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1.
Diabetologia ; 67(5): 822-836, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38388753

ABSTRACT

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: A precision medicine approach in type 2 diabetes could enhance targeting specific glucose-lowering therapies to individual patients most likely to benefit. We aimed to use the recently developed Bayesian causal forest (BCF) method to develop and validate an individualised treatment selection algorithm for two major type 2 diabetes drug classes, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA). METHODS: We designed a predictive algorithm using BCF to estimate individual-level conditional average treatment effects for 12-month glycaemic outcome (HbA1c) between SGLT2i and GLP1-RA, based on routine clinical features of 46,394 people with type 2 diabetes in primary care in England (Clinical Practice Research Datalink; 27,319 for model development, 19,075 for hold-out validation), with additional external validation in 2252 people with type 2 diabetes from Scotland (SCI-Diabetes [Tayside & Fife]). Differences in glycaemic outcome with GLP1-RA by sex seen in clinical data were replicated in clinical trial data (HARMONY programme: liraglutide [n=389] and albiglutide [n=1682]). As secondary outcomes, we evaluated the impacts of targeting therapy based on glycaemic response on weight change, tolerability and longer-term risk of new-onset microvascular complications, macrovascular complications and adverse kidney events. RESULTS: Model development identified marked heterogeneity in glycaemic response, with 4787 (17.5%) of the development cohort having a predicted HbA1c benefit >3 mmol/mol (>0.3%) with SGLT2i over GLP1-RA and 5551 (20.3%) having a predicted HbA1c benefit >3 mmol/mol with GLP1-RA over SGLT2i. Calibration was good in hold-back validation, and external validation in an independent Scottish dataset identified clear differences in glycaemic outcomes between those predicted to benefit from each therapy. Sex, with women markedly more responsive to GLP1-RA, was identified as a major treatment effect modifier in both the UK observational datasets and in clinical trial data: HARMONY-7 liraglutide (GLP1-RA): 4.4 mmol/mol (95% credible interval [95% CrI] 2.2, 6.3) (0.4% [95% CrI 0.2, 0.6]) greater response in women than men. Targeting the two therapies based on predicted glycaemic response was also associated with improvements in short-term tolerability and long-term risk of new-onset microvascular complications. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Precision medicine approaches can facilitate effective individualised treatment choice between SGLT2i and GLP1-RA therapies, and the use of routinely collected clinical features for treatment selection could support low-cost deployment in many countries.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors , Male , Humans , Female , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors/pharmacology , Hypoglycemic Agents/adverse effects , Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists , Liraglutide/therapeutic use , Bayes Theorem , Glucose , Phenotype , Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor
2.
Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol ; 12(2): 119-131, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38142707

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Heterogeneity in type 2 diabetes can be represented by a tree-like graph structure by use of reversed graph-embedded dimensionality reduction. We aimed to examine whether this approach can be used to stratify key pathophysiological components and diabetes-related complications during longitudinal follow-up of individuals with recent-onset type 2 diabetes. METHODS: For this cohort analysis, 927 participants aged 18-69 years from the German Diabetes Study (GDS) with recent-onset type 2 diabetes were mapped onto a previously developed two-dimensional tree based on nine simple clinical and laboratory variables, residualised for age and sex. Insulin sensitivity was assessed by a hyperinsulinaemic-euglycaemic clamp, insulin secretion was assessed by intravenous glucose tolerance test, hepatic lipid content was assessed by 1 H magnetic resonance spectroscopy, serum interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-18 were assessed by ELISA, and peripheral and autonomic neuropathy were assessed by functional and clinical measures. Participants were followed up for up to 16 years. We also investigated heart failure and all-cause mortality in 794 individuals with type 2 diabetes undergoing invasive coronary diagnostics from the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) cohort. FINDINGS: There were gradients of clamp-measured insulin sensitivity (both dimensions: p<0·0001) and insulin secretion (pdim1<0·0001, pdim2=0·00097) across the tree. Individuals in the region with the lowest insulin sensitivity had the highest hepatic lipid content (n=205, pdim1<0·0001, pdim2=0·037), pro-inflammatory biomarkers (IL-6: n=348, pdim1<0·0001, pdim2=0·013; IL-18: n=350, pdim1<0·0001, pdim2=0·38), and elevated cardiovascular risk (nevents=143, pdim1=0·14, pdim2<0·00081), whereas individuals positioned in the branch with the lowest insulin secretion were more prone to require insulin therapy (nevents=85, pdim1=0·032, pdim2=0·12) and had the highest risk of diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy (nevents=184, pdim1=0·012, pdim2=0·044) and cardiac autonomic neuropathy (nevents=118, pdim1=0·0094, pdim2=0·06). In the LURIC cohort, all-cause mortality was highest in the tree branch showing insulin resistance (nevents=488, pdim1=0·12, pdim2=0·0032). Significant gradients differentiated individuals having heart failure with preserved ejection fraction from those who had heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. INTERPRETATION: These data define the pathophysiological underpinnings of the tree structure, which has the potential to stratify diabetes-related complications on the basis of routinely available variables and thereby expand the toolbox of precision diabetes diagnosis. FUNDING: German Diabetes Center, German Federal Ministry of Health, Ministry of Culture and Science of the state of North Rhine-Westphalia, German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, German Diabetes Association, German Center for Diabetes Research, European Community, German Research Foundation, and Schmutzler Stiftung.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Heart Failure , Insulin Resistance , Humans , Interleukin-18 , Prospective Studies , Insulin/therapeutic use , Lipids
3.
BMC Med ; 21(1): 304, 2023 08 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37563596

