Dosimetric characterization of a new surface-conforming electron MLC prototype.

The purpose is to reduce normal tissue radiation toxicity for electron therapy through the creation of a surface-conforming electron multileaf collimator (SCEM). The SCEM combines the benefits of skin collimation, electron conformal radiotherapy, and modulated electron radiotherapy. An early concept for the SCEM was constructed. It consists of leaves that protrude towards the patient, allowing the leaves to conform closely to irregular patient surfaces. The leaves are made of acrylic to decrease bremsstrahlung, thereby decreasing the out-of-field dose. Water tank scans were performed with the SCEM in place for various field sizes for all available electron energies (6, 9, 12, and 15 MeV) with a 0.5 cm air gap to the water surface at 100 cm source-to-surface distance (SSD). These measurements were compared with Cerrobend cutouts with the field size-matched at 100 and 110 cm SSD. Output factor measurements were taken in solid water for each energy at dmax for both the cerrobend cutouts and SCEM at 100 cm SSD. Percent depth dose (PDD) curves for the SCEM shifted shallower for all energies and field sizes. The SCEM also produced a higher surface dose relative to Cerrobend cutouts, with the maximum being a 9.8% increase for the 3 cm × 9 cm field at 9 MeV. When compared to the Cerrobend cutouts at 110 cm SSD, the SCEM showed a significant decrease in the penumbra, particularly for lower energies (i.e., 6 and 9 MeV). The SCEM also showed reduced out-of-field dose and lower bremsstrahlung production than the Cerrobend cutouts. The SCEM provides significant improvement in the penumbra and out-of-field dose by allowing collimation close to the skin surface compared to Cerrobend cutouts. However, the added scatter from the SCEM increases shallow PDD values. Future work will focus on reducing this scatter while maintaining the penumbra and out-of-field benefits the SCEM has over conventional collimation.

Adaptive experimental design produces superior and more efficient estimates of predator functional response.

Ecological dynamics are strongly influenced by the relationship between prey density and predator feeding behavior-that is, the predatory functional response. A useful understanding of this relationship requires us to distinguish between competing models of the functional response, and to robustly estimate the model parameters. Recent advances in this topic have revealed bias in model comparison, as well as in model parameter estimation in functional response studies, mainly attributed to the quality of data. Here, we propose that an adaptive experimental design framework can mitigate these challenges. We then present the first practical demonstration of the improvements it offers over standard experimental design. Our results reveal that adaptive design can efficiently identify the preferred functional response model among the competing models, and can produce much more precise posterior distributions for the estimated functional response parameters. By increasing the efficiency of experimentation, adaptive experimental design will lead to reduced logistical burden.

Machine learning models to predict the delivered positions of Elekta multileaf collimator leaves for volumetric modulated arc therapy.

PURPOSE: Accurate positioning of multileaf collimator (MLC) leaves during volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) is essential for accurate treatment delivery. We developed a linear regression, support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and an artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting the delivered leaf positions for VMAT plans. METHODS: For this study, 160 MLC log files from 80 VMAT plans were obtained from a single institution treated on 3 Elekta Versa HD linear accelerators. The gravity vector, X1 and X2 jaw positions, leaf gap, leaf position, leaf velocity, and leaf acceleration were extracted and used as model inputs. The models were trained using 70% of the log files and tested on the remaining 30%. Mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), the coefficient of determination R2 , and fitted line plots showing the relationship between delivered and predicted leaf positions were used to evaluate model performance. RESULTS: The models achieved the following errors: linear regression (MAE = 0.158 mm, RMSE = 0.225 mm), support vector machine (MAE = 0.141 mm, RMSE = 0.199 mm), random forest (MAE = 0.161 mm, RMSE = 0.229 mm), XGBoost (MAE = 0.185 mm, RMSE = 0.273 mm), and ANN (MAE = 0.361 mm, RMSE = 0.521 mm). A significant correlation between a plan's gamma passing rate (GPR) and the prediction errors of linear regression, support vector machine, and random forest is seen (p < 0.045). CONCLUSIONS: We examined various models to predict the delivered MLC positions for VMAT plans treated with Elekta linacs. Linear regression, support vector machine, random forest, and XGBoost achieved lower errors than ANN. Models that can accurately predict the individual leaf positions during treatment can help identify leaves that are deviating from the planned position, which can improve a plan's GPR.

