Multi-vessel coronary artery grafting: analyzing the minimally invasive approach and its safety.

Introduction: At our institution, we perform off-pump coronary artery bypass (OPCAB) as a standard procedure. Moreover, patients with favorable coronary anatomy and condition are selected for minimally invasive cardiac surgery (MICS)-OPCAB. We retrospectively compared early outcomes, focusing on safety, between MICS-OPCAB and conventional off-pump techniques for multivessel coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Methods: From August 2017 to September 2022, 1,220 patients underwent multivessel coronary artery grafting at our institution. They were divided into the MICS-OPCAB group (MICS group = 163 patients) and the conventional OPCAB group (MS group = 1057 patients). Propensity score matching (1 : 1 ratio) was applied to the MICS-OPCAB and MS groups (149 patients per group) based on 23 preoperative clinical characteristics. Results: After matching, there were no significant differences in preoperative characteristics between the groups. The MICS group had a lower total graft number (2.3 ± 0.6 vs. 2.9 ± 0.8, p < 0.001) and fewer distal anastomoses (2.7 ± 0.8 vs. 3.2 ± 0.9, p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in hospital stay, intensive care unit stay, postoperative complications, and 30-day mortality. The MICS group had less drain output (MICS 350 ml [250-500], MS 450 ml [300-550]; p = 0.013). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed no significant differences in postoperative MACCE (major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events)-free and survival rates between the groups (MACCE-free rate p = 0.945, survival rate p = 0.374). Conclusion: With proper patient selection, MICS-OPCAB can provide good short to mid-term results, similar to those of conventional OPCAB.

Assessing the benefits of anaortic off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting.

Introduction: The procedure called the "aorta no-touch" (NT) or anaortic technique in off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCAB) is designed to reduce the perioperative risk of stroke. We have observed an increased frequency of anaortic OPCAB procedures at our institution. The main purpose of the present study is to investigate the effectiveness of anaortic OPCAB in reducing the perioperative risk of stroke. Methods: From April 2011 to July 2023, a total of 2,236 patients underwent isolated OPCAB at our single center. The patients were divided into the anaortic group (NT, n = 762) and the aortic group (A, n = 1,474). The NT group was propensity score-matched (PSM) with the A group at a 1:1 ratio (NT n = 640; A n = 640), and matching was performed based on 26 covariates with preoperative clinical characteristics. Results: In both the unmatched and matched cohorts of the NT and A groups, there were no significant differences observed in new stroke rates (NT vs. A; unmatched, 1.0% vs. 1.2%, p = 0.624; matched, 0.9% vs. 1.3%, p = 0.789). The univariable logistic analysis did not identify the anaortic technique as an independent factor negatively associated with new stroke events (OR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.35-1.86, p = 0.624). Conclusion: The present study did not find the anaortic technique to reduce the perioperative risk of stroke in OPCAB. Hence, further large studies are needed to identify patient cohorts in which anaortic OPCAB is significantly beneficial.

Diagnostic Abilities of Three-dimensional Anterior Segment Optical Coherence Tomography in Detecting Angle Closure.

PRCIS: 3D-angle parameters and cutoff values for detecting angle closure were proposed. The 3D parameters demonstrated excellent diagnostic performance. Certain horizontal 2D parameters (i.e.,TISA-750, AOD-750, and AOD-500) can attain similar performance to their high-performing 3D counterparts. PURPOSE: To investigate the diagnostic performance of single horizontal 2-dimensional (2D) versus 3-dimensional (3D) angle parameters from swept-source anterior segment optical coherence tomography (CASIA2) in detecting angle closure. METHODS: The cross-sectional study included 118 phakic subjects (59 open-angle, 59 closed-angle). Angle opening distance (AOD), angle recess area (ARA), trabecular-iris space area (TISA) at 250, 500, and 750 µm from scleral spur were measured in 360° radial-scan images. The 3D information of each measurement was analyzed in two patterns: (1) average 3D parameter - the averaged value from 360-degree angle values, and (2) estimate 3D parameter - the estimation of surface area of circumferential angle inlet (using AOD) or circumferential angle volume (using ARA and TISA). The areas under receiver operating curve (AUCs) of eighteen 3D parameters were compared with 2D horizontal parameters. RESULTS: Among 3D parameters, AOD-500 estimate 3D gave the highest AUC (AUC 0.950, cut-off 6.09 mm2), followed by AOD-750 estimate 3D (AUC 0.948, cut-off 8.26 mm2). 3D parameters significantly increased the AUC of ARA-250 and TISA-250 (all P<0.02) compared to the 2D parameters. No significant improvement in AUC was demonstrated for AOD-250 and all parameters at 500 and 750 µm. No significant difference in AUC was found among the six maximum AUC parameters which were AOD-750 horizontal 2D, AOD-500 estimate 3D, TISA-750 horizontal 2D, AOD-500 horizontal 2D, AOD-750 estimate 3D and TISA-750 average 3D. CONCLUSIONS: The 3D-angle parameters had high performance in detecting angle closure. However, comparing a horizontal measurement to 3D parameters, the AUC improvement was mostly insignificant.

