Multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) predicts non-invasive ventilation failure in older adults with acute respiratory failure.

BACKGROUND: Acute respiratory failure (ARF) is a very common complication among hospitalized older adults. Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) may avoid admission to intensive care units, intubation and their related complication, but still lacks specific indications in older adults. Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) based on comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) could have a role in defining the short-term prognosis and the best candidates for NIV among older adults with ARF. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study which enrolled patients older than 70 years, consecutively admitted to an acute geriatric unit with ARF. A standardized CGA was used to calculate the MPI at admission. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to test if MPI score could predict in-hospital mortality and NIV failure. Receiver operator curve (ROC) analysis was used to identify the discriminatory power of MPI for NIV failure. RESULTS: We enrolled 231 patients (88.2 ± 5.9 years, 47% females). Mean MPI at admission was 0.76±0.16. In-hospital mortality rate was 33.8%, with similar incidence in patients treated with and without NIV. Among NIV users (26.4%), NIV failure occurred in 39.3%. Higher MPI scores at admission significantly predicted in-hospital mortality (ß=4.46, p<0.0001) among patients with ARF and NIV failure (ß=7.82, p = 0.001) among NIV users. MPI showed good discriminatory power for NIV failure (area under the curve: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.58-0.85, p<0.001) with optimal cut-off at MPI value of 0.84. CONCLUSIONS: MPI at admission might be a useful tool to early detect patients more at risk of in-hospital death and NIV failure among older adults with ARF.

HCV elimination plan leads to significant benefits in managing liver-related diseases and hospital interventions: a regional simulation.

OBJECTIVES: This article presents a 3-year budget impact simulation on the effects of a chronic Hepatitis C (HCV) eradication plan in real-life costs incurred by the Regional Health Service. METHODS: The Liguria Region network performed a prospective 3-year (2017-2019) timeframe horizon trends simulation analysis focusing on management interventions and costs. It involved all the eight prescribing centers in the region, starting from retrospective historical performance data and assuming the impact of sustained viral response rates for patients treated for HCV. Data on hospital admissions, medical visits, number of patients, and deaths were collected through the healthcare database. RESULTS: At the beginning of 2017, 2,940 patients were eligible for HCV treatment with direct-acting antivirals. Assuming to treat this entire population with a success rate of 90%, the events related to liver complications in the horizon would decrease to 5,538 cumulatively (-35%), with a 27% reduction of direct costs, showing a global savings of 24,779.024 Euros. CONCLUSION: Treating the entire eligible HCV population would lead to significant benefits and savings in managing liver-related diseases and their direct costs, opening opportunities to re-think new settings for the future organization of liver disease management in the regional health system.

A Survey among Breast Cancer Specialists on the Low Uptake of Therapeutic Prevention with Tamoxifen or Raloxifene.

With this survey, we aimed to address the reasons why physicians are reluctant to prescribe breast cancer-preventive therapy with the selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERM) tamoxifen or raloxifene despite a strong evidence of efficacy. A self-administered 5-point Likert questionnaire was given during breast cancer meetings in Europe or sent via email to rank the importance of 10 predefined reasons for low uptake of SERMs for breast cancer therapeutic prevention. Analyses tested the associations between the stated reasons and physician characteristics such as gender, age, country of work, and specialty. Of 246 delivered questionnaires, 27 were incomplete and were excluded from analysis. Overall, there was a small variability in response scores, with a tendency for physicians to give moderate importance (score = 3) to all 10 statements. However, the top five reasons were: the expected greater preventive effectiveness of aromatase inhibitors (70.3% with score >3), difficulty applying current risk models in clinical practice (69.9%), the lack of clarity on the most appropriate physician for prevention advice (68.4%), the lack of reliable short-term biomarkers of effectiveness (67.5%), and the lack of commercial interest in therapeutic prevention (66.0%). The lack of reliable short-term biomarkers showed a tendency to discriminate between medical oncologists and other breast specialists (OR = 2.42; 95% CI, 0.93-6.25). This survey highlights the complexity of prescribing decisions among physicians in this context. Coupled with the known barriers among eligible women, these data may help to identify strategies to increase uptake of breast cancer therapeutic prevention. Cancer Prev Res; 11(1); 38-43. ©2017 AACR.

Budget impact analysis of sofosbuvir-based regimens for the treatment of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients in northern Italy: a multicenter regional simulation.

