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1.
Cell ; 186(26): 5690-5704.e20, 2023 12 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38101407

ABSTRACT

The maturation of genomic surveillance in the past decade has enabled tracking of the emergence and spread of epidemics at an unprecedented level. During the COVID-19 pandemic, for example, genomic data revealed that local epidemics varied considerably in the frequency of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lineage importation and persistence, likely due to a combination of COVID-19 restrictions and changing connectivity. Here, we show that local COVID-19 epidemics are driven by regional transmission, including across international boundaries, but can become increasingly connected to distant locations following the relaxation of public health interventions. By integrating genomic, mobility, and epidemiological data, we find abundant transmission occurring between both adjacent and distant locations, supported by dynamic mobility patterns. We find that changing connectivity significantly influences local COVID-19 incidence. Our findings demonstrate a complex meaning of "local" when investigating connected epidemics and emphasize the importance of collaborative interventions for pandemic prevention and mitigation.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , COVID-19/virology , Genomics , Pandemics/prevention & control , Public Health , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Infection Control , Geography
4.
Trauma Surg Acute Care Open ; 5(1): e000393, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32201735

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Surgical trauma care requires excellent multidisciplinary team skills and communication to ensure the highest patient survival rate. This study investigated the effects of Hyper-realistic immersive surgical team training to improve individual and team performance. A Hyper-realistic surgical training environment is defined as having a high degree of fidelity in the replication of battlefield conditions in a training environment, so participants willingly suspend disbelief that they become totally immersed and eventually stress inoculated in a way that can be measured physiologically. METHODS: Six multispecialty member US Navy Fleet Surgical/US Army Forward Surgical Teams (total n=99 evaluations) underwent a 6-day surgical training simulation using movie industry special effects and role players wearing the Human Worn Surgical Simulator (Cut Suit). The teams were immersed in trauma care scenarios requiring multiple complex interventions and decision making in a realistic, fast-paced, intensive combat trauma environment. RESULTS: Hyper-realistic immersive simulation training enhanced performance between multidisciplinary healthcare team members. Key efficacy quantitative measurements for the same simulation presented on day 1 compared with day 6 showed a reduction in resuscitation time from 24 minutes to 14 minutes and critical error decrease from 5 to 1. Written test scores improved an average of 21% (Medical Doctors 11%, Registered Nurses 25%, and Corpsman/Medics 26%). Longitudinal psychometric survey results showed statistically significant increases in unit readiness (17%), combat readiness (12%), leadership quality (7%), vertical cohesion (7%), unit cohesion (5%), and team communication (3%). An analysis of salivary cortisol and amylase physiologic biomarkers indicated an adaptive response to the realistic environment and a reduction in overall team stress during performance evaluations. CONCLUSIONS: Hyper-realistic immersive simulation training scenarios can be a basis for improved military and civilian trauma training. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

5.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 7(4): 181-91, 2009 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19717097

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A stochastic discrete event simulation model was developed to assess the effectiveness of passenger screening for Pandemic Influenza (PI) at U.S. airport foreign entry. METHODS: International passengers arriving at 18 U.S. airports from Asia, Europe, South America, and Canada were assigned to one of three states: not infected, infected with PI, infected with other respiratory illness. Passengers passed through layered screening then exited the model. 80% screening effectiveness was assumed for symptomatic passengers; 6% asymptomatic passengers. RESULTS: In the first 100 days of a global pandemic, U.S. airport screening would evaluate over 17 M passengers with 800 K secondary screenings. 11,570 PI infected passengers (majority asymptomatic) would enter the U.S. undetected from all 18 airports. Foreign airport departure screening significantly decreased the false negative (infected/undetected) passengers. U.S. attack rates: no screening (26.9%-30.9%); screening (26.4%-30.6%); however airport screening results in 800 K-1.8 M less U.S. PI cases; 16 K-35 K less deaths (2% fatality rate). Antiviral medications for travel contact prophylaxis (10 contacts/PI passenger) were high - 8.8M. False positives from all 18 airports: 100-200/day. CONCLUSIONS: Foreign shore exit screening greatly reduces numbers of PI infected passengers. U.S. airport screening identifies 50% infected individuals; efficacy is limited by the asymptomatic PI infected. Screening will not significantly delay arrival of PI via international air transport, but will reduce the rate of new US cases and subsequent deaths.


