Predicting post-surgical functional status in high-grade glioma with resting state fMRI and machine learning.

PURPOSE: High-grade glioma (HGG) is the most common and deadly malignant glioma of the central nervous system. The current standard of care includes surgical resection of the tumor, which can lead to functional and cognitive deficits. The aim of this study is to develop models capable of predicting functional outcomes in HGG patients before surgery, facilitating improved disease management and informed patient care. METHODS: Adult HGG patients (N = 102) from the neurosurgery brain tumor service at Washington University Medical Center were retrospectively recruited. All patients completed structural neuroimaging and resting state functional MRI prior to surgery. Demographics, measures of resting state network connectivity (FC), tumor location, and tumor volume were used to train a random forest classifier to predict functional outcomes based on Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS < 70, KPS ≥ 70). RESULTS: The models achieved a nested cross-validation accuracy of 94.1% and an AUC of 0.97 in classifying KPS. The strongest predictors identified by the model included FC between somatomotor, visual, auditory, and reward networks. Based on location, the relation of the tumor to dorsal attention, cingulo-opercular, and basal ganglia networks were strong predictors of KPS. Age was also a strong predictor. However, tumor volume was only a moderate predictor. CONCLUSION: The current work demonstrates the ability of machine learning to classify postoperative functional outcomes in HGG patients prior to surgery accurately. Our results suggest that both FC and the tumor's location in relation to specific networks can serve as reliable predictors of functional outcomes, leading to personalized therapeutic approaches tailored to individual patients.

Comparison of cerebrospinal fluid, plasma and neuroimaging biomarker utility in Alzheimer's disease.

Alzheimer's disease biomarkers are crucial to understanding disease pathophysiology, aiding accurate diagnosis and identifying target treatments. Although the number of biomarkers continues to grow, the relative utility and uniqueness of each is poorly understood as prior work has typically calculated serial pairwise relationships on only a handful of markers at a time. The present study assessed the cross-sectional relationships among 27 Alzheimer's disease biomarkers simultaneously and determined their ability to predict meaningful clinical outcomes using machine learning. Data were obtained from 527 community-dwelling volunteers enrolled in studies at the Charles F. and Joanne Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center at Washington University in St Louis. We used hierarchical clustering to group 27 imaging, CSF and plasma measures of amyloid beta, tau [phosphorylated tau (p-tau), total tau t-tau)], neuronal injury and inflammation drawn from MRI, PET, mass-spectrometry assays and immunoassays. Neuropsychological and genetic measures were also included. Random forest-based feature selection identified the strongest predictors of amyloid PET positivity across the entire cohort. Models also predicted cognitive impairment across the entire cohort and in amyloid PET-positive individuals. Four clusters emerged reflecting: core Alzheimer's disease pathology (amyloid and tau), neurodegeneration, AT8 antibody-associated phosphorylated tau sites and neuronal dysfunction. In the entire cohort, CSF p-tau181/Aß40lumi and Aß42/Aß40lumi and mass spectrometry measurements for CSF pT217/T217, pT111/T111, pT231/T231 were the strongest predictors of amyloid PET status. Given their ability to denote individuals on an Alzheimer's disease pathological trajectory, these same markers (CSF pT217/T217, pT111/T111, p-tau/Aß40lumi and t-tau/Aß40lumi) were largely the best predictors of worse cognition in the entire cohort. When restricting analyses to amyloid-positive individuals, the strongest predictors of impaired cognition were tau PET, CSF t-tau/Aß40lumi, p-tau181/Aß40lumi, CSF pT217/217 and pT205/T205. Non-specific CSF measures of neuronal dysfunction and inflammation were poor predictors of amyloid PET and cognitive status. The current work utilized machine learning to understand the interrelationship structure and utility of a large number of biomarkers. The results demonstrate that, although the number of biomarkers has rapidly expanded, many are interrelated and few strongly predict clinical outcomes. Examining the entire corpus of available biomarkers simultaneously provides a meaningful framework to understand Alzheimer's disease pathobiological change as well as insight into which biomarkers may be most useful in Alzheimer's disease clinical practice and trials.

