Improving the Diagnostic Criteria for Primary Liver Graft Nonfunction in Adults Utilizing Standard and Transportable Laboratory Parameters: An Outcome-Based Analysis.

Current diagnostic criteria for primary nonfunction (PNF) of liver grafts are based on clinical experience rather than statistical methods. A retrospective, single-center study was conducted of all adults (n = 1286) who underwent primary liver transplant (LT) 2000-2008 in our center. Laboratory variables during the first post LT week were analyzed. Forty-two patients (3.7%) had 2-week graft failure. Transplant albumin, day-1 aspartate aminotransferase (AST), day-1 lactate, day-3 bilirubin, day-3 international normalized ratio (INR), and day-7 AST were independently associated with PNF on multivariate logistic regression. PNF score =(0.000280*D1AST)+ (0.361*D1 Lactate)+(0.00884*D3 Bilirubin)+(0.940*D3 INR)+(0.00153*D7 AST)-(0.0972*TxAlbumin)-4.5503. Receiver operating curve analysis showed the model area under receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.912 (0.889-0.932) was superior to the current United Kingdom (UK) PNF criteria of 0.669 (0.634-0.704, p < 0.0001). When applied to a validation cohort (n = 386, 34.4% patients), the model had AUROC of 0.831 (0.789-0.867) compared to the UK early graft dysfunction criteria of 0.674 (0.624-0.721). The new model performed well after exclusion of patients with marginal grafts and when modified to include variables from the first three post-LT days only (AUROC of 0.818, 0.776-0.856, p = 0.001). This model is superior to the current UK PNF criteria and is based on statistical methods. The model is also applicable to recipients of all types of grafts (marginal and nonmarginal).

Comparison of scoring systems and outcome of patients admitted to a liver intensive care unit of a tertiary referral centre with severe variceal bleeding.

BACKGROUND: Acute variceal haemorrhage (AVH) is associated with significant mortality. AIMS: To determine outcome and factors associated with hospital mortality (HM) in patients with AVH admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) and to compare outcomes of patients requiring transfer to a tertiary ICU (transfer group, TG) to a local in-patient group (LG). METHODS: A retrospective study of all adult patients (N = 177) admitted to ICU with AVH from 2000-2008 was performed. RESULTS: Median age was 48 years (16-80). Male represented 58%. Median MELD score was 16 (6-39), SOFA score was 8 (6-11). HM was higher in patients who had severe liver disease or critical illness measured by MELD, SOFA, APACHE II scores and number of failed organs (NFO), P < 0.05. Patients with day-1 lactate ≥ 2 mmol/L had increased HM (P < 0.001). MELD score performed as well as APACHE II, SOFA and NFO (P < 0.001) in predicting HM (AUROC = 0.84, 0.81, 0.79 and 0.82, respectively P > 0.05 for pair wise comparisons). Re-bleeding was associated with increased HM (56.9% vs. 31.6%, P = 0.002). The TG (n = 124) had less severe liver disease and critical illness and consequently had lower HM than local patients (32% vs. 57%, P = 0.002). TG patients with ≥2 endoscopies prior to transfer had increased 6-week mortality (P = 0.03). Time from bleeding to transfer ≥3 days was associated with re-bleeding (OR = 2.290, P = 0.043). CONCLUSIONS: MELD score was comparable to ICU prognostic models in predicting mortality. Blood lactate was also predictive of hospital mortality. Delays in referrals and repeated endoscopy were associated with increased re-bleeding and mortality in this group.

Predicting the development of acute kidney injury in liver cirrhosis--an analysis of glomerular filtration rate, proteinuria and kidney injury biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: The timely diagnosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) in liver cirrhosis is challenging. AIM: To evaluate whether quantification of glomerular filtration rate (GFR), proteinuria and kidney injury biomarkers can accurately predict the development of AKI. METHODS: A prospective cohort analysis of patients with cirrhosis was performed. Measures of baseline kidney function included serum creatinine, iohexol clearance and urine protein:creatinine ratio. Blood and urine samples were collected daily. A retrospective analysis of cystatin C GFR and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) measured 48 h prior to the diagnosis of AKI was undertaken to evaluate their ability to predict the development of AKI. RESULTS: Eighteen of the 34 cirrhosis patients studied developed AKI. A GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) was identified in 56% with Iohexol clearance compared to 8% using the four-variable modified diet in renal disease formula (P < 0.0001). Prediction of AKI, 48 h prior to the development of AKI with cystatin C GFR and serum NGAL concentration were similar; area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) values 0.74 (0.51-0.97), P = 0.04 and 0.72 (0.52-0.92), P = 0.02 respectively. The development of AKI was strongly predicted by urine protein:creatinine ratio above the cut-off of >30 (equivalent to 300 mg/day of proteinuria) sensitivity 82% (57-96) and specificity 80% (52-96), AUROC 0.86 (0.73-0.98), P ≤ 0.0001. [OR 21 (3-133), P ≤ 0.002]. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with liver cirrhosis a urine protein:creatinine ratio >30 predicts AKI. Iohexol clearance and cystatin C formulae identify a greater proportion of patients with a GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2), which also predicts the development of AKI.

