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1.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e47241, 2024 Apr 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38573762

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The VACCELERATE Pan-European Scientific network aims to strengthen the foundation of vaccine trial research across Europe by following the principles of equity, inclusion, and diversity. The VACCELERATE Volunteer Registry network provides access to vaccine trial sites across the European region and supports a sustainable volunteer platform for identifying potential participants for forthcoming vaccine clinical research. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to approach members of patient advocacy groups (PAGs) across Europe to assess their willingness to register for the VACCELERATE Volunteer Registry and their perspectives related to participating in vaccine trials. METHODS: In an effort to understand how to increase recruitment for the VACCELERATE Volunteer Registry, a standardized survey was developed in English and translated into 8 different languages (Dutch, English, French, German, Greek, Italian, Spanish, and Swedish) by the respective National Coordinator team. The online, anonymous survey was circulated, from March 2022 to May 2022, to PAGs across 10 European countries (Belgium, Cyprus, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain, and Sweden) to share with their members. The questionnaire constituted of multiple choice and open-ended questions evaluating information regarding participants' perceptions on participating in vaccine trials and their willingness to become involved in the VACCELERATE Volunteer Registry. RESULTS: In total, 520 responses were collected and analyzed. The PAG members reported that the principal criteria influencing their decision to participate in clinical trials overall are (1) the risks involved, (2) the benefits that will be gained from their potential participation, and (3) the quality and quantity of information provided regarding the trial. The survey revealed that, out of the 520 respondents, 133 individuals across all age groups were "positive" toward registering in the VACCELERATE Volunteer Registry, with an additional 47 individuals reporting being "very positive." Respondents from Northern European countries were 1.725 (95% CI 1.206-2.468) times more likely to be willing to participate in the VACCELERATE Volunteer Registry than respondents from Southern European countries. CONCLUSIONS: Factors discouraging participants from joining vaccine trial registries or clinical trials primarily include concerns of the safety of novel vaccines and a lack of trust in those involved in vaccine development. These outcomes aid in identifying issues and setbacks in present registries, providing the VACCELERATE network with feedback on how to potentially increase participation and enrollment in trials across Europe. Development of European health communication strategies among diverse public communities, especially via PAGs, is the key for increasing patients' willingness to participate in clinical studies.


Subject(s)
Patient Advocacy , Vaccines , Humans , Europe , France , Germany , Clinical Trials as Topic
2.
Lancet Reg Health Eur ; 38: 100855, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38476753

ABSTRACT

Background: Investigating outcomes of hospitalised COVID-19 patients throughout the pandemic is crucial to understand the impact of different SARS-CoV-2 variants. We compared 28-day in-hospital mortality of Wild-type, Alpha, Delta, and Omicron variant infections. Whether the difference in risk by variant varied by age was also evaluated. Methods: We conducted a cohort study including patients ≥18 years, hospitalised between 2020 and 02-01 and 2022-10-15 with a SARS-CoV-2 positive test, from nine countries. Variant was classified based on sequenced viruses or from national public metadata. Mortality was compared using the cumulative incidence function and subdistribution hazard ratios (SHR) adjusted for age, sex, calendar time, and comorbidities. Results were shown age-stratified due to effect measure modification (P < 0.0001 for interaction between age and variant). Findings: We included 38,585 participants: 19,763 Wild-type, 6387 Alpha, 3640 Delta, and 8795 Omicron. The cumulative incidence of mortality decreased throughout the study period. Among participants ≥70 years, the adjusted SHR (95% confidence interval) for Delta vs. Omicron was 1.66 (1.29-2.13). This estimate was 1.66 (1.17-2.36) for Alpha vs. Omicron, and 1.34 (0.92-1.95) for Wild-type vs. Omicron. These were 1.21 (0.81-1.82), 1.21 (0.68-2.17), and 0.98 (0.53-1.82) among unvaccinated participants. When comparing Omicron sublineages, the aSHR for BA.1 was 1.92 (1.43-2.58) compared to BA.2 and 1.52 (1.11-2.08) compared to BA.5. Interpretation: The herein observed decrease in in-hospital mortality seems to reflect a combined effect of immunity from vaccinations and previous infections, although differences in virulence between SARS-CoV-2 variants may also have contributed. Funding: European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Programme.

