Rationale and protocol of the ENGAGE study: a double-blind randomized controlled preference trial using a comprehensive cohort design to measure the effect of a cognitive and leisure-based intervention in older adults with a memory complaint.

BACKGROUND: Leisure activities can be both enjoyable and cognitively stimulating, and participation in such activities has been associated with reduced age-related cognitive decline. Thus, integrating stimulating leisure activities in cognitive training programs may represent a powerful and innovative approach to promote cognition in older adults at risk of dementia. The ENGAGE study is a randomized controlled, double-blind preference trial with a comprehensive cohort design that will test the efficacy and long-term impact of an intervention that combines cognitive training and cognitively stimulating leisure activities. METHODS: One hundred and forty-four older adults with a memory complaint will be recruited in Montreal and Toronto. A particular effort will be made to reach persons with low cognitive reserve. Participants will be randomly assigned to one of two conditions: cognitive + leisure training (ENGAGE-MUSIC/SPANISH) or active control (ENGAGE-DISCOVERY). The ENGAGE-MUSIC/SPANISH training will include teaching of mnemonic and attentional control strategies, casual videogames selected to train attention, and classes in music or Spanish as a second language. The ENGAGE-DISCOVERY condition will comprise psychoeducation on cognition and the brain, low-stimulating casual videogames and documentary viewing with discussions. To retain the leisure aspect of the activities, participants will be allowed to exclude either music or Spanish at study entry if they strongly dislike one of these activities. Participants randomized to ENGAGE-MUSIC/SPANISH who did not exclude any activity will be assigned to music or Spanish based on a second random assignment. Training will be provided in 24 2-h sessions over 4 months. Outcomes will be measured at baseline, at 4-month follow-up, and at 24-month follow-up. The primary outcome will be cognitive performance on a composite measure of episodic memory (delayed recall scores for words and face-name associations) measured at baseline and at the 4-month follow-up. Secondary outcomes will include a composite measure of attention (speed of processing, inhibition, dual tasking, and shifting), psychological health, activities of daily living, and brain structure and function and long-term maintenance measured at the 24-month follow-up. Information on cognitive reserve proxies (education and lifestyle questionnaires), sex and genotype (apolipoprotein (Apo)E4, brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), and catechol-O-methyltransferase (COMT)) will be collected and considered as moderators of training efficacy. DISCUSSION: This study will test whether a program combining cognitive training with stimulating leisure activities can increase cognition and reduce cognitive decline in persons at risk of dementia. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03271190 . Registered on 5 September 2017.

An international study of the quality of national-level guidelines on driving with medical illness.

BACKGROUND: Medical illnesses are associated with a modest increase in crash risk, although many individuals with acute or chronic conditions may remain safe to drive, or pose only temporary risks. Despite the extensive use of national guidelines about driving with medical illness, the quality of these guidelines has not been formally appraised. AIM: To systematically evaluate the quality of selected national guidelines about driving with medical illness. DESIGN: A literature search of bibliographic databases and Internet resources was conducted to identify the guidelines, each of which was formally appraised. METHODS: Eighteen physicians or researchers from Canada, Australia, Ireland, USA and UK appraised nine national guidelines, applying the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation (AGREE II) instrument. RESULTS: Relative strengths were found in AGREE II scores for the domains of scope and purpose, stakeholder involvement and clarity of presentation. However, all guidelines were given low ratings on rigour of development, applicability and documentation of editorial independence. Overall quality ratings ranged from 2.25 to 5.00 out of 7.00, with modifications recommended for 7 of the guidelines. Intra-class coefficients demonstrated fair to excellent appraiser agreement (0.57-0.79). CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the first systematic evaluation of national-level guidelines for determining medical fitness to drive. There is substantive variability in the quality of these guidelines, and rigour of development was a relative weakness. There is a need for rigorous, empirically derived guidance for physicians and licensing authorities when assessing driving in the medically ill.

