Associations of central and brachial blood pressure with cognitive function: a population-based study.

Previous observational studies on the association between brachial blood pressure (BP) and cognition have reported conflicting results. Central BP has been hypothesized to be more strongly related to cognition than brachial BP. The aim of this study was to assess the association between brachial as well as central BP and cognitive function, both cross-sectionally and with brachial BP measured 17 years before cognitive testing. The study population comprised 2548 individuals aged 61-85 years at follow-up (61.4% women). The cognitive tests administered were A Quick Test of cognitive speed and the Mini Mental State Examination. In fully adjusted linear regressions, small but significant cross-sectional associations were found between higher BP (systolic, diastolic and pulse pressure) and worse results on both of the cognitive tests (P-values <0.05). No significant prospective associations were found. Central BP did not show a stronger association than brachial BP did. After stratification, significant results were mainly found in the group taking BP-lowering drugs at follow-up. In summary, these findings add to existing evidence on the relationship between BP and cognition, but they do not support a superior role of central compared with brachial BP in the elderly.

Low IL-8 is associated with anxiety in suicidal patients: genetic variation and decreased protein levels.

OBJECTIVE: Recent studies indicate that inflammation may play a role in the pathophysiology of suicidality. Interleukin-8 (IL-8) is a chemokine that in addition to its function in the immune system also exert neuroprotective properties. The involvement of this chemokine in neuropsychiatric conditions is incompletely known. METHOD: We measured plasma and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) IL-8, as well as the genotype frequency of a single nucleotide polymorphism (-251A/T, rs4073) in the promoter region of the IL8 gene, in suicide attempters (n=206) and healthy controls (n=578). RESULTS: Plasma and CSF levels of IL-8 were significantly lower in suicide attempters with anxiety than in healthy controls. IL-8 in both plasma and CSF correlated negatively with symptoms of anxiety. Compared with the population-based cohort, the IL-8-251T allele was more prevalent among female suicide attempters. Furthermore, suicide attempters carrying this allele showed more severe anxiety. This correlative study warrants further mechanistic studies on the effects of IL-8 in the central nervous system. CONCLUSION: We suggest that IL-8 might be involved in the biological mechanisms mediating resilience to anxiety. Thus, our findings highlight the chemokine IL-8 as a potential target for future development of anti-anxiety treatments and suicide prevention.

Lack of orthostatic symptoms in dementia patients with orthostatic hypotension.

PURPOSE: Orthostatic hypotension (OH) is common and increases with age. OH is part of the autonomic dysfunction in dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB). Commonly OH is diagnosed when the patient falls which is a risk factor of premature death. Our objective was to systematically investigate the clinical symptoms associated with measurement of OH in different neurodegenerative dementias and normal controls (NC). METHODS: 154 patients [50 DLB, 50 Alzheimer's disease (AD), 54 AD and vascular components (ADvasc)] were examined with systolic and diastolic blood pressure measurements in supine position, immediately after standing up and after 1, 3, 5 and 10 min of standing. They were compared with 50 NC. Orthostatic symptoms were registered according to a predefined protocol. RESULTS: Twenty-seven percent of all the investigated individuals reported OH symptoms during the measurement while 43% fulfilled the criteria of OH. Sixty-three percent of orthostatic patients did not have any symptoms during the measurement. The prevalence of any orthostatic symptoms during the measurement differed significantly (p < 0.001) between the diagnostic groups with 40% in DLB patients, 37% in ADvasc, 28% in AD and 2% in NC. The most frequent symptom was dizziness 13.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Classical orthostatic symptoms are absent in the majority of dementia patients with OH. The orthostatic reaction must therefore be routinely measured in this patient group. This is particularly important for patients with DLB where falls as a result of OH are common.

Age and diagnostic performance of Alzheimer disease CSF biomarkers.

