Continued decline in the incidence of myocardial infarction beyond the COVID-19 pandemic: a nationwide study of the Swedish population aged 60 and older during 2015-2022.

The number of myocardial infarctions declined during the early COVID-19 pandemic but mechanisms behind these declines are poorly understood. COVID-19 infection is also associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction which could lead to higher incidence rates in the population. This study aims to shed light on the seemingly paradoxical relationship between COVID-19 and myocardial infarction occurrence on the population level by exploring long-term trends in incidence rates, case fatality, and proportion of patients dying before reaching a hospital. Our work is based on a linkage of administrative registers covering the entire population aged 60 + in Sweden. Considering both long-term trends since 2015 and seasonal variability, we compared observed incidence, case fatality, and proportions of patients hospitalized to expected values during 2020-2022. Despite more than 200 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases per 1000 inhabitants by the end of 2022, incidence rates of myocardial infarction continued to decline, thus following the long-term trend observed already before 2020. During the first pandemic wave there was an additional incidence decline corresponding to 13% fewer myocardial infarctions than expected. This decline was neither accompanied by increasing case fatality nor by lower shares of patients being hospitalized. We found no increase in the population-level incidence of myocardial infarction despite large-scale exposure to COVID-19, which suggests that the effect of COVID-19 on myocardial infarction risk is not substantial. Increased pressure on the Swedish health care system has not led to increased risks or poorer outcomes for patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction.

Characterizing the Individuals Who Regain or Maintain Walking Ability after a Hip Fracture: Insights Into Physical Resilience.

OBJECTIVES: Maintaining walking ability is key to healthy aging. Hip fractures often lead to declined walking ability. This study investigated characteristics of individuals who regained walking ability after a hip fracture, an expression of physical resilience. DESIGN: Register-based cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 55,467 Swedish residents aged ≥60 years with a first hip fracture (71% women, mean age = 82.3 ± 8) included in the Swedish Hip Fracture Register. METHODS: Information about diseases, medications, and socioeconomic (SES) factors came from registers. Individuals were classified by prefracture walking ability (independent or assisted walking) and whether their walking ability 4 months post-fracture was maintained (physical resilience or nonresilience). Cluster analyses were conducted among individuals who maintained their walking ability to assess different physical resilience profiles. RESULTS: At baseline, 38,493 individuals walked independently (69%), and 16,982 were assisted walkers. Half of the independent walkers maintained their walking ability 4 months post-fracture. Among them, 3 clusters were identified: a "Low SES, Low Disease" cluster (n = 8580, mean age 81.1 ± 7.5); a "High SES, Low Disease" cluster (n = 7778, mean age 76.7 ± 7.4); and a third "High SES, High Disease" cluster (n = 4320, mean age 77.7 ± 7.4). Sixty percent of the pre-assisted walkers maintained their level of assisted walking ability. Also among them, 3 clusters were identified: a "Low SES-Independent Living" cluster (n = 3077, mean age 85.5 ± 7.1); a second "Care Home" cluster (n = 2912, mean age 87.0 ± 6.5) with a high proportion with dementia diagnosis; and a last "High SES" cluster (n = 4044, mean age 83.0 ± 7.0) with the largest proportion of men. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Physical resilience is not characterized by one typical healthy profile, and it is possible to regain walking ability after a hip fracture despite unfavorable prerequisites in 1 domain. A favorable status in one domain may compensate for an unfavorable status in another, for example, a high disease burden in combination with high SES.

Trajectories of Long-term Care after Stroke in Sweden: Nationwide Study Exploring Patterns and Determinants.

