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1.
Neurosurgery ; 88(2): 252-260, 2021 01 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33073847

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous analyses of the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) cohort have reported on clinical outcomes after treatment of a ruptured intracranial aneurysm with either neurosurgical clipping or endovascular coiling. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the long-term quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained of endovascular coiling compare to neurosurgical clipping in the UK cohort of ISAT. METHODS: Between September 12, 1994 and May 1, 2002, patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms who were assumed treatment equipoise were randomly allocated to either neurosurgical clipping or endovascular coiling. We followed-up 1644 patients in 22 UK neurosurgical centers for a minimum of 10 yr. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was collected through yearly questionnaires, measured by utilities calculated from the EQ-5D-3L. We compared HRQoL between the 2 treatment groups over a period of 10 yr. In all, 1-yr, 5-yr, and 10-yr QALYs were estimated by combining utility and survival information. RESULTS: Higher average utility values were found in the endovascular group throughout the follow-up period, with mean differences between groups statistically significant in most years. The 10-yr QALYs were estimated to be 6.68 (95% CI: 6.45-6.90) in the coiling group and 6.32 (95% CI: 6.10-6.55) in the clipping group, respectively, a significant mean difference of 0.36 (95% CI: 0.04-0.66). A third of this mean QALYs gain was estimated to derive solely from HRQoL differences. CONCLUSION: HRQoL after treatment of a ruptured intracranial aneurysm was better after endovascular coiling compared to neurosurgical clipping, which contributed significantly to the QALYs gained over a 10-yr period.


Subject(s)
Aneurysm, Ruptured/surgery , Endovascular Procedures/methods , Intracranial Aneurysm/surgery , Neurosurgical Procedures/methods , Quality of Life , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Endovascular Procedures/instrumentation , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neurosurgical Procedures/instrumentation , Surveys and Questionnaires , Treatment Outcome , United Kingdom , Young Adult
2.
Stroke ; 51(5): 1600-1603, 2020 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32208844

ABSTRACT

Background and Purpose- ISAT (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial) demonstrated that 1 year after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, coiling resulted in a significantly better clinical outcome than clipping. After 5 years, this difference did not reach statistical significance, but mortality was still higher in the clipping group. Here, we present additional analyses, reporting outcome after excluding pretreatment deaths. Methods- Outcome measures were death with or without dependency at 1 and 5 years after treatment, after exclusion of all pretreatment deaths. Treatment differences were assessed using relative risks (RRs). With sensitivity and exploratory analyses, the relation between treatment delay and outcome was analyzed. Results- After exclusion of pretreatment deaths, at 1-year follow-up coiling was favorable over clipping for death or dependency (RR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.67-0.89]) but not for death alone (RR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.66-1.19]). After 5 years, no significant differences were observed, neither for death or dependency (RR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.77-1.02]) nor for death alone (RR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.64-1.05]). Sensitivity analyses showed a similar picture. In good-grade patients, coiling remained favorable over clipping in the long-term. Time between randomization and treatment was significantly longer in the clipping arm (mean 1.7 versus 1.1 days; P<0.0001), during which 17 patients died because of rebleeding versus 6 pretreatment deaths in the endovascular arm (RR, 2.81 [95% CI, 1.11-7.11]). Conclusions- These additional analyses support the conclusion of ISAT that at 1-year follow-up after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage coiling has a better outcome than clipping. After 5 years, with pretreatment mortality excluded, the difference between coiling and clipping is not significant. The high number of pretreatment deaths in the clipping group highlights the importance of urgent aneurysm treatment to prevent early rebleeding.