Changes in bone mineral density in men starting androgen deprivation therapy and the protective role of vitamin D.

SUMMARY: Androgen deprivation therapy in 80 men was associated with declines in bone mineral density (BMD), which were greatest in the first year, and in the lumbar spine compared to controls. Vitamin D use was associated with improved BMD in the lumbar spine and in the first year. INTRODUCTION: Decreased BMD is a common side effect of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), leading to increased risk of fractures. Although loss of BMD appears to be greatest within the first year of starting ADT, there are few long-term studies of change in BMD, and risk factors for bone loss are not well-characterized. METHODS: Men aged 50+ with nonmetastatic prostate cancer starting continuous ADT were enrolled in a prospective longitudinal study. BMD was determined by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry at baseline and yearly for 3 years. Matched controls were men with prostate cancer not receiving ADT. Multivariable regression analysis examined predictors of BMD loss. RESULTS: Eighty ADT users and 80 controls were enrolled (mean age 69 years); 52.5 % had osteopenia and 8.1 % had osteoporosis at baseline. After 1 year, in adjusted models, ADT was associated with significant losses in lumbar spine BMD compared to controls (-2.57 %, p = 0.006), with a trend towards greater declines at the total hip (p = 0.09). BMD changes in years 2 and 3 were much smaller and not statistically different from controls. Use of vitamin D but not calcium was associated with improved BMD in the lumbar spine in year 1 (+6.19 %, p < 0.001) with smaller nonsignificant increases at other sites (+0.86 % femoral neck, +0.86 % total hip, p > 0.10) primarily in the first year. CONCLUSIONS: Loss of BMD associated with ADT is greatest at the lumbar spine and in the first year. Vitamin D but not calcium may be protective particularly in the first year of ADT use.

Roles of Education and IQ in Cognitive Reserve in Parkinson's Disease-Mild Cognitive Impairment.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The role of cognitive reserve in Parkinson's disease (PD)-mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is incompletely understood. METHODS: The relationships between PD-MCI, years of education, and estimated premorbid IQ were examined in 119 consecutive non-demented PD patients using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Higher education and IQ were associated with reduced odds of PD-MCI in univariate analysis. In multivariable analysis, a higher IQ was associated with a significantly decreased odds of PD-MCI, but education was not. CONCLUSION: The association of higher IQ and decreased odds of PD-MCI supports a role for cognitive reserve in PD, but further studies are needed to clarify the interaction of IQ and education and the impact of other contributors such as employment and hobbies.

Levels of sex hormones have limited effect on cognition in older men with or without prostate cancer.

Androgen deprivation therapy is commonly used to treat prostate cancer, but by lowering testosterone levels it may affect cognitive function. However, the relationship between testosterone and cognition remains unclear. We examined the relationship between sex hormones (total testosterone, bioavailable testosterone, and estradiol) and cognition in a cross-sectional study of 198 older men (mean age 69.2 years, median education 16 years) with and without prostate cancer, none of who had started androgen deprivation therapy. We found relationships between total testosterone and two of four measures of working memory. Similar relationships were found in regression analyses adjusted for age and education with both total testosterone and estradiol. Neither hormone was related to other cognitive domains, nor was bioavailable testosterone level. Although cognitive function was not generally related to sex hormone levels in older men, there may be a weak association with working memory. These results may help guide future studies.

Utility and health-related quality of life in prostate cancer patients 12 months after radical prostatectomy or radiation therapy.

