Development of forecast models for COVID-19 hospital admissions using anonymized and aggregated mobile network data.

Reliable forecast of COVID-19 hospital admissions in near-term horizons can help enable effective resource management which is vital in reducing pressure from healthcare services. The use of mobile network data has come to attention in response to COVID-19 pandemic leveraged on their ability in capturing people social behavior. Crucially, we show that there are latent features in irreversibly anonymized and aggregated mobile network data that carry useful information in relation to the spread of SARS-CoV-2 virus. We describe development of the forecast models using such features for prediction of COVID-19 hospital admissions in near-term horizons (21 days). In a case study, we verified the approach for two hospitals in Sweden, Sahlgrenska University Hospital and Södra Älvsborgs Hospital, working closely with the experts engaged in the hospital resource planning. Importantly, the results of the forecast models were used in year 2021 by logisticians at the hospitals as one of the main inputs for their decisions regarding resource management.

Sore throat in women after intubation with 6.5 or 7.0 mm endotracheal tube: a quantitative study.

BACKGROUND: Women experience more sore throats than men after endotracheal intubation. AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence of self-rated sore throat immediately, and 2-4 hours postoperatively, in women after elective gynaecological surgery under general anaesthesia using an endotracheal tube (ETT) size 6.5 or 7.0mm in inner diameter. METHOD: Eighty-two female participants who had undergone elective gynaecological surgery participated, 44 and 38 were intubated with size 6.5 mm ETT and 7.0mm ETT respectively. They estimated the occurrence of sore throat preoperatively and postoperatively, according to a 4-point Likert scale. Statistical data were analysed using the Package for Social Science (SPSS) 19. RESULTS: Sore throat was present in 29.5% of participants who were intubated with size 6.5 mm ETT immediately postoperatively and in 39.5% of those who were intubated with size 7.0 mm ETT. CONCLUSION: Nurses specialising in the supervision of daily care specific to the intubated patient should note and alleviate sore throat as part of their nursing care.