Application of multi-criteria decision analysis techniques and decision support framework for informing plant select agent designation and decision making.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Division of Agricultural Select Agents and Toxins (DASAT) established a list of biological agents (Select Agents List) that threaten crops of economic importance to the United States and regulates the procedures governing containment, incident response, and the security of entities working with them. Every 2 years the USDA DASAT reviews their select agent list, utilizing assessments by subject matter experts (SMEs) to rank the agents. We explored the applicability of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques and a decision support framework (DSF) to support the USDA DASAT biennial review process. The evaluation includes both current and non-select agents to provide a robust assessment. We initially conducted a literature review of 16 pathogens against 9 criteria for assessing plant health and bioterrorism risk and documented the findings to support this analysis. Technical review of published data and associated scoring recommendations by pathogen-specific SMEs was found to be critical for ensuring accuracy. Scoring criteria were adopted to ensure consistency. The MCDA supported the expectation that select agents would rank high on the relative risk scale when considering the agricultural consequences of a bioterrorism attack; however, application of analytical thresholds as a basis for designating select agents led to some exceptions to current designations. A second analytical approach used agent-specific data to designate key criteria in a DSF logic tree format to identify pathogens of low concern that can be ruled out for further consideration as select agents. Both the MCDA and DSF approaches arrived at similar conclusions, suggesting the value of employing the two analytical approaches to add robustness for decision making.

Special Issue: Gram-Positive Bacterial Toxins.

The Gram stain classifies most bacteria into one of two groups, Gram-negative or Gram-positive, based on the composition of their cell walls [...].

Enterobacterales draft genome sequences: 15 historical (1998-2004) and 30 contemporary (2015-2016) clinical isolates from Pakistan.

The continued emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistance among pathogenic bacteria are ever-growing threats to health and economy. Here, we report the draft genomes for 45 Enterobacterales clinical isolates, including historical and contemporary drug-resistant organisms, obtained in Pakistan between 1998 and 2016: 5 Serratia, 3 Salmonella, 3 Enterobacter, and 34 Klebsiella.

Investigation of multidrug-resistant plasmids from carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae clinical isolates from Pakistan.

Objectives: The study aim was to investigate multidrug-resistant (MDR) plasmids from a collection of 10 carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae clinical isolates identified within the same healthcare institution in Pakistan. Full characterization of the MDR plasmids including structure, typing characteristics, and AMR content as well as determination of their plasmid-based antimicrobial susceptibility profiles were carried out. Methods: Plasmids were isolated from 10 clinical isolates of Klebsiella pneumoniae, and from a corresponding set of Escherichia coli transconjugants, then sequenced using Nanopore/Illumina technology to generate plasmid hybrid assemblies. Full characterization of MDR plasmids, including determination of next generation sequencing (NGS)-based AMR profiles, plasmid incompatibility groups, and types, was carried out. The structure of MDR plasmids was analyzed using the Galileo AMR platform. For E. coli transconjugants, the NGS-based AMR profiles were compared to NGS-predicted AMR phenotypes and conventional broth microdilution (BMD) antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) results. Results: All carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae isolates (carrying either blaNDM-1, or/and blaOXA-48) carried multiple AMR plasmids encoding 34 antimicrobial resistance genes (ARGs) conferring resistance to antimicrobials from 6 different classes. The plasmid incompatibility groups and types identified were: IncC (types 1 and 3), IncFIA (type 26) IncFIB, IncFII (types K1, K2, K7, and K9), IncHI1B, and IncL. None of the blaNDM-1 and blaESBL-plasmids identified in this study were previously described. Most blaNDM-1-plasmids shared identical AMR regions suggesting potential genetic material/plasmid exchange between K. pneumoniae isolates of this collection. The majority of NGS-based AMR profiles from the E. coli transconjugants correlated well with both NGS-based predicted and conventional AST results. Conclusion: This study highlights the complexity and diversity of the plasmid-based genetic background of carbapenemase-producing clinical isolates from Pakistan. This study emphasizes the need for characterization of MDR plasmids to determine their complete molecular background and monitor AMR through plasmid transmission between multi-resistant bacterial pathogens.

