Over- and underreporting of seizures: How big is the problem?

OBJECTIVE: Clinical decisions on managing epilepsy patients rely on patient accuracy regarding seizure reporting. Studies have noted disparities between patient-reported seizures and electroencephalographic (EEG) findings during video-EEG monitoring periods, chiefly highlighting underreporting of seizures, a well-recognized phenomenon. However, seizure overreporting is a significant problem discussed within the literature, although not in such a large cohort. Our aim is to quantify the over- and underreporting of seizures in a large cohort of ambulatory EEG patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective data analysis on 3407 patients referred to a diagnostic service for ambulatory video-EEG between 2020 and 2022. Both patient-reported events and events discovered on review of the video-EEG were analyzed and classified as epileptic, psychogenic (typically clinical motor events, without accompanying EEG change), or noncorrelated events (NCEs; without perceivable clinical or EEG change). Events were analyzed by state of arousal and indication for referral. Subgroup analysis was performed in patients with focal and generalized epilepsies. RESULTS: A total of 21 024 events were recorded by 3407 patients. Fifty-eight percent of reported events were NCEs, whereas 27% of all events were epileptic. Sixty-four percent of epileptic seizures were not reported by the patient but discovered by the clinical service on review of the recording. NCEs were in the highest proportion in the awake and drowsy arousal states and were the most common event type for the majority of referral indications. Subgroup analysis found a significantly higher proportion of NCEs in the patients with focal epilepsy (23%) compared to generalized epilepsy (10%; p < .001, chi-squared proportion test). SIGNIFICANCE: Our results reaffirm the phenomenon of underreporting and highlight the prevalence of overreporting. Overreporting likely represents irrelevant symptoms or electrographic discharges not represented on scalp electrodes, identification of which has important clinical relevance. Future studies should analyze events by risk factors to elucidate relationships clinicians can use and investigate the etiology of NCEs.

Diagnostic utility of prolonged ambulatory video-electroencephalography monitoring.

OBJECTIVES: Ambulatory video-electroencephalography (video-EEG) represents a low-cost, convenient and accessible alternative to inpatient video-EEG monitoring, however few studies have examined their diagnostic yield. In this large-scale retrospective study conducted in Australia, we evaluated the efficacy of prolonged ambulatory video-EEG recordings in capturing diagnostic events and resolving the referring question. METHODS: Sequential adult and paediatric ambulatory video-EEG reports from April 2020 to June 2021 were reviewed retrospectively. Data collection included patient demographics, clinical information, and details of events and EEG abnormalities. Clinical utility was assessed by examining i) time to first diagnostic event, and ii) ability to resolve the referring questions - seizure localisation, quantification, classification, and differentiation (differentiating seizures from non-epileptic events). RESULTS: Of the 600 reports analysed, 49 % captured at least one event, and 45 % captured interictal abnormalities (epileptiform or non-epileptiform). Seizures, probable psychogenic events (mostly non-convulsive), and other non-epileptic events occurred in 13 %, 23 % and 21 % of recordings respectively, with overlap. Unreported events were captured in 53 (9 %) recordings, and unreported seizures represented more than half of all seizures captured (51 %, 392/773). Nine percent of events were missing clinical, video or electrographic data. A diagnostic event occurred in 244 (41 %) recordings, of which 14 % were captured between the fifth and eighth day of recording. Reported event frequency ≥ 1/week was the only significant predictor of diagnostic event capture. In recordings with both seizures and psychogenic events, unrecognized seizures were frequent, and seizures may be missed if recording is terminated early. The referring question was resolved in 85 % of reports with at least one event, and 53 % of all reports. Specifically, this represented 46 % of reports (235/512) for differentiation of events, and 75 % of reports (27/36) for classification of seizures. CONCLUSION: Ambulatory video-EEG recordings are of high diagnostic value in capturing clinically relevant events and resolving the referring clinical questions.

