Risk of epithelial ovarian cancer in asymptomatic women with ultrasound-detected ovarian masses: a prospective cohort study within the UK collaborative trial of ovarian cancer screening (UKCTOCS).

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk of primary epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) and slow growing borderline or Type I and aggressive Type II EOC in postmenopausal women with adnexal abnormalities on ultrasound. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study in the ultrasound group of the UK Collaborative Trial of Ovarian Cancer Screening of postmenopausal women with ultrasound-detected abnormal adnexal (unilocular, multilocular, unilocular solid and multilocular solid, solid) morphology on their first scan. Women were followed up through the national cancer registries and by postal questionnaires. Absolute risks of EOC and borderline, Type I and Type II EOC within 3 years of initial scan were calculated. RESULTS: Of 48 053 women who underwent ultrasound examination and had complete scan data, 4367 (9.1% (95% CI, 8.8-9.3%)) had abnormal adnexal morphology. Median follow-up was 7.09 (25(th) -75(th) centiles, 6.03-7.92) years. Forty-seven (32 borderline or Type I, 15 Type II) were diagnosed with EOC. The overall absolute risk of EOC associated with abnormal adnexal morphology was 1.08% (95% CI, 0.79-1.43%); for borderline and Type I it was 0.73% (95% CI, 0.5-1.03%); and for Type II it was 0.34% (95% CI, 0.33-0.79%). In the subgroup (n = 741) with solid elements (unilocular solid, multilocular solid and solid) overall absolute risk was 4.45% (95% CI, 3.08-6.20%), for borderline and Type I it was 3.1% (95% CI, 1.9-4.6%) and for Type II it was 1.3% (95% CI, 0.6-2.4%). 11 982 women had both ovaries visualized and normal annual scans throughout the 3-year follow-up period. In this group, no borderline or Type I and eight Type II cancers were diagnosed. CONCLUSION: Asymptomatic postmenopausal women with ultrasound-detected adnexal abnormalities with solid elements have a 1 in 22 risk for EOC. Despite the higher prevalence of Type II EOC, the risk of borderline or Type I cancer in women with ultrasound abnormalities seems to be higher than does the risk of Type II cancer. This has important immediate implications for patients with incidental adnexal findings as well as for any future ultrasound-based screening.

Factors influencing uptake and timing of risk reducing salpingo-oophorectomy in women at risk of familial ovarian cancer: a competing risk time to event analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate factors affecting uptake of risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) over time in women at high-risk of familial ovarian cancer. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort. SETTING: Tertiary high-risk familial gynaecological cancer clinic. POPULATION/SAMPLE: New clinic attendees between March 2004 and November 2009, fulfilling the high-risk criteria for the UK Familial Ovarian Cancer Screening Study. METHODS: Risk management options discussed included RRSO and ovarian surveillance. Outcome data were analysed from a bespoke database. The competing risk method was used to model the cumulative incidence function (CIF) of RRSO over time, and the sub-hazard ratio (SHR) was used to assess the strength of the association of variables of interest with RRSO. Gray's test was used to evaluate the difference in CIF between two groups and multivariable competing risk regression analysis was used to model the cumulative probabilities of covariates on the CIF. RESULTS: Of 1133 eligible women, 265 (21.4%) opted for RRSO and 868 (69.9%) chose screening. Women undergoing RRSO were older (49 years, interquartile range 12.2 years) than those preferring screening (43.4 years, interquartile range 11.9 years) (P < 0.0005). The CIF for RRSO at 5 years was 0.55 (95% CI 0.45-0.64) for BRCA1/2 carriers and 0.22 (95% CI 0.19-0.26) for women of unknown mutation status (P < 0.0001); 0.42 (95% CI 0.36-0.47) for postmenopausal women (P < 0.0001); 0.29 (95% CI 0.25-0.33) for parity ≥1 (P = 0.009) and 0.47 (95% CI 0.39-0.55) for a personal history of breast cancer (P < 0.0001). Variables of significance from the regression analysis were: a BRCA1/2 mutation (SHR 2.31, 95% CI 1.7-3.14), postmenopausal status (SHR 2.16, 95% CI 1.62-2.87)) and a personal history of breast cancer (SHR 1.5, 95% CI 1.09-2.06). CONCLUSIONS: Decision-making is a complex process and women opt for surgery many years after initial risk assessment. BRCA carriers, postmenopausal women and women who had breast cancer are significantly more likely to opt for preventative surgery.

