conclusions: PBMC gene expression in nuclear factor-κB, inflammatory, and chemokine signaling pathways was associated with pulmonary microvascular perfusion in COPD, potentially offering new targetable candidates for novel therapies.
Subject(s)
Leukocytes, Mononuclear , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Humans , Female , Male , Aged , Leukocytes, Mononuclear/metabolism , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/genetics , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/physiopathology , Middle Aged , Lung/blood supply , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Lung/metabolism , Atherosclerosis/genetics , Atherosclerosis/ethnology , Case-Control Studies , United States/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Gene Expression , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Pulmonary Circulation , Smoking , MicrocirculationABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: People with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (PWH) have an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) has documented higher myocardial fibrosis, inflammation, and steatosis in PWH, but studies have mostly relied on healthy volunteers as comparators and focused on men. METHODS: We investigated the associations of HIV and HIV-specific factors with CMR phenotypes in female participants enrolled in the Women's Interagency HIV Study's New York and San Francisco sites. Primary phenotypes included myocardial native (n) T1 (fibro-inflammation), extracellular volume fraction (fibrosis), and triglyceride content (steatosis). Associations were evaluated with multivariable linear regression, and results pooled or meta-analyzed across centers. RESULTS: Among 261 women with HIV (WWH, N = 362), 76.2% had undetectable viremia at CMR. For the 82.8% receiving continuous antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the preceding 5 years, adherence was 51.7%, and 69.4% failed to achieve persistent viral suppression (40.7% with peak viral load <200â cp/mL). Overall, WWH showed higher nT1 than women without HIV after full adjustment. This higher nT1 was more pronounced in those with antecedent or current viremia or nadir CD4+ count <200â cells/µL, with the latter also associated with higher extracellular volume fraction. WWH and current CD4+ count <200â cells/µL had less cardiomyocyte steatosis. Cumulative exposure to specific ART showed no associations. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with sociodemographically similar women without HIV, WWH on ART exhibit higher myocardial fibro-inflammation, which is more prominent with unsuppressed viremia or CD4+ lymphopenia. These findings support the importance of improved ART adherence strategies, along with better understanding of latent infection, to mitigate cardiac end-organ damage in this population.