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1.
Vasc Health Risk Manag ; 20: 231-244, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38774425

ABSTRACT

Background: While treatment interruption of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) for elective surgery or procedures among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is becoming more prevalent, there remains insufficient evidence regarding the optimal perioperative management of NOACs, particularly procedures with minor bleeding risks. Objective: This study aims to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of a simplified, standardized protocol for perioperative management of direct factor Xa inhibitors in patients, with AF undergoing procedures associated with minor bleeding risk. Methods: This multicenter, prospective single-arm registry study plans to enroll patients undergoing procedures with minor bleeding risk who were prescribed direct factor Xa inhibitors for AF. The procedures with minor bleeding risk will include gastrointestinal endoscopy for diagnostic purposes, selected dental procedures, and ocular surgery for cataracts or glaucoma. For apixaban, patients will withhold the last evening dose and resume either from the evening dose of the procedure day or the following morning, depending on the bleeding risk of the patient. For edoxaban or rivaroxaban, patients will withhold only a single dose on the procedure day. The primary outcome is the occurrence of major bleeding events within 30 days. Secondary outcomes include systemic thromboembolism, all-cause mortality, and a composite of major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding events. Conclusion: This study has the potential to generate evidence regarding the safety of perioperative management for patients, with AF undergoing procedures associated with minor bleeding risk. Trial Registration: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT05801068.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Factor Xa Inhibitors , Hemorrhage , Perioperative Care , Pyrazoles , Pyridones , Registries , Humans , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/mortality , Administration, Oral , Factor Xa Inhibitors/adverse effects , Factor Xa Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , Perioperative Care/methods , Risk Assessment , Pyrazoles/adverse effects , Pyrazoles/administration & dosage , Time Factors , Pyridones/adverse effects , Pyridones/administration & dosage , Pyridones/therapeutic use , Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Pyridines/adverse effects , Pyridines/administration & dosage , Pyridines/therapeutic use , Drug Administration Schedule , Rivaroxaban/adverse effects , Rivaroxaban/administration & dosage , Multicenter Studies as Topic , Research Design , Thiazoles
2.
Intern Emerg Med ; 2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38780748

ABSTRACT

The effect of digoxin and beta-blockers on cardiovascular outcomes and mortality remains unclear. The study aimed to determine differences in cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and death rates among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who were prescribed with beta-blockers, digoxin or combination therapy. Data from phase II/III of the prospective Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) were analysed. The risk of major cardiovascular events (MACE) and death among patients with different prescriptions using COX proportional hazard regression was considered. Propensity score (PS) matching and weighting were further used to adjust for potential confounders of prescription use. A total of 14,201 patients [median age: 71.0 (IQR 64.0-77.0) years; 46.2% female] were recruited. After a median follow-up of 3.0 (IQR 2.4-3.1) years, 864 MACE, and 988 all-cause deaths were recorded. The incidence rate (IR) of MACE was 22.4 (95%CI 21.0-24.0) per 1000 person-years, while the IR of all-cause death was 25.4 (95%CI 23.8-27.0) per 1000 person-years. After multivariate adjustment with Cox regression, the risk of MACE (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.09-1.68) and the risk of all-cause death (HR 1.28, 95%CI 1.04-1.57) were significantly higher in the combination therapy group, compared to the beta-blockers alone group. The risks of MACE and all-cause death remained significant in both PS matched and PS weighted cohort Among AF patients, combination therapy of beta-blockers and digoxin was associated with higher risks of MACE and all-cause death compared to beta-blockers alone.

4.
Intern Emerg Med ; 2023 Oct 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37875703

ABSTRACT

The management of ischaemic stroke survivors is multidisciplinary, necessitating the collaboration of numerous medical professionals and rehabilitation specialists. However, due to the lack of comprehensive and holistic follow-up, their post-discharge management may be suboptimal. Achieving this holistic, patient-centred follow-up requires coordination and interaction of subspecialties, which general practitioners can provide as the first point of contact in healthcare systems. This approach can improve the management of stroke survivors by preventing recurrent stroke through an integrated post-stroke care, including appropriate Antithrombotic therapy, assisting them to have a Better functional and physiological status, early recognition and intervention of Comorbidities, and lifestyles. For such work to succeed, close interdisciplinary collaboration between primary care physicians and other medical specialists is required in a holistic or integrated way.

