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1.
J Card Fail ; 30(4): 596-609, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38431185

ABSTRACT

The field of durable mechanical circulatory support (MCS) has undergone an incredible evolution over the past few decades, resulting in significant improvements in longevity and quality of life for patients with advanced heart failure. Despite these successes, substantial opportunities for further improvements remain, including in pump design and ancillary technology, perioperative and postoperative management, and the overall patient experience. Ideally, durable MCS devices would be fully implantable, automatically controlled, and minimize the need for anticoagulation. Reliable and long-term total artificial hearts for biventricular support would be available; and surgical, perioperative, and postoperative management would be informed by the individual patient phenotype along with computational simulations. In this review, we summarize emerging technological innovations in these areas, focusing primarily on innovations in late preclinical or early clinical phases of study. We highlight important considerations that the MCS community of clinicians, engineers, industry partners, and venture capital investors should consider to sustain the evolution of the field.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Heart, Artificial , Heart-Assist Devices , Humans , Heart Failure/surgery , Inventions , Quality of Life
2.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 1794, 2024 01 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38245568

ABSTRACT

Plasma metabolomics profiling is an emerging methodology to identify metabolic pathways underlying cardiovascular health (CVH). The objective of this study was to define metabolomic profiles underlying CVH in a cohort of Black adults, a population that is understudied but suffers from disparate levels of CVD risk factors. The Morehouse-Emory Cardiovascular (MECA) Center for Health Equity study cohort consisted of 375 Black adults (age 53 ± 10, 39% male) without known CVD. CVH was determined by the AHA Life's Simple 7 (LS7) score, calculated from measured blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose and total cholesterol, and self-reported physical activity, diet, and smoking. Plasma metabolites were assessed using untargeted high-resolution metabolomics profiling. A metabolome wide association study (MWAS) identified metabolites associated with LS7 score after adjusting for age and sex. Using Mummichog software, metabolic pathways that were significantly enriched in metabolites associated with LS7 score were identified. Metabolites representative of these pathways were compared across clinical domains of LS7 score and then developed into a metabolomics risk score for prediction of CVH. We identified novel metabolomic signatures and pathways associated with CVH in a cohort of Black adults without known CVD. Representative and highly prevalent metabolites from these pathways included glutamine, glutamate, urate, tyrosine and alanine, the concentrations of which varied with BMI, fasting glucose, and blood pressure levels. When assessed in conjunction, these metabolites were independent predictors of CVH. One SD increase in the novel metabolomics risk score was associated with a 0.88 higher LS7 score, which translates to a 10.4% lower incident CVD risk. We identified novel metabolomic signatures of ideal CVH in a cohort of Black Americans, showing that a core group of metabolites central to nitrogen balance, bioenergetics, gluconeogenesis, and nucleotide synthesis were associated with CVH in this population.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Adult , Humans , Male , United States , Middle Aged , Female , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Blood Pressure/physiology , Smoking , Diet , Health Status
3.
ASAIO J ; 70(4): 272-279, 2024 Apr 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38039542

ABSTRACT

We used the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) database to examine whether history of a solid versus hematologic malignancy impacts outcomes after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. We included LVAD recipients (2007-2017) with cancer history reported (N = 14,799, 21% female, 24% Black). Multivariate models examined the association between cancer type and post-LVAD mortality and adverse events. Competing risk analyses compared death and heart transplantation between cancer types and those without cancer in bridge-to-transplant (BTT) patients. A total of 909 (6.1%) patients had a history of cancer (4.9% solid tumor, 1.3% hematologic malignancy). Solid tumors were associated with higher mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.09-1.57), major bleeding (aHR = 1.15, 95% CI = 1.00-1.32), and pump thrombosis (aHR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.09-2.13), whereas hematologic malignancies were associated with increased major infection (aHR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.14-1.80). Compared to BTT patients without a history of cancer, solid tumor patients were less likely to undergo transplantation (adjusted subdistribution HR [aSHR] = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.45-0.89) and hematologic malignancy patients were as likely to experience death (aSHR = 1.16, 95% CI = 0.63-2.14) and transplantation (aSHR = 0.69, 95% CI = 0.44-1.08). Cancer history and type impact post-LVAD outcomes. As LVAD utilization in cancer survivors increases, we need strategies to improve post-LVAD outcomes in these patients.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Heart-Assist Devices , Hematologic Neoplasms , Neoplasms , Humans , Female , Male , Heart-Assist Devices/adverse effects , Registries , Neoplasms/complications , Hematologic Neoplasms/etiology , Treatment Outcome , Retrospective Studies
4.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 82(9): 771-781, 2023 08 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37612008