OBJECTIVES: Stroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability worldwide. Although studies have primarily focused on health and functioning among stroke survivors, there is limited research on longitudinal patterns of long-term care use among older adults with stroke. This study explores long-term care trajectories among older men and women with stroke in the Swedish population. DESIGN: Nationwide prospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: All individuals aged ≥70 years hospitalized with a first stroke in 2015-2017 followed in the Swedish population registers for 3 years. METHODS: Care trajectories among patients with strokes were visualized and compared to trajectories in 2 control groups: (1) same-aged peers randomly drawn from the general population and (2) older adults with health and sociodemographic characteristics similar to patients with strokes but without stroke identified through propensity score matching. Multivariable Cox regression and multistate models were used to identify determinants of mortality and care trajectories among patients with strokes. RESULTS: We identified 31,560 individuals with stroke (mean age 82.9 years). Already before the stroke, these individuals had a higher comorbidity burden and received more long-term care than their same-aged peers. Compared with both control groups, patients with strokes were also more likely to enter long-term care. However, 38% of patients with strokes survived for 3 years without taking up long-term care. Sex, income, cohabitation, and comorbidities were associated with care trajectories. Care status was a more robust predictor of mortality after stroke than the established Charlson comorbidity index. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Experiencing a stroke increases both mortality and long-term care utilization, and once formal long-term care is provided, exceedingly few patients with strokes return to living without care. However, a considerable part of care utilization and mortality after stroke is concentrated among those with preexisting care needs. Prestroke care utilization should thus be considered in future studies exploring stroke prognosis.

Blood biomarker profiles and exceptional longevity: comparison of centenarians and non-centenarians in a 35-year follow-up of the Swedish AMORIS cohort.

Comparing biomarker profiles measured at similar ages, but earlier in life, among exceptionally long-lived individuals and their shorter-lived peers can improve our understanding of aging processes. This study aimed to (i) describe and compare biomarker profiles at similar ages between 64 and 99 among individuals eventually becoming centenarians and their shorter-lived peers, (ii) investigate the association between specific biomarker values and the chance of reaching age 100, and (iii) examine to what extent centenarians have homogenous biomarker profiles earlier in life. Participants in the population-based AMORIS cohort with information on blood-based biomarkers measured during 1985-1996 were followed in Swedish register data for up to 35 years. We examined biomarkers of metabolism, inflammation, liver, renal, anemia, and nutritional status using descriptive statistics, logistic regression, and cluster analysis. In total, 1224 participants (84.6% females) lived to their 100th birthday. Higher levels of total cholesterol and iron and lower levels of glucose, creatinine, uric acid, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transferase, alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase, and total iron-binding capacity were associated with reaching 100 years. Centenarians overall displayed rather homogenous biomarker profiles. Already from age 65 and onwards, centenarians displayed more favorable biomarker values in commonly available biomarkers than individuals dying before age 100. The differences in biomarker values between centenarians and non-centenarians more than one decade prior death suggest that genetic and/or possibly modifiable lifestyle factors reflected in these biomarker levels may play an important role for exceptional longevity.

A short length of hospital stay is not associated with risk of readmission among hip fracture patients - a Swedish national register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Hospital length of stay (LoS) after a hip fracture likely mirrors health status; however, a too short hospitalization might increase the risk of readmission. In this national register-based study, we investigated the association between LoS after a hip fracture and the risk of readmissions. METHODS: 73,551 patients with a first hip fracture between 2012 and 2019 were followed for 4 months after discharge. LoS was categorized by cubic splines and the association with readmissions was analyzed with Cox regression models. RESULTS: The mean LoS was 11 ± 6 days and 25% of the study population had at least one readmission. Compared to the mean LoS of 9-12 days, there was a 18% decreased risk of readmission for LoS of 2-4 days (HR 0.82 [95% CI 0.77-0.87]) and 13% decrease for 5-8 days (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.83-0.91]), when adjusting for sex, age, walking ability, ASA score, CCI, complications during hospitalization and living arrangements. For longer LoS, risk of readmission increased (13-23 days: HR 1.09 [95% CI 1.05-1.13] and 24 + days: HR 1.19 [95% CI 1.11-1.28]). The results were robust across sex, age, and living arrangements. The most common specific reasons for readmission were trauma/injury, cardiovascular and complications, and the proportions did not differ considerably between short and long LoS-categories. CONCLUSIONS: While a long LoS can be explained by the care need of the patient, a short LoS - compared to the average stay - does not increase the risk of readmission regardless of health status and hospital complications in a Swedish setting.