Early discontinuation of ambulatory vEEG among individuals with intellectual disabilities: A retrospective chart review.

OBJECTIVE: This retrospective chart review aims to quantify the rate of patients with intellectual disability (ID) accessing an Australian ambulatory EEG service, and understand the clinical implications of discontinuing studies prematurely. METHODS: Electronic records of referrals, patient monitoring notes, and EEG reports were accessed retrospectively. Each referral was assessed to determine whether the patient had an ID. For each study where patients were discharged prematurely, the outcomes of their EEG report were assessed and compared between the ID and non-ID groups. Exploratory analysis was performed assessing the effects of age, the percentage of the requested monitoring undertaken, and outcome rates as a function of monitoring duration. RESULTS: There were significantly more patients in the ID group with early disconnection than the non-ID group (Chi squared test, p = 0.000). There was no significant difference in the rates of clinical outcomes between the ID and non-ID groups amongst patients who disconnected early. CONCLUSIONS: Although rates of early disconnection are higher in those with ID, study outcomes are largely similar between patients with and without ID in this retrospective analysis of an ambulatory EEG service. SIGNIFICANCE: Ambulatory EEG is a viable modality of EEG monitoring for patients with ID.

Deep learning for automated detection of generalized paroxysmal fast activity in Lennox-Gastaut syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: Generalized paroxysmal fast activity (GPFA) is a key electroencephalographic (EEG) feature of Lennox-Gastaut Syndrome (LGS). Automated analysis of scalp EEG has been successful in detecting more typical abnormalities. Automatic detection of GPFA has been more challenging, due to its variability from patient to patient and similarity to normal brain rhythms. In this work, a deep learning model is investigated for detection of GPFA events and estimating their overall burden from scalp EEG. METHODS: Data from 10 patients recorded during four ambulatory EEG monitoring sessions are used to generate and validate the model. All patients had confirmed LGS and were recruited into a trial for thalamic deep-brain stimulation therapy (ESTEL Trial). RESULTS: The correlation coefficient between manual and model estimates of event counts was r2 = 0.87, and for total burden was r2 = 0.91. The average GPFA detection sensitivity was 0.876, with an average false-positive rate of 3.35 per minute. There was no significant difference found between patients with early or delayed deep brain stimulation (DBS) treatment, or those with active vagal nerve stimulation (VNS). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the deep learning model was able to accurately detect GPFA and provide accurate estimates of the overall GPFA burden and electrographic event counts, albeit with a high false-positive rate. SIGNIFICANCE: Automated GPFA detection may enable automated calculation of EEG biomarkers of burden of disease in LGS.

Ambulatory video EEG extended to 10 days: A retrospective review of a large database of ictal events.

OBJECTIVE: This work aims to determine the ambulatory video electroencephalography monitoring (AVEM) duration and number of captured seizures required to resolve different clinical questions, using a retrospective review of ictal recordings. METHODS: Patients who underwent home-based AVEM had event data analyzed retrospectively. Studies were grouped by clinical indication: differential diagnosis, seizure type classification, or treatment assessment. The proportion of studies where the conclusion was changed after the first seizure was determined, as was the AVEM duration needed for at least 99% of studies to reach a diagnostic conclusion. RESULTS: The referring clinical question was not answered entirely by the first event in 29.6% (n = 227) of studies. Diagnostic and classification indications required a minimum of 7 days for at least 99% of studies to be answered, whilst treatment-assessment required at least 6 days. CONCLUSIONS: At least 7 days of monitoring, and potentially multiple events, are required to adequately answer these clinical questions in at least 99% of patients. The widely applied 72 h or single event recording cut-offs may be inadequate to adequately answer these three indications in a substantial proportion of patients. SIGNIFICANCE: Extended duration of monitoring and capturing multiple events should be considered when attempting to capture seizures on video-EEG.