The impact of local surface changes in Borneo on atmospheric composition at wider spatial scales: coastal processes, land-use change and air quality.

We present results from the OP3 campaign in Sabah during 2008 that allow us to study the impact of local emission changes over Borneo on atmospheric composition at the regional and wider scale. OP3 constituent data provide an important constraint on model performance. Treatment of boundary layer processes is highlighted as an important area of model uncertainty. Model studies of land-use change confirm earlier work, indicating that further changes to intensive oil palm agriculture in South East Asia, and the tropics in general, could have important impacts on air quality, with the biggest factor being the concomitant changes in NO(x) emissions. With the model scenarios used here, local increases in ozone of around 50 per cent could occur. We also report measurements of short-lived brominated compounds around Sabah suggesting that oceanic (and, especially, coastal) emission sources dominate locally. The concentration of bromine in short-lived halocarbons measured at the surface during OP3 amounted to about 7 ppt, setting an upper limit on the amount of these species that can reach the lower stratosphere.

Outcome of risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy in BRCA carriers and women of unknown mutation status.

OBJECTIVE: To compare surgical outcomes and occult cancer rates at risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy in BRCA carriers and high-risk women who had not undergone genetic testing. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary high-risk familial gynaecological cancer clinic. POPULATION: Women undergoing risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy between January 2005 and November 2009. METHODS: Women at high-risk of ovarian/tubal cancer were identified on the basis of the inclusion criteria for the UK Familial Ovarian Cancer Screening Study. Risk management options discussed with 1456 high-risk women included risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy. A strict histopathological protocol with serial slicing was used to assess tubes and ovaries. RESULTS: In total, 308 high-risk women (191 with unknown mutation status; 117 known BRCA1/BRCA2 carriers) chose risk-reducing surgery; 94.5% of procedures were performed laparoscopically. The surgical complication rate was 3.9% (95% CI 2.0-6.7). Four ovarian and ten tubal occult invasive/in situ cancers were found. The overall occult invasive cancer rate was 5.1% (95% CI 1.9-10.83) in BRCA1/BRCA2 carriers and 1.05% (95% CI 0.13-3.73) in untested women. When tubal in situ cancers were included, the overall rate was 4.55% (95% CI 2.5-7.5). Two untested women with tubal carcinoma in situ were subsequently found to be BRCA carriers. The median ages of BRCA carriers (58 years; IQR 13.4 years) and untested women (49.5 years; IQR 20.6 years) with occult invasive/in situ cancer were not significantly different (P = 0.454). CONCLUSIONS: Both high-risk women of unknown mutation status and BRCA carriers have a significant (although higher in the latter group) rate of occult invasive/in situ tubal/ovarian cancer, with a similar age distribution at detection. The data has important implications for counselling high-risk women on the likelihood of occult malignancy and perioperative complications at risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy. Women with occult disease should be offered genetic testing.

Nitrogen management is essential to prevent tropical oil palm plantations from causing ground-level ozone pollution.

