Risk of thyroid cancer after exposure to 131I in childhood.

BACKGROUND: After the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in April 1986, a large increase in the incidence of childhood thyroid cancer was reported in contaminated areas. Most of the radiation exposure to the thyroid was from iodine isotopes, especially 131I. We carried out a population-based case-control study of thyroid cancer in Belarus and the Russian Federation to evaluate the risk of thyroid cancer after exposure to radioactive iodine in childhood and to investigate environmental and host factors that may modify this risk. METHODS: We studied 276 case patients with thyroid cancer through 1998 and 1300 matched control subjects, all aged younger than 15 years at the time of the accident. Individual doses were estimated for each subject based on their whereabouts and dietary habits at the time of the accident and in following days, weeks, and years; their likely stable iodine status at the time of the accident was also evaluated. Data were analyzed by conditional logistic regression using several different models. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: A strong dose-response relationship was observed between radiation dose to the thyroid received in childhood and thyroid cancer risk (P<.001). For a dose of 1 Gy, the estimated odds ratio of thyroid cancer varied from 5.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.1 to 9.5) to 8.4 (95% CI = 4.1 to 17.3), depending on the risk model. A linear dose-response relationship was observed up to 1.5-2 Gy. The risk of radiation-related thyroid cancer was three times higher in iodine-deficient areas (relative risk [RR]= 3.2, 95% CI = 1.9 to 5.5) than elsewhere. Administration of potassium iodide as a dietary supplement reduced this risk of radiation-related thyroid cancer by a factor of 3 (RR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.1 to 0.9, for consumption of potassium iodide versus no consumption). CONCLUSION: Exposure to (131)I in childhood is associated with an increased risk of thyroid cancer. Both iodine deficiency and iodine supplementation appear to modify this risk. These results have important public health implications: stable iodine supplementation in iodine-deficient populations may substantially reduce the risk of thyroid cancer related to radioactive iodines in case of exposure to radioactive iodines in childhood that may occur after radiation accidents or during medical diagnostic and therapeutic procedures.

Non-cancer thyroid diseases among children in the Kaluga and Bryansk regions of the Russian Federation exposed to radiation following the Chernobyl accident.

This paper presents results of estimated radiation risks of non-cancer thyroid diseases in the people from Kaluga and Bryansk regions of the Russian Federation exposed in their childhood to radioiodine as a result of the Chernobyl accident. This work was carried out under the Joint Medical Research Project on non-cancer thyroid diseases conducted by Sasakawa Memorial Health Foundation and the Medical Radiological Research Center of the Russian Academy of Medical Sciences. The subjects were 2,457 people who underwent health examinations from 1997 to the end of 1999 who had individual radiometric thyroid data obtained between May and June 1986 and were aged 10 y or less at the time of exposure. The thyroid absorbed doses from incorporated 131I were estimated on the basis of measurements of exposure dose rate in the vicinity of the subject's thyroid and liver. A compartment model accounting for 131I metabolism in humans and cows was used. The estimated dose varied from 0 to 6 Gy, and its distribution was approximately lognormal with a mean of 0.132 Gy and standard deviation of 0.45 Gy. The prevalence of diffuse goiter in males showed a significant dose-response (p = 0.03) with an estimated odds ratio 1.36 at 1 Gy.