Consensus from group interactions: An adaptive voter model on hypergraphs.

We study the effect of group interactions on the emergence of consensus in a spin system. Agents with discrete opinions {0,1} form groups. They can change their opinion based on their group's influence (voter dynamics), but groups can also split and merge (adaptation). In a hypergraph, these groups are represented by hyperedges of different sizes. The heterogeneity of group sizes is controlled by a parameter ß. To study the impact of ß on reaching consensus, we provide extensive computer simulations and compare them with an analytic approach for the dynamics of the average magnetization. We find that group interactions amplify small initial opinion biases, accelerate the formation of consensus, and lead to a drift of the average magnetization. The conservation of the initial magnetization, known for basic voter models, is no longer obtained.

End to end comparison of surface-guided imaging versus stereoscopic X-rays for the SRS treatment of multiple metastases with a single isocenter using 3D anthropomorphic gel phantoms.

INTRODUCTION: Two end-to-end tests evaluate the accuracy of a surface-guided radiation therapy (SGRT) system (CRAD Catalyst HD) for position verification in comparison to a stereoscopic x-ray imaging system (Brainlab Exactrac ) for single-isocenter, multiple metastases stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) using 3D polymer gel inserts. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A 3D-printed phantom (Prime phantom, RTsafe PC, Athens, Greece) with two separate cylindrical polymer gel inserts were immobilized in open-face masks and treated with a single isocentric, multitarget SRS plan. Planning was done in Brainlab (Elements) to treat five metastatic lesions in one fraction, and initial setup was done using cone beam computed tomography. Positional verification was done using orthogonal X-ray imaging (Brainlab Exactrac) and/or a surface imaging system (CRAD Catalyst HD, Uppsala, Sweden), and shift discrepancies were recorded for each couch angle. Forty-two hours after irradiation, the gel phantom was scanned in a 1.5 Tesla MRI, and images were fused with the patient computed tomography data/structure set for further analysis of spatial dose distribution. RESULTS: Discrepancies between the CRAD Catalyst HD system and Brainlab Exactrac were <1 mm in the translational direction and <0.5° in the angular direction at noncoplanar couch angles. Dose parameters (DMean% , D95% ) and 3D gamma index passing rates were evaluated for both setup modalities for each planned target volume (PTV) at a variety of thresholds: 3%/2 mm (Exactrac≥93.1% and CRAD ≥87.2%), 5%/2 mm (Exactrac≥95.6% and CRAD ≥94.6%), and 5%/1 mm (Exactrac≥81.8% and CRAD ≥83.7%). CONCLUSION: Dose metrics for a setup with surface imaging was found to be consistent with setup using x-ray imaging, demonstrating high accuracy and reproducibility for treatment delivery. Results indicate the feasibility of using surface imaging for position verification at noncoplanar couch angles for single-isocenter, multiple-target SRS using end-to-end quality assurance (QA) testing with 3D polymer gel dosimetry.

Essential Oil Coating: Mediterranean Culinary Plants as Grain Protectants against Larvae and Adults of Tribolium castaneum and Trogoderma granarium.

