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1.
Elife ; 122024 Feb 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38416804

ABSTRACT

It remains poorly understood how SARS-CoV-2 infection influences the physiological host factors important for aerosol transmission. We assessed breathing pattern, exhaled droplets, and infectious virus after infection with Alpha and Delta variants of concern (VOC) in the Syrian hamster. Both VOCs displayed a confined window of detectable airborne virus (24-48 hr), shorter than compared to oropharyngeal swabs. The loss of airborne shedding was linked to airway constriction resulting in a decrease of fine aerosols (1-10 µm) produced, which are suspected to be the major driver of airborne transmission. Male sex was associated with increased viral replication and virus shedding in the air. Next, we compared the transmission efficiency of both variants and found no significant differences. Transmission efficiency varied mostly among donors, 0-100% (including a superspreading event), and aerosol transmission over multiple chain links was representative of natural heterogeneity of exposure dose and downstream viral kinetics. Co-infection with VOCs only occurred when both viruses were shed by the same donor during an increased exposure timeframe (24-48 hr). This highlights that assessment of host and virus factors resulting in a differential exhaled particle profile is critical for understanding airborne transmission.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Cricetinae , Animals , Male , Mesocricetus , Respiratory Aerosols and Droplets
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(10): 2065-2072, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37735747

ABSTRACT

An outbreak of human mpox infection in nonendemic countries appears to have been driven largely by transmission through body fluids or skin-to-skin contact during sexual activity. We evaluated the stability of monkeypox virus (MPXV) in different environments and specific body fluids and tested the effectiveness of decontamination methodologies. MPXV decayed faster at higher temperatures, and rates varied considerably depending on the medium in which virus was suspended, both in solution and on surfaces. More proteinaceous fluids supported greater persistence. Chlorination was an effective decontamination technique, but only at higher concentrations. Wastewater was more difficult to decontaminate than plain deionized water; testing for infectious MPXV could be a helpful addition to PCR-based wastewater surveillance when high levels of viral DNA are detected. Our findings suggest that, because virus stability is sufficient to support environmental MPXV transmission in healthcare settings, exposure and dose-response will be limiting factors for those transmission routes.


Subject(s)
Body Fluids , Wastewater , Humans , Monkeypox virus/genetics , Wastewater-Based Epidemiological Monitoring , DNA, Viral
3.
Appl Environ Microbiol ; 89(7): e0063323, 2023 07 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37404191

ABSTRACT

Respiratory viruses can be transmitted by multiple modes, including contaminated surfaces, commonly referred to as fomites. Efficient fomite transmission requires that a virus remain infectious on a given surface material over a wide range of environmental conditions, including different relative humidities. Prior work examining the stability of influenza viruses on surfaces has relied upon virus grown in media or eggs, which does not mimic the composition of virus-containing droplets expelled from the human respiratory tract. In this study, we examined the stability of the 2009 pandemic H1N1 (H1N1pdm09) virus on a variety of nonporous surface materials at four different humidities. Importantly, we used virus grown in primary human bronchial epithelial cell (HBE) cultures from different donors to recapitulate the physiological microenvironment of expelled viruses. We observed rapid inactivation of H1N1pdm09 on copper under all experimental conditions. In contrast to copper, viruses were stable on polystyrene plastic, stainless steel, aluminum, and glass, at multiple relative humidities, but greater decay on acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) plastic was observed at short time points. However, the half-lives of viruses at 23% relative humidity were similar among noncopper surfaces and ranged from 4.5 to 5.9 h. Assessment of H1N1pdm09 longevity on nonporous surfaces revealed that virus persistence was governed more by differences among HBE culture donors than by surface material. Our findings highlight the potential role of an individual's respiratory fluid on viral persistence and could help explain heterogeneity in transmission dynamics. IMPORTANCE Seasonal epidemics and sporadic pandemics of influenza cause a large public health burden. Although influenza viruses disseminate through the environment in respiratory secretions expelled from infected individuals, they can also be transmitted by contaminated surfaces where virus-laden expulsions can be deposited. Understanding virus stability on surfaces within the indoor environment is critical to assessing influenza transmission risk. We found that influenza virus stability is affected by the host respiratory secretion in which the virus is expelled, the surface material on which the droplet lands, and the ambient relative humidity of the environment. Influenza viruses can remain infectious on many common surfaces for prolonged periods, with half-lives of 4.5 to 5.9 h. These data imply that influenza viruses are persistent in indoor environments in biologically relevant matrices. Decontamination and engineering controls should be used to mitigate influenza virus transmission.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza A virus , Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/physiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Humidity , Copper , Plastics , Lung
4.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 66(4): 484-491, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37295600