Forecasting seizure likelihood from cycles of self-reported events and heart rate: a prospective pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Seizure risk forecasting could reduce injuries and even deaths in people with epilepsy. There is great interest in using non-invasive wearable devices to generate forecasts of seizure risk. Forecasts based on cycles of epileptic activity, seizure times or heart rate have provided promising forecasting results. This study validates a forecasting method using multimodal cycles recorded from wearable devices. METHOD: Seizure and heart rate cycles were extracted from 13 participants. The mean period of heart rate data from a smartwatch was 562 days, with a mean of 125 self-reported seizures from a smartphone app. The relationship between seizure onset time and phases of seizure and heart rate cycles was investigated. An additive regression model was used to project heart rate cycles. The results of forecasts using seizure cycles, heart rate cycles, and a combination of both were compared. Forecasting performance was evaluated in 6 of 13 participants in a prospective setting, using long-term data collected after algorithms were developed. FINDINGS: The results showed that the best forecasts achieved a mean area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.73 for 9/13 participants showing performance above chance during retrospective validation. Subject-specific forecasts evaluated with prospective data showed a mean AUC of 0.77 with 4/6 participants showing performance above chance. INTERPRETATION: The results of this study demonstrate that cycles detected from multimodal data can be combined within a single, scalable seizure risk forecasting algorithm to provide robust performance. The presented forecasting method enabled seizure risk to be estimated for an arbitrary future period and could be generalised across a range of data types. In contrast to earlier work, the current study evaluated forecasts prospectively, in subjects blinded to their seizure risk outputs, representing a critical step towards clinical applications. FUNDING: This study was funded by an Australian Government National Health & Medical Research Council and BioMedTech Horizons grant. The study also received support from the Epilepsy Foundation of America's 'My Seizure Gauge' grant.

Classification of Epileptic and Psychogenic Non-Epileptic Seizures Using Electroencephalography and Electrocardiography.

Patients with psychogenic non-epileptic seizures (PNES) may exhibit similar clinical features to patients with epileptic seizures (ES). Misdiagnosis of PNES and ES can lead to inappropriate treatment and significant morbidity. This study investigates the use of machine learning techniques for classification of PNES and ES based on electroencephalography (EEG) and electrocardiography (ECG) data. Video-EEG-ECG of 150 ES events from 16 patients and 96 PNES from 10 patients were analysed. Four preictal periods (time before event onset) in EEG and ECG data were selected for each PNES and ES event (60-45 min, 45-30 min, 30-15 min, 15-0 min). Time-domain features were extracted from each preictal data segment in 17 EEG channels and 1 ECG channel. The classification performance using k-nearest neighbour, decision tree, random forest, naive Bayes, and support vector machine classifiers were evaluated. The results showed the highest classification accuracy was 87.83% using the random forest on 15-0 min preictal period of EEG and ECG data. The performance was significantly higher using 15-0 min preictal period data than 30-15 min, 45-30 min, and 60-45 min preictal periods ( [Formula: see text]). The classification accuracy was improved from 86.37% to 87.83% by combining ECG data with EEG data ( [Formula: see text]). The study provided an automated classification algorithm for PNES and ES events using machine learning techniques on preictal EEG and ECG data.

Seizure occurrence is linked to multiday cycles in diverse physiological signals.