Optimal volume for the draw-and-return methods to enhance activated partial thromboplastin time ratio accuracy in hemodialysis patients with central venous catheters.

Background: Significant errors of activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) ratio were frequently observed in blood sampling from central venous dialysis catheter (CVC) of hemodialysis (HD) patients. Following the draw-and-return methods, initial blood withdrawal from the catheter before sampling can reduce the error, but the optimal withdrawal volume remains undetermined. Aim: The objective of this study is to determine the optimal blood withdrawal volume for the draw-and-return methods to improve aPTT ratio accuracy in hemodialysis patients with CVC. Methods: A prospective study was conducted in patients receiving HD via CVC. Four blood samples were collected from each patient, involving a peripheral venipuncture and three draw-and-return samples (10 ml, 20 ml and 25 ml groups). The aPTT ratio of a peripheral sample was used as a reference to determine the aPTT ratio accuracy for each draw-and-return group. Subsequently, the agreement was illustrated using modified Bland-Altman plot. Results: A total of 1,000 samples were obtained from 250 patients. The patients had a mean age of 59.6 ± 15.4 years, with 17.2% using citrate as the CVC's locking agent. The adjusted accuracies of the aPTT ratio varied significantly among the three withdrawal volumes (p-value <0.001). The 25 ml group demonstrated the highest accuracy (43.2%; 95%CI, 38.0-48.4), followed by the 20 ml group (30.0%; 95%CI, 24.9-35.2), and the 10 ml group (18.0%; 95%CI, 12.8-23.2). Additionally, using citrate as a locking agent provided more than 80.0% aPTT ratio accuracy, whereas heparin demonstrated inferior accuracy even in the 25 ml withdrawal group. Conclusion: The optimal blood withdraw volume for the draw-and-return methods concluded at 20 ml for citrate locked-CVC and 25 ml for heparin which significantly improved aPTT ratio accuracies. Applying citrate as a locking agent provides clear benefits for aPTT ratio monitoring, while peripheral venipuncture is recommended in cases of heparin-locked CVC.

Executive dysfunction as a possible mediator for the association between excessive screen time and problematic behaviors in preschoolers.

Excessive screen time in children is a growing concern for parents and healthcare providers worldwide because it frequently leads to behavioral problems. Although executive dysfunction is proposed to be one of the contributing factors to maladaptive behaviors, little is known about the link between screen time and behaviors. This study aimed to identify whether executive dysfunction contributes to the negative behaviors of children exposed to excessive screen time. A cross-sectional study was conducted on preschool-aged children from public and private schools in Chiang Mai, Thailand. The parents/guardians of each child completed the questionnaires regarding clinical characteristics and screen time use, the Behavior Rating Inventory for Executive Function-Preschool (BRIEF-P), and the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ). Children with more than one hour of media exposure per day were considered to have excessive screen time. Multivariable Gaussian regression was analyzed to compare the BRIEF-P and SDQ scores between the excessive and appropriate screen time groups. Causal mediation analysis was performed to examine the effects of total screen time on increasing behavioral problems with executive functioning as a mediator. A total of 1,126 preschoolers were included in the analyses. After controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and maternal education, the excessive screen time group had significantly higher BRIEF-P global executive composite score than the appropriate screen time group (mean difference of global executive composite score = 1.49, 95% CI [0.12, 2.86], and p = 0.033). Concurrently, there were significant differences in externalizing behavior subscales and SDQ total difficulties scores between the excessive and appropriate screen time groups (mean difference of total difficulties score = 0.90, 95% CI [0.29, 1.50], and p = 0.004). A significant average causal mediation effect (ACME) of screen time on behavioral problems mediated through executive functioning was ß = 0.28, 95% CI [0.13-0.44], which was more than half of the total effect (54.9%, 95% CI [37.4-100%]). The current study suggests that the increase in behavioral issues in preschoolers might be partly explained by the direct effect of excessive screen time and the mediating effect of impaired executive functioning. Our results may raise concerns about the necessity to limit screen time and monitor for executive function deficits and behavioral problems in young children with high screen time.