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Carotid artery stenosis may present without the classical symptoms of transient ischaemic attack or stroke but the rates of stroke for these presentations is unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the rates of stroke in patients with different presentations of carotid artery stenosis. METHODS: A multicentre prospective cohort study was conducted across three Australian vascular centres with low rates of surgical treatment of patients without transient ischaemic attack or stroke. Patients with a 50 - 99% carotid artery stenosis presenting with non-focal symptoms (e.g., dizziness or syncope; n = 47), prior contralateral carotid endarterectomy (n = 71), prior ipsilateral symptoms more than six months earlier (n = 82), and no symptoms (n = 304) were recruited. The primary outcome was ipsilateral ischaemic stroke. Secondary outcomes were any ischaemic stroke and cardiovascular death. Data were analysed using Cox proportional hazard and Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS: Between 2002 and 2020, 504 patients were enrolled (mean age 71 years, 30% women) and followed for a median of 5.1 years (interquartile range 2.5, 8.8; 2 981 person years). Approximately 82% were prescribed antiplatelet therapy, 84% were receiving at least one antihypertensive drug, and 76% were prescribed a statin at entry. After five years the incidence of ipsilateral stroke was 6.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.3 - 9.5). There were no statistically significant differences in the annual rate of ipsilateral stroke among people with non-focal symptoms (2.1%; 95% CI 0.8 - 5.7), prior contralateral carotid endarterectomy (0.2%; 0.03 - 1.6) or ipsilateral symptoms > 6 months prior (1.0%; 0.4 - 2.5) compared with those with no symptoms (1.2%; 0.7 - 1.8; p = .19). There were no statistically significant differences in secondary outcomes across groups. CONCLUSION: This cohort study showed no large differences in stroke rates among people with different presentations of carotid artery stenosis.


Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Carotid Stenosis , Endarterectomy, Carotid , Ischemic Attack, Transient , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Female , Aged , Male , Carotid Stenosis/complications , Carotid Stenosis/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Stenosis/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/etiology , Stroke/diagnosis , Ischemic Attack, Transient/etiology , Ischemic Attack, Transient/complications , Cohort Studies , Prospective Studies , Brain Ischemia/etiology , Risk Factors , Australia , Endarterectomy, Carotid/adverse effects , Ischemic Stroke/etiology , Treatment Outcome
5.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 66(2): 237-244, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37209994

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This retrospective cohort study investigated the anatomical distribution, severity, and outcome of peripheral artery disease (PAD) in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders compared with non-indigenous Australians. METHODS: The distribution, severity, and outcome of PAD were assessed using a validated angiographic scoring system and review of medical records in a cohort of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-indigenous Australians. The relationship between ethnicity and PAD severity, distribution, and outcome were examined using non-parametric statistical tests, Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses. RESULTS: Seventy-three Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders and 242 non-indigenous Australians were included and followed for a median of 6.7 [IQR 2.7, 9.3] years. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients were more likely to present with symptoms of chronic limb threatening ischaemia (81% vs. 25%; p < .001), had greater median [IQR] angiographic scores for the symptomatic limb (7 [5, 10] vs. 4 [2, 7]) and tibial arteries (5 [2, 6] vs. 2 [0, 4]) and had higher risk of major amputation (HR 6.1, 95% CI 3.6 - 10.5; p < .001) and major adverse cardiovascular events (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.0 - 2.3; p = .036) but not for revascularisation (HR 0.8, 95% CI 0.5 - 1.3; p = .37) compared with non-indigenous Australians. The associations with major amputation and major adverse cardiovascular events were no longer statistically significant when adjusted for limb angiographic score. CONCLUSION: Compared with non-indigenous patients, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians had more severe tibial artery disease and a higher risk of major amputation and major adverse cardiovascular events.