3.
Emerg Med J ; 41(4): 242-248, 2024 Mar 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38355290

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Fever is a common symptom among travellers returning from tropical/subtropical areas to Europe, and promptly distinguishing severe illnesses from self-limiting febrile syndromes is important but can be challenging due to non-specific clinical presentation. METHODS: A cross-sectional study enrolled adults and children who sought care during 2015-2020 at Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden with fever within 2 months after returning from travel to a tropical/subtropical area. Data on symptoms and laboratory parameters were prospectively and retrospectively collected. Two separate scoring systems for malaria and dengue were developed based on backward elimination regressions. RESULTS: In total, 2113 adults (18-94 years) and 202 children (1-17 years) were included, with 112 (4.8%) confirmed malaria by blood thick smear and 90 (3.9%) PCR/serology dengue-positive cases. Malaria was more likely in a patient who had visited sub-Saharan Africa and presented with combination of thrombocytopenia, anaemia and fever ≥39.5°C. Leucopenia, muscle pain and rash after travelling to Asia or South/Latin America indicated high probability of dengue. Two scoring systems with points between 0 and 7 for prediction of malaria or dengue were created based on the above predictors. Scores ≥3 indicated >80% sensitivity and specificity for malaria and >90% specificity for dengue in children and adults (area under the curve (AUC) for dengue: 0.92 in adults (95% CI 0.90 to 0.95) and 0.95 in children (95% CI 0.88 to 1.0); AUC for malaria: 0.93 in adults (95% CI 0.91 to 0.96) and 0.88 in children (95% CI 0.78 to 0.99)). Internal validation of optimism and overfitting was managed with bootstrap. CONCLUSION: The presented scoring systems provide novel tools for structured assessment of patients with tropical fever in a non-endemic area and highlight clinical signs associated with a potential severe aetiology to direct the need for microbial investigation.


Subject(s)
Dengue , Malaria , Adult , Child , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Dengue/diagnosis , Dengue/epidemiology , Malaria/diagnosis , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/complications , Fever/etiology , Fever/complications , Travel
4.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 13(1): 15, 2024 02 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38317207

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Continuous surveillance for healthcare-associated infections such as central venous catheter-related bloodstream infections (CVC-BSI) is crucial for prevention. However, traditional surveillance methods are resource-intensive and prone to bias. This study aimed to develop and validate fully-automated surveillance algorithms for CVC-BSI. METHODS: Two algorithms were developed using electronic health record data from 1000 admissions with a positive blood culture (BCx) at Karolinska University Hospital from 2017: (1) Combining microbiological findings in BCx and CVC cultures with BSI symptoms; (2) Only using microbiological findings. These algorithms were validated in 5170 potential CVC-BSI-episodes from all admissions in 2018-2019, and results extrapolated to all potential CVC-BSI-episodes within this period (n = 181,354). The reference standard was manual record review according to ECDC's definition of microbiologically confirmed CVC-BSI (CRI3-CVC). RESULTS: In the potential CVC-BSI-episodes, 51 fulfilled ECDC's definition and the algorithms identified 47 and 49 episodes as CVC-BSI, respectively. Both algorithms performed well in assessing CVC-BSI. Overall, algorithm 2 performed slightly better with in the total period a sensitivity of 0.880 (95%-CI 0.783-0.959), specificity of 1.000 (95%-CI 0.999-1.000), PPV of 0.918 (95%-CI 0.833-0.981) and NPV of 1.000 (95%-CI 0.999-1.000). Incidence according to the reference and algorithm 2 was 0.33 and 0.31 per 1000 in-patient hospital-days, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both fully-automated surveillance algorithms for CVC-BSI performed well and could effectively replace manual surveillance. The simpler algorithm, using only microbiology data, is suitable when BCx testing adheres to recommendations, otherwise the algorithm using symptom data might be required. Further validation in other settings is necessary to assess the algorithms' generalisability.


