SARS-CoV-2 and pregnancy outcomes under universal and non-universal testing in Sweden: register-based nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and pregnancy outcomes considering testing policy and test-positivity-to-delivery interval. DESIGN: Nationwide cohort study. SETTING: Sweden. POPULATION: From the Pregnancy-Register we identified 88 593 singleton births, 11 March 2020-31 January 2021, linked to data on SARS-CoV-2-positivity from the Public Health Agency, and information on neonatal care admission from the Neonatal Quality Register. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were estimated stratified by testing-policy and test-positivity-to-delivery interval. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Five-minute Apgar score, neonatal care admission, stillbirth and preterm birth. RESULTS: During pregnancy, SARS-CoV-2 test-positivity was 5.4% (794/14 665) under universal testing and 1.9% (1402/73 928) under non-universal testing. There were generally lower risks associated with SARS-CoV-2 under universal than non-universal testing. In women testing positive >10 days from delivery, generally no significant differences in risk were observed under either testing policy. Neonatal care admission was more common (15.3% versus 8.0%; aOR 2.24, 95% CI 1.62-3.11) in women testing positive ≤10 days before delivery under universal testing. There was no significant association with 5-minute Apgar score below 7 (1.0% versus 1.7%; aOR 0.64, 95% CI 0.24-1.72) or stillbirth (0.3% versus 0.4%; aOR 0.72, 95% CI 0.10-5.20). Compared with term births (2.1%), test-positivity was higher in medically indicated preterm birth (5.7%; aOR 2.70, 95% CI 1.60-4.58) but not significantly increased in spontaneous preterm birth (2.3%; aOR 1.12, 95% CI 0.62-2.02). CONCLUSIONS: Testing policy and timing of test-positivity impact associations between SARS-CoV-2-positivity and pregnancy outcomes. Under non-universal testing, women with complications near delivery are more likely to be tested than women without complications, thereby inflating any association with adverse pregnancy outcomes compared with findings under universal testing. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Testing policy and time from SARS-CoV-2 infection to delivery influence the association with pregnancy outcomes.

Risk of pre-eclampsia after gastric bypass: a matched cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether gastric bypass before pregnancy is associated with reduced risk of pre-eclampsia. DESIGN: Nationwide matched cohort study. SETTING: Swedish national health care. POPULATION: A total of 843 667 singleton pregnancies without pre-pregnancy hypertension were identified in the Swedish Medical Birth Register between 2007 and 2014, of which 2930 had a history of gastric bypass and a pre-surgery weight available from the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry. Two matched control groups (pre-surgery and early-pregnancy body mass index [BMI]) were propensity score matched separately for nulliparous and parous births, to post-gastric bypass pregnancies (npre-surgery-BMI = 2634:2634/nearly-pregnancy-BMI = 2766:2766) on pre-surgery/early-pregnancy BMI, diabetes status (pre-surgery/pre-conception), maternal age, early-pregnancy smoking status, educational level, height, country of birth, delivery year and history of pre-eclampsia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Pre-eclampsia categorised into any, preterm onset (<37+0 weeks) and term onset (≥37+0 weeks). RESULTS: In post-gastric bypass pregnancies, mean pre-surgery BMI was 42.9 kg/m2 and mean BMI loss between surgery and early pregnancy was 14.0 kg/m2 (39 kg). Post-gastric bypass pregnancies had lower risk of pre-eclampsia compared with pre-surgery BMI-matched controls (1.7 versus 9.7 per 100 pregnancies; hazard ratio [HR] 0.21, 95% CI 0.15-0.28) and early-pregnancy BMI-matched controls (1.9 versus 5.0 per 100 pregnancies; HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.33-0.60). Although relative risks for pre-eclampsia for post-gastric bypass pregnancies versus pre-surgery matched controls was similar, absolute risk differences (RD) were significantly greater for nulliparous women (RD -13.6 per 100 pregnancies, 95% CI -16.1 to -11.2) versus parous women (RD -4.4 per 100 pregnancies, 95% CI -5.7 to -3.1). CONCLUSION: We found that gastric bypass was associated with lower risk of pre-eclampsia, with the largest absolute risk reduction among nulliparous women. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: In this large study including two comparison groups matched for pre-surgery or early-pregnancy BMI, gastric bypass was associated with lower risk of pre-eclampsia.