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In advanced heart failure patients implanted with a fully magnetically levitated HeartMate 3 (HM3, Abbott) left ventricular assist device (LVAD), it is unknown how preimplant factors and postimplant index hospitalization events influence 5-year mortality in those able to be discharged. OBJECTIVES: The goal was to identify risk predictors of mortality through 5 years among HM3 LVAD recipients conditional on discharge from index hospitalization in the MOMENTUM 3 pivotal trial. METHODS: This analysis evaluated 485 of 515 (94%) patients discharged after implantation of the HM3 LVAD. Preimplant (baseline), implant surgery, and index hospitalization characteristics were analyzed individually, and as multivariable predictors for mortality risk through 5 years. RESULTS: Cumulative 5-year mortality in the cohort (median age: 62 years, 80% male, 65% White, 61% destination therapy due to transplant ineligibility) was 38%. Two preimplant characteristics (elevated blood urea nitrogen and prior coronary artery bypass graft or valve procedure) and 3 postimplant characteristics (hemocompatibility-related adverse events, ventricular arrhythmias, and estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at discharge) were predictors of 5-year mortality. In 171 of 485 patients (35.3%) without any risk predictors, 5-year mortality was reduced to 22.6% (95% CI: 15.4%-32.7%). Even among those with 1 or more predictors, mortality was <50% at 5 years (45.7% [95% CI: 39.0%-52.8%]). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term survival in successfully discharged HM3 LVAD recipients is largely influenced by clinical events experienced during the index surgical hospitalization in tandem with baseline factors, with mortality of <50% at 5 years. In patients without identified predictors of risk, long-term 5-year mortality is low and rivals that achieved with heart transplantation, even though most were implanted with destination therapy intent. (MOMENTUM 3 IDE Clinical Study Protocol, NCT02224755; MOMENTUM 3 Pivotal Cohort Extended Follow-up PAS, NCT03982979).


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Heart-Assist Devices , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Coronary Artery Bypass , Heart Failure/therapy , Hospitalization , Patient Discharge
5.
Per Med ; 20(3): 251-269, 2023 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37403731

ABSTRACT

Nanosensors are nanoscale devices that measure physical attributes and convert these signals into analyzable information. In preparation, for the impending reality of nanosensors in clinical practice, we confront important questions regarding the evidence supporting widespread device use. Our objectives are to demonstrate the value and implications for new nanosensors as they relate to the next phase of remote patient monitoring and to apply lessons learned from digital health devices through real-world examples.


Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care , Technology , Humans
6.
JACC Basic Transl Sci ; 8(6): 720-727, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37426527

ABSTRACT

The win ratio was introduced into cardiovascular trials as a potentially better way of analyzing composite endpoints to account for the hierarchy of clinical significance of their components and to facilitate the inclusion of recurrent events. The basic concept of the win ratio is to define a hierarchy of clinical importance within the components of the composite outcome, form all possible pairs by comparing every subject in the treatment group with every subject in the control group, and then evaluate each pair for the occurrence of the components of the composite outcome in descending order of importance, starting at the most important and progressing down the hierarchy if the outcome does not result in a win in either pair until pairs are tied for the outcome after exhaustion of all components. Although the win ratio offers a novel method of depiction of outcomes in clinical trials, its advantages may be counterbalanced by several fallacies (such as ignoring ties and weighting each hierarchal component equally) and challenges in appropriate clinical interpretation (establishing clinical meaningfulness of the observed effect size). From this perspective, we discuss these and other fallacies and provide a suggested framework to overcome such limitations to enhance utility of this statistical method across the clinical trial enterprise.