Optimal approaches to analyzing functional MRI data in glioma patients.

BACKGROUND: Resting-state fMRI is increasingly used to study the effects of gliomas on the functional organization of the brain. A variety of preprocessing techniques and functional connectivity analyses are represented in the literature. However, there so far has been no systematic comparison of how alternative methods impact observed results. NEW METHOD: We first surveyed current literature and identified alternative analytical approaches commonly used in the field. Following, we systematically compared alternative approaches to atlas registration, parcellation scheme, and choice of graph-theoretical measure as regards differentiating glioma patients (N = 59) from age-matched reference subjects (N = 163). RESULTS: Our results suggest that non-linear, as opposed to affine registration, improves structural match to an atlas, as well as measures of functional connectivity. Functionally- as opposed to anatomically-derived parcellation schemes maximized the contrast between glioma patients and reference subjects. We also demonstrate that graph-theoretic measures strongly depend on parcellation granularity, parcellation scheme, and graph density. COMPARISON WITH EXISTING METHODS AND CONCLUSIONS: Our current work primarily focuses on technical optimization of rs-fMRI analysis in glioma patients and, therefore, is fundamentally different from the bulk of papers discussing glioma-induced functional network changes. We report that the evaluation of glioma-induced alterations in the functional connectome strongly depends on analytical approaches including atlas registration, choice of parcellation scheme, and graph-theoretical measures.

Predicting survival in glioblastoma with multimodal neuroimaging and machine learning.

PURPOSE: Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common and aggressive malignant glioma, with an overall median survival of less than two years. The ability to predict survival before treatment in GBM patients would lead to improved disease management, clinical trial enrollment, and patient care. METHODS: GBM patients (N = 133, mean age 60.8 years, median survival 14.1 months, 57.9% male) were retrospectively recruited from the neurosurgery brain tumor service at Washington University Medical Center. All patients completed structural neuroimaging and resting state functional MRI (RS-fMRI) before surgery. Demographics, measures of cortical thickness (CT), and resting state functional network connectivity (FC) were used to train a deep neural network to classify patients based on survival (< 1y, 1-2y, >2y). Permutation feature importance identified the strongest predictors of survival based on the trained models. RESULTS: The models achieved a combined cross-validation and hold out accuracy of 90.6% in classifying survival (< 1y, 1-2y, >2y). The strongest demographic predictors were age at diagnosis and sex. The strongest CT predictors of survival included the superior temporal sulcus, parahippocampal gyrus, pericalcarine, pars triangularis, and middle temporal regions. The strongest FC features primarily involved dorsal and inferior somatomotor, visual, and cingulo-opercular networks. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that machine learning can accurately classify survival in GBM patients based on multimodal neuroimaging before any surgical or medical intervention. These results were achieved without information regarding presentation symptoms, treatments, postsurgical outcomes, or tumor genomic information. Our results suggest GBMs have a global effect on the brain's structural and functional organization, which is predictive of survival.

Glioblastoma induces whole-brain spectral change in resting state fMRI: Associations with clinical comorbidities and overall survival.

Glioblastoma, a highly aggressive form of brain tumor, is a brain-wide disease. We evaluated the impact of tumor burden on whole brain resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) activity. Specifically, we analyzed rs-fMRI signals in the temporal frequency domain in terms of the power-law exponent and fractional amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations (fALFF). We contrasted 189 patients with newly-diagnosed glioblastoma versus 189 age-matched healthy reference participants from an external dataset. The patient and reference datasets were matched for age and head motion. The principal finding was markedly flatter spectra and reduced grey matter fALFF in the patients as compared to the reference dataset. We posit that the whole-brain spectral change is attributable to global dysregulation of excitatory and inhibitory balance and metabolic demand in the tumor-bearing brain. Additionally, we observed that clinical comorbidities, in particular, seizures, and MGMT promoter methylation, were associated with flatter spectra. Notably, the degree of change in spectra was predictive of overall survival. Our findings suggest that frequency domain analysis of rs-fMRI activity provides prognostic information in glioblastoma patients and offers a means of noninvasively studying the effects of glioblastoma on the whole brain.

