Association Between Chronic Hypertension and the Risk of 12 Cardiovascular Diseases Among Parous Women: The Role of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the association between chronic hypertension and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in mothers with adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) is limited. We investigated the association between chronic hypertension and risk of CVD, considering the role of APOs. METHODS: We used linked electronic health records in the CALIBER platform to define a UK cohort of women with recorded births between 1997 and 2016. We conducted multivariable Cox regression to estimate the association between chronic hypertension, with and without APOs, and 12 subsequent CVD events. RESULTS: The study cohort comprised 1 784 247 births (1.2 million women); of these 12 698 (0.71%) records had chronic hypertension, and 16 499 women had incident CVD during follow-up, of which 66% occurred in women under 40 years. Chronic hypertension (versus no chronic hypertension) was associated with a 2-fold higher risk of first subsequent CVD (adjusted hazard ratios, 2.22 [95% CI, 2.03-2.42]). Compared to normotensive women without APOs, the associations were the strongest in women with chronic hypertension and APOs across the 12 CVD outcomes, varying from 9.65 (5.96-15.6) for heart failure to 2.66 (2.17-3.26) for stable angina. In women with chronic hypertension without APOs, adjusted hazard ratios varied from 5.25 (3.47-7.94) for subarachnoid hemorrhage to 1.26 (0.59-2.67) for peripheral arterial disease. In women with APOs, but without chronic hypertension, adjusted hazard ratios varied from 3.27 (2.48-4.31) for intracerebral hemorrhage to 1.33 (1.26-1.41) for stable angina. CONCLUSIONS: We found strong associations between chronic hypertension and the risk of premature CVD, with greater risk in women who additionally had APOs. Intervention programs focused on these groups might lower their risk of subsequent CVD.

Chemsex, Anxiety and Depression Among Gay, Bisexual and Other Men Who have Sex with Men Living with HIV.

Chemsex is common among gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (gbMSM). Although not always categorised as problematic, a link with psychological distress has been reported and might be exacerbated amongst gbMSM living with HIV, as HIV has been associated with anxiety and depression. A cross-sectional online survey of gbMSM living with HIV (n = 359) was performed incorporating the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and sociodemographic variables including, HIV characteristics, chemsex and sexual behaviours. Logistic regression analysis was used to find associations with anxiety or depression. Many participants engaged in chemsex (48.5%, n = 174). Chemsex was associated with lower odds of depression (aOR 0.45, 95% CI 0.23-0.85) and not associated with anxiety (aOR 0.66, CI 0.40-1.09). Although chemsex is a public health concern; we found it was associated with lower levels of depression in gbMSM living with HIV. However, causal inference is not possible, as gbMSM with higher levels of depression might engage in chemsex less.

Role of Antihypertensive Treatment and Blood Pressure Control in the Occurrence of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes: a Population-Based Study of Linked Electronic Health Records.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hypertension (CH) adversely impacts pregnancy. It remains unclear whether antihypertensive treatment alters these risks. We examined the role of antihypertensive treatment in the association between CH and adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Electronic health records from the UK Caliber and Clinical Practice Research Datalink were used to define a cohort of women delivering between 1997 and 2016. Primary outcomes were preeclampsia, preterm birth (PTB), and fetal growth restriction (FGR). We used multivariable logistic regression to compare outcomes in women with CH to women without CH and propensity score matching to compare antihypertensive agents. RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 1 304 679 women and 1 894 184 births. 14 595 (0.77%) had CH, and 6786 (0.36%) were prescribed antihypertensive medications in pregnancy. Overall, women with CH (versus no CH), had higher odds of preeclampsia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 5.74 [95% CI, 5.44-6.07]); PTB (aOR, 2.53 [2.39-2.67]); and FGR (aOR, 2.51 [2.31-2.72]). Women with CH prescribed treatment (versus untreated women) had higher odds of preeclampsia (aOR, 1.17 [1.05-1.30]), PTB (1.25 [1.12-1.39]), and FGR (1.80 [1.51-2.14]). Women prescribed methyldopa (versus ß-blockers) had higher odds of preeclampsia (aOR, 1.43 [1.19-1.73]); PTB (1.59 [1.30-1.93]), but lower odds of FGR (aOR, 0.66 [0.48-0.90]). Odds of adverse outcomes were similar in relation to calcium channel blockers (versus ß-blockers) except for PTB (aOR, 1.94 [1.15-3.27]). Among women prescribed treatment, lower average blood pressure (<135/85 mm Hg) was associated with better pregnancy outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with antihypertensive agents and control of hypertension ameliorates some effects but higher risks of adverse outcomes persist. ß-Blockers versus methyldopa may be associated with better pregnancy outcomes except for FGR. Powered trials are needed to inform optimal treatment of CH during pregnancy.