More than half the world's rainforest has been lost to agriculture since the Industrial Revolution. Among the most widespread tropical crops is oil palm (Elaeis guineensis): global production now exceeds 35 million tonnes per year. In Malaysia, for example, 13% of land area is now oil palm plantation, compared with 1% in 1974. There are enormous pressures to increase palm oil production for food, domestic products, and, especially, biofuels. Greater use of palm oil for biofuel production is predicated on the assumption that palm oil is an "environmentally friendly" fuel feedstock. Here we show, using measurements and models, that oil palm plantations in Malaysia directly emit more oxides of nitrogen and volatile organic compounds than rainforest. These compounds lead to the production of ground-level ozone (O(3)), an air pollutant that damages human health, plants, and materials, reduces crop productivity, and has effects on the Earth's climate. Our measurements show that, at present, O(3) concentrations do not differ significantly over rainforest and adjacent oil palm plantation landscapes. However, our model calculations predict that if concentrations of oxides of nitrogen in Borneo are allowed to reach those currently seen over rural North America and Europe, ground-level O(3) concentrations will reach 100 parts per billion (10(9)) volume (ppbv) and exceed levels known to be harmful to human health. Our study provides an early warning of the urgent need to develop policies that manage nitrogen emissions if the detrimental effects of palm oil production on air quality and climate are to be avoided.

Defining the surgical management of suspected early-stage ovarian cancer by estimating patient numbers through alternative management strategies.

OBJECTIVE: To establish the optimal management strategy for women with suspected stage 1 ovarian cancer. DESIGN: We created a flowchart to illustrate each of six hypothetical management strategies. These considered two surgical approaches (systematic lymphadenectomy versus no lymph node dissection at all) in combination with three different policies for giving adjuvant chemotherapy. SETTING: Gynaecological cancer centre, London, UK. DATA SOURCES: Patient data and published papers. METHODS: We developed a deterministic model that uses information from multiple sources to estimate patient flow through each level of a hypothesised decision tree. RESULTS: We estimated that for every 100 cases of suspected early-stage ovarian cancer, there would be 37 cases with 'apparent' stage 1 disease and that of these, two (6%) would be denied potentially life-saving adjuvant treatment if systematic lymphadenectomy was not performed. The number of women given chemotherapy would not, according to our estimates, differ greatly between the two surgical approaches, the 7% increase with systematic lymphadenectomy being because of cases identified as having nodal metastases. CONCLUSIONS: We present a model of the intraoperative decision-making process that determines the extent of the staging procedure to be performed within our department when early-stage ovarian cancer is suspected. Unless adjuvant chemotherapy is prescribed for all, systematic pelvic and para-aortic node dissection is required to optimise survival. However, in our department, this would result in 32% of women with suspected early-stage ovarian cancer undergoing systematic node dissection. This flexible focused model may facilitate multidisciplinary team discussion when this part of the surgical staging procedure is considered within the context of the population presenting to the team, the morbidity of the procedure within the department and the predictive values of frozen section within that department. As the model is not disease-specific, it may be useful for decision making in other medical disciplines.

Vulval cancer: what is an adequate surgical margin?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the accuracy of naked eye assessment of surgical margins after formalin fixation in vulval cancer in comparison with microscopic assessment. DESIGN: Retrospective review. SETTING: The Gynaecological Cancer Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, London, U.K. POPULATION: Patients with primary vulval cancer who underwent surgery from 1997 to 2006. METHODS: Histopathology reports were reviewed and data on surgical margins were analysed. After formalin fixation, pathologists analysed surgical margins and measured them with a ruler. This measurement was compared with microscopic measurement. Other clinicopathologic variables were also recorded and compared. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Comparison between macroscopic and microscopic measurement, and the relation to clinicopathological variables. RESULTS: Naked eye assessment of surgical margins was within 2 mm of correlated microscopic measurement in 29 patients (Group 1). In ten patients the macroscopic measurement of clear margins was less than the microscopic (Group 2). In the remaining 11 cases (22%) naked eye observation overestimated the normal skin margins (Group 3). Seven patients from this group eventually fell into the unfavourable prognostic category of surgical margins <8 mm. The presence of LVSI was significantly more frequent in Group 3 than in the other two groups (p = 0.01). The difference between other variables of the study groups was statistically non-significant. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that naked eye assessment of surgical margins after formalin fixation is inaccurate and that surgical margins are often inadequate. We conclude that tumours with LVSI should be considered for a wider surgical excision.