5.
Intern Emerg Med ; 18(5): 1373-1383, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37296355

ABSTRACT

There is limited information on predicting incident cardiovascular outcomes among high- to very high-risk populations such as the elderly (≥ 65 years) in the absence of prior cardiovascular disease and the presence of non-cardiovascular multi-morbidity. We hypothesized that statistical/machine learning modeling can improve risk prediction, thus helping inform care management strategies. We defined a population from the Medicare health plan, a US government-funded program mostly for the elderly and varied levels of non-cardiovascular multi-morbidity. Participants were screened for cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary or peripheral artery disease (CAD or PAD), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack (TIA), and myocardial infarction (MI) for a 3-yr period in the comorbid history. They were followed up for up to 45.2 months. Analyses included descriptive approaches in terms of incidence rates and density ratios, and inferential in terms of main effect statistical/complex machine learning modeling. The contemporary risk factors of interest spanned across the domains of comorbidity, lifestyle, and healthcare utilization history. The cohort consisted of 154,551 individuals (mean age 68.8 years; 62.2% female). The overall crude incidence rate of CVD events was 9.9 new cases per 100 person-years. The highest rates among its component outcomes were obtained for CAD or PAD (3.6 for each), followed by HF (2.2) and AF (1.8), then IS (1.3), and finally TIA (1.0) and MI (0.9).Model performance was modest in terms of discriminatory power (C index: 0.67, 95%CI 0.667-0.674 for training; and 0.668, 95%CI 0.663-0.673 for validation data), equal agreement between predicted and observed events for calibration purposes, and good clinical utility in terms of a net benefit of 15 true positives per 100 patients relative to the All-patient treatment strategy. Complex models based on machine learning algorithms yielded incrementally better discriminatory power and much improved goodness-of-fitness tests from those based on main effect statistical modeling. This Medicare population represents a highly vulnerable group for incident CVD events. This population would benefit from an integrated approach to their care and management, including attention to their comorbidities and lifestyle factors, as well as medication adherence.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Cardiovascular Diseases , Coronary Artery Disease , Heart Failure , Ischemic Attack, Transient , Myocardial Infarction , Peripheral Arterial Disease , Humans , Female , Aged , United States/epidemiology , Male , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Medicare , Risk Factors , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Algorithms , Machine Learning
6.
Intern Emerg Med ; 18(2): 375-383, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36746890

ABSTRACT

This study aims to determine the frequency and impact of concomitant cerebral infarction and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and association with in-hospital outcomes. We analyzed the nationally representative data from National Inpatient Sample between 2016 and 2019. We used multiple logistic regressions to determine the impact of sustaining a cerebral infarction or AMI on in-hospital mortality and linear regression to evaluate length of stay and hospitalization costs. A total of 2,396,450 admissions for cerebral infarction, 4,098,904 admissions for AMI and 130,635 admissions for both conditions were identified. The in-hospital mortality was 7.2% overall: 5.6% for patients with cerebral infarction, 7.7% for patients with AMI and 19.9% for patients with both conditions (p < 0.001). The median length of stay was 4 days, 3 days and 7 days for cerebral infarction, AMI and when both occurred together, respectively (p < 0.001). The median total healthcare cost for cerebral infarction, AMI and when both occurred was US$10,647, $15,735 and $23,290, respectively (p < 0.001). After adjustments for potential confounders, in-hospital mortality [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 4.07, 95% CI 3.93-4.21], length of stay (aOR 3.95 95% CI 3.85-4.04), and hospitalization cost (regression coefficient 15,480 95% CI 15,135-15,825) were greater for patients with AMI and cerebral infarction compared to admission for cerebral infarction only. Cerebral infarction and AMI during the same hospitalization occurs in 5% of admissions with cerebral infarction and 3% of admission with AMI and is associated with significant increase in mortality, length of stay and cost compared to admissions with either condition alone.