This study aims to examine and compare changes in quality of life after two common treatments for prostate cancer (PC), radical prostatectomy (RP) and radiation therapy (RT). Patients newly diagnosed with localized PC, scheduled to receive RP (n=68) or RT (n=66), completed three cancer/PC-specific psychometric instruments and three PC-specific utility instruments before treatment, and 2 and 12 months after treatment. We assessed the magnitude and time course of changes in psychometric and utility measures, and differences between treatments. The results showed that RP was associated with significant urinary and sexual dysfunction; RT caused bowel problems. Fatigue and pain were common to both. RP patients reported more problems with physical, role and social function. Utilities decreased significantly after both treatments. Effects were most severe 2 months post treatment, and then showed some recovery, but many endured for 1 year. After 1 year, 30-60% of patients had utility scores that were clinically significantly worse than at baseline. Secondary androgen deprivation therapy also significantly decreased psychometric and utility measures of quality of life. Many adverse symptoms reported 2 months after RP and RT endure for 1 year. Despite different symptom profiles, RP and RT result in similar utility decrements.

Risk factors for red cell transfusion in adults undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Identifying factors that can predict adults at high risk of receiving red blood cell transfusion during coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery may aid in more efficient blood banking practices and may tailor blood conservation strategies for these adult patients. The objective was to identify clinical factors associated with increased red cell transfusion in adults undergoing CABG surgery. METHODS: A systematic review of the MEDLINE and HealthSTAR databases from 1966 to December 2005 was conducted. Citations containing the medical subject heading or textwords 'coronary artery bypass graft', 'CABG' and 'cardiovascular surgery' were combined with the medical subject headings or textwords 'transfusion' and 'blood transfusion'. RESULTS: A total of 2461 abstracts were retrieved. Twenty-one studies met the inclusion/exclusion criteria. Transfusion rates ranged from 7 to 97%. Several variables were identified that were associated with increased red cell transfusion rates including older age, female sex, low haemoglobin concentration or haematocrit value, renal insufficiency and urgent/emergent surgery. The strongest risk factor was the urgency of surgery (urgent or emergent surgery), which was associated with a 4x to 8x increase in transfusion rates compared to elective surgery. Increasing age and female sex increased the likelihood of transfusion by 1x to 3x and 2x, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing patient age, female sex, lower preoperative haemoglobin levels, as well as the urgency of the CABG surgery were associated with higher transfusion rates. Identifying risk factors for transfusion may allow for targeted use of blood conservation strategies, improved efficiency in blood utilization and informing adults at risk of transfusion.

Survival in Parkinson disease: thirteen-year follow-up of the DATATOP cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate predictors of survival in Parkinson disease (PD). METHODS: Vital status was determined in 800 subjects enrolled in a clinical trial of deprenyl (selegiline) and tocopherol 13 years earlier. RESULTS: Two hundred ninety-six deaths were recorded. There was no difference in the standardized mortality ratios across gender or age group. In univariate analyses, PD-specific variables associated with mortality were increased symmetry of parkinsonism, gait dysfunction as an initial symptom, severity of parkinsonism, and rate of worsening of parkinsonism prior to study enrollment. Cumulative exposure to deprenyl was not associated with mortality. In multivariable analysis, severity of parkinsonism and rate of worsening of parkinsonism remained associated with mortality. A poorer response to levodopa was associated with increased mortality independent of disease severity or dosage of levodopa. Results were unchanged when the analysis was restricted to 747 subjects maintaining a most likely diagnosis of PD throughout 6 years of active follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Parkinson disease did not affect survival differently across gender or age groups in this selected group of otherwise healthy clinical trial participants. Severity and rate of worsening of parkinsonism and response to levodopa are strongly related to survival.

Medication lists for elderly patients: clinic-derived versus in-home inspection and interview.

OBJECTIVE: To determine how often the lists of regular medications derived in geriatric clinics by examination of "medication bags" and interview matched those found during in-home inspections and interviews. DESIGN: Prospective cross-sectional study. SETTING: Geriatric clinics at three university-affiliated hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive community-dwelling outpatients 65 years or older who were newly referred. METHODS: The in-home medication inspection used a semistructured interview followed by a room-to-room search. The medications identified in the home were compared with the medication list derived in clinic by examination of the "medication bag" and interview. MAIN RESULTS: Fifty patients with a mean age of 78.9 years participated. The mean number of regular medications (prescription and nonprescription) was 6.3, and the mean number of regular prescription medications was 3.6. A comparison of clinic versus in-home medication lists revealed that 48% (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 34% to 62%) of patients had at least 1 omission of any regular medication and 19% (95%, CI 10% to 32%) of patients had at least 1 omission of a regular prescription medication. CONCLUSION: The clinic-derived medication list resulted in a complete listing of all regular medications in only 52% taking regular medications. More specific instructions to patients to bring all prescription and nonprescription medications and all vitamins, herbal, and natural remedies, and more directed questions by physicians may result in more complete clinic medication lists.