8.
Int J Cardiol ; 373: 7-16, 2023 02 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36460208

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Low quantities of circulating progenitor cells (CPCs), specifically CD34+ populations, reflect impairment of intrinsic regenerative capacity. This study investigates the relationship between subsets of CPCs and adverse outcomes. METHODS: 1366 individuals undergoing angiography for evaluation of coronary artery disease (CAD) were enrolled into the Emory Cardiovascular Biobank. Flow cytometry identified CPCs as CD45med blood mononuclear cells expressing the CD34 epitope, with further enumeration of hematopoietic CPCs as CD133+/CXCR4+ cells and endothelial CPCs as vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-2 (VEGFR2+) cells. Adjusted Cox or Fine and Gray's sub-distribution hazard regression models analyzed the relationship between CPCs and 1) all-cause death and 2) a composite of cardiovascular death and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: Over a median 3.1-year follow-up period (IQR 1.3-4.9), there were 221 (16.6%) all-cause deaths and 172 (12.9%) cardiovascular deaths/MIs. Hematopoietic CPCs were highly correlated, and the CD34+/CXCR4+ subset was the best independent predictor. Lower counts (≤median) of CD34+/CXCR4+ and CD34+/VEGFR2+ cells independently predicted all-cause mortality (HR 1.46 [95% CI 1.06-2.01], p = 0.02 and 1.59 [95% CI 1.15-2.18], p = 0.004) and cardiovascular death/MI (HR 1.50 [95% CI 1.04-2.17], p = 0.03 and 1.47 [95% CI 1.01-2.03], p = 0.04). A combination of low CD34+/CXCR4+ and CD34+/VEGFR2+ CPCs predicted all-cause death (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.4-3.0; p = 0.0002) and cardiovascular death/MI (HR 2.0, 95% CI 1.3-3.2; p = 0.002) compared to those with both lineages above the cut-offs. CONCLUSIONS: Lower levels of hematopoietic and endothelial CPCs indicate diminished endogenous regenerative capacity and independently correlate with greater mortality and cardiovascular risk in patients with CAD.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Disease , Myocardial Infarction , Humans , Coronary Artery Disease/diagnostic imaging , Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A/metabolism , Stem Cells , Heart , Antigens, CD34/metabolism
9.
JACC Heart Fail ; 2023 Dec 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38180429

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Gender and racial disparities exist after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. Compared with older devices, the HeartMate 3 (HM3) (Abbott Cardiovascular) has demonstrated improved survival. Whether HM3 differentially improves outcomes by gender or race and ethnic groups is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study is to examine differences by gender and race in the use of HM3 among patients listed for heart transplantation (HT) and associated waitlist and post-transplant outcomes. METHODS: The authors examined all patients (20% women, 33% Black) who received LVADs as bridge to transplantation (BTT) between January 2018 and June 2020, in the OPTN (Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network) database. Trends in use of HM3 were evaluated by gender and race. Competing events of death/delisting and transplantation were evaluated using subdistribution hazard models. Post-transplant outcomes were evaluated using multivariate logistic regression adjusted for demographic, clinical, and donor characteristics. RESULTS: Of 11,524 patients listed for HT during the study period, 955 (8.3%) had HM3 implanted as BTT. Use of HM3 increased for all patients, with no difference in use by gender (P = 0.4) or by race (P = 0.2). Competing risk analysis did not demonstrate differences in transplantation or death/delisting in men compared with women (HT: adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.92 [95% CI: 0.70-1.21]; death/delisting: aHR: 0.91 [95% CI: 0.59-1.42]), although Black patients were transplanted fewer times than White patients (HT: aHR: 0.72 [95% CI: 0.57-0.91], death/delisting: aHR: 1.36 [95% CI: 0.98-1.89]). One-year post-transplant survival was comparable by gender (aHR: 0.52 [95% CI: 0.21-1.70]) and race (aHR: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.34-1.70]), with no differences in rates of stroke, acute rejection, or graft failure. CONCLUSIONS: Use of HM3 among patients listed for HT has increased over time and by gender and race. Black patients with HM3 were less likely to be transplanted compared with White patients, but there were no differences in post-transplant outcomes between these groups or between men and women.