Postharvest agricultural losses constitute a major food security risk. In contrast, postharvest protection is strongly linked with food safety. The present study aims to develop novel postharvest protection tools through a bioprospecting protocol utilizing edible essential oils (EOs) as grain coatings. For this purpose, six Mediterranean culinary plants were selected for evaluation. The EOs of juniper, Juniperus phoenicea L. (Pinales: Cupressaceae), marjoram, Origanum majorana L. (Lamiales: Lamiaceae), oregano, Origanum vulgare ssp. hirtum (Link) A.Terracc. (Lamiales: Lamiaceae), bay laurel, Laurus nobilis L. (Laurales: Lauraceae) and tarhan, Echinophora tenuifolia ssp. sibthorpiana (Guss.) Tutin (Apiales: Apiaceae) were retrieved through steam distillation, while lemon, Citrus limon (L.) Osbeck (Sapindales: Rutaceae) EO was retrieved through cold press extraction. All EOs were formulated to microemulsions (MEs) and applied uniformly as a coating on wheat against larvae and adults of Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) and Trogoderma granarium Everts (Coleoptera: Dermestidae). All EO-based MEs have been evaluated for the first time as grain coatings. They caused moderate to high mortality to T. castaneum larvae (67.8-93.3% 14 days post-exposure) and T. granarium adults (70.0-87.8% after 7 days of exposure). Citrus limon, O. majorana and E. tenuifolia ssp. sibthorpiana EO-based MEs were the most efficient against T. castaneum larvae, by exhibiting 93.3%, 91.1% and 90.0% mortality 14 days post-exposure, respectively. Origanum majorana, L. nobilis and J. phoenicea EO-based MEs were the most efficient against T. granarium adults, exhibiting 87.8%, 84.4% and 83.3% mortality after 7 days of exposure, respectively. These results indicate that EO-based ME coating is a potent tool against the tested postharvest pests.

Demographic responses of Tribolium castaneum (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) to different temperatures in soft wheat flour.

The red flour beetle, Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) is one of the most dangerous insects of a wide spectrum of stored products around the globe. The population growth of this species is affected by temperature. However, there are no data on comparative demographic parameters (i.e., net reproductive rate, intrinsic rate of increase, finite rate of increase, mean generation time and doubling time) in different temperatures, parameters that allow the in-depth exploration of its survival, mortality and reproduction patterns. This study evaluated egg-to-adult development, adult mortality and female fecundity on white soft wheat flour at 20, 25, 30 and 32.5 °C. The net reproductive rate increased from 0.08 females/female at 20 °C to 11.77 females/female at 25 °C and 102.07 females/female at 30 °C, followed by a decrease to 10.73 females/female at 32.5 °C. The lowest values of the intrinsic rate of increase and the finite rate of increase were observed at 20 °C (- 0.0105 females/female/day and 0.9895, respectively) and the highest at 30 °C (0.0348 females/female/day and 1.0354, respectively). While the mean generation time did not differ significantly between 20 and 25 °C (249.9 and 225.5 days, respectively), this decreased to 132.8 and 115.1 days at 30 and 32.5 °C, respectively. The value of the doubling time was negative at 20 °C (- 67.5 days), increased to 19.9, 34.0 and 63.9 days at 30, 32.5 and 25 °C, respectively. Using the non-linear Briere model, the lower threshold for T. castaneum population increase was estimated to be 22.2 °C, the upper threshold at 33.2 °C, and the temperature for maximum growth rate was 30.1 °C. Survival analysis indicated that temperature also affected the mortality risk of T. castaneum. The mean survival time increased from 112.1 days at 20 °C to 462.4 days at 25 °C, followed by a decrease to 206.5 and 64.5 days at 30 and 32.5 °C, respectively. We expect these results to be useful for the prediction of the population growth, the potential expansion and consequently management of T. castaneum.

Effects of varying statistical uncertainty using a Monte Carlo based treatment planning system for VMAT.