Association between social deprivation and incidence of first seizures and epilepsy: A prospective population-based cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Epidemiologic studies have investigated whether social deprivation is associated with a higher incidence of epilepsy, and results are conflicting, especially in children. The mechanisms underlying a potential association are unclear. This study examines whether there is an association between social deprivation and the incidence of first seizures (unprovoked and provoked) and new diagnosis of epilepsy by comparing incidence across an area-level measure of deprivation in a population-based cohort. METHODS: Multiple methods of case identification followed by individual case validation and classification were carried out in a defined geographical area (population 542 868) to identify all incident cases of first provoked and first unprovoked seizures and new diagnosis of epilepsy presenting during the calendar year 2017. An area-level relative deprivation index, based on 10 indicators from census data, was assigned to each patient according to registered address and categorized into quintiles from most to least deprived. RESULTS: The annual incidence of first unprovoked seizures (n = 372), first provoked seizures (n = 189), and new diagnosis of epilepsy (n = 336) was highest in the most deprived areas compared to the least deprived areas (incidence ratios of 1.79 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.26-2.52], 1.55 [95% CI = 1.04-2.32], and 1.83 [95% CI = 1.28-2.62], respectively). This finding was evident in both adults and children and in those with structural and unknown etiologies of epilepsy. SIGNIFICANCE: The incidence of first seizures and new diagnosis of epilepsy is associated with more social deprivation. The reason for this higher incidence is likely multifactorial.

Chronic kidney disease and adverse pregnancy outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Limited evidence exists on the role that the cause of chronic kidney disease plays in determining pregnancy outcomes. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to examine the association between chronic kidney disease and adverse pregnancy outcomes by the cause and severity of chronic kidney disease where reported. The protocol was registered under the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42020211925). DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched until May 24, 2021, supplemented with reference list checking. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies that compared the pregnancy outcomes in women with or without chronic kidney disease were included. Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts, and full-text articles according to a priori defined inclusion criteria. METHODS: Data extraction and quality appraisal were performed independently by 3 reviewers. The grading of recommendations, assessment, development, and evaluation approach was used to assess the overall certainty of the evidence. Random-effects meta-analyses were used to calculate the pooled estimates using the generic inverse variance method. The primary outcomes included preeclampsia, cesarean delivery, preterm birth (<37 weeks' gestation), and small for gestational age babies. RESULTS: Of 4076 citations, 31 studies were included. Prepregnancy chronic kidney disease was significantly associated with a higher odds of preeclampsia (pooled crude odds ratio, 8.13; [95% confidence interval, 4.41-15], and adjusted odds ratio, 2.58; [1.33-5.01]), cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 1.65; [1.21-2.25]), preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 1.73; [1.31-2.27]), and small for gestational age babies (adjusted odds ratio, 1.93; [1.06-3.52]). The association with stillbirth was not statistically significant (adjusted odds ratio, 1.67; [0.96-2.92]). Subgroup analyses indicated that different causes of chronic kidney disease might confer different risks and that the severity of chronic kidney disease is associated with a risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, as pregnancies with later stages of chronic kidney disease had higher odds of preeclampsia, preterm birth, and small for gestational age babies than those at earlier stages. The grading of recommendations, assessment, development, and evaluation certainty of the evidence overall was "very low". CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis quantified the associations between prepregnancy chronic kidney disease and adverse pregnancy outcomes, both overall and according to the cause and severity of the disease. These findings might support the clinicians aiming to counsel women having chronic kidney disease by allowing them to tailor their advice according to cause and severity of the chronic kidney disease. We identified the gaps in the literature, and further studies examining the effect of specific kidney diseases and other clinical characteristics (eg, proteinuria, hypertension) on adverse pregnancy outcomes are warranted.