Structural gray matter alterations in glioblastoma and high-grade glioma-A potential biomarker of survival.

Background: Patients with glioblastoma (GBM) and high-grade glioma (HGG, World Health Organization [WHO] grade IV glioma) have a poor prognosis. Consequently, there is an unmet clinical need for accessible and noninvasively acquired predictive biomarkers of overall survival in patients. This study evaluated morphological changes in the brain separated from the tumor invasion site (ie, contralateral hemisphere). Specifically, we examined the prognostic value of widespread alterations of cortical thickness (CT) in GBM/HGG patients. Methods: We used FreeSurfer, applied with high-resolution T1-weighted MRI, to examine CT, evaluated prior to standard treatment with surgery and chemoradiation in patients (GBM/HGG, N = 162, mean age 61.3 years) and 127 healthy controls (HC; 61.9 years mean age). We then compared CT in patients to HC and studied patients' associated changes in CT as a potential biomarker of overall survival. Results: Compared to HC cases, patients had thinner gray matter in the contralesional hemisphere at the time of tumor diagnosis. patients had significant cortical thinning in parietal, temporal, and occipital lobes. Fourteen cortical parcels showed reduced CT, whereas in 5, it was thicker in patients' cases. Notably, CT in the contralesional hemisphere, various lobes, and parcels was predictive of overall survival. A machine learning classification algorithm showed that CT could differentiate short- and long-term survival patients with an accuracy of 83.3%. Conclusions: These findings identify previously unnoticed structural changes in the cortex located in the hemisphere contralateral to the primary tumor mass. Observed changes in CT may have prognostic value, which could influence care and treatment planning for individual patients.

Data-efficient resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging brain mapping with deep learning.

OBJECTIVE: Resting-state functional MRI (RS-fMRI) enables the mapping of function within the brain and is emerging as an efficient tool for the presurgical evaluation of eloquent cortex. Models capable of reliable and precise mapping of resting-state networks (RSNs) with a reduced scanning time would lead to improved patient comfort while reducing the cost per scan. The aims of the present study were to develop a deep 3D convolutional neural network (3DCNN) capable of voxel-wise mapping of language (LAN) and motor (MOT) RSNs with minimal quantities of RS-fMRI data. METHODS: Imaging data were gathered from multiple ongoing studies at Washington University School of Medicine and other thoroughly characterized, publicly available data sets. All study participants (n = 2252 healthy adults) were cognitively screened and completed structural neuroimaging and RS-fMRI. Random permutations of RS-fMRI regions of interest were used to train a 3DCNN. After training, model inferences were compared using varying amounts of RS-fMRI data from the control data set as well as 5 patients with glioblastoma multiforme. RESULTS: The trained model achieved 96% out-of-sample validation accuracy on data encompassing a large age range collected on multiple scanner types and varying sequence parameters. Testing on out-of-sample control data showed 97.9% similarity between results generated using either 50 or 200 RS-fMRI time points, corresponding to approximately 2.5 and 10 minutes, respectively (96.9% LAN, 96.3% MOT true-positive rate). In evaluating data from patients with brain tumors, the 3DCNN was able to accurately map LAN and MOT networks despite structural and functional alterations. CONCLUSIONS: Functional maps produced by the 3DCNN can inform surgical planning in patients with brain tumors in a time-efficient manner. The authors present a highly efficient method for presurgical functional mapping and thus improved functional preservation in patients with brain tumors.

Predicting continuous amyloid PET values with CSF and plasma Aß42/Aß40.