Effectiveness of Drugs in Routine Care: A Model for Sequential Monitoring of New Medicines Using Dronedarone as Example.

Although there is no doubt about the scientific value of randomized controlled clinical trials, they are usually conducted in selected populations different from those treated in clinical practice. Therefore, it is important to optimize real-time postmarketing evaluation of the effectiveness, safety, and cost of new drugs. Using electronic health records and administrative health databases from a well-defined region with universal access to healthcare, we have built a framework for real-time sequential monitoring of the effectiveness of newly marketed drugs in routine care. We chose the antiarrhythmic agent dronedarone as the study drug and flecainide as the comparator drug for illustration of the model. We demonstrate that this model produces consistent results with increasing precision over time as data accumulates in the clinical systems. We believe that use of this model at the introduction of new drugs can provide complementary evidence, especially in settings of adaptive licensing of new drugs.

Body size and risk of atrial fibrillation: a cohort study of 1.1 million young men.

BACKGROUND: Whilst tall stature has been related to lower risk of vascular disease, it has been proposed as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation. Little is known about other anthropometric measures and their joint effects on risk of atrial fibrillation. OBJECTIVES: We aim to investigate associations and potential joint effects of height, weight, body surface area (BSA) and body mass index (BMI) with risk of atrial fibrillation. METHODS: In a cohort covering 1 153 151 18-year-old men participating in the Swedish military conscription (1972-1995), Cox regression was used to investigate associations of height, weight, BSA and BMI with risk of atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: During a median of 26.3 years of follow-up, higher height was associated with higher risk of atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio [HR] 2.80; 95% CI 2.63-2.98; for 5th vs. 1st quintile) and so was larger BSA (HR 3.05; 95% CI 2.82-3.28; for 5th vs. 1st quintile). Higher weight and BMI were to a lesser extent associated with risk of atrial fibrillation (BMI: 1.42; 95% CI 1.33-1.52, for 5th vs. 1st quintile). We found a multiplicative joint effect of height and weight. Adjusting for muscle strength, exercise capacity and diseases related to atrial fibrillation attenuated these measures. CONCLUSIONS: Higher height and weight are strongly associated with higher risk of atrial fibrillation. These associations are multiplicative and independent of each other and are summarized in a strong association of body surface area with risk of atrial fibrillation. The mechanisms remain unknown but may involve increased atrial volume load with larger body size.

Childhood onset inflammatory bowel disease and risk of cancer: a Swedish nationwide cohort study 1964-2014.

Objective To assess risk of cancer in patients with childhood onset inflammatory bowel disease in childhood and adulthood.Design Cohort study with matched general population reference individuals using multivariable Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios.Setting Swedish national patient register (both inpatient and non-primary outpatient care) 1964-2014.Participants Incident cases of childhood onset (<18 years) inflammatory bowel disease (n=9405: ulcerative colitis, n=4648; Crohn's disease, n=3768; unclassified, n=989) compared with 92 870 comparators from the general population matched for sex, age, birth year, and county.Main outcome measures Any cancer and cancer types according to the Swedish Cancer Register.Results During follow-up through adulthood (median age at end of follow-up 27 years), 497 (3.3 per 1000 person years) people with childhood onset inflammatory bowel disease had first cancers, compared with 2256 (1.5 per 1000 person years) in the general population comparators (hazard ratio 2.2, 95% confidence interval 2.0 to 2.5). Hazard ratios for any cancer were 2.6 in ulcerative colitis (2.3 to 3.0) and 1.7 in Crohn's disease (1.5 to 2.1). Patients also had an increased risk of cancer before their 18th birthday (2.7, 1.6 to 4.4; 20 cancers in 9405 patients, 0.6 per1000 person years). Gastrointestinal cancers had the highest relative risks, with a hazard ratio of 18.0 (14.4 to 22.7) corresponding to 202 cancers in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. The increased risk of cancer (before 25th birthday) was similar over time (1964-1989: 1.6, 1.0 to 2.4; 1990-2001: 2.3, 1.5 to 3.3); 2002-06: 2.9, 1.9 to 4.2; 2007-14: 2.2, 1.1 to 4.2).Conclusion Childhood onset inflammatory bowel disease is associated with an increased risk of any cancer, especially gastrointestinal cancers, both in childhood and later in life. The higher risk of cancer has not fallen over time.