Subject(s)
Aneurysm, Ruptured/surgery , Endovascular Procedures/methods , Intracranial Aneurysm/surgery , Neurosurgical Procedures/methods , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/surgery , Time-to-Treatment/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Surgical Instruments , Treatment Outcome
3.
Stroke ; 50(4): 837-844, 2019 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30869562

ABSTRACT

Background and Purpose- Early prediction of clinical outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is still lacking accuracy. In this observational cohort study, we aimed to develop and validate an accurate bedside prediction model for clinical outcome after aSAH, to aid decision-making at an early stage. Methods- For the development of the prediction model, a prospectively kept single-center cohort of 1215 aSAH patients, admitted between 1998 and 2014, was used. For temporal validation, a prospective cohort of 224 consecutive aSAH patients from the same center, admitted between 2015 and 2017, was used. External validation was performed using the ISAT (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial) database (2143 patients). Primary outcome measure was poor functional outcome 2 months after aSAH, defined as modified Rankin Scale score 4-6. The model was constructed using multivariate regression analyses. Performance of the model was examined in terms of discrimination and calibration. Results- The final model included 4 predictors independently associated with poor outcome after 2 months: age, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade after resuscitation, aneurysm size, and Fisher grade. Temporal validation showed high discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.85-0.94), external validation showed fair to good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.76). The model showed satisfactory calibration in both validation cohorts. The SAFIRE grading scale was derived from the final model: size of the aneurysm, age, Fisher grade, world federation of neurosurgical societies after resuscitation. Conclusions- The SAFIRE grading scale is an accurate, generalizable, and easily applicable model for early prediction of clinical outcome after aSAH.


Subject(s)
Models, Theoretical , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/pathology , Treatment Outcome
4.
Stroke ; 47(2): 365-71, 2016 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26742803

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms remains unclear, and management strategy is not well defined. METHODS: From January 2003 to December 2012, we enrolled patients with aneurysm in our institution. In total, 2252 patients with 2897 aneurysms were eligible for analysis, and 1960 eligible aneurysms were conservatively managed. Precise 3-dimensional evaluation was conducted using computed tomography angiography, digital subtraction angiography, or magnetic resonance angiography. We then assessed the risk of aneurysm rupture, mortality, and morbidity associated with aneurysm characteristics, demographics, and known health/lifestyle risk factors. RESULTS: The mean follow-up duration was 7388 aneurysm-years. During observation, 56 aneurysms ruptured, resulting in an overall rupture rate per year of 0.76% (95% confidence interval, 0.58-0.98). The mean initial visit to rupture interval was 547 days. Aneurysm size, location, daughter sac, and history of subarachnoid hemorrhage were significant independent predictors for aneurysm rupture. Aneurysms that were ≥5 mm were associated with a significantly increased risk of rupture when compared with 2- to 4-mm aneurysms (unadjusted hazard ratio, 12.24; 95% confidence interval, 7.15-20.93). Of 56 patients who experienced hemorrhage, 29 (52 %) died or were rendered severely disabled. Of the patients who had large or giant aneurysms, none recovered without deficits, and the mortality rate after rupture was 69%. For aneurysms sized <5 mm, the mortality rate was 18%. CONCLUSIONS: Larger aneurysms are at greater risk for rupture and poor outcome. Ethnic factors may play a role in the risk of rupture.


Subject(s)
Aneurysm, Ruptured/epidemiology , Intracranial Aneurysm/diagnosis , Rupture, Spontaneous/epidemiology , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Aneurysm, Ruptured/mortality , Angiography, Digital Subtraction , Cerebral Angiography , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Intracranial Aneurysm/epidemiology , Longitudinal Studies , Magnetic Resonance Angiography , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Risk , Risk Factors , Rupture, Spontaneous/mortality , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Young Adult
5.
J Neurosurg ; 125(3): 698-704, 2016 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26722856

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE In this study, the authors examined trends in population-based hospital admission rates, patient-level case fatality rates (CFRs), and population-based mortality rates for nontraumatic (spontaneous) subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in England. METHODS Population-based admission and mortality data (59,599 people admitted to a hospital with SAH, 1999-2010; 37,836 people whose death certificates mentioned SAH, 1995-2010) were analyzed. RESULTS Hospital admission rates for SAH per million population declined by 18.3%, from 100.4 (95% CI 97.6-103.1) in 1999 to 82.0 (95% CI 79.7-84.4) in 2010. CFRs at less than 30 days per 100 patients decreased by 18.2%, from 29.7 (95% CI 28.5-31.0) in 1999 to 24.3 (95% CI 23.2-25.5) in 2010. Population-based mortality rates per million population, where SAH was recorded as underlying cause of death on the death certificate, declined by 39.8%, from 41.2 (95% CI 39.5-43.0) in 1999 to 24.8 (95% CI 23.6-26.1) in 2010. CONCLUSIONS Population-based hospital admission rates, patient-level CFRs, and population-based mortality rates all declined between 1999 and 2010. Part of the decline in mortality rates for SAH is likely to be attributable to a decline in incidence. It is also, in part, attributable to increased survival after SAH. The available data do not allow us to compare the effects of different treatment methods for SAH on case fatality and mortality. During the period of study, mortality rates declined by almost 40%, and it is likely that there are a number of factors contributing to this substantial improvement in outcomes for SAH patients in England.