10.
JACC Heart Fail ; 10(12): 948-959, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36456068

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials inform on average efficacy, but individualized risk assessments for outcome prediction are important in guiding treatment implementation. OBJECTIVES: The authors developed and validated a patient-specific risk score to predict survival at 1 and 2 years after HeartMate 3 (HM3) left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. METHODS: The MOMENTUM 3 (Multicenter Study of MagLev Technology in Patients Undergoing Mechanical Circulatory Support Therapy with HeartMate 3) trial includes 2,200 HM3 LVAD patients in the pivotal trial and Continued Access Protocol study (2014-2018). The authors randomly assigned all patients to a derivation cohort (n = 1,540) or validation cohort (n = 660). Univariate mortality predictors were screened for potential model inclusion, stepwise selection was used to build the multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model, and performance (discrimination and calibration) was evaluated. RESULTS: Age, prior cardiac surgery (coronary artery bypass grafting [CABG] or valve procedure), lower serum sodium, higher blood urea nitrogen (BUN), small left ventricular size, and right atrial pressure-to-pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (RAP/PCWP) ratio >0.6 were significant risk factors for mortality. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis in the validation cohort demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.70-0.81) at 1 year and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.66-0.77) at 2 years. Calibration between predicted and observed survival of the risk quintiles was high, with Pearson correlation coefficients of 0.986 and 0.994 at 1 and 2 years, respectively. Patients were successfully stratified into tertiles with higher-than-average, average, and lower-than-average survival, and observed mortality risk increased by 2-fold from one tertile to the next. CONCLUSIONS: A practical, easy-to-use HM3 Survival Risk Score with 6 components was developed to accurately predict 1- and 2-year survival after HM3 LVAD implantation. The survival risk score can be used to provide individual survival estimates to facilitate shared decision making when considering HM3 LVAD therapy. (MOMENTUM 3 Trial Portfolio; NCT02224755, NCT02892955).


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Heart-Assist Devices , Humans , Heart Failure/therapy , Risk Factors , Pulmonary Wedge Pressure , Risk Assessment
11.
Eur Heart J Suppl ; 24(Suppl L): L45-L48, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36545232

ABSTRACT

The burden of heart failure remains substantial worldwide, and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) affects approximately half of this population. Despite this global prevalence of HFrEF, the majority of contemporary clinical trials in HFrEF have underenrolled individuals from minoritized sex, gender, race, ethnicity, and socioeconomic groups. Moreover, significant disparities in access to HFrEF treatment and outcomes exist across these same strata. We provide a call to action for the inclusion of diverse populations in HFrEF clinical trials; catalogue several barriers to adequate representation in HFrEF clinical trials; and propose strategies to broaden inclusivity in future HFrEF trials.

13.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes ; 15(8): e008612, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35862003

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has disproportionately affected low-income and racial/ethnic minority populations in the United States. However, it is unknown whether hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from socially vulnerable communities experience higher rates of death and/or major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Thus, we evaluated the association between county-level social vulnerability and in-hospital mortality and MACE in a national cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Our study population included patients with COVID-19 in the American Heart Association COVID-19 Cardiovascular Disease Registry across 107 US hospitals between January 14, 2020 to November 30, 2020. The Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), a composite measure of community vulnerability developed by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, was used to classify the county-level social vulnerability of patients' place of residence. We fit a hierarchical logistic regression model with hospital-level random intercepts to evaluate the association of SVI with in-hospital mortality and MACE. RESULTS: Among 16 939 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the registry, 5065 (29.9%) resided in the most vulnerable communities (highest national quartile of SVI). Compared with those in the lowest quartile of SVI, patients in the highest quartile were younger (age 60.2 versus 62.3 years) and more likely to be Black adults (36.7% versus 12.2%) and Medicaid-insured (31.1% versus 23.0%). After adjustment for demographics (age, sex, race/ethnicity) and insurance status, the highest quartile of SVI (compared with the lowest) was associated with higher likelihood of in-hospital mortality (OR, 1.25 [1.03-1.53]; P=0.03) and MACE (OR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.05-1.50]; P=0.01). These findings were not attenuated after accounting for clinical comorbidities and acuity of illness on admission. CONCLUSIONS: Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 residing in more socially vulnerable communities experienced higher rates of in-hospital mortality and MACE, independent of race, ethnicity, and several clinical factors. Clinical and health system strategies are needed to improve health outcomes for socially vulnerable patients.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cardiovascular Diseases , Adult , American Heart Association , COVID-19/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/therapy , Ethnicity , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Middle Aged , Minority Groups , Pandemics , Registries , Social Vulnerability , United States/epidemiology
16.
Clin Transplant ; 36(1): e14502, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34634150