PURPOSE: To determine the severity of the effects on VMAT dose calculations caused by varying statistical uncertainties (SU) per control point in a Monte Carlo based treatment planning system (TPS) and to assess the impact of the uncertainty during dose volume histogram (DVH) evaluation. METHODS: For this study, 13 archived patient plans were selected for recalculation. Treatment sites included prostate, lung, and head and neck. These plans were each recalculated five times with varying uncertainty levels using Elekta's Monaco Version 5.11.00 Monte Carlo Gold Standard XVMC dose calculation algorithm. The statistical uncertainty per control point ranged from 2 to 10% at intervals of 2%, while the grid spacing was set at 3 mm for all calculations. Indices defined by the RTOG describing conformity, coverage, and homogeneity were recorded for each recalculation. RESULTS: For all indices tested, one-way ANOVA tests failed to reject the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between SU levels (p>0.05). Using the Bland-Altman analysis method, it was determined that we can expect the indices (with the exception of CIRTOG) to be within 1% of the lowest uncertainty calculation when calculating at 4% SU per control point. Beyond that, we can expect the indices to be within 3% of the lowest uncertainty calculation. CONCLUSION: Increasing the SU per control point exponentially decreased the amount of time required for dose calculations, while creating minimal observable differences in DVHs and isodose lines.

Capsella bursa-pastoris Is a Key Overwintering Plant for Aphids in the Mediterranean Region.

The reproduction of aphids depends to a great extent on their host plants, an integration that impacts on the successful expansion of overwintering populations. Therefore, a survey was conducted to evaluate the globally distributed Capsella bursa-pastoris as an overwintering host of economically important aphid species, their parasitoids and hyperparasitoids in the southern and western regions of Turkey from November to March in 2006 to 2013. During this survey, 395 samples of C. bursa-pastoris were collected with 25 aphid species recorded. Among aphids that feed on this host, Myzus persicae, Aphis gossypii, Rhopalosiphum padi, Aphis fabae, Aphis craccivora, Lipaphis erysimi, and Brevicoryne brassicae were the most frequently recorded. In total, 10,761 individual parasitoids were identified. Binodoxys angelicae, Aphidius colemani, Aphidius matricariae, Diaeretiella rapae, Ephedrus persicae, and Lysiphlebus confusus were the most abundant aphidiines that emerged from the aphids collected from C. bursa-pastoris. Alloxysta spp. (Hymenoptera: Cynipoidea), Chalcidoidea (unidentified at genus level), and Dendrocerus spp. (Hymenoptera: Ceraphronoidea) were identified as hyperparasitoids on the parasitoids. These findings indicate that C. bursa-pastoris is a key non-agricultural plant that significantly contributes to the overwintering of numerous aphids and their parasitoids, which should be given serious consideration when biological control strategies are designed.

Variability of Breast Surface Positioning Using an Active Breathing Coordinator for a Deep Inspiration Breath Hold Technique.

Purpose The Elekta Active Breathing CoordinatorTM (ABC) is used to control breathing and guide deep inspiration breath hold (DIBH). It has been shown to be accurate in lung cancers, but limited analysis has been performed on the spatial accuracy and reproducibility of the breast surface. The use of optical surface-image guidance for patient positioning has grown in popularity and is an alternative solution for breast DIBH. This study aims to evaluate the breast surface variability of an ABC-guided DIBH by using a three-dimensional (3D) surface imaging system to record surface position. Methods Ten participants were placed in the treatment position, and breathing baselines and inhalation volume threshold baselines were monitored and recorded using the ABC. Over 60 minutes, the breathing patterns were recorded by the ABC and CatalystHDTM (C-RAD, Uppsala, Sweden). For each breath hold, the valve of the ABC closed at the baseline inhalation threshold and a 3D surface image was acquired. For each point on the baseline breast surface, a 3D vector was calculated to the subsequent breath hold surface as well as a root mean square (RMS) vector magnitude for the entire surface. Results The average and standard deviation for the RMS difference between the baseline and subsequent evaluated images were 7.12 ± 2.70 mm. Conclusion This study shows that while the ABC-guided inhalation volume is kept constant, a non-negligible variability of the breast surface position exists. Special considerations should be used in clinical situations, where the positioning of the surface is considered more important than inhalation volume.