Anti-TNF treatment in Crohn's disease and risk of bowel resection-a population based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: TNF inhibitors (TNFi) have been shown to reduce the need for surgery in Crohn's disease, but few studies have examined their effect beyond the first year of treatment. AIM: To conduct a register-based observational cohort study in Sweden 2006-2014 to investigate the risk of bowel resection in bowel surgery naïve TNFi-treated Crohn's disease patients and whether patients on TNFi ≥12 months are less likely to undergo bowel resection than patients discontinuing treatment before 12 months. METHODS: We identified all individuals in Sweden with Crohn's disease through the Swedish National Patient Register 1987-2014 and evaluated the incidence of bowel resection after first ever dispensation of adalimumab or infliximab from 2006 and up to 7 years follow-up. RESULTS: We identified 1856 Crohn's disease patients who had received TNFi. Among these patients, 90% treatment retention was observed at 6 months after start of TNFi and 65% remained on the drug after 12 months. The cumulative rates of surgery in Crohn's disease patients exposed to TNFi years 1-7 were 7%, 13%, 17%, 20%, 23%, 25% and 28%. Rates of bowel resection were similar between patients with TNFi survival <12 months and ≥12 months respectively (P=.27). No predictors (eg, sex, age, extension or duration of disease) for bowel resection were identified. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of bowel resection after start of anti-TNF treatment is higher in regular health care than in published RCTs. Patients on sustained TNFi treatment beyond 12 months have bowel resection rates similar to those who discontinue TNFi treatment earlier.

Prevalence of paediatric inflammatory bowel disease in Sweden: a nationwide population-based register study.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the impact of different case definition algorithms on the prevalence of paediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) and to compare the occurrence of certain diseases compared to matched controls. METHODS: Paediatric patients (<18 years) were identified via ICD codes for UC and CD in Swedish registers between 1993 and 2010 (n = 1432). Prevalence was defined as ≥2 IBD-related visits. Prevalence of treated children in 2010 was defined as ≥2 IBD-related visits with one visit and ≥1 dispensed IBD-related drug prescription in 2010. To test the robustness of the estimates, prevalence was also calculated according to alternative case definitions. The presence of rheumatic, hepatobiliary, pancreatic, and dermatologic diseases were compared with age-/sex-/county-of-residence-matched general population controls. RESULTS: The IBD prevalence was 75/100,000 (CD: 29/100,000; UC: 30/100,000; patients with IBD-U: 16/100,000). Prevalence of treated disease in 2010 was 62/100,000 (CD: 23/100,000; UC: 25/100,000; patients with IBD-U: 13/100,000). When age restrictions were employed, the prevalence estimate decreased (<17y: 61/100,000, <16y: 49/100,000 and <15y: 38/100,000). Compared to general population controls (n = 8583), children with IBD had a higher prevalence of dermatologic (4.7% vs. 0.6%), hepatobiliary (including primary sclerosing cholangitis) (5.5% vs. 0.1%), pancreatic (1.7% vs. 0%) and rheumatic diseases (7.2% vs. 1.2%; all P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The overall prevalence of paediatric IBD in Sweden was similar to that in earlier regional cohorts. IBD patients had a higher prevalence of comorbid conditions than matched general population controls.

Predictors of work disability after start of anti-TNF therapy in a national cohort of Swedish patients with rheumatoid arthritis: does early anti-TNF therapy bring patients back to work?

