LST-AI: A deep learning ensemble for accurate MS lesion segmentation.

Automated segmentation of brain white matter lesions is crucial for both clinical assessment and scientific research in multiple sclerosis (MS). Over a decade ago, we introduced an engineered lesion segmentation tool, LST. While recent lesion segmentation approaches have leveraged artificial intelligence (AI), they often remain proprietary and difficult to adopt. As an open-source tool, we present LST-AI, an advanced deep learning-based extension of LST that consists of an ensemble of three 3D U-Nets. LST-AI explicitly addresses the imbalance between white matter (WM) lesions and non-lesioned WM. It employs a composite loss function incorporating binary cross-entropy and Tversky loss to improve segmentation of the highly heterogeneous MS lesions. We train the network ensemble on 491 MS pairs of T1-weighted and FLAIR images, collected in-house from a 3T MRI scanner, and expert neuroradiologists manually segmented the utilized lesion maps for training. LST-AI also includes a lesion location annotation tool, labeling lesions as periventricular, infratentorial, and juxtacortical according to the 2017 McDonald criteria, and, additionally, as subcortical. We conduct evaluations on 103 test cases consisting of publicly available data using the Anima segmentation validation tools and compare LST-AI with several publicly available lesion segmentation models. Our empirical analysis shows that LST-AI achieves superior performance compared to existing methods. Its Dice and F1 scores exceeded 0.62, outperforming LST, SAMSEG (Sequence Adaptive Multimodal SEGmentation), and the popular nnUNet framework, which all scored below 0.56. Notably, LST-AI demonstrated exceptional performance on the MSSEG-1 challenge dataset, an international WM lesion segmentation challenge, with a Dice score of 0.65 and an F1 score of 0.63-surpassing all other competing models at the time of the challenge. With increasing lesion volume, the lesion detection rate rapidly increased with a detection rate of >75% for lesions with a volume between 10 mm3 and 100 mm3. Given its higher segmentation performance, we recommend that research groups currently using LST transition to LST-AI. To facilitate broad adoption, we are releasing LST-AI as an open-source model, available as a command-line tool, dockerized container, or Python script, enabling diverse applications across multiple platforms.

Quantitative susceptibility mapping in multiple sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) is a quantitative measure based on magnetic resonance imaging sensitive to iron and myelin content. This makes QSM a promising non-invasive tool for multiple sclerosis (MS) in research and clinical practice. OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on the use of QSM in MS. METHODS: Our review was prospectively registered on PROSPERO (CRD42022309563). We searched five databases for studies published between inception and 30th April 2023. We identified 83 English peer-reviewed studies that applied QSM images on MS cohorts. Fifty-five included studies had at least one of the following outcome measures: deep grey matter QSM values in MS, either compared to healthy controls (HC) (k = 13) or correlated with the score on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) (k = 7), QSM lesion characteristics (k = 22) and their clinical correlates (k = 17), longitudinal correlates (k = 11), histological correlates (k = 7), or correlates with other imaging techniques (k = 12). Two meta-analyses on deep grey matter (DGM) susceptibility data were performed, while the remaining findings could only be analyzed descriptively. RESULTS: After outlier removal, meta-analyses demonstrated a significant increase in the basal ganglia susceptibility (QSM values) in MS compared to HC, caudate (k = 9, standardized mean difference (SDM) = 0.54, 95 % CI = 0.39-0.70, I2 = 46 %), putamen (k = 9, SDM = 0.38, 95 % CI = 0.19-0.57, I2 = 59 %), and globus pallidus (k = 9, SDM = 0.48, 95 % CI = 0.28-0.67, I2 = 60 %), whereas thalamic QSM values exhibited a significant reduction (k = 12, SDM = -0.39, 95 % CI = -0.66--0.12, I2 = 84 %); these susceptibility differences in MS were independent of age. Further, putamen QSM values positively correlated with EDSS (k = 4, r = 0.36, 95 % CI = 0.16-0.53, I2 = 0 %). Regarding rim lesions, four out of seven studies, representing 73 % of all patients, reported rim lesions to be associated with more severe disability. Moreover, lesion development from initial detection to the inactive stage is paralleled by increasing, plateauing (after about two years), and gradually decreasing QSM values, respectively. Only one longitudinal study provided clinical outcome measures and found no association. Histological data suggest iron content to be the primary source of QSM values in DGM and at the edges of rim lesions; further, when also considering data from myelin water imaging, the decrease of myelin is likely to drive the increase of QSM values within WM lesions. CONCLUSIONS: We could provide meta-analytic evidence for DGM susceptibility changes in MS compared to HC; basal ganglia susceptibility is increased and, in the putamen, associated with disability, while thalamic susceptibility is decreased. Beyond these findings, further investigations are necessary to establish the role of QSM in MS for research or even clinical routine.