Centenarians: who are they? A description of the total Swedish centenarian population in terms of living arrangements, health, and care utilization.

BACKGROUND: The global centenarian population has doubled each decade and is expected to continue growing. However, information regarding how they live, their health status, and care needs is limited. AIMS: This study aims to describe the total Swedish centenarian population in terms of health status, living arrangements, and socio-demographic characteristics. METHODS: This nationwide register-based study included all Swedish people reaching age 100 between 2013 and 2018. We analyzed their socio-demographic characteristics, living arrangements, number of prescribed drugs, and health status. Moreover, their care transitions from age 100 and two years forward were described. RESULTS: Of 5,882 centenarians (80.7% women), only 15.0% lived at home without formal care and 24.5% cohabited on their 100th birthday. Men (22.7%) were more likely than women (13.2%) to live at home without care. Approximately half of the centenarians lived in care homes, with fewer men (41.0%) than women (54.0%). Around 66.6% had a child living within the 50 km range. Most (76.5%) had an income below the median for Swedish older adults. Almost none were free from drugs, and polypharmacy was common (65.3%). Over half had at least one morbidity. Two years later, only 4.3% lived at home without care, and 63.9% died. CONCLUSION: Sweden's centenarian population is highly dependent on home care and care homes. Among the ones still living at home, the vast majority live alone and have low incomes. Strategies to manage health and social care demands of this growing population group in the coming decade are important.

Secondary fracture prevention with osteoporosis medication after a fragility fracture in Sweden remains low despite new guidelines.

This national register study investigated osteoporosis medication prescriptions for secondary fracture prevention among older Swedish adults. Although prescription proportions are increasing for both men and women, they remain low, especially among individuals aged 90 and older. Improved Fracture Liaison Services could increase the prescription proportions and should be bolstered. PURPOSE: Despite clear guidelines for secondary fracture prevention among older adults, it seems undertreatment persists. We aimed to describe secondary fracture prevention with medical osteoporosis treatment in the older Swedish population. Specifically, how prescription has changed over time and if these patterns differ in sociodemographic subgroups. METHODS: Between 2007 and 2020, osteoporosis medication use was studied among all Swedish residents aged 70 and older who had a fragility fracture in the previous 5 years. Previous fragility fractures were defined as fractures of the humerus, wrist, hip, or vertebrae. Osteoporosis medication was defined as any prescription of bone-enhancing medications (including bisphosphonates and denosumab). RESULTS: Osteoporosis medication increased over the study period, especially among men. Prescription among individuals 90 + was consistently two- to threefold lower compared to 70-79- and 80-89-year-olds. In 2018-2020, 8-17% of women and 5-9% of men, depending on age, received osteoporosis medication. At the beginning of the study period, women with higher education were more likely to be prescribed osteoporosis medication, though this difference decreased over time. Prescription of vitamin D and/or calcium as the only treatment was more common than osteoporosis medications throughout the study period. CONCLUSION: Despite increasing prescription proportions, medical treatment for secondary fracture prevention remains low. In addition, it is more common to be prescribed vitamin D or calcium than osteoporosis medication after a fragility fracture, contrary to current guidelines. These results indicate that there is room for improvement for Fracture Liaison Services in Sweden.

Variation in End-of-Life Trajectories in Persons Aged 70 Years and Older, Sweden, 2018‒2020.