Safety and immunogenicity of locally produced trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (Tri Fluvac) in healthy Thai adults aged 18-64 years in Nakhon Phanom: A Phase III double blinded, three-arm, randomized, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Domestic influenza vaccine production facilitates a sustainable supply for mitigating seasonal influenza and improves national health security by providing infrastructure and experience for pandemic vaccine production, if needed. METHODS: A Phase III, double blind, randomized controlled trial was conducted from Sep 2019-Oct 2020 in healthy adults 18-64 years in Nakhon Phanom, Thailand. Randomization (3:3:1) compared study vaccine (Tri Fluvac), saline placebo, and an active comparator (licensed vaccine). Primary outcomes were superior efficacy compared to placebo based on RT-PCR-confirmed influenza virus infection within 12 months and non-inferiority compared to active comparator based on immunogenicity (HAI assay) at 28 days. Safety was also assessed. RESULTS: The trial enrolled 4,284 participants (Tri Fluvac = 1,836; placebo = 1,836; active comparator = 612). There were 29 RT-PCR positive influenza infections (10 Tri Fluvac, 5.5/1,000 PY; 19 placebo, 10.4/1,000PY; 0 comparator) for an absolute protective efficacy of 46.4 (95 % CI = -22.0-76.5) compared with placebo, but the power was 43.7 %. Seroconversion difference rates between Tri Fluvac and comparator at Day 28 were 1.74 (95 % CI: -2.77, 6.25), 2.22 (-2.40, 6.84), and -0.57 (-5.41, 4.27) for A(H1N1), A(H3N2), and B strains, respectively. Adverse and severe adverse events occurred in 175 (9.5 %) Tri Fluvac, 177 (10.8 %) placebo, and 66 (10.8 %) comparator arms (p-value = 0.437, Tri Fluvac vs. comparator) CONCLUSIONS: Tri Fluvac was well tolerated, and immunogenicity was non-inferior to the active comparator, meeting U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) criteria for adult vaccine licensure. Few acute respiratory infections were reported during intense COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, resulting in insufficient power to evaluate clinical efficacy.

The efficacy of prophylactic metoclopramide in preventing nausea and vomiting in patients with acute pain treated with intravenous tramadol: a randomized double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the clinical efficacy of prophylactic metoclopramide in reducing the incidence of nausea and vomiting in emergency department (ED) patients with acute pain who were treated with intravenous tramadol. RESULTS: We conducted a single-center randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial. A total of 99 ED patients presented with acute pain were recruited. Sixty-four patients were randomized, 31 patients in the treatment arm and 33 in the control arm. Overall, there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between treatment arm and control arm. Only one patient within each arm reported having nausea symptom. No patients reported vomiting episode. There was no statistically significant difference in the proportion of patients with nausea or vomiting symptoms between the two groups (3.2% in the treatment arm vs. 3.0% in the control arm, p = 1.000). The administration of prophylactic metoclopramide may not provide additional benefit in reducing the occurrence of nausea and/or vomiting episode in ED patients with acute pain treated with intravenous tramadol. Trial registration Randomized clinical trial TCTR20220525001; registration date: 21 October 2021. Retrospectively registered.

Effective Dose Range of Intrathecal Isobaric Bupivacaine to Achieve T5-T10 Sensory Block Heights for Elderly and Overweight Patients: An Observational Study.