Intensity scaling of conventional brain magnetic resonance images avoiding cerebral reference regions: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Conventional brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) produces image intensities that have an arbitrary scale, hampering quantification. Intensity scaling aims to overcome this shortfall. As neurodegenerative and inflammatory disorders may affect all brain compartments, reference regions within the brain may be misleading. Here we summarize approaches for intensity scaling of conventional T1-weighted (w) and T2w brain MRI avoiding reference regions within the brain. METHODS: Literature was searched in the databases of Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science. We included only studies that avoided reference regions within the brain for intensity scaling and provided validating evidence, which we divided into four categories: 1) comparative variance reduction, 2) comparative correlation with clinical parameters, 3) relation to quantitative imaging, or 4) relation to histology. RESULTS: Of the 3825 studies screened, 24 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Three studies used scaled T1w images, 2 scaled T2w images, and 21 T1w/T2w-ratio calculation (with double counts). A robust reduction in variance was reported. Twenty studies investigated the relation of scaled intensities to different types of quantitative imaging. Statistically significant correlations with clinical or demographic data were reported in 8 studies. Four studies reporting the relation to histology gave no clear picture of the main signal driver of conventional T1w and T2w MRI sequences. CONCLUSIONS: T1w/T2w-ratio calculation was applied most often. Variance reduction and correlations with other measures suggest a biologically meaningful signal harmonization. However, there are open methodological questions and uncertainty on its biological underpinning. Validation evidence on other scaling methods is even sparser.

Prospective study validating a multidimensional treatment decision score predicting the 24-month outcome in untreated patients with clinically isolated syndrome and early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, the ProVal-MS study.

INTRODUCTION: In Multiple Sclerosis (MS), patients´ characteristics and (bio)markers that reliably predict the individual disease prognosis at disease onset are lacking. Cohort studies allow a close follow-up of MS histories and a thorough phenotyping of patients. Therefore, a multicenter cohort study was initiated to implement a wide spectrum of data and (bio)markers in newly diagnosed patients. METHODS: ProVal-MS (Prospective study to validate a multidimensional decision score that predicts treatment outcome at 24 months in untreated patients with clinically isolated syndrome or early Relapsing-Remitting-MS) is a prospective cohort study in patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) or Relapsing-Remitting (RR)-MS (McDonald 2017 criteria), diagnosed within the last two years, conducted at five academic centers in Southern Germany. The collection of clinical, laboratory, imaging, and paraclinical data as well as biosamples is harmonized across centers. The primary goal is to validate (discrimination and calibration) the previously published DIFUTURE MS-Treatment Decision score (MS-TDS). The score supports clinical decision-making regarding the options of early (within 6 months after study baseline) platform medication (Interferon beta, glatiramer acetate, dimethyl/diroximel fumarate, teriflunomide), or no immediate treatment (> 6 months after baseline) of patients with early RR-MS and CIS by predicting the probability of new or enlarging lesions in cerebral magnetic resonance images (MRIs) between 6 and 24 months. Further objectives are refining the MS-TDS score and providing data to identify new markers reflecting disease course and severity. The project also provides a technical evaluation of the ProVal-MS cohort within the IT-infrastructure of the DIFUTURE consortium (Data Integration for Future Medicine) and assesses the efficacy of the data sharing techniques developed. PERSPECTIVE: Clinical cohorts provide the infrastructure to discover and to validate relevant disease-specific findings. A successful validation of the MS-TDS will add a new clinical decision tool to the armamentarium of practicing MS neurologists from which newly diagnosed MS patients may take advantage. Trial registration ProVal-MS has been registered in the German Clinical Trials Register, `Deutsches Register Klinischer Studien` (DRKS)-ID: DRKS00014034, date of registration: 21 December 2018; https://drks.de/search/en/trial/DRKS00014034.