Subject(s)
Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples , Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia , Humans , Cohort Studies , Retrospective Studies , Australia/epidemiology
6.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(5): 1033-1037, 2023 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37054984

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 transmits principally by air; contact and fomite transmission may also occur. Variants of concern are more transmissible than ancestral SARS-CoV-2. We found indications of possible increased aerosol and surface stability for early variants of concern, but not for the Delta and Omicron variants. Stability changes are unlikely to explain increased transmissibility.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Respiratory Aerosols and Droplets
7.
bioRxiv ; 2023 Oct 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36032963

ABSTRACT

It remains poorly understood how SARS-CoV-2 infection influences the physiological host factors important for aerosol transmission. We assessed breathing pattern, exhaled droplets, and infectious virus after infection with Alpha and Delta variants of concern (VOC) in the Syrian hamster. Both VOCs displayed a confined window of detectable airborne virus (24-48 h), shorter than compared to oropharyngeal swabs. The loss of airborne shedding was linked to airway constriction resulting in a decrease of fine aerosols (1-10µm) produced, which are suspected to be the major driver of airborne transmission. Male sex was associated with increased viral replication and virus shedding in the air. Next, we compared the transmission efficiency of both variants and found no significant differences. Transmission efficiency varied mostly among donors, 0-100% (including a superspreading event), and aerosol transmission over multiple chain links was representative of natural heterogeneity of exposure dose and downstream viral kinetics. Co-infection with VOCs only occurred when both viruses were shed by the same donor during an increased exposure timeframe (24-48 h). This highlights that assessment of host and virus factors resulting in a differential exhaled particle profile is critical for understanding airborne transmission.

8.
bioRxiv ; 2022 Nov 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36451892

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted principally via air; contact and fomite transmission may also occur. Variants-of-concern (VOCs) are more transmissible than ancestral SARS-CoV-2. We find that early VOCs show greater aerosol and surface stability than the early WA1 strain, but Delta and Omicron do not. Stability changes do not explain increased transmissibility.

9.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 18(11): e1010670, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36409767

ABSTRACT

Levels of sociality in nature vary widely. Some species are solitary; others live in family groups; some form complex multi-family societies. Increased levels of social interaction can allow for the spread of useful innovations and beneficial information, but can also facilitate the spread of harmful contagions, such as infectious diseases. It is natural to assume that these contagion processes shape the evolution of complex social systems, but an explicit account of the dynamics of sociality under selection pressure imposed by contagion remains elusive. We consider a model for the evolution of sociality strategies in the presence of both a beneficial and costly contagion. We study the dynamics of this model at three timescales: using a susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model to describe contagion spread for given sociality strategies, a replicator equation to study the changing fractions of two different levels of sociality, and an adaptive dynamics approach to study the long-time evolution of the population level of sociality. For a wide range of assumptions about the benefits and costs of infection, we identify a social dilemma: the evolutionarily-stable sociality strategy (ESS) is distinct from the collective optimum-the level of sociality that would be best for all individuals. In particular, the ESS level of social interaction is greater (respectively less) than the social optimum when the good contagion spreads more (respectively less) readily than the bad contagion. Our results shed light on how contagion shapes the evolution of social interaction, but reveals that evolution may not necessarily lead populations to social structures that are good for any or all.


Subject(s)
Social Behavior , Humans
10.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 28: 100573, 2022 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36089928

ABSTRACT

Background: First Few "X" (FFX) studies provide a platform to collect the required epidemiological, clinical and virological data to help address emerging information needs about the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: We adapted the WHO FFX protocol for COVID-19 to understand severity and household transmission dynamics in the early stages of the pandemic in Australia. Implementation strategies were developed for participating sites; all household members were followed for 14 days from case identification. Household contacts completed symptom diaries and had multiple respiratory swabs taken irrespective of symptoms. We modelled the spread of COVID-19 within households using a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-type model, and calculated the household secondary attack rate and key epidemiological parameters. Findings: 96 households with 101 cases and 286 household contacts were recruited into the study between April-October 2020. Forty household contacts tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in the study follow-up period. Our model estimated the household secondary attack rate to be 15% (95% CI 8-25%), which scaled up with increasing household size. Our findings suggest children were less infectious than their adult counterparts but were also more susceptible to infection. Interpretation: Our study provides important baseline data characterising the transmission of early SARS-CoV-2 strains from children and adults in Australia, against which properties of variants of concern can be benchmarked. We encountered many challenges with respect to logistics, ethics, governance and data management. Continued efforts to invest in preparedness research will help to test, refine and further develop Australian FFX study protocols in advance of future outbreaks. Funding: Australian Government Department of Health.