Introduction: Continuous measures of amyloid burden as measured by positron emission tomography (PET) are being used increasingly to stage Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study examined whether cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma amyloid beta (Aß)42/Aß40 could predict continuous values for amyloid PET. Methods: CSF Aß42 and Aß40 were measured with automated immunoassays. Plasma Aß42 and Aß40 were measured with an immunoprecipitation-mass spectrometry assay. Amyloid PET was performed with Pittsburgh compound B (PiB). The continuous relationships of CSF and plasma Aß42/Aß40 with amyloid PET burden were modeled. Results: Most participants were cognitively normal (427 of 491 [87%]) and the mean age was 69.0 ± 8.8 years. CSF Aß42/Aß40 predicted amyloid PET burden until a relatively high level of amyloid accumulation (69.8 Centiloids), whereas plasma Aß42/Aß40 predicted amyloid PET burden until a lower level (33.4 Centiloids). Discussion: CSF Aß42/Aß40 predicts the continuous level of amyloid plaque burden over a wider range than plasma Aß42/Aß40 and may be useful in AD staging. Highlights: Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) amyloid beta (Aß)42/Aß40 predicts continuous amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) values up to a relatively high burden.Plasma Aß42/Aß40 is a comparatively dichotomous measure of brain amyloidosis.Models can predict regional amyloid PET burden based on CSF Aß42/Aß40.CSF Aß42/Aß40 may be useful in staging AD.

Multimodal brain age estimates relate to Alzheimer disease biomarkers and cognition in early stages: a cross-sectional observational study.

Background: Estimates of 'brain-predicted age' quantify apparent brain age compared to normative trajectories of neuroimaging features. The brain age gap (BAG) between predicted and chronological age is elevated in symptomatic Alzheimer disease (AD) but has not been well explored in presymptomatic AD. Prior studies have typically modeled BAG with structural MRI, but more recently other modalities, including functional connectivity (FC) and multimodal MRI, have been explored. Methods: We trained three models to predict age from FC, structural (S), or multimodal MRI (S+FC) in 390 amyloid-negative cognitively normal (CN/A-) participants (18-89 years old). In independent samples of 144 CN/A-, 154 CN/A+, and 154 cognitively impaired (CI; CDR > 0) participants, we tested relationships between BAG and AD biomarkers of amyloid and tau, as well as a global cognitive composite. Results: All models predicted age in the control training set, with the multimodal model outperforming the unimodal models. All three BAG estimates were significantly elevated in CI compared to controls. FC-BAG was significantly reduced in CN/A+ participants compared to CN/A-. In CI participants only, elevated S-BAG and S+FC BAG were associated with more advanced AD pathology and lower cognitive performance. Conclusions: Both FC-BAG and S-BAG are elevated in CI participants. However, FC and structural MRI also capture complementary signals. Specifically, FC-BAG may capture a unique biphasic response to presymptomatic AD pathology, while S-BAG may capture pathological progression and cognitive decline in the symptomatic stage. A multimodal age-prediction model improves sensitivity to healthy age differences. Funding: This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health (P01-AG026276, P01- AG03991, P30-AG066444, 5-R01-AG052550, 5-R01-AG057680, 1-R01-AG067505, 1S10RR022984-01A1, and U19-AG032438), the BrightFocus Foundation (A2022014F), and the Alzheimer's Association (SG-20-690363-DIAN).