Validating a minipig model of reversible cerebral demyelination using human diagnostic modalities and electron microscopy.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory demyelinating diseases of the central nervous system, such as multiple sclerosis, are significant sources of morbidity in young adults despite therapeutic advances. Current murine models of remyelination have limited applicability due to the low white matter content of their brains, which restricts the spatial resolution of diagnostic imaging. Large animal models might be more suitable but pose significant technological, ethical and logistical challenges. METHODS: We induced targeted cerebral demyelinating lesions by serially repeated injections of lysophosphatidylcholine in the minipig brain. Lesions were amenable to follow-up using the same clinical imaging modalities (3T magnetic resonance imaging, 11C-PIB positron emission tomography) and standard histopathology protocols as for human diagnostics (myelin, glia and neuronal cell markers), as well as electron microscopy (EM), to compare against biopsy data from two patients. FINDINGS: We demonstrate controlled, clinically unapparent, reversible and multimodally trackable brain white matter demyelination in a large animal model. De-/remyelination dynamics were slower than reported for rodent models and paralleled by a degree of secondary axonal pathology. Regression modelling of ultrastructural parameters (g-ratio, axon thickness) predicted EM features of cerebral de- and remyelination in human data. INTERPRETATION: We validated our minipig model of demyelinating brain diseases by employing human diagnostic tools and comparing it with biopsy data from patients with cerebral demyelination. FUNDING: This work was supported by the DFG under Germany's Excellence Strategy within the framework of the Munich Cluster for Systems Neurology (EXC 2145 SyNergy, ID 390857198) and TRR 274/1 2020, 408885537 (projects B03 and Z01).

LST-AI: a Deep Learning Ensemble for Accurate MS Lesion Segmentation.

Automated segmentation of brain white matter lesions is crucial for both clinical assessment and scientific research in multiple sclerosis (MS). Over a decade ago, we introduced an engineered lesion segmentation tool, LST. While recent lesion segmentation approaches have leveraged artificial intelligence (AI), they often remain proprietary and difficult to adopt. As an open-source tool, we present LST-AI, an advanced deep learning-based extension of LST that consists of an ensemble of three 3D-UNets. LST-AI explicitly addresses the imbalance between white matter (WM) lesions and non-lesioned WM. It employs a composite loss function incorporating binary cross-entropy and Tversky loss to improve segmentation of the highly heterogeneous MS lesions. We train the network ensemble on 491 MS pairs of T1w and FLAIR images, collected in-house from a 3T MRI scanner, and expert neuroradiologists manually segmented the utilized lesion maps for training. LST-AI additionally includes a lesion location annotation tool, labeling lesion location according to the 2017 McDonald criteria (periventricular, infratentorial, juxtacortical, subcortical). We conduct evaluations on 103 test cases consisting of publicly available data using the Anima segmentation validation tools and compare LST-AI with several publicly available lesion segmentation models. Our empirical analysis shows that LST-AI achieves superior performance compared to existing methods. Its Dice and F1 scores exceeded 0.62, outperforming LST, SAMSEG (Sequence Adaptive Multimodal SEGmentation), and the popular nnUNet framework, which all scored below 0.56. Notably, LST-AI demonstrated exceptional performance on the MSSEG-1 challenge dataset, an international WM lesion segmentation challenge, with a Dice score of 0.65 and an F1 score of 0.63-surpassing all other competing models at the time of the challenge. With increasing lesion volume, the lesion detection rate rapidly increased with a detection rate of >75% for lesions with a volume between 10mm3 and 100mm3. Given its higher segmentation performance, we recommend that research groups currently using LST transition to LST-AI. To facilitate broad adoption, we are releasing LST-AI as an open-source model, available as a command-line tool, dockerized container, or Python script, enabling diverse applications across multiple platforms.