On the evaluation of mobile target trajectory between four-dimensional computer tomography and four-dimensional cone-beam computer tomography.

PURPOSE: For mobile lung tumors, four-dimensional computer tomography (4D CT) is often used for simulation and treatment planning. Localization accuracy remains a challenge in lung stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) treatments. An attractive image guidance method to increase localization accuracy is 4D cone-beam CT (CBCT) as it allows for visualization of tumor motion with reduced motion artifacts. However, acquisition and reconstruction of 4D CBCT differ from that of 4D CT. This study evaluates the discrepancies between the reconstructed motion of 4D CBCT and 4D CT imaging over a wide range of sine target motion parameters and patient waveforms. METHODS: A thorax motion phantom was used to examine 24 sine motions with varying amplitudes and cycle times and seven patient waveforms. Each programmed motion was imaged using 4D CT and 4D CBCT. The images were processed to auto segment the target. For sine motion, the target centroid at each phase was fitted to a sinusoidal curve to evaluate equivalence in amplitude between the two imaging modalities. The patient waveform motion was evaluated based on the average 4D data sets. RESULTS: The mean difference and root-mean-square-error between the two modalities for sine motion were -0.35 ± 0.22 and 0.60 mm, respectively, with 4D CBCT slightly overestimating amplitude compared with 4D CT. The two imaging methods were determined to be significantly equivalent within ±1 mm based on two one-sided t tests (p < 0.001). For patient-specific motion, the mean difference was 1.5 ± 2.1 (0.8 ± 0.6 without outlier), 0.4 ± 0.3, and 0.8 ± 0.6 mm for superior/inferior (SI), anterior/posterior (AP), and left/right (LR), respectively. CONCLUSION: In cases where 4D CT is used to image mobile tumors, 4D CBCT is an attractive localization method due to its assessment of motion with respect to 4D CT, particularly for lung SBRT treatments where accuracy is paramount.

(Quasi)-Binomial vs. Gaussian Models to Evaluate Thiamethoxam, Pirimiphos-Methyl, Alpha-Cypermethrin and Deltamethrin on Different Types of Storage Bag Materials Against Ephestia kuehniella Zeller (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) and Tribolium confusum Jacquelin du Val (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae).

The Mediterranean flour moth, Ephestia kuehniella Zeller (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) and the confused flour beetle, Tribolium confusum Jacquelin du Val (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) are worldwide spread and notorious organisms of numerous stored-products. Both species are dangerous for bagged commodities as penetrators and invaders. The aim of the current study was to examine the efficacy of thiamethoxam, pirimiphos-methyl, alpha-cypermethrin, and deltamethrin, against E. kuehniella and T. confusum larvae, on different types of storage bag materials, i.e., woven propylene, biaxially oriented polypropylene and kraft paper through a (quasi)-binomial modeling approach. The type of the tested storage bag material did not affect the mortality rates of both species when treated with the tested insecticides. Thiamethoxam and pirimiphos-methyl showed statistically significant higher mortality rates on E. kuehniella and T. confusum (beta coefficient = 0.141; p-value < 0.05) compared to alpha-cypermethrin and deltamethrin. In addition, T. confusum exhibited significantly higher mortality rate in comparison to E. kuehniella. Our results also showed that the tested doses and surface treatments had a significant effect on the mortality E. kuehniella and T. confusum larvae. Significantly higher mortality rates were recorded when larvae were exposed on bag materials having both surfaces treated or on the single treated surface than when they were exposed on the untreated surface. Our findings can be useful towards an effective management strategy against stored-product insect pests.

Towards a Semi-Automatic Early Warning System for Vector-Borne Diseases.