Background and Objectives: The dose selection for isobaric bupivacaine determines the success of spinal anesthesia (SA). A dose higher than the optimal dose causes high SA, whereas an underdose leads to inadequate spread of cephalad. As it involves anatomical and physiological alterations, the dosing should be reduced with advancing age and body mass index values. Therefore, this study aimed to demonstrate the association between the isobaric bupivacaine dose and block height, and to determine the dose intervals of bupivacaine to achieve the T5-T10 sensory block with a low probability of high SA in elderly and overweight patients. Material and Methods: This retrospective observational study recruited 1079 adult patients who underwent SA with 0.5% isobaric bupivacaine from 2018 to 2021. The patients were divided into four categories: category 1 (age < 60, BMI < 25), category 2 (age < 60, BMI ≥ 25), category 3 (age ≥ 60, BMI < 25), and category 4 (age ≥ 60, BMI ≥ 25). The bupivacaine dose and sensory block height (classified into three levels: high (T1-T4), favorable (T5-T10), and low (T11-L2)) were recorded. Results: The sensory block level increased significantly with increasing doses of bupivacaine for patients in categories 1 and 2. The suggested dose ranges for the favorable block heights were 15-17 and 10.5-16 mg in patient categories 1-2 and 3-4, respectively. In these dose ranges, the probability range of high SA was 10-15%. Conclusions: The sensory block height following SA was associated with the bupivacaine dose in patients aged <60 years. Regardless of the BMI, the suggested dose ranges of 0.5% isobaric bupivacaine are 15-17 mg (3.0-3.4 mL) and 10.5-16 mg (2.1-3.2 mL) for patients aged <60 and ≥60 years, respectively.

Development of clinical prediction rule for the requirement of endoscopic papillary large balloon dilation (EPLBD) on endoscopic CBD stone clearance.

INTRODUCTION: To develop a simplified scoring system for clinical prediction of difficulty in CBD stone removal to assist endoscopists working in resource-limited settings in deciding whether to proceed with an intervention or refer patients to a center capable of performing additional procedures and interventions. METHODS: This study included patients with CBD stones who underwent ERCP at Pattani Hospital between August 2017 and December 2021. Retrospective cohort data was collected and patients were categorized into two groups: bile duct stones successfully treated by endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy and extraction compared to the former method combined with EPLBD. We explored potential predictors using multivariable logistic regression. The chosen logistic coefficients were transformed into a scoring system based on risk with internal validation via bootstrapping procedure. RESULTS: Among the 155 patients who had successful endoscopic therapy for bile duct stones, there were 79 (50.97%) cases of endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy, EPLBD and extraction versus 76 (49.03%) cases without EPLBD. The factors used to derive a scoring system included the size of CBD stones >15 mm, the difference between the stone and distal CBD diameter >2mm, distal CBD arm length <36 mm and stone shape. The score-based model's area under ROC was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.93). For clinical use, the range of scores from 0 to 16, was divided into two subcategories based on CBD stone removal difficulty requiring EPLBD to derive the PPV. For scores <5 and ≥ 5, the PPV was 23.40 (p <0.001) and 93.44 (p <0.001) respectively. The Bootstrap sampling method indicated a prediction ability of 0.88 (AuROC, 95% CI: 0.83, 0.94). CONCLUSION: This scoring system has acceptable prediction performance in assisting endoscopists in their choice of stone removal procedure.

Development of Clinical Prediction Score for Chemotherapy Response in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients.

The outcomes of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients have been significantly improved with novel therapies, such as tyrosine kinase inhibitors and immune checkpoint inhibitors. However, in resource-limited countries, platinum-doublet chemotherapy is mainly used as a first-line treatment. We investigate clinical parameters to predict the response after chemotherapy, which may be useful for patient selection. A clinical prediction score (CPS) was developed, based on data from a retrospective cohort study of unresectable stage IIIB or IV NSCLC patients who were treated with platinum-doublet chemotherapy in the first-line setting with at least two cycles and an evaluated response by RECIST 1.1 at Surin Hospital Cancer Center, Thailand, between July 2014 and December 2018. The clinical parameters in the prediction model were derived by risk regression analysis. There were 117 responders (CR or PR) and 90 non-responders (SD or PD). The clinical prediction score was developed by six clinical parameters including gender, age, smoking status, ECOG, pre-treatment albumin, and histologic subtype. The AuROC of the model was 0.71 (95% CI 0.63-0.78). The internal validation was performed using a bootstrap technique and showed a consistent AuROC of 0.66 (95% CI 0.59-0.72). The prediction score ranged from 0-13, with a score of 0-8 meaning a low probability (PPV = 50%) and a score of 8.5-13 meaning a high probability (PPV = 83.7%) for chemotherapy response. Advanced NSCLC patients who cannot access novel therapies and have a CPS of 8.5-13 have a high probability for chemotherapy response in the first-line setting. This CPS could be used for risk communication and making decisions with patients, especially in regard to chemotherapy.