Subject(s)
Patient Admission/statistics & numerical data , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/mortality , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , England/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/therapy , Time Factors
6.
J Neurointerv Surg ; 8(9): 898-908, 2016 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26359214

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Bioactive coils were introduced in 2002 in an attempt to improve aneurysm healing and durability of angiographic results. Evidence demonstrating superior efficacy to justify the routine use of bioactive coils over bare coils is limited. We compared the periprocedural and clinical outcome after bioactive and bare platinum coiling for intracranial aneurysms. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and ISI Web of Knowledge Conference Proceedings Citation Index-Science were searched for randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing bioactive and bare coils. The methodological quality was evaluated to assess bias risk. Periprocedural outcomes and mid-term outcomes were compared. RESULTS: Five independent RCTs comparing bioactive (n=1084) and bare coils (n=1084) were identified. Periprocedural outcome was similar for both groups. Bioactive coiling increased the rate of complete aneurysm occlusion (47% vs 40%; RR 1.17 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.31); p=0.006) and reduced the rate of residual aneurysm neck at 10 months compared with bare coiling in the mid-term (26% vs 31%; RR 0.82 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.96); p=0.01). There were no differences in aneurysm recurrence, aneurysm rupture, stroke, neurological death, modified Rankin Scale score and reinterventions. Subgroup analysis for the three RCTs on hydrogel coils demonstrated reduction of residual aneurysms compared with bare coiling (25% vs 34%; RR 0.76 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.99); p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Bioactive coils ensure a higher rate of medium-term complete aneurysm occlusion while reducing the rate of residual neck aneurysms compared with bare coiling in the mid-term. Hydrogel coils reduce residual aneurysms compared with bare coils. While there is level 1a evidence to show more complete aneurysm occlusion, longer term follow-up is needed to determine if this translates into clinical significance.


Subject(s)
Embolization, Therapeutic/instrumentation , Intracranial Aneurysm/therapy , Platinum , Adult , Aged , Aneurysm, Ruptured/therapy , Equipment Design , Female , Humans , Hydrogel, Polyethylene Glycol Dimethacrylate , Male , Middle Aged , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Recurrence , Treatment Outcome
8.
Lancet ; 385(9969): 691-7, 2015 Feb 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25465111

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous analyses of the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) cohort have reported on the risks of recurrent subarachnoid haemorrhage and death or dependency for a minimum of 5 years and up to a maximum of 14 years after treatment of a ruptured intracranial aneurysm with either neurosurgical clipping or endovascular coiling. At 1 year there was a 7% absolute and a 24% relative risk reduction of death and dependency in the coiling group compared with the clipping group, but the medium-term results showed the increased need for re-treatment of the target aneurysm in the patients given coiling. We report the long-term follow-up of patients in this UK cohort. METHODS: In ISAT, patients were randomly allocated to either neurosurgical clipping or endovascular coiling after a subarachnoid haemorrhage, assuming treatment equipoise, between Sept 12, 1994, and May 1, 2002. We followed up 1644 patients in 22 UK neurosurgical centres for death and clinical outcomes for 10·0-18·5 years. We assessed dependency as self-reported modified Rankin scale score obtained through yearly questionnaires. Data for recurrent aneurysms and rebleeding events were collected from questionnaires and from hospital and general practitioner records. The Office for National Statistics supplied data on deaths. This study is registered, number ISRCTN49866681. FINDINGS: At 10 years, 674 (83%) of 809 patients allocated endovascular coiling and 657 (79%) of 835 patients allocated neurosurgical clipping were alive (odds ratio [OR] 1·35, 95% CI 1·06-1·73). Of 1003 individuals who returned a questionnaire at 10 years, 435 (82%) patients treated with endovascular coiling and 370 (78%) patients treated with neurosurgical clipping were independent (modified Rankin scale score 0-2; OR 1·25; 95% CI 0·92-1·71). Patients in the endovascular treatment group were more likely to be alive and independent at 10 years than were patients in the neurosurgery group (OR 1·34, 95% CI 1·07-1·67). 33 patients had a recurrent subarachnoid haemorrhage more than 1 year after their initial haemorrhage (17 from the target aneurysm). INTERPRETATION: Although rates of increased dependency alone did not differ between groups, the probability of death or dependency was significantly greater in the neurosurgical group than in the endovascular group. Rebleeding was more likely after endovascular coiling than after neurosurgical clipping, but the risk was small and the probability of disability-free survival was significantly greater in the endovascular group than in the neurosurgical group at 10 years. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council.