Association of retinal vessel pathology and brain atrophy in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

Background: Optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) allows non-invasive assessment of retinal vessel structures. Thinning and loss of retinal vessels is evident in eyes of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) and might be associated with a proinflammatory disease phenotype and worse prognosis. We investigated whether changes of the retinal vasculature are linked to brain atrophy and disability in MS. Material and methods: This study includes one longitudinal observational cohort (n=79) of patients with relapsing-remitting MS. Patients underwent annual assessment of the expanded disability status scale (EDSS), timed 25-foot walk, symbol digit modalities test (SDMT), retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT), OCTA, and brain MRI during a follow-up duration of at least 20 months. We investigated intra-individual associations between changes in the retinal architecture, vasculature, brain atrophy and disability. Eyes with a history of optic neuritis (ON) were excluded. Results: We included 79 patients with a median disease duration of 12 (interquartile range 2 - 49) months and a median EDSS of 1.0 (0 - 2.0). Longitudinal retinal axonal and ganglion cell loss were linked to grey matter atrophy, cortical atrophy, and volume loss of the putamen. We observed an association between vessel loss of the superficial vascular complex (SVC) and both grey and white matter atrophy. Both observations were independent of retinal ganglion cell loss. Moreover, patients with worsening of the EDSS and SDMT revealed a pronounced longitudinal rarefication of the SVC and the deep vascular complex. Discussion: ON-independent narrowing of the retinal vasculature might be linked to brain atrophy and disability in MS. Our findings suggest that retinal OCTA might be a new tool for monitoring neurodegeneration during MS.

Benefits of a mosaic approach for assessing cortical atrophy in individual multiple sclerosis patients.

OBJECTIVE: Cortical gray matter (GM) atrophy plays a central role in multiple sclerosis (MS) pathology. However, it is not commonly assessed in clinical routine partly because a number of methodological problems hamper the development of a robust biomarker to quantify GM atrophy. In previous work, we have demonstrated the clinical utility of the "mosaic approach" (MAP) to assess individual GM atrophy in the motor neuron disease spectrum and frontotemporal dementia. In this study, we investigated the clinical utility of MAP in MS, comparing this novel biomarker to existing methods for computing GM atrophy in single patients. We contrasted the strategies based on correlations with established biomarkers reflecting MS disease burden. METHODS: We analyzed T1-weighted MPRAGE magnetic resonance imaging data from 465 relapsing-remitting MS patients and 89 healthy controls. We inspected how variations of existing strategies to estimate individual GM atrophy ("standard approaches") as well as variations of MAP (i.e., different parcellation schemes) impact downstream analysis results, both on a group and an individual level. We interpreted individual cortical disease burden as single metric reflecting the fraction of significantly atrophic data points with respect to the control group. In addition, we evaluated the correlations to lesion volume (LV) and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). RESULTS: We found that the MAP method yielded highest correlations with both LV and EDSS as compared to all other strategies. Although the parcellation resolution played a minor role in terms of absolute correlations with clinical variables, higher resolutions provided more clearly defined statistical brain maps which may facilitate clinical interpretability. CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence that MAP yields high potential for a clinically relevant biomarker in MS, outperforming existing methods to compute cortical disease burden in single patients. Of note, MAP outputs brain maps illustrating individual cortical disease burden which can be directly interpreted in daily clinical routine.

A Genetic Risk Variant for Multiple Sclerosis Severity is Associated with Brain Atrophy.

The minor allele of the genetic variant rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus is associated with unfavorable long-term clinical outcomes in multiple sclerosis patients. We investigated if rs10191329 is associated with brain atrophy measured by magnetic resonance imaging in a discovery cohort of 748 and a replication cohort of 360 people with relapsing multiple sclerosis. We observed an association with 28% more brain atrophy per rs10191329*A allele. Our results encourage stratification for rs10191329 in clinical trials. Unraveling the underlying mechanisms may enhance our understanding of pathophysiology and identify treatment targets. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:1080-1085.

Factors associated with depressive mood at the onset of multiple sclerosis - an analysis of 781 patients of the German NationMS cohort.