The use of medications for cognitive enhancement.

OBJECTIVE: To provide Canadian physicians and allied health care professionals with the evidence they need to help them make treatment decisions in the management of patients with Alzheimer's disease or other dementias. OPTIONS: The full range and quality of diagnostic and therapeutic modalities available to Canadian physicians for the management of dementia. OUTCOMES: Improvement in the treatment of dementias, leading to reduced suffering, increased functional capacity and decreased economic burden. EVIDENCE AND VALUES: The creation of these evidence-based consensus statements involved literature reviews of the subject by the authors; comparison of alternative clinical pathways and description of the methods whereby published data were analyzed; definition of the level of evidence for data in each case; evaluation and revision in a conference setting (involving primary care physicians, neurologists, psychiatrists, geriatricians, psychologists, consumers and other interested parties); insertion of tables showing key variables and data from various studies and tables of data with recommendations; and reassessment by all authors. BENEFITS, HARMS, AND COSTS: A rational plan for the therapy of dementias is likely to lead to substantial benefits in both human and economic terms. RECOMMENDATIONS: Treatment decisions should be made taking into account the severity or stage of the disease, the availability of caregivers, the presence of disease affecting other bodily systems and the ability of the subject to pay the cost of the medications. Donepezil is considered to have positive effects upon certain tests of neuropsychological function and may produce some improvement in Alzheimer's disease of mild to moderate severity as measured by rating scales. Its ability to improve quality of life remains uncertain. No other drug treatments (apart from symptomatic therapies) are at present approved for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease*. VALIDATION: These recommendations were created by a writing committee, evaluated and revised at a consensus conference and further reviewed and revised by the writing committee prior to publication.

Initial bone marrow aspiration in childhood idiopathic thrombocytopenia: decision analysis.

PURPOSE: Bone marrow aspiration (BMA) is routinely performed before starting steroid therapy in children with idiopathic thrombocytopenia, primarily to rule out leukemia. METHODS: A decision tree for the initial management of a child older than age 6 months, presenting with idiopathic thrombocytopenia, without blasts on the peripheral smear was constructed. The three strategies are: 1) initial BMA in all patients; 2) initial BMA only in patients at high risk; and 3) empiric therapy for all patients without initial BMA. High-risk criteria include any of: platelet count >50 x 10(9)/L; hemoglobin <100 g/L (age younger than 12 months) or <110 g/L (age older than 12 months): white blood cell count <5 x 10(9)/L (younger than 6 years) or <4 x 10(9)/L (older than 6 years); or absolute neutrophil count <1.5 x 10(9)/L (younger than 6 years) or <2 x 10(9)/L (older than 6 years). The results are expressed as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), a measure that estimates the overall life expectancy in years for patients receiving a particular treatment strategy, corrected for the patient's quality of life. RESULTS: The base case results are: 1) BMA all = 69.649 QALYs; 2) high-risk BMA = 69.652 QALYs; and 3) empiric therapy = 69.644 QALYs. These results indicate a three-way toss-up because there is less than a 4-day quality-adjusted difference (0.01) between strategies. CONCLUSION: This study indicates that the initial BMA does not significantly change the overall QALYs of a child presenting with thrombocytopenia and, consequently, is not mandatory in every patient before starting steroids.

Construction of the Patient-Oriented Prostate Utility Scale (PORPUS): a multiattribute health state classification system for prostate cancer.