OBJECTIVES: Core CSF changes in Alzheimer disease (AD) are decreased amyloid ß(1-42), increased total tau, and increased phospho-tau, probably indicating amyloid plaque accumulation, axonal degeneration, and tangle pathology, respectively. These biomarkers identify AD already at the predementia stage, but their diagnostic performance might be affected by age-dependent increase of AD-type brain pathology in cognitively unaffected elderly. METHODS: We investigated effects of age on the diagnostic performance of CSF biomarkers in a uniquely large multicenter study population, including a cross-sectional cohort of 529 patients with AD dementia (median age 71, range 43-89 years) and 304 controls (67, 44-91 years), and a longitudinal cohort of 750 subjects without dementia with mild cognitive impairment (69, 43-89 years) followed for at least 2 years, or until dementia diagnosis. RESULTS: The specificities for subjects without AD and the areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves decreased with age. However, the positive predictive value for a combination of biomarkers remained stable, while the negative predictive value decreased only slightly in old subjects, as an effect of the high AD prevalence in older ages. CONCLUSION: Although the diagnostic accuracies for AD decreased with age, the predictive values for a combination of biomarkers remained essentially stable. The findings highlight biomarker variability across ages, but support the use of CSF biomarkers for AD even in older populations.

Regional differences in effects of APOE ε4 on cognitive impairment in non-demented subjects.

BACKGROUND: The APOE ε4 allele is a risk factor for Alzheimer's disease (AD). APOE ε4 is common in non-demented subjects with cognitive impairment. In both healthy people and people with AD, its prevalence has a north-south gradient across Europe. In the present study, we investigated whether the relation between the APOE ε4 allele and cognitive impairment varied across Northern, Middle and Southern Europe. We also investigated whether a north-south gradient existed in subjects with subjective cognitive impairment (SCI), amnestic mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and non-amnestic MCI. METHODS: Data from 16 centers across Europe were analyzed. RESULTS: A north-south gradient in APOE ε4 prevalence existed in the total sample (62.7% for APOE ε4 carriers in the northern region, 42.1% in the middle region, and 31.5% in the southern region) and in subjects with SCI and amnestic MCI separately. Only in Middle Europe was the APOE ε4 allele significantly associated with poor performance on tests of delayed recall and learning, as well as with the amnestic subtype of MCI. CONCLUSION: The APOE ε4 allele frequencies in subjects with SCI and amnestic MCI have a north-south gradient. The relation between the APOE ε4 allele and cognition is region dependent.

Changes in CSF acetyl- and butyrylcholinesterase activity after long-term treatment with AChE inhibitors in Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVES: To measure cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) activity of acetylcholinesterase (AChE) and butyrylcholinesterase (BChE) in patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) participating in randomized clinical trials from three European centers, before and after long-term treatment with different AChE inhibitors (AChEIs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Of the 144 patients included in the study, 104 were treated with donepezil, 15 with galantamine, 16 with rivastigmine, and nine with placebo. CSF AChE and BChE activities were measured at baseline and after 1- year treatment. RESULTS: Donepezil and galantamine groups showed a significant increase in CSF AChE activity at follow-up, while no changes for BChE activity were observed; in donepezil group, a positive correlation between plasma concentration and AChE activity was documented. Conversely, in rivastigmine group, a decrease in CSF activity of both enzymes was observed. CSF AChE and BChE activities were not correlated with the clinical outcome in any group considered. CSF biomarkers did not show any change after treatment. CONCLUSIONS: AChEIs differently influence the activity of target enzymes in CSF independent of their pharmacodynamic effects.

The cognitive profile and CSF biomarkers in dementia with Lewy bodies and Parkinson's disease dementia.

OBJECTIVE: Dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) and Parkinson's disease dementia (PDD) may be viewed as different points on a continuum reflecting the regional burden and distribution of pathology. An important clinical consideration is overlapping Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology, since it has been reported that associated AD pathology in DLB shortens survival and leads to a more rapid cognitive decline. We aimed to investigate cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers and the associated cognitive profile in DLB and PDD. METHODS: Clinically diagnosed DLB (n=47) and PDD (n=17) patients from a clinical follow-up programme were investigated. All performed mini mental state examination (MMSE) and went through lumbar puncture at baseline. CSF concentrations of total τ (T-τ), τ phosphorylated at threonine 181 (P-τ(181) ) and the 42 amino acid isoform of amyloid ß, Aß42 were determined. RESULTS: We found significant differences in T-τ and Aß42, with a higher level of T-τ and a lower level of Aß42 in DLB compared to PDD. The combination of T-τ with Aß42 showed better discrimination between DLB and PDD than either of the measures alone. In DLB, a CSF profile more like the one seen in AD was significantly correlated with worse performance on the orientation and memory of the MMSE. CONCLUSION: The correlation suggests a possible link between a higher degree of AD pathology and a profile of more temporal disabilities on cognitive tests in DLB. This might aid in identifying a subgroup of patients with a greater burden of AD pathology in a clinical setting and could have important implications for prognosis.