Subject(s)
Inpatients , Myocardial Infarction , Humans , United States/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Hospitalization , Cerebral Infarction/epidemiology , Logistic Models , Hospital Mortality
7.
Intern Emerg Med ; 18(2): 423-428, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36640228

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: An association with aortic aneurysm has been reported among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The aims of this study were to investigate the prevalence of thoracic aorta aneurysm (TAA) among patients with AF and to assess whether the co-presence of TAA is associated with a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using TriNetX, a global federated health research network of anonymised electronic medical records, all adult patients with AF, were categorised into two groups based on the presence of AF and TAA or AF alone. Between 1 January 2017 and 1 January 2019, 874,212 people aged ≥ 18 years with AF were identified. Of these 17,806 (2.04%) had a TAA. After propensity score matching (PSM), 17,805 patients were included in each of the two cohorts. During the 3 years of follow-up, 3079 (17.3%) AF patients with TAA and 2772 (15.6%) patients with AF alone, developed an ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). The risk of ischemic stroke/TIA was significantly higher in patients with AF and TAA (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.04-1.15; log-rank p value < 0.001) The risk of major bleeding was higher in patients with AF and TAA (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.14), but not significant in time-dependent analysis (HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.98-1.10; log-rank p value = 0.187), CONCLUSION: This retrospective analysis reports a clinical concomitance of the two medical conditions, and shows in a PSM analysis an increased risk of ischemic events in patients affected by TAA and AF compared to AF alone.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic , Atrial Fibrillation , Ischemic Attack, Transient , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Adult , Humans , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Stroke/etiology , Stroke/complications , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/complications , Ischemic Stroke/complications
8.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 11(23): e026388, 2022 12 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36444864

ABSTRACT

Background The association between cancer types and specific bleeding events in patients with atrial fibrillation has been scarcely investigated. Also, the performance of bleeding risk scores in this high-risk subgroup of patients is unclear. We investigated the rate of any bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, and gastrointestinal bleeding according to cancer types in patients with atrial fibrillation. We also tested the predictive value of HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and ORBIT bleeding risk scores. Methods and Results Observational retrospective cohort study including hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation and cancer from the French National Hospital Discharge Database (Programme de Medicalisation des Systemes d'Information) from January 2010 to December 2019. Major bleeding was defined according to Bleeding Academic Research Consortium definitions. Patients with HAS-BLED ≥3, ATRIA ≥5, or ORBIT ≥4 were classified as at high bleeding risk. Receiver operating characteristic analysis for each score against any bleeding, major bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage was performed. Areas under the curve (AUCs) were then compared. We included 399 344 patients. Mean age was 77.9±10.2 years, and 63.2% were men. The highest intracranial hemorrhage rates were found in leukemia (1.89%/year), myeloma (1.52%/year), lymphoma and liver (1.45%/year), and pancreas cancer (1.41%/year). Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that ORBIT score predicted best for any bleeding. In addition, ORBIT score ≥4 had the highest predictivity for major bleeding (AUC, 0.805), followed by HAS-BLED ≥3 and ATRIA ≥5 (AUCs, 0.716 and 0.700, respectively). HAS-BLED and ORBIT performed best for intracranial hemorrhage (AUCs, 0.744 and 0.742 for continuous scores, respectively), better than ATRIA (AUC, 0.635). For gastrointestinal bleeding, ORBIT ≥4 had the highest predictivity (AUC, 0.756), followed by the HAS-BLED ≥3 (AUC, 0.702) and ATRIA ≥5 (AUC, 0.662). Conclusions Some cancer types carry a greater bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation. The identification and management of modifiable bleeding risk factors is crucial in these patients, as well as to flag up high bleeding risk patients for early review and follow-up.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation , Orbital Neoplasms , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Humans , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Hospitals , Intracranial Hemorrhages/chemically induced , Intracranial Hemorrhages/diagnosis , Intracranial Hemorrhages/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
9.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 43: 101126, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36237964