Application of multi-criteria decision analysis techniques and decision support framework for informing select agent designation for agricultural animal pathogens.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Division of Agricultural Select Agents and Toxins (DASAT) established a list of biological agents and toxins (Select Agent List) that potentially threaten agricultural health and safety, the procedures governing the transfer of those agents, and training requirements for entities working with them. Every 2 years the USDA DASAT reviews the Select Agent List, using subject matter experts (SMEs) to perform an assessment and rank the agents. To assist the USDA DASAT biennial review process, we explored the applicability of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques and a Decision Support Framework (DSF) in a logic tree format to identify pathogens for consideration as select agents, applying the approach broadly to include non-select agents to evaluate its robustness and generality. We conducted a literature review of 41 pathogens against 21 criteria for assessing agricultural threat, economic impact, and bioterrorism risk and documented the findings to support this assessment. The most prominent data gaps were those for aerosol stability and animal infectious dose by inhalation and ingestion routes. Technical review of published data and associated scoring recommendations by pathogen-specific SMEs was found to be critical for accuracy, particularly for pathogens with very few known cases, or where proxy data (e.g., from animal models or similar organisms) were used to address data gaps. The MCDA analysis supported the intuitive sense that select agents should rank high on the relative risk scale when considering agricultural health consequences of a bioterrorism attack. However, comparing select agents with non-select agents indicated that there was not a clean break in scores to suggest thresholds for designating select agents, requiring subject matter expertise collectively to establish which analytical results were in good agreement to support the intended purpose in designating select agents. The DSF utilized a logic tree approach to identify pathogens that are of sufficiently low concern that they can be ruled out from consideration as a select agent. In contrast to the MCDA approach, the DSF rules out a pathogen if it fails to meet even one criteria threshold. Both the MCDA and DSF approaches arrived at similar conclusions, suggesting the value of employing the two analytical approaches to add robustness for decision making.

The development and use of decision support framework for informing selection of select agent toxins with modelling studies to inform permissible toxin amounts.

Many countries have worked diligently to establish and implement policies and processes to regulate high consequence pathogens and toxins that could have a significant public health impact if misused. In the United States, the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 (Public Law 104-132, 1996), as amended by the Bioterrorism Preparedness and Response Act of 2002 (Public Law 107-188, 2002) requires that the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) [through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)] establish a list of bacteria, viruses, and toxins that have the potential to pose a severe threat to public health and safety. Currently, this list is reviewed and updated on a biennial basis using input from subject matter experts (SMEs). We have developed decision support framework (DSF) approaches to facilitate selection of select toxins and, where toxicity data are known, conducted modelling studies to inform selection of toxin amounts that should be excluded from select agent regulations. Exclusion limits allow laboratories to possess toxins under an established limit to support their research or teaching activities without the requirement to register with the Federal Select Agent Program. Fact sheets capturing data from a previously vetted SME workshop convened by CDC, literature review and SME input were developed to assist in evaluating toxins using the DSF approach. The output of the DSF analysis agrees with the current select toxin designations, and no other toxins evaluated in this study were recommended for inclusion on the select agent and toxin list. To inform the selection of exclusion limits, attack scenarios were developed to estimate the amount of toxin needed to impact public health. Scenarios consisted of simulated aerosol releases of a toxin in high-population-density public facilities and the introduction of a toxin into a daily consumable product supply chain. Using published inhalation and ingestion median toxic dose (TD50) and median lethal dose (LD50) values, where available, a range of toxin amounts was examined to estimate the number of people exposed to these amounts in these scenarios. Based on data generated by these models, we proposed toxin exclusion values corresponding to levels below those that would trigger a significant public health response (i.e., amounts estimated to expose up to ten people by inhalation or one hundred people by ingestion to LD50 or TD50 levels of toxin in the modeled scenarios).

Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Techniques for Informing Select Agent Designation and Decision Making.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Select Agent Program establishes a list of biological agents and toxins that potentially threaten public health and safety, the procedures governing the possession, utilization, and transfer of those agents, and training requirements for entities working with them. Every 2 years the Program reviews the select agent list, utilizing subject matter expert (SME) assessments to rank the agents. In this study, we explore the applicability of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques and logic tree analysis to support the CDC Select Agent Program biennial review process, applying the approach broadly to include non-select agents to evaluate its generality. We conducted a literature search for over 70 pathogens against 15 criteria for assessing public health and bioterrorism risk and documented the findings for archiving. The most prominent data gaps were found for aerosol stability and human infectious dose by inhalation and ingestion routes. Technical review of published data and associated scoring recommendations by pathogen-specific SMEs was found to be critical for accuracy, particularly for pathogens with very few known cases, or where proxy data (e.g., from animal models or similar organisms) were used to address data gaps. Analysis of results obtained from a two-dimensional plot of weighted scores for difficulty of attack (i.e., exposure and production criteria) vs. consequences of an attack (i.e., consequence and mitigation criteria) provided greater fidelity for understanding agent placement compared to a 1-to-n ranking and was used to define a region in the upper right-hand quadrant for identifying pathogens for consideration as select agents. A sensitivity analysis varied the numerical weights attributed to various properties of the pathogens to identify potential quantitative (x and y) thresholds for classifying select agents. The results indicate while there is some clustering of agent scores to suggest thresholds, there are still pathogens that score close to any threshold, suggesting that thresholding "by eye" may not be sufficient. The sensitivity analysis indicates quantitative thresholds are plausible, and there is good agreement of the analytical results with select agent designations. A second analytical approach that applied the data using a logic tree format to rule out pathogens for consideration as select agents arrived at similar conclusions.

Validation of a Lateral Flow Test for the Presumptive Identification of the Presence of Burkholderia mallei or Burkholderia pseudomallei in Environmental Samples.

We conducted a comprehensive, multiphase laboratory evaluation of InBios Active Melioidosis Detect (AMD) rapid test, a lateral flow immunoassay designed to detect capsular polysaccharides produced by Burkholderia mallei or Burkholderia pseudomallei, used in conjunction with the Omni Array Reader (OAR) for the rapid detection of B mallei or B pseudomallei in environmental (nonclinical) samples at 2 sites. The limit of detection, using reference strains B mallei strain ATCC 23344 and B pseudomallei strain ATCC 11668, was determined to be 103 to 104 CFU/mL. In different phases of the evaluation, inclusivity strains that included geographically diverse strains of B mallei (N = 13) and B pseudomallei (N = 22), geographically diverse phylogenetic near neighbor strains (N = 66), environmental background strains (N = 64), white powder samples (N = 26), and environmental filter extracts (N = 1 pooled sample from 10 filter extracts) were also tested. A total of 1,753 tests were performed, which included positive and negative controls. Visual and OAR results showed that the AMD test detected 92.3% of B mallei and 95.5% of B pseudomallei strains. Of the 66 near-neighbor strains tested, cross-reactivity was observed with only B stabilis 2008724195 and B thailandensis 2003015869. Overall, the specificity and sensitivity were 98.8% and 98.7%, respectively. The results of this evaluation support the use of the AMD test as a rapid, qualitative assay for the presumptive detection of B mallei and B pseudomallei in suspicious environmental samples such as white powders and aerosol samples by first responders and laboratory personnel.

Rapid Presumptive Identification of Burkholderia mallei and Burkholderia pseudomallei Clinical Isolates Using a Highly Specific Lateral Flow Assay.