Efficacy of memantine in PDD and DLB: an extension study including washout and open-label treatment.

OBJECTIVE: This 30-week extension trial was a continuation of the first double-blind randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study memantine in dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) and Parkinson's disease dementia (PDD). The objective was to evaluate the presence of recurrence of symptoms upon drug withdrawal. Furthermore, the aim was to explore washout dynamics in order to inform clinical practice. METHODS: Patients were enrolled from psychiatric, memory and neurological outpatient clinics in Norway, Sweden and the UK. The trial comprised a 4-week washout period and a 26-week open-label treatment period. Outcome measures were presence of recurrence of symptom upon drug withdrawal, Clinical Global Impression of Change (CGIC) and modified motor Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS). RESULTS: recurrence of symptoms occurred more frequently (p=0.04) in patients receiving memantine (58%) than in patients receiving placebo (25%). There was a significant global deterioration (p=0.0003) during washout within the memantine group as measured by CGIC. The patients seemed to recover during the open-label treatment, however these findings were non-significant. CONCLUSIONS: The findings inform clinical practice that any possible memantine-associated benefits might be rapidly lost after drug withdrawal. The magnitude of deterioration suggests a symptomatic rather than a disease-modifying effect of the drug. Open-label results should merely be considered inspiration for future trials.

CSF biomarkers predict a more malignant outcome in Alzheimer disease.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate if patterns of CSF biomarkers (T-tau, P-tau, and Abeta42) can predict cognitive progression, outcome of cholinesterase inhibitor (ChEI) treatment, and mortality in Alzheimer disease (AD). METHODS: We included outpatients with AD (n = 151) from a prospective treatment study with ChEI. At baseline, patients underwent cognitive assessments and lumbar puncture. The patients were assessed longitudinally. The 5-year survival rate was evaluated. CSF-Abeta42, T-tau, and P-tau were analyzed at baseline. K-means cluster analysis including the 3 CSF biomarkers was carried out. RESULTS: Cluster 1 contained 87 patients with low levels of Abeta42 and relatively low levels of T-tau and P-tau. Cluster 2 contained 52 patients with low levels of Abeta42 and intermediate levels of T-tau and P-tau. Cluster 3 contained 12 patients with low levels of Abeta42 and very high levels of CSF T-tau and P-tau. There were no differences between the clusters regarding age, gender, years of education, baseline instrumental activities of daily living, or APOE genotype. Even though there was no difference between cluster 3 and the other clusters in disease duration or global rating, the patients in cluster 3 performed worse on cognitive tests already at baseline. Patients in cluster 3 exhibited a very poor outcome of ChEI treatment. Finally, cognition deteriorated faster over time and the mortality rate was substantially increased in cluster 3. CONCLUSION: A subgroup of patients with Alzheimer disease with extreme levels of CSF biomarkers exhibits worse clinical outcomes over time, including faster progression of cognitive deficits, no response to ChEI treatment, and a higher mortality.

Computerized cognition assessment during acetylcholinesterase inhibitor treatment in Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVES: Alzheimer's disease assessment scale-cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog) has become a standard clinical trials outcome for cognition, but has been recognized as deficient in areas including coverage of cognitive domains, sensitivity and standardization. Computerized test batteries may address some of these issues. The cognitive drug research computerized assessment (CDR) system is validated in Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study was designed to further evaluate validity in relation to ADAS-Cog, mini mental state examination (MMSE) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers and psychometric properties, in a population of Alzheimer's patients on stable anticholinesterase treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients completed cognition assessments, CSF and blood sampling at baseline and 6 months later. Data for 65 patients were evaluated. RESULTS: The CDR system demonstrated good psychometric properties in this population. Measures of psychomotor speed showed possible sensitivity to decline over 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: There are a number of methodological problems with current cognition assessment methodology for clinical trials. Computerized measures and in particular millisecond reaction time measures, may address many of these issues.