The emergence and spread of vector-borne diseases (VBDs) is a function of biotic, abiotic and socio-economic drivers of disease while their economic and societal burden depends upon a number of time-varying factors. This work is concerned with the development of an early warning system that can act as a predictive tool for public health preparedness and response. We employ a host-vector model that combines entomological (mosquito data), social (immigration rate, demographic data), environmental (temperature) and geographical data (risk areas). The output consists of appropriate maps depicting suitable risk measures such as the basic reproduction number, R0, and the probability of getting infected by the disease. These tools consist of the backbone of a semi-automatic early warning system tool which can potentially aid the monitoring and control of VBDs in different settings. In addition, it can be used for optimizing the cost-effectiveness of distinct control measures and the integration of open geospatial and climatological data. The R code used to generate the risk indicators and the corresponding spatial maps along with the data is made available.

Predator size affects the intensity of mutual interference in a predatory mirid.

Interference competition occurs when access to an available resource is negatively affected by interactions with other individuals, where mutual interference involves individuals of the same species. The interactive phenomena among individuals may be size-dependent, since body size is a major factor that may alter prey consumption rates and ultimately the dynamics and structure of food webs.A study was initiated in order to evaluate the effect of mutual interference in the prey-specific attack rates and handling times of same size class predators, incorporating variation in consumer size. For this purpose, laboratory functional response experiments were conducted using same age predators, that is, newly hatched (first instar) or mature (fifth instar) nymphs of the polyphagous mirid predator Macrolophus pygmaeus preying on Ephestia kuehniella (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) eggs.The experiments involved four predator density treatments, that is, one, two, three, or four predators of same age, that is, either first- or fifth-instar nymphs, which were exposed to several prey densities. The Crowley-Martin model, which allows for interference competition between foraging predators, was used to fit the data.The results showed that mutual interference between predator's nymphs may occur that affect their foraging efficiency. The values of the attack rate coefficient were dependent on the predator density and for the first-instar nymphs were significantly lower at the highest predator density than the lower predator densities, whereas for the fifth-instar nymphs in all density treatments were significantly lower to that of the individual foragers' ones.These results indicate that mutual interference is more intense for larger predators and is more obvious at low prey densities where the competition level is higher. The wider use of predator-dependent functional response models will help toward a mechanistic understanding of intraspecific interactions and its consequences on the stability and structure of food webs.

Using multilevel models to explore the impact of abiotic and biotic conditions on the efficacy of pirimiphos-methyl against Tenebrio molitor L.

In this study, we utilized a hierarchical multilevel modeling approach to test the hypothesis that the activity of the organophosphate insecticide pirimiphos-methyl against the cosmopolitan serious secondary pest of stored products, the yellow mealworm, Tenebrio molitor (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae), is affected by temperature, relative humidity (RH), and developmental stage (adults, small larvae, large larvae). Our results showed that as temperature increased from 20 to 25 °C, the observed mortality of T. molitor was significantly higher. Furthermore, mortality at 25 °C did not significantly differ from that of 30 °C. An ultimate increase at 35 °C resulted in the highest mortality rate of T. molitor. However, an increase of RH from 55 to 75% adversely affected the efficacy of pirimiphos-methyl. In our study, it is also shown that the insect developmental stage is a critical feature of pirimiphos-methyl efficacy. Tenebrio molitor adults exhibited significantly higher mortality than larvae. In addition, small larvae showed significantly higher mortality than large larvae. Thus, adult is the most susceptible developmental stage of T. molitor to pirimiphos-methyl treatment. Our results could be useful tools for the management of T. molitor by indicating the optimum combination of temperature and RH that favors the insecticidal treatment against this species. In addition, we expect that the percentage of developmental stages in a whole population of T. molitor affects the insecticidal efficacy of pirimiphos-methyl.

Exposure of Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) females to pirimiphos-methyl alters the fitness of their progeny.