OBJECTIVES: To examine predictors of work ability gain and loss after anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) start, respectively, in working-age patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with a special focus on disease duration. METHODS: Patients with RA, aged 19-62 years, starting their first TNF inhibitor 2006-2009 with full work ability (0 sick leave/disability pension days during 3 months before bio-start; n=1048) or no work ability (90 days; n=753) were identified in the Swedish biologics register (Anti-Rheumatic Treatment In Sweden, ARTIS) and sick leave/disability pension days retrieved from the Social Insurance Agency. Outcome was defined as work ability gain ≥50% for patients without work ability at bio-start and work ability loss ≥50% for patients with full work ability, and survival analyses conducted. Baseline predictors including disease duration, age, sex, education level, employment, Health Assessment Questionnaire, Disease Activity Score 28 and relevant comorbidities were estimated using Cox regression. RESULTS: During 3 years after anti-TNF start, the probability of regaining work ability for totally work-disabled patients was 35% for those with disease duration <5 years and 14% for disease duration ≥5 years (adjusted HR 2.1 (95% CI 1.4 to 3.2)). For patients with full work ability at bio-start, disease duration did not predict work ability loss. Baseline disability pension was also a strong predictor of work ability gain after treatment start. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of work-disabled patients with RA who start anti-TNF therapy regain work ability. Those initiating treatment within 5 years of symptom onset have a more than doubled 3-year probability of regaining work ability compared with later treatment starts. This effect seems largely due to the impact of disease duration on disability pension status.

Cost-effectiveness of first trimester non-invasive fetal RHD screening for targeted antenatal anti-D prophylaxis in RhD-negative pregnant women: a model-based analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of first trimester non-invasive fetal RHD screening for targeted antenatal versus no routine antenatal anti-D prophylaxis (RAADP) or versus non-targeted RAADP. DESIGN: Model based on a population-based cohort study. SETTING: The Swedish health service. POPULATION: Intervention subjects in the underlying cohort study were RhD-negative pregnant women receiving first trimester fetal RHD screening followed by targeted anti-D in 2010-2011 (n = 6723). Historical comparators were RhD-negative women who delivered in 2008-2009 when standard care did not include RAADP (n = 7099). METHODS: Healthcare costs for the three strategies were included for the first and subsequent pregnancies. For the comparison with non-targeted RAADP, the immunisation rate was based on the observed rate for targeted therapy and adjusted downwards by removing the influence of false negatives. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Additional cost per RhD immunisation averted. RESULTS: Compared with RAADP, targeted prophylaxis was associated with fewer immunisations (0.19 versus 0.46% per pregnancy) and lower costs (cost-savings of €32 per RhD-negative woman). The savings were from lower costs during pregnancy and delivery, and lower costs of future pregnancies through fewer immunisations. Non-targeted anti-D was estimated to result in 0.06% fewer immunisations and an additional €16 in cost-savings per mother, compared with targeted anti-D. CONCLUSION: Based on effect data from a population-based cohort study, targeted prophylaxis was associated with lower immunisation risk and costs versus no RAADP. Based on effect data from theoretical calculations, non-targeted RAADP was predicted to result in lower costs and immunisation risk compared with targeted prophylaxis. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Fetal RHD screening and targeted prophylaxis resulted in lower immunisation risk and costs compared with no RAADP.

Risk of disability pension in patients following rectal cancer treatment and surgery.