Endoscopic ultrasound guided fine needle aspiration for the diagnosis of pancreatic cystic neoplasms: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Mucinous cystic neoplasms and intraductal papillary mucinous tumours have greater malignant potential than serous cystic neoplasms. EUS alone is inadequate for characterising these lesions but the addition of FNA may significantly improve diagnostic accuracy. The performance of EUS-FNA is highly variable in published studies. AIM: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of EUS-FNA to differentiate mucinous versus non-mucinous cystic lesions with cyst fluid analysis for cytology and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) by performing a meta-analysis of published studies. METHODS: Relevant studies were identified via structured database search and included if they used a reference standard of definitive surgical histology or clinical follow-up of at least 6 months. Data from selected studies were pooled to give summary sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratio and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Pre-defined subgroup analysis was performed. RESULTS: Eighteen studies (published 2002-2011) were included, with a total of 1438 patients. For cytology, pooled sensitivity was 54(95%CI 49-59)% and specificity 93(90-95)%. The diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) was 13.3 (4.37-49.43), with I(2) of 77.1%. For CEA sensitivity was 63(59-67)% and specificity 88(83-91)%. The DOR was 10.76(6.29-18.41) with an I(2) of 25.4%. The diagnostic accuracy of EUS-FNA was enhanced in prospective studies and studies of <36 months duration. No impact of publication bias on our results was demonstrated. CONCLUSIONS: Fine-needle aspiration has moderate sensitivity but high specificity for mucinous lesions. EUS-FNA, when used in conjunction with cross sectional imaging, is a useful diagnostic tool for the correct identification of mucinous cysts.

Meta-analysis: The diagnostic accuracy of critical flicker frequency in minimal hepatic encephalopathy.

BACKGROUND: Minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) reduces quality of life, increases the risk of road traffic incidents and predicts progression to overt hepatic encephalopathy and death. Current psychometry-based diagnostic methods are effective, but time-consuming and a universal 'gold standard' test has yet to be agreed upon. Critical Flicker Frequency (CFF) is a proposed language-independent diagnostic tool for MHE, but its accuracy has yet to be confirmed. AIM: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of CFF for MHE by performing a systematic review and meta-analysis of all studies, which report on the diagnostic accuracy of this test. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed to locate all publications reporting on the diagnostic accuracy of CFF for MHE. Data were extracted from 2 × 2 tables or calculated from reported accuracy data. Collated data were meta-analysed for sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and summary receiver operator curve (sROC) analysis. Prespecified subgroup analysis and meta-regression were also performed. RESULTS: Nine studies with data for 622 patients were included. Summary sensitivity was 61% (95% CI: 55-67), specificity 79% (95% CI: 75-83) and DOR 10.9 (95% CI: 4.2-28.3). A symmetrical sROC gave an area under the receiver operator curve of 0.84 (SE = 0.06). The heterogeneity of the DOR was 74%. CONCLUSIONS: Critical Flicker Frequency has a high specificity and moderate sensitivity for diagnosing minimal hepatic encephalopathy. Given the advantages of language independence and being both simple to perform and interpret, we suggest the use of critical flicker frequency as an adjunct (but not replacement) to psychometric testing.

Hepatic encephalopathy.

Hepatic encephalopathy is a serious and potentially fatal complication of both acute and chronic liver disease, arising as a result of hepatocellular failure, cirrhosis and/or portal-systemic shunting (Ferenci et al, 2002). It reflects a broad spectrum of neuropsychiatric abnormalities, encompassing a range of defects in psychomotor, locomotive, cognitive, emotional and behavioural functions (Prakash and Mullen, 2010). Hepatic encephalopathy is either overt or minimal. While overt hepatic encephalopathy can be diagnosed using bedside clinical tests, minimal hepatic encephalopathy is clinically invisible and requires psychometric testing to diagnose. The rising prevalence of end-stage viral hepatitis-related liver disease, coupled with the growing problem of alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, has significantly increased the burden of disease from cirrhosis (Mooney et al, 2007; Fleming et al, 2008), so recognition and appropriate management of the manifestations of decompensating cirrhosis (including hepatic encephalopathy) is essential. Hepatic encephalopathy has a substantial societal burden because of its impact on survival, quality of life and daily functioning, including an impaired ability to drive, leaving patients especially vulnerable to road traffic accidents (Ferenci et al, 2002; Prakash and Mullen, 2010).