Subject(s)
Catheter-Related Infections , Central Venous Catheters , Cross Infection , Sepsis , Humans , Central Venous Catheters/adverse effects , Catheter-Related Infections/diagnosis , Catheter-Related Infections/epidemiology , Catheter-Related Infections/microbiology , Cross Infection/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Sepsis/microbiology
6.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 57: 102676, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38061408

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization (WHO)'s Research and Development (R&D) Blueprint for Action to Prevent Epidemics, a plan of action, highlighted several infectious diseases as crucial targets for prevention. These infections were selected based on a thorough assessment of factors such as transmissibility, infectivity, severity, and evolutionary potential. In line with this blueprint, the VACCELERATE Site Network approached infectious disease experts to rank the diseases listed in the WHO R&D Blueprint according to their perceived risk of triggering a pandemic. VACCELERATE is an EU-funded collaborative European network of clinical trial sites, established to respond to emerging pandemics and enhance vaccine development capabilities. METHODS: Between February and June 2023, a survey was conducted using an online form to collect data from members of the VACCELERATE Site Network and infectious disease experts worldwide. Participants were asked to rank various pathogens based on their perceived risk of causing a pandemic, including those listed in the WHO R&D Blueprint and additional pathogens. RESULTS: A total of 187 responses were obtained from infectious disease experts representing 57 countries, with Germany, Spain, and Italy providing the highest number of replies. Influenza viruses received the highest rankings among the pathogens, with 79 % of participants including them in their top rankings. Disease X, SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and Ebola virus were also ranked highly. Hantavirus, Lassa virus, Nipah virus, and henipavirus were among the bottom-ranked pathogens in terms of pandemic potential. CONCLUSION: Influenza, SARS-CoV, SARS-CoV-2, and Ebola virus were found to be the most concerning pathogens with pandemic potential, characterised by transmissibility through respiratory droplets and a reported history of epidemic or pandemic outbreaks.


Subject(s)
Communicable Diseases , Influenza, Human , Humans , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Pandemics/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Clinical Trials as Topic
7.
J Infect Dis ; 229(1): 133-136, 2024 Jan 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37665981

ABSTRACT

Little is known about the post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) after infections with different SARS-CoV-2 variants. We investigated the risk of PCC diagnosis after primary omicron infections as compared with preceding variants in population-based cohorts in Stockholm, Sweden. When compared with omicron (n = 215 279, 0.2% receiving a PCC diagnosis), the adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) was 3.26 (2.80-3.80) for delta (n = 52 182, 0.5% PCC diagnosis), 5.33 (4.73-5.99) for alpha (n = 97 978, 1.0% PCC diagnosis), and 6.31 (5.64-7.06) for the wild type (n = 107 920, 1.3% PCC diagnosis). These findings were consistent across all subgroup analyses except among those treated in the intensive care unit.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Sweden/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome , Chronic Disease
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(4): 900-907, 2024 Apr 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37883521

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a controversy over the impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections in an era of less virulent variants and an increasing population immunity. We compared outcomes in adults attending the emergency department (ED) with an Omicron, influenza, or respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection. METHODS: Retrospective multicenter cohort study including adults attending the ED in 6 acute care hospitals in Stockholm County, Sweden, with an Omicron, influenza, or RSV infection during 2021-2022 and 2015-2019. During 2021-2022, patients were tested for all 3 viruses by multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were 90-day all-cause mortality, hospitalization, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. RESULTS: A total of 6385 patients from 2021-2022 were included in the main analyses: 4833 Omicron, 1099 influenza, and 453 RSV. The 30-day mortality was 7.9% (n = 381) in the Omicron, 2.5% (n = 28) in the influenza, and 6.0% (n = 27) in the RSV cohort. Patients with Omicron had an adjusted 30-day mortality odds ratio (OR) of 2.36 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60-3.62) compared with influenza and 1.42 (95% CI .94-2.21) compared with RSV. Among unvaccinated Omicron patients, stronger associations were observed compared with both influenza (OR 5.51 [95% CI 3.41-9.18]) and RSV (OR 3.29 [95% CI 2.01-5.56]). Similar trends were observed for secondary outcomes. Findings were consistent in comparisons with 5709 pre-pandemic influenza 995 RSV patients. CONCLUSIONS: In patients attending the ED, infections with Omicron were both more common and associated with more severe outcomes compared with influenza and RSV, in particular among unvaccinated patients.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Adult , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Cohort Studies , Seasons , COVID-19/epidemiology , Emergency Service, Hospital
9.
JAMA Pediatr ; 178(2): 197-199, 2024 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38147325