Health status indexes, such as the EuroQol, consist of a health state classification system and a set of utility weights. Indexes measure quality of life using a 0-1 utility score. Utilities for outcomes in prostate cancer (PC) are of unique importance, but generic indexes do not represent PC outcomes (e.g., sexual, urinary, bowel dysfunction) well, and may not capture their full impact. As a step toward improved utility measurement, we constructed a classification system for PC. We generated items for each of six health domains and rated their importance using interviews with 10 clinical experts and 80 patients. Key concepts were selected for each domain using item importance weightings, and a set of predetermined criteria. Text was developed to express levels of severity within each domain. Experts and two additional groups of patients (n = 40, n = 96) evaluated textual clarity and endorsed the content validity of the instrument. The final system consists of 10 domains with 4-6 levels each. The content validity of the system was endorsed by patients and experts. In conjunction with a set of utility weights, it may be used to develop a health status index, to improve utility measurement in patients, and to serve as a short psychometric (nonutility) instrument.

Predicting preterm birth: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of 9 strategies for the management of threatened preterm labor. STUDY DESIGN: We derived 6 management options from the literature. These were (1) to treat all women with tocolytics and corticosteroids ("treat all"); (2) to treat all women while awaiting results of the "traditional" fetal fibronectin test results, then discontinue treatment on those with negative results; (3) to treat only those with abnormal cervical length measurements as detected by ultrasonography; (4) to treat only those with abnormal "rapid" fetal fibronectin test results; (5) to perform rapid fetal fibronectin testing and cervical length measurements and treat those with a positive result on either or both; (6) not to treat any women ("treat none"). To assess the contributions of tocolytics and corticosteroids to our outcomes, we analyzed 3 additional treatment options: (7) to treat all women with outpatient corticosteroids but not give tocolytics, (8) to administer corticosteroids to all but give tocolytics only to those with abnormal rapid fetal fibronectin test results, and (9) to administer corticosteroids to all but give tocolytics only to those with abnormal cervical length. We used decision analytic techniques to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis. RESULTS: A decision tree was constructed on the basis of these strategies. We reviewed the literature to derive all probability information. We derived sensitivity and specificity for delivery <37 weeks for fetal fibronectin and for abnormal cervical length. Outcomes of interest were respiratory distress syndrome and neonatal death. We derived cost variables from institutional statistics and from values quoted in the literature. Total costs, cases of respiratory distress syndrome, neonatal deaths, and cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for each of the strategies. We conducted sensitivity analyses on all variables. Universal administration of outpatient corticosteroids was the least expensive option, but it resulted in more cases of respiratory distress syndrome and deaths than "treat all." Rapid fetal fibronectin plus corticosteroids, traditional fetal fibronectin, and cervical length plus corticosteroids were the next least expensive options and resulted in numbers of cases of respiratory distress syndrome and deaths that were similar to those in the "treat all" strategy. The "rapid" fetal fibronectin test, cervical length measurement, rapid fetal fibronectin test plus cervical length measurement, and "treat none" strategies resulted in more respiratory distress syndrome, more deaths, and higher costs. Treating all patients resulted in the fewest number of cases of respiratory distress syndrome and deaths but the greatest costs. CONCLUSION: Risk prediction strategies with the fetal fibronectin assay or corticosteroids plus rapid fetal fibronectin testing or cervical length assessment may offer cost savings compared with treatment of all women with threatened preterm labor and may prevent similar numbers of cases of respiratory distress syndrome and neonatal deaths.

Preventive care for the elderly. Do family physicians comply with recommendations of the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care?

