Estimation of the harm to the waiting list as a crucial factor in the selection of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma for liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Long-term survival rates after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) of any size and number may now be predicted using the Metroticket calculator. The aim of this study was to evaluate the minimum post-OLT survival threshold that would justify the selection of a patient with HCC for OLT. METHODS: We used a Markov model, recently developed at the University of Michigan, which assumes that a patient with HCC should undergo OLT if his or her transplant benefit is greater than the cumulative harm to the rest of the waiting list (WL). In the base case, we considered a patient with a low survival perspective without OLT (5-year survival rate, 10%). The data sources to construct and validate the model were as follows: the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network report, and our prospective database. RESULTS: Our center was generally characterized by lower WL mortalities, although there were lower transplant probabilities for both HCC and non-HCC patients than the average US center. The proportion of HCC patients on the WL was higher in Padua (25%) than in the United States (10%). The calculated harm to the WL was 434 quality-adjusted days of life in Padua, and 957 in the United States (P < .01). The OLT benefit outweighed the harm to the WL when the 5-year post-OLT survival rate was higher than 30% in Padua, and 61% in the United States. CONCLUSIONS: In a decision model including the concepts of transplantation benefit and harm to the WL, the minimum 5-year post-OLT survival threshold justifying the selection of a patient with HCC for OLT in Padua was 30%.

Liver resection associated with mini porto-caval shunt as salvage treatment in patients with progression of hepatocellular carcinoma before liver transplantation: a case report.

Tumor progression before orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is the main cause of dropouts from waiting lists among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Performing a porto-caval shunt (PCS) before parenchymal liver transection has the potential to allow an extended hepatectomy in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis, reducing portal hyperflow and therefore the sinusoidal shear-stress on the remnant liver. We report the case of a 59-year-old man affected by hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related decompensated liver cirrhosis (Child Pugh score presentation, C-10; Model for End Stage Liver Disease score, 18) and HCC (2 lesions of 2 and 2.8 cm). The patient began the evaluation to join the OLT waiting list, but, in the 3 months required to complete the evaluation, he developed tumor progression: 3 HCC lesions, the largest 1 with a diameter of about 4.4 cm. These findings excluded transplantation criteria and the patient was referred to our center. After appropriate preoperative studies, the patient underwent a major liver resection (trisegmentectomy) after side-to-side PCS by interposition of an iliac vein graft from a cadaveric donor. The patient overcame the worsened severity of cirrhosis. After 6 months of follow-up, he developed 2 other HCC nodules. He was then included on the waiting list at our center, undergoing OLT from a cadaveric donor at 8 months after salvage treatment. At 36 months after OLT, he is alive and free from HCC recurrence. Associating a partial side-to-side PCS with hepatic resection may represent a potential salvage therapy for patients with decompensated cirrhosis and HCC progression beyond listing criteria for OLT.

Prognostic evaluation of the donor risk index among a prospective cohort of Italian patients undergoing liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The definition of an extended criteria donor for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) remains controversial. The donor risk index (DRI) has become the main tool to define the marginality of hepatic grafts in the United States. The aim of this study was to prospectively evaluate the prognostic ability of DRI among a cohort of Italian patients undergoing OLT. METHODS: From December 2006 to March 2008, we prospectively calculated DRI in all consecutive cadaveric grafts. Recipient inclusion criteria were: adult patients with chronic liver disease enlisted for primary OLT. The primary end point was the incidence of primary graft dysfunction (PDF), namely, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) >2000 U/mL and prothrombin time <40% on postoperative days 2-7. RESULTS: We enrolled 74 donor-recipient pairs fulfilling the inclusion criteria. Donor characteristics included DRI 1.7 (range, 0.9-3.0); age 57 years (range, 18-81); ultrasound signs of steatosis in 22 donors (30%); and ischemia time was 536 minutes (range, 290-690). Recipient characteristics are: age 55 years (range, 27-68); hepatocellular carcinoma in 36 subjects (49%); MELD was 16 (range, 7-39); and Child-Pugh score was 8 (range, 6-14). In terms of the primary end points, the DRI did not provide a significant PDF predictor (P = .84). Among all evaluated donor and recipient variables, the following were related to the incidence of graft PDF: donor age (P = .07), ultrasound signs of steatosis (P = .02), donor AST (P = .05), cell saver infusion (P = .07), and warm (P = .04) and cold ischemia (P = .07) times. CONCLUSION: The preliminary data of this study showed a poor correlation between DRI and PDF incidence after OLT.