Subject(s)
Aneurysm, Ruptured/therapy , Embolization, Therapeutic/methods , Intracranial Aneurysm/therapy , Neurosurgical Procedures/methods , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/therapy , Aneurysm, Ruptured/mortality , Disease-Free Survival , Embolization, Therapeutic/mortality , Female , Humans , Intracranial Aneurysm/mortality , Male , Neurosurgical Procedures/mortality , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/mortality , Surveys and Questionnaires , Treatment Outcome , United Kingdom
9.
Neurocrit Care ; 21(1): 4-13, 2014 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24639201

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), it is unclear whether aneurysm treatment <24 h after ictus results in better outcomes than treatment 24-72 h after aSAH. We studied whether aneurysm occlusion <24 h is associated with better outcomes than occlusion 24-72 h after aSAH. METHODS: We used two cohorts of patients with aSAH: (1) the UMC Utrecht cohort with patients admitted between 2008 and 2012 and (2) the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial cohort. Aneurysm treatment was categorized into <24 h and 24-72 h after ictus. We calculated adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Poisson regression analyses for poor functional outcome (death or dependency) for both cohorts separately, and performed a pooled analysis based on individual patient data. We also performed a worst-case scenario analysis wherein all patients with rebleeding >3 h after admission were re-categorized into the group with aneurysm treatment 24-72 h after aSAH. RESULTS: We included 1,238 patients (UMC Utrecht cohort: n = 330; ISAT: n = 908). The aRR for poor outcome after treatment <24 h was in the UMC Utrecht cohort 1.84 (95% CI: 1.25-2.70), in ISAT 1.14 (95% CI 0.84-1.55), in the pooled analysis 1.37 (95% CI 1.11-1.68), and in the worst-case scenario pooled analysis 1.24 (95% CI 1.01-1.52). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that aneurysm occlusion can be performed in day time within 72 h after ictus, instead of on an emergency basis. However, due to the retrospective, non-randomized design of our study, our results cannot be considered as definitive evidence.


Subject(s)
Endovascular Procedures/standards , Intracranial Aneurysm/therapy , Neurosurgical Procedures/standards , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/therapy , Treatment Outcome , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Intracranial Aneurysm/complications , Male , Middle Aged , Netherlands , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/etiology , Time Factors
10.
Lancet Neurol ; 13(4): 343-4, 2014 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24618353
11.
J Neurosurg ; 118(1): 3-12, 2013 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23039145