ABSTRACT

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke and the combination of AF and mitral stenosis (MS) is associated with a higher risk. In developed nations, degenerative mitral stenosis (DMS) constitutes a sizeable proportion of patients with MS. Current international guidelines do not offer recommendations regarding anticoagulation in these patients. The objective of this study was to describe the incidence of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with DMS with or without prevalent AF. Methods: A cohort study of DMS patients from 1997 to 2018, using data from the Danish health registries. The cohort was stratified based on AF prevalence and prior ischemic stroke. The primary outcome was a diagnosis of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism after 1 year of follow-up from time of DMS diagnosis. Results: The study included 1162 patients with DMS, of which 421 had prevalent AF. The incidence rate of stroke or systemic embolism after 1 year of follow-up was highest in the DMS without AF group (7.58 vs. 6.63 per 100 person-years). In both groups, DMS without AF and DMS with AF, the incidence rate was highest in patients with prior thromboembolic events (29.61 vs. 5.15 and 19.53 vs. 5.15, respectively). Conclusions: The incidence rate of stroke or systemic embolism was highest in DMS patients without AF. Current Danish guidelines recommend DMS patients should be treated with anticoagulation only with concurrent AF, yet our results call for additional research to establish if DMS patients without AF could benefit from stroke prevention therapy.

10.
Am J Cardiol ; 141: 1-6, 2021 02 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33220321

ABSTRACT

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have an increased risk of coronary artery disease (CAD) compared to patients without. Angiographic characteristics, clinical presentation and severity of CAD according to the presence of AF have been poorly described. We performed a retrospective study of 303 consecutive patients (mean age 69.6 ± 10.8 years; 23.1% women) with and without AF undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Data on (1) type of CAD presentation, (2) coronary involvement, and (3) number of diseased coronary vessels (≥70%/luminal narrowing) were collected. CHA2DS2-VASc and 2 major adverse cardiac event (MACE) scores were calculated. Presentation of CAD was ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in 37.6% of patients, non-STEMI- unstable angina in 55.1%, and other in 7.3%. Non-STEMI-unstable angina was more common in AF (69.6% vs 46.6%, p <0.001), while STEMI was more in the non-AF (22.3% vs 46.6%, p <0.001) group. Left anterior descending artery (LAD) was the most common diseased vessel (70.6%) followed by right coronary artery (RCA, 56.4%) and obtuse marginal artery (36.6%). Patients with AF had a significantly lower RCA involvement (47.3% vs 61.8%, p = 0.016), with a trend for LAD (64.3% vs 74.3%, p = 0.069). At multivariable logistic regression analysis, AF remained inversely associated with RCA involvement (odds ratio [OR] 0.541, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.335 to 0.874, p = 0.012) and with ≥3 vessel CAD (OR 0.470, 95% CI 0.272 to 0.810, p = 0.007). The 2MACE score was associated with diseased LAD (OR 1.301, 95% CI 1.103 to 1.535, p = 0.002) and with ≥3 vessel CAD (OR 1.330, 95% CI 1.330 to 1.140, p <0.001). In conclusion, patients with AF show lower RCA involvement and generally less severe CAD compared to non-AF ones. The 2MACE score was higher in LAD obstruction and identified patients with severe CAD.


Subject(s)
Angina, Unstable/physiopathology , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Coronary Artery Disease/physiopathology , Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/physiopathology , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/physiopathology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Angina, Unstable/etiology , Angina, Unstable/surgery , Case-Control Studies , Coronary Angiography , Coronary Artery Disease/complications , Coronary Artery Disease/diagnostic imaging , Coronary Artery Disease/surgery , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/etiology , Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/surgery , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , Retrospective Studies , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/etiology , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/surgery , Severity of Illness Index
11.
Expert Opin Pharmacother ; 19(18): 1999-2009, 2018 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30359142