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a major sight-threatening microvascular complication in individuals with diabetes. Systemic inflammation combined with oxidative stress is thought to capture most of the complexities involved in the pathology of diabetic retinopathy. A high level of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an indicator of abnormal immune system activity. Current estimates of the association of NLR with diabetes and its complications are almost entirely derived from cross-sectional studies, suggesting that the nature of the reported association may be more diagnostic than prognostic. Therefore, in the present study, we examined the utility of NLR as a biomarker to predict the incidence of DR in the Scottish population. METHODS: The incidence of DR was defined as the time to the first diagnosis of R1 or above grade in the Scottish retinopathy grading scheme from type 2 diabetes diagnosis. The effect of NLR and its interactions were explored using a competing risks survival model adjusting for other risk factors and accounting for deaths. The Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard model (FGR) was used to predict the effect of NLR on the incidence of DR. RESULTS: We analysed data from 23,531 individuals with complete covariate information. At 10 years, 8416 (35.8%) had developed DR and 2989 (12.7%) were lost to competing events (death) without developing DR and 12,126 individuals did not have DR. The median (interquartile range) level of NLR was 2.04 (1.5 to 2.7). The optimal NLR cut-off value to predict retinopathy incidence was 3.04. After accounting for competing risks at 10 years, the cumulative incidence of DR and deaths without DR were 50.7% and 21.9%, respectively. NLR was associated with incident DR in both Cause-specific hazard (CSH = 1.63; 95% CI: 1.28-2.07) and FGR models the subdistribution hazard (sHR = 2.24; 95% CI: 1.70-2.94). Both age and HbA1c were found to modulate the association between NLR and the risk of DR. CONCLUSIONS: The current study suggests that NLR has a promising potential to predict DR incidence in the Scottish population, especially in individuals less than 65 years and in those with well-controlled glycaemic status.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Diabetic Retinopathy , Humans , Diabetic Retinopathy/diagnosis , Diabetic Retinopathy/epidemiology , Neutrophils , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Incidence , Cross-Sectional Studies , Lymphocytes/pathology , Risk Factors , Scotland/epidemiology
4.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 10: 1074700, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37034342

ABSTRACT

Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) is an integral factor in the initiation of the innate immune response and plays an important role in cardiovascular diseases such as hypertension and myocardial infarction. Previous studies from our lab demonstrated that central TLR4 blockade reduced cardiac TLR4 expression, attenuated hypertension, and improved cardiac function. However, the contribution of cardiac specific TLR4 to the development of hypertension and cardiac remodeling is unknown. Therefore, we hypothesized that cardiomyocyte specific knockdown of TLR4 would have beneficial effects on hypertension, cardiac hypertrophy, and remodeling. To test this hypothesis, cardiomyocyte-specific TLR4 knockdown (cTLR4KO) mice were generated by crossing floxed TLR4 mice with Myh6-Cre mice, and subjected to angiotensin II (Ang II, 1 µg/kg/min or vehicle for 14 days) hypertension model. Blood pressure measurements using radio telemetry revealed no differences in baseline mean arterial pressure between control littermates and cTLR4KO mice (103 ± 2 vs. 105 ± 3 mmHg, p > 0.05). Ang II-induced hypertension (132 ± 2 vs. 151 ± 3 mmHg, p < 0.01) was attenuated and cardiac hypertrophy (heart/body weight; 4.7 vs. 5.8 mg/g, p < 0.01) was prevented in cTLR4KO mice when compared with control mice. In addition, the level of myocardial fibrosis was significantly reduced, and the cardiac function was improved in cTLR4KO mice infused with Ang II. Furthermore, cardiac inflammation, as evidenced by elevated gene expression of TNF, IL-6, and MCP-1 in the left ventricle, was attenuated in cTLR4KO mice infused with Ang II. Together, this data revealed a protective role for cardiomyocyte-specific deletion of TLR4 against Ang II-induced hypertension and cardiac dysfunction through inhibition of proinflammatory cytokines.