ABSTRACT

This cohort study compares outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection with those of influenza or respiratory syncytial virus infection in pediatric patients attending the emergency department.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Tract Infections , Humans , Child , SARS-CoV-2
10.
Artif Intell Med ; 146: 102695, 2023 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38042595

ABSTRACT

Clinical prediction models tend only to incorporate structured healthcare data, ignoring information recorded in other data modalities, including free-text clinical notes. Here, we demonstrate how multimodal models that effectively leverage both structured and unstructured data can be developed for predicting COVID-19 outcomes. The models are trained end-to-end using a technique we refer to as multimodal fine-tuning, whereby a pre-trained language model is updated based on both structured and unstructured data. The multimodal models are trained and evaluated using a multicenter cohort of COVID-19 patients encompassing all encounters at the emergency department of six hospitals. Experimental results show that multimodal models, leveraging the notion of multimodal fine-tuning and trained to predict (i) 30-day mortality, (ii) safe discharge and (iii) readmission, outperform unimodal models trained using only structured or unstructured healthcare data on all three outcomes. Sensitivity analyses are performed to better understand how well the multimodal models perform on different patient groups, while an ablation study is conducted to investigate the impact of different types of clinical notes on model performance. We argue that multimodal models that make effective use of routinely collected healthcare data to predict COVID-19 outcomes may facilitate patient management and contribute to the effective use of limited healthcare resources.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Emergency Service, Hospital , Hospitals , Language , Patient Discharge , Natural Language Processing
11.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 11(12)2023 Nov 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38140188

ABSTRACT

Underserved and hard-to-reach population groups are under-represented in vaccine trials. Thus, we aimed to identify the challenges of vaccine trial participation of these groups in member countries of the VACCELERATE network. Seventeen National Coordinators (NC), each representing their respective country (15 European countries, Israel, and Turkey), completed an online survey. From 15 eligible groups, those that were more frequently declared underserved/hard-to-reach in vaccine research were ethnic minorities (76.5%), persons experiencing homelessness (70.6%), illegal workers and refugees (64.7%, each). When prioritization for education on vaccine trials was considered, ethnic groups, migrants, and immigrants (5/17, 29.4%) were the groups most frequently identified by the NC as top targets. The most prominent barriers in vaccine trial participation affecting all groups were low levels of health literacy, reluctance to participate in trials due to engagement level, and low levels of trust in vaccines/vaccinations. This study highlighted population groups considered underserved/hard-to-reach in countries contained within the European region, and the respective barriers these groups face when participating in clinical studies. Our findings aid with the design of tailored interventions (within-and across-countries of the European region) and with the development of strategies to overcome major barriers in phase 2 and phase 3 vaccine trial participation.

12.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 56: 102666, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37977232

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since Strongyloides can persist in its host for decades, and cause life threatening infections data on prevalence, the burden and risk factors for infection is crucial in migrant populations. METHODS: In this observational retrospective cohort study, we describe the epidemiological, clinical, and microbiological characteristics of imported strongyloidiasis diagnosed at the Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden, during 2010-2021. RESULTS: We identified 98 individuals with strongyloidiasis, 89 (90.8%) born in endemic and 9 (9.2%) in non-endemic countries. Sub-Saharan Africa was the most common origin among the group born in endemic countries (62, 69.7%), (p < 0.005). There were 22 individuals with an underlying immunosuppressive condition. Gastrointestinal symptoms (53/98, 54.1%) were the symptoms most frequently described, and were more frequent in adults (57.0%) vs children (0%) (p = 0.013). Eosinophilia was detected in 74 (75.5%), being more frequent in the endemic-borne group (79.8% vs 33.3%, p = 0.002). Eight persons developed complications of strongyloidiasis because of either hyperinfection or disseminated disease. No people living with HIV with CD4 <500/mm3 (n = 6) developed severe strongyloidiasis. CONCLUSION: A limited number of strongyloidiasis cases was identified, with few complicated cases in immunosuppressed patients. Further studies focusing on identifying and exploring the risk of complicated strongyloidiasis in immunosuppressed patients are needed.