11.
Bull Math Biol ; 84(10): 109, 2022 08 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36030325

ABSTRACT

The evolution of complex cellular life involved two major transitions: the encapsulation of self-replicating genetic entities into cellular units and the aggregation of individual genes into a collectively replicating genome. In this paper, we formulate a minimal model of the evolution of proto-chromosomes within protocells. We model a simple protocell composed of two types of genes: a "fast gene" with an advantage for gene-level self-replication and a "slow gene" that replicates more slowly at the gene level, but which confers an advantage for protocell-level reproduction. Protocell-level replication capacity depends on cellular composition of fast and slow genes. We use a partial differential equation to describe how the composition of genes within protocells evolves over time under within-cell and between-cell competition, considering an infinite population of protocells that each contain infinitely many genes. We find that the gene-level advantage of fast replicators casts a long shadow on the multilevel dynamics of protocell evolution: no level of between-protocell competition can produce coexistence of the fast and slow replicators when the two genes are equally needed for protocell-level reproduction. By introducing a "dimer replicator" consisting of a linked pair of the slow and fast genes, we show analytically that coexistence between the two genes can be promoted in pairwise multilevel competition between fast and dimer replicators, and provide numerical evidence for coexistence in trimorphic competition between fast, slow, and dimer replicators. Our results suggest that dimerization, or the formation of a simple chromosome-like dimer replicator, can help to overcome the shadow of lower-level selection and work in concert with deterministic multilevel selection in protocells featuring high gene copy number to allow for the coexistence of two genes that are complementary at the protocell level but compete at the level of individual gene-level replication. These results for the PDE model complement existing results on the benefits of dimerization in the case of low genetic copy number, for which it has been shown that genetic linkage can help to overcome the stochastic loss of necessary genetic templates.


Subject(s)
Artificial Cells , Chromosomes , Genome , Mathematical Concepts , Models, Biological
12.
Prehosp Emerg Care ; 26(sup1): 80-87, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35001825

ABSTRACT

Noninvasive ventilation (NIV), including bilevel positive airway pressure and continuous positive airway pressure, is a safe and important therapeutic option in the management of prehospital respiratory distress. NAEMSP recommends:NIV should be used in the management of prehospital patients with respiratory failure, such as those with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and pulmonary edema.NIV is a safe intervention for use by Emergency Medical Technicians.Medical directors must assure adequate training in NIV, including appropriate patient selection, NIV system operation, administration of adjunctive medications, and assessment of clinical response.Medical directors must implement quality assessment and improvement programs to assure optimal application of and outcomes from NIV.Novel NIV methods such as high-flow nasal cannula and helmet ventilation may have a role in prehospital care.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Noninvasive Ventilation , Respiratory Insufficiency , Continuous Positive Airway Pressure , Humans , Respiration, Artificial , Respiratory Insufficiency/therapy
13.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 63(3): 512-519, 2022 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34916110

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Observational studies demonstrate an inverse association between type II diabetes and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) for reasons that are unclear. The aim of this study was to clarify the causal association between type II diabetes predisposition and AAA using Mendelian randomisation. METHODS: Effect estimates for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with diabetes were obtained from the DIAbetes Meta-ANalysis of Trans-Ethnic association studies (DIAMANTE) consortium to construct a genetic instrumental variable. Corresponding effect estimates for associations of these SNPs with AAA were obtained from the International Aneurysm Consortium comprising six separate AAA genomewide association studies (4 972 cases and 99 858 controls). Mendelian randomisation estimates were calculated using inverse variance, weighted median, and MR-Egger methods, and compared against recently published observational estimates. RESULTS: A genetic risk score was constructed from 206 SNPs associated with diabetes. All three Mendelian randomisation models showed no effect of genetic liability to diabetes and risk of AAA (inverse variance: odds ratio 1.04 per unit higher log odds, 95% 0.98 - 1.11, p = .19; MR-Egger slope p = .33; weighted median p = .50). Results were similar after excluding the TCF7L2 locus (inverse variance p = .075). Findings from the Mendelian randomisation analysis differed from previous observational reports of an inverse association (pdif < .001). CONCLUSION: Lifelong genetic predisposition to diabetes does not appear to protect against AAA. These findings differ from traditional epidemiological studies showing an inverse association between diabetes and AAA, for reasons that remain unclear.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/epidemiology , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/genetics , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diagnosis , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/genetics , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Genome-Wide Association Study , Humans , Mendelian Randomization Analysis/methods , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
14.
Trials ; 22(1): 962, 2021 Dec 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34961561