Admission levels and early changes in serum interleukin-10 are predictive of poor outcome in acute liver failure and decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIM: Immunoparesis contributes to prognosis in acute liver failure (ALF) and decompensated cirrhosis, a phenomenon thought to be mediated by the anti-inflammatory cytokine interleukin (IL)-10. We investigated the prognostic value of admission IL-10 levels and their evolution during the early phase of treatment in intensive care, in comparison to the pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha. METHODS: We measured these cytokines within 48 h of admission in 51 ALF and 39 decompensated cirrhosis patients admitted to intensive care, and obtained follow-up measurement a median of 2 days later in 35 patients. RESULTS: Levels of all cytokines were higher in those with a poor outcome. IL-10 performed as well as TNF-alpha and IL-6 in the whole cohort (area under receiver operator curve 0.73 vs 0.66 and 0.72). However IL-10 outperfomed pro-inflammatory cytokines in the subgroups with ALF (0.80 vs 0.63 and 0.70) and acetaminophen-induced ALF (0.92 vs 0.67 and 0.81). Levels of all cytokines rose significantly in non-surviving patients (n=15); IL-10 by a factor of 2, TNF-alpha by 2.6 and IL-6 by 1.13. No significant changes were seen in the surviving patients. In ALF, IL-10 was an independent predictor of outcome in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: The magnitude of the compensatory anti-inflammatory response at admission, and its development during the early phase of treatment, predicts outcome as well as the pro-inflammatory response in acute hepatic syndromes and supports a vital role for this immunological phenomenon in the outcome of these patients.

Surgical resection versus radiofrequency ablation in the treatment of small unifocal hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high worldwide prevalence and mortality. While surgical resection and transplantation offers curative potential, donor availability and patient liver status and comorbidities may disallow either. Interventional radiological techniques such as radiofrequency ablation (RFA) may offer acceptable overall and disease-free survival rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sixty-eight cirrhotic patients matched for age, sex, tumor size, and Child-Pugh grade with small (1-5 cm) unifocal HCC were studied retrospectively to find determinants of overall and disease-free survival in those treated with surgical resection and RFA between 1991 and 2003. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis using Cox proportional regression modeling showed that overall survival was related to tumor recurrence (p = 0.010), tumor diameter (p = 0.002), and treatment modality (p = 0.014); overall p = 0.008. Recurrence was independently related to the use of RFA over surgery (p = 0.023) on multivariate analysis; overall p = 0.034. CONCLUSION: Surgical resection offers longer disease-free survival and potentially longer overall survival than RFA in patients with small unifocal HCC.

Laparoscopic versus open left lateral hepatic sectionectomy: A comparative study.

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic liver surgery has been difficult to popularize. High volume liver centres have identified left lateral sectionectomy (LLS) as a procedure with potential for transformation into a primarily laparoscopic procedure where surgeons can safely gain proficiency. METHODS: Forty-four patients underwent either laparoscopic (LLLS) or open (OLLS) left lateral sectionectomy (of segments II/III) for focal lesions at Southampton General Hospital. RESULTS: OLLS and LLLS groups were matched for age, sex and tumour types resected. Median operative time in the LLLS group was 180 (40-340) min and 155 (110-330) min in the OLLS group (p=0.885) with median intra-operative blood loss in the LLLS group 80 (25-800) ml versus a larger 470 (100-3000) ml; p=0.002 for patients receiving OLLS. Post-operative stay was also shorter in the LLLS group (3.5 (1-6) days) compared to the OLLS group (7 (3-12) days; p<0.001). Resection margin was not different in the two groups (11 (1.5-30) mm (LLLS) versus 12 (4-40) mm (OLLS); p=1) and neither was the complication rate (13% for LLLS versus 25% for OLLS; p=0.541). There were no conversions to open in the LLLS group and no deaths in either group at 90 days. Between the first and second 12 LLLS the median operative time fell from 240 (70-340) min to 120 (40-120) min; p=0.005 as well as median post-operative hospital stay from 4.5 (2-6) days to 2 (1-4) days, p=0.001. CONCLUSION: LLLS is a viable alternative to OLLS with potential improvements in intra-operative blood loss and shorter hospital stay without adversely affecting successful resection or complication rates. Larger prospective studies are required to explore this new avenue in laparoscopic liver surgery.

A meta-analysis comparing suprapubic and transurethral catheterization for bladder drainage after abdominal surgery.

BACKGROUND: Although bladder drainage is widely used for general surgical patients undergoing laparotomy, there is little consensus on whether suprapubic or transurethral catheterization is better. METHOD: A systematic database search was undertaken to find all studies of suprapubic catheterization. Randomized controlled trials were identified for inclusion. Endpoints for analysis were bacteriuria, patient satisfaction and recatheterization rates. A meta-analysis was performed using fixed-effect or random-effect models as appropriate, depending on heterogeneity. RESULTS: After abdominal surgery, transurethral catheterization is associated with significant bacteriuria (relative risk (RR)=2.02, P<0.001, 95 percent confidence interval (c.i.) 1.34 to 3.04) and pain or discomfort (RR=2.94, P=0.004, 95 percent c.i. 1.41 to 6.14). Recatheterization rates using the transurethral method were not increased significantly (RR=1.97, P=0.213, 95 percent c.i. 0.68 to 5.74) with heterogeneity between studies. CONCLUSION: The suprapubic route for bladder drainage in general surgery is more acceptable to patients and reduces microbiological morbidity.