Background: Depression has a major impact on the disease burden of multiple sclerosis (MS). Analyses of overlapping MS and depression risk factors [smoking, vitamin D (25-OH-VD) and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection] and sex, age, disease characteristics and neuroimaging features associated with depressive symptoms in early MS are scarce. Objectives: To assess an association of MS risk factors with depressive symptoms within the German NationMS cohort. Design: Cross-sectional analysis within a multicenter observational study. Methods: Baseline data of n = 781 adults with newly diagnosed clinically isolated syndrome or relapsing-remitting MS qualified for analysis. Global and region-specific magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-volumetry parameters were available for n = 327 patients. Association of demographic factors, MS characteristics and risk factors [sex, age, smoking, disease course, presence of current relapse, expanded disability status scale (EDSS) score, fatigue (fatigue scale motor cognition), 25-OH-VD serum concentration, EBV nuclear antigen-1 IgG (EBNA1-IgG) serum levels] and depressive symptoms (Beck Depression Inventory-II, BDI-II) was tested as a primary outcome by multivariable linear regression. Non-parametric correlation and group comparison were performed for associations of MRI parameters and depressive symptoms. Results: Mean age was 34.3 years (95% confidence interval: 33.6-35.0). The female-to-male ratio was 2.3:1. At least minimal depressive symptoms (BDI-II > 8) were present in n = 256 (32.8%), 25-OH-VD deficiency (<20 ng/ml) in n = 398 (51.0%), n = 246 (31.5%) participants were smokers. Presence of current relapse [coefficient (c) = 1.48, p = 0.016], more severe fatigue (c = 0.26, p < 0.0001), lower 25-OH-VD (c = -0.03, p = 0.034) and smoking (c = 0.35, p = 0.008) were associated with higher BDI-II scores. Sex, age, disease course, EDSS, month of visit, EBNA1-IgG levels and brain volumes at baseline were not. Conclusion: Depressive symptoms need to be assessed in early MS. Patients during relapse seem especially vulnerable to depressive symptoms. Contributing factors such as fatigue, vitamin D deficiency and smoking, could specifically be targeted in future interventions and should be investigated in prospective studies.

Regulation of the programmed cell death protein 1/programmed cell death ligand 1 axis in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

The programmed cell death protein 1/programmed cell death ligand 1 axis plays an important role in the adaptive immune system and has influence on neoplastic and inflammatory diseases, while its role in multiple sclerosis is unclear. Here, we aimed to analyse expression patterns of programmed cell death protein 1 and programmed cell death ligand 1 on peripheral blood mononuclear cells and their soluble variants in multiple sclerosis patients and controls, to determine their correlation with clinical disability and disease activity. In a cross-sectional study, we performed in-depth flow cytometric immunophenotyping of peripheral blood mononuclear cells and analysed soluble programmed cell death protein 1 and programmed cell death ligand 1 serum levels in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and controls. In comparison to control subjects, relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients displayed distinct cellular programmed cell death protein 1/programmed cell death ligand 1 expression patterns in immune cell subsets and increased soluble programmed cell death ligand 1 levels, which correlated with clinical measures of disability and MRI activity over time. This study extends our knowledge of how programmed cell death protein 1 and programmed cell death ligand 1 are expressed in the membranes of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and describes for the first time the elevation of soluble programmed cell death ligand 1 in the blood of multiple sclerosis patients. The distinct expression pattern of membrane-bound programmed cell death protein 1 and programmed cell death ligand 1 and the correlation between soluble programmed cell death ligand 1, membrane-bound programmed cell death ligand 1, disease and clinical factors may offer therapeutic potential in the setting of multiple sclerosis and might improve future diagnosis and clinical decision-making.

Prognostic value of spinal cord lesion measures in early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Spinal cord (SC) lesions have been associated with unfavourable clinical outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the relation of whole SC lesion number (SCLN) and volume (SCLV) to the future occurrence and type of confirmed disability accumulation (CDA) remains largely unexplored. METHODS: In this monocentric retrospective study, SC lesions were manually delineated. Inclusion criteria were: age between 18 and 60 years, relapsing-remitting MS, disease duration under 2 years and clinical follow-up of 5 years. The first CDA event after baseline, determined by a sustained increase in the Expanded Disability Status Scale over 6 months, was classified as either progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) or relapse-associated worsening (RAW). SCLN and SCLV were compared between different (sub)groups to assess their prospective value. RESULTS: 204 patients were included, 148 of which had at least one SC lesion and 59 experienced CDA. Patients without any SC lesions experienced significantly less CDA (OR 5.8, 95% CI 2.1 to 19.8). SCLN and SCLV were closely correlated (rs=0.91, p<0.001) and were both significantly associated with CDA on follow-up (p<0.001). Subgroup analyses confirmed this association for patients with PIRA on CDA (34 events, p<0.001 for both SC lesion measures) but not for RAW (25 events, p=0.077 and p=0.22). CONCLUSION: Patients without any SC lesions are notably less likely to experience CDA. Both the number and volume of SC lesions on MRI are associated with future accumulation of disability largely independent of relapses.