The stability of AQT processing speed, ADAS-Cog and MMSE during acetylcholinesterase inhibitor treatment in Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the longitudinal stability of measures of cognition during treatment with acetylcholinesterase inhibitors (AchEI) in patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cognitive status was measured in a cohort of 60 patients at 6 months after initiation of treatment with AchEI (baseline) and after an additional 6 months of treatment (endpoint). A Quick Test of Cognitive Speed (AQT), Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale (ADAS-Cog), and MMSE were administered concurrently. RESULTS: Correlations (rho) between age and AQT processing speed were non-significant, but were significant for ADAS-Cog and Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE). AQT and ADAS-Cog means did not differ significantly between baseline and endpoint. There was a small, significant reduction in MMSE point scores. Measures of stability (Spearman's rho) were moderate-to-high for all tests. Means for subgroups did not differ as a function of medication type. CONCLUSIONS: AQT processing speed, ADAS-Cog, and MMSE measures proved stable during the second 6 months of treatment with AChEI.

White matter hyperintensities and medial temporal lobe atrophy in clinical subtypes of mild cognitive impairment: the DESCRIPA study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical subtypes of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) may represent different underlying aetiologies. METHODS: This European, multicentre, memory clinic based study (DESCRIPA) of non-demented subjects investigated whether MCI subtypes have different brain correlates on MRI and whether the relation between subtypes and brain pathology is modified by age. Using visual rating scales, medial temporal lobe atrophy (MTA) (0-4) and white matter hyperintensities (WMH) (0-30) were assessed. RESULTS: Severity of MTA differed between MCI subtypes (p<0.001), increasing from a mean of 0.8 (SD 0.7) in subjective complaints (n = 77) to 1.3 (0.8) in non-amnestic MCI (n = 93), and from 1.4 (0.9) in single domain amnestic MCI (n = 70) to 1.7 (0.9) in multiple domain amnestic MCI (n = 89). The association between MCI subtype and MTA was modified by age and mainly present in subjects >70 years of age. Severity of WMH did not differ between MCI subtypes (p = 0.21). However, the combination of MTA and WMH differed between MCI subtypes (p = 0.02) CONCLUSION: We conclude that MCI subtypes may have different brain substrates, especially in older subjects. Isolated MTA was mainly associated with amnestic MCI subtypes, suggesting AD as the underlying cause. In non-amnestic MCI, the relatively higher prevalence of MTA in combination with WMH may suggest a different pathophysiological origin.

Medial temporal lobe atrophy increases the specificity of cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers in Alzheimer disease with minor cerebrovascular changes.

BACKGROUND: Although cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers and medial temporal lobe atrophy (MTA) contribute to the diagnosis of Alzheimer disease (AD), they may not be specific. Relatively little is known about how they correlate with each other. PURPOSE: To identify the validity of the radiological linear measurements of brain atrophy in AD diagnosis by examining the correlation with CSF biomarkers and by examining if specificity could be improved in classification of AD from controls, when the linear measurements are combined with the CSF biomarkers. MATERIAL AND METHODS: 59 controls (20 male/39 female, age 73+/-8 years), 162 pure AD patients (49/113, 74+/-7 years), and 86 AD patients with minor cerebrovascular changes (CVC) (31/55, 77+/-5 years), aged between 52 and 94 years, were recruited from the Malmo Alzheimer Study. AD patients were subgrouped into "pure AD" and "AD + CVC" in order to clarify the possible influence of CVC on atrophy or CSF biomarkers in AD patients. Abeta42, T-tau, and P-tau in CSF were examined. Computed tomography (CT) linear measurements were performed, which included temporal horn ratio and suprasellar cistern ratio that reflect MTA. RESULTS: Compared with the 14 significant correlations between the CT measurements and three CSF biomarkers in the pure AD group, there was only one significant correlation in the AD + CVC group and one in the control group. In particular, P-tau correlates with temporal horn ratio only in pure AD. When the CT measurements were added with CSF biomarkers as independent variables in discriminant analysis, the percentage of correct classification of AD + CVC from controls increased from 79.5% (only CSF biomarkers) to 84.6% (combined CT measurements with CSF biomarkers). However, little was changed in the pure AD group. CONCLUSION: P-tau correlates with the linear CT measure of MTA only in pure AD without CVC. Combined with the measure of MTA, the specificity of CSF biomarkers can be increased, but only in AD + CVC. The linear measurements of MTA are of value in AD diagnosis.