OBJECTIVE: The factors that influence seizure timing are poorly understood, and seizure unpredictability remains a major cause of disability. Work in chronobiology has shown that cyclical physiological phenomena are ubiquitous, with daily and multiday cycles evident in immune, endocrine, metabolic, neurological, and cardiovascular function. Additionally, work with chronic brain recordings has identified that seizure risk is linked to daily and multiday cycles in brain activity. Here, we provide the first characterization of the relationships between the cyclical modulation of a diverse set of physiological signals, brain activity, and seizure timing. METHODS: In this cohort study, 14 subjects underwent chronic ambulatory monitoring with a multimodal wrist-worn sensor (recording heart rate, accelerometry, electrodermal activity, and temperature) and an implanted responsive neurostimulation system (recording interictal epileptiform abnormalities and electrographic seizures). Wavelet and filter-Hilbert spectral analyses characterized circadian and multiday cycles in brain and wearable recordings. Circular statistics assessed electrographic seizure timing and cycles in physiology. RESULTS: Ten subjects met inclusion criteria. The mean recording duration was 232 days. Seven subjects had reliable electroencephalographic seizure detections (mean = 76 seizures). Multiday cycles were present in all wearable device signals across all subjects. Seizure timing was phase locked to multiday cycles in five (temperature), four (heart rate, phasic electrodermal activity), and three (accelerometry, heart rate variability, tonic electrodermal activity) subjects. Notably, after regression of behavioral covariates from heart rate, six of seven subjects had seizure phase locking to the residual heart rate signal. SIGNIFICANCE: Seizure timing is associated with daily and multiday cycles in multiple physiological processes. Chronic multimodal wearable device recordings can situate rare paroxysmal events, like seizures, within a broader chronobiology context of the individual. Wearable devices may advance the understanding of factors that influence seizure risk and enable personalized time-varying approaches to epilepsy care.

Rates of event capture of home video EEG.

OBJECTIVE: Recording electrographic and behavioral information during epileptic and other paroxysmal events is important during video electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring. This study was undertaken to measure the event capture rate of an home service operating across Australia using a shoulder-worn EEG device and telescopic pole-mounted camera. METHODS: Neurologist reports were accessed retrospectively. Studies with confirmed events were identified and assessed for event capture by recording modality, whether events were reported or discovered, and physiological state. RESULTS: 6,265 studies were identified, of which 2,788 (44.50%) had events. A total of 15,691 events were captured, of which 77.89% were reported. The EEG amplifier was active for 99.83% of events. The patient was in view of the camera for 94.90% of events. 84.89% of studies had all events on camera, and 2.65% had zero events on camera (mean = 93.66%, median = 100.00%). 84.42% of events from wakefulness were reported, compared to 54.27% from sleep. CONCLUSIONS: Event capture was similar to previously reported rates from home studies, with higher capture rates on video. Most patients have all events captured on camera. SIGNIFICANCE: Home monitoring is capable of high rates of event capture, and the use of wide-angle cameras allows for all events to be captured in the majority of studies.

Forecasting psychogenic non-epileptic seizure likelihood from ambulatory EEG and ECG.

Objective.Critical slowing features (variance and autocorrelation) of long-term continuous electroencephalography (EEG) and electrocardiography (ECG) data have previously been used to forecast epileptic seizure onset. This study tested the feasibility of forecasting non-epileptic seizures using the same methods. In doing so, we examined if long-term cycles of brain and cardiac activity are present in clinical physiological recordings of psychogenic non-epileptic seizures (PNES).Approach.Retrospectively accessed ambulatory EEG and ECG data from 15 patients with non-epileptic seizures and no background of epilepsy were used for developing the forecasting system. The median period of recordings was 161 h, with a median of 7 non-epileptic seizures per patient. The phases of different cycles (5 min, 1 h, 6 h, 12 h, 24 h) of EEG and RR interval (RRI) critical slowing features were investigated. Forecasters were generated using combinations of the variance and autocorrelation of both EEG and the RRI of the ECG at each of the aforementioned cycle lengths. Optimal forecasters were selected as those with the highest area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC).Main results.It was found that PNES events occurred in the rising phases of EEG feature cycles of 12 and 24 h in duration at a rate significantly above chance. We demonstrated that the proposed forecasters achieved performance significantly better than chance in 8/15 of patients, and the mean AUC of the best forecaster across patients was 0.79.Significance.To our knowledge, this is the first study to retrospectively forecast non-epileptic seizures using both EEG and ECG data. The significance of EEG in the forecasting models suggests that cyclic EEG features of non-epileptic seizures exist. This study opens the potential of seizure forecasting beyond epilepsy, into other disorders of episodic loss of consciousness or dissociation.

