ABSTRACT
Increasing evidence suggests that body composition is associated with the development of acute pancreatitis (AP). This study aimed to investigate the applicability of body composition in predicting AP severity. Data of 213 patients with AP from Affiliated Hospital of Putian University (AHOPTU) were included in this study, whilst data of 173 patients with AP from Fujian Medical University Union Hospital (FMUUH) were used for external validation. Patients were classified into the non-severe and severe groups according to AP severity. After seven days of treatment, in patients from AHOPTU, the difference in skeletal muscle index before and after treatment (ΔSMI) was significantly higher (P = 0.002), while the skeletal muscle radiodensity before treatment (PreSMR) was significantly lower (P = 0.042) in the non-severe group than in the severe group. The multivariate logistic regression model also revealed that the ΔSMI and PreSMR were independent risk factors for AP severity. The optimal cut-off values of ΔSMI and PreSMR were 1.0 and 43.7, respectively. The following metabolic score (SMS) was established to predict AP severity: 0: ΔSMI < 1.0 and PreSMR < 43.7; 1: ΔSMI ≥ 1.0 and PreSMR < 43.7 or ΔSMI < 1.0 and PreSMR ≥ 43.7; 3: ΔSMI ≥ 1.0 and PreSMR ≥ 43.7. In patients from AHOPTU and FMUUH, the areas under the curves (AUC) for this model were 0.764 and 0.741, respectively. ΔSMI and PreSMR can accurately predict AP severity. It is recommended to routinely evaluate the statuses of patients with AP using the predictive model presented in this study for individualized treatment.
Subject(s)
Pancreatitis , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Pancreatitis/diagnosis , Pancreatitis/metabolism , Severity of Illness Index , Adult , Body Composition , Precision Medicine/methods , Aged , Muscle, Skeletal/metabolism , Muscle, Skeletal/diagnostic imaging , Muscle, Skeletal/pathology , Acute Disease , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
Despite rapid advances in modern medical technology and significant improvements in survival rates of many cancers, pancreatic cancer is still a highly lethal gastrointestinal cancer with a low 5-year survival rate and difficulty in early detection. At present, the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer are increasing year by year worldwide, no matter in the United States, Europe, Japan, or China. Globally, the incidence of pancreatic cancer is projected to increase to 18.6 per 100000 in 2050, with the average annual growth of 1.1%, meaning that pancreatic cancer will pose a significant public health burden. Due to the special anatomical location of the pancreas, the development of pancreatic cancer is usually diagnosed at a late stage with obvious clinical symptoms. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of the risk factors for pancreatic cancer is of great clinical significance for effective prevention of pancreatic cancer. In this paper, the epidemiological characteristics, developmental trends, and risk factors of pancreatic cancer are reviewed and analyzed in detail.