Isotope analysis of hydrocarbons: trapping, recovering and archiving hydrocarbons and halocarbons separated from ambient air.

It is argued that isotope analysis of atmospheric non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) and, in particular, the analysis of the deuterium/hydrogen (D/H) ratio is valuable because the dominant self-cleansing property of the troposphere is based on the OH radical which removes, e.g., CH4 and other alkanes by H-atom abstraction, which induces large kinetic isotope effects. The major obstacle in applying D/H isotope analysis to atmospheric NMHCs is not only the low abundance of D itself but, in particular, the low concentrations of NMHCs in the parts per trillion range. We show how a selection of NMHCs can be quantitatively separated from 300 L air samples together with CO2 as carrier gas matrix, by using high efficiency cryogenic traps. After diluting the extracted NMHC mixtures with hydrocarbon free air, and determining the mixing ratios, good agreement with original whole air sample analysis exists for alkanes and several halocarbons. For unsaturated hydrocarbons and some other halocarbons the extraction and recovery yield under the given conditions fell considerably, as a function of boiling point. Furthermore, the mixture of NMHCs in the CO2 matrix is proven to remain unchanged over several years when conveniently stored in glass ampoules. The 'extracts' or 'concentrates' of condensables extracted from larger air samples will enable the D/H isotope analysis of ultra trace gases in the atmosphere.

Continuing emissions of methyl chloroform from Europe.

The consumption of methyl chloroform (1,1,1-trichloroethane), an industrial solvent, has been banned by the 1987 Montreal Protocol because of its ozone-depleting potential. During the 1990s, global emissions have decreased substantially and, since 1999, near-zero emissions have been estimated for Europe and the United States. Here we present measurements of methyl chloroform that are inconsistent with the assumption of small emissions. Using a tracer transport model, we estimate that European emissions were greater than 20 Gg in 2000. Although these emissions are not significant for stratospheric ozone depletion, they have important implications for estimates of global tropospheric hydroxyl radical (OH) concentrations, deduced from measurements of methyl chloroform. Ongoing emissions therefore cast doubt upon recent reports of a strong and unexpected negative trend in OH during the 1990s and a previously calculated higher OH abundance in the Southern Hemisphere compared to the Northern Hemisphere.

A demographic and health profile of gay and bisexual men in a large Canadian urban setting.

The purpose of this study was to provide both a population estimate and a socio-economic and health profile of gay and bisexual men living with HIV/AIDS in a large Canadian urban centre. A random telephone survey was used to determine the number of men in the study area over the age of 20 identifying as gay or bisexual and to characterize their health and socio-economic status. Out of a total of 1,176 completed interviews, 300 males described themselves as gay or bisexual. Projecting this figure on recent census data we estimated the number of men identifying as gay or bisexual in this region of downtown Vancouver, BC, at 5,100. Among these men we found an HIV prevalence rate of 16%, with those who reported a positive serostatus being less likely to be employed full time and more likely to earn less than $20,000 per year. In terms of clinical characteristics, HIV-positive men had a median CD4 cell count of 397 cells/mm(3) and a median viral load of less than 500 copies/ml. Eighty-three per cent of the HIV-positive respondents were on antiretroviral therapy and the median number of drugs taken by these men was three. In summary, random surveys of populations affected by this epidemic are important for policy makers, clinicians and persons caring for those with HIV/AIDS as they paint a clearer picture of who is being affected and help to identify areas where increased services are needed.

MR imaging of uterine sarcomas.