Water-soluble adhesive for stable long-term ambulatory EEG recordings.

OBJECTIVE: Conventional methods used to adhere EEG electrodes are often uncomfortable. Here, we present a polymer-based water-soluble EEG adhesive that can be maintained for up to 6 days. The primary outcome measure of this study is the median electrode impedance at day 6. METHODS: Impedance measurements for 841 EEG recordings using a 21 channel 10-20 configuration were remotely logged daily for 6 days after connection. A novel electrode adhesive was used to attach EEG electrodes. Patients were instructed to maintain their electrodes on day 4. RESULTS: Median electrode impedances were significantly below 10kOhms for each day of recording, with a median value on day 6 of 4.18kOhms. Impedance values were significantly lower on day 5 than on day 4, demonstrating that the maintenance process can reduce impedance. Except for day 4-5, the median impedance increased each day. No significant difference was found on the first or final day between clinics or residences from areas of different geographic remoteness. CONCLUSIONS: EEG is able to be recorded in patients homes for 6 days with acceptable impedance and no significant effect of regionality or patients age. SIGNIFICANCE: To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report in the literature of impedance data from long-term ambulatory EEG studies.

Seizure forecasting: Bifurcations in the long and winding road.

To date, the unpredictability of seizures remains a source of suffering for people with epilepsy, motivating decades of research into methods to forecast seizures. Originally, only few scientists and neurologists ventured into this niche endeavor, which, given the difficulty of the task, soon turned into a long and winding road. Over the past decade, however, our narrow field has seen a major acceleration, with trials of chronic electroencephalographic devices and the subsequent discovery of cyclical patterns in the occurrence of seizures. Now, a burgeoning science of seizure timing is emerging, which in turn informs best forecasting strategies for upcoming clinical trials. Although the finish line might be in view, many challenges remain to make seizure forecasting a reality. This review covers the most recent scientific, technical, and medical developments, discusses methodology in detail, and sets a number of goals for future studies.

Ambient air pollution and epileptic seizures: A panel study in Australia.

OBJECTIVE: Emerging evidence has shown that ambient air pollution affects brain health, but little is known about its effect on epileptic seizures. This work aimed to assess the association between daily exposure to ambient air pollution and the risk of epileptic seizures. METHODS: This study used epileptic seizure data from two independent data sources (NeuroVista and Seer App seizure diary). In the NeuroVista data set, 3273 seizures were recorded using intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) from 15 participants with refractory focal epilepsy in Australia in 2010-2012. In the seizure diary data set, 3419 self-reported seizures were collected through a mobile application from 34 participants with epilepsy in Australia in 2018-2021. Daily average concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ), ozone (O3 ), particulate matter ≤10 µm in diameter (PM10 ), and sulfur dioxide (SO2 ) were retrieved from the Environment Protection Authority (EPA) based on participants' postcodes. A patient-time-stratified case-crossover design with the conditional Poisson regression model was used to determine the associations between air pollutants and epileptic seizures. RESULTS: A significant association between CO concentrations and epileptic seizure risks was observed, with an increased seizure risk of 4% (relative risk [RR]: 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-1.07) for an interquartile range (IQR) increase of CO concentrations (0.13 parts per million), whereas no significant associations were found for the other four air pollutants in the whole study population. Female participants had a significantly increased risk of seizures when exposed to elevated CO and NO2 , with RRs of 1.05 (95% CI: 1.01-1.08) and 1.09 (95% CI: 1.01-1.16), respectively. In addition, a significant association was observed between CO and the risk of subclinical seizures (RR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.12-1.28). SIGNIFICANCE: Daily exposure to elevated CO concentrations may be associated with an increased risk of epileptic seizures, especially for subclinical seizures.