Insecticidal treatment is a common practice for the control of stored-product insect pests. Most studies are focused on the direct effects of insecticides on target insects, while there are no data on the indirect effects on adults in terms of progeny fitness. This study deals with the effect of pirimiphos-methyl on adults of Tribolium castaneum (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae), investigating their exposure time cost to progeny fitness. For this purpose, females of T. castaneum were exposed for 1, 3, 8, 16, 24, and 72 h to pirimiphos-methyl and progeny birth or death rates were calculated. The fecundity, as well as the survival of progeny, was affected by the parental exposure to the insecticide. When females were exposed for 1 and 3 h to pirimiphos-methyl, the net reproductive rate of the progeny was 4.1 and 4.3 females/female, respectively, which did not statistically differ with the progeny in control treatment (6.3 females/female). Further exposure time to pirimiphos-methyl affected significantly the progeny net reproductive rate, where the lowest value was observed at the 72-h exposure time (0.97 females/female). The intrinsic rate of increase, as well as the finite rate of increase, did not differ between the progeny of the control treatment (0.029 females/female/day and 1.029, respectively) and the progeny of exposed females at 1 h (0.021 females/female/day and 1.021, respectively) or 3 h (0.023 females/female/day and 1.023, respectively). By increasing the time of exposure to pirimiphos-methyl, a detrimental effect to progeny fitness was revealed based on the values of the intrinsic and finite rate of increase. The lowest values of these parameters were observed at the 72-h exposure time (0.001 females/female/day and 1.000, respectively). The same trend was observed in the values of the doubling time. In contrast, the mean generation time did not statistically differ between control and all insecticide treatments. The fact that the exposure of parental females of T. castaneum to pirimiphos-methyl negatively affects the demographic parameters of their offspring production should be seriously taken into account when management strategies are applied against this notorious stored-product insect species since it could reduce the repeatedly insecticidal applications in storage facilities.

How Is Fitness of Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) Affected When Different Developmental Stages Are Exposed to Chlorfenapyr?

Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) is an important pest of stored products. Insecticidal treatment is a common practice for the control of this notorious insect pest. Most studies are focused on the immediate and/or delayed mortality effects, while there are no data on the effects of insecticides on the population fitness. This study deals with the effect of chlorfenapyr on T. castaneum, investigating the cost of exposure of different developmental stages on population performance, by using life table statistics and a survival analysis method. For this purpose, eggs, larvae, and parental adult females of T. castaneum were exposed to chlorfenapyr and birth or death rates were calculated daily. The exposure of eggs and larvae to chlorfenapyr was detrimental for T. castaneum and they did not complete development. When parental females were exposed to chlorfenapyr, the progeny survival curve, biological features, as well as the life table parameters did not differ significantly compared to the control treatment. Thus, egg hatching, larval and pupal developmental periods, female and male longevities for the control treatment, and the progeny of the females that were exposed to chlorfenapyr were 4.66 and 4.76 days, 25.85 and 25.71 days, 5.00 and 5.26 days, 87.33 and 104.22 days, and 76.87 and 91.87 days, respectively. In addition, the mean values of the net reproductive rate, the intrinsic rate of increase, the mean generation time and the doubling time for the control treatment and the progeny of the parental females which were exposed to chlorfenapyr were 14.3 and 9.3 females/female, 0.038 and 0.028 females/female/day, 1.039 and 1.029, 70.0 and 76.9 days, and 18.5 and 24.9 days, respectively. We expect these results to have bearing on the management of T. castaneum, since the repeatedly insecticidal applications could be reduced in storage facilities.

Sequential experimental design for predator-prey functional response experiments.