5.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 6394, 2022 10 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36302906

ABSTRACT

Sudden blockage of arteries supplying the heart muscle contributes to millions of heart attacks (myocardial infarction, MI) around the world. Although re-opening these arteries (reperfusion) saves MI patients from immediate death, approximately 50% of these patients go on to develop chronic heart failure (CHF) and die within a 5-year period; however, why some patients accelerate towards CHF while others do not remains unclear. Here we show, using large animal models of reperfused MI, that intramyocardial hemorrhage - the most damaging form of reperfusion injury (evident in nearly 40% of reperfused ST-elevation MI patients) - drives delayed infarct healing and is centrally responsible for continuous fatty degeneration of the infarcted myocardium contributing to adverse remodeling of the heart. Specifically, we show that the fatty degeneration of the hemorrhagic MI zone stems from iron-induced macrophage activation, lipid peroxidation, foam cell formation, ceroid production, foam cell apoptosis and iron recycling. We also demonstrate that timely reduction of iron within the hemorrhagic MI zone reduces fatty infiltration and directs the heart towards favorable remodeling. Collectively, our findings elucidate why some, but not all, MIs are destined to CHF and help define a potential therapeutic strategy to mitigate post-MI CHF independent of MI size.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Myocardial Infarction , Animals , Myocardium , Myocardial Infarction/complications , Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Hemorrhage , Heart , Heart Failure/etiology , Iron , Ventricular Remodeling , Disease Models, Animal
6.
Nat Med ; 28(5): 982-988, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35534565

ABSTRACT

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a complex chronic disease characterized by considerable phenotypic heterogeneity. In this study, we applied a reverse graph embedding method to routinely collected data from 23,137 Scottish patients with newly diagnosed diabetes to visualize this heterogeneity and used partitioned diabetes polygenic risk scores to gain insight into the underlying biological processes. Overlaying risk of progression to outcomes of insulin requirement, chronic kidney disease, referable diabetic retinopathy and major adverse cardiovascular events, we show how these risks differ by patient phenotype. For example, patients at risk of retinopathy are phenotypically different from those at risk of cardiovascular events. We replicated our findings in the UK Biobank and the ADOPT clinical trial, also showing that the pattern of diabetes drug monotherapy response differs for different drugs. Overall, our analysis highlights how, in a European population, underlying phenotypic variation drives T2D onset and affects subsequent diabetes outcomes and drug response, demonstrating the need to incorporate these factors into personalized treatment approaches for the management of T2D.


Subject(s)
Biological Phenomena , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Diabetic Retinopathy , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/genetics , Diabetic Retinopathy/diagnosis , Disease Progression , Humans , Phenotype
7.
Function (Oxf) ; 3(3): zqac017, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35493997

ABSTRACT

Human hypertension caused by in-frame deletion of CULLIN3 exon-9 (Cul3∆9) is driven by renal and vascular mechanisms. We bred conditionally activatable Cul3∆9 transgenic mice with tamoxifen-inducible Tie2-CREERT2 mice to test the importance of endothelial Cul3. The resultant mice (E-Cul3∆9) trended towards elevated nighttime blood pressure (BP) correlated with increased nighttime activity, but displayed no difference in daytime BP or activity. Male and female E-Cul3∆9 mice together exhibited a decline in endothelial-dependent relaxation in carotid artery. Male but not female E-Cul3∆9 mice displayed severe endothelial dysfunction in cerebral basilar artery. There was no impairment in mesenteric artery and no difference in smooth muscle function, suggesting the effects of Cul3∆9 are arterial bed-specific and sex-dependent. Expression of Cul3∆9 in primary mouse aortic endothelial cells decreased endogenous Cul3 protein, phosphorylated (S1177) endothelial nitric oxide synthase (eNOS) and nitric oxide (NO) production. Protein phosphatase (PP) 2A, a known Cul3 substrate, dephosphorylates eNOS. Cul3∆9-induced impairment of eNOS activity was rescued by a selective PP2A inhibitor okadaic acid, but not by a PP1 inhibitor tautomycetin. Because NO deficiency contributes to salt-induced hypertension, we tested the salt-sensitivity of E-Cul3∆9 mice. While both male and female E-Cul3∆9 mice developed salt-induced hypertension and renal injury, the pressor effect of salt was greater in female mutants. The increased salt-sensitivity in female E-Cul3∆9 mice was associated with decreased renovascular relaxation and impaired natriuresis in response to a sodium load. Thus, CUL3 mutations in the endothelium may contribute to human hypertension in part through decreased endothelial NO bioavailability, renovascular dysfunction, and increased salt-sensitivity of BP.


