Distinguishing Clinical From Statistical Significances in Contemporary Comparative Effectiveness Research.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of clinical significance reporting in contemporary comparative effectiveness research (CER). BACKGROUND: In CER, a statistically significant difference between study groups may or may not be clinically significant. Misinterpreting statistically significant results could lead to inappropriate recommendations that increase health care costs and treatment toxicity. METHODS: CER studies from 2022 issues of the Annals of Surgery , Journal of the American Medical Association , Journal of Clinical Oncology , Journal of Surgical Research , and Journal of the American College of Surgeons were systematically reviewed by 2 different investigators. The primary outcome of interest was whether the authors specified what they considered to be a clinically significant difference in the "Methods." RESULTS: Of 307 reviewed studies, 162 were clinical trials and 145 were observational studies. Authors specified what they considered to be a clinically significant difference in 26 studies (8.5%). Clinical significance was defined using clinically validated standards in 25 studies and subjectively in 1 study. Seven studies (2.3%) recommended a change in clinical decision-making, all with primary outcomes achieving statistical significance. Five (71.4%) of these studies did not have clinical significance defined in their methods. In randomized controlled trials with statistically significant results, sample size was inversely correlated with effect size ( r = -0.30, P = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS: In contemporary CER, most authors do not specify what they consider to be a clinically significant difference in study outcome. Most studies recommending a change in clinical decision-making did so based on statistical significance alone, and clinical significance was usually defined with clinically validated standards.

Consideration of Metastasis-Directed Therapy for Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: Expert Survey and Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: A survey of medical oncologists (MOs), radiation oncologists (ROs), and surgical oncologists (SOs) who are experts in the management of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) was conducted to identify factors used to consider metastasis-directed therapy (MDT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: An online survey to assess clinical factors when weighing MDT in patients with mCRC was developed based on systematic review of the literature and integrated with clinical vignettes. Supporting evidence from the systematic review was included to aid in answering questions. RESULTS: Among 75 experts on mCRC invited, 47 (response rate 62.7%) chose to participate including 16 MOs, 16 ROs, and 15 SOs. Most experts would not consider MDT in patients with 3 lesions in both the liver and lung regardless of distribution or timing of metastatic disease diagnosis (6 vs. 36 months after definitive treatment). Similarly, for patients with retroperitoneal lymph node and lung and liver involvement, most experts would not offer MDT regardless of timing of metastatic disease diagnosis. In general, SOs were willing to consider MDT in patients with more advanced disease, ROs were more willing to offer treatment regardless of metastatic site location, and MOs were the least likely to consider MDT. CONCLUSIONS: Among experts caring for patients with mCRC, significant variation was noted among MOs, ROs, and SOs in the distribution and volume of metastatic disease for which MDT would be considered. This variability highlights differing opinions on management of these patients and underscores the need for well-designed prospective randomized trials to characterize the risks and potential benefits of MDT.

Highly Sensitive Circulating Tumor DNA Assay Aids Clinical Management of Radiographically Occult Isolated Peritoneal Metastases in Patients With GI Cancer.

PURPOSE: GI cancers commonly spread to the peritoneal cavity, particularly from primary adenocarcinomas of the stomach and appendix. Peritoneal metastases are difficult to visualize on cross-sectional imaging and cause substantial morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study was to determine whether serial highly sensitive tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) measurements could longitudinally track changes in disease burden and inform clinical care. METHODS: This was a retrospective case series of patients with gastric or appendiceal adenocarcinoma and isolated peritoneal disease that was radiographically occult. Patients underwent quantitative tumor-informed ctDNA testing (Signatera) as part of routine clinical care. No interventions were prespecified based on ctDNA results. RESULTS: Of 13 patients studied, the median age was 65 (range, 45-75) years, with 7 (54%) women, 5 (38%) patients with gastric, and 8 (62%) patients with appendiceal adenocarcinoma. Eight (62%) patients had detectable ctDNA at baseline measurement, with median value 0.13 MTM/mL (range, 0.06-11.68), and assay was technically unsuccessful in two cases with appendiceal cancer because of limited tumor tissue. Five (100%) patients with gastric cancer and 3 (50%) patients with appendiceal cancer had detectable ctDNA at baseline. Although baseline levels of ctDNA were low, longitudinal assessment tracked with changes in disease burden among patients undergoing chemotherapy for metastatic disease. In two patients undergoing surveillance after definitive surgical management of gastric adenocarcinoma, detection of ctDNA prompted diagnosis of isolated peritoneal disease. CONCLUSION: Quantitative tumor-informed serial ctDNA testing aids clinical management of patients with isolated peritoneal disease. Low levels of baseline ctDNA suggest a role for highly sensitive ctDNA approaches over panel-based testing. Further exploration of this approach should be considered in patients with isolated peritoneal malignant disease.

