Cancer Survival Trends in Southeastern China, 2011-2021: A Population-Based Study.

Purpose: The 5-year cancer survival rate among Chinese patients is lower than that among patients in developed countries and varies widely across geographic regions. The aim of this study was to analyse the 5-year relative cancer survival rate in southeastern China, between 2011 and 2021. Patients and Methods: We utilised population-based statistics from 12 cancer registries in Fujian, China. Study population data were up to date as of Dec 31, 2019, and survival outcome status was updated as of Dec 31, 2021. We used the ICD-10 and the ICD-O-3 to categorize all cancer cases. We analysed the 5-year relative survival for cancers combined and different cancer types stratified by sex, urban and rural areas, and age. Survival estimates were stratified according to calendar period (2011-13, 2014-15, 2016-18 and 2019-21). Results: Ultimately, a total of 160,294 cancer patients were enrolled in the study. In 2011-13, 2014-15, 2016-18 and 2019-21, the age-standardised 5-year relative survival for cancers combined were 29.1% (95% CI: 28.6-29.7), 31.5% (95% CI: 31.0-32.0), 36.8% (95% CI: 36.4-37.3) and 39.1% (95% CI: 38.7-39.6), respectively. The age-standardised 5-year relative survival for lung, prostate, larynx, colon-rectum, kidney and bone cancers increased 4.3%, 4.0%, 3.8%, 3.4%, 3.4% and 2.70%, respectively. Cancers with high 5-year relative survival rates (>60%) in 2019-21 included thyroid, testis, breast, bladder, cervix, prostate and uterus cancers. The 5-year survival rates in 2019-2021 was higher for females than for males (47.8% vs 32.0%) and higher in urban areas than in rural areas (41.7% vs 37.1%). Relative survival rates decreased with increasing age. Conclusion: The 5-year cancer survival in Fujian Province increased between 2011 and 2021 but remained at a low level. Building a strong primary public health system may be a key step in reducing the cancer burden in Fujian Province.

Trends in incidence and overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer in China, Japan, and South Korea.

We used data from 13 cancer registries in China, Japan, and South Korea to analyze time trends in overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer between 1998 and 2012. Age-standardized and age-specific incidence and annual percentage changes were calculated. The number of thyroid cancers diagnosed and the proportion attributable to overdiagnosis were estimated, with calculations stratified by sex and age group. The Spearman method was used to analyze the correlation between thyroid cancer incidence and overdiagnosis. From 1998 to 2012, both the incidence and proportions of overdiagnoses of thyroid cancer in China, Japan, and South Korea showed an increasing trend, with higher rates in women than men. South Korea had both the highest incidence for men (10.1/105 ) and women (46.7/105 ) and the highest proportions of overdiagnosis (men, 90.3%; women, 94.9%). The fastest growth in overdiagnosis was in Chinese men and women (annual percentage changes 6.1 and 4.6, respectively). We found significant positive correlations between age-standardized incidence and proportions of overdiagnosis for both men (Spearman r = 0.98, p < 0.05) and women (Spearman r = 0.99, p < 0.05) in the three countries. Age-specific incidence curves in Chinese and South Korean individuals were of an inverted U-shape. Overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer in Japan was mainly concentrated in middle-aged and older patients, whereas in China and South Korea, it occurred primarily in the middle-aged. The incidence and overdiagnosis of thyroid cancer in China, Japan, and South Korea are increasing, necessitating the implementation of comprehensive measures to reduce these overdiagnoses.

Temporal Trends and Projections of Bladder Cancer Burden in China from 1990 to 2030: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Purpose: Identifying disease burden and risk factors of bladder cancer and projecting its epidemiological trend in China, which can provide reference data to formulate measures for its management and prevention. Methods: We analyzed the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) data of bladder cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 and predicted to 2030 based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. We also estimated the proportion of risk factors contributing to bladder cancer DALYs. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) in both sexes was calculated to quantify the temporal trends. Results: In China, the age-standardized incidence rate of bladder cancer increased from 3.3/100,000 in 1990 to 5.16/100,000 in 2019 (AAPC of 1.47), while the age-standardized mortality rate and age-standardized DALYs rate declined slightly (AAPC of -0.58 and -0.65, respectively). The burden of bladder cancer increased with age, which reached a peak over 85 years old. The main risk factor for bladder cancer was smoking, and the contribution of high fasting plasma glucose increased from 1990 to 2019, with an AAPC of 0.85 in males and 0.61 in females. We predicted total incident cases, deaths and DALYs will increase to 150,372 and 53,520 and 1043,688 in 2030, respectively. The disease burden of bladder cancer in males will consistently higher than that in females from 2020 to 2030. Conclusion: Although mortality and DALYs rates showed downward trends, the disease burden remained heavy in China at present. More effective and long-term health policies are needed to develop for early prevention and treatment of bladder cancer.