BACKGROUND: Aspects of survivorship, such as long-term ability to work, are increasingly relevant owing to the improved survival of patients with rectal cancer. The aim of this study was to assess risk and determinants of disability pension (DP) in this patient group. METHODS: Using Swedish national clinical and population-based registers, patients with stage I-III rectal cancer aged 18-61 years in 1995-2009 were identified at diagnosis and matched with population comparators. Prospectively registered records of DP during follow-up were retrieved up to 2013. Non-proportional and proportional hazards models were used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) for DP annually and overall. Potential variations in risk by demographic and clinical factors were calculated, with relapse as a time-varying exposure. RESULTS: A total of 2815 patients were identified and compared with 13 465 population comparators. During a median follow-up of 6·0 (range 0-10) years, 23·3 per cent of the relapse-free patients and 10·3 per cent of the population comparators received DP (IRR 2·40, 95 per cent c.i. 2·17 to 2·65). An increased annual risk of DP was evident almost every year until the tenth year of follow-up. Abdominoperineal resection was associated with an increased DP risk compared with anterior resection (IRR 1·44, 1·19 to 1·75). Surgical complications (IRR 1·33, 1·10 to 1·62) and reoperation (IRR 1·42, 1·09 to 1·84), but not radiotherapy or chemotherapy, were associated with risk of DP. CONCLUSION: Relapse-free patients with rectal cancer of working age are at risk of disability pension.

Pregnancy and perinatal outcomes in women with polycystic ovary syndrome and twin births: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate pregnancy and perinatal outcomes in twin births among women with and without polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) diagnosis. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Sweden. POPULATION: We identified 20,965 women with twin births between 1995 and 2009 of whom 226 had a PCOS diagnosis through linkage between the Swedish Medical Birth Register and the Swedish National Patient Register. METHODS: Calculating risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using a log-binomial regression model and hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CI for preterm birth. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Preterm birth, low birthweight, caesarean section, pre-eclampsia, Apgar score <7 at 5 minutes and perinatal mortality. RESULTS: PCOS diagnosis in twin pregnancy was associated with increased risk of preterm delivery (51% versus 43%, RR 1.18 [95% CI 1.03-1.37]), particularly spontaneous preterm delivery (37% versus 28%; RR 1.30 [95% CI 1.09-1.55]) and very preterm birth (<32 weeks) (14% versus 8%, RR 1.62 [95% CI 1.10-2.37]). Twins of PCOS mothers had more often low birthweight (48% versus 39%, adjusted RR 1.40 [95% CI 1.09-1.80]). This difference disappeared when adjusting for gestational age. No risk difference was found for caesarean section, pre-eclampsia, low 5-minute Apgar score or perinatal mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of preterm delivery in twin pregnancies is increased by having a PCOS diagnosis. This should be considered in risk estimation and antenatal follow-up of twin pregnancies.

Sick leave and disability pension in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors by stage, treatment, and follow-up time--a population-based comparative study.

PURPOSE: This study seeks to investigate the long-term public health burden of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) in terms of work loss following contemporary treatment protocols and associations with established treatment complications and lymphoma relapse. METHODS: We identified 1,989 Swedish HL patients (1,082 with clinical information) aged 18-60 (median 33) years at diagnosis 1992-2009, and matched 1:4 to population comparators. Sick leave, disability pension (work loss), and comorbidity were retrieved through September 2013. Relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using Poisson regression, and mean lost work days were estimated yearly during follow-up. RESULTS: The risk of annual work loss was elevated in HL survivors versus comparators up to the 15th year post-diagnosis (RR(5th year) 1.64, 95% CI 1.46-1.84; RR(10th year) 1.33, 95% CI 1.15-1.34; and RR(15th year) 1.30, 95% CI 1.04-1.62). The risk remained elevated up to the 10th year after adjustment for secondary malignancies and cardiovascular disease (RR(10th year) 1.31, 95% CI 1.13-1.52). Advanced-stage patients had more lost days than comparators (mean number(5th year) 66 versus 33, mean difference 34, 95% CI 20-48) as did patients receiving 6-8 chemotherapy courses (62 versus 33, mean difference(5th year) 30, 95 % CI 17-43). Among patients in the first complete remission, a difference was still observed for advanced-stage (51 versus 33, mean difference(5th year) 19, 95% CI 5-34) but not early-stage disease. CONCLUSIONS: Advanced-stage HL survivors treated with full-dose chemotherapy were at increased risk of work loss, not only explained by relapse, secondary malignancies, or cardiovascular disease. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: The results call for increased awareness and evaluation of reasons for long-term work disability following intensive chemotherapy among young HL survivors.