Preoperative Treatment of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Pelvic radiation plus sensitizing chemotherapy with a fluoropyrimidine (chemoradiotherapy) before surgery is standard care for locally advanced rectal cancer in North America. Whether neoadjuvant chemotherapy with fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) can be used in lieu of chemoradiotherapy is uncertain. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, unblinded, noninferiority, randomized trial of neoadjuvant FOLFOX (with chemoradiotherapy given only if the primary tumor decreased in size by <20% or if FOLFOX was discontinued because of side effects) as compared with chemoradiotherapy. Adults with rectal cancer that had been clinically staged as T2 node-positive, T3 node-negative, or T3 node-positive who were candidates for sphincter-sparing surgery were eligible to participate. The primary end point was disease-free survival. Noninferiority would be claimed if the upper limit of the two-sided 90.2% confidence interval of the hazard ratio for disease recurrence or death did not exceed 1.29. Secondary end points included overall survival, local recurrence (in a time-to-event analysis), complete pathological resection, complete response, and toxic effects. RESULTS: From June 2012 through December 2018, a total of 1194 patients underwent randomization and 1128 started treatment; among those who started treatment, 585 were in the FOLFOX group and 543 in the chemoradiotherapy group. At a median follow-up of 58 months, FOLFOX was noninferior to chemoradiotherapy for disease-free survival (hazard ratio for disease recurrence or death, 0.92; 90.2% confidence interval [CI], 0.74 to 1.14; P = 0.005 for noninferiority). Five-year disease-free survival was 80.8% (95% CI, 77.9 to 83.7) in the FOLFOX group and 78.6% (95% CI, 75.4 to 81.8) in the chemoradiotherapy group. The groups were similar with respect to overall survival (hazard ratio for death, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.74 to 1.44) and local recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.44 to 3.16). In the FOLFOX group, 53 patients (9.1%) received preoperative chemoradiotherapy and 8 (1.4%) received postoperative chemoradiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who were eligible for sphincter-sparing surgery, preoperative FOLFOX was noninferior to preoperative chemoradiotherapy with respect to disease-free survival. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute; PROSPECT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01515787.).

Patient-Reported Outcomes During and After Treatment for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer in the PROSPECT Trial (Alliance N1048).

PURPOSE: The standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer in North America is neoadjuvant pelvic chemoradiation with fluorouracil (5FUCRT). Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with fluorouracil and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) is an alternative that may spare patients the morbidity of radiation. Understanding the relative patient experiences with these options is necessary to inform treatment decisions. METHODS: PROSPECT was a multicenter, unblinded, noninferiority, randomized trial of neoadjuvant FOLFOX versus 5FUCRT, which enrolled adults with rectal cancer clinically staged as T2N+, cT3N-, or cT3N+ who were candidates for sphincter-sparing surgery. Neoadjuvant FOLFOX was given in six cycles over 12 weeks, followed by surgery. Neoadjuvant 5FUCRT was delivered in 28 fractions over 5.5 weeks, followed by surgery. Adjuvant chemotherapy was suggested but not mandated in both groups. Enrolled patients were asked to provide patient-reported outcomes (PROs) at baseline, during neoadjuvant treatment, and at 12 months after surgery. PROs included 14 symptoms from the National Cancer Institute's Patient-Reported Outcomes version of the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (PRO-CTCAE). Additional PRO instruments measured bowel, bladder, sexual function, and health-related quality of life (HRQL). RESULTS: From June 2012 to December 2018, 1,194 patients were randomly assigned, 1,128 initiated treatment, and 940 contributed PRO-CTCAE data (493 FOLFOX; 447 5FUCRT). During neoadjuvant treatment, patients reported significantly lower rates of diarrhea and better overall bowel function with FOLFOX while anxiety, appetite loss, constipation, depression, dysphagia, dyspnea, edema, fatigue, mucositis, nausea, neuropathy, and vomiting were lower with 5FUCRT (all multiplicity adjusted P < .05). At 12 months after surgery, patients randomly assigned to FOLFOX reported significantly lower rates of fatigue and neuropathy and better sexual function versus 5FUCRT (all multiplicity adjusted P < .05). Neither bladder function nor HRQL differed between groups at any time point. CONCLUSION: For patients with locally advanced rectal cancer choosing between neoadjuvant FOLFOX and 5FUCRT, the distinctive PRO profiles inform treatment selection and shared decision making.