Subject(s)
Hypertension , Vasodilation , Animals , Humans , Male , Mice , Endothelial Cells/metabolism , Endothelium/metabolism , Hypertension/chemically induced , Mice, Transgenic , Mutation , Nitric Oxide/adverse effects , Sodium Chloride/adverse effects , Sodium Chloride, Dietary/adverse effects , Female
8.
Omega ; 110: 102635, 2022 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35291412

ABSTRACT

This article investigates the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and their proactive mediation by adaptive operational decisions in different network design structures in anticipation of and during the pandemic. In generalized terms, we contribute to the understanding of the effect of preparedness and recovery decisions in a pandemic setting on supply chain operations and performance. In particular, we examine the impact of inventory pre-positioning in anticipation of a pandemic and the adaptation of production-ordering policy during the pandemic. Our model combines three levels, which is not often seen jointly in operations management literature, i.e., pandemic dynamics, supply chain design, and operational production-inventory control policies. The analysis is performed for both two- and three-stage supply chains and different scenarios for pandemic dynamics (i.e., uncontrolled propagation or controlled dispersal with lockdowns). Our findings suggest that two-stage supply chains exhibit a higher vulnerability in disruption cases. However, they are exposed to a lower system inertia and show positive effects at the recovery stage. Supply chain adaptation ahead of a pandemic is more advantageous than during the pandemic when specific operational recovery policies are deployed. We show that it is instructive to avoid simultaneous changes in structural network design and operational policies since that can destabilize the production-inventory system and result in higher product shortages.

9.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 79(1): 35-48, 2022 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34991787

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Reperfusion therapy for acute myocardial infarction (MI) is lifesaving. However, the benefit of reperfusion therapy can be paradoxically diminished by reperfusion injury, which can increase MI size. OBJECTIVES: Hemorrhage is known to occur in reperfused MIs, but whether hemorrhage plays a role in reperfusion-mediated MI expansion is not known. METHODS: We studied cardiac troponin kinetics (cTn) of ST-segment elevation MI patients (n = 70) classified by cardiovascular magnetic resonance to be hemorrhagic (70%) or nonhemorrhagic following primary percutaneous coronary intervention. To isolate the effects of hemorrhage from ischemic burden, we performed controlled canine studies (n = 25), and serially followed both cTn and MI size with time-lapse imaging. RESULTS: CTn was not different before reperfusion; however, an increase in cTn following primary percutaneous coronary intervention peaked earlier (12 hours vs 24 hours; P < 0.05) and was significantly higher in patients with hemorrhage (P < 0.01). In hemorrhagic animals, reperfusion led to rapid expansion of myocardial necrosis culminating in epicardial involvement, which was not present in nonhemorrhagic cases (P < 0.001). MI size and salvage were not different at 1 hour postreperfusion in animals with and without hemorrhage (P = 0.65). However, within 72 hours of reperfusion, a 4-fold greater loss in salvageable myocardium was evident in hemorrhagic MIs (P < 0.001). This paralleled observations in patients with larger MIs occurring in hemorrhagic cases (P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Myocardial hemorrhage is a determinant of MI size. It drives MI expansion after reperfusion and compromises myocardial salvage. This introduces a clinical role of hemorrhage in acute care management, risk assessment, and future therapeutics.