OBJECTIVE: To assess to what extent family physicians perform the maneuvers for elderly patients recommended by the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care (CTF), and to compare physicians' performance among patients who had structured periodic health examinations with performance among those who did not. DESIGN: Retrospective chart audit. SETTING: Family practice unit in a secondary care, university-affiliated hospital in Toronto, Ont. PARTICIPANTS: Records of 136 community-dwelling patients aged 70 and older. Of 340 randomly selected charts, 108 were excluded and 51 were inaccessible; 100 had had PHEs, and a random sample of 36 who had attended the clinic three or more times was chosen from the remaining 81 [corrected]. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of patients who received the recommended screening maneuvers. RESULTS: Charts were audited for 100 patients who had structured periodic health examinations and 36 who did not but who attended the clinic three or more times during an 18-month period. Screening rates among patients who had structured examinations ranged from 28% of patients screened for hearing impairment to 100% screened for hypertension. Patients who did not have structured examinations were significantly less likely to receive screening maneuvers. CONCLUSIONS: Screening rates were below desirable levels in patients older than 70 years. Screening during structured health examinations seems to be more effective than opportunistic screening for patients 70 and older.

Medication education of acutely hospitalized older patients.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the amount of time spent providing medication education to older patients, the impact of medication education on patients' knowledge and satisfaction, and barriers to providing medication education. DESIGN: Telephone survey of patients within 48 hours of hospital discharge and direct survey of physicians and pharmacists. SETTING: Internal medicine ward in a tertiary care teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Patients 65 years of age and over regularly taking at least one medication. MEASUREMENTS: Patient demographics, medication use, time spent receiving or providing medication education, and satisfaction scores. MAIN RESULTS: Forty-seven respondents with a mean age of 77.1 years reported that physicians spent a mean of 10.5 minutes (range, 0-60 minutes) and pharmacists spent a mean of 5.3 minutes (range, 0-40 minutes) providing medication education. Fifty-one percent reported receiving no education from either physician or pharmacist, and only 30% reported receiving written medication instructions. Respondents were generally quite satisfied with their education. Physicians identified one or more barriers to providing education 51% of the time and pharmacists 80%. Lack of time was the most common barrier (18%) identified by physicians, but pharmacists cited lack of notification of discharge plans (41%) and lack of time (39%) as the main barriers. Respondents made many medication errors and knew little about their medications. CONCLUSIONS: Although older hospitalized patients received little medication education or written information and made many medication errors with and without medication education, approximately one half of physicians perceived no barriers to providing education.

Direct costs of coronary artery bypass grafting in patients aged 65 years or more and those under age 65.

BACKGROUND: Over the past 20 years, there have been marked increases in rates of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) among older people in Canada. The objectives of this study were to accurately estimate the direct medical costs of CABG in older patients (age 65 years or more) and to compare CABG costs for this age group with those for patients less than 65 years of age. METHODS: Direct medical costs were estimated from a sample of 205 older and 202 younger patients with triple-vessel or left main coronary artery disease who underwent isolated CABG at The Toronto Hospital, a tertiary care university-affiliated hospital, between Apr. 1, 1991, and Mar. 31, 1992. Costs are expressed in 1992 Canadian dollars from a third-party payer perspective. RESULTS: The mean costs of CABG in older and younger patients respectively were $16,500 and $15,600 for elective, uncomplicated cases, $23,200 and $19,200 for nonelective, uncomplicated cases, $29,200 and $20,300 for elective, complicated cases, and $33,600 and $23,700 for nonelective, complicated cases. Age remained a significant determinant of costs after adjustment for severity of heart disease and for comorbidity. Between 59% and 91% of the cost difference between older and younger patients was accounted for by higher intensive care unit and ward costs. INTERPRETATION: CABG was more costly in older people, especially in complicated cases, even after an attempt to adjust for severity of disease and comorbidity. Future studies should attempt to identify modifiable factors that contribute to longer intensive care and ward stays for older patients.

Assessment of patient capacity to consent to treatment.