AI-based detection of contrast-enhancing MRI lesions in patients with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Contrast-enhancing (CE) lesions are an important finding on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) but can be missed easily. Automated solutions for reliable CE lesion detection are emerging; however, independent validation of artificial intelligence (AI) tools in the clinical routine is still rare. METHODS: A three-dimensional convolutional neural network for CE lesion segmentation was trained externally on 1488 datasets of 934 MS patients from 81 scanners using concatenated information from FLAIR and T1-weighted post-contrast imaging. This externally trained model was tested on an independent dataset comprising 504 T1-weighted post-contrast and FLAIR image datasets of MS patients from clinical routine. Two neuroradiologists (R1, R2) labeled CE lesions for gold standard definition in the clinical test dataset. The algorithmic output was evaluated on both patient- and lesion-level. RESULTS: On a patient-level, recall, specificity, precision, and accuracy of the AI tool to predict patients with CE lesions were 0.75, 0.99, 0.91, and 0.96. The agreement between the AI tool and both readers was within the range of inter-rater agreement (Cohen's kappa; AI vs. R1: 0.69; AI vs. R2: 0.76; R1 vs. R2: 0.76). On a lesion-level, false negative lesions were predominately found in infratentorial location, significantly smaller, and at lower contrast than true positive lesions (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: AI-based identification of CE lesions on brain MRI is feasible, approaching human reader performance in independent clinical data and might be of help as a second reader in the neuroradiological assessment of active inflammation in MS patients. CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Al-based detection of contrast-enhancing multiple sclerosis lesions approaches human reader performance, but careful visual inspection is still needed, especially for infratentorial, small and low-contrast lesions.

Retrospective cohort study to devise a treatment decision score predicting adverse 24-month radiological activity in early multiple sclerosis.

Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neuroinflammatory disease affecting about 2.8 million people worldwide. Disease course after the most common diagnoses of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) is highly variable and cannot be reliably predicted. This impairs early personalized treatment decisions. Objectives: The main objective of this study was to algorithmically support clinical decision-making regarding the options of early platform medication or no immediate treatment of patients with early RRMS and CIS. Design: Retrospective monocentric cohort study within the Data Integration for Future Medicine (DIFUTURE) Consortium. Methods: Multiple data sources of routine clinical, imaging and laboratory data derived from a large and deeply characterized cohort of patients with MS were integrated to conduct a retrospective study to create and internally validate a treatment decision score [Multiple Sclerosis Treatment Decision Score (MS-TDS)] through model-based random forests (RFs). The MS-TDS predicts the probability of no new or enlarging lesions in cerebral magnetic resonance images (cMRIs) between 6 and 24 months after the first cMRI. Results: Data from 65 predictors collected for 475 patients between 2008 and 2017 were included. No medication and platform medication were administered to 277 (58.3%) and 198 (41.7%) patients. The MS-TDS predicted individual outcomes with a cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.624. The respective RF prediction model provides patient-specific MS-TDS and probabilities of treatment success. The latter may increase by 5-20% for half of the patients if the treatment considered superior by the MS-TDS is used. Conclusion: Routine clinical data from multiple sources can be successfully integrated to build prediction models to support treatment decision-making. In this study, the resulting MS-TDS estimates individualized treatment success probabilities that can identify patients who benefit from early platform medication. External validation of the MS-TDS is required, and a prospective study is currently being conducted. In addition, the clinical relevance of the MS-TDS needs to be established.

An open-source tool for longitudinal whole-brain and white matter lesion segmentation.

In this paper we describe and validate a longitudinal method for whole-brain segmentation of longitudinal MRI scans. It builds upon an existing whole-brain segmentation method that can handle multi-contrast data and robustly analyze images with white matter lesions. This method is here extended with subject-specific latent variables that encourage temporal consistency between its segmentation results, enabling it to better track subtle morphological changes in dozens of neuroanatomical structures and white matter lesions. We validate the proposed method on multiple datasets of control subjects and patients suffering from Alzheimer's disease and multiple sclerosis, and compare its results against those obtained with its original cross-sectional formulation and two benchmark longitudinal methods. The results indicate that the method attains a higher test-retest reliability, while being more sensitive to longitudinal disease effect differences between patient groups. An implementation is publicly available as part of the open-source neuroimaging package FreeSurfer.

