Non-invasive Predictors of Esophageal Varices With a High Risk of Bleeding in Pediatric Cirrhotic Patients.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate non-invasive predictive factors of varices with a high risk of bleeding in pediatric cirrhotic patients. METHODS: This retrospective, cross-sectional study included data from 158 children with cirrhosis, median age of 5.38 years (interquartile [IQ] 2.08-11.52 years), and no history of upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Patients underwent an endoscopy to screen for esophageal varices. Varices with a high risk of bleeding were defined as those with a medium to large caliber, presence of red spots, or the presence of gastric varices and identified as high-risk varices (HRV). Laboratory and clinical factors were evaluated as possible predictors of HRV. RESULTS: HRV were detected in 30 children (19%) after the first endoscopy. In the multivariate analysis, only the risk score (RS), as described by Park et al, and the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRi) were predictive of HRV. The best non-invasive predictor of HRV was the RS with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.764. When used a cut-off point of -1.2, the sensitivity of the RS was 90% and specificity was 53%. The use of RS or APRi correctly identified 96% of children with HRV. CONCLUSIONS: The described predictors allow the correct identification of patients with HRV. The association of RS >-1.2 or APRi >1.4 has a good sensitivity to identify HRV and to prevent unnecessary endoscopy in about one-third of children with no HRV.

Endoscopic prophylaxis and factors associated with bleeding in children with extrahepatic portal vein obstruction.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate factors associated with upper digestive hemorrhage and primary and secondary endoscopic prophylaxis outcomes in children with extrahepatic portal vein obstruction. METHODS: This observational and prospective study included 72 children with extrahepatic portal vein obstruction who were followed from 2005 to 2017. Risk factors associated with upper digestive hemorrhage and the results of primary and secondary prophylaxis of these patients were evaluated. RESULTS: Fifty patients (69.4%) had one or more episodes of bleeding during follow-up, with a median age at first hemorrhage of 4.81 years. The multivariate analysis showed that medium- to large-caliber esophageal varices were associated with an 18-fold risk of upper digestive hemorrhage (95% CI: 4.33-74.76; p < 0.0001). Primary prophylaxis was administered to 14 patients, with eradication in 85.7%; however, 14.3% of these patients had hemorrhages during the follow-up period and 41.7% had a relapse of varices. Secondary prophylaxis was administered to 41 patients. Esophageal varices were eradicated in 90.2% of patients. There were relapse and re-bleeding of esophageal varices in 45.9% and 34.1% of the children, respectively. CONCLUSION: Primary and secondary endoscopic prophylaxes showed high rates of esophageal varix eradication, but with significant relapses. Eradication of esophageal varices cannot definitively prevent recurrent upper digestive hemorrhage, since bleeding from alternate sites can occur. Medium- and large-caliber esophageal varices were associated with upper digestive hemorrhage in patients with extrahepatic portal vein obstruction. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this study is the first to evaluate bleeding risk factors in children with extrahepatic portal vein obstruction.