How good is the coverage and how accurate are exposure data in the Swedish Biologics Register (ARTIS)?

OBJECTIVES: To assess the coverage of the Swedish Biologics Register (Anti-Rheumatic Therapy in Sweden, ARTIS) across indications, and the accuracy of the registered information on treatment with biologics. METHOD: Through cross-reference of ARTIS to almost complete national health registers on prescriptions (adalimumab and etanercept), outpatient visits, and death/residency during 2008-2010, we assessed: the treatment coverage of ARTIS for each treatment indication, the validity of the registered start and stop dates, ARTIS treatments with no corresponding drug dispensations, and the accuracy of the registered information on concomitant anti-rheumatic therapies. RESULTS: According to the national health registers, 3945 individuals with a spondyloarthropathy (SpA) and 8032 patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) had filled at least one adalimumab or etanercept prescription during the study period. Of these, 86% of those with SpAs and 95% of patients with RA were also found in ARTIS with the corresponding treatment. Tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitor prescriptions had been filled by 95% of patients between the ARTIS start and stop dates (allowing a 90-day window). More than 60 days before and more than 60 days after the registered start date in ARTIS, 5% and 4% respectively of patients had filled their first TNF inhibitor prescription. More than 90 days after the registered stop date in ARTIS, 8% of patients had filled one or more TNF inhibitor prescriptions. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a high coverage and accuracy of ARTIS data on biologics exposure, for both SpAs and RA. The combination of data from clinical registers such as ARTIS with data from national health registers offers a high quality measurement of actual treatment.

Drug survival on TNF inhibitors in patients with rheumatoid arthritis comparison of adalimumab, etanercept and infliximab.

OBJECTIVE: To compare drug survival on adalimumab, etanercept and infliximab in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Patients with RA (n=9139; 76% women; mean age 56 years) starting their first tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitor between 2003 and 2011 were identified in the Swedish Biologics Register (ARTIS). Data were collected through 31 December 2011. Drug survival over up to 5 years of follow-up was compared overall and by period of treatment start (2003-2005/2006-2009; n=3168/4184) with adjustment for age, sex, education, period, health assessment questionnaire (HAQ), disease duration, concomitant disease modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) treatment and general frailty (using hospitalisation history as proxy). RESULTS: During 20 198 person-years (mean/median 2.2/1.7 years) of follow-up, 3782 patients discontinued their first biological (19/100 person-years; 51% due to inefficacy, 36% due to adverse events). Compared with etanercept, infliximab (adjusted HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.51 to 1.77) and adalimumab initiators had higher discontinuation rates (1.26, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.37), and infliximab had a higher discontinuation rate than adalimumab (1.28, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.40). These findings were consistent across periods, but were modified by time for adalimumab versus etanercept (p<0.001; between-drug difference highest the 1st year in both periods). The discontinuation rate was higher for starters in 2006-2009 than 2003-2005 (adjusted HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.20). The composition of 1-year discontinuations also changed from 2003-2005 vs 2006-2009: adverse events decreased from 45% to 35%, while inefficacy increased from 43% to 53% (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Discontinuation rates were higher for infliximab compared with adalimumab and etanercept initiators, and for adalimumab versus etanercept during the 1st year. Discontinuation rates increased with calendar period, as did the percentage discontinuations due to inefficacy.