Causes and classification of first unprovoked seizures and newly-diagnosed epilepsy in a defined geographical area- an all-comers analysis.

PURPOSE: The ILAE recently updated the operational definition of epilepsy and the classifications of seizures and epilepsy incorporating aetiology into the classification framework. To date, these classifications have not been applied in any whole population incidence study. METHODS: Multiple overlapping methods of case identification were applied to a defined geographical area (population 542,868 adults and children) to identify all first unprovoked seizures and new diagnosis of epilepsy presenting during the calendar year 2017. The 2017 ILAE classification frameworks were applied. Incidence was age-standardised to the 2013 Standard European Population. RESULTS: The annual incidence per 100,000 population was 44 for focal epilepsy, 6.8 for generalized epilepsy and 10.9 for unclassified epilepsy (age standardized 56, 6.9 and 11.4, respectively). Focal epilepsy was diagnosed in all age groups, though incidence increased in those ≥55 years of age. Primary generalised epilepsy accounted for 10% (n = 32) of newly diagnosed epilepsy. The most frequently diagnosed aetiology was structural (54%, n = 182). In 30% (n = 102) of newly diagnosed epilepsy, aetiology was not established. CONCLUSION: We report on the causes of incident first unprovoked seizures and epilepsy in accordance with recently updated ILAE definitions and classification systems employing standard diagnostic investigations. We report a higher proportion of structural aetiology than previous studies, which may reflect incorporation of imaging in aetiology classification. Despite improved access to diagnostic testing, aetiology of a large fraction of first seizures and newly diagnosed epilepsy remains unknown.

Prediagnostic Neurofilament Light Chain Levels in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) levels are elevated before ALS diagnosis and to evaluate whether pre-diagnostic NfL levels are associated with metabolic alterations. METHODS: We conducted a matched case-control study nested in three large prospective US cohorts (the Nurses' Health Study, the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, and the Multiethnic Cohort Study), and identified 84 individuals who developed ALS during follow-up and had available plasma samples prior to disease diagnosis. For each ALS case, we randomly selected controls from those who were alive at the time of the case diagnosis and matched on birth year, sex, race/ethnicity, fasting status, cohort, and time of blood draw. We measured NfL in the plasma samples and used conditional logistic regression to estimate rate ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for ALS, adjusting for body mass index, smoking, physical activity, and urate levels. RESULTS: Higher NfL levels were associated with a higher ALS risk in plasma samples collected within 5 years of the ALS diagnosis (RR per 1 standard deviation [SD] increase: 2.68, 95% CI: 1.18-6.08), but not in samples collected further away from the diagnosis (RR per 1 SD increase 1.16, 95% CI: 0.78-1.73). A total of 21 metabolites were correlated with pre-diagnostic NfL levels in ALS cases (p < 0.05), but none of these remained significant after multiple comparison adjustments. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma NfL levels were elevated in pre-diagnostic ALS cases, indicating that NfL may be a useful biomarker already in the earliest stages of the disease. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that plasma NfL levels are elevated in pre-diagnostic ALS patients.

Impact of Chronic Hypertension and Antihypertensive Treatment on Adverse Perinatal Outcomes: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background Maternal chronic hypertension is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. Previous studies examined the association between either chronic hypertension or antihypertensive treatment and adverse pregnancy outcomes. We aimed to synthesize the evidence on the effect of chronic hypertension/antihypertensive treatment on adverse pregnancy outcomes. Methods and Results Medline/PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched; we included observational studies and assessed the effect of race/ethnicity, where possible, following a registered protocol (CRD42019120088). Random-effects meta-analyses were used. A total of 81 studies were identified on chronic hypertension, and a total of 16 studies were identified on antihypertensive treatment. Chronic hypertension was associated with higher odds of preeclampsia (adjusted odd ratio [aOR], 5.43; 95% CI, 3.85-7.65); cesarean section (aOR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.6-2.16); maternal mortality (aOR, 4.80; 95% CI, 3.04-7.58); preterm birth (aOR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.96-2.53); stillbirth (aOR, 2.32; 95% CI, 2.22-2.42); and small for gestational age (SGA) (aOR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.6-2.40). Subgroup analyses indicated that maternal race/ethnicity does not influence the observed associations. Women with chronic hypertension on antihypertensive treatment (versus untreated) had higher odds of SGA (aOR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.38-2.50). Conclusions Chronic hypertension is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, and these associations appear to be independent of maternal race/ethnicity. In women with chronic hypertension, those on treatment had a higher risk of SGA, although the number of studies was limited. This could result from a direct effect of the treatment or because severe hypertension during pregnancy is a risk factor for SGA and women with severe hypertension are more likely to be treated. The effect of antihypertensive treatment on SGA needs to be further tested with large randomized controlled trials.

