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1.
Front Epidemiol ; 2: 1031230, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38455281

ABSTRACT

Background: Determining the reproductive rate and how it varies over time and space (RT) provides important insight to understand transmission of a given disease and inform optimal strategies for controlling or eliminating it. Estimating RT for malaria is difficult partly due to the widespread use of interventions and immunity to disease masking incident infections. A malaria outbreak in Praia, Cabo Verde in 2017 provided a unique opportunity to estimate RT directly, providing a proxy for the intensity of vector-human contact and measure the impact of vector control measures. Methods: Out of 442 confirmed malaria cases reported in 2017 in Praia, 321 (73%) were geolocated and informed this analysis. RT was calculated using the joint likelihood of transmission between two cases, based on the time (serial interval) and physical distance (spatial interval) between them. Log-linear regression was used to estimate factors associated with changes in RT, including the impact of vector control interventions. A geostatistical model was developed to highlight areas receptive to transmission where vector control activities could be focused in future to prevent or interrupt transmission. Results: The RT from individual cases ranged between 0 and 11 with a median serial- and spatial-interval of 34 days [interquartile range (IQR): 17-52] and 1,347 m (IQR: 832-1,985 m), respectively. The number of households receiving indoor residual spraying (IRS) 4 weeks prior was associated with a reduction in RT by 0.84 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80-0.89; p-value <0.001] in the peak-and post-epidemic compared to the pre-epidemic period. Conclusions: Identifying the effect of reduced human-vector contact through IRS is essential to determining optimal intervention strategies that modify the likelihood of malaria transmission and can inform optimal intervention strategies to accelerate time to elimination. The distance within which two cases are plausibly linked is important for the potential scale of any reactive interventions as well as classifying infections as imported or introduced and confirming malaria elimination.

3.
BMC Public Health ; 16: 633, 2016 07 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27456339

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite considerable reductions in malaria achieved by scaling-up long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS), maintaining sustained community protection remains operationally challenging. Increasing insecticide resistance also threatens to jeopardize the future of both strategies. Non-pyrethroid insecticide-treated wall lining (ITWL) may represent an alternate or complementary control method and a potential tool to manage insecticide resistance. To date no study has demonstrated whether ITWL can reduce malaria transmission nor provide additional protection beyond the current best practice of universal coverage (UC) of LLINs and prompt case management. METHODS/DESIGN: A two-arm cluster randomized controlled trial will be conducted in rural Tanzania to assess whether non-pyrethroid ITWL and UC of LLINs provide added protection against malaria infection in children, compared to UC of LLINs alone. Stratified randomization based on malaria prevalence will be used to select 22 village clusters per arm. All 44 clusters will receive LLINs and half will also have ITWL installed on interior house walls. Study children, aged 6 months to 11 years old, will be enrolled from each cluster and followed monthly to estimate cumulative incidence of malaria parasitaemia (primary endpoint), time to first malaria episode and prevalence of anaemia before and after intervention. Entomological inoculation rate will be estimated using indoor CDC light traps and outdoor tent traps followed by detection of Anopheles gambiae species, sporozoite infection, insecticide resistance and blood meal source. ITWL bioefficacy and durability will be monitored using WHO cone bioassays and household surveys, respectively. Social and cultural factors influencing community and household ITWL acceptability will be explored through focus-group discussions and in-depth interviews. Cost-effectiveness, compared between study arms, will be estimated per malaria case averted. DISCUSSION: This protocol describes the large-scale evaluation of a novel vector control product, designed to overcome some of the known limitations of existing methods. If ITWL is proven to be effective and durable under field conditions, it may warrant consideration for programmatic implementation, particularly in areas with long transmission seasons and where pyrethroid-resistant vectors predominate. Trial findings will provide crucial information for policy makers in Tanzania and other malaria-endemic countries to guide resource allocations for future control efforts. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02533336 registered on 13 July 2014.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure/analysis , Insecticides/administration & dosage , Malaria/prevention & control , Mosquito Control/methods , Anemia/epidemiology , Biological Assay , Child , Child, Preschool , Clinical Protocols , Cluster Analysis , Environmental Exposure/prevention & control , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Insecticide Resistance , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/transmission , Male , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Parasitemia/epidemiology , Prevalence , Rural Population , Surveys and Questionnaires , Tanzania/epidemiology
4.
PLoS One ; 9(9): e106197, 2014.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25180495

ABSTRACT

Recent global malaria burden modeling efforts have produced significantly different estimates, particularly in adult malaria mortality. To measure malaria control progress, accurate malaria burden estimates across age groups are necessary. We determined age-specific malaria mortality rates in western Kenya to compare with recent global estimates. We collected data from 148,000 persons in a health and demographic surveillance system from 2003-2010. Standardized verbal autopsies were conducted for all deaths; probable cause of death was assigned using the InterVA-4 model. Annual malaria mortality rates per 1,000 person-years were generated by age group. Trends were analyzed using Poisson regression. From 2003-2010, in children <5 years the malaria mortality rate decreased from 13.2 to 3.7 per 1,000 person-years; the declines were greatest in the first three years of life. In children 5-14 years, the malaria mortality rate remained stable at 0.5 per 1,000 person-years. In persons ≥15 years, the malaria mortality rate decreased from 1.5 to 0.4 per 1,000 person-years. The malaria mortality rates in young children and persons aged ≥15 years decreased dramatically from 2003-2010 in western Kenya, but rates in older children have not declined. Sharp declines in some age groups likely reflect the national scale up of malaria control interventions and rapid expansion of HIV prevention services. These data highlight the importance of age-specific malaria mortality ascertainment and support current strategies to include all age groups in malaria control interventions.


Subject(s)
Biomedical Research , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Demography , Epidemiological Monitoring , Health Surveys , Malaria/mortality , Age Distribution , Age Factors , Cause of Death , Humans , Kenya/epidemiology , United States
5.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 85(6): 1141-3, 2011 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22144459

ABSTRACT

We molecularly characterized samples with Giardia, Cryptosporidium, and soil-transmitted helminths from a facility-based surveillance system for diarrhea in Santa Rosa, Guatemala. The DNA sequence analysis determined the presence of Giardia assemblages A (N = 7) and B (N = 12) and, Cryptosporidium hominis (N = 2) and Cryptosporidium parvum (N = 2), suggestive of different transmission cycles. All 41 samples with soil-transmitted helminths did not have the ß-tubulin mutation described for benzimidazole resistance, suggesting potential usefulness in mass drug administration campaigns.


Subject(s)
Cryptosporidium/genetics , Giardia/genetics , Helminths/genetics , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Animals , Anthelmintics/therapeutic use , Ascariasis/drug therapy , Ascariasis/parasitology , Ascaris lumbricoides/genetics , Child , Child, Preschool , Cryptosporidiosis/drug therapy , Cryptosporidiosis/parasitology , Cryptosporidium/physiology , Cryptosporidium parvum/genetics , Cryptosporidium parvum/physiology , Drug Resistance/genetics , Giardia/physiology , Giardiasis/drug therapy , Giardiasis/parasitology , Guatemala , Helminths/physiology , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Middle Aged , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction , Soil/parasitology , Trichuriasis/drug therapy , Trichuriasis/parasitology , Trichuris/genetics , Trichuris/physiology , Young Adult
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