Subject(s)
Hemorrhage/diagnostic imaging , Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/diagnostic imaging , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/diagnostic imaging , Animals , Disease Models, Animal , Dogs , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cine , Myocardium/pathology , Necrosis , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , Positron-Emission Tomography , Prospective Studies , ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction/therapy , Salvage Therapy , Time-to-Treatment , Troponin/blood
10.
Med J Armed Forces India ; 77(4): 479-484, 2021 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34594079

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lifetime prevalence of Acute Appendicitis is about 6-7%.The seasonal variation is nearly an established fact with most of the studies suggesting that cases are more in summer and during the rainy season. There are few studies globally for evaluating the impact of altitude and temperature on the incidence of acute appendicitis. In India no such study has been reported. With this in view, a study was conducted on the incidence of acute appendicitis to evaluate the effect of absolute temperature in high altitudes >10000 ft. METHODS: Retrospective data collected for a period of five years from 2015 to 2019 for the three centres of Armed Forces, located at high altitude 10,500, 11,500 and 12,000 ft respectively and the three temperature categories viz.< 0 °C, 0-20 °C and >20 °C were made to infer if there is any correlation between these parameters. RESULTS: A total of 317 cases were operated in a period of 05 yrs at the three centres. In the three categories of temperature viz < 0 °C, 0-20 °C and >20 °C the total number of cases were 84,124 and 109 respectively over period of 5 yrs. The proportion of cases were maximum at altitude of 12000 ft. On evaluation of the effect of altitude and absolute temperature positive correlation is found. CONCLUSION: The analysis of the maiden study that was conducted for high altitude and extreme cold climate in India indicated a positive correlation of the altitude and the effect of absolute temperature on the occurrence of cases of Acute Appendicitis.

12.
Cardiovasc Res ; 117(1): 308-319, 2021 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32428209

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Salt-sensitive (SS) hypertension is accompanied by impaired vasodilation in the systemic and renal circulation. However, the causal relationship between vascular dysfunction and salt-induced hypertension remains controversial. We sought to determine whether primary vascular dysfunction, characterized by a failure to vasodilate during salt loading, plays a causal role in the pathogenesis of SS hypertension. METHODS AND RESULTS: Mice selectively expressing a peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ dominant-negative mutation in vascular smooth muscle (S-P467L) exhibited progressive SS hypertension during a 4 week high salt diet (HSD). This was associated with severely impaired vasodilation in systemic and renal vessels. Salt-induced impairment of vasodilation occurred as early as 3 days after HSD, which preceded the onset of SS hypertension. Notably, the overt salt-induced hypertension in S-P467L mice was not driven by higher cardiac output, implying elevations in peripheral vascular resistance. In keeping with this, HSD-fed S-P467L mice exhibited decreased smooth muscle responsiveness to nitric oxide (NO) in systemic vessels. HSD-fed S-P467L mice also exhibited elevated albuminuria and a blunted increase in urinary NO metabolites which was associated with blunted renal blood flow and increased sodium retention mediated by a lack of HSD-induced suppression of NKCC2. Blocking NKCC2 function prevented the salt-induced increase in blood pressure in S-P467L mice. CONCLUSION: We conclude that failure to vasodilate in response to salt loading causes SS hypertension by restricting renal perfusion and reducing renal NO through a mechanism involving NKCC2 in a mouse model of vascular peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ impairment.


Subject(s)
Blood Pressure , Hypertension/physiopathology , Kidney/blood supply , Muscle, Smooth, Vascular/physiopathology , Renal Circulation , Vasodilation , Animals , Carotid Arteries/metabolism , Carotid Arteries/physiopathology , Disease Models, Animal , Hypertension/etiology , Hypertension/genetics , Hypertension/metabolism , Male , Mice, Inbred C57BL , Mice, Transgenic , Muscle, Smooth, Vascular/metabolism , Mutation , Nitric Oxide/metabolism , PPAR gamma/genetics , PPAR gamma/metabolism , Renal Artery/metabolism , Renal Artery/physiopathology , Sodium Chloride, Dietary , Solute Carrier Family 12, Member 1/metabolism
13.
J Epidemiol Glob Health ; 11(1): 55-59, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32959618