Pregnancy outcomes in women with chronic kidney disease and chronic hypertension: a National cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Maternal chronic kidney disease and chronic hypertension have been linked with adverse pregnancy outcomes. We aimed to examine the association between these conditions and adverse pregnancy outcomes over the last 3 decades. OBJECTIVE: We conducted this national cohort study to assess the association between maternal chronic disease (CH, CKD or both conditions) and adverse pregnancy outcomes with an emphasis on the effect of parity, maternal age, and BMI on these associations over the last three decades. We further investigated whether different subtypes of CKD had differing effects. STUDY DESIGN: We used data from the Swedish Medical Birth Register, including 2,788,490 singleton births between 1982 and 2012. Women with chronic kidney disease and chronic hypertension were identified from the Medical Birth Register and National Patient Register. Logistic regression models were performed to assess the associations between maternal chronic disease (chronic hypertension, chronic kidney disease, or both conditions) and pregnancy outcomes, including preeclampsia, in-labor and prelabor cesarean delivery, preterm birth, small for gestational age, and stillbirth. RESULTS: During the 30-year study period, 22,397 babies (0.8%) were born to women with chronic kidney disease, 13,279 (0.48%) to women with chronic hypertension and 1079 (0.04%) to women with both conditions. Associations with chronic hypertension were strongest for preeclampsia (adjusted odds ratio, 4.57; 95% confidence interval, 4.33-4.84) and stillbirth (adjusted odds ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.35-2.03) and weakest for spontaneous preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.20). The effect of chronic kidney disease varied from (adjusted odds ratio, 2.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.92-2.19) for indicated preterm birth to no effect for stillbirth (adjusted odds ratio, 1.16; 95% confidence interval, 0.95-1.43). Women with both conditions had the strongest associations for in-labor cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 1.86; 95% confidence interval, 1.49-2.32), prelabor cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 2.68; 95% confidence interval, 2.18-3.28), indicated preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 9.09; 95% confidence interval, 7.61-10.7), and small for gestational age (adjusted odds ratio, 4.52; 95% confidence interval, 3.68-5.57). The results remained constant over the last 3 decades. Stratified analyses of the associations by parity, maternal age, and body mass index showed that adverse outcomes remained independently higher in women with these conditions, with worse outcomes in multiparous women. All chronic kidney disease subtypes were associated with higher odds of preeclampsia, in-labor cesarean delivery, and medically indicated preterm birth. Different subtypes of chronic kidney disease had differing risks; strongest associations of preeclampsia (adjusted odds ratio, 3.98; 95% confidence interval, 2.98-5.31) and stillbirth (adjusted odds ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-6.59) were observed in women with congenital kidney disease, whereas women with diabetic nephropathy had the most pronounced increase odds of in-labor cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 3.54; 95% confidence interval, 2.06-6.09), prelabor cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 7.50; 95% confidence interval, 4.74-11.9), and small for gestational age (adjusted odds ratio, 4.50; 95% confidence interval, 2.92-6.94). In addition, women with renovascular disease had the highest increased risk of preterm birth in both spontaneous preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 3.01; 95% confidence interval, 1.57-5.76) and indicated preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 8.09; 95% confidence interval, 5.73-11.4). CONCLUSION: Women with chronic hypertension, chronic kidney disease, or both conditions are at an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes which were independent of maternal age, body mass index, and parity. Multidisciplinary management should be provided with intensive clinical follow-up to support these women during pregnancy, particularly multiparous women. Further research is needed to evaluate the effect of disease severity on adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Pre-diagnostic plasma lipid levels and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether pre-diagnostic lipid levels are associated with Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) risk. Methods: We conducted a matched case-control study nested in five large prospective US cohorts (the Nurses' Health Study, the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, the Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort, the Multiethnic Cohort Study, and the Women's Health Initiative), and identified 275 individuals who developed ALS during follow-up and had provided blood samples before disease diagnosis. For each ALS case, we randomly selected two controls who were alive at the time of the case diagnosis and matched on cohort, birth year (±1 year), sex, race/ethnicity, fasting status, and time of blood draw. We measured total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride (TG) levels in the plasma samples, and used conditional logistic regression to estimate associations between lipid levels and ALS risk. Results: Higher levels of HDL-C were associated with higher ALS risk in an analysis adjusted for the matching factors (risk ratio [RR] Q4 vs. Q1: 1.78, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18-2.69, p trend: 0.007). The estimate remained similar in a multivariable analysis additionally adjusted for body mass index, physical activity, smoking, alcohol intake, plasma urate levels, and use of cholesterol-lowering drugs (RR Q4 vs. Q1: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.07-2.73, p trend: 0.02). Plasma levels of TC, LDL-C, and TG were not associated with ALS risk. Conclusions: Higher pre-diagnostic HDL-C levels, but not levels of other lipids, were associated with a higher risk of ALS.