We conducted a comprehensive, multiphase laboratory evaluation of the InBios Active Melioidosis Detect (AMD) rapid test, a lateral flow immunoassay designed to detect capsular polysaccharides produced by Burkholderia mallei or Burkholderia pseudomallei, used in conjunction with the Omni Array Reader for the rapid identification of culture isolates of B mallei or B pseudomallei to support clinical diagnosis for response and triage during a mass casualty event, such as a biological attack. The study was conducted at 2 sites to assess the performance of the AMD test. The sensitivity, specificity, and reproducibility of the assay was determined using 5 replicates of 35 inclusivity strains and 64 clinical background strains. A total of 520 tests were performed, which included both positive and negative controls. Results obtained visually and with the Omni Array Reader showed a sensitivity of 92.3% for B mallei and 95.6% for B pseudomallei; no cross-reactivity was observed with any of the 64 clinical background organisms. The results from this study indicate that the AMD test for the presumptive identification of B mallei and B pseudomallei isolates to support clinical diagnosis is highly robust, specific, and sensitive. This evaluation supports the use of this test as a rapid, qualitative assay for the presumptive identification of B mallei and B pseudomallei in a clinical setting.

Evaluation of an Electrochemiluminescence Assay for the Rapid Detection of Abrin Toxin.

In this article, we detail a comprehensive laboratory evaluation of an immunoassay for the rapid detection of abrin using the Meso Scale Diagnostics Sector PR2 Model 1800. For the assay evaluation, we used inclusivity and exclusivity panels comprised of extracts of 11 Abrus precatorius cultivars and 35 near-neighbor plants, 65 lectins, 26 white powders, 11 closely related toxins and proteins, and a pool of 30 BioWatch filter extracts. The results show that the Meso Scale Diagnostics abrin detection assay exhibits good sensitivity and specificity with a limit of detection of 4 ng/mL. However, the dynamic range of the assay for the quantitation of abrin was limited. We observed a hook effect at higher abrin concentrations, which can lead to potential false negative results. A modification of the assay protocol that incorporates extra wash steps can decrease the hook effect and the potential for false negative results.

Draft Genome Sequences of Two Extensively Drug-Resistant Strains of Acinetobacter baumannii Isolated from Clinical Samples in Pakistan.

Infections in immunocompromised patients that are caused by extensively drug-resistant (XDR) Acinetobacter baumannii strains have been increasingly reported worldwide. In particular, carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii strains are a prominent cause of health care-associated infections. Here, we report draft genome assemblies for two clinical XDR A. baumannii isolates obtained from hospitalized patients in Pakistan.

Comprehensive Laboratory Evaluation of a Specific Lateral Flow Assay for the Presumptive Identification of Francisella tularensis in Suspicious White Powders and Aerosol Samples.

We conducted a comprehensive, multi-phase laboratory evaluation of the Tularemia BioThreat Alert® (BTA) test, a lateral flow assay (LFA) for the rapid detection of Francisella tularensis. The study, conducted at 2 sites, evaluated the limit of detection (LOD) of this assay using the virulent SchuS4 strain and the avirulent LVS strain of F. tularensis. In 6-phase evaluation (linear dynamic range and reproducibility, inclusivity, near-neighbor, environmental background, white powder, and environmental filter extract), 13 diverse strains of F. tularensis, 8 Francisella near neighbors, 61 environmental background organisms, 26 white powders, and a pooled aerosol extract were tested. In the 937 tests performed, the Tularemia BTA demonstrated an LOD of 107 to 108 cfu/mL, with a sensitivity of 100.00%, specificity of 98.08%, and accuracy of 98.84%. These performance data are important for accurate interpretation of qualitative results arising from screening suspicious white powders in the field.

Comprehensive Laboratory Evaluation of a Lateral Flow Assay for the Detection of Yersinia pestis.

We conducted a comprehensive, multiphase laboratory evaluation of the Plague BioThreat Alert® (BTA) test, a lateral flow immunoassay (LFA), for the rapid detection of Yersinia pestis. The study was conducted in 7 phases at 2 sites to assess the performance of the LFA. The limit of detection (LOD) was determined using both a virulent and avirulent strain of Y. pestis, CO99-3015 (105 CFU/ml) and A1122 (104 CFU/ml), respectively. In the other phases, 18 Y. pestis strains, 20 phylogenetic near-neighbor strains, 61 environmental background microorganisms, 26 white powders, and a pooled aerosol sample were also tested. A total of 1,110 LFA test results were obtained, and their analysis indicates that this LFA had a sensitivity of 97.65% and specificity of 96.57%. These performance data are important for accurate interpretation of qualitative results arising from testing suspicious white powders and aerosol samples in the field. Any positive specimen in this assay is considered presumptive positive and should be referred to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Laboratory Response Network for additional testing, confirmation, and characterization for an appropriate public health response.