Comparison of MR-soft tissue based versus biliary stent based alignment for image guidance in pancreatic SBRT.

PURPOSE: The role of biliary stents in image-guided localization for pancreatic cancer has been inconclusive. To date, stent accuracy has been largely evaluated against implanted fiducials on cone beam computed tomography. We aim to use magnetic resonance (MR) soft tissue as a direct reference to examine the geometric and dosimetric impacts of stent-based localization on the newly available MR linear accelerator. METHODS: Thirty pancreatic cancer patients (132 fractions) treated on our MR linear accelerator were identified to have a biliary stent. In our standard adaptive workflow, patients were set up to the target using soft tissue for image registration and structures were re-contoured on daily MR images. The original plan was then projected on treatment anatomy and dose predicted, followed by plan re-optimization and treatment delivery. These online predicted plans were soft tissue-based and served as reference plans. Retrospective image registration to the stent was performed offline to simulate stent-based localization and the magnitude of shifts was taken as the geometric accuracy of stent localization. New predicted plans were generated based on stent-alignment for dosimetric comparison. RESULTS: Shifts were within 3 mm for 90% of the cases (mean = 1.5 mm); however, larger shifts up to 7.2 mm were observed. Average PTV coverage dropped by 1.1% with a maximum drop of 26.8%. The mean increase in V35Gy was 0.15, 0.05, 0.02, and 0.02 cc for duodenum, stomach, small bowel and large bowel, respectively. Stent alignment was significantly worse for all metrics except for small bowel (p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Overall discrepancy between stent- and soft tissue-alignment was modest; however, large discrepancies were observed for select cases. While PTV coverage loss may be compensated for by using a larger margin, the increase in dose to gastrointestinal organs at risk may limit the role of biliary stents in image-guided localization.

Neoadjuvant short-course radiotherapy or chemoradiation plus consolidative chemotherapy followed by radical operation for locally advanced rectal cancer.

Introduction: Limited evidence compares short-course radiotherapy (SCRT) and long-course chemoradiotherapy (LCCRT), both of which are followed by consolidative chemotherapy before radical rectal surgery. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to assess treatment response, survival outcomes, and toxicity in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. Materials and methods: Patients (cT3-4 and/or N+) treated with SCRT or LCCRT, consolidative chemotherapy, or total mesorectal excision between 2013 and 2021 were identified. the cause-specific cumulative incidence of disease-related treatment failure, locoregional recurrence, distant metastases, and overall survival were evaluated using flexible parametric competing risk analysis and Kaplan-Meier methods, adjusted for treatment regimens and clinicopathological factors. A pathological complete response (pCR), tumor downstaging, and toxicity have been reported. Results: Among the 144 patients, 115 (80%) underwent curative rectal surgery. The LCCRT and SCRT groups achieved pCR in 10 (18%) and seven (12%) patients, respectively (odds ratio, 1.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-4.78). The adjusted cause-specific hazard ratio for disease-related treatment failure with LCCRT versus SCRT was 0.26 (95% CI, 0.08-0.87). Three-year cumulative probability of disease-related treatment failure was 10.0% and 25.6% for LCCRT and SCRT, respectively. No significant differences in T-downstaging, N-downstaging, significant pathologic downstaging (ypT0-2N0), locoregional failure, distant metastasis, or overall survival were found. Late rectal toxicity occurred in 10 (15%) LCCRT and two (3%) SCRT patients, respectively. Conclusion: LCCRT with consolidative chemotherapy demonstrated improved disease-related treatment failure compared with SCRT, despite higher late rectal toxicity. Further research is needed to assess the long-term oncologic outcomes and toxicity.