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multiple observational studies have associated metformin prescription with reduced progression of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The Metformin Aneurysm Trial (MAT) will test whether metformin reduces the risk of AAA rupture-related mortality or requirement for AAA surgery (AAA events) in people with asymptomatic aneurysms. METHODS: MAT is an international, multi-centre, prospective, parallel-group, randomised, placebo-controlled trial. Participants must have an asymptomatic AAA measuring at least 35 mm in maximum diameter, no diabetes, no contraindication to metformin and no current plans for surgical repair. The double-blind period is preceded by a 6-week, single-blind, active run-in phase in which all potential participants receive metformin. Only patients tolerating metformin by taking at least 80% of allocated medication will enter the trial and be randomised to 1500 mg of metformin XR or an identical placebo. The primary outcome is the proportion of AAA events defined as rupture-related mortality or need for surgical repair. Secondary outcomes include AAA growth, major adverse cardiovascular events and health-related quality of life. In order to test if metformin reduced the risk of AAA events by at least 25%, 616 primary outcome events will be required (power 90%, alpha 0.05). DISCUSSION: Currently, there is no drug therapy for AAA. Past trials have found no convincing evidence of the benefit of multiple blood pressure lowering, antibiotics, a mast cell inhibitor, an anti-platelet drug and a lipid-lowering medication on AAA growth. MAT is one of a number of trials now ongoing testing metformin for AAA. MAT, unlike these other trials, is designed to test the effect of metformin on AAA events. The international collaboration needed for MAT will be challenging to achieve given the current COVID-19 pandemic. If this challenge can be overcome, MAT will represent a trial unique within the AAA field in its large size and design. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian Clinical Trials ACTRN12618001707257 . Registered on 16 October 2018.


Subject(s)
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal , COVID-19 , Metformin , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/diagnostic imaging , Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/surgery , Australia , Humans , Metformin/adverse effects , Pandemics , Prospective Studies , Quality of Life , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , SARS-CoV-2 , Single-Blind Method
15.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 35: 100836, 2021 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34286064

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Mendelian randomisation (MR) has been suggested to be able to overcome biases of observational studies, but no meta-analysis is available on MR studies on abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). This systematic review and Meta-analysis examined the evidence of causal risk factors for AAA identified in MR studies. METHODS: Publicly available databases were systematically searched for MR studies that reported any causal risk factors for AAA diagnosis. Meta-analyses were performed using random effect models and reported as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Study quality was assessed using a modified version of Strengthening the Reporting of Mendelian Randomisation Studies (STROBE-MR) guidelines. RESULTS: Sixteen MR studies involving 34,050 patients with AAA and 2,205,894 controls were included. Meta-analyses suggested that one standard deviation increase in high density lipoprotein (HDL) significantly reduced (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.61, 0.72) and one standard deviation increase in low density lipoprotein (LDL) significantly increased the risk (OR: 1.68, 95%, CI: 1.55, 1.82) of AAA. One standard deviation increase in triglycerides did not significantly increase the risk of AAA (OR: 1.21, 95% CI: 0.86, 1.71). Quality assessment suggested that ten and five studies were of low and moderate risk of bias respectively, with one study considered as high risk of bias. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis suggests LDL and HDL are positive and negative casual risk factors for AAA.