Seizure forecasting using minimally invasive, ultra-long-term subcutaneous electroencephalography: Individualized intrapatient models.

OBJECTIVE: One of the most disabling aspects of living with chronic epilepsy is the unpredictability of seizures. Cumulative research in the past decades has advanced our understanding of the dynamics of seizure risk. Technological advances have recently made it possible to record pertinent biological signals, including electroencephalogram (EEG), continuously. We aimed to assess whether patient-specific seizure forecasting is possible using remote, minimally invasive ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG. METHODS: We analyzed a two-center cohort of ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG recordings, including six patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy monitored for 46-230 days with median 18 h/day of recorded data, totaling >11 000 h of EEG. Total electrographic seizures identified by visual review ranged from 12 to 36 per patient. Three candidate subject-specific long short-term memory network deep learning classifiers were trained offline and pseudoprospectively on preictal (1 h before) and interictal (>1 day from seizures) EEG segments. Performance was assessed relative to a random predictor. Periodicity of the final forecasts was also investigated with autocorrelation. RESULTS: Depending on each architecture, significant forecasting performance was achieved in three to five of six patients, with overall mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .65-.74. Significant forecasts showed sensitivity ranging from 64% to 80% and time in warning from 10.9% to 44.4%. Overall, the output of the forecasts closely followed patient-specific circadian patterns of seizure occurrence. SIGNIFICANCE: This study demonstrates proof-of-principle for the possibility of subject-specific seizure forecasting using a minimally invasive subcutaneous EEG device capable of ultra-long-term at-home recordings. These results are encouraging for the development of a prospective seizure forecasting trial with minimally invasive EEG.

Seizure forecasting using minimally invasive, ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG: Generalizable cross-patient models.

This study describes a generalized cross-patient seizure-forecasting approach using recurrent neural networks with ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG (sqEEG) recordings. Data from six patients diagnosed with refractory epilepsy and monitored with an sqEEG device were used to develop a generalized algorithm for seizure forecasting using long short-term memory (LSTM) deep-learning classifiers. Electrographic seizures were identified by a board-certified epileptologist. One-minute data segments were labeled as preictal or interictal based on their relationship to confirmed seizures. Data were separated into training and testing data sets, and to compensate for the unbalanced data ratio in training, noise-added copies of preictal data segments were generated to expand the training data set. The mean and standard deviation (SD) of the training data were used to normalize all data, preserving the pseudo-prospective nature of the analysis. Different architecture classifiers were trained and tested using a leave-one-patient-out cross-validation method, and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance classifiers. The importance of each input signal was evaluated using a leave-one-signal-out method with repeated training and testing for each classifier. Cross-patient classifiers achieved performance significantly better than chance in four of the six patients and an overall mean AUC of 0.602 ± 0.126 (mean ± SD). A time in warning of 37.386% ± 5.006% (mean ± std) and sensitivity of 0.691 ± 0.068 (mean ± std) were observed for patients with better than chance results. Analysis of input channels showed a significant contribution (p < .05) by the Fourier transform of signals channels to overall classifier performance. The relative contribution of input signals varied among patients and architectures, suggesting that the inclusion of all signals contributes to robustness in a cross-patient classifier. These early results show that it is possible to forecast seizures training with data from different patients using two-channel ultra-long-term sqEEG.

Ambulatory seizure forecasting with a wrist-worn device using long-short term memory deep learning.

The ability to forecast seizures minutes to hours in advance of an event has been verified using invasive EEG devices, but has not been previously demonstrated using noninvasive wearable devices over long durations in an ambulatory setting. In this study we developed a seizure forecasting system with a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm, using a noninvasive wrist-worn research-grade physiological sensor device, and tested the system in patients with epilepsy in the field, with concurrent invasive EEG confirmation of seizures via an implanted recording device. The system achieved forecasting performance significantly better than a random predictor for 5 of 6 patients studied, with mean AUC-ROC of 0.80 (range 0.72-0.92). These results provide the first clear evidence that direct seizure forecasts are possible using wearable devices in the ambulatory setting for many patients with epilepsy.