Use of the Toxicity Index in Evaluating Adverse Events in Anal Cancer Trials: Analysis of RTOG 9811 and RTOG 0529.

Novel toxicity metrics that account for all adverse event (AE) grades and the frequency of may enhance toxicity reporting in clinical trials. The Toxicity Index (TI) accounts for all AE grades and frequencies for categories of interest. We evaluate the feasibility of using the TI methodology in 2 prospective anal cancer trials and to evaluate whether more conformal radiation (using Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy) results in improved toxicity as measured by the TI. Patients enrolled on NRG/RTOG 0529 or nonconformal RT enrolled on the 5-Fluorouracil/Mitomycin arm of NRG/RTOG 9811 were compared using the TI. Patients treated on NRG/RTOG 0529 had lower median TI compared with patients treated with nonconformal RT on NRG/RTOG 9811 for combined GI/GU/Heme/Derm events (3.935 vs 3.996, P=0.014). The TI methodology is a feasible method to assess all AEs of interest and may be useful as a composite metric for future efforts aimed at treatment de-escalation or escalation.

Splenic irradiation contributes to grade ≥ 3 lymphopenia after adjuvant chemoradiation for stomach cancer.

Introduction: Adjuvant chemoradiation therapy (CRT) in gastric cancer inevitably results in an unintentional spleen radiation dose. We aimed to determine the association between the spleen radiation dose and the observed severity of lymphopenia which may affect the clinical outcomes (survival time and infection risk). Methods: Patients who received adjuvant CRT for gastric cancer between January 2015 and December 2020 were analyzed. The splenic dose-volume histogram (DVH) parameters were reported as mean splenic dose (MSD) and percentage of splenic volume receiving at least × Gray (Gy). Peripheral blood counts were recorded pre- and post-CRT. The development of severe (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 5.0, grade ≥ 3) post-CRT lymphopenia (absolute lymphocyte count [ALC] < 0.5 K/µL) was assessed by multivariable logistic regression using patient and dosimetric factors. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and cumulative incidence of infectious events were estimated and analyzed using the Cox model or competing risk analysis. Results: Eighty-four patients with a median follow-up duration of 42 months were analyzed. Pre- and post-CRT median ALC values were 1.8 K/µL (0.9-3.1 K/µL) and 0.9 K/µL (0.0-4.9 K/µL), respectively (P < 0.001). MSD > 40 Gy (odds ratio [OR], 1.13; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.26; P = 0.041), sex (OR for male to female, 0.25; 95 % CI, 0.09-0.70; P = 0.008), and baseline absolute neutrophil count (OR per 1 unit increase, 1.61; 95 % CI, 1.02-2.58; P = 0.040) were associated with the development of severe post-CRT lymphopenia, which was a risk factor for poorer OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.47; 95 % CI, 1.24-4.92; P = 0.010) and RFS (HR = 2.27; 95 % CI, 1.16-4.46; P = 0.017). The cumulative incidence of infections was higher among severe post-CRT lymphopenia patients (2.53, 95 % CI, 1.03-6.23, P = 0.043). Conclusion: High splenic radiation doses increase the odds of severe post-CRT lymphopenia, an independent predictor of lower OS and higher risks of recurrence and infections in gastric cancer patients receiving adjuvant CRT. Therefore, optimizing the splenic DVH parameters may decrease the risk of severe post-CRT lymphopenia.

Interstitial Lung Abnormalities in Patients With Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer: Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Clinical Implications.

PURPOSE: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) represent nondependent abnormalities on chest computed tomography (CT) indicating lung parenchymal damages due to inflammation and fibrosis. Interstitial lung abnormalities have been studied as a predictor of clinical outcome in lung cancer, but not in other thoracic malignancies. The present study investigated the prevalence of ILA in patients with esophageal cancer and identified risk factors and clinical implications of ILA in these patients. METHODS: The study included 208 patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer (median age, 65.6 years; 166 males, 42 females). Interstitial lung abnormality was scored on baseline CT scans before treatment using a 3-point scale (0 = no evidence of ILA, 1 = equivocal for ILA, 2 = ILA). Clinical characteristics and overall survival were compared in patients with ILA (score 2) and others. RESULTS: An ILA was present in 14 of 208 patients (7%) with esophageal cancer on pretreatment chest CT. Patients with ILA were significantly older (median age, 69 vs 65, respectively; P = 0.011), had a higher number of pack-years of smoking ( P = 0.02), and more commonly had T4 stage disease ( P = 0.026) than patients with ILA score of 1 or 0. Interstitial lung abnormality on baseline scan was associated with a lack of surgical resection after chemoradiotherapy (7/14, 50% vs 39/194, 20% respectively; P = 0.016). Interstitial lung abnormality was not associated with overall survival (log-rank P = 0.75, Cox P = 0.613). CONCLUSIONS: An ILA was present in 7% of esophageal cancer patients, which is similar to the prevalence in general population and in smokers. Interstitial lung abnormality was strongly associated with a lack of surgical resection after chemoradiotherapy, indicating an implication of ILA in treatment selection in these patients, which can be further studied in larger cohorts.