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with high morbidity and mortality rates due to thromboembolic complications, and anticoagulation is central to the management of this common arrhythmia to prevent acute thromboembolic events. The traditional anticoagulants: heparin, fondaparinux, and vitamin K antagonists (VKA, e.g. warfarin, acenocoumarol or phenprocoumin) have long served as pharmacotherapy for ischemic stroke prophylaxis. Areas covered: In this review article, the authors provide an overview on current and emerging pharmacotherapy for ischemic stroke prevention. Furthermore, they review the data from novel therapeutic targets in the coagulation cascade, and investigational anticoagulant drugs currently assessed in preclinical and clinical studies. Expert opinion: The introduction of nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) was an important milestone, as these drugs show relative efficacy, safety, and convenience compared to the VKAs. Nevertheless, their clinical use still has some limitations with, for example, patients with severe renal impairment and those with mechanical heart valves, high bleeding risks, lack of standard laboratory monitoring and (some) reversal agents. To overcome some of these limitations, various attempts are now underway to discover new strategies and targets via the hemostatic pathway in order to develop new coagulation inhibiting drugs.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Brain Ischemia/prevention & control , Stroke/prevention & control , Administration, Oral , Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Brain Ischemia/etiology , Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Humans , Stroke/etiology , Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Vitamin K/antagonists & inhibitors , Warfarin/therapeutic use
13.
Intern Emerg Med ; 13(7): 1059-1067, 2018 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29736630

ABSTRACT

Prescription of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) requires an assessment of renal function (RF) and the Cockcroft-Gault (CG) equation is traditionally recommended. The objective of the study was to evaluate the potential changes in NOACs management using different equations for estimating RF. In a post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation, we considered different equations: (1) CG for creatinine clearance (CrCl), (2) modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD), (3) CKD-EPI, (4) Berlin Initiative Study 1 (BIS-1) and (5) full age spectrum (FAS), for glomerular filtration rate (GFR). RF was classified according to CrCl in three categories: severely depressed (SD-RF) < 30 ml/min; moderately depressed (MD-RF) 30-49 ml/min; preserved/mildly depressed (P-RF) ≥ 50 ml/min. Concordances in the assignments were analyzed. A population of 402 patients (61.2% males, age 72 ± 11) was categorized according to CrCl: 12 patients (2.9%) as SD-RF, 81 (20.1%) as MD-RF, 309 (76.8%) as P-RF. A potential change in NOACs management could occur using GFR equations rather than CrCl in 16.9% of patients using MDRD formula, in 11.7% using BIS-1, in 14.7% using CKD-EPI and in 12.9% using the FAS equation. Important changes in RF estimates were more frequent in patients aged ≥ 75, but also BMI had a meaningful impact. Use of equations estimating GFR instead of the Cockcroft-Gault equation may result in changes in NOACs management in 12-17% of patients. In the elderly ≥ 75, more pronounced changes in RF classification are detectable according to different equations and NOACs dosing should be further investigated.


Subject(s)
Anticoagulants/administration & dosage , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Kidney Function Tests , Administration, Oral , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Creatinine/urine , Diet , Female , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Male , Prospective Studies , Registries , Retrospective Studies
14.
Intern Emerg Med ; 13(5): 651-660, 2018 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29582316

ABSTRACT

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) increases the risk of mortality in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients. Data on the relationship of COPD to major cardiovascular events (MACE) in AF have not been defined. The aim of the study is to assess the predictive value of COPD on incident MACE in NVAF patients over a 3-year follow-up. In the Atrial Fibrillation Registry for Ankle-Brachial Index Prevalence Assessment-Collaborative Italian Study (ARAPACIS) cohort, we evaluate the impact of COPD on the following clinical endpoints: MACE (including vascular death, fatal/non-fatal MI and stroke/TIA), cardiovascular (CV) death and all-cause mortality. Among 2027 NVAF patients, patients with COPD (9%) are more commonly male, elderly and at higher thromboembolic risk. During a median 36.0 months follow-up, 186 patients experienced MACE: vascular death (n = 72), MI (n = 57), stroke/TIA (n = 57). All major outcomes (including stroke/TIA, MI, vascular death, and all-cause death) are centrally adjudicated. Kaplan-Meier curves show that NVAF patients with COPD are at higher risk for MACE (p < 0.001), CV death (p < 0.001) and all-cause death (p < 0.001). On Cox proportional hazard analysis, COPD is an independent predictor of MACE (Hazard ratio [HR] 1.77, 95% Confidence Intervals [CI] 1.20-2.61; p = 0.004), CV death (HR 2.73, 95% CI 1.76-4.23; p < 0.0001) and all-cause death (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.48-3.16; p < 0.0001). COPD is an independent predictor of MACE, CV death and all-cause death during a long-term follow-up of NVAF patients.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/complications , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cause of Death , Endpoint Determination , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Incidence , Italy/epidemiology , Male , Predictive Value of Tests , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Registries , Risk Factors
15.
Am J Cardiol ; 120(12): 2176-2181, 2017 Dec 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29111209