Common bile duct stone-related parameters and their potential prognostic values for stone extraction requiring endoscopic papillary large balloon dilation.

Background and Aim: For difficult common bile duct (CBD) stones, endoscopic sphincterotomy accompanied by endoscopic papillary large balloon dilatation (EPLBD) may be the preferred initial procedure according to the selection criteria. The purpose of this study was to determine the association between CBD stone-related parameters and their potential prognostic values for technically difficult CBD stone extraction requiring EPLBD. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 80 patients who underwent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), endoscopic biliary sphincterotomy, or the aforementioned procedures combined with EPLBD, resulting in successful CBD stone extraction in the first session from January 2018 and December 2021. The association between CBD stone-related parameters and stone extraction requiring EPLBD was analyzed by multivariable risk regression analysis. Results: In multivariable analysis, the independent predictors of CBD stone extraction that required EPLBD were CBD stones larger than distal CBD diameter by >2 mm (risk ratio [RR] 2.34, 95% CI 1.30-4.19) and the presence of shaped stones (round shape RR 1.69 [95% CI 1.05-2.73]; square shape RR 2.34 [95% CI 1.24, 4.44] vs oval shape). Conclusion: Endoscopic CBD stone removal is technically difficult in patients with stones larger than 2 mm in diameter in comparison to the distal CBD diameter or round or square-shaped stones.

Development of a Predictive Model for Common Bile Duct Stones in Patients With Clinical Suspicion of Choledocholithiasis: A Cohort Study.

Background: Current choledocholithiasis guidelines heavily focus on patients with low or no risk, they may be inappropriate for populations with high rates of choledocholithiasis. We aimed to develop a predictive scoring model for choledocholithiasis in patients with relevant clinical manifestations. Methods: A multivariable predictive model development study based on a retrospective cohort of patients with clinical suspicion of choledocholithiasis was used in this study. The setting was a 700-bed public tertiary hospital. Participants were patients who had completed three reference tests (endoscopic retrograde cholangiography, magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography, and intraoperative cholangiography) from January 2019 to June 2021. The model was developed using logistic regression analysis. Predictor selection was conducted using a backward stepwise approach. Three risk groups were considered. Model performance was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration, classification measures, and decision curve analyses. Results: Six hundred twenty-one patients were included; the choledocholithiasis prevalence was 59.9%. The predictors were age > 55 years, pancreatitis, cholangitis, cirrhosis, alkaline phosphatase level of 125 - 250 or > 250 U/L, total bilirubin level > 4 mg/dL, common bile duct size > 6 mm, and common bile duct stone detection. Pancreatitis and cirrhosis each had a negative score. The sum of scores was -4.5 to 28.5. Patients were categorized into three risk groups: low-intermediate (score ≤ 5), intermediate (score 5.5 - 14.5), and high (score ≥ 15). Positive likelihood ratios were 0.16 and 3.47 in the low-intermediate and high-risk groups, respectively. The model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% confidence interval: 0.76, 0.83) and was well-calibrated; it exhibited better statistical suitability to the high-prevalence population, compared to current guidelines. Conclusions: Our scoring model had good predictive ability for choledocholithiasis in patients with relevant clinical manifestations. Consideration of other factors is necessary for clinical application, particularly regarding the availability of expert physicians and specialized equipment.

Association between executive function and excess weight in pre-school children.

The association between executive function and excess weight is becoming increasingly evident. However, the results of previous studies are still inconclusive, and there is a lack of evidence in early childhood. This study aims to examine the association between executive function, in terms of overall and subscales of executive function (e.g., inhibition, working memory, and shifting), and weight excess in preschoolers. A population-based cross-sectional study was conducted on children aged 2-5 years of age from public and private schools in Chiang Mai, Thailand. Participants' weights and heights were measured and classified into three weight status groups (i.e., children with normal weight, overweight, and obesity groups). Executive function was assessed using the parent-report Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function-Preschool (BRIEF-P). Multivariable polynomial regression was performed to analyze the association between executive function and weight status. A total of 1,181 children were included in the study. After adjusting for confounders, impaired overall executive function significantly increased the probability of being overweight (odds ratio [OR] = 2.47; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.33 to 4.56). A similar trend of association was also found between impaired inhibition and overweight status (OR = 2.33; 95%CI 1.11 to 4.90). Furthermore, poor working memory was associated with both overweight and obesity (OR = 1.87; 95%CI 1.09 to 3.20 and OR = 1.74; 95%CI 1.09 to 2.78, respectively). Our data suggest that deficits in executive function, particularly inhibition and working memory, are associated with weight excess in preschoolers. Early promotion of executive function may be needed at this developmental age to prevent unhealthy weight status.