Retrospective Review of Outcomes After Radiation Therapy for Oligoprogressive Disease on Immune Checkpoint Blockade.

PURPOSE: We retrospectively evaluated outcomes after radiation therapy for patients with oligoprogression on immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified patients irradiated to ≤5 progressive lesions while receiving ICI between 2010 and 2020. We excluded patients whose systemic therapy was switched after radiation but before progression. We evaluated predictors of local control (LC), progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: We screened 1423 patients and identified 120 who were eligible; the most common histologies were lung cancer (n = 59) and melanoma (n = 36). The median number of oligoprogressive lesions was 1. For the median LC of irradiated oligoprogressive lesions, PFS and OS were not reached at 6.41 (4.67-7.66) and 29.80 (22.54-43.33) months, respectively. Tumor histology, radiated site, or radiation modality were not associated with LC, PFS, or OS. Local response to radiation (P < .0001) and radiation of newly developed lesions (P = .02) were associated with LC. Predictors of PFS on univariate and multivariate analyses were best response to radiation (P = .006) and high programmed death ligand 1 tumor proportion score (P = .02). On multivariate analyses, OS was associated with cumulative oligoprogressive lesion volumes (P = .02) and duration of ICI before oligoprogression (P = .03). CONCLUSIONS: Promising outcomes were observed among patients irradiated for oligoprogression on ICI, especially those with a favorable local response, high tumor programmed death ligand 1 expression, and those receiving ICI for longer periods before oligoprogression. These data can help identify patients well suited for radiation therapy versus those who should switch systemic treatment.