Objectives. To analyze variation in end-of-life trajectories with regard to elder care and medical care and how they relate to age, gender, and causes of death. Methods. We analyzed all deaths of persons at age 70 years and older between the years 2018 and 2020 in Sweden, using a linkage of population registers. We applied latent class analysis to identify distinct types of end-of-life trajectories. Results. We identified 6 different types of end-of-life trajectories. The types differed substantially in the amount of utilized elder care and medical care before death. Deaths characterized by high levels of elder care and medical care utilization become more common with age. The trajectory types show distinct cause-of-death profiles. Conclusions. Most deaths today do not comply with what is often referred to as a "good" death (e.g., retaining control or requiring low levels of elder care). The results suggest that longer lifespans partly result from a prolonged dying process. Public Health Implications. The current modes of dying call for a discussion about how we want to die in an era of increasing lifespans and aging societies. (Am J Public Health. 2023;113(7):786-794. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307281).

The Impact of Hip Fracture on Geriatric Care and Mortality Among Older Swedes: Mapping Care Trajectories and Their Determinants.

In this study, we examined the impact of hip fractures on trajectories of home care, nursing home residence, and mortality among individuals aged 65 years or more and explored the impacts of living arrangements, cohabitation, frailty, and socioeconomic position on these trajectories. Based on a linkage of nationwide Swedish population registers, our study included 20,573 individuals with first hip fracture in 2014-2015. Care trajectories during the 2 years following the fracture were visualized and compared with those of 2 hip-fracture-free control groups drawn from the general population: age- and sex-matched controls and health-matched controls identified through propensity score matching. Multistate modeling was employed to identify sociodemographic and health-related factors associated with care trajectories among hip fracture patients. We found that hip fracture patients already had worse health than the general population before their fracture. However, when controlling for prefracture health, hip fractures still had a considerable impact on use of elder-care services and mortality. Comparisons with the health-matched controls suggest that hip fractures have an immediate, yet short-term, impact on care trajectories. Long-term care needs are largely attributable to poorer health profiles independent of the fracture itself. This emphasizes the importance of adequate comparison groups when examining the consequences of diseases which are often accompanied by other underlying health problems.

Determinants of home care utilization among the Swedish old: nationwide register-based study.

Since the 1990s, Sweden has implemented aging-in-place policies increasing the share of older adults dependent on home care instead of residing in care homes. At the same time previous research has highlighted that individuals receive home care at a higher age than before. Consequently, services are provided for a shorter time before death, increasing reliance on family and kin as caregivers. Previous studies addressing how homecare is distributed rely primarily on small surveys and are often limited to specific regions. This study aims to ascertain how home care services are distributed regarding individual-level factors such as health status, living arrangements, availability of family, education, and socioeconomic position. To provide estimates that can be generalized to Sweden as a whole, we use register data for the entire Swedish population aged 65 + in 2016. The study's main findings are that home care recipients and the amount of care received are among the oldest old with severe co morbidities. Receiving home care is slightly more common among women, but only in the highest age groups. Childlessness and socioeconomic factors play a small role in who receives home care or not. Instead, the primary home care recipients are those older adults living alone who lack direct support from family members residing in the same household. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10433-021-00669-9.

Years of life lost during the Covid-19 pandemic in Sweden considering variation in life expectancy by level of geriatric care.

The Covid-19 pandemic has not affected the population evenly. This must be acknowledged when it comes to understanding the Covid-19 death toll and answering the question of how many life years have been lost. We use level of geriatric care to account for variation in remaining life expectancy among individuals that died during 2020. Based on a linkage of administrative registers, we estimate remaining life expectancy stratified by age, sex, and care status using an incidence-based multistate model and analyze the number of years of life lost (YLL) during 2020 in Sweden. Our results show that remaining life expectancy between individuals with and without care differs substantially. More than half of all Covid-19 deaths had a remaining life expectancy lower than 4 years. Yet, in a 1-year perspective, Covid-19 did not seem to replace other causes of death. Not considering the differences in remaining life expectancy in the affected populations overestimated YLL by 40% for women and 30% for men, or around 2 years per death. While the unadjusted YLL from Covid-19 amounted to an average of 7.5 years for women and 8.6 years for men, the corresponding YLL adjusted for care status were 5.4 and 6.6, respectively. The total number of YLL to Covid-19 in 2020 is comparable to YLL from ischemic heart disease in 2019 and 2020. Our results urge the use of subgroup specific mortality when counting the burden of Covid-19. YLL are considerably reduced when the varying susceptibility for death is considered, but even if most lifespans were cut in the last years of life, the YLL are still substantial.