ABSTRACT

OBJECT: In randomized clinical trials of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in which the primary clinical outcomes are ordinal, it has been common practice to dichotomize the ordinal outcome scale into favorable versus unfavorable outcome. Using this strategy may increase sample sizes by reducing statistical power. Authors of the present study used SAH clinical trial data to determine if a sliding dichotomy would improve statistical power. METHODS: Available individual patient data from tirilazad (3552 patients), clazosentan (the Clazosentan to Overcome Neurological Ischemia and Infarction Occurring After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage trial [CONSCIOUS-1], 413 patients), and subarachnoid aneurysm trials (the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial [ISAT], 2089 patients) were analyzed. Treatment effect sizes were examined using conventional fixed dichotomy, sliding dichotomy (logical or median split methods), or proportional odds modeling. Whether sliding dichotomy affected the difference in outcomes between the several age and neurological grade groups was also evaluated. RESULTS: In the tirilazad data, there was no significant effect of treatment on outcome (fixed dichotomy: OR = 0.92, 95% CI 0.80-1.07; and sliding dichotomy: OR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.87-1.19). Sliding dichotomy reversed and increased the difference in outcome in favor of the placebo over clazosentan (fixed dichotomy: OR = 1.06, 95% CI 0.65-1.74; and sliding dichotomy: OR = 0.85, 95% CI 0.52-1.39). In the ISAT data, sliding dichotomy produced identical odds ratios compared with fixed dichotomy (fixed dichotomy vs sliding dichotomy, respectively: OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.55-0.82 vs OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.53-0.85). When considering the tirilazad and CONSCIOUS-1 groups based on age or World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade, no consistent effects of sliding dichotomy compared with fixed dichotomy were observed. CONCLUSIONS: There were differences among fixed dichotomy, sliding dichotomy, and proportional odds models in the magnitude and precision of odds ratios, but these differences were not as substantial as those seen when these methods were used in other conditions such as head injury. This finding suggests the need for different outcome scales for SAH.


Subject(s)
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/statistics & numerical data , Statistics as Topic/methods , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/therapy , Vasospasm, Intracranial/therapy , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neuroprotective Agents/therapeutic use , Pregnatrienes/therapeutic use , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/drug therapy , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/surgery , Treatment Outcome , Vasospasm, Intracranial/drug therapy , Vasospasm, Intracranial/surgery
12.
Stroke ; 43(10): 2544-50, 2012 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22836352

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We report the primary outcome of the Cerecyte Coil Trial, a randomized trial to determine whether polymer-loaded Cerecyte coils compared with Micrus bare platinum coils improved the proportion of patients with angiographic occlusion of the aneurysm at 6 months when assessed by a core laboratory. The secondary objectives were to compare the clinical outcomes and retreatment rates in the 2 groups. METHODS: Five hundred patients between 18 and 70 years of age with a ruptured or unruptured target aneurysm were randomized to be treated with either Cerecyte or bare platinum coils in 23 centers worldwide. Two hundred forty-nine patients were assigned to Cerecyte coils and 251 to bare platinum coils. Analysis was by intention to treat. RESULTS: Four hundred ninety-four patients were eligible for analysis. Four hundred eighty-one patients underwent coil treatment of their aneurysm, 227 patients with recently ruptured aneurysms and 254 with unruptured aneurysms. Four hundred thirty-three follow-up angiograms were assessed by the core laboratory; 127 of 215 (59%) and 118 of 218 (54%) in the Cerecyte and bare platinum groups, respectively, fulfilled the trial prespecified definition of success, namely that the treated aneurysm showed complete angiographic occlusion, had stable neck remnant, or improved in angiographic appearance compared with the end-of-treatment angiogram (P=0.17). Late retreatment was performed in 25 of 452 (5.5%) patients, 17 (7.7%) Cerecyte versus 8 (3.5%) bare platinum (P=0.064; range, 4-34 months). The clinical outcomes did not differ between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: There was no significant difference at 6 months in the angiographic outcomes between Cerecyte coils and bare platinum coils when assessed by the core laboratory. Clinical Trial Registration Information- URL: www.controlled-trials.com. Unique Identifier: ISRCTN82461286.


Subject(s)
Endovascular Procedures/instrumentation , Endovascular Procedures/methods , Equipment and Supplies , Intracranial Aneurysm/diagnostic imaging , Intracranial Aneurysm/therapy , Platinum , Polymers , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Cerebral Angiography , Cerebrovascular Disorders/diagnostic imaging , Cerebrovascular Disorders/therapy , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Middle Aged , Single-Blind Method , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
13.
Stroke ; 43(8): 2126-9, 2012 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22700527