Understanding functional response within a predator-prey dynamic is a cornerstone for many quantitative ecological studies. Over the past 60 years, the methodology for modelling functional response has gradually transitioned from the classic mechanistic models to more statistically oriented models. To obtain inferences on these statistical models, a substantial number of experiments need to be conducted. The obvious disadvantages of collecting this volume of data include cost, time and the sacrificing of animals. Therefore, optimally designed experiments are useful as they may reduce the total number of experimental runs required to attain the same statistical results. In this paper, we develop the first sequential experimental design method for predator-prey functional response experiments. To make inferences on the parameters in each of the statistical models we consider, we use sequential Monte Carlo, which is computationally efficient and facilitates convenient estimation of important utility functions. It provides coverage of experimental goals including parameter estimation, model discrimination as well as a combination of these. The results of our simulation study illustrate that for predator-prey functional response experiments sequential design outperforms static design for our experimental goals. R code for implementing the methodology is available via https://github.com/haydenmoffat/sequential_design_for_predator_prey_experiments.

Biological Features and Population Growth of Two Southeastern European Tribolium confusum Jacquelin du Val (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) Strains.

A study of the biological features and the potential population growth between two laboratory strains of the confused flour beetle, Tribolium confusum Jacquelin du Val (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) from Greece and Serbia is conducted on cracked barley and cracked white rice. The results show that, at a species level, T. confusum is able to complete development on cracked barley but not on cracked white rice. Therefore, cracked white rice proves to be an unsuitable commodity for T. confusum. Larval development on cracked barley is significantly shorter for the Serbian compared to the Greek strain (37.7 and 49.7 days, respectively), but pupal development does not differ between the two strains (6.2 days for both strains). Additionally, male longevity does not differ between the Greek and Serbian strains (144.4 and 151.4 days, respectively), while female longevity is significantly shorter for the Serbian (151.7 days) compared to the Greek strain (186.6 days). Fecundity does not differ between the two strains (11.3 and 17.7 eggs/female for the Greek and the Serbian strain, respectively), whilst survival is higher for the Serbian strain on both tested commodities. The values of the net reproductive rate, the intrinsic rate of increase and the finite rate of increase on cracked barley are significantly higher for the Serbian (7.27 females/female, 0.025 female/female/day and 1.026, respectively) compared to the Greek strain (2.91 females/female, 0.014 females/female/day and 1.014, respectively). It therefore is expected that different strains of T. confusum may exhibit variable phenology as well as potential population growth. Additionally, we expect our results to have bearing on the management of this species.

Suitability of Semolina, Cracked Wheat and Cracked Maize as Feeding Commodities for Tribolium castaneum (Herbst; Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae).

In the current study it was investigated the suitability of semolina, cracked wheat and cracked maize as feeding commodities for the red flour beetle, Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae). The pest completed its development on all tested commodities. The developmental time of larvae was lower on cracked wheat (59.6 days) and cracked maize (54.6 days) compared to semolina (72.8 days). The developmental time of pupae did not differ significantly among tested commodities, ranging from 6.2 to 6.6 days. Female and male longevities were 70.9 and 77.1 days, 92.2 and 77.9 days and 177.0 and 183.7 days, when T. castaneum was fed on semolina, cracked wheat and cracked maize, respectively. The highest fecundity (28.7 eggs/female) was recorded when T. castaneum was fed on semolina, followed by cracked wheat (2.7 eggs/female) and cracked maize (1.2 eggs/female). The prolonged adult longevity, which was observed on cracked maize, may be attributed to the absence of the cost of reproduction, due to low fecundity on this commodity. The values of the intrinsic rate of increase were 0.014 and -0.021 females/female/day when it was fed on semolina and cracked wheat, respectively, while no demographic analysis was carried out for cracked maize due to high early larval mortality and low fecundity on this commodity. The net reproductive rate and mean generation time were 6.19 females/female and 127.5 days and 0.16 females/female and 91.9 days, when it was fed on semolina and cracked wheat, respectively. Based on demographic analysis, T. castaneum population growth is favored only on semolina. We expect semolina to act as a suitable commodity for T. castaneum, while cracked wheat and cracked maize allow only its survival by acting as alternative commodities. The estimated demographic parameters of T. castaneum on the tested commodities could be used as a useful tool to predict its population outcome in storage facilities.