Incidence of first seizures, epilepsy, and seizure mimics in a geographically defined area.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of first seizures, epilepsy, and seizure mimics in a geographically defined area using the updated 2014 International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) definition, which allows an epilepsy diagnosis after a single seizure when the risk of further seizures over the next 10 years is ≈60% or greater. This replaced the 1993 definition by which epilepsy was diagnosed when a person had ≥2 seizures separated by 24 hours. METHODS: Using multiple overlapping methods of case ascertainment followed by individual case classification by an epileptologist, we identified all first seizures, new diagnosis of epilepsy, and seizure mimics occurring in a defined geographic area (population 542,868) from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2017. Incidence was age standardized to the Standard European Population. We compared incidence rates using the 2014 and 1993 ILAE definitions. RESULTS: When the 2014 ILAE definition of epilepsy was applied, the incidence of new diagnosis of epilepsy was 62 per 100,000 (age standardized 74) compared to 41 per 100,000 (age standardized 48) when the 1993 definition was applied, and the difference was more pronounced at older ages. The incidence of all first seizures and of seizure mimics was 102 per 100,000 (age standardized 123) and 94 per 100,000 (age standardized 111), respectively. The most frequently encountered seizure mimic was syncope. CONCLUSION: Application of the 2014 ILAE definition of epilepsy resulted in a higher incidence of new diagnosis of epilepsy compared to the 1993 definition. The incidence of seizure mimics almost equals that of all first seizures. Seizures, epilepsy, and seizure mimics represent a significant burden to health care systems.

Long-Term Use of Antibiotics and Risk of Parkinson's Disease in the Nurses' Health Study.

OBJECTIVE: Antibiotic use is one of the strongest environmental predictors of an altered and less diverse gut microbiome, which has been linked to Parkinson's disease. To our knowledge, no prior study has examined the association between long-term antibiotic use and Parkinson's disease. DESIGN: We conducted a prospective study of 59,637 women in the Nurses' Health Study who reported total duration of antibiotic use at ages 20-39, 40-59, 60 +, or during the past 4 years. We used Cox Proportional Hazard regression to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association between categories of antibiotic use and risk of PD. RESULTS: One hundred and eighty cases of PD were confirmed during the follow-up. Self-reported antibiotic use at ages 20-39, 40-59, and 60 +, as assessed in 2004, was not significantly associated with PD risk in our cohort. The hazard ratio comparing participants who used antibiotics for 2 or more months vs. 1-14 days at age 20-39 was 0.98 (95% CI: 0.54, 1.78), at age 40-59 was 1.44 (95% CI: 0.88, 2.33), and at age 60 +was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.53, 1.47). Antibiotic use during the past four years, as assessed in 2008, was also not associated with future risk of PD (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: 0.62, 2.10). CONCLUSION: In this cohort study, we did not observe a significant association between antibiotic use and incidence PD. A major limitation of our study is assessment of exposure, which required many participants to recall their antibiotic use decades in the past. Thus, although the results of this study do not support an effect of antibiotic use on PD risk, larger investigations relying on records of antibiotic prescriptions would provide more definitive evidence.