Longitudinal Assessment of Multiple Sclerosis Lesion Load With Synthetic Magnetic Resonance Imaging-A Multicenter Validation Study.

INTRODUCTION: Double inversion recovery (DIR) has been validated as a sensitive magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) contrast in multiple sclerosis (MS). Deep learning techniques can use basic input data to generate synthetic DIR (synthDIR) images that are on par with their acquired counterparts. As assessment of longitudinal MRI data is paramount in MS diagnostics, our study's purpose is to evaluate the utility of synthDIR longitudinal subtraction imaging for detection of disease progression in a multicenter data set of MS patients. METHODS: We implemented a previously established generative adversarial network to synthesize DIR from input T1-weighted and fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) sequences for 214 MRI data sets from 74 patients and 5 different centers. One hundred and forty longitudinal subtraction maps of consecutive scans (follow-up scan-preceding scan) were generated for both acquired FLAIR and synthDIR. Two readers, blinded to the image origin, independently quantified newly formed lesions on the FLAIR and synthDIR subtraction maps, grouped into specific locations as outlined in the McDonald criteria. RESULTS: Both readers detected significantly more newly formed MS-specific lesions in the longitudinal subtractions of synthDIR compared with acquired FLAIR (R1: 3.27 ± 0.60 vs 2.50 ± 0.69 [ P = 0.0016]; R2: 3.31 ± 0.81 vs 2.53 ± 0.72 [ P < 0.0001]). Relative gains in detectability were most pronounced in juxtacortical lesions (36% relative gain in lesion counts-pooled for both readers). In 5% of the scans, synthDIR subtraction maps helped to identify a disease progression missed on FLAIR subtraction maps. CONCLUSIONS: Generative adversarial networks can generate high-contrast DIR images that may improve the longitudinal follow-up assessment in MS patients compared with standard sequences. By detecting more newly formed MS lesions and increasing the rates of detected disease activity, our methodology promises to improve clinical decision-making.

Multicenter Evaluation of AI-generated DIR and PSIR for Cortical and Juxtacortical Multiple Sclerosis Lesion Detection.

Background Cortical multiple sclerosis lesions are clinically relevant but inconspicuous at conventional clinical MRI. Double inversion recovery (DIR) and phase-sensitive inversion recovery (PSIR) are more sensitive but often unavailable. In the past 2 years, artificial intelligence (AI) was used to generate DIR and PSIR from standard clinical sequences (eg, T1-weighted, T2-weighted, and fluid-attenuated inversion-recovery sequences), but multicenter validation is crucial for further implementation. Purpose To evaluate cortical and juxtacortical multiple sclerosis lesion detection for diagnostic and disease monitoring purposes on AI-generated DIR and PSIR images compared with MRI-acquired DIR and PSIR images in a multicenter setting. Materials and Methods Generative adversarial networks were used to generate AI-based DIR (n = 50) and PSIR (n = 43) images. The number of detected lesions between AI-generated images and MRI-acquired (reference) images was compared by randomized blinded scoring by seven readers (all with >10 years of experience in lesion assessment). Reliability was expressed as the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Differences in lesion subtype were determined using Wilcoxon signed-rank tests. Results MRI scans of 202 patients with multiple sclerosis (mean age, 46 years ± 11 [SD]; 127 women) were retrospectively collected from seven centers (February 2020 to January 2021). In total, 1154 lesions were detected on AI-generated DIR images versus 855 on MRI-acquired DIR images (mean difference per reader, 35.0% ± 22.8; P < .001). On AI-generated PSIR images, 803 lesions were detected versus 814 on MRI-acquired PSIR images (98.9% ± 19.4; P = .87). Reliability was good for both DIR (ICC, 0.81) and PSIR (ICC, 0.75) across centers. Regionally, more juxtacortical lesions were detected on AI-generated DIR images than on MRI-acquired DIR images (495 [42.9%] vs 338 [39.5%]; P < .001). On AI-generated PSIR images, fewer juxtacortical lesions were detected than on MRI-acquired PSIR images (232 [28.9%] vs 282 [34.6%]; P = .02). Conclusion Artificial intelligence-generated double inversion-recovery and phase-sensitive inversion-recovery images performed well compared with their MRI-acquired counterparts and can be considered reliable in a multicenter setting, with good between-reader and between-center interpretative agreement. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Zivadinov and Dwyer in this issue.