Time Trend of Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Incidence in China from 1990 to 2019 and Analysis Using an Age-Period-Cohort Model.

The aim of this study was to investigate the upper gastrointestinal cancer incidence trend in China from 1990 to 2019 with Joinpoint software and to evaluate the age effect, cohort effect, and period effect using the age-period-cohort model, with the data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study. The crude incidence rate (CR) of upper gastrointestinal cancer in China increased from 41.48/100,000 in 1990 to 62.64/100,000 in 2019, and the average annual percent change (AAPC) was 1.42 (p < 0.05). The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) decreased from 50.77/100,000 to 37.42/100,000, and the AAPC was -1.12 (p < 0.05). The net drift was -0.83 (p < 0.05), and the local drifts in the 35-79 age groups of males and all age groups of females were less than 0 (p < 0.05). The age effect showed that the upper gastrointestinal cancer onset risk gradually increased with age, the period effect was fundamentally manifested as a downward trend in onset risk after 2000, and the cohort effect indicated the decreased onset risk of the overall birth cohort after 1926. The ASIR of upper gastrointestinal cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 showed a downward trend, and the onset risk indicated the age, period, and cohort effects.

Survival of cancer patients in Fujian, Southeast China: a population-based cancer registry study.

Survival rates are usually used to evaluate the effect of cancer treatment and prevention. No study has focused on the characteristic of population-based cancer survival in Fujian, which is regarded as one of the high-risk areas of cancer in China. This study aims to analyze the 5-year relative survival of patients in Fujian Province using population-based cancer registry data. A total of 8 population-based registries in Fujian Province reported cancer cases diagnosed in 2012-2014. Relative survival was calculated as the ratio between observed survival and expected survival. The 5-year relative survival for all cancers combined was 36.19% and the age-standardized 5-year relative survival for all patients was 31.80%. Females had higher relative survival than males (38.90% and 27.00%). The patients in urban areas had higher relative survival than those in rural areas (32.34% and 31.29%). Lung, gastric, liver, colorectal, and esophageal cancers were the five most common cancers, with 5-year relative survival below 50%. This is the first study that evaluated the population-based cancer relative survival in Fujian, China. Our study suggests that the overall survival of cancer patients in Fujian Province is poor. Furthermore, the results of this study can be used as a baseline for further research in Fujian, and provide important evidence for cancer etiology research.

Time Trends And Age-Period-Cohort Effects On The Incidence Of Gastric Cancer In Changle From 2003 To 2012.

PURPOSE: Although the incidence of gastric cancer in China has declined over the past decades, they were still much higher than the average of global. This aim of this study was to describe the trends and age-period-cohort effects on gastric cancer incidence from 2003 to 2012 in Changle and to explore the potential reason. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on patients with gastric cancer diagnosed between 2003 and 2012 were collected by the population-based Changle cancer registration (n=4111). Age-standardized incidence rates of gastric cancer were calculated and joinpoint regression was used to evaluate the trends of gastric cancer incidence. Time trends in gastric cancer incidence by the period of diagnosis and birth cohort were analyzed by sex. Age-period-cohort analysis was performed to investigate the independent effects of age, period of diagnosis and birth cohort among over 25-year-old residents. RESULTS: A steady downward trend was observed among men, with the incidence ranging from 96.15 per 100,000 in 2003 to 62.6 per 100,000 in 2012 (APC, -5.1%; 95% CI: -6.9 to -3.2%). A similarly declining trend was observed among women with the incidence ranging from 34.5 per 100,000 to 15.7 per 100,000 (APC, -5.7%; 95% CI: -9.3 to -2.0%). Age-period-cohort model of incidence rate showed increasing age effect and decreasing period of diagnosis effects in both men and women. Birth cohorts exhibited a decreasing trend in the incidence among women who were born after 1935 and men after 1940. CONCLUSION: Recent decreases in the incidence of gastric cancer were due to decreased period of diagnosis and cohort effects, which was attributed to the improvements in their lifestyle and habits.