OBJECTIVE: The MR imaging appearances of uterine sarcomas are not well described in the literature. We describe the MR imaging features of uterine sarcomas. MATERIALS AND METHODS: MR images from all patients with histologically proven uterine sarcomas scanned between 1993 and 2000 were reviewed. Tumor size, its relationship to the uterus, signal characteristics, and enhancement pattern after IV injection of gadolinium were noted. RESULTS: Twenty-five scans from 22 patients were reviewed. Findings from the scans included 11 leiomyosarcomas, five mixed müllerian tumors, two rhabdosarcomas, and four endometrial stromal sarcomas. Two patterns of disease were observed, including a characteristic large heterogenous pelvic mass (n = 17) and an endometrial mass indistinguishable from endometrial carcinoma (n = 8). On T2-weighted images, the large masses were characteristically of low or intermediate background signal intensity with pockets of very high T2 signal. The areas of high T2 signal corresponded to cystic necrosis in the tumor. Pockets of high T1-weighted signal corresponded to hemorrhage. Gadolinium enhancement was present in the solid components of all tumors. This pattern was observed in all recurrent sarcomas. Some correlation was shown between the histologic subtypes and the MR imaging appearances. CONCLUSION: Uterine sarcomas show two patterns on MR imaging. The most common presentation is a large heterogenous mass. However, sarcomas can mimic endometrial carcinoma.

Radical trachelectomy in early stage carcinoma of the cervix: outcome as judged by recurrence and fertility rates.

The recurrence and fertility rates in 30 women undergoing radical trachelectomy for early stage invasive cervical cancer at St Bartholomew's and Royal Marsden Hospital were reviewed. There were no recurrences, and the mean follow up was 23 months (range 1-64 months). Of 13 women trying to have a baby, eight had conceived with a total of 14 pregnancies and nine live births. Two were still trying and three were experiencing sub-fertility. There were seven premature deliveries and one late miscarriage. Six of the preterm births and the late miscarriage were associated with prelabour spontaneous rupture of membranes. This conservative yet locally radical procedure for a highly selected group of women who wished to preserve their fertility appears to offer a safe alternative to radical hysterectomy in early invasive cervical cancer.

Molecular quantification and mapping of lymph-node micrometastases in cervical cancer.

BACKGROUND: A proportion of patients with cancer and lymph nodes negative on histology will develop recurrence. Reverse-transcriptase PCR (RT-PCR) is a highly sensitive method for detection of lymph-node micrometastases, but accurate quantitative assessment has been difficult. METHODS: We studied primary tumours and 156 lymph nodes from 32 patients with cervical cancer (stage IA2, IB1, and IB2) and 32 lymph nodes from nine patients with benign disease. A fully quantitative, real-time RT-PCR assay was used to document absolute copy numbers of the epithelial marker cytokeratin 19. Primers and probe were designed not to amplify either of the two cytokeratin 19 pseudogenes. FINDINGS: All primary tumours and histologically involved lymph nodes (six) had more than 106 copies of cytokeratin 19 mRNA per microg total RNA. Expression of cytokeratin 19 (up to 1.1 x 10(5) copies per microg RNA) was detected in 66 (44%) of 150 histologically uninvolved lymph nodes, and in nodes from 16 of 32 patients with cervical cancer. 15 of these 16 patients with evidence of micrometastases had the highest cytokeratin 19 transcription level in a first lymph-node drainage station (three obturator, six internal, and six external iliac node). Transcription of cytokeratin 19 was found at a low level in just one of 32 lymph nodes obtained from nine patients with benign disease. Median copy number of cytokeratin 19 transcription was significantly higher (>10(3) copies) in association with adverse prognostic features. INTERPRETATION: The results suggest that about 50% of early-stage cervical cancers shed tumour cells to the pelvic lymph nodes. The amount of cytokeratin 19 expression was related to clinicopathological features. Further studies are required to document the clinical implications of molecular micrometastases.

Modern antiretroviral therapy improves life expectancy of gay and bisexual males in Vancouver's West End.