Subject(s)
Strongyloidiasis , Adult , Child , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Strongyloidiasis/diagnosis , Strongyloidiasis/epidemiology , Sweden/epidemiology , Tertiary Care Centers
13.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(11): e2341936, 2023 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37948082

ABSTRACT

Importance: Quantifying the burden of nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections and associated mortality is necessary to assess the need for infection prevention and control measures. Objective: To investigate the occurrence of nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections and associated 30-day mortality among patients admitted to hospitals in Region Stockholm, Sweden. Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective, matched cohort study divided the period from March 1, 2020, until September 15, 2022, into a prevaccination period, early vaccination and pre-Omicron (period 1), and late vaccination and Omicron (period 2). From among 303 898 patients 18 years or older living in Region Stockholm, 538 951 hospital admissions across all hospitals were included. Hospitalized admissions with nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections were matched to as many as 5 hospitalized admissions without nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 by age, sex, length of stay, admission time, and hospital unit. Exposure: Nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infection defined as the first positive polymerase chain reaction test result at least 8 days after hospital admission or within 2 days after discharge. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome of 30-day mortality was analyzed using time-to-event analyses with a Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusted for age, sex, educational level, and comorbidities. Results: Among 2193 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infections or reinfections (1107 women [50.5%]; median age, 80 [IQR, 71-87] years), 2203 nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified. The incidence rate of nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections was 1.57 (95% CI, 1.51-1.64) per 1000 patient-days. In the matched cohort, 1487 hospital admissions with nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections were matched to 5044 hospital admissions without nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections. Thirty-day mortality was higher in the prevaccination period (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 2.97 [95% CI, 2.50-3.53]) compared with period 1 (AHR, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.50-2.88]) or period 2 (AHR, 1.22 [95% CI, 0.92-1.60]). Among patients with nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections, 30-day AHR comparing those with 2 or more doses of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination and those with less than 2 doses was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.46-0.88). Conclusions and Relevance: In this matched cohort study, nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infections were associated with higher 30-day mortality during the early phases of the pandemic and lower mortality during the Omicron variant wave and after the introduction of vaccinations. Mitigation of excess mortality risk from nosocomial transmission should be a strong focus when population immunity is low through implementation of adequate infection prevention and control measures.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cross Infection , Humans , Female , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19 Vaccines , Cohort Studies , Cross Infection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Hospitals , Pandemics
14.
Crit Care ; 27(1): 427, 2023 11 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37932793

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is yet to be better understood how outcomes during and after the critical illness potentially differ between severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants from other lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs). We aimed to compare outcomes in adults admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the Wild-type, Alpha, Delta, and Omicron periods with individuals admitted with other LRTI. METHODS: Population-based cohort study in Stockholm, Sweden, using health registries with high coverage, including ICU-admitted adults from 1 January 2016 to 15 September 2022. Outcomes were in-hospital mortality, 180-day post-discharge mortality, 180-day hospital readmission, 180-day days alive and at home (DAAH), and incident diagnoses registered during follow-up. RESULTS: The number of ICU admitted individuals were 1421 Wild-type, 551 Alpha, 190 Delta, 223 Omicron, and 2380 LRTI. In-hospital mortality ranged from 28% (n = 665) in the LRTI cohort to 35% (n = 77) in the Delta cohort. The adjusted cause-specific hazard ratio (CSHR) compared with the LRTI cohort was 1.33 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-1.53) in the Wild-type cohort, 1.53 (1.28-1.82) in the Alpha cohort, 1.70 (1.30-2.24) in the Delta cohort, and 1.59 (1.24-2.02) in the Omicron cohort. Among patients discharged alive from their COVID-19 hospitalization, the post-discharge mortality rates were lower (1-3%) compared with the LRTI cohort (9%), and the risk of hospital readmission was lower (CSHRs ranging from 0.42 to 0.68). Moreover, all COVID-19 cohorts had compared with the LRTI cohort more DAAH after compared with before the critical illness. CONCLUSION: Overall, COVID-19 critical was associated with an increased hazard of in-hospital mortality, but among those discharged alive from the hospital, less severe long-term outcomes were observed compared with other LRTIs.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Respiratory Tract Infections , Adult , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Aftercare , Cohort Studies , Critical Illness , Patient Discharge
15.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 690, 2023 Oct 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37845624