16.
Appl Environ Microbiol ; 87(19): e0031421, 2021 09 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34288702

ABSTRACT

Decontamination helps limit environmental transmission of infectious agents. It is required for the safe reuse of contaminated medical, laboratory, and personal protective equipment, and for the safe handling of biological samples. Heat treatment is a common decontamination method, notably used for viruses. We show that for liquid specimens (here, solution of SARS-CoV-2 in cell culture medium), the virus inactivation rate under heat treatment at 70°C can vary by almost two orders of magnitude depending on the treatment procedure, from a half-life of 0.86 min (95% credible interval [CI] 0.09, 1.77) in closed vials in a heat block to 37.04 min (95% CI 12.64, 869.82) in uncovered plates in a dry oven. These findings suggest a critical role of evaporation in virus inactivation via dry heat. Placing samples in open or uncovered containers may dramatically reduce the speed and efficacy of heat treatment for virus inactivation. Given these findings, we reviewed the literature on temperature-dependent coronavirus stability and found that specimen container types, along with whether they are closed, covered, or uncovered, are rarely reported in the scientific literature. Heat-treatment procedures must be fully specified when reporting experimental studies to facilitate result interpretation and reproducibility, and must be carefully considered when developing decontamination guidelines. IMPORTANCE Heat is a powerful weapon against most infectious agents. It is widely used for decontamination of medical, laboratory, and personal protective equipment, and for biological samples. There are many methods of heat treatment, and methodological details can affect speed and efficacy of decontamination. We applied four different heat-treatment procedures to liquid specimens containing SARS-CoV-2. Our results show that the container used to store specimens during decontamination can substantially affect inactivation rate; for a given initial level of contamination, decontamination time can vary from a few minutes in closed vials to several hours in uncovered plates. Reviewing the literature, we found that container choices and heat treatment methods are only rarely reported explicitly in methods sections. Our study shows that careful consideration of heat-treatment procedure-in particular the choice of specimen container and whether it is covered-can make results more consistent across studies, improve decontamination practice, and provide insight into the mechanisms of virus inactivation.


Subject(s)
Decontamination/methods , Hot Temperature , Personal Protective Equipment/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2/physiology , Specimen Handling/methods , Virus Inactivation , Decontamination/instrumentation , Reproducibility of Results , Specimen Handling/instrumentation
17.
Elife ; 102021 07 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33904403

ABSTRACT

Ambient temperature and humidity strongly affect inactivation rates of enveloped viruses, but a mechanistic, quantitative theory of these effects has been elusive. We measure the stability of SARS-CoV-2 on an inert surface at nine temperature and humidity conditions and develop a mechanistic model to explain and predict how temperature and humidity alter virus inactivation. We find SARS-CoV-2 survives longest at low temperatures and extreme relative humidities (RH); median estimated virus half-life is >24 hr at 10°C and 40% RH, but ∼1.5 hr at 27°C and 65% RH. Our mechanistic model uses fundamental chemistry to explain why inactivation rate increases with increased temperature and shows a U-shaped dependence on RH. The model accurately predicts existing measurements of five different human coronaviruses, suggesting that shared mechanisms may affect stability for many viruses. The results indicate scenarios of high transmission risk, point to mitigation strategies, and advance the mechanistic study of virus transmission.


Subject(s)
Hot Temperature , Humidity , Models, Biological , SARS-CoV-2/growth & development , Virus Inactivation , COVID-19 , Humans
18.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 61(3): 365-373, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33422437

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS) is associated with an increased risk of ischaemic stroke and myocardial infarction. Risk scores have been developed to detect individuals at high risk of ACS, thereby enabling targeted screening, but previous external validation showed scope for refinement of prediction by adding additional predictors. The aim of this study was to develop a novel risk score in a large contemporary screened population. METHODS: A prediction model was developed for moderate (≥50%) and severe (≥70%) ACS using data from 596 469 individuals who attended screening clinics. Variables that predicted the presence of ≥50% and ≥70% ACS independently were determined using multivariable logistic regression. Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping techniques. Discrimination was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) and agreement between predicted and observed cases using calibration plots. RESULTS: Predictors of ≥50% and ≥70% ACS were age, sex, current smoking, diabetes mellitus, prior stroke/transient ischaemic attack, coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial disease, blood pressure, and blood lipids. Models discriminated between participants with and without ACS reliably, with an AUROC of 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.78) for ≥ 50% ACS and 0.82 (95% CI 0.81-0.82) for ≥ 70% ACS. The number needed to screen in the highest decile of predicted risk to detect one case with ≥50% ACS was 13 and that of ≥70% ACS was 58. Targeted screening of the highest decile identified 41% of cases with ≥50% ACS and 51% with ≥70% ACS. CONCLUSION: The novel risk model predicted the prevalence of ACS reliably and performed better than previous models. Targeted screening among the highest decile of predicted risk identified around 40% of all cases with ≥50% ACS. Initiation or intensification of cardiovascular risk management in detected cases might help to reduce both carotid related ischaemic strokes and myocardial infarctions.