Trastuzumab with trimodality treatment for oesophageal adenocarcinoma with HER2 overexpression (NRG Oncology/RTOG 1010): a multicentre, randomised, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Trastuzumab is a monoclonal antibody against HER2 (also known as ERBB2). The primary objective of the NRG Oncology/RTOG-1010 trial was to establish whether trastuzumab improves disease-free survival when combined with trimodality treatment (paclitaxel plus carboplatin and radiotherapy, followed by surgery) for patients with untreated HER2-overexpressing oesophageal adenocarcinoma. METHODS: NRG Oncology/RTOG-1010 was an open label, randomised, phase 3 trial for which patients were accrued from 111 NRG-affiliated institutions in the USA. Eligible patients were adults (aged ≥18 years) with newly diagnosed pathologically confirmed oesophageal adenocarcinoma, American Joint Committee on Cancer 7th edition T1N1-2 or T2-3N0-2 stage disease, and a Zubrod performance status of 0-2. Patients were stratified by adenopathy (no vs yes [coeliac absent] vs yes [coeliac present ≤2 cm]) and randomly assigned (1:1) to receive weekly intravenous paclitaxel (50 mg/m2 intravenously over 1 h) and carboplatin (area under the curve 2, intravenously over 30-60 min) for 6 weeks with radiotherapy 50·4 Gy in 28 fractions (chemoradiotherapy) followed by surgery, with or without intravenous trastuzumab (4 mg/kg in week one, 2 mg/kg per week for 5 weeks during chemoradiotherapy, 6 mg/kg once presurgery, and 6 mg/kg every 3 weeks for 13 treatments starting 21-56 days after surgery). The primary endpoint, disease-free survival, was defined as the time from randomisation to death or first of locoregional disease persistence or recurrence, distant metastases, or second primary malignancy. Analyses were done by modified intention to treat. This study is registered with Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT01196390; it is now closed and in follow-up. FINDINGS: 606 patients were entered for HER2 assessment from Dec 30, 2010 to Nov 10, 2015, and 203 eligible patients who were HER2-positive were enrolled and randomly assigned to chemoradiotherapy plus trastuzumab (n=102) or chemoradiotherapy alone (n=101). Median duration of follow-up was 2·8 years (IQR 1·4-5·7). Median disease-free survival was 19·6 months (95% CI 13·5-26·2) with chemoradiotherapy plus trastuzumab compared with 14·2 months (10·5-23·0) for chemoradiotherapy alone (hazard ratio 0·99 [95% CI 0·71-1·39], log-rank p=0·97). Grade 3 treatment-related adverse events occurred in 41 (43%) of 95 patients in the chemoradiotherapy plus trastuzumab group versus 52 (54%) of 96 in the chemoradiotherapy group and grade 4 events occurred in 20 (21%) versus 21 (22%). The most common grade 3 or worse treatment-related adverse events for both groups were haematological (53 [56%] of 95 patients in the chemoradiotherapy plus trastuzumab group vs 55 [57%] of 96 patients in the chemotherapy group) or gastrointestinal disorders (28 [29%] vs 20 [21 %]). 34 (36%) of 95 patients in the chemoradiotherapy plus trastuzumab group and 27 (28%) of 96 patients in the chemoradiotherapy only group had treatment-related serious adverse events. There were eight treatment-related deaths: five (5%) of 95 patients in the chemoradiotherapy plus trastuzumab group (bronchopleural fistula, oesophageal anastomotic leak, lung infection, sudden death, and death not otherwise specified), and three (3%) of 96 in the chemoradiotherapy group (two multiorgan failure and one sepsis). INTERPRETATION: The addition of trastuzumab to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for HER2-overexpressing oesophageal cancer was not effective. Trastuzumab did not lead to increased toxicities, suggesting that future studies combining it with or using other agents targeting HER2 in oesophageal cancer are warranted. FUNDING: National Cancer Institute and Genentech.

Florid Foreign Body-type Giant Cell Response to Keratin Is Associated With Improved Overall Survival in Patients Receiving Preoperative Therapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

While most resection specimens from patients with neoadjuvantly treated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma show therapy-related changes in the form of inflammation and fibrosis, others harbor a florid foreign body-type giant cell response to keratin debris. The purpose of our study was to perform a detailed clinicopathologic analysis of these histologic types of treatment responses and correlate these findings with patient outcome. Clinical and pathologic parameters from 110 esophagogastrectomies were recorded and analyzed. Two main types of histologic responses were observed: inflammatory-predominant response (59%) and florid foreign body-type giant cell response to keratin (41%). Irrespective of cG, cTNM, and amount of residual cancer, florid foreign body-type giant cell reaction was predominantly noted deep within the esophageal wall, while the inflammatory response was restricted to the mucosa, submucosa, and inner half of muscularis propria. Patients with foreign body-type giant cell response showed significantly better overall survival compared with the inflammatory response group (log-rank test P=0.015). Florid foreign body-type giant cell response was the only factor associated with improved survival in a multivariable analysis for overall survival (hazard ratio=0.5; 95% confidence interval=0.3-1.0; P=0.038), but not in the model for disease-specific survival, whereas ypTNM stage II was the only significant risk factor for disease-specific survival in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio=3.4; 95% confidence interval=1.0-11.2; P=0.047). Our results suggest that in addition to the College of American Pathologists Tumor Regression Score and ypTNM stage, subtype of histologic response to therapy may represent another prognostic marker for neoadjuvantly treated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Pharmacogenetic study in gastric cancer patients treated with adjuvant fluorouracil/leucovorin or epirubicin/cisplatin/fluorouracil before and after chemoradiation on CALGB 80101 (Alliance).

