ABSTRACT
Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second leading cause of cancer-related death in American men after lung cancer. The current PCa diagnostic method, the serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test, is not specific, thus, alternatives are needed to avoid unnecessary biopsies and over-diagnosis of clinically insignificant PCa. To explore the application of metabolomics in such effort, urine samples were collected from 386 male adults aged 44-93 years, including 247 patients with biopsy-proven PCa and 139 with biopsy-proven negative results. The PCa-positive group was further subdivided into two groups: low-grade (ISUP Grade Group = 1; n = 139) and intermediate/high-grade (ISUP Grade Group ≥ 2; n = 108). Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in urine were extracted by stir bar sorptive extraction (SBSE) and analyzed using thermal desorption with gas chromatography and mass spectrometry (GC-MS). We used machine learning tools to develop and evaluate models for PCa diagnosis and prognosis. In total, 22,538 VOCs were identified in the urine samples. With regularized logistic regression, our model for PCa diagnosis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.99 and 0.88 for the training and testing sets respectively. Furthermore, the model for differentiating between low-grade and intermediate/high-grade PCa yielded an average AUC of 0.78 based on a repeated test-sample approach for cross-validation. These novel methods using urinary VOCs and logistic regression were developed to fill gaps in PCa screening and assessment of PCa grades prior to biopsy. Our study findings provide a promising alternative or adjunct to current PCa screening and diagnostic methods to better target patients for biopsy and mitigate the challenges associated with over-diagnosis and over-treatment of PCa.
ABSTRACT
The lack of accuracy in the current prostate specific antigen (PSA) test for prostate cancer (PCa) screening causes around 60-75% of unnecessary prostate biopsies. Therefore, alternative diagnostic methods that have better accuracy and can prevent over-diagnosis of PCa are needed. Researchers have examined various potential biomarkers for PCa, and of those fatty acids (FAs) markers have received special attention due to their role in cancer metabolomics. It has been noted that PCa metabolism prefers FAs over glucose substrates for continued rapid proliferation. Hence, we proposed using a urinary FAs based model as a non-invasive alternative for PCa detection. Urine samples collected from 334 biopsy-designated PCa positive and 232 biopsy-designated PCa negative subjects were analyzed for FAs and lipid related compounds by stir bar sorptive extraction coupled with gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (SBSE-GC/MS). The dataset was split into the training (70%) and testing (30%) sets to develop and validate logit models and repeated for 100 runs of random data partitioning. Over the 100 runs, we confirmed the stability of the models and obtained optimal tuning parameters for developing the final FA based model. A PSA model using the values of the patients' PSA test results was constructed with the same cohort for the purpose of comparing the performances of the FA model against PSA test. The FA final model selected 20 FAs and rendered an AUC of 0.71 (95% CI = 0.67-0.75, sensitivity = 0.48, and specificity = 0.83). In comparison, the PSA model performed with an AUC of 0.51 (95% CI = 0.46-0.66, sensitivity = 0.44, and specificity = 0.71). The study supports the potential use of urinary FAs as a stable and non-invasive alternative test for PCa diagnosis.