Prediagnostic plasma polyunsaturated fatty acids and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between prediagnostic plasma polyunsaturated fatty acids levels (PUFA) and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). METHODS: We identified 275 individuals who developed ALS while enrolled in 5 US prospective cohorts, and randomly selected 2 controls, alive at the time of the case diagnosis, matched on cohort, birth year, sex, ethnicity, fasting status, and time of blood draw. We measured PUFA, expressed as percentages of total fatty acids, using gas liquid chromatography and used conditional logistic regression to estimate risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between PUFA and ALS. RESULTS: There was no association between total, n-3, and n-6 PUFA, eicosapentaenoic acid, or docosapentaenoic acid levels and ALS. Higher plasma α-linolenic acid (ALA) in men was associated with lower risk of ALS in age- and matching factor-adjusted analyses (top vs bottom quartile: RR = 0.21 [95% CI 0.07, 0.58], p for trend = 0.004). In women, higher plasma arachidonic acid was associated with higher risk (top vs bottom quartile: RR = 1.65 [95% CI 0.99, 2.76], p for trend = 0.052). Multivariable adjustment, including correlated PUFA, did not change the findings for ALA and arachidonic acid. In men and women combined, higher plasma docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) was associated with higher risk of ALS (top vs bottom quartile: RR = 1.56 [95% CI 1.01, 2.41], p for trend = 0.054), but in multivariable models the association was only evident in men. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of individual PUFAs were not associated with ALS. In men, ALA was inversely and DHA was positively related to risk of ALS, while in women arachidonic acid was positively related. These findings warrant confirmation in future studies.

Substitution of sugar-sweetened beverages for other beverages and the risk of developing coronary heart disease: Results from the Harvard Pooling Project of Diet and Coronary Disease.

Sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) intake is associated with metabolic disorders. The reduction of SSB intake has been promoted to prevent death and disability from chronic diseases. We investigated the association between SSB intake and the risk of coronary events and death, and assessed if substitution of coffee, tea, milk, fruit juice and artificially-sweetened beverages (ASB) for SSBs was associated with a reduced risk of coronary events and death. This was a follow-up study in which data from six studies were pooled and standard observational analyses were performed. Diet intake was assessed at baseline by food-frequency questionnaires. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals for the incidence of coronary events and deaths were calculated by Cox proportional hazards regression. The effect of substituting another beverage for SSBs was calculated by taking the difference in the individual effect estimates. During the median 8.2-year follow-up, 4248 coronary events and 1630 coronary deaths were documented among 284,345 individuals. 355 ml daily increase of SSB intake was associated with an increased risk of coronary events (HR: 1.08; 95%CI: 1.02, 1.14) and possibly coronary death (HR: 1.05; 95%CI: 0.96, 1.16). Substitution analyses suggested that replacing SSBs with coffee (HR: 0.93; 95%CI: 0.87, 1.00) or ASB (HR: 0.89; 95%CI: 0.83, 0.97), might be associated with a lower risk of developing coronary events. We found that SSB intake was associated with an increased risk of coronary events and possibly coronary death. Our findings also suggest that replacing SSB's with ASBs or coffee may lower the risk of developing CHD.

Application of Recent International Epidemiological Guidelines to a Prospective Study of the Incidence of First Seizures, Newly-Diagnosed Epilepsy and Seizure Mimics in a Defined Geographic Region in Ireland.