ABSTRACT

We investigated the incidence of nonembolic adverse events in 2 cohorts of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and validated the 2MACE score ([metabolic syndrome, age ≥75] [doubled]; [myocardial infarction or revascularization, congestive heart failure {HF}, and stroke, transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism]) as predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). We recruited 2,630 patients with AF from 2 different cohorts (Murcia AF and FANTASIIA). The 2MACE score was calculated, and during a median of 7.2 years (Murcia AF cohort) and 1.01 years (FANTASIIA) of follow-up, we recorded all nonembolic adverse events and MACEs (composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction or revascularization and cardiovascular death). Receiver operating characteristic curves comparison, reclassification and discriminatory analyses, and decision curve analyses were performed to compare predictive ability and clinical usefulness of the 2MACE score against CHA2DS2-VASc. During follow-up, there were 65 MACEs in the Murcia cohort and 60 in the FANTASIIA cohort. Events rates were higher in the high-risk category (score ≥3) (1.94%/year vs 0.81%/year in the Murcia cohort; 6.01%/year vs 1.71%/year, in FANTASIIA, both p <0.001). The predictive performance of 2MACE according to the receiver operating characteristic curve was significantly higher than that of CHA2DS2-VASc (0.662 vs 0.618, p = 0.008 in the Murcia cohort; 0.656 vs 0.565, p = 0.003 in FANTASIIA). Decision curve analyses demonstrated improved clinical usefulness of the 2MACE compared with the CHA2DS2-VASc score. In conclusion, in "real-world" patients with AF, the 2MACE score is a good predictor of MACEs. A score ≥3 should be used to categorize patients at "high risk," in identifying patients at risk of MACE.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Risk Assessment , Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Incidence , Ischemic Attack, Transient/etiology , Male , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Spain/epidemiology , Thromboembolism/etiology
16.
Intern Emerg Med ; 11(2): 199-204, 2016 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26471883

ABSTRACT

Recent findings suggest that patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), in addition to having a high risk for ischemic stroke, are also at risk for myocardial infarction (MI). The aim of the study was to combine factors predicting Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) in AF patients, including fatal/nonfatal MI, cardiac revascularization, and cardiovascular death, into a simple risk score. Predictors of MACE were obtained from a prospective observational cohort study, including 1019 AF patients taking vitamin K antagonists from the Atherothrombosis Center, of Sapienza University of Rome. Thus, we derived the 2MACE score [2 points for Metabolic Syndrome and Age ≥75, 1 point for MI/revascularization, Congestive heart failure (ejection fraction ≤40 %), thrombo-Embolism (stroke/transient ischemic attack)], ranging from 0 to 7 points. To evaluate the 2MACE score, we included an external validation cohort of 1089 anticoagulated AF patients from the Thrombosis Centre of Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi, Firenze, Italy. At follow-up, 111 AF patients in the internal and 68 in the external cohort experienced a MACE. The 2MACE score showed a good ability in discriminating AF patients experiencing MACE both in the internal derivation cohort, with a c-index of 0.79 [95 % Confidence Interval (CI) 0.71-0.90, p < 0.001] and in the external validation cohort (c-index 0.66, 95 % CI 0.60-0.73, p < 0.001). The overall Hazard Ratio (HR) was 1.61 (95 % CI 1.40-1.85, p < 0.001) for each additional point. A 2MACE score ≥3 had the best combination of specificity and sensitivity, with an HR of 3.92 (95 % CI 2.41-6.40, p < 0.001). The new simple 2MACE score may help identifying AF patients at risk for cardiovascular events.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Atrial Fibrillation/mortality , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Revascularization , Risk Factors , Sensitivity and Specificity
17.
Am J Cardiol ; 114(8): 1243-8, 2014 Oct 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25260814