OBJECTIVE: To compare results of a specific capacity assessment administered by the treating clinician, and a Standardized Mini-Mental Status Examination (SMMSE), with the results of expert assessments of patient capacity to consent to treatment. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study with independent comparison to expert capacity assessments. SETTING: Inpatient medical wards at an academic secondary and tertiary referral hospital. PARTICIPANTS: One hundred consecutive inpatients facing a decision about a major medical treatment or an invasive medical procedure. Participants either were refusing treatment, or were accepting treatment but were not clearly capable according to the treating clinician. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The treating clinician (medical resident or student) conducted a specific capacity assessment on each participant, using a decisional aid called the Aid to Capacity Evaluation. A specific capacity assessment is a semistructured evaluation of the participant's ability to understand relevant information and appreciate reasonably foreseeable consequences with regard to the specific treatment decision. Participants also received a SMMSE administered by a research nurse. Participants then had two independent expert assessments of capacity. If the two expert assessments disagreed, then an independent adjudication panel resolved the disagreement after reviewing videotapes of both expert assessments. Using the two expert assessments and the adjudication panel as the reference standard, we calculated areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves and likelihood ratios. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves were 0.90 for specific capacity assessment by treating clinician and 0.93 for SMMSE score (2p =.48). For the treating clinician's specific capacity assessment, likelihood ratios for detecting incapacity were as follows: definitely incapable, 20 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3. 6, 120); probably incapable, 6.1 (95% CI 2.6, 15); probably capable, 0.39 (95% CI 0.18, 0.81); and definitely capable, 0.05 (95% CI 0.01, 0.29). For the SMMSE, a score of 0 to 16 had a likelihood ratio of 15 (95% CI 5.3, 44), a score of 17 to 23 had a likelihood ratio of 0. 68 (95% CI 0.35, 1.2), and a score of 24 to 30 had a likelihood ratio of 0.05 (95% CI 0.01, 0.26). CONCLUSIONS: Specific capacity assessments by the treating clinician and SMMSE scores agree closely with results of expert assessments of capacity. Clinicians can use these practical, flexible, and evaluated measures as the initial step in the assessment of patient capacity to consent to treatment.

Quality of life of stroke in younger individuals. Utility assessment in patients with arteriovenous malformations.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Patients with arteriovenous malformations are younger individuals who are at risk of a stroke or have experienced one. Our objective was to determine these patients' perceptions of quality of life with a stroke by eliciting utility values. METHODS: Utility values were obtained with the standard gamble technique. Utilities are a holistic, quality of life measure between 0 and 1. We evaluated the patients' current health state and written descriptions of major and minor stroke. RESULTS: Thirty-one consecutive outpatients participated. The mean age was 37 years (range, 18 to 57 years). Approximately 65% had suffered a stroke, of which 55% were major. Approximately 61% had a persistent deficit. The mean utilities were 0.45 for major stroke (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33 to 0.56; range, 0.00 to 1.00), 0.81 for minor stroke (95% CI, 0.75 to 0.88; range, 0.30 to 1.00), and 0.81 for current health (95% CI, 0.73 to 0.89; range, 0.01 to 1.00). Subgroup analyses by demographic and clinical characteristics showed no significant differences. However, in both those patients who had never had a stroke and those who had survived a major stroke, values for the major stroke scenario were clustered at the two extremes. Among those with a current deficit, 79% preferred their own health state to that of the stroke scenario that was similar in severity. CONCLUSIONS: Younger people who have had a stroke or are at risk demonstrate wide variations in their perception of quality of life. Furthermore, patients tend to be more risk averse with their own lives than with theoretical scenarios. We suggest tailoring medical decision making to individual preferences.

Primer on medical decision analysis: Part 3--Estimating probabilities and utilities.

This paper describes how to estimate probabilities and outcome values for decision trees. Probabilities are usually derived from published studies, but occasionally are derived from existing databases, primary data collection, or expert judgment. Outcome values represent quantitative estimates of the desirability of the outcome states, and are often expressed as utility values between 0 and 1. Utility values for different health states can be derived from the published literature, from direct measurement in appropriate subjects, or from expert opinion. Methods for assigning utilities to complex outcome states are described, and the concept of quality-adjusted life years is introduced.