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: India was one of the countries to institute strict measures for Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) control in the early phase. Since, then, the epidemic growth trajectory was slow before registering an explosion of cases due to local cluster transmissions. METHODS: We estimated the growth rate and doubling time of SARS-CoV-2 for India and high burden states using crowdsourced time series data. Further, we also estimated the Basic Reproductive Number (R0) and Time-dependent Reproductive number (Rt) using serial intervals from the data. We compared the R0 estimated from five different methods and R0 from SB was further used in the analysis. We modified standard Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models to SIR/Death (SIRD) model to accommodate deaths using R0 with the sequential Bayesian method for simulation in SIRD models. RESULTS: On average, 2.8 individuals were infected by an index case. The mean serial interval was 3.9 days. The R0 estimated from different methods ranged from 1.43 to 1.85. The mean time to recovery was 14 ± 5.3 days. The daily epidemic growth rate of India was 0.16 [95% CI; 0.14, 0.17] with a doubling time of 4.30 days [95% CI; 3.96, 4.70]. From the SIRD model, it can be deduced that the peak of SARS-CoV-2 in India will be around mid-July to early August 2020 with around 12.5% of the population likely to be infected at the peak time. CONCLUSION: The pattern of spread of SARS-CoV-2 in India is suggestive of community transmission. There is a need to increase funds for infectious disease research and epidemiologic studies. All the current gains may be reversed if air travel and social mixing resume rapidly. For the time being, these must be resumed only in a phased manner and should be back to normal levels only after we are prepared to deal with the disease with efficient tools like vaccines or medicine. KEY POINTS: . QUESTION: What are the estimates of infectious disease parameters of early phase of novel SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in India? FINDINGS: Incidence pattern SARS-CoV-2 shows possible evidence of community transmission. However, the estimated Basic Reproductive Number (R0) is relatively lower than those observed in high burden regions (range 1.43-1.85). Our simulation using susceptible-infectious-recovered/death model shows that peak of SARS-CoV-2 in India is farther than currently projected and is likely to affect around 12.5% of population. MEANING: The lower estimated R0 is indicative of the effectiveness of early social distancing measures and lockdown. Premature relaxation of the current control measures may result in large numbers of cases in India.


Subject(s)
Basic Reproduction Number/statistics & numerical data , COVID-19 , Communicable Disease Control , Epidemics/statistics & numerical data , Bayes Theorem , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/transmission , Communicable Disease Control/methods , Communicable Disease Control/organization & administration , Computer Simulation , Disease Transmission, Infectious/prevention & control , Humans , India/epidemiology , Physical Distancing , Prognosis , SARS-CoV-2
14.
PLoS One ; 15(12): e0243207, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33264359

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Intramyocardial hemorrhage following reperfusion is strongly associated with major adverse cardiovascular events in myocardial infarction (MI) patients; yet the mechanisms contributing to these outcomes are not well understood. Large animal models have been used to investigate intramyocardial hemorrhage, but they are exorbitantly expensive and difficult to use for mechanistic studies. In contrast, rat models are widely used to investigate mechanistic aspects of cardiovascular physiology, but a rat model that consistently recapitulates the characteristics of an hemorrhagic MI does not exist. To bridge this gap, we investigated the physiological conditions of MI that would create intramyocardial hemorrhage in rats so that a reliable model of hemorrhagic MI would become available for basic research. METHODS & RESULTS: Sprague-Dawley rats underwent either a 90-minute (90-min) ischemia and then reperfusion (I/R) (n = 22) or 30-minute (30-min) I/R (n = 18) of the left anterior descending coronary artery. Sham rats (n = 12) were used as controls. 90-min I/R consistently yielded hemorrhagic MI, while 30-min I/R consistently yielded non-hemorrhagic MI. Twenty-four hours post-reperfusion, ex-vivo late-gadolinium-enhancement (LGE) and T2* cardiac MRI performed on excised hearts from 90-min I/R rats revealed colocalization of iron deposits within the scarred tissue; however, in 30-min I/R rats scar was evident on LGE but no evidence of iron was found on T2* CMR. Histological studies verified tissue damage (H&E) detected on LGE and the presence of iron (Perl's stain) observed on T2*-CMR. At week 4 post-reperfusion, gene and protein expression of proinflammatory markers (TNF-α, IL-1ß and MMP-9) were increased in the 90-min I/R group when compared to 30-min I/R groups. Further, transmission electron microscopy performed on 90-min I/R myocardium that were positive for iron on T2* CMR and Perl's stain showed accumulation of granular iron particles within the phagosomes. CONCLUSION: Ischemic time prior to reperfusion is a critical factor in determining whether a MI is hemorrhagic or non-hemorrhagic in rats. Specifically, a period of 90-min of ischemia prior to reperfusion can produce rat models of hemorrhagic MI, while 30-minutes of ischemia prior to reperfusion can ensure that the MIs are non-hemorrhagic. Hemorrhagic MIs in rats result in marked increase in iron deposition, proinflammatory burden and adverse left-ventricular remodeling compared to rats with non-hemorrhagic MIs.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/metabolism , Hemorrhage/diagnostic imaging , Myocardial Infarction/diagnostic imaging , Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/complications , Animals , Disease Models, Animal , Gadolinium/administration & dosage , Hemorrhage/etiology , Hemorrhage/genetics , Hemorrhage/metabolism , Interleukin-1beta/genetics , Interleukin-1beta/metabolism , Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cine , Male , Matrix Metalloproteinase 9/genetics , Matrix Metalloproteinase 9/metabolism , Myocardial Infarction/etiology , Myocardial Infarction/genetics , Myocardial Infarction/metabolism , Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/diagnostic imaging , Rats , Rats, Sprague-Dawley , Time Factors , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/metabolism , Up-Regulation
16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32816869