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2), the virus responsible for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), can lead to hospitalisation, particularly in elderly, immunocompromised, and non-vaccinated or partially vaccinated individuals. Although vaccination provides protection, the duration of this protection wanes over time. Additional doses can restore immunity, but the influence of viral variants, specific sequences, and vaccine-induced immune responses on disease severity remains unclear. Moreover, the efficacy of therapeutic interventions during hospitalisation requires further investigation. The study aims to analyse the clinical course of COVID-19 in hospitalised patients, taking into account SARS-CoV-2 variants, viral sequences, and the impact of different vaccines. The primary outcome is all-cause in-hospital mortality, while secondary outcomes include admission to intensive care unit and length of stay, duration of hospitalisation, and the level of respiratory support required. METHODS: This ongoing multicentre study observes hospitalised adult patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, utilising a combination of retrospective and prospective data collection. It aims to gather clinical and laboratory variables from around 35,000 patients, with potential for a larger sample size. Data analysis will involve biostatistical and machine-learning techniques. Selected patients will provide biological material. The study started on October 14, 2021 and is scheduled to end on October 13, 2026. DISCUSSION: The analysis of a large sample of retrospective and prospective data about the acute phase of SARS CoV-2 infection in hospitalised patients, viral variants and vaccination in several European and non-European countries will help us to better understand risk factors for disease severity and the interplay between SARS CoV-2 variants, immune responses and vaccine efficacy. The main strengths of this study are the large sample size, the long study duration covering different waves of COVID-19 and the collection of biological samples that allows future research. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial has been registered on ClinicalTrials.gov. The unique identifier assigned to this trial is NCT05463380.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Adult , Aged , Humans , Cohort Studies , Multicenter Studies as Topic , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2 , Treatment Outcome
16.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 12(1): 117, 2023 10 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37884948

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In patients who underwent colorectal surgery, an existing semi-automated surveillance algorithm based on structured data achieves high sensitivity in detecting deep surgical site infections (SSI), however, generates a significant number of false positives. The inclusion of unstructured, clinical narratives to the algorithm may decrease the number of patients requiring manual chart review. The aim of this study was to investigate the performance of this semi-automated surveillance algorithm augmented with a natural language processing (NLP) component to improve positive predictive value (PPV) and thus workload reduction (WR). METHODS: Retrospective, observational cohort study in patients who underwent colorectal surgery from January 1, 2015, through September 30, 2020. NLP was used to detect keyword counts in clinical notes. Several NLP-algorithms were developed with different count input types and classifiers, and added as component to the original semi-automated algorithm. Traditional manual surveillance was compared with the NLP-augmented surveillance algorithms and sensitivity, specificity, PPV and WR were calculated. RESULTS: From the NLP-augmented models, the decision tree models with discretized counts or binary counts had the best performance (sensitivity 95.1% (95%CI 83.5-99.4%), WR 60.9%) and improved PPV and WR by only 2.6% and 3.6%, respectively, compared to the original algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of an NLP component to the existing algorithm had modest effect on WR (decrease of 1.4-12.5%), at the cost of sensitivity. For future implementation it will be a trade-off between optimal case-finding techniques versus practical considerations such as acceptability and availability of resources.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Surgery , Surgical Wound Infection , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Surgical Wound Infection/diagnosis , Surgical Wound Infection/prevention & control , Colorectal Surgery/adverse effects , Cohort Studies , Predictive Value of Tests
18.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 12(1): 96, 2023 09 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37679824