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The ideal timing of coiling or clipping after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage is unknown. Within the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial we assessed differences in incidence of delayed cerebral ischemia and clinical outcome between different timings of treatment. METHODS: The treated 2106 patients randomized to coiling or clipping were divided into 4 categories: treatment <2 days, on days 3 to 4, on days 5 to 10, and >10 days after the hemorrhage. ORs with 95% CI were calculated with logistic regression analysis for delayed cerebral ischemia, poor outcome at 2 months, and 1 year for the different timing categories, with treatment <2 days as reference. Analyses were performed for all patients, and for coiled and clipped patients separately, and were adjusted for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Adjusted ORs of delayed cerebral ischemia for treatment on days 5 to 10 were 1.18 (95% CI, 0.91-1.53) for all patients, 1.68 (95% CI, 1.17-2.43) after coiling, and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.54-1.16) after clipping. ORs for poor outcome at 2 months were 1.16 (95% CI, 0.89-1.50) for treatment (clipping and coiling combined) at 3 to 4 days, 1.39 (95% CI, 1.08-1.80) for treatment at 5 to 10 days, and 1.84 (95% CI, 1.36-2.51) for treatment >10 days. ORs for coiled and clipped patients separately were in the same range. Results for outcome at 1 year were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Our results support the current practice for early aneurysm treatment in subarachnoid hemorrhage patients. The risk for poor outcome was highest when treatment was performed after day 10; postponing treatment in patients who are eligible for treatment between days 5 to 10 after subarachnoid hemorrhage is not recommended.


Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia/etiology , Endovascular Procedures , Neurosurgical Procedures , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/surgery , Adult , Aged , Aneurysm, Ruptured/surgery , Brain Ischemia/epidemiology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/complications , Surgical Instruments , Treatment Failure , Treatment Outcome
14.
J Neurol ; 259(4): 679-83, 2012 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21947244

ABSTRACT

Delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) is an important cause of poor outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). We studied differences in incidence and impact of DCI as defined clinically after coiling and after clipping in the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial. We calculated odds ratios (OR) for DCI for clipping versus coiling with logistic regression analysis. With coiled patients without DCI as the reference group, we calculated ORs for poor outcome at 2 months and 1 year for coiled patients with DCI and for clipped patients without, and with DCI. With these ORs, we calculated relative excess risk due to Interaction (RERI). Clipping increased the risk of DCI compared to coiling in the 2,143 patients OR 1.24, 95% confidence interval (95% CI 1.01-1.51). Coiled patients with DCI, clipped patients without DCI, and clipped patients with DCI all had higher risks of poor outcome than coiled patients without DCI. Clipping and DCI showed no interaction for poor outcome at 2 months: RERI 0.12 (95% CI -1.16 to 1.40) or 1 year: RERI -0.48 (95% CI -1.69 to 0.74). Only for patients treated within 4 days, coiling and DCI was associated with a poorer outcome at 1 year than clipping and DCI (RERI -2.02, 95% CI -3.97 to -0.08). DCI was more common after clipping than after coiling in SAH patients in ISAT. Impact of DCI on poor outcome did not differ between clipped and coiled patients, except for patients treated within 4 days, in whom DCI resulted more often in poor outcome after coiling than after clipping.


Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia/epidemiology , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Neurosurgical Procedures/adverse effects , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/surgery , Therapeutic Occlusion/adverse effects , Brain Ischemia/etiology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Surgical Instruments/adverse effects , Therapeutic Occlusion/methods
16.
Trials ; 12: 64, 2011 Mar 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21375745

ABSTRACT

The trial on endovascular management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (TEAM), a prospective randomized trial comparing coiling and conservative management, initiated in September 2006, was stopped in June 2009 because of poor recruitment (80 patients). Aspects of the trial design that may have contributed to this failure are reviewed in the hope of identifying better ways to successfully complete this special type of pragmatic trial which seeks to test two strategies that are in routine clinical use. Cultural, conceptual and bureaucratic hurdles and difficulties obstruct all trials. These obstacles are however particularly misplaced when the trial aims to identify what a good medical practice should be. A clean separation between research and practice, with diverging ethical and scientific requirements, has been enforced for decades, but it cannot work when care needs to be provided in the presence of pervasive uncertainty. Hence valid and robust scientific methods need to be legitimately re-integrated into clinical practice when reliable knowledge is in want. A special status should be reserved for what we would call 'clinical care trials', if we are to practice in a transparent and prospective fashion a medicine that leads to demonstrably better patient outcomes.