Rapid Presumptive Identification of Bacillus anthracis Isolates Using the Tetracore RedLine Alert™ Test.

A comprehensive laboratory evaluation of the Tetracore RedLine Alert test, a lateral flow immunoassay (LFA) for the rapid presumptive identification of Bacillus anthracis, was conducted at 2 different test sites. The study evaluated the sensitivity of this assay using 16 diverse strains of B. anthracis grown on sheep blood agar (SBA) plates. In addition, 83 clinically relevant microorganisms were tested to assess the specificity of the RedLine Alert test. The results indicated that the RedLine Alert test for the presumptive identification of B. anthracis is highly robust, specific, and sensitive. RedLine Alert is a rapid test that has applicability for use in a clinical setting for ruling-in or ruling-out nonhemolytic colonies of Bacillus spp. grown on SBA medium as presumptive isolates of B. anthracis.

Draft Genome Sequences of Antimicrobial-Resistant Shigella Clinical Isolates from Pakistan.

Shigella spp. are the most common cause of dysentery in developing countries and the second leading cause of diarrheal deaths worldwide. Multidrug-resistant (MDR) Shigella spp. are a serious threat to global health. Herein, we report draft genome sequences for three MDR Shigella isolates from Pakistan, two Shigella flexneri isolates and one Shigella sonnei isolate.

Perspective on Improving Environmental Monitoring of Biothreats.

For more than a decade, the United States has performed environmental monitoring by collecting and analyzing air samples for a handful of biological threat agents (BTAs) in order to detect a possible biological attack. This effort has faced numerous technical challenges including timeliness, sampling efficiency, sensitivity, specificity, and robustness. The cost of city-wide environmental monitoring using conventional technology has also been a challenge. A large group of scientists with expertise in bioterrorism defense met to assess the objectives and current efficacy of environmental monitoring and to identify operational and technological changes that could enhance its efficacy and cost-effectiveness, thus enhancing its value. The highest priority operational change that was identified was to abandon the current concept of city-wide environmental monitoring because the operational costs were too high and its value was compromised by low detection sensitivity and other environmental factors. Instead, it was suggested that the focus should primarily be on indoor monitoring and secondarily on special-event monitoring because objectives are tractable and these operational settings are aligned with likelihood and risk assessments. The highest priority technological change identified was the development of a reagent-less, real-time sensor that can identify a potential airborne release and trigger secondary tests of greater sensitivity and specificity for occasional samples of interest. This technological change could be transformative with the potential to greatly reduce operational costs and thereby create the opportunity to expand the scope and effectiveness of environmental monitoring.

Evaluation of DNA extraction methods to detect bacterial targets in aerosol samples.

DNA-based monitoring of pathogens in aerosol samples requires extraction methods that provide high recovery of DNA. To identify a suitable method, we evaluated six DNA extraction methods for recovery of target-specific DNA from samples with four bacterial agents at low abundance (<10,000 genome copies per detection assay). These methods differed in rigor of cell disruption, approach for DNA capture, and extent of DNA purification. The six methods varied 1000-fold in the recovery of DNA from spores or cells of surrogates of Bacillus anthracis, Yersinia pestis, Burkholderia pseudomallei, and Francisella tularensis, each at about 105 CFU per sample. A custom method using paramagnetic Dynabeads for DNA capture greatly outperformed the other five methods. The cDynabead method provided about 80% recovery of target-specific DNA. The cDynabead method and a filtration method were further evaluated for DNA recovery from bacterial agents spiked on filters (c.a. 105 CFU of each agent per filter quadrant) that were subsequently used to collect background outdoor air particulates for 24-h. The filtration method generally failed to recover detectable quantities of target DNA from the spiked filters, suggesting at least a 100-fold loss of target DNA during extraction, whereas the custom cDynabead method consistently yielded DNA sufficient for target detection.