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Automated surveillance methods that re-use electronic health record data are considered an attractive alternative to traditional manual surveillance. However, surveillance algorithms need to be thoroughly validated before being implemented in a clinical setting. With semi-automated surveillance patients are classified as low or high probability of having developed infection, and only high probability patients subsequently undergo manual record review. The aim of this study was to externally validate two existing semi-automated surveillance algorithms for deep SSI after colorectal surgery, developed on Spanish and Dutch data, in a Swedish setting. METHODS: The algorithms were validated in 225 randomly selected surgeries from Karolinska University Hospital from the period January 1, 2015 until August 31, 2020. Both algorithms were based on (re)admission and discharge data, mortality, reoperations, radiology orders, and antibiotic prescriptions, while one additionally used microbiology cultures. SSI was based on ECDC definitions. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and workload reduction were assessed compared to manual surveillance. RESULTS: Both algorithms performed well, yet the algorithm not relying on microbiological culture data had highest sensitivity (97.6, 95%CI: 87.4-99.6), which was comparable to previously published results. The latter algorithm aligned best with clinical practice and would lead to 57% records less to review. CONCLUSIONS: The results highlight the importance of thorough validation before implementation in other clinical settings than in which algorithms were originally developed: the algorithm excluding microbiology cultures had highest sensitivity in this new setting and has the potential to support large-scale semi-automated surveillance of SSI after colorectal surgery.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Surgery , Digestive System Surgical Procedures , Humans , Colorectal Surgery/adverse effects , Surgical Wound Infection/diagnosis , Digestive System Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Algorithms , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use
19.
Infect Dis (Lond) ; 55(10): 716-724, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37477232

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization has adopted a resolution on sepsis and urged member states to develop national processes to improve sepsis care. In Sweden, sepsis was selected as one of the ten first diagnoses to be addressed, when the Swedish government in 2019 allocated funds for patient-centred clinical pathways in healthcare. A national multidisciplinary working group, including a patient representative, was appointed to develop the patient-centred clinical pathway for sepsis. METHODS: The working group mapped challenges and needs surrounding sepsis care and included a survey sent to all emergency departments (ED) in Sweden, and then designed a patient-centred clinical pathway for sepsis. RESULTS: The working group decided to focus on the following four areas: (1) sepsis alert for early detection and management optimisation for the most severely ill sepsis patients in the ED; (2) accurate sepsis diagnosis coding; (3) structured information to patients at discharge after sepsis care and (4) structured telephone follow-up after sepsis care. A health-economic analysis indicated that the implementation of the clinical pathway for sepsis will most likely not drive costs. An important aspect of the clinical pathway is implementing continuous monitoring of performance and process indicators. A national working group is currently building up such a system for monitoring, focusing on extraction of this information from the electronic health records systems. CONCLUSION: A national patient-centred clinical pathway for sepsis has been developed and is currently being implemented in Swedish healthcare. We believe that the clinical pathway and the accompanying monitoring will provide a more efficient and equal sepsis care and improved possibilities to monitor and further develop sepsis care in Sweden.


Subject(s)
Critical Pathways , Sepsis , Humans , Sweden , Sepsis/diagnosis , Sepsis/therapy , Patients , Surveys and Questionnaires
20.
J Intern Med ; 294(5): 640-652, 2023 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37424218

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is limited information about sociodemographic disparities in COVID-19 vaccine uptake among non-elderly adults with an increased risk of severe COVID-19. We investigated the COVID-19 vaccine uptake in individuals aged 18-64 years with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 (non-elderly risk group) in Stockholm County, Sweden. METHOD: We used population-based health and sociodemographic registries with high coverage to perform a cohort study of COVID-19 vaccine uptake of one to four doses up until 21 November 2022. The vaccine uptake in the non-elderly risk group was compared with non-risk groups aged 18-64 years (non-elderly non-risk group) and individuals aged ≥65 years (elderly). RESULTS: The uptake of ≥3 vaccine doses was 55%, 64% and 87% in the non-elderly non-risk group (n = 1,005,182), non-elderly risk group (n = 308,904) and elderly (n = 422,604), respectively. Among non-elderly risk group conditions, Down syndrome showed the strongest positive association with receiving three doses (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.54-1.71), whereas chronic liver disease showed the strongest negative association (aRR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.92). Higher vaccine uptake among the non-elderly risk group was associated with increasing age, being born in Sweden, higher education, higher income and living in a household where other adults had been vaccinated. Similar trends were observed for the first, second, third and fourth doses. CONCLUSION: These results call for measures to tackle sociodemographic disparities in vaccination programmes during and beyond the COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Aged , Adult , Humans , Middle Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Cohort Studies , Pandemics , Income , Vaccination
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