There is a lack of pharmacogenetic predictors of outcome in gastric cancer patients. The aim of this study was to assess previously identified candidate genes associated with 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), cisplatin, or epirubicin toxicity or response in a cohort of resected gastric cancer patients treated on CALGB (Alliance) 80101. Gastric or gastroesophageal cancer patients randomized to adjuvant 5-FU/leucovorin or epirubicin/cisplatin/5-FU before and after 5-FU chemoradiation were genotyped for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in GSTP1 (rs1695), ERCC1 (rs11615 and rs3212986), XRCC1 (rs25487), UGT2B7 (rs7439366) and the 28 base-pair tandem repeats in TYMS (rs34743033). Logistic regression and log rank tests were used to assess the association between each SNP and incidence of grade 3/4 neutropenia and leukopenia, overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), respectively. Toxicity endpoint analyses were adjusted for the treatment arm, while OS and PFS were also adjusted for performance status, sex, age, lymph node involvement, and primary tumor site and size. Of 281 subjects with successful genotyping results and available clinical (toxicity and efficacy) data, 166 self-reported non-Hispanic White patients were included in the final analysis. There was a lack of evidence of an association among any SNPs tested with grade 3/4 neutropenia and leukopenia or OS and PFS. Age, lymph node involvement, and primary tumor size were significantly associated with OS and PFS. This study failed to confirm results of previous gastric cancer pharmacogenetic studies.

Outcomes of trimodality CROSS regimen in older adults with locally advanced esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Chemoradiotherapy for Esophageal cancer followed by Surgery (CROSS regimen) is standard of care for locally-advanced esophageal cancer. We evaluated CROSS completion rates, toxicity, and postoperative outcomes between older and younger adults receiving trimodality therapy. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients with locally-advanced esophageal cancer who underwent CROSS regimen from May 2016 to January 2020 at a single academic center. Outcomes of those aged ≥70-years-old and <70 years-old were analyzed. RESULTS: Of 201 patients, 136 were <70 and 65 were ≥70 years. Older adults were more likely to be male (91% vs. 79%; p = 0.045), have higher ECOG scores (median 1 vs. 0; p = 0.003), Charlson-comorbidity index (median 6 vs. 4; p < 0.001), and undergo open procedures (20% vs. 8% p = 0.008). Most completed CROSS regimen (78% vs. 84% respectively) with similar rates of treatment discontinuation and dose reduction (all p > 0.05). Time to surgery following neoadjuvant therapy was similar between age groups, except in those ≥80-years-old as compared to <70-years-old (p < 0.05). Overall toxicity rates were similar (68% vs. 71% respectively; p = 0.676). Only rates of delirium (19% vs. 5%) and urinary retention (9% vs. 0%) were higher in older adults (both p < 0.05). Length of stay, discharge disposition, mortality, and overall survival were similar. Age was not an independent risk factor for complication, neoadjuvant toxicity or completion, surgery timing, nor worse overall or recurrence-free survival (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Trimodality CROSS regimen for esophageal cancer in older adults is feasible, with similar completion rates and postoperative outcomes as compared to their younger counterparts.

Assessment of Simulated SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Mortality Risk Associated With Radiation Therapy Among Patients in 8 Randomized Clinical Trials.

Importance: During the COVID-19 pandemic, cancer therapy may put patients at risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality. The impacts of proposed alternatives on reducing infection risk are unknown. Objective: To investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic is associated with the risks and benefits of standard radiation therapy (RT). Design, Setting, and Participants: This comparative effectiveness study used estimated individual patient-level data extracted from published Kaplan-Meier survival figures from 8 randomized clinical trials across oncology from 1993 to 2014 that evaluated the inclusion of RT or compared different RT fractionation regimens. Included trials were Dutch TME and TROG 01.04 examining rectal cancer; CALGB 9343, OCOG hypofractionation trial, FAST-Forward, and NSABP B-39 examining early stage breast cancer, and CHHiP and HYPO-RT-PC examining prostate cancer. Risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and mortality associated with receipt of RT in the treatment arms were simulated and trials were reanalyzed. Data were analyzed between April 1, 2020, and June 30, 2020. Exposures: COVID-19 risk associated with treatment was simulated across different pandemic scenarios, varying infection risk per fractions (IRFs) and case fatality rates (CFRs). Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall survival was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards modeling under different pandemic scenarios. Results: Estimated IPLD from a total of 14 170 patients were included in the simulations. In scenarios with low COVID-19-associated risks (IRF, 0.5%; CFR, 5%), fractionation was not significantly associated with outcomes. In locally advanced rectal cancer, short-course RT was associated with better outcomes than long-course chemoradiation (TROG 01.04) and was associated with similar outcomes as RT omission (Dutch TME) in most settings (eg, TROG 01.04 median HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.46-0.96]; Dutch TME median HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.80-1.03] in a scenario with IRF 5% and CFR 20%). Moderate hypofractionation in early stage breast cancer (OCOG hypofractionation trial) and prostate cancer (CHHiP) was not associated with survival benefits in the setting of COVID-19 (eg, OCOG hypofractionation trial median HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.74-1.06]; CHHiP median HR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.75-1.01] under high-risk scenario with IRF 10% and CFR 30%). More aggressive hypofractionation (FAST-Forward, HYPO-RT-PC) and accelerated partial breast irradiation (NSABP B-39) were associated with improved survival in higher risk scenarios (eg, FAST-Forward median HR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.49-0.68]; HYPO-RT-PC median HR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.48-0.75] under scenario with IRF 10% and CFR 30%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this comparative effectiveness study of data from 8 clinical trials of patients receiving radiation therapy to simulate COVID-19 risk and mortality rates, treatment modification was not associated with altered risk from COVID-19 in lower-risk scenarios and was only associated with decreased mortality in very high COVID-19-risk scenarios. This model, which can be adapted to dynamic changes in COVID-19 risk, provides a flexible, quantitative approach to assess the potential impact of treatment modifications and supports the continued delivery of standard evidence-based care with appropriate precautions against COVID-19.