Studies adherent to international guidelines and epilepsy classification are needed to accurately record the incidence of isolated seizures, epilepsy and seizure-mimics within a population. Because the diagnosis of epilepsy is largely made through clinical assessment by experienced physicians, seizures and epilepsy are susceptible to misdiagnosis. Previous epidemiological studies in epilepsy have not captured "seizure mimics". We therefore sought to quantify the incidence of isolated seizures, epilepsy and seizure-mimics using the International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) classification system. In this study multiple overlapping methods of case ascertainment were applied to a defined geographic region from January 1 to March 31, 2017 to identify all patients presenting with first seizures (provoked and unprovoked), new diagnoses of epilepsy and seizure mimics. Over a 3 month period, from a population of 542,869 adults and children, 442 potential presentations were identified, and 283 met the inclusion criteria. Radiology databases were the source of the largest number of individual cases (n = 153, 54%), while electroencephalogram (EEG) databases were the source of the highest number of unique-to-source cases (those not identified elsewhere, n = 60, 21%). No single case was picked up in every method of ascertainment. Among the 283 included presentations, 38 (13%) were classed as first provoked seizures, 27 (10%) as first unprovoked seizures, 95 (34%) as new diagnosis of epilepsy and 113 (40%) as seizure mimics. Ten (3%) presentations were indeterminate. We present and apply a rigorous study protocol for investigation of the incidence of first seizures, new diagnosis of epilepsy and seizure mimics in a geographically defined region which is adherent to recently published international guidelines for epidemiologic studies and epilepsy classification. We highlight the challenges in making a diagnosis of new-onset epilepsy in patients presenting with a first seizure using the current ILAE definition of epilepsy, when epilepsy can be diagnosed in situations where the treating physician anticipates the risk of further seizures exceeds 60%.

Use of Negative Control Exposure Analysis to Evaluate Confounding: An Example of Acetaminophen Exposure and Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in Nurses' Health Study II.

Frequent maternal use of acetaminophen in pregnancy has been linked to attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in children, but concerns regarding uncontrolled confounding remain. In this article, we illustrate use of the negative control exposure (NCE) approach to evaluate uncontrolled confounding bias in observational studies on pregnancy drug safety and explain the causal assumptions behind the method. We conducted an NCE analysis and evaluated the associations between maternal acetaminophen use during different exposure periods and ADHD among 8,856 children born in 1993-2005 to women enrolled in the Nurses' Health Study II cohort. Information on regular maternal acetaminophen use was collected prospectively in biennial questionnaires. A total of 721 children (8.1%) in the cohort had been diagnosed with ADHD as reported by the mothers. Our NCE analysis suggested that only acetaminophen use at the time of pregnancy was associated with childhood ADHD (odds ratio = 1.34, 95% confidence interval: 1.05, 1.72), and the effect estimates for the 2 NCE periods (about 4 years before and 4 years after the pregnancy) were null. Our findings corroborate those of prior reports suggesting that prenatal acetaminophen exposure may influence neurodevelopment. The lack of an association between acetaminophen use in the pre- and postpregnancy exposure periods and ADHD provides assurance that uncontrolled time-invariant factors do not explain this association.

Prediagnostic plasma metabolomics and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify prediagnostic plasma metabolomic biomarkers associated with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). METHODS: We conducted a global metabolomic study using a nested case-control study design within 5 prospective cohorts and identified 275 individuals who developed ALS during follow-up. We profiled plasma metabolites using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry and identified 404 known metabolites. We used conditional logistic regression to evaluate the associations between metabolites and ALS risk. Further, we used machine learning analyses to determine whether the prediagnostic metabolomic profile could discriminate ALS cases from controls. RESULTS: A total of 31 out of 404 identified metabolites were associated with ALS risk (p < 0.05). We observed inverse associations (n = 27) with plasma levels of diacylglycerides and triacylglycerides, urate, purine nucleosides, and some organic acids and derivatives, while we found positive associations for a cholesteryl ester, 2 phosphatidylcholines, and a sphingomyelin. The number of significant associations increased to 67 (63 inverse) in analyses restricted to cases with blood samples collected within 5 years of onset. None of these associations remained significant after multiple comparison adjustment. Further, we were not able to reliably distinguish individuals who became cases from controls based on their metabolomic profile using partial least squares discriminant analysis, elastic net regression, random forest, support vector machine, or weighted correlation network analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Although the metabolomic profile in blood samples collected years before ALS diagnosis did not reliably separate presymptomatic ALS cases from controls, our results suggest that ALS is preceded by a broad, but poorly defined, metabolic dysregulation years before the disease onset.

