Psoriasis Prevalence and Severity by Expert Elicitation.

INTRODUCTION: An estimated 2-4% of Western populations are thought to have psoriasis, with a regional incidence ranging from 0.09% to 11.43%. Variance in estimates is a result of differences in study populations, methodology, regional differences, and definitions of disease. Reliable prevalence estimates of plaque psoriasis are challenging to establish. Further, the distribution of psoriasis severity in the population is unknown. This study aims to establish the utility of expert elicitation (EE) as a method for estimating unknown parameters in dermatology by (1) estimating the prevalence of psoriasis in the adult population, and (2) estimating previously unknown disease severity distribution. METHODS: An expert panel of 11 Canadian dermatologists with demonstrated expertise in psoriasis was formed. A proof-of-concept EE exercise estimated psoriasis prevalence in the general population in Canada, followed by estimation of psoriasis disease severity distribution by body surface area (BSA). Expert estimates were consolidated using Bayesian methods to statistically model the data and represent uncertainty. RESULTS: The median prevalence of psoriasis in the adult population using the Bayesian estimate was 3.0% (95% credibility interval, 2.7-3.3%), compared with the estimated mean prevalence of 3.4% (95% confidence interval, 2.2-4.9%). By EE, the estimated cumulative distribution of disease severity assessed by BSA suggests that approximately 50% of patients have a BSA of < 3% and 78% of patients have a BSA of < 10%, with only 2% having a BSA of > 50%. CONCLUSION: The EE approach resulted in prevalence estimates that had a narrow distribution and were consistent with published literature, supporting its value in dermatology as a complementary method to help guide decision-making in areas where evidence is scarce or uncertain.

Psoriasis is a common skin disease that affects 2­4% of the population. Prevalence estimates vary depending on factors such as study type and population studied. The distribution of disease severity (what proportion of patients have mild, moderate, or severe psoriasis) is not known. In this study, 11 dermatologists with expertise in psoriasis used an approach called expert elicitation to make educated guesses about prevalence and disease severity distribution in the real world. Using a statistical approach called Bayesian estimation, experts can represent the level of certainty in what they know and do not know and make inferences or assumptions about a population. Bayesian estimates are not based on the amount of data; rather, each datum contributes to a statistically meaningful result. The median prevalence of psoriasis in the adult population using the Bayesian estimate was 3.0%, which is in the expected range based on prior literature and supports the use of this expert elicitation method. This study provides the first expert estimate of disease severity distribution in the population assessed by body surface area affected by psoriasis. Approximately 50% of psoriasis patients have mild disease (< 3% body surface area involved) and 78% of patients have mild or moderate disease (< 10% body surface area involved). Only 2% of patients have more than 50% body surface area involved. This expert elicitation approach can be used to help guide decision-making in areas of dermatology where evidence is lacking or uncertain.

Approach to the Assessment and Management of Adult Patients With Atopic Dermatitis: A Consensus Document.

BACKGROUND:: Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic, relapsing, and remitting inflammatory skin disease with complex pathophysiology, primarily driven by type 2 inflammation. Existing guidelines often do not reflect all current therapeutic options and guidance on the practical management of patients with AD is lacking. OBJECTIVES:: To develop practical, up-to-date guidance on the assessment and management of adult patients with AD. METHODS:: An expert panel of 17 Canadian experts, including 16 dermatologists and 1 allergist, with extensive clinical experience managing moderate-to-severe AD reviewed the available literature from the past 5 years using a defined list of key search terms. This literature, along with clinical expertise and opinion, was used to draft concise, clinically relevant reviews of the current literature. Based on these reviews, experts developed and voted on recommendations and statements to reflect the practical management of adult patients with AD as a guide for health care providers in Canada and across the globe, using a prespecified agreement cutoff of 75%. RESULTS:: Eleven consensus statements were approved by the expert panel and reflected 4 key domains: pathophysiology, assessment, comorbidities, and treatment. CONCLUSIONS:: These statements aim to provide a framework for the assessment and management of adult patients with AD and to guide health care providers in practically relevant aspects of patient management.

Approach to the Assessment and Management of Adult Patients With Atopic Dermatitis: A Consensus Document. Section I: Pathophysiology of Atopic Dermatitis and Implications for Systemic Therapy.

Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic, relapsing, and remitting inflammatory skin disease whose onset typically occurs early in life. AD pathophysiology includes genetic, immune, and environmental factors contributing to chronic inflammation. A rapidly evolving understanding of the pathogenesis of AD has led to the development of several treatment options for AD in adults, including topicals, phototherapy, and systemic therapies. Here, we provide a concise summary of AD pathophysiology with a focus on implications for systemic therapy.

Approach to the Assessment and Management of Adult Patients With Atopic Dermatitis: A Consensus Document. Section V: Consensus Statements on the Assessment and Management of Adult Patients With Moderate-to-Severe Atopic Dermatitis.

This document is a concise, current, and practical guide for dermatologists and other health care providers managing adult patients with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis (AD). The recommendations made here are based on a consensus of specialists with extensive experience managing patients with AD. Topics reviewed in this publication include AD pathophysiology, assessment, comorbidities, and treatment options.

Moisturizers and Ceramide-containing Moisturizers May Offer Concomitant Therapy with Benefits.

INTRODUCTION: Ceramide-containing moisturizers may offer benefits as an adjunct to acne treatment. METHODS: An expert panel of 11 Canadian dermatologists, including an international clinical scientist, used the following modified Delphi process: 1) A systematic literature review for acne treatment, dry skin, irritation, depletion of ceramides in acne, and benefits of moisturizers and ceramide-containing moisturizers was conducted; 2) panel members gave their opinion on the resulting statements, taking into account their treatment practices; 3) a panel meeting was held during the 2011 Canadian Dermatology Update to determine final statements; 4) the panel reviewed the final document. RESULTS: The panel reached the following consensus (11/11): 1) A very important reason for nonadherence to acne treatment is dry skin and irritation; 2) skin barrier dysfunction may contribute to acne; 3) dry skin and irritation commonly results from topical acne treatment; 4) dry skin and irritation commonly results from systemic retinoid therapy; 5) moisturizers can improve dryness and irritation resulting from acne treatment; 6) ceramide-containing moisturizers may enhance adherence and complement existing acne therapies; 7) adjunctive therapy with moisturizers should be considered in acne-treated patients. CONCLUSION: The panel proposes that adjunctive therapy with moisturizers, particularly ceramide-containing moisturizers, should be considered in acne-treated patients.

Pathway to dry skin prevention and treatment.

BACKGROUND: This article presents an evidence-supported clinical pathway for dry skin prevention and treatment. OBJECTIVE: The development of the pathway involved the following: a literature review was conducted and demonstrated that literature on dry skin is scarce. To compensate for the gap in the available literature, a modified Delphi method was used to collect information on prevention and treatment practice through a panel, which included 10 selected dermatologists who currently provide medical care for dermatology patients in Ontario. An advisor experienced in this therapeutic area guided the process, including a central meeting. Panel members completed a questionnaire regarding their individual practice in caring for these patients and responded to questions on assessment of dry skin etiology, frequency of skin care visits for consultation and follow-up, assessment, and referral to other specialties. The panel members reviewed a summary of all responses and reached a consensus. The result was presented as a clinical pathway. CONCLUSION: The panel concluded that our current awareness of dry skin and therefore prevention and effective treatment is limited; that identifying dry skin and its clinical issues requires tools such as clinical pathways, which may improve patient outcomes; and that additional research on dry skin etiology, prevention, and treatment is necessary.