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Type 2 diabetes is characterized by considerable heterogeneity in its etiopathogenesis and clinical presentation. We aimed to identify clusters of type 2 diabetes in Asian Indians and to look at the clinical implications and outcomes of this clustering. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: From a network of 50 diabetes centers across nine states of India, we selected 19 084 individuals with type 2 diabetes (aged 10-97 years) with diabetes duration of less than 5 years at the time of first clinic visit and performed k-means clustering using the following variables: age at diagnosis, body mass index, waist circumference, glycated hemoglobin, serum triglycerides, serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and C peptide (fasting and stimulated). This was then validated in a national epidemiological data set of representative individuals from 15 states across India. RESULTS: We identified four clusters of patients, differing in phenotypic characteristics as well as disease outcomes: cluster 1 (Severe Insulin Deficient Diabetes, SIDD), cluster 2 (Insulin Resistant Obese Diabetes, IROD), cluster 3 (Combined Insulin Resistant and Deficient Diabetes, CIRDD) and cluster 4 (Mild Age-Related Diabetes, MARD). While SIDD and MARD are similar to clusters reported in other populations, IROD and CIRDD are novel clusters. Cox proportional hazards showed that SIDD had the highest hazards for developing retinopathy, followed by CIRDD, while CIRDD had the highest hazards for kidney disease. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with previously reported clustering, we show two novel subgroups of type 2 diabetes in the Asian Indian population with important implications for prognosis and management. The coexistence of insulin deficiency and insulin resistance seems to be peculiar to the Asian Indian population and is associated with an increased risk of microvascular complications.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Insulin Resistance , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Humans , India/epidemiology , Insulin , Risk Factors
17.
Hypertension ; 76(2): 468-477, 2020 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32507043

ABSTRACT

Several cardiac and renal diseases are attributed to a dysregulation of the renin-angiotensin system. Renin, the rate-limiting enzyme of the renin-angiotensin system, has 2 isoforms. The classical renin isoform (renin-a) encoding preprorenin is mainly confined to the juxtaglomerular cells and released into the circulation upon stimulation. Alternatively, renin-b is predicted to remain intracellular and is expressed in the brain, heart, and adrenal gland. In the brain, ablation of renin-b (Ren-bNull mice) results in increased brain renin-angiotensin system activity. However, the consequences of renin-b ablation in tissues outside the brain remain unknown. Therefore, we hypothesized that renin-b protects from hypertensive cardiac and renal end-organ damage in mice. Ren-bNull mice exhibited normal blood pressure at baseline. Thus, we induced hypertension by using a slow pressor dose of Ang II (angiotensin II). Ang II increased blood pressure in both wild type and Ren-bNull to the same degree. Although the blood pressure between Ren-bNull and wild-type mice was elevated equally, 4-week infusion of Ang II resulted in exacerbated cardiac remodeling in Ren-bNull mice compared with wild type. Ren-bNull mice also exhibited a modest increase in renal glomerular matrix deposition, elevated plasma aldosterone, and a modestly enhanced dipsogenic response to Ang II. Interestingly, ablation of renin-b strongly suppressed plasma renin, but renal cortical renin mRNA was preserved. Altogether, these data indicate that renin-b might play a protective role in the heart, and thus renin-b could be a potential target to treat hypertensive heart disease.


Subject(s)
Blood Pressure/physiology , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Kidney/metabolism , Protein Isoforms/genetics , Renin-Angiotensin System/physiology , Renin/genetics , Angiotensin II , Animals , Hypertension/chemically induced , Hypertension/genetics , Hypertension/metabolism , Male , Mice , Mice, Knockout , Protein Isoforms/metabolism , Renin/blood , Renin/metabolism
18.
Endocrinol Diabetes Metab ; 3(2): e00108, 2020 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32318630