Subject(s)
Carotid Stenosis/diagnosis , Carotid Stenosis/etiology , Aged , Asymptomatic Diseases , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
19.
bioRxiv ; 2021 Jul 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32793913

ABSTRACT

Decontamination helps limit environmental transmission of infectious agents. It is required for the safe re-use of contaminated medical, laboratory and personal protective equipment, and for the safe handling of biological samples. Heat treatment is a common decontamination method, notably used for viruses. We show that for liquid specimens (here, solution of SARS-CoV-2 in cell culture medium), virus inactivation rate under heat treatment at 70°C can vary by almost two orders of magnitude depending on the treatment procedure, from a half-life of 0.86 min (95% credible interval: [0.09, 1.77]) in closed vials in a heat block to 37.00 min ([12.65, 869.82]) in uncovered plates in a dry oven. These findings suggest a critical role of evaporation in virus inactivation via dry heat. Placing samples in open or uncovered containers may dramatically reduce the speed and efficacy of heat treatment for virus inactivation. Given these findings, we reviewed the literature temperature-dependent coronavirus stability and found that specimen containers, and whether they are closed, covered, or uncovered, are rarely reported in the scientific literature. Heat-treatment procedures must be fully specified when reporting experimental studies to facilitate result interpretation and reproducibility, and must be carefully considered when developing decontamination guidelines.

20.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 72: 589-600, 2021 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33227475

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: "Structural factors" relating to organization of hospitals may affect procedural outcomes. This study's aim was to clarify associations between structural factors and outcomes after carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and carotid endarterectomy stenting (CAS). METHODS: A systematic review of studies published in English since 2005 was conducted. Structural factors assessed were as follows: population size served by the vascular department; number of hospital beds; availability of dedicated vascular beds; established clinical pathways; surgical intensive care unit (SICU) size; and specialty of surgeon/interventionalist. Primary outcomes were as follows: mortality; stroke; cardiac complications; length of hospital stay (LOS); and cost. RESULTS: There were 11 studies (n = 95,100 patients) included in this systematic review. For CEA, reduced mortality (P < 0.0001) and stroke rates (P = 0.001) were associated with vascular departments serving >75,000 people. Larger hospitals were associated with lower mortality, stroke rate, and cardiac events, compared with smaller hospitals (less than 130 beds). Provision of vascular beds after CEA was associated with lower mortality (P = 0.0008) and fewer cardiac events (P = 0.03). Adherence to established clinical pathways was associated with reduced stroke and cardiac event rates while reducing CEA costs. Large SICUs (≥7 beds) and dedicated intensivists were associated with decreased mortality after CEA while a large SICU was associated with reduced stroke rate (P = 0.001). Vascular surgeons performing CEA were associated with lower stroke rates and shorter LOS (P = 0.0001) than other specialists. CAS outcomes were not influenced by specialty but costless when performed by vascular surgeons (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Structural factors affect CEA outcomes, but data on CAS were limited. These findings may inform reconfiguration of vascular services, reducing risks and costs associated with carotid interventions.


Subject(s)
Carotid Artery Diseases/therapy , Endarterectomy, Carotid , Endovascular Procedures , Hospital Bed Capacity , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care , Quality Improvement , Quality Indicators, Health Care , Carotid Artery Diseases/diagnosis , Carotid Artery Diseases/economics , Carotid Artery Diseases/mortality , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Critical Care , Endarterectomy, Carotid/adverse effects , Endarterectomy, Carotid/economics , Endarterectomy, Carotid/mortality , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Endovascular Procedures/economics , Endovascular Procedures/instrumentation , Endovascular Procedures/mortality , Heart Diseases/etiology , Heart Diseases/mortality , Hospital Bed Capacity/economics , Hospital Costs , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Length of Stay , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care/economics , Quality Improvement/economics , Quality Indicators, Health Care/economics , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stents , Stroke/etiology , Stroke/mortality , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
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