Evolution of Abeta42 and Abeta40 levels and Abeta42/Abeta40 ratio in plasma during progression of Alzheimer's disease: a multicenter assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To better understand the seemingly contradictory plasma beta-amyloid (Abeta) results in Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients by using a newly developed plasma Abeta assay, the INNO-BIA plasma Abeta forms, in a multicenter study. METHODS: A combined retrospective analysis of plasma Abeta isoforms on mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from three large cross-sectional studies involving 643 samples from the participating German and Swedish centers. RESULTS: Detection modules based on two different amino (N)-terminal specific Abeta monoclonal antibodies demonstrated that Abeta in plasma could be reliable quantified using a sandwich immunoassay technology with high precision, even for low Abeta42 plasma concentrations. Abeta40 and Abeta42 concentrations varied consistently with the ApoE genotype, while the Abeta42/Abeta40 ratio did not. Irrespective of the decrease of the Abeta42/Abeta40 ratio with age and MMSE, this parameter was strongly associated with AD, as defined in this study by elevated hyperphosphorylated (P-tau181P) levels in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). CONCLUSION: A highly robust assay for repeatedly measuring Abeta forms in plasma such as INNO-BIA plasma Abeta forms might be a useful tool in a future risk assessment of AD.

Can CSF biomarkers or pre-treatment progression rate predict response to cholinesterase inhibitor treatment in Alzheimer's disease?

OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to investigate possible predictors of response to cholinesterase inhibitor (ChEI) treatment, including pre-treatment progression rates and levels of the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers. A secondary objective was to evaluate whether treatment with ChEI changed progression. METHODS: Out-patient individuals (n = 191) with the clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease received ChEI treatment and were part of the Swedish Alzheimer Treatment Study (SATS), a prospective, longitudinal, non-randomised study in a routine clinical setting. Patients were assessed with MMSE, ADAS-cog and a global rating (CIBIC) at baseline, 2 months and every 6 months for a total period of 3 years. The following potential predictors of treatment response were investigated: age, gender, APOE epsilon 4 carrier, education, duration of disease, cognitive level, pre-treatment progression rate (in MMSE) and the levels of the CSF biomarkers A beta 42, T-tau and P-tau. RESULTS: Fast pre-treatment progression rate was a predictor of treatment response even after adjusting for baseline severity, another positive predictor of response. Patients in the fastest quartile of pre-treatment progression rates were significantly more prone to be responders at 2 months (adjusted OR 6.6, p = 0.001) and 6 months (adjusted OR 10.4, p < 0.001) than those in the slowest progressing quartile. Moreover, the linearity of progression was significantly changed by ChEI treatment at 6 months compared to the pre-treatment period. CONCLUSION: The rate of pre-treatment progression was the most consistent positive predictor of ChEI treatment response in the routine clinical setting. The progression rate was significantly changed by ChEI treatment.

Long-term rivastigmine treatment in a routine clinical setting.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to observe the effects of long-term rivastigmine treatment in patients with mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease (AD) in a routine clinical setting. METHODS: This was a prospective, open-label, observational, multicentre, non-randomized study. Outcome measures included the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE), the Clinician's Interview-Based Impression of Change (CIBIC) and the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale - cognitive subscale (ADAS-cog). RESULTS: Of 217 patients initiated into rivastigmine treatment, 62% (n = 135) remained on treatment for 24 months. Most patients droped out due to nursing home placement or side effects. Eighty per cent and 67% of completers exhibited a symptomatic attenuation of cognitive decline (< or = 4-point deterioration) as assessed by using the MMSE and ADAS-cog respectively. Forty-four per cent showed an unchanged/improved CIBIC rating. CONCLUSIONS: Over 60% of patients remained on treatment for 2 years in this routine clinical setting. In patients who remained on treatment, rivastigmine appeared to stabilize their condition and prevented or delayed symptomatic decline.