Subject(s)
Early Termination of Clinical Trials , Endovascular Procedures , Intracranial Aneurysm/therapy , Patient Selection , Evidence-Based Medicine , Humans , Prospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
17.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 10: 86, 2010 Sep 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20920243

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is a devastating event with a frequently disabling outcome. Our aim was to develop a prognostic model to predict an ordinal clinical outcome at two months in patients with aSAH. METHODS: We studied patients enrolled in the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT), a randomized multicentre trial to compare coiling and clipping in aSAH patients.Several models were explored to estimate a patient's outcome according to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at two months after aSAH. Our final model was validated internally with bootstrapping techniques. RESULTS: The study population comprised of 2,128 patients of whom 159 patients died within 2 months (8%). Multivariable proportional odds analysis identified World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade as the most important predictor, followed by age, sex, lumen size of the aneurysm, Fisher grade, vasospasm on angiography, and treatment modality. The model discriminated moderately between those with poor and good mRS scores (c statistic = 0.65), with minor optimism according to bootstrap re-sampling (optimism corrected c statistic = 0.64). CONCLUSION: We presented a calibrated and internally validated ordinal prognostic model to predict two month mRS in aSAH patients who survived the early stage up till a treatment decision. Although generalizability of the model is limited due to the selected population in which it was developed, this model could eventually be used to support clinical decision making after external validation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, Number ISRCTN49866681.


Subject(s)
Physicians, Family/psychology , Polypharmacy , Adult , Belgium , Health Services Research , Humans , Interviews as Topic , Middle Aged , Rural Population , Urban Population
18.
Stroke ; 41(8): 1743-7, 2010 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20616321

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) reported lower rates of death and disability with endovascular versus neurosurgical treatment of ruptured intracranial aneurysms. However, assessment of functional outcome was limited to the modified Rankin Scale, which is known to be insensitive to cognitive function. A neuropsychological substudy (N-ISAT) was therefore done in all recruits from 8 ISAT centers in the United Kingdom. METHODS: Detailed neuropsychological assessment was performed at a 12-month follow-up visit. Impairment was defined as performance below the 5th percentile of the study population on at least 2 tests in >or=2 major cognitive domains. Analysis was restricted to patients who were not known to be otherwise disabled according to the modified Rankin Scale (ie, modified Rankin Scale 0 to 2). RESULTS: Of 836 patients randomized in ISAT in the 8 UK centers (411 allocated endovascular treatment versus 425 neurosurgery), 224 were dead or disabled before 12-month follow-up (78 allocated endovascular treatment versus 135 neurosurgery). Of the remaining 612 patients eligible for neuropsychological assessment, 137 (65 allocated endovascular treatment versus 72 neurosurgery) did not attend. Of the 474 nondisabled patients who were assessed, 152 (32.1%) had cognitive impairment. Patients with cognitive impairment had reduced self-reported health-related quality of life (P<0.001) in both treatment groups, but cognitive impairment was less common in those allocated endovascular treatment (70 of 262 versus 82 of 212 allocated neurosurgery, OR=0.58, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.87, P=0.0055). The incidence of epilepsy was also lower in the N-ISAT endovascular group (7 versus 18, OR=0.30, 0.11 to 0.77, P=0.005) but was independent of the effect on cognitive function. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive impairment occurred in approximately one third of patients who were not otherwise disabled according to the modified Rankin Scale in N-ISAT and was more frequent in the neurosurgery group. These results have implications for management of ruptured intracranial aneurysms and more generally for interpretation of the outcomes of clinical trials that use the modified Rankin Scale.