Risk of symptomatic gallstones and cholecystectomy after a very-low-calorie diet or low-calorie diet in a commercial weight loss program: 1-year matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Concern exists regarding gallstones as an adverse event of very-low-calorie diets (VLCDs; <800 kcal per day). OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk of symptomatic gallstones requiring hospital care and/or cholecystectomy in a commercial weight loss program using VLCD or low-calorie diet (LCD). DESIGN: A 1-year matched cohort study of consecutively enrolled adults in a commercial weight loss program conducted at 28 Swedish centers between 2006 and 2009. A 3-month weight loss phase of VLCD (500 kcal per day) or LCD (1200-1500 kcal per day) was followed by a 9-month weight maintenance phase. Matching (1:1) was performed by age, sex, body mass index, waist circumference and gallstone history (n=3320:3320). Gallstone and cholecystectomy data were retrieved from the Swedish National Patient Register. RESULTS: One-year weight loss was greater in the VLCD than in the LCD group (-11.1 versus -8.1 kg; adjusted difference, -2.8 kg, 95% CI -3.1 to -2.4; P<0.001). During 6361 person-years, 48 and 14 gallstones requiring hospital care occurred in the VLCD and LCD groups, respectively, (152 versus 44/10 000 person-years; hazard ratio, 3.4, 95% CI 1.8-6.3; P<0.001; number-needed-to-harm, 92, 95% CI 63-168; P<0.001). Of the 62 gallstone events, 38 (61%) resulted in cholecystectomy (29 versus 9; hazard ratio, 3.2, 95% CI 1.5-6.8; P=0.003; number-needed-to-harm, 151, 95% CI 94-377; P<0.001). Adjusting for 3-month weight loss attenuated the hazard ratios, but the risk remained higher with VLCD than LCD for gallstones (2.5, 95% CI 1.3-5.1; P=0.009) and became borderline for cholecystectomy (2.2, 95% CI 0.9-5.2; P=0.08). CONCLUSION: The risk of symptomatic gallstones requiring hospitalization or cholecystectomy, albeit low, was 3-fold greater with VLCD than LCD during the 1-year commercial weight loss program.

Nationwide prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease in Sweden: a population-based register study.

BACKGROUND: Regional studies on inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) suggest an increasing prevalence over time, but no nationwide estimate has been published so far. AIM: To estimate the IBD prevalence in 2010 in Sweden overall, by disease, and in specific patient segments. METHODS: Patients were identified according to international classification codes for ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease in in-patient care (1987-2010), day surgery and nonprimary out-patient care (1997-2010) in the nationwide Swedish Patient Register. RESULTS: Requiring two or more diagnoses of IBD in nonprimary care, a total of 61 344 individuals with physician-diagnosed IBD were alive in Sweden in 2010 (mean age 50 years; 51% men), corresponding to a prevalence of 0.65% (95% CI, 0.65-0.66). The prevalence increased with age, and peaked in women at ages 50-59 years and in men at ages 60-69 years. Adding the requirement of IBD as main (vs. main or contributory) diagnosis code, or diagnosis from an internal medicine/gastroenterology/surgery department did not change the prevalence estimate. Prevalence of actively treated disease (defined as two or more IBD-related visits, of which one occurred in 2010, plus at least one dispensed prescription of IBD-related drugs in 2010) was 0.27% (95% CI, 0.27-0.28). CONCLUSIONS: The Swedish nationwide register-based IBD prevalence was higher compared with previous Swedish and international estimates. While prevalence estimates were robust across different case definitions, once two or more visits were required, only about one-third of prevalent patients were drawing resources from specialised care in 2010.

IgA deficiency and mortality: a population-based cohort study.

IgA deficiency has been linked to increased morbidity but data on mortality is lacking. In this population-based prospective cohort study we examined mortality in patients with IgA deficiency compared with the general population. Through six university hospitals in Sweden we identified 2,495 individuals with IgA deficiency (IgA deficiency ≤0.07 mg/L) diagnosed between 1980 and 2012. Each patient with IgA deficiency was matched on age, sex, place of residence, and year of diagnosis with up to 10 general population controls (n = 24,509). Data on education level and emigration status were obtained from Statistics Sweden. Our main outcome measure was all-cause mortality retrieved from the nationwide Causes of Death Register, which includes >99 % of all deaths in Sweden. We used Cox regression to estimate mortality hazard ratios conditioned on the matching factors and adjusted for education level. During 25,367 person-years of follow-up (median 8.3), there were 260 deaths in the IgA deficiency group versus 1,599 deaths during 257,219 person-years (median 8.6) in the general population controls (102 versus 62 deaths per 10,000 person-years; incidence rate difference, 40, 95%CI 28­53, P < .001). This corresponded to a conditional mortality hazard ratio of 1.8 (95%CI 1.6­2.1, P < .001). Relative mortality varied by follow-up time (P < .001) from a hazard ratio of 3.6 (95%CI 2.5­5.3; P < .001) during the first year to 1.9 (95%CI 1.5­2.4; P < .001) year 1­4; 1.9 (95%CI 1.4­2.4; P < .001) year 5-9; 1.5 (1.0­2.2; P = .054) year 10­14.9; and 1.1 (0.7­1.6; P = .66) year 15­25. Effect modification was also seen by age in each stratum of follow-up time, with higher relative mortality in younger than older patients (P < .001). In conclusion, patients with IgA deficiency are at increased risk of death in the first 10 to 15 years after diagnosis.