Nationwide data on home care and care home residence: presentation of the Swedish Social Service Register, its content and coverage.

AIMS: All Swedish municipalities are legally obliged to provide publicly funded elder care to individuals in need. The Swedish Social Service Register collects data on such care. It is the only nationwide source of information on care home residency and use of home care but has rarely been used for research. This study aims to present the content and coverage of the Social Service Register and to provide guidance for researchers planning to use these data. METHODS: For each month between 2013 and 2020, we examined which of Sweden's 290 municipalities reported data to the Social Service Register. We calculated proportions of the population (restricted to ages 80-89 years to enable comparison) that were reported to the Social Service Register in each municipality and presented the types and amount of care recorded in the register. RESULTS: The proportion of municipalities reporting to the Social Service Register increased from 82% to 98% during the study period but several municipalities reported fragmentarily and inconsistently, particularly during earlier years. Among municipalities reporting to the Social Service Register, 9% of the population aged 80-89 years resided in care homes and 19% received home care, but the registered amount and types of care varied substantially between municipalities and over time. CONCLUSIONS: The Swedish Social Service Register provides valuable data for research on aging and elder care utilisation, but data should be selected and vetted carefully, especially for earlier years. The amount and types of care may not always be comparable between geographical regions and different time periods. In recent years, however, the coverage of the Social Service Register is good.

The importance of close next of kin for independent living and readmissions among older Swedish hip fracture patients.

We investigate the importance of adult children and/or cohabitation with a partner for older hip fracture patients' probability of independent living, public home care use and hospital readmission. Data from 35,066 Swedish hip fracture patients between 2012 and 2017, aged 65 years, and living at home at the time of the fracture in the Swedish Registry for Hip Fracture Patients and Treatment were linked with national registers. We applied adjusted logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazard models. In total, 959 (4.0%) women and 817 (7.3%) men had no adult children, 13,384 (56.0%) women and 3,623 (32.5%) men had no cohabiting partner and 2,780 (11.6%) women and 1,389 (12.5%) men neither had a cohabiting partner nor adult children. In comparison with women and men who had both a cohabiting partner and adult children, those without a cohabiting partner (i.e. only adult children) and those who neither had a cohabiting partner nor adult children had significantly lower probabilities of returning home (at discharge and after 4 months). They also had a greater probability of both receiving home care and having an increase in the amount of home care they receive. Having a close next of kin and hospital readmission were not associated. In conclusion, absence of a close next of kin, specifically a cohabiting partner, reduces the chance of return to independent living and increases the use of home care after a hip fracture hospitalisation. The findings highlight the importance of family support for older adults living situation after a hip fracture.

Hospital Length of Stay After Hip Fracture and It's Association With 4-Month Mortality-Exploring the Role of Patient Characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Hospital length of stay (LoS) is believed to be associated with higher mortality in hip fracture patients; however, previous research has shown conflicting results. We aimed to explore the association between LoS and 4-month mortality in different groups of hip fracture patients. METHODS: The study population in this Swedish register-based cohort study was 47 811 patients 65 years or older with a first hip fracture during 2012-2016, followed up for 4 months after discharge. LoS was categorized by cubic splines, and the association between LoS and mortality was analyzed with Cox regression models, adjusted for sociodemographic- and health-related factors. RESULTS: Mean LoS was 11.2 ± 5.9 days and 12.3% of the patients died within 4 months. Both a shorter and a longer LoS, compared to the reference 9-12 days, were associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]): 2-4 days 2.15 (1.98-2.34), 5-8 days 1.58 (1.47-1.69), and 24+ days 1.29 (1.13-1.46). However, in fully adjusted models, only the association with a long LoS remained: 13-23 days 1.08 (1.00-1.17) and 24+ days 1.42 (1.25-1.61). Stratifying by living arrangement revealed that the increased risk for a short LoS was driven by the group living in care homes. For patients living at home, a short LoS was associated with lower risk: 0.65 (0.47-0.91) and 0.85 (0.74-0.98) for 2-4 and 5-8 days, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A long LoS after a hip fracture is associated with increased 4-month mortality risk even after considering patient characteristics. The association between mortality and a short LoS, however, is explained by individuals coming from care homes (with higher mortality risk), being discharged early.