Factors Predicting 150 and 200 Microgram Adenosine Requirement during Four Increasing Doses of Intracoronary Adenosine Bolus Fractional Flow Reserve Assessment.

Direct intracoronary adenosine bolus is an excellent alternative to intravenous adenosine fractional flow reserve (FFR) measurement. This study, during four increasing adenosine boluses (50, 100, 150, and 200 mcg), aimed to explore clinical and angiographic predictors of coronary stenotic lesions for which the significant ischemic FFR (FFR ≤ 0.8) occurred at 150 and 200 mcg adenosine doses. Data from 1055 coronary lesions that underwent FFR measurement at the Central Chest Institute of Thailand from August 2011 to July 2021 were included. Baseline clinical and angiographic characteristics were analyzed. The FFR ≤ 0.8 occurred at adenosine 150 and 200 mcg boluses in 47 coronary lesions, while the FFR ≤ 0.8 occurred at adenosine 50 and 100 mcg boluses in 186 coronary lesions. After univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses, four characteristics, including male sex, younger age, non-smoking status, and FFR procedure of RCA, were predictors of the occurrence of FFR ≤ 0.8 at adenosine 150 and 200 mcg doses. Combining all four predictors as a predictive model resulted in an AuROC of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68-0.76), an 86% negative predictive value. Comparing these four predictors, the FFR procedure of RCA gave the most predictive power, with the AuROC of 0.60 (95% CI: 0.56-0.63).

Clinical Score for Predicting the Risk of Poor Ambulation at Discharge in Fragility Femoral Neck Fracture Patients: A Development Study.

Surgical treatment in patients with fragility femoral neck fractures often leads to a longer length of hospital stay (LOS) and higher costs. Intensive rehabilitation is one of the choices to reduce LOS, but patient selection criteria are controversial. We intended to develop a clinical score to predict the risk of poor ambulation at discharge. This study was based on a retrospective cohort of patients diagnosed with fragility femoral neck fractures surgically managed from January 2010 to December 2019 at Chiang Mai University (CMU) Hospital. Pre-, intra-, and post-operative factors that affect rehabilitation training were candidate predictors. All patients were categorized into able or unable groups based on their ability to bear self-weight at discharge. Logistic regression was used for score derivation. Five hundred and nine patients were included in this study. Male sex, end-stage kidney disease (ESRD), cerebrovascular disease, psychiatric disorders, pre-fracture ambulation with gait aids, concomitant fracture, post-operative intensive care unit (ICU) admission or ventilator use, and urinary catheter use at second day post-operation were identified as the prognostic factors. The score showed an AuROC of 0.84 with good calibration. The score can be used for risk stratification on the second day post-operation. External validation is encouraged before clinical implementation.

Evaluation of the American Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy 2019 and the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy guidelines' performances for choledocholithiasis prediction in clinically suspected patients: A retrospective cohort study.

Background and Aim: The American Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) and the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE) have published guidelines for choledocholithiasis. However, the guidelines were formulated using data from a large number of patients with no to low risk of common bile duct (CBD) stones. This study aimed to assess the guidelines' predictive performance in a population with a high frequency of stones. Methods: Data for three choledocholithiasis standard reference tests were retrospectively reviewed from January 2019 to June 2021. Clinical parameters were used to categorize patients into risk groups according to the guidelines, and then the guidelines' predictive abilities were calculated. Results: Among 1185 patients, 521 were included. The stone prevalence was 61.0% (n = 318). Twelve (2.3%), 146 (28.0%), and 363 (69.7%) patients were classified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups according to the ASGE guidelines, and 30 (5.8%), 149 (28.6%), and 342 (65.6%) according to the ESGE guidelines. Focusing on the high-risk group, the ASGE guidelines had a positive predictive value of 73.6 and a positive likelihood ratio of 1.78. The ESGE guidelines had a positive predictive value of 73.7 and positive likelihood ratio of 1.79. Both guidelines had equivalent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65-0.73) and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.64-0.72), respectively. Conclusion: In the high-risk group, the guidelines increased the chance of detecting choledocholithiasis by approximately 10% (61.0% prevalence to 73.6 and 73.7% positive predictive value). However, statistically, the guidelines had marginal discriminative performance in a population with high stone prevalence.