Subject(s)
Aircraft , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Models, Statistical , Travel , Computer Simulation , Europe , Humans , International Cooperation , Mass Screening/methods , Population Surveillance/methods , Stochastic Processes , United States
6.
Int J Infect Dis ; 11(2): 93-7, 2007 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17306582

ABSTRACT

As healthcare institutions are a focus of smallpox transmission early in an epidemic, several mathematical models support pre-event smallpox vaccination of healthcare workers (HCWs). The deciding factor for HCW voluntary vaccination is the risk of disease exposure versus the risk of vaccine adverse events. In a United States military population, with careful screening to exclude atopic dermatitis/eczema and immunosuppression, over 1 million vaccinia (smallpox) vaccinations were delivered with one fatality attributed to vaccination. Among 37901 United States civilian volunteer HCWs vaccinated, 100 serious adverse events were reported including 10 ischemic cardiac episodes and six myocardial infarctions - two were fatal. This older population had a higher rate of adverse events due to age-related coronary artery disease. T-cell mediated inflammatory processes induced by live vaccinia vaccination may have a role in the observed acute coronary artery events. With exclusion of individuals at risk for coronary artery disease, atopic dermatitis/eczema, and immunosuppression, HCWs can be smallpox vaccinated with minimal risk. A carefully screened multidisciplinary cadre (physician, nurse, infection control practitioner, technician), pre-event vaccinated for smallpox, will supply the necessary leadership to alleviate fear and uncertainty while limiting spread and initial mortality of smallpox.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Health Personnel , Infectious Disease Transmission, Professional-to-Patient/prevention & control , Smallpox Vaccine/adverse effects , Smallpox/prevention & control , Vaccination/standards , Humans , Risk Assessment , Smallpox/epidemiology , Smallpox/transmission , United States , Vaccinia/immunology
7.
Nat Biotechnol ; 21(11): 1305-6, 2003 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14555959

ABSTRACT

A panel of Fabs that neutralize anthrax toxin in vitro was selected from libraries generated from human donors vaccinated against anthrax. At least two of these antibodies protect rats from anthrax intoxication in vivo. Fabs 83K7C and 63L1D bind with subnanomolar affinity to protective antigen (PA) 63, and Fab 63L1D neutralizes toxin substoichiometrically, inhibits lethal factor (LF) interaction with PA63 and binds to a conformational epitope formed by PA63.


Subject(s)
Antibodies/blood , Antibodies/immunology , Antigens, Bacterial , Bacterial Toxins/antagonists & inhibitors , Bacterial Toxins/immunology , Immunoglobulin Fab Fragments/blood , Immunoglobulin Fab Fragments/immunology , Animals , Bacterial Toxins/toxicity , Blood Donors , Humans , Immunity/physiology , Immunization/methods , Peptide Library , Rats
8.
Chest ; 122(2): 741-5, 2002 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12171861

ABSTRACT

A case of hypersensitivity pneumonitis (HP) following anthrax vaccination is described. The patient is a 39-year-old, previously healthy man on active duty in the US Marine Corps, in whom a urticaral skin rash and progressive dyspnea on exertion developed following subcutaneous anthrax vaccination. A diagnosis of bronchiolitis obliterans with organizing pneumonia was made from transbronchial lung biopsy samples after evaluation excluded multiple infectious and collagen vascular etiologies. This appears to be the first recorded case of HP following an anthrax vaccination; however, a case report of pulmonary and cutaneous vasculitis following hepatitis B vaccination has been reported in the literature and is reviewed.


Subject(s)
Alveolitis, Extrinsic Allergic/etiology , Anthrax Vaccines/adverse effects , Adult , Cryptogenic Organizing Pneumonia/etiology , Hepatitis B Vaccines/adverse effects , Humans , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Lung/pathology , Male , Military Personnel , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
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