Comorbidity and the association with 1-year mortality in hip fracture patients: can the ASA score and the Charlson Comorbidity Index be used interchangeably?

BACKGROUND: Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) has been suggested to be associated with mortality in hip fracture patients, to the same extent as more expensive and time-consuming tools. However, even CCI might be too time-consuming in a clinical setting. AIM: To investigate whether the American Society of Anaesthesiologists score (ASA score), a simple grading from the anaesthesiologist's examination, is comparable with CCI in the association with 1-year mortality after a hip fracture. METHODS: The study population was patients 60 + years registered in the Swedish Hip Fracture Registry with a first-time hip fracture between 1997 and 2017 (N = 165,596). The outcome was 1-year mortality, and the exposures were ASA score and CCI. The association between comorbidity and mortality was described with Kaplan-Meier curves and analyzed with Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The Kaplan-Meier curves showed a stepwise increase in mortality for increasing values of both ASA and CCI. The Hazard Ratios (HRs) for the highest ASA (4-5) were 3.8 (95% Confidence Interval 3.5-4.2) for women and 3.2 (2.8-3.6) for men in the fully adjusted models. Adjusted HRs for the highest CCI (4 +) were 3.6 (3.3-3.9) for women and 2.5 (2.3-2.7) for men. Reference was the lowest score value for both tools. The correlation between the tools was moderate. CONCLUSIONS: Both ASA and CCI show a similar stepwise association with 1-year mortality in hip fracture patients, despite measuring different factors and capturing different individuals at risk. Since the ASA score is already accessible for health care staff, it might be preferable to aid in prioritizing vulnerable hip fracture patients at risk of adverse outcomes.

A murine model of the human CREBRFR457Q obesity-risk variant does not influence energy or glucose homeostasis in response to nutritional stress.

Obesity and diabetes have strong heritable components, yet the genetic contributions to these diseases remain largely unexplained. In humans, a missense variant in Creb3 regulatory factor (CREBRF) [rs373863828 (p.Arg457Gln); CREBRFR457Q] is strongly associated with increased odds of obesity but decreased odds of diabetes. Although virtually nothing is known about CREBRF's mechanism of action, emerging evidence implicates it in the adaptive transcriptional response to nutritional stress downstream of TORC1. The objectives of this study were to generate a murine model with knockin of the orthologous variant in mice (CREBRFR458Q) and to test the hypothesis that this CREBRF variant promotes obesity and protects against diabetes by regulating energy and glucose homeostasis downstream of TORC1. To test this hypothesis, we performed extensive phenotypic analysis of CREBRFR458Q knockin mice at baseline and in response to acute (fasting/refeeding), chronic (low- and high-fat diet feeding), and extreme (prolonged fasting) nutritional stress as well as with pharmacological TORC1 inhibition, and aging to 52 weeks. The results demonstrate that the murine CREBRFR458Q model of the human CREBRFR457Q variant does not influence energy/glucose homeostasis in response to these interventions, with the exception of possible greater loss of fat relative to lean mass with age. Alternative preclinical models and/or studies in humans will be required to decipher the mechanisms linking this variant to human health and disease.