Sick leave and disability pension before and after initiation of antirheumatic therapies in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate sick leave and disability pension in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in relation to the initiation of biological and non-biological antirheumatic therapies in clinical practice. METHODS: Patients aged 19-60 years initiating non-biological mono (n=2796) or combination disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy (n=973), or biological agents (n=4787) were identified in the Swedish Rheumatology Quality Register between 1999 and 2007. Sick leave and disability pension data (1995-2010) were retrieved from national registers. RESULTS: During the year before the start of mono DMARD, combination DMARD and biological treatment, 10%, 12% and 43% of patients received disability pension benefits, respectively. The corresponding combined annual sick leave and disability pension days were 78 (54+25), 132 (105+27) and 190 (79+111). Irrespective of treatment type, initiators were characterised by a history of increasing sick leave and disability pension. Treatment start was associated with a break in this trajectory: sick leave decreased while disability pension increased, resulting in a net stabilisation of total days. Higher levels of days on sick leave and disability pension at treatment start were observed in patients initiating biologics in 1999 (236 days/year) compared with 2007 (150 days/year; p<0.001), but the trajectory thereafter remained largely similar and contrasted markedly with the level in the general population. CONCLUSION: Sick leave and disability pension increased rapidly before the initiation of antirheumatic therapy, which was associated with a halt but not a reversal of this development. Work ability is a metric of importance for clinical practice, signalling large remaining needs in the RA population, and the need for intervention earlier in the disease process.

Small-area variations in sales of TNF inhibitors in Sweden between 2000 and 2009.

OBJECTIVE: To measure small-area variations in sales per capita of tumour necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors. METHODS: For 2000-2009, sales data on etanercept, infliximab, and adalimumab were retrieved from the Swedish National Corporation of Pharmacies, which keeps data on drugs dispensed in ambulatory care and hospitals. As points of reference, data were retrieved on all drugs, non-biologic treatments for chronic inflammatory disorders (sulfasalazine, methotrexate, azathioprine), and for a biologic used in a different therapeutic area (trastuzumab). As a corollary measure to sales per capita, penetration of biologics in the rheumatoid arthritis (RA) population was calculated using nationwide registers. Small areas were defined as the 21 counties of Sweden. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2009, annual TNF inhibitor sales increased 9-fold from 195 to 1779 million SEK (0.7-5.0% of total drug expenditure). The county variation in sales per capita, initially 6.2-fold (coefficient of variation 42%), decreased to 2.3-fold in 2009 (24%). During the same period, total drug expenditure per capita remained at a 1.2-fold county variation (4-6%). Sales per capita variations of non-biologic treatments against chronic inflammatory diseases ranged from 1.5 to 1.8 (12-16%). For trastuzumab, a 3.2-fold variation (30%) was observed in 2009. At the patient level, there was a 2-fold county variation (from 10% to 21%) in biologic penetration in RA. County-specific sales per capita were associated with mean RA duration (r = -0.52, p = 0.015) and C-reactive protein at treatment initiation (r = -0.49, p = 0.025), while pain was borderline significant (r = -0.43, p = 0.055). CONCLUSIONS: Despite universal access to treatment, substantial but decreasing small-area variations were observed. Although geographic variations are anticipated initially, their persistence calls for investigation of patient equity and treatment appropriateness as counties seem to have different initiation thresholds.