The brains of people with advanced Alzheimer's disease often look older than expected based on the patients' actual age. This 'brain age gap' (how old a brain appears compared to the person's chronological age) can be calculated thanks to machine learning algorithms which analyse images of the organ to detect changes related to aging. Traditionally, these models have relied on images of the brain structure, such as the size and thickness of various brain areas; more recent models have started to use activity data, such as how different brain regions work together to form functional networks. While the brain age gap is a useful measure for researchers who investigate aging and disease, it is not yet helpful for clinicians. For example, it is unclear whether the machine learning algorithm could detect changes in the brains of individuals in the initial stages of Alzheimer's disease, before they start to manifest cognitive symptoms. Millar et al. explored this question by testing whether models which incorporate structural and activity data could be more sensitive to these early changes. Three machine learning algorithms (relying on either structural data, activity data, or combination of both) were used to predict the brain ages of participants with no sign of disease; with biological markers of Alzheimer's disease but preserved cognitive functions; and with marked cognitive symptoms of the condition. Overall, the combined model was slightly better at predicting the brain age of healthy volunteers, and all three models indicated that patients with dementia had a brain which looked older than normal. For this group, the model based on structural data was also able to make predictions which reflected the severity of cognitive decline. Crucially, the algorithm which used activity data predicted that, in individuals with biological markers of Alzheimer's disease but no cognitive impairment, the brain looked in fact younger than chronological age. Exactly why this is the case remains unclear, but this signal may be driven by neural processes which unfold in the early stages of the disease. While more research is needed, the work by Millar et al. helps to explore how various types of machine learning models could one day be used to assess and predict brain health.

Biomarker clustering in autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease.

INTRODUCTION: As the number of biomarkers used to study Alzheimer's disease (AD) continues to increase, it is important to understand the utility of any given biomarker, as well as what additional information a biomarker provides when compared to others. METHODS: We used hierarchical clustering to group 19 cross-sectional biomarkers in autosomal dominant AD. Feature selection identified biomarkers that were the strongest predictors of mutation status and estimated years from symptom onset (EYO). Biomarkers identified included clinical assessments, neuroimaging, cerebrospinal fluid amyloid, and tau, and emerging biomarkers of neuronal integrity and inflammation. RESULTS: Three primary clusters were identified: neurodegeneration, amyloid/tau, and emerging biomarkers. Feature selection identified amyloid and tau measures as the primary predictors of mutation status and EYO. Emerging biomarkers of neuronal integrity and inflammation were relatively weak predictors. DISCUSSION: These results provide novel insight into our understanding of the relationships among biomarkers and the staging of biomarkers based on disease progression.

Assessment of Pretreatment and Posttreatment Evolution of Neurofilament Light Chain Levels in Patients Who Develop Immune Effector Cell-Associated Neurotoxicity Syndrome.

Importance: Determining whether neurofilament light chain (NfL) elevations in patients who develop immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome (ICANS) occur before or after infusion of cellular product is important to identify high-risk patients and inform whether neuroaxonal injury is latent or a consequence of treatment. Objective: To quantify serial NfL levels in patients undergoing cellular therapy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective 2-center study examined plasma NfL levels in 30 patients with detailed medical and treatment history, including all major pretreatment and posttreatment risk factors. Exclusion criteria included dementia and severe, symptomatic central nervous system (CNS) involvement. Main Outcomes and Measures: Patients' NfL levels were measured at 7 time points: baseline (prelymphodepletion), during lymphodepletion, postinfusion day (D) 1, D3, D7, D14, and D30. Prediction accuracy for the development of ICANS was next modeled using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) classification. Finally, univariate and multivariate modeling examined the association between NfL levels, ICANS, and potential risk factors including demographic (age, sex), oncologic (tumor burden, history of CNS involvement), neurologic (history of nononcologic CNS disease or neuropathy), and neurotoxic exposure histories (vincristine, cytarabine, methotrexate, or CNS radiotherapy). Results: A total of 30 patients (median [range] age, 64 [22-80] years; 12 women [40%] and 18 men [60%]) were included. Individuals who developed ICANS had elevations in NfL prior to lymphodepletion and chimeric antigen receptor T-cell infusion compared with those who did not develop ICANS (no ICANS: 29.4 pg/mL, vs any ICANS: 87.6 pg/mL; P < .001). Baseline NfL levels further predicted ICANS development with high accuracy (area under the ROC curve, 0.96), sensitivity (0.91), and specificity (0.95). Levels of NfL remained elevated across all time points, up to 30 days postinfusion. Baseline NfL levels correlated with ICANS severity but not demographic factors, oncologic history, nononcologic neurologic history, or history of exposure to neurotoxic therapies. Conclusions and Relevance: In a subset of patients in this cross-sectional study, the risk of developing ICANS was associated with preexisting neuroaxonal injury that was quantifiable with plasma NfL level. This latent neuroaxonal injury was present prior to drug administration but was not associated with historic neurotoxic therapies or nononcologic neurologic disease. Preinfusion NfL may further permit early screening and identification of patients most at risk for ICANS. Additional studies are needed to determine NfL's utility as a predictive biomarker for early (preemptive or prophylactic) intervention and to delineate the origin of this underlying neural injury.