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Caregiver support is considered necessary after heart transplant (HT) and left ventricular assist device (LVAD) for patients with end-stage heart failure (HF). Few studies have demonstrated how caregivers differ by gender and race, and whether that impacts therapy eligibility. METHODS: We examined caregiver relationships among 674 patients (32% women, 55% Black) evaluated at Emory University from 2011 to 2017. Therapy readiness was assessed using the Stanford Integrated Assessment for Transplant (SIPAT). Evaluation outcome according to caregiver relationship was compared using χ2 analysis. Multivariable logistic regression determined the association between caregiver and eligibility according to gender and race. RESULTS: Women and Black patients were less likely to have spouses as their support person (P < .001). Women were less likely to be considered eligible for advanced therapies (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] .64, 95% confidence interval [CI] .46-.89; P = .008), with Black women having lower eligibility than White women (aOR .28, 95% CI .11-.72; P = .008). Social support and SIPAT scores did not significantly influence eligibility by gender or race. CONCLUSION: Lack of caregiver support is considered a relative contraindication to advanced therapies. Type of caregiver in our cohort varied according to race and gender but did not explain differences in eligibility for advanced therapies.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Heart Transplantation , Heart-Assist Devices , Caregivers , Female , Heart Failure/therapy , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies
17.
ASAIO J ; 68(1): 21-27, 2022 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34156789

ABSTRACT

Females have increased risk of right-ventricular failure (RVF) and 3 month mortality after left-ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. In this translational study, we tested the hypothesis that sex differences in outcomes are driven by pump-induced LV size-volume mismatch, due to a negative impact on interventricular septal (IVS) interdependence. Adult continuous-flow LVAD recipients from the International Society For Heart And Lung Transplantation Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support registry (n = 15,498) were studied to determine association of female sex with outcomes of 3 month mortality and RVF. Female sex was associated with smaller preimplant left-ventricular end-diastolic diameter (6.5 vs. 6.9 cm, p < 0.001), increased 3 month mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, p < 0.001) and RVF (OR: 1.18, p = 0.005). Smaller left-ventricular end-diastolic diameter was associated with worse outcomes after LVAD implantation (OR for mortality: 1.20, p < 0.001; RVF: 1.09, p < 0.001), and attenuated the association of female sex with these outcomes. In test bench heart phantoms (n = 4), the IVSs of smaller hearts demonstrated abnormal leftward shift earlier than larger hearts (volume change at IVS shift: 40 [95% confidence interval: 30-52] vs. 50 [95% confidence interval: 48-69] ml). Smaller LV size partially mediates worse post-LVAD outcomes for female patients, due to lower volume thresholds for adverse IVS shifting.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Heart-Assist Devices , Ventricular Dysfunction, Right , Adult , Female , Heart Failure/surgery , Heart-Assist Devices/adverse effects , Humans , Male , Odds Ratio , Registries , Retrospective Studies
18.
J Biomol Struct Dyn ; 40(12): 5606-5622, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33438526

ABSTRACT

ATAD2 has recently been shown to promote stomach cancer. However, nothing is known about the functional network of ATAD2 in stomach carcinogenesis. This study illustrates the oncogenic potential of ATAD2 and the participation of its ATPase and bromodomain in stomach malignancy. Expression of ATAD2 in stomach cancer is analyzed by in silico and in vitro techniques including western blot and immunofluorescence microscopy of stomach cancer cells (SCCs) and tissues. The oncogenic potential of ATAD2 is examined thoroughly using genetic alterations, driver gene prediction, survival analysis, identification of interacting partners, and analysis of canonical pathways. To understand the protein-protein interactions (PPI) at residue level, molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulations (1200 ns) are performed. Enhanced expression of ATAD2 is observed in H. pylori-infected SCCs, patient biopsy tissues, and all stages and grades of stomach cancer. High expression of ATAD2 is found to be negatively correlated with the survival of stomach cancer patients. ATAD2 is a cancer driver gene with 37 mutational sites and a predictable factor for stomach cancer prognosis with high accuracy. The top canonical pathways of ATAD2 indicate its participation in stomach malignancy. The ATAD2-PPI in stomach cancer identify top-ranked partners; ESR1, SUMO2, SPTN2, and MYC show preference for the bromodomain whereas NCOA3 and HDA11 have preference for the ATPase domain of ATAD2. The oncogenic characterization of ATAD2 provides strong evidence to consider ATAD2 as a stomach cancer biomarker. These studies offer an insight for the first time into the ATAD2-PPI interface presenting a novel target for cancer therapeutics. Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.


