Incidence of cardiovascular events after kidney transplantation and cardiovascular risk scores: study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the major cause of death after renal transplantation. Not only conventional CVD risk factors, but also transplant-specific risk factors can influence the development of CVD in kidney transplant recipients. The main objective of this study will be to determine the incidence of post-transplant CVD after renal transplantation and related factors. A secondary objective will be to examine the ability of standard cardiovascular risk scores (Framingham, REGICOR, SCORE, and DORICA) to predict post-transplantation cardiovascular events in renal transplant recipients, and to develop a new score for predicting the risk of CVD after kidney transplantation. METHODS/DESIGN: Observational prospective cohort study of all kidney transplant recipients in the A Coruna Hospital (Spain) in the period 1981-2008 (2059 transplants corresponding to 1794 patients). The variables included will be: donor and recipient characteristics, chronic kidney disease-related risk factors, pre-transplant and post-transplant cardiovascular risk factors, routine biochemistry, and immunosuppressive, antihypertensive and lipid-lowering treatment. The events studied in the follow-up will be: patient and graft survival, acute rejection episodes and cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, invasive coronary artery therapy, cerebral vascular events, new-onset angina, congestive heart failure, rhythm disturbances and peripheral vascular disease). Four cardiovascular risk scores were calculated at the time of transplantation: the Framingham score, the European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) equation, and the REGICOR (Registre Gironi del COR (Gerona Heart Registry)), and DORICA (Dyslipidemia, Obesity, and Cardiovascular Risk) functions. The cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events will be analyzed by competing risk survival methods. The clinical relevance of different variables will be calculated using the ARR (Absolute Risk Reduction), RRR (Relative Risk Reduction) and NNT (Number Needed to Treat). The ability of different cardiovascular risk scores to predict cardiovascular events will be analyzed by using the c index and the area under ROC curves. Based on the competing risks analysis, a nomogram to predict the probability of cardiovascular events after kidney transplantation will be developed. DISCUSSION: This study will make it possible to determine the post-transplant incidence of cardiovascular events in a large cohort of renal transplant recipients in Spain, to confirm the relationship between traditional and transplant-specific cardiovascular risk factors and CVD, and to develop a score to predict the risk of CVD in these patients.

Progression of renal disease measured by the reciprocal of serum creatinine.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to quantify the decrease in the reciprocal of serum creatinine during the two years prior to the start of dialysis and to identify the factors associated with the progression of renal disease. METHODS: The study included 76 patients who were monitored for an average of 26.27 months. During the study 52 patients began dialysis treatments. The clinical and analytical variables were analyzed using the t-student test, ANOVA or the Kruskall-Wallis test. A multiple regression analysis was carried out with the decrease in the reciprocal of serum creatinine as the dependent variable. RESULTS: There was a decrease between the mean value during the two years prior to dialysis, the mean value during the previous year and the value at the start of dialysis treatments of 0.29, 0.21 and 0.17 respectively. The nephropathy having the sharpest drop in the reciprocal of serum creatinine, expressed as a percentage of the initial value, was found to be nephroangiosclerosis (46.29%). A greater decline in the reciprocal of serum creatinine was exhibited by low albumin values and adjusted by means of different variables with LDL levels (p = 0.141). For different levels of haemoglobin, proteinuria and cholesterol, the drop in the reciprocal of serum creatinine was greater in patients having a diastolic blood pressure reading of 90 or greater. CONCLUSIONS: The decrease in the reciprocal of serum creatinine was associated with different variables in patients who required dialysis.