Electroencephalogram variability in dementia with lewy bodies, Alzheimer's disease and controls.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) is probably still underdiagnosed in the clinical setting. Previous studies have suggested a relationship between fluctuations in attention and electroencephalogram (EEG) measures. Since fluctuation in attention is a core symptom of DLB, we sought to further explore whether EEG measures could help differentiate DLB from Alzheimer's disease (AD) and healthy controls. METHODS: The EEGs of 20 patients with DLB, 64 patients with AD and 54 elderly controls were assessed in regard to frequencies, coherence, and variability. RESULTS: Greater variability was seen in delta-band power over 2-second intervals in parietal electrodes of DLB patients. The DLB group had a higher degree of overall coherence in the delta band and a lower degree of overall coherence in the alpha band than the other groups. Finally, EEG measures could distinguish DLB patients from AD patients and controls with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging between 0.75 and 0.80 and between 0.91 and 0.97, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that the difference in variability may be associated with the fluctuating cognition seen in DLB. This might have clinical implications as guidance in the diagnosis of DLB. The EEG analysis is simple enough to be possible to apply in clinical practice.

Development of screening guidelines and clinical criteria for predementia Alzheimer's disease. The DESCRIPA Study.

BACKGROUND: There is an urgent need to identify subjects with Alzheimer's disease (AD) in the predementia phase, but validated diagnostic approaches are currently lacking. In this paper, we present the background, design and methods of a study, which aims to develop clinical criteria for predementia AD. We also present baseline characteristics of the subjects included. The study was part of the multicentre DESCRIPA project, which is being conducted within the network of the European Alzheimer's Disease Consortium. METHODS: Clinical criteria will be based on a prospective cohort study of non-demented subjects older than 55 years and referred to a memory clinic. At baseline, a number of markers and risk factors for AD were collected, including demographic variables, measures of performance in activities of daily living, cognitive, neuroimaging and genetic markers, and serum and cerebrospinal fluid markers. Subjects will be reassessed annually for 2-3 years, and we will evaluate which combination of variables best predicts AD-type dementia at follow-up. RESULTS: Between 2003 and 2005, 881 subjects were included from 20 memory clinics. Subjects were on average 70.3 years old, and had 10.4 years of education. The average score on the Mini-Mental State Examination was 27.4.

Prediction of Alzheimer's disease using a cerebrospinal fluid pattern of C-terminally truncated beta-amyloid peptides.

BACKGROUND: Identifying individuals at high risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) is important for future therapeutic strategies, and there is a clinical need for diagnostic biomarkers to identify incipient AD. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to investigate if the AD-associated Abeta peptide pattern recently found in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) could discriminate between patients with incipient AD and those with stable mild cognitive impairment (MCI) by analyzing CSF from patients with MCI at baseline. METHODS: The levels of Abeta(1-37, -38, -39, -40, -42) were analyzed by Abeta-SDS-PAGE/immunoblot in CSF from 19 healthy controls, 25 patients with stable MCI and from 25 patients with MCI who later developed AD during 4- to 6-year follow-up. RESULTS: All healthy controls and 20 out of 22 patients who developed AD were correctly classified by their baseline Abeta peptide pattern. In 9 out of 25 stable MCI patients, the pattern indicated incipient AD in spite of clinical nonconversion. Interestingly, these individuals had apolipoprotein E genotypes and CSF levels of tau and phospho-tau that are known to be associated with high risk of AD. CONCLUSION: Altogether, our study reveals the novel finding that the Abeta peptide pattern is able to predict AD in patients with MCI with a sensitivity of 91% and specificity of 64%. The specificity would increase to 94% if the high-risk patients in the stable MCI cohort developed AD during extended follow-up.