OBJECTIVES: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a leading cause of hospitalization and death in populations coinfected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Sofosbuvir (SOF) is a pan-genotypic drug that should be combined with other agents as an oral treatment for HCV. We performed a 5-year horizon budget impact analysis of SOF-based regimens for the management of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients. METHODS: A multicenter, prospective evaluation was conducted, involving four Italian Infectious Diseases Departments (Galliera, San Martino, Sanremo, and La Spezia). All 1,005 genotype-coinfected patients (30% cirrhotics) under observation were considered (patients in all disease-stages were considered: chronic hepatitis C, cirrhosis, transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma). Disease stage costs per patient were collected; the expected disease progression in the absence of treatment and sustained virological response (SVR) success rate for SOF-based regimens were calculated based on the literature and expert opinion. Drug prices were based on what the National Health Service paid for them. The comparison of "no treatment" disease progression costs versus the economic impact of SOF-based regimens was investigated. RESULTS: Over the following 5 years, the disease progression scenario resulted in direct costs of approximately €54 million. Assuming an SVR success rate of 90%, average SOF-based regimens cost up to €50,000 per person, resulting in a final cost of more than €56 million, so this option is not economically viable. At the average price of €12,000, SOF-based regimens, expense was €17 million, saving 68%. At this price level, the economic resources invested in treating mild to moderate fibrosis stage patients would be equal to the amount of direct costs of disease management in this stage, resulting in a valid return of investment in the short-term. CONCLUSION: Given the high rates of SVR, in the Italian Healthcare System, SOF-based regimens, price is a determinant and a predictor of the overall cost for the Hepatitis C patient's management. At the average price per therapy of €12,000 over the next 5 years, SOF-based regimens are becoming highly sustainable.

A comparison of inpatient admissions in 2012 from two European countries.

INTRODUCTION: This study compares the trends of HIV inpatient admissions between a London tertiary HIV centre (United Kingdom) and four infectious disease wards in Italy (IT) to recognize common patterns across Europe. METHODS: Data regarding HIV inpatient admissions was collected by using discharge diagnostic codes from 1 January to 31 December 2012, including patient demographics, combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) history, CD4, viral load (VL) and mortality rates. Discharge diagnoses were categorized according to the International Classification of Disease (ICD) 9 and 10 system. All ICD categories that reach a 3% threshold of total admissions were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 731 admissions (257 in Italy and 474 in the United Kingdom) for 521 patients (1.5 mean admission per patient). Female admissions were higher in Italy at 22.6% (n=58) compared to 14.9% (n=47) in the United Kingdom. Median age of patients was 47 years old. There was an undetectable VL in 65.8% (n=169) of admissions in Italy and 67.1% (n=319) in the United Kingdom (p=0.385); 86.4% (n=222) and 82.4% (n=389) of admissions were on cART, respectively. Mean CD4 was 302 in Italy compared to 368 in the United Kingdom (p=0.003). Average length of admission was 16 days with a 10.2% (n=21) mortality rate in Italy compared to 8 days with 2.8% (n=9) mortality in the United Kingdom (p<0.001). HCV co-infection was present in 64.6% (n=166) in Italy and 13.5% (n=64) in the United Kingdom and commonest mode of transmission was needle use in Italy (67.3%, n=173) and men who have sex with men in the UK cohort (59.9%, n=284). The cause of inpatient admissions according to ICD codes can be seen in following Figure 1. CONCLUSIONS: Significant differences in the duration of inpatient admission and mortality rates can be observed between these two cohorts which is secondary to the impact of Hepatitis C co-infection in Italy. However increases in the number of Hepatitis C co-infection patients amongst MSM in London has been reported [1] and route of transmission in Italy is shifting towards MSM [2], therefore it is important to learn how HIV is developing and managed in a global context to help plan future for services. The UK cohort demonstrates a wider range of conditions necessitating admission, and with an ageing HIV population, this is expected to increase in the future, requiring general and specialist HIV physicians to work closely together. The HIV-RNA threshold is 400 copies/mL to account for blips according to British HIV Association (BHIVA) Guidelines 2012 [3].

An observational study of nasal cavity toxicity in cancer patients treated with bevacizumab.