ABSTRACT

Increased combined free light chains (cFLCs) are strongly prognostic of death in general populations and in patients with chronic kidney disease, but scarce data are available on cFLC in heart failure (HF). The aim of this study was to assess the dynamics and prognostic significance of cFLC levels in patients after admission with acute HF (AHF). cFLC measurements were compared in 49 patients with AHF, 37 patients with stable HF, 43 patients with stable coronary artery disease and without HF ("disease controls"), and 37 healthy controls. The association of cFLC with death and/or rehospitalization was assessed. Patients with AHF had significantly elevated cFLC levels, compared with other groups (p <0.001). Patients with stable HF showed higher levels of cFLCs than healthy controls. In patients with AHF, cFLC levels were correlated with cystatin C (Spearman's r = 0.63, p <0.001) and creatinine (Spearman's r = 0.47, p = 0.002). During 3-month follow-up, brain natriuretic peptide was reduced significantly (p = 0.017), but cFLCs did not change significantly. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, the higher quartiles of cFLCs were significantly associated with death or readmission (hazard ratio 8.34, 95% confidence interval 2.38 to 29.22, p = 0.0009) after adjustment for age, gender, brain natriuretic peptide and cystatin C levels. Higher quartiles of cFLCs were prognostic for death alone (hazard ratio 14.0, 95% confidence interval 1.72 to 113.8, p = 0.014). In conclusion, increased serum cFLC concentrations in patients with AHF were independently associated with prognosis. In patients with AHF, elevated cFLC levels persist long after clinical stabilization, which may reflect immune disturbances and/or the reduced capacity of (perhaps functionally impaired) kidneys and the endothelium to eliminate them.


Subject(s)
Atherosclerosis/complications , Coronary Artery Disease/complications , Heart Failure/blood , Myosin Light Chains/blood , Acute Disease , Aged , Atherosclerosis/blood , Biomarkers/blood , Coronary Artery Disease/blood , Coronary Artery Disease/epidemiology , Disease Progression , Echocardiography , Female , Flow Cytometry , Follow-Up Studies , Gated Blood-Pool Imaging , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Heart Failure/etiology , Humans , Incidence , Male , Prognosis , Survival Rate/trends , Time Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology
18.
Intern Emerg Med ; 9(4): 443-7, 2014 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24652166

ABSTRACT

Stroke prevention, achieved with oral anticoagulation therapy (OAT), is central to the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Well-managed OAT, as reflected by a long time in therapeutic range (TTR), is associated with good clinical outcomes. The SAME-TT2R2 score has been proposed to identify patients who will maintain a high average TTR on vitamin K antagonists (VKA) treatment. The objective of the study was to validate this score in a cohort of AF patients followed by an anticoagulation clinic. We applied the SAME-TT2R2 score to 1,089 patients with AF on VKAs followed by two anticoagulation clinics. The median TTR overall for the whole cohort was 73.0 %. There was a significant decline in mean (or median) TTR in relation to the SAME-TT2R2 score (p = 0.042). When the SAME-TT2R2 scores were categorized we find a TTR 74.0 % for score ≤2 and 68.0 % for score >2 (p = 0.006). The rate of major bleeding events and stroke/TIA was 1.78 × 100 patient-years (pt-yrs) and 1.26 × 100 pt-yrs, respectively. No relationship exists between the SAME-TT2R2 score and adverse events. We describe the first validation of the SAME-TT2R2 score in AF patients where, despite an overall good quality of anticoagulation, the SAME-TT2R2 score is able to identify the patients who are less likely to do well on VKA therapy if this is the chosen OAT.


Subject(s)
Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Patient Selection , Stroke/etiology , Stroke/prevention & control , Vitamin K/antagonists & inhibitors , Warfarin/therapeutic use , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies
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