Multiday cycles of heart rate are associated with seizure likelihood: An observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Circadian and multiday rhythms are found across many biological systems, including cardiology, endocrinology, neurology, and immunology. In people with epilepsy, epileptic brain activity and seizure occurrence have been found to follow circadian, weekly, and monthly rhythms. Understanding the relationship between these cycles of brain excitability and other physiological systems can provide new insight into the causes of multiday cycles. The brain-heart link has previously been considered in epilepsy research, with potential implications for seizure forecasting, therapy, and mortality (i.e., sudden unexpected death in epilepsy). METHODS: We report the results from a non-interventional, observational cohort study, Tracking Seizure Cycles. This study sought to examine multiday cycles of heart rate and seizures in adults with diagnosed uncontrolled epilepsy (N=31) and healthy adult controls (N=15) using wearable smartwatches and mobile seizure diaries over at least four months (M=12.0, SD=5.9; control M=10.6, SD=6.4). Cycles in heart rate were detected using a continuous wavelet transform. Relationships between heart rate cycles and seizure occurrence were measured from the distributions of seizure likelihood with respect to underlying cycle phase. FINDINGS: Heart rate cycles were found in all 46 participants (people with epilepsy and healthy controls), with circadian (N=46), about-weekly (N=25) and about-monthly (N=13) rhythms being the most prevalent. Of the participants with epilepsy, 19 people had at least 20 reported seizures, and 10 of these had seizures significantly phase locked to their multiday heart rate cycles. INTERPRETATION: Heart rate cycles showed similarities to multiday epileptic rhythms and may be comodulated with seizure likelihood. The relationship between heart rate and seizures is relevant for epilepsy therapy, including seizure forecasting, and may also have implications for cardiovascular disease. More broadly, understanding the link between multiday cycles in the heart and brain can shed new light on endogenous physiological rhythms in humans. FUNDING: This research received funding from the Australian Government National Health and Medical Research Council (investigator grant 1178220), the Australian Government BioMedTech Horizons program, and the Epilepsy Foundation of America's 'My Seizure Gauge' grant.

Seizure Forecasting Using a Novel Sub-Scalp Ultra-Long Term EEG Monitoring System.

Accurate identification of seizure activity, both clinical and subclinical, has important implications in the management of epilepsy. Accurate recognition of seizure activity is essential for diagnostic, management and forecasting purposes, but patient-reported seizures have been shown to be unreliable. Earlier work has revealed accurate capture of electrographic seizures and forecasting is possible with an implantable intracranial device, but less invasive electroencephalography (EEG) recording systems would be optimal. Here, we present preliminary results of seizure detection and forecasting with a minimally invasive sub-scalp device that continuously records EEG. Five participants with refractory epilepsy who experience at least two clinically identifiable seizures monthly have been implanted with sub-scalp devices (Minder®), providing two channels of data from both hemispheres of the brain. Data is continuously captured via a behind-the-ear system, which also powers the device, and transferred wirelessly to a mobile phone, from where it is accessible remotely via cloud storage. EEG recordings from the sub-scalp device were compared to data recorded from a conventional system during a 1-week ambulatory video-EEG monitoring session. Suspect epileptiform activity (EA) was detected using machine learning algorithms and reviewed by trained neurophysiologists. Seizure forecasting was demonstrated retrospectively by utilizing cycles in EA and previous seizure times. The procedures and devices were well-tolerated and no significant complications have been reported. Seizures were accurately identified on the sub-scalp system, as visually confirmed by periods of concurrent conventional scalp EEG recordings. The data acquired also allowed seizure forecasting to be successfully undertaken. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC score) achieved (0.88), which is comparable to the best score in recent, state-of-the-art forecasting work using intracranial EEG.