KEYNOTE-975 study design: a Phase III study of definitive chemoradiotherapy plus pembrolizumab in patients with esophageal carcinoma.

Despite curative-intent treatment, most patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer will experience disease recurrence or locoregional progression, highlighting the need for new therapies. Current guidelines recommend definitive chemoradiotherapy in patients ineligible for surgical resection, but survival outcomes are poor. Pembrolizumab is well tolerated and provides promising antitumor activity in patients with previously treated, advanced, unresectable esophageal/esophagogastric junction cancer. Combining pembrolizumab with chemoradiotherapy may further improve outcomes in the first-line setting. Here, we describe the design and rationale for the double-blind, Phase III, placebo-controlled, randomized KEYNOTE-975 trial investigating pembrolizumab in combination with definitive chemoradiotherapy as first-line treatment in patients with locally advanced, unresectable esophageal/gastroesophageal junction cancer. Overall survival and event-free survival are the dual primary end points. Clinical trial registration: NCT04210115 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

A Randomized Trial of Combined PD-L1 and CTLA-4 Inhibition with Targeted Low-Dose or Hypofractionated Radiation for Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: Prospective human data are lacking regarding safety, efficacy, and immunologic impacts of different radiation doses administered with combined PD-L1/CTLA-4 blockade. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a multicenter phase II study randomly assigning patients with metastatic microsatellite stable colorectal cancer to repeated low-dose fractionated radiation (LDFRT) or hypofractionated radiation (HFRT) with PD-L1/CTLA-4 inhibition. The primary endpoint was response outside the radiation field. Correlative samples were analyzed using multiplex immunofluorescence (IF), IHC, RNA/T-cell receptor (TCR) sequencing, cytometry by time-of-flight (CyTOF), and Olink. RESULTS: Eighteen patients were evaluable for response. Median lines of prior therapy were four (range, 1-7). Sixteen patients demonstrated toxicity potentially related to treatment (84%), and 8 patients had grade 3-4 toxicity (42%). Best response was stable disease in 1 patient with out-of-field tumor shrinkage. Median overall survival was 3.8 months (90% confidence interval, 2.3-5.7 months). Correlative IF and RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) revealed increased infiltration of CD8+ and CD8+/PD-1+/Ki-67+ T cells in the radiation field after HFRT. LDFRT increased foci of micronuclei/primary nuclear rupture in two subjects. CyTOF and RNA-seq demonstrated significant declines in multiple circulating immune populations, particularly in patients receiving HFRT. TCR sequencing revealed treatment-associated changes in T-cell repertoire in the tumor and peripheral blood. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate the feasibility and safety of adding LDFRT and HFRT to PD-L1/CTLA-4 blockade. Although the best response of stable disease does not support the use of concurrent PD-L1/CTLA-4 inhibition with HFRT or LDFRT in this population, biomarkers provide support that both LDFRT and HFRT impact the local immune microenvironment and systemic immunogenicity that can help guide future studies.