Subject(s)
Adenosine Triphosphatases , Stomach Neoplasms , ATPases Associated with Diverse Cellular Activities/chemistry , ATPases Associated with Diverse Cellular Activities/genetics , ATPases Associated with Diverse Cellular Activities/metabolism , Adenosine Triphosphatases/chemistry , Carcinogenesis/genetics , DNA-Binding Proteins/chemistry , Humans , Molecular Docking Simulation , Stomach Neoplasms/genetics
19.
BMJ Open ; 11(7): e048086, 2021 07 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34301657

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic adversely affected the socially vulnerable and minority communities in the USA initially, but the temporal trends during the year-long pandemic remain unknown. OBJECTIVE: We examined the temporal association of county-level Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), a percentile-based measure of social vulnerability to disasters, its subcomponents and race/ethnic composition with COVID-19 incidence and mortality in the USA in the year starting in March 2020. METHODS: Counties (n=3091) with ≥50 COVID-19 cases by 6 March 2021 were included in the study. Associations between SVI (and its subcomponents) and county-level racial composition with incidence and death per capita were assessed by fitting a negative-binomial mixed-effects model. This model was also used to examine potential time-varying associations between weekly number of cases/deaths and SVI or racial composition. Data were adjusted for percentage of population aged ≥65 years, state-level testing rate, comorbidities using the average Hierarchical Condition Category score, and environmental factors including average fine particulate matter of diameter ≥2.5 µm, temperature and precipitation. RESULTS: Higher SVI, indicative of greater social vulnerability, was independently associated with higher COVID-19 incidence (adjusted incidence rate ratio per 10 percentile increase: 1.02, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.03, p<0.001) and death per capita (1.04, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.05, p<0.001). SVI became an independent predictor of incidence starting from March 2020, but this association became weak or insignificant by the winter, a period that coincided with a sharp increase in infection rates and mortality, and when counties with higher proportion of white residents were disproportionately represented ('third wave'). By spring of 2021, SVI was again a predictor of COVID-19 outcomes. Counties with greater proportion of black residents also observed similar temporal trends in COVID-19-related adverse outcomes. Counties with greater proportion of Hispanic residents had worse outcomes throughout the duration of the analysis. CONCLUSION: Except for the winter 'third wave', when majority of the white communities had the highest incidence of cases, counties with greater social vulnerability and proportionately higher minority populations experienced worse COVID-19 outcomes.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Ethnicity , Health Status Disparities , Humans , Incidence , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , United States/epidemiology
20.
medRxiv ; 2021 Jun 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34127982

ABSTRACT

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic adversely affected the socially vulnerable and minority communities in the U.S. initially, but the temporal trends during the year-long pandemic remain unknown. Objective: We examined the temporal association between the county-level Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), a percentile-based measure of social vulnerability to disasters, its subcomponents and race/ethnic composition with COVID-19 incidence and mortality in the U.S. in the year starting in March 2020. Methods: Counties (n=3091) with ≥ 50 COVID-19 cases by March 6th, 2021 were included in the study. Associations between SVI (and its subcomponents) and county level racial composition with the incidence and death per capita were assessed by fitting a negative-binomial mixed-effects model. This model was also used to examine potential time varying associations between weekly number of cases/deaths and SVI or racial composition. Data was adjusted for percentage of population aged ≥65 years, state level testing rate, comorbidities using the average Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC) score, and environmental factors including average fine particulate matter (PM2.5), temperature and precipitation. Results: Higher SVI, indicative of greater social vulnerability, was independently associated with higher COVID-19 incidence (adjusted incidence rate ratio [IRR] per-10 percentile increase:1.02, (95% CI 1.02, 1.03, p<0.001), and death per capita (1.04, (95% CI 1.04, 1.05, p<0.001). SVI became an independent predictor of incidence starting from March 2020, but this association became weak or insignificant by the winter, a period that coincided with a sharp increase in infection rates and mortality, and when counties with higher proportion of White residents were disproportionately represented ("third wave"). By Spring of 2021, SVI was again a predictor of COVID-19 outcomes. Counties with greater proportion of Black residents also observed similar temporal trends COVID-19-related adverse outcomes. Counties with greater proportion of Hispanic residents had worse outcomes throughout the duration of the analysis. Conclusion: Except for the winter "third wave" when majority White communities had the highest incidence of cases, counties with greater social vulnerability and proportionately higher minority populations, experienced worse COVID-19 outcomes.

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