Predicting brain age from functional connectivity in symptomatic and preclinical Alzheimer disease.

"Brain-predicted age" quantifies apparent brain age compared to normative neuroimaging trajectories. Advanced brain-predicted age has been well established in symptomatic Alzheimer disease (AD), but is underexplored in preclinical AD. Prior brain-predicted age studies have typically used structural MRI, but resting-state functional connectivity (FC) remains underexplored. Our model predicted age from FC in 391 cognitively normal, amyloid-negative controls (ages 18-89). We applied the trained model to 145 amyloid-negative, 151 preclinical AD, and 156 symptomatic AD participants to test group differences. The model accurately predicted age in the training set. FC-predicted brain age gaps (FC-BAG) were significantly older in symptomatic AD and significantly younger in preclinical AD compared to controls. There was minimal correspondence between networks predictive of age and AD. Elevated FC-BAG may reflect network disruption during symptomatic AD. Reduced FC-BAG in preclinical AD was opposite to the expected direction, and may reflect a biphasic response to preclinical AD pathology or may be driven by inconsistency between age-related vs. AD-related networks. Overall, FC-predicted brain age may be a sensitive AD biomarker.

Deep learning resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging lateralization of temporal lobe epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: Localization of focal epilepsy is critical for surgical treatment of refractory seizures. There remains a great need for noninvasive techniques to localize seizures for surgical decision-making. We investigate the use of deep learning using resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging (RS-fMRI) to identify the hemisphere of seizure onset in temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) patients. METHODS: A total of 2132 healthy controls and 32 preoperative TLE patients were studied. All participants underwent structural MRI and RS-fMRI. Healthy control data were used to generate training samples for a three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3DCNN). RS-fMRI was synthetically altered in randomly lateralized regions in the healthy control participants. The model was then trained to classify the hemisphere containing synthetic noise. Finally, the model was tested on TLE patients to assess its performance for detecting biological seizure onset zones, and gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) identified the strongest predictive regions. RESULTS: The 3DCNN classified healthy control hemispheres known to contain synthetic noise with 96% accuracy, and TLE hemispheres clinically identified to be seizure onset zones with 90.6% accuracy. Grad-CAM identified a range of temporal, frontal, parietal, and subcortical regions that were strong anatomical predictors of the seizure onset zone, and the resting state networks that colocalized with Grad-CAM results included default mode, medial temporal, and dorsal attention networks. Lastly, in an analysis of a subset of patients with postsurgical outcomes, the 3DCNN leveraged a more focal set of regions to achieve classification in patients with Engel Class >I compared to Engel Class I. SIGNIFICANCE: Noninvasive techniques capable of localizing the seizure onset zone could improve presurgical planning in patients with intractable epilepsy. We have demonstrated the ability of deep learning to identify the correct hemisphere of the seizure onset zone in TLE patients using RS-fMRI with high accuracy. This approach represents a novel technique of seizure lateralization that could improve preoperative surgical planning.

Resting state network mapping in individuals using deep learning.