Association of fish intake and smoking with risk of rheumatoid arthritis and age of onset: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest that fish may be protective for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) risk perhaps through the anti-inflammatory effect of omega-3 fatty acid, but this relationship has not been clearly established. Therefore, we investigated fish intake and RA risk by serologic status, age of onset, and smoking using a prospective cohort study with large sample size, repeated measures of dietary intake, and lengthy follow-up. METHODS: We studied fish intake and RA risk among 166,013 women in two prospective cohorts, the Nurses' Health Study (NHS, 1984-2014) and NHSII (1991-2015). Fish intake was assessed using food frequency questionnaires at baseline and every 4 years. Incident RA during follow-up and serologic status were determined by medical record review. Pooled Cox regression models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for RA (overall and by serologic status and age at diagnosis) for fish intake frequency. We tested for a smoking-fish interaction for RA risk. RESULTS: During 3,863,909 person-years of follow-up, we identified 1080 incident RA cases. Increasing fish intake was not associated with all RA (≥4 servings/week: multivariable HR 0.93 [95%CI 0.67-1.28] vs. < 1 serving/month; p for trend = 0.42), seropositive RA (p for trend = 0.66), or seronegative RA (p for trend = 0.45), but had increased risk for RA diagnosed > 55 years old (p for trend = 0.037). Among women ≤55 years old, frequent fish intake (vs. infrequent) had HRs (95%CIs) of: 0.73 (0.52-1.02) for all RA, 0.85 (0.55-1.32) for seropositive RA, and 0.55 (0.32-0.94) for seronegative RA. Ever smokers with infrequent fish intake had highly elevated risk for RA onset ≤55 years (HR 2.59, 95%CI 1.65-4.06), while ever smokers with frequent fish intake had modestly elevated RA risk (HR 1.29, 95%CI 1.07-1.57; vs. never smokers/frequent fish intake; p for smoking-fish interaction = 0.039). CONCLUSION: In this large prospective cohort study, we found no clear protective effect of fish or marine omega-3 fatty acid intake on RA risk, overall or by serologic status. We found that fish intake attenuated the strong association of smoking for RA diagnosed ≤55 years of age, but this requires further study.

Prediagnostic plasma branched-chain amino acids and the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether prediagnostic levels of plasma branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) are associated with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) risk. METHODS: We included participants from 5 large cohort studies-The Nurses' Health Study, the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, the Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition, the Multiethnic Cohort Study, and the Women's Health Initiative-and identified 275 individuals who developed ALS during follow-up. Two controls were randomly selected for each case, matched on cohort, age, sex, fasting status, and time of blood draw. We measured metabolites using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry and used conditional logistic regression to estimate rate ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association of individual BCAAs with ALS risk. RESULTS: None of the 3 BCAAs was associated with a higher ALS risk. The risk estimates were similar for leucine (RR top vs bottom quartile: 0.87, 95% CI 0.57-1.33), isoleucine (RR top vs bottom quartile: 0.81, 95% CI 0.52-1.24), and valine (RR top vs bottom quartile: 0.80, 95% CI 0.52-1.23) in a multivariable analysis adjusted for body mass index, smoking, level of education, and physical activity. The estimates did not vary significantly by sex, fasting status, or time interval between blood draw and disease onset. CONCLUSION: The results from this study do not support the hypothesis that BCAAs are risk factors for ALS.

Genetic variants related to urate and risk of Parkinson's disease.

INTRODUCTION: Higher urate concentrations have been associated with a lower risk of developing Parkinson's disease (PD) and with slower rates of clinical decline in PD patients. Whether these associations reflect a neuroprotective effect of urate is unclear. Our objective was to assess whether genetic variants that modify circulating urate levels are also associated with altered PD risk. METHODS: Participants were from three large ongoing cohort studies: the Nurses' Health Study (NHS), the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), and the Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort (CPS-IIN). We examined associations between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in SLC2A9 and other genes involved in urate transport and PD risk using conditional logistic regression among 1451 cases and 3135 matched controls. We assessed associations between SNPs and plasma urate levels in a subset of 1174 control participants with linear regression models. RESULTS: We found the expected associations between SNPs in SLC2A9 and plasma urate levels among men and women; however, SNPs in other genes tended not to be associated with urate. Each SNP in SLC2A9 explained less than 7% of the variance in plasma urate. We did not find significant associations between the SNPs in SLC2A9 and PD risk among men or women. CONCLUSION: Our results do not support an association between genetic variants associated with circulating urate levels and risk of PD, but larger investigations are needed to determine whether the modest genetic effects on blood urate contribute to predict PD risk.