Retinal ganglion cell loss is associated with future disability worsening in early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Thinning of the retinal combined ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer (GCIP) as measured by optical coherence tomography (OCT) is a common finding in patients with multiple sclerosis. This study aimed to investigate whether a single retinal OCT analysis allows prediction of future disease activity after a first demyelinating event. METHODS: This observational cohort study included 201 patients with recently diagnosed clinically isolated syndrome or relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis from two German tertiary referral centers. Individuals underwent neurological examination, magnetic resonance imaging, and OCT at baseline and at yearly follow-up visits. RESULTS: Patients were included at a median disease duration of 2.0 months. During a median follow-up of 59 (interquartile range = 43-71) months, 82% of patients had ongoing disease activity as demonstrated by failing the no evidence of disease activity 3 (NEDA-3) criteria, and 19% presented with confirmed disability worsening. A GCIP threshold of ≤77 µm at baseline identified patients with a high risk for NEDA-3 failure (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1-2.8, p = 0.04), and GCIP measures of ≤69 µm predicted disability worsening (HR = 2.2, 95% CI = 1.2-4.3, p = 0.01). Higher rates of annualized GCIP loss increased the risk for disability worsening (HR = 2.5 per 1 µm/year increase of GCIP loss, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Ganglion cell thickness as measured by OCT after the initial manifestation of multiple sclerosis may allow early risk stratification as to future disease activity and progression.

Lesion location across diagnostic regions in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Lesions in the periventricular, (juxta)cortical, and infratentorial region, as visible on brain MRI, are part of the diagnostic criteria for Multiple sclerosis (MS) whereas lesions in the subcortical region are currently only a marker of disease activity. It is unknown whether MS lesions follow individual spatial patterns or whether they occur in a random manner across diagnostic regions. AIM: First, to describe cross-sectionally the spatial lesion patterns in patients with MS. Second, to investigate the spatial association of new lesions and lesions at baseline across diagnostic regions. METHODS: Experienced neuroradiologists analyzed brain MRI (3D, 3T) in a cohort of 330 early MS patients. Lesions at baseline and new solitary lesions after two years were segmented (manually and by consensus) and classified as periventricular, (juxta)cortical, or infratentorial (diagnostic regions) or subcortical-with or without Gadolinium-enhancement. Gadolinium enhancement of lesions in the different regions was compared by Chi square test. New lesions in the four regions served as dependent variable in four zero-inflated Poisson models each with the six independent variables of lesions in the four regions at baseline, age and gender. RESULTS: At baseline, lesions were most often observed in the subcortical region (mean 13.0 lesions/patient), while lesion volume was highest in the periventricular region (mean 2287 µl/patient). Subcortical lesions were less likely to show gadolinium enhancement (3.1 %) than juxtacortical (4.3 %), periventricular (5.3 %) or infratentorial lesions (7.2 %). Age was inversely correlated with new periventricular, juxtacortical and subcortical lesions. New lesions in the periventricular, juxtacortical and infratentorial region showed a significant autocorrelative behavior being positively related to the number of lesions in the respective regions at baseline. New lesions in the subcortical region showed a different behavior with a positive association with baseline periventricular lesions and a negative association with baseline infratentorial lesions. CONCLUSION: Across regions, new lesions do not occur randomly; instead, new lesions in the periventricular, juxtacortical and infratentorial diagnostic region are associated with that at baseline. Lesions in the subcortical regions are more closely related to periventricular lesions. Moreover, subcortical lesions substantially contribute to lesion burden in MS but are less likely to show gadolinium enhancement (than lesions in the diagnostic regions).

Percentage brain volume change in multiple sclerosis mainly reflects white matter and cortical volume.

Brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis (MS), as measured by percentage brain volume change (PBVC) from brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), has been established as an outcome parameter in clinical trials. It is unknown to what extent volume changes within different brain tissue compartments contribute to PBVC. We analyzed pairs of MRI scans (at least 6 months apart) in 600 patients with relapsing-remitting MS. Multiple regression revealed that PBVC mainly reflects volume loss of white and cortical gray matter, while deep gray matter and white matter lesions were less represented. Our findings aid the interpretation of PBVC changes in MS.