ABSTRACT

AIM: To conduct a comprehensive review of studies of glycaemic deterioration in type 2 diabetes and identify the major factors influencing progression. METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature search with terms linked to type 2 diabetes progression. All the included studies were summarized based upon the factors associated with diabetes progression and how the diabetes progression was defined. RESULTS: Our search yielded 2785 articles; based on title, abstract and full-text review, we included 61 studies in the review. We identified seven criteria for diabetes progression: 'Initiation of insulin', 'Initiation of oral antidiabetic drug', 'treatment intensification', 'antidiabetic therapy failure', 'glycaemic deterioration', 'decline in beta-cell function' and 'change in insulin dose'. The determinants of diabetes progression were grouped into phenotypic, ethnicity and genotypic factors. Younger age, poorer glycaemia and higher body mass index at diabetes diagnosis were the main phenotypic factors associated with rapid progression. The effect of genotypic factors on progression was assessed using polygenic risk scores (PRS); a PRS constructed from the genetic variants linked to insulin resistance was associated with rapid glycaemic deterioration. The evidence of impact of ethnicity on progression was inconclusive due to the small number of multi-ethnic studies. CONCLUSION: We have identified the major determinants of diabetes progression-younger age, higher BMI, higher HbA1c and genetic insulin resistance. The impact of ethnicity is uncertain; there is a clear need for more large-scale studies of diabetes progression in different ethnic groups.

19.
Diabetes Care ; 43(8): 1948-1957, 2020 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33534728

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The pathophysiology of type 2 diabetes differs markedly by ethnicity. PURPOSE: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to assess the impact of ethnicity on the glucose-lowering efficacy of the newer oral agents, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i), glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4i), using evidence from randomized clinical trials (RCTs). DATA SOURCES: A literature search was conducted in PubMed of all randomized, placebo-controlled trials of DPP-4i, SGLT-2i, and GLP-1RA. The search strategy was developed based on Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms and keywords. STUDY SELECTION: A total of 64 studies that qualified for meta-analysis after full-text review based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria-RCTs with at least 50 patients in each arm, >70% of population from Asian or white group, duration ≥24 weeks, and publication up to March 2019-were selected for systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA EXTRACTION: Data extraction was done for aggregated study-level data by two independent researchers. Absolute changes in HbA1c (%) from baseline to 24 weeks between the drug and placebo were considered as the primary end point of the study. DATA SYNTHESIS: Change in HbA1c was evaluated by computing mean differences and 95% CIs between treatment and placebo arms. LIMITATIONS: The study is based on summarized data and could not be separated based on East Asians and South Asians. CONCLUSIONS: The glucose-lowering efficacy of SGLT-2i, and to a lesser extent DPP-4i, was greater in studies of predominantly Asian ethnicity compared with studies of predominantly white ethnicity. There was no difference seen by ethnicity for GLP-1RA.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus/drug therapy , Dipeptidyl-Peptidase IV Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Glucagon-Like Peptide Receptors/agonists , Sodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Asian People , Humans , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , White People
20.
JCI Insight ; 52019 06 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31184598

ABSTRACT

Patients with mutations in Cullin-3 (CUL3) exhibit severe early onset hypertension but the contribution of the smooth muscle remains unclear. Conditional genetic ablation of CUL3 in vascular smooth muscle (S-CUL3KO) causes progressive impairment in responsiveness to nitric oxide (NO), rapid development of severe hypertension, and increased arterial stiffness. Loss of CUL3 in primary aortic smooth muscle cells or aorta resulted in decreased expression of the NO receptor, soluble guanylate cyclase (sGC), causing a marked reduction in cGMP production and impaired vasodilation to cGMP analogues. Vasodilation responses to a selective large conductance Ca2+-activated K+-channel activator were normal suggesting that downstream signals which promote smooth muscle-dependent relaxation remained intact. We conclude that smooth muscle specific CUL3 ablation impairs both cGMP production and cGMP responses and that loss of CUL3 function selectively in smooth muscle is sufficient to cause severe hypertension by interfering with the NO-sGC-cGMP pathway. Our study provides compelling evidence for the sufficiency of vascular smooth muscle CUL3 as a major regulator of BP. CUL3 mutations cause severe vascular dysfunction, arterial stiffness and hypertension due to defects in vascular smooth muscle.


Subject(s)
Cullin Proteins/genetics , Cullin Proteins/metabolism , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics , Hypertension/genetics , Hypertension/metabolism , Muscle, Smooth/metabolism , Animals , Aorta/metabolism , Aorta/pathology , Cyclic GMP/metabolism , Disease Models, Animal , Hypertension/pathology , Male , Mice , Mice, Inbred C57BL , Mice, Knockout , Muscle, Smooth, Vascular/metabolism , Mutation , Myocytes, Smooth Muscle/metabolism , Nitric Oxide , Soluble Guanylyl Cyclase/metabolism , Transcriptome , Vascular Stiffness , Vasodilation
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