BACKGROUND: The nasal cavity is a vulnerable zone which may be damaged by vascular disorders. We systematically assessed the frequency and severity of nasal cavity alterations during bevacizumab treatment, to determine its clinical relevance and factors contributing to its onset. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a hospital-based cohort study in 47 consecutive patients with advanced cancers who were on treatment with chemotherapy and bevacizumab at different doses. All patients underwent otolaryngology (ENT) examination at the time of study initiation. RESULTS: The mean number of cycles at first ENT examination was 16 (standard deviation = 14). A total of 45 patients (96%) showed nose mucosal lesions, of whom 30% had erosions and 62% had grade 1 - 2 epistaxis. One patient had septal perforation. Grades 1 - 4 sinus disorders were noted in 60%. There was a significant trend to a higher risk of grade ≥ 2 nasal events for bevacizumab doses > 7.5 mg/kg, concomitant taxane use and digital nasal self-manipulation. CONCLUSIONS: We found a high incidence of nasal cavity lesions in patients receiving bevacizumab, with evidence for a dose-related effect. Most cases were low grade and manageable without drug interruption, but severe toxicity may rarely occur. Oncologists should be aware of this unusual event.

Varied spectrum of clinical presentation and mortality in a prospective registry of visceral leishmaniasis in a low endemicity area of Northern Italy.

BACKGROUND: Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) is endemic in 88 countries, in areas of relatively low incidence with a relevant proportion of immune suppressed patients clinical presentation, diagnosis and management may present difficulties and pitfalls. METHODS: Demographic data, clinical, laboratory features and therapeutic findings were recorded in patients identified by a regional VL disease registry from January 2007 to December 2010. RESULTS: A total of 55 patients (36 adults mean age 48.7 years, 19 children median age 37.5 months) were observed presenting with 65 episodes. All childen were immunocompetent, whereas adults affected by VL included both immunocompetent (n°17) and immunesuppressed (n°19) patients. The clinical presentation was homogeneous in children with predominance of fever and hepato-splenomegaly. A wider spectrum of clinical presentations was observed in immunocompromised adults. Bone marrow detection of intracellular parasites (Giemsa staining) and serology (IFAT) were the most frequently used diagnostic tools. In addition, detection of urinary antigen was used in adult patients with good specificity (90%). Liposomal amphotericin B was the most frequently prescribed first line drug (98.2% of cases) with 100% clinical cure. VL relapses (n°10) represented a crucial finding: they occurred only in adult patients, mainly in immunocompromised patients (40% of HIV, 22% of non-HIV immunocompromised patients, 5,9% of immunocompetent patients). Furthermore, three deaths with VL were reported, all occurring in relapsing immunocompromised patients accounting for a still high overall mortality in this group (15.8%). CONCLUSIONS: The wide spectrum of clinical presentation in immunesuppresed patients and high recurrence rates still represent a clinical challenge accounting for high mortality. Early clinical identification and satisfactory treatment performance with liposomal amphotericin B are confirmed in areas with low-level endemicity and good clinical standards. VL needs continuing attention in endemic areas where increasing numbers of immunocompromised patients at risk are dwelling.

A case series of low dose bevacizumab and chemotherapy in heavily pretreated patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND: The addition of bevacizumab to standard chemotherapy prolongs progression free survival in the first line treatment of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), but its cost/effectiveness is debated. We assessed the safety and activity of a lower dose of bevacizumab in pretreated advanced stage EOC. METHODS: We treated 15 patients, mostly with platinum resistant EOC, who had received a median of four prior cytotoxic regimens, with bevacizumab 5-7.5 mg/kg q21 days in combination with either carboplatin (n = 8), oral cyclofosfamide (n = 5) or weekly paclitaxel (n = 2). Bevacizumab was administered until disease progression. Tumor response was assessed by CA125 and fusion 18 F-FDG PET/contrast enhanced CT. RESULTS: The median number of bevacizumab cycles was 21 (range 3-59). The median baseline CA125 was 272 U/ml and decreased to 15.2 U/ml at nadir. Tumor response was 4 complete response (CR) (26.7%) and 7 partial response (PR) (46.7%) by chemotherapy (CT), with an overall response rate of 73.4% (95% CI, 51.0 - 95.8) according to Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (RECIST), and 6 CR (40%) and 4 PR (26.7%) by PET, for an overall metabolic response rate of 67% (95%CI, 42.8 - 90.6) according to PET Response Criteria in Solid Tumors (PERCIST). Median progression free survival (PFS) was 21 months and median overall survival (OS) was 24 months. Grade 3 adverse events related to bevacizumab were hypertension (n = 2), proteinuria (n = 1) and epistaxis (n = 5). Treatment was delayed in five patients for nasal bleeding or uncontrolled hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: Low-dose bevacizumab and chemotherapy was well tolerated and active in a heavily pretreated population of advanced EOC. Further studies should assess the activity of low dose bevacizumab in EOC.