This study was undertaken to evaluate the life expectancy of gay and bisexual men in the West End of Vancouver, British Columbia during two time periods. Mortality data for males were obtained for the periods 1990 to 1992 and 1995 to 1997 and population estimates were obtained from the 1991 and 1996 Census. The proportion of the male population over 20 years of age estimated to be gay and bisexual was derived from a random telephone survey. Mortality patterns were assessed by comparing changes in life expectancy at age 20 years between the periods, and by examining the life expectancy lost attributed to HIV/AIDS. Between the periods there was 3.8 +/- 3.4 years increase in life expectancy among gay and bisexual men. At exact age 20 years, life expectancy increased from 37.0 +/- 3.5 years during the period 1990 to 1992 to 40.8 +/- 2.4 years during the period 1995 to 1997. The loss of life expectancy attributed to HIV/AIDS at this age was 13.8 +/- 3.9 during the first period and 9.8 +/- 3.6 years during the second period. This gain is most likely the result of the improved efficacy of antiretroviral therapies.

Performance of ultrasound as a second line test to serum CA125 in ovarian cancer screening.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the performance of ultrasonography in a multimodal ovarian cancer screening strategy. DESIGN: Prospective ovarian cancer screening trial between December 1986 and June 1993. SETTING: General practice, occupational health departments and an ovarian cancer screening clinic at a London teaching hospital. POPULATION: Postmenopausal women, > or = 45 years with a raised CA125. METHODS: Volunteers with a CA125 > or = 30 U/mL underwent a pelvic ultrasound. Scans were classified as normal, abnormal (ovarian volume > or = 8.8 mL) or equivocal (normal volume with abnormal morphology). Abnormal ovarian morphology was subclassified as simple cyst (single, thin walled cyst with no septa or papillary projections) or complex (all other abnormalities). Volunteers with abnormal scans were referred for a gynaecological opinion. Follow up was via the cancer registry and postal questionnaires. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of different ultrasound criteria for detection of index cancer (e.g. primary invasive epithelial carcinoma of the ovary and fallopian tube). RESULTS: Seven hundred and forty-one women underwent 1,219 scans and 20 index cancers occurred during a median follow up of 6 x 8 years. The sensitivity for detection of ovarian cancer of different ultrasound criteria was 100% for abnormal morphology, 89 x 5% for abnormal volume and 84% for complex morphology. The highest specificity (97%) and positive predictive value (37 x 2%) was achieved using complex morphology. CONCLUSION: A variety of ultrasound criteria can achieve high sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value for index cancers in postmenopausal women with an elevated CA125. Use of ovarian morphology to interpret ultrasound may increase sensitivity and use of complex ovarian morphology may increase the positive predictive value.

A comparison of national cancer registry and direct follow-up in the ascertainment of ovarian cancer.

The National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) and direct follow-up were used to document ovarian and fallopian tube cancers in 22000 women from 1986 to 1993. Direct follow-up identified 47/49 cases (96%) and the NHSCR 38/49 (78%). NHSCR ascertainment was incomplete and direct follow-up provided additional information. These findings have implications for interpretation of national cancer statistics and for use of the NHSCR in research trials.

Role of MR imaging in the selection of patients with early cervical carcinoma for fertility-preserving surgery: initial experience.

PURPOSE: To assess whether magnetic resonance (MR) imaging can be used for reliable prediction of proximal extension of cervical carcinoma into the myometrium. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty patients with early cervical carcinoma underwent MR imaging with use of a 1.5-T magnet prior to surgery. The MR images were analyzed by two radiologists, unaware of the histopathologic findings, for the relationship of the tumor to the internal os and extension of the tumor into the myometrium. Findings at MR imaging were compared with those at histopathologic examination. RESULTS: At MR imaging, 24 patients were considered not to have tumor extension proximal to the internal os and into the myometrium. All tumors were confirmed histopathologically. In six patients thought to have myometrial tumor invasion at MR imaging, five tumors were confirmed histopathologically; in one, tumor extended up to the internal os but did not involve the myometrium. CONCLUSION: This is a small study, but MR imaging appears accurate in the prediction of myometrial tumor involvement and in showing the relationship of cervical carcinoma to the internal os and, hence, the patient's suitability for trachelectomy.