Introduction: Resting state functional MRI (RS-fMRI) is currently used in numerous clinical and research settings. The localization of resting state networks (RSNs) has been utilized in applications ranging from group analysis of neurodegenerative diseases to individual network mapping for pre-surgical planning of tumor resections. Reproducibility of these results has been shown to require a substantial amount of high-quality data, which is not often available in clinical or research settings. Methods: In this work, we report voxelwise mapping of a standard set of RSNs using a novel deep 3D convolutional neural network (3DCNN). The 3DCNN was trained on publicly available functional MRI data acquired in n = 2010 healthy participants. After training, maps that represent the probability of a voxel belonging to a particular RSN were generated for each participant, and then used to calculate mean and standard deviation (STD) probability maps, which are made publicly available. Further, we compared our results to previously published resting state and task-based functional mappings. Results: Our results indicate this method can be applied in individual subjects and is highly resistant to both noisy data and fewer RS-fMRI time points than are typically acquired. Further, our results show core regions within each network that exhibit high average probability and low STD. Discussion: The 3DCNN algorithm can generate individual RSN localization maps, which are necessary for clinical applications. The similarity between 3DCNN mapping results and task-based fMRI responses supports the association of specific functional tasks with RSNs.

Modeling the Effects of HIV and Aging on Resting-State Networks Using Machine Learning.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between HIV infection, the functional organization of the brain, cognitive impairment, and aging remains poorly understood. Understanding disease progression over the life span is vital for the care of people living with HIV (PLWH). SETTING: Virologically suppressed PLWH (n = 297) on combination antiretroviral therapy and 1509 HIV-uninfected healthy controls were evaluated. PLWH were further classified as cognitively normal (CN) or cognitively impaired (CI) based on neuropsychological testing. METHODS: Feature selection identified resting-state networks (RSNs) that predicted HIV status and cognitive status within specific age bins (younger than 35 years, 35-55 years, and older than 55 years). Deep learning models generated voxelwise maps of RSNs to identify regional differences. RESULTS: Salience (SAL) and parietal memory networks (PMNs) differentiated individuals by HIV status. When comparing controls with PLWH CN, the PMN and SAL had the strongest predictive strength across all ages. When comparing controls with PLWH CI, the SAL, PMN, and frontal parietal network (FPN) were the best predictors. When comparing PLWH CN with PLWH CI, the SAL, FPN, basal ganglia, and ventral attention were the strongest predictors. Only minor variability in predictive strength was observed with aging. Anatomically, differences in RSN topology occurred primarily in the dorsal and rostral lateral prefrontal cortex, cingulate, and caudate. CONCLUSION: Machine learning identified RSNs that classified individuals by HIV status and cognitive status. The PMN and SAL were sensitive for discriminating HIV status, with involvement of FPN occurring with cognitive impairment. Minor differences in RSN predictive strength were observed by age. These results suggest that specific RSNs are affected by HIV, aging, and HIV-associated cognitive impairment.

Modeling autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease with machine learning.

INTRODUCTION: Machine learning models were used to discover novel disease trajectories for autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease. METHODS: Longitudinal structural magnetic resonance imaging, amyloid positron emission tomography (PET), and fluorodeoxyglucose PET were acquired in 131 mutation carriers and 74 non-carriers from the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network; the groups were matched for age, education, sex, and apolipoprotein ε4 (APOE ε4). A deep neural network was trained to predict disease progression for each modality. Relief algorithms identified the strongest predictors of mutation status. RESULTS: The Relief algorithm identified the caudate, cingulate, and precuneus as the strongest predictors among all modalities. The model yielded accurate results for predicting future Pittsburgh compound B (R2  = 0.95), fluorodeoxyglucose (R2  = 0.93), and atrophy (R2  = 0.95) in mutation carriers compared to non-carriers. DISCUSSION: Results suggest a sigmoidal trajectory for amyloid, a biphasic response for metabolism, and a gradual decrease in volume, with disease progression primarily in subcortical, middle frontal, and posterior parietal regions.