The role of having children for the incidence of and survival after hip fracture - A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Childless older women have a higher risk of sustaining a hip fracture than mothers. Several biological mechanisms linking parity to bone health among women have been proposed but it remains unclear whether a similar association exists among men. Adult children may also support their ageing parents with hip fracture, thereby potentially increasing survival chances. AIM: To investigate how having children is related to the incidence of and survival after hip fracture among Swedish men and women over the age of 70. METHODS: This nation-wide cohort study is based on data from several administrative population registers and a clinical hip fracture register. During 2013 to 2017, we estimated multivariable-adjusted incidence rate ratios to examine the association between number of children and incidence of first hip fracture and hazard ratios to examine survival after first hip fracture. RESULTS: More than two million individuals were followed for hip fracture incidence and 45,991 patients for survival. Women had a higher risk of sustaining a hip fracture, but men had substantially higher mortality than women. Adjusting for education, comorbidity level, and further covariates, having children was associated with a lower risk of sustaining a hip fracture and a longer survival after hip fracture. CONCLUSIONS: Older childless individuals may constitute risk groups for both the incidence of and mortality after hip fracture. Mechanisms linking parity to hip fracture risk are likely complex and not limited to biological mechanisms related to pregnancy, childbirth, or breastfeeding among women.

Trends in Hip Fracture Incidence, Recurrence, and Survival by Education and Comorbidity: A Swedish Register-based Study.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are common and severe conditions among older individuals, associated with high mortality, and the Nordic countries have the highest incidence rates globally. With this study, we aim to present a comprehensive picture of trends in hip fracture incidence and survival in the older Swedish population stratified by education, birth country, and comorbidity level. METHODS: This study is based on a linkage of several population registers and included the entire population over the age of 60 living in Sweden. We calculated age-standardized incidence rates for first and recurrent hip fractures as well as age-standardized proportions of patients surviving 30 and 365 days through the time period 1998 to 2017. We calculated all outcomes for men and women in the total population and in each population stratum. RESULTS: Altogether, we observed 289,603 first hip fractures during the study period. Age-standardized incidence rates of first and recurrent fractures declined among men and women in the total population and in each educational-, birth country-, and comorbidity group. Declines in incidence were more pronounced for recurrent than for first fractures. Approximately 20% of women and 30% of men died within 1 year of their first hip fracture. Overall, survival proportions remained constant throughout the study period but improved when taking into account comorbidity level. CONCLUSIONS: Hip fracture incidence has declined across the Swedish population, but mortality after hip fracture remained high, especially among men. Hip fracture patients constitute a vulnerable population group with increasing comorbidity burden and high mortality risk.

The rise in the number of long-term survivors from different diseases can slow the increase in life expectancy of the total population.

BACKGROUND: Recent improvements in life expectancy in many countries stem from reduced mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer above the age of 60. This is the combined result of decreased incidence and improved survival among those with disease. The latter has led to a higher proportion in the population of people with a past history of disease. This is a group with higher mortality than the general population. How growing shares of persons with past history of disease and improved survival with disease have affected changes in life expectancy of the total population is the objective of this paper. METHODS: Using register data for the total Swedish population, we stratified the population based on whether individuals have been diagnosed with myocardial infarction, stroke, hip fracture, colon cancer, or breast cancer. Using a novel decomposition approach, we decomposed the changes in life expectancy at age 60 between 1994 and 2016 into contributions from improved survival with disease and from changes in proportion of people with past history of disease. RESULTS: Improvements in survival from disease resulted in gains of life expectancy for the total population. However, while the contributions to life expectancy improvements from myocardial infarction, stroke and breast cancer were substantial, the contributions from the other diseases were minor. These gains were counteracted, to various degrees, by the increasing proportion of people with raised mortality due to a past history of disease. For instance, the impact on life expectancy by improved survival from breast cancer was almost halved by the increasing share of females with a past history of breast cancer. CONCLUSION: Rising numbers of survivors of different diseases can slow the increase in life expectancy. This dynamic may represent the costs associated with successful treatment of diseases, and thus, a potential "failure of success." This dynamic should be considered when assessing mortality and life expectancy trends. As populations are aging and disease survival continues to improve, this issue is likely to become even more important in the future.