Development and validation of a prognostic prediction model including the minor lymphatic pathway for distant metastases in cervical cancer patients.

To develop and validate a prognostic model, including the minor lymphatic pathway (internal iliac and presacral nodes). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. PARTICIPANTS: Locally advanced cervical cancer underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy. SAMPLE SIZE: 397 and 384 patients in the development and validation data set. PREDICTORS: Our new nodal staging system with the minor lymphatic pathway. OUTCOME: Distant metastases. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Cox regression; net reclassification improvement (NRI) and decision curve analysis (DCA). Our new nodal system was the strongest predictor. The predictors in the final model were new nodal system, tumor stage, adenocarcinoma, initial hemoglobin, tumor size and age. The nodal system and the pretreatment model had concordance indices of 0.661 and 0.708, respectively, with good calibration curves. Compared to the OUTBACK eligibility criteria, the nodal system showed NRI for both cases (22%) and controls (16%). The pretreatment model showed NRI for cases (31%) and controls (18%). DCA in both models showed threshold probability of 15% and 12%, respectively, when compared with 24% in OUTBACK eligibility criteria. Our new nodal staging system and the pretreatment model could differentiate between high-risk and low-risk patients, thus facilitating decisions to provide more aggressive treatment to prevent distant metastases.

Evaluation and external validation of minor lymphatic pelvic pathway for distant metastases in cervical cancer patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

To evaluate and validate the minor lymphatic pathway for distant metastases in cervical cancer. This is a retrospective cohort of cervical cancer patients underwent curative concurrent chemoradiotherapy. We used original dataset from 1 university hospital and validation dataset from 3 university hospitals. Lymphadenopathy status in CT imaging was reviewed by radiologist in either the obturator and external iliac nodes (major pathway) or the internal iliac and presacral nodes (minor pathway). We then used Cox regression to adjust for all potential confounders, including paraaortic nodes, T stage, histology, age, total treatment time, total number of nodes, total short axis of nodes. 397 and 384 patients were in the original and validation datasets (median follow-up period, 59.5 month's). The minor pathway was independent prognostic factor in multivariable analysis [HR=2.64; 95%CI=1.07-6.55; P = 0.036] and [HR=14.84; 95%CI=3.15-70.01; P= 0.001] in original and validation datasets, respectively. Whereas, the major pathway was statistically non-significant. Further validation showed that the minor pathway had the highest HR for distant metastases with both the EMBRACE (HR=6.05; 95% CI=1.30-28.08; P = 0.022) and the FIGO 2018 (HR=7.43; 95% CI=2.94-18.78; P<0.001) in the original dataset. A similar result was found with the validation dataset: EMBRACE, HR=30.91; 95% CI=2.78-343.62; P = 0.005; and FIGO 2018, HR=42.41; 95% CI=8.83-203.60; P<0.001.This is the first clinical study to validate that the minor lymphatic pathway was predominantly associated with distant metastases in cervical cancer. This finding should be validated in larger cohort to further integrate in standard staging for prediction of distant metastases.

Prognostic Factors of the Inability to Bear Self-Weight at Discharge in Patients with Fragility Femoral Neck Fracture: A 5-Year Retrospective Cohort Study in Thailand.

An inability to bear self-weight is one of the unfavorable results in geriatric hip fracture, which needs to be prevented. This study determines pre-operative, intra-operative, and post-operative prognostic factors of the inability to bear self-weight at discharge in patients with fragility femoral neck fracture. This retrospective study was conducted at Chiang Mai University (CMU) hospital with an observational cohort design. Electronic medical records of patients aged ≥ 50 years old with fragility femoral neck fractures between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2019 were reviewed. Pre-, intra-, and post-operative factors were collected. Ambulation status at discharge time was classified into either ability or inability to bear self-weight. Analysis of prognostic factors was done using multivariable risk ratio regression. In total, 269 patients were recruited in this study. Significantly prognostic factors of inability to bear self-weight at discharge were end-stage renal disease (ESRD), cirrhosis, cerebrovascular disease, pre-fracture ambulatory status, having associated fractures, increasing intra-operative blood loss, and having pressure sore. These prognostic factors could be used to predict patients' outcomes at discharge. Proper management could then be offered to the patients by the multidisciplinary care team to enhance surgical outcomes.