Systolic Blood Pressure and Cardiovascular Risk in Normotensive Adults.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and cardiovascular risk in normotensive adults. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study analyzed data from 7 prospective cohorts between September 29, 1948, and December 31, 2018. Complete information on history of hypertension and baseline blood pressure measurements were required for inclusion. We excluded individuals younger than 18 years old, those with a history of hypertension, and patients with baseline SBP measurements of less than 90 mm Hg or 140 mm Hg or higher. Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic spline models were used to evaluate the hazards of cardiovascular outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 31,033 participants were included. The mean ± SD age was 45.3±14.8 years, 16,693 of the participants (53.8%) were female, and the mean ± SD SBP was 115.8±11.7. Over a median follow-up of 23.5 years, 7005 cardiovascular events occurred. Compared with those who had SBP levels of 90 to 99 mm Hg, participants with SBP levels of 100 to 109, 110 to 119, 120 to 129, and 130 to 139 mm Hg experienced 23% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.42), 53% (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.33 to 1.76), 87% (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.62 to 2.16), and 117% (HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.87 to 2.52) increased risks of cardiovascular events, respectively. Compared with follow-up SBP of 90 to 99 mm Hg, the HRs for cardiovascular events were 1.25 (95% CI, 1.02 to 1.54), 1.93 (95% CI, 1.58 to 2.34), 2.55 (95% CI, 2.09 to 3.10), and 3.39 (95% CI, 2.78 to 4.14), respectively, for follow-up SBP levels of 100 to 109, 110 to 119, 120 to 129, and 130 to 139 mm Hg. CONCLUSION: In adults without hypertension, there is a stepwise increase in risk of cardiovascular events, with increasing SBP starting at levels as low as 90 mm Hg.

Longitudinal change in lung function and subsequent risks of cardiovascular events: evidence from four prospective cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Lung function is constantly changing over the life course. Although the relation of cross-sectional lung function measure and adverse outcomes has been reported, data on longitudinal change and subsequent cardiovascular (CV) events risks are scarce. Therefore, this study is to determine the association of longitudinal change in lung function and subsequent cardiovascular risks. METHODS: This study analyzed the data from four prospective cohorts. Subjects with at least two lung function tests were included. We calculated the rate of forced respiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) decline for each subject and categorized them into quartiles. The primary outcome was CV events, defined as a composite of coronary heart disease (CHD), chronic heart failure (CHF), stroke, and any CV death. Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic spline models were applied. RESULTS: The final sample comprised 12,899 participants (mean age 48.58 years; 43.61% male). Following an average of 14.79 (10.69) years, 3950 CV events occurred. Compared with the highest FEV1 quartile (Q4), the multivariable HRs for the lowest (Q1), 2nd (Q2), and 3rd quartiles (Q3) were 1.33 (95%CI 1.19, 1.49), 1.30 (1.16, 1.46), and 1.07 (0.95, 1.21), respectively. Likewise, compared with the reference quartile (Q4), the group that experienced a faster decline in FVC had higher HRs for CV events (1.06 [95%CI 0.94-1.20] for Q3, 1.15 [1.02-1.30] for Q2, and 1.28 [1.14-1.44] for Q1). The association remained robust across a series of sensitivity analyses and nearly all subgroups but was more evident in subjects < 60 years. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a monotonic increase in risks of CV events with a faster decline in FEV1 and FVC. These findings emphasize the value of periodic evaluation of lung function and open new opportunities for disease prevention.

Body mass index trajectories during mid to late life and risks of mortality and cardiovascular outcomes: Results from four prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Our understanding of the weight-outcome association mainly comes from single-time body mass index (BMI) measurement. However, data on long-term trajectories of within-person changes in BMI on diverse study outcomes are sparse. Therefore, this study is to determine the associations of individual BMI trajectories and cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: The present analysis was based on data from 4 large prospective cohorts and restricted to participants aged ≥45 years with at least two BMI measurements. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals(95%CI) for each outcome according to different BMI trajectories were calculated in Cox regression models. FINDINGS: The final sample comprised 29,311 individuals (mean age 58.31 years, and 77.31% were white), with a median 4 BMI measurements used in this study. During a median follow-up of 21.16 years, there were a total of 10,192 major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and 11,589 deaths. A U-shaped relation was seen with all study outcomes. Compared with maintaining stable weight, the multivariate adjusted HR for MACE were 1.53 (95%CI 1.40-1.66), 1.26 (95%CI 1.16-1.37) and 1.08 (95%CI 1.02-1.15) respectively for rapid, moderate and slow weight loss; 1.01 (95%CI 0.95-1.07), 1.13 (95%CI 1.05-1.21) and 1.29 (95%CI 1.20-1.40) respectively for slow, moderate and rapid weight gain. Identical patterns of association were observed for all other outcomes. The development of BMI differed markedly between the outcome-free individuals and those who went on to experience adverse events, generally beginning to diverge 10 years before the occurrence of the events. INTERPRETATION: Our findings may signal an underlying high-risk population and inspire future studies on weight management. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China, Guangdong Natural Science Foundation.

Prediction value of pulmonary hypertension in newly identified left ventricular dysfunction among adult patients after patent ductus arteriosus closure.

The present study aimed to propose the pulmonary hypertension for predicting left ventricular dysfunction in adults after patent ductus arteriosus closure. A total of 183 patients (age ≥18 years) after patent ductus arteriosus occlusion were retrospectively collected in this study. In brief, pre-, post-procedure and short-term follow-up transthoracic echocardiography were performed. Simpson's method was used to measure the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and LVEF less than 50% after procedure was utilized as a criterion to identify left ventricular dysfunction. As a result, 36 (19.67%) patients developed newly identified left ventricular dysfunction. The rate of newly identified left ventricular dysfunction was significantly higher in moderate or severe pulmonary hypertension groups compared to the groups of mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) <25 mmHg (P < .001). Logistic regression analysis showed that elevated mPAP ( ≥25 mmHg) was an independent predictive value for newly identified left ventricular dysfunction (OR = 3.584, 95%CI: 1.186-10.832, P = .024) after adjusting confounders. The ROC curve revealed a good discrimination power for predicting newly identified left ventricular dysfunction (AUC = 0.924, 95%CI: 0.885-0.963, P < .001). Taken together, newly identified left ventricular dysfunction after patent ductus arteriosus closure was prevalent in patients with elevated mPAP. The pre-procedure elevated mPAP is an independent risk factor for the prediction of the newly identified left ventricular dysfunction in adult patients undergoing percutaneous patent ductus arteriosus closure. It is feasible to propose a risk model for predicting post-procedure left ventricular dysfunction and a heart function monitoring in pulmonary hypertension patients.