Detection of metastatic bone lesions in breast cancer patients: fused (18)F-Fluoride-PET/MDCT has higher accuracy than MDCT. Preliminary experience.

PURPOSE: So far, no studies comparing (18)F-Fluoride-PET/CT and MDCT for the detection of bone metastases are available. We compared the accuracy of (18)F-Fluoride-PET/CT (MDCT: 3.75 mm thickness-image-reconstruction), whole-body Multi-Detector-CT (MDCT: 1.25 mm thickness-image-reconstruction) and (18)F-Fluoride-PET/MDCT (MDCT: 1.25 mm thickness-image-reconstruction) in identifying bone metastases in breast cancer patients. METHODS: We studied 39 breast cancer patients for bone metastases. Imaging was performed on an integrated PET/MDCT-system; CT images were reconstructed at 3.75 mm and 1.25 mm thickness. Two nuclear medicine physicians and one radiologist interpreted blindly (18)F-Fluoride-PET/CT, (18)F-Fluoride-PET/MDCT and MDCT. MDCT at 12 months served as the standard of reference. RESULTS: Overall, 662 bone lesions were detected in our analysis. Of these, 542 were malignant and 120 were benign according to the standard of reference. (18)F-Fluoride-PET/CT detected 491 bone metastases, 114 (23%) of which displayed no clear morphological changes on MDCT, whereas MDCT detected 416 bone metastases, 39 (9.3%) of which showed no (18)F-Fluoride-PET uptake. Overall sensitivity and specificity were: 91% and 91%, respectively, for (18)F-Fluoride-PET/CT, and 77% and 93% for MDCT. The integrated assessment of (18)F-Fluoride-PET/MDCT yielded sensitivity and specificity values of 98% and 93%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: (18)F-Fluoride-PET/MDCT has higher diagnostic accuracy than (18)F-Fluoride-PET/CT and MDCT for the evaluation of bone metastases in breast cancer.

Putative predictive parameters for the outcome of laparoscopic splenectomy: a multicenter analysis performed on the Italian Registry of Laparoscopic Surgery of the Spleen.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictive risk factors for conversion to open splenectomy and postoperative complications in patients undergoing elective laparoscopic splenectomy. BACKGROUND: The laparoscopic approach represents the "gold standard" for splenectomy, but its use in the treatment of splenomegaly and malignant disease is controversial. Factors that influence immediate outcome are clinical, anatomic, and pathologic. METHODS: Univariate and multivariate analyses of data from the Italian Registry of Laparoscopic Surgery of the Spleen, a multicenter database supported by 25 referral centers. Analysis of data (1993-2007) was performed on a series of patients (n = 676) undergoing elective laparoscopic splenectomy. Demographic data, the operative indications, the surgical technique applied, and any intra- and/or postoperative complications with respect to the patients were assessed. Records were analyzed retrospectively using the Student t test, the chi test, and logistic regression. RESULTS: Conversion to open splenectomy was necessary in 39 cases (5.8%). Perioperative deaths occurred in 3 cases (0.4%). There were no complications in 560 patients (82.8%), with a mean hospital stay of 5 days (range, 2-54). Overall, morbidity occurred in 116 patients (17.2%). Multivariate analysis found that the body mass index (P = 0.01) and the presence of hematologic malignancy (P < 0.001) were independent predictors for intraoperative complications and surgical conversion. Spleen longitudinal diameter (P = 0.001) and surgical conversion (P = 0.001) were independent predictors for the occurrence of postoperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: This large multicenter study provides evidence for the significance of predictive risk factors for intra- and postoperative complications in laparoscopic splenic surgery. Besides splenic dimensions, other factors like the patient's habitus and the specific underlying hematologic pathology should be recognized by the surgeon to reduce complications and initiate adequate treatment.