Subject(s)
Aneurysm, Ruptured/therapy , Cognition/physiology , Embolization, Therapeutic , Intracranial Aneurysm/therapy , Adult , Aged , Chi-Square Distribution , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neuropsychological Tests , Odds Ratio , Treatment Outcome , United Kingdom
19.
Stroke ; 40(12): 3763-7, 2009 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19815830

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: CT remains the most commonly used imaging technique in acute stroke but is often delayed after minor stroke. Interobserver reliability in distinguishing hemorrhagic transformation of infarction from intracerebral hemorrhage may depend on delays to CT but has not been reported previously despite the clinical importance of this distinction. METHODS: Initial CT scans with intraparenchymal hematoma from the first 1000 patients with stroke in the Oxford Vascular Study were independently categorized as intracerebral hemorrhage or hemorrhagic transformation of infarction by 5 neuroradiologists, both blinded and unblinded to clinical history. Thirty scans were reviewed twice. Agreement was quantified by the kappa statistic. RESULTS: Seventy-eight scans showed intraparenchymal hematoma. Blinded pairwise interrater agreements for a diagnosis of intracerebral hemorrhage ranged from kappa=0.15 to 0.48 with poor overall agreement (kappa=0.35; 95% CI, 0.15 to 0.54) even after unblinding (kappa=0.41; 0.21 to 0.60). Blinded intrarater agreements ranged from kappa=0.21 to 0.92. Lack of consensus after unblinding was greatest in patients scanned >or=24 hours after stroke onset (67% versus 25%, P=0.001) and in minor stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale or=24 hours after minor stroke and in 48% of all 30-day stroke survivors in whom reliable diagnosis would be expected to influence long-term management. CONCLUSIONS: Reliability of diagnosis of intraparenchymal hematoma on CT brain scan in minor stroke is poor, particularly if scanning is delayed. Immediate brain imaging is justified in patients with minor stroke.


Subject(s)
Brain/diagnostic imaging , Cerebral Arteries/diagnostic imaging , Cerebral Hemorrhage/diagnostic imaging , Cerebral Infarction/diagnostic imaging , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/statistics & numerical data , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/standards , Aged , Brain/blood supply , Brain/pathology , Cerebral Arteries/pathology , Cerebral Arteries/physiopathology , Cerebral Hemorrhage/etiology , Cerebral Hemorrhage/pathology , Cerebral Infarction/complications , Cerebral Infarction/pathology , Cohort Studies , Diagnosis, Differential , Diagnostic Errors/prevention & control , Female , Humans , Image Processing, Computer-Assisted/methods , Image Processing, Computer-Assisted/standards , Male , Observer Variation , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity
20.
Stroke ; 40(6): 1969-72, 2009 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19390079

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Antiplatelets are frequently used during or after endovascular coiling of aneurysm in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). This strategy is based on uncontrolled case series including also patients with unruptured aneurysms or other lesions. We collected data on effectiveness of antiplatelets in patients with SAH. METHODS: All 43 participating centers in the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) were sent a questionnaire whether they never, sometimes, or always prescribed antiplatelets during or after coiling. Based on individual patient data, the relative risks (RRs) of coiling versus clipping were calculated separately for patients treated in hospitals with standard prescription during or after coiling versus patients treated in hospitals with no standard prescription of antiplatelets. We calculated ratios of RRs for standard versus not standard prescription of antiplatelets during coiling and for standard versus not standard prescription after coiling. RESULTS: Nineteen centers responded, representing 1422 (66%) of the 2143 ISAT patients. Antiplatelets were standard prescribed during coiling in 2 responding centers (8% of coiled patients) and after coiling in 6 centers (24%). For poor outcome at 2 months of coiling versus clipping the RR was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.45 to 1.49) in hospitals with a policy of antiplatelet prescription during coiling versus 0.66 (95% CI: 0.55 to 0.78) in those without such policy (ratio of RR's 1.24, P=0.56). The ratio of RRs for 1-year outcome was 1.01 (P=0.89) for antiplatelet use during coiling and 1.00 (P=0.77) for use after coiling. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study do not support the assumption that antiplatelets during or after endovascular coiling improve outcome in patients with SAH.


Subject(s)
Neurosurgical Procedures , Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/blood , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/surgery , Vascular Surgical Procedures , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Data Collection , Female , Humans , Intraoperative Complications/blood , Intraoperative Complications/prevention & control , Male , Middle Aged , Risk , Stents , Surgical Instruments , Treatment Outcome
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