Validation of the BCLC prognostic system in surgical hepatocellular cancer patients.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Prognosis assessment in surgical patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. The most widely used HCC prognostic tool is the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification, but its prognostic ability in surgical patients has not been yet validated. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of known prognostic systems in 400 Italian HCC patients treated with radical surgical therapies. METHODS: We analyzed a prospective database collection (400 surgical, 315 nonsurgical patients) observed at a single institution from 2000 and 2007. By using survival times as the only outcome measure (Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression), the performance of the BCLC classification was compared with that of Okuda, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program, United Network for Organ sharing TNM, and Japan Integrated Staging Score staging systems. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-five patients underwent laparotomy resection; 55, laparoscopic procedures (ablation and/or resection); and 120, liver transplantations. In the surgical group, BCLC proved the best HCC prognostic system. Three-year survival rates of patients in BCLC Stages A, B, and C were 81%, 56%, and 44% respectively, (P < .01); whereas all other tested staging systems did not show significant stratification ability. When all 715 HCC patients were considered, surgery proved to be a significant survival predictor in each BCLC stage (A, B, and C). CONCLUSIONS: BCLC staging showed the best interpretation of the survival distribution in a surgical HCC population. The BCLC treatment algorithm should consider the role of surgery also for intermediate-advanced stages of liver disease.

Progression of hepatocellular carcinoma before liver transplantation: dropout or liver transplantation?

BACKGROUND: Tumor progression before liver transplantation (OLT) is the main cause of dropout from the waiting list (WL) of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to show a correlation between adopted dropout criteria and dropout/intention-to-treat survival rates of WL HCC patients. METHODS: The study period was 2000 to 2007. The dropout criteria were macroscopic vascular invasion, metastases, or a poorly differentiated tumor. Adult patients with benign chronic liver disease enlisted for primary OLT in the same period represented the control group. RESULTS: Dropout probability of study (n = 128) versus control group (n = 377) subjects was similar: namely, 12% at 1 year in both groups (P = NS). Intention-to-treat survival curve of the HCC group overlapped that of the benign group (5-year survival rates were 73% and 71%, respectively; P = NS). At the time of listing, 103 study group patients were within the Milan criteria (MC): among these patients, 29 (28%) showed tumor progression beyond MC before OLT. Simulating the dropout of these 29 patients at the time of diagnosis of tumor progression, we compared the dropout probability of the 103 patients within MC with that of the control group. As a result, the 1- and 2-year dropout rates became 37% and 53%, respectively, in the study group, which were significantly higher than those in the controls (P < .01). CONCLUSION: HCC patients on the WL showed a significantly greater dropout rate than subjects with benign cirrhosis when too restrictive radiologic dropout criteria were used. The adoption of criteria more related to biological aggressiveness of a tumor decreased the dropout risk for HCC patients without impairing their intention-to-treat survival rates.

Long-term results of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: an update of the University of Padova experience.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) competes with benign liver disease as indication for liver transplantation (OLT). The aim of this study was to determine long-term results of OLT for HCC. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the prognostic role of HCC diagnosis at pathological exam in adult OLT. In the HCC group, we evaluated the prognostic role of the time of diagnosis (incidental versus nonincidental) and of pathological tumor TNM staging. The primary endpoint was 1-, 3-, and 10-year patient survivals. RESULTS: From 1991 to 2006, among 550 adults who underwent first OLT, HCC was found in 120 patients at pathological exam. In 26 cases (22%), the diagnosis of HCC was incidental. There were 59 cases (49%) of pathological T1 to T2 tumor (one nodule < 5 cm, or two to three nodules < 3 cm, without metastases and/or vascular invasion), and 61 cases (51%) of pathologic T3-T4a tumor. HCC diagnosis did not show a significant prognostic impact by Cox survival analysis. After a median follow-up of 31 months, 1-, 5-, and 10-year survivals were 91%, 81%, and 73% in the HCC group, and 84%, 76%, and 67% in the non-HCC group. Time of HCC diagnosis (incidental versus nonincidental) and pathological TNM staging (T1 to T2 vs T3 to T4a) did not result significant survival predictors upon Cox analysis. CONCLUSION: In our experience, the long-term results of OLT for HCC overlapped those of OLT for benign disease, although 51% of tumors were T3 to T4a at pathological exam.

Hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis as a significant mortality factor in intention-to-treat analysis in liver transplantation.

INTRODUCTION: Liver transplantation represents the gold standard for the treatment of chronic liver disease. The whole transplantation process was assessed using an intention-to-treat analysis and considering patients from the time of their inclusion on the list and throughout lengthy follow-up. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 1, 1999 to June 1, 2004, 373 adults joined the waiting list for liver transplantation at our institution. The main variables analyzed were: age, gender, etiology, Model for End-stage Liver Disease score, Child-Pugh class, United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) status. Global survival was evaluated using intention-to-treat analysis from the time of patient inclusion in the list to the end of their late follow-up. RESULTS: The median waiting time was 20 months (range 0.1 to 70.2). By univariate analysis, the variables significantly influencing survival when patients joined the waiting list were: encephalopathy; ascites, poor nutritional status, Child-Pugh class C, UNOS 2, hepatitis C virus (HCV) and bilirubin > 2 mg/dL. By multivariate analysis, only HCV-related cirrhosis emerged as having an independent prognostic value. By intention-to-treat analysis, the 5-year survival rate was 67% and 79% for HCV-positive and HCV-negative patients, respectively (P = .0003). CONCLUSIONS: HCV-related cirrhosis is an independent prognostic factor for survival according to an intention-to-treat analysis. Different inclusion criteria or treatments while on the waiting list and after transplantation need to be considered in the future for HCV-positive patients.

Prognostic impact of model for end-stage liver disease score in patients undergoing liver transplantation with suboptimal livers.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The aim of this retrospective study is to analyze the prognostic impact of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in patients undergoing liver transplantation (OLT) with suboptimal livers. METHODS: Between January 2002 and January 2006, 160 adult patients with liver cirrhosis received a whole liver for primary OLT at our institution including 81 with a suboptimal liver (SOL group) versus 79 with an optimal liver (group OL). The definition of suboptimal liver was: one major criterion (age >60 years, steatosis >20%) or at least two minor criteria: sodium >155 mEq/L, Intensive Care Unit stay >7 days, dopamine >10 microg/kg/min, abnormal liver tests, and relevant hemodynamic instability. RESULTS: Baseline recipients characteristics were comparable in the two study groups. The SOL group had a significantly greater number of early graft deaths (<30 days) than the OL group, while the 3-year Kaplan-Meier patient survivals were similar. Using logistic regression, MELD score was significantly related to patient death only in the SOL group (P = .01), and the receiver operator characteristics curve method identified 17 as the best MELD cutoff with the 3-year survival of 93% versus 85% for MELD < or =7 versus >17, respectively (P > 05). In comparison, it was 94% and 72% in the SOL group (P < .05). Similarly, MELD >17 was significantly associated with early graft death rates only in the SOL group. CONCLUSION: This study advised surgeons to not use suboptimal livers for patients with advanced MELD scores, thus supporting a donor-recipient matching policy.

Combined liver and kidney transplantation: analysis of Padova experience.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The main indications for combined liver and kidney transplantation (CLKT) are as follows: (1) cirrhosis with renal damage dependent or not upon liver disease, (2) renal failure with dialysis and concomitant liver end-stage disease, (3) congenital diseases, and (4) enzymatic liver deficiency with concomitant renal failure. The aim of this study was to evaluate our results with CLKT both in adult and pediatric patients. METHODS: From September 1995 to September 2006, 15 CLKT (2.8%) among 541 liver transplantations included 4 pediatric patients (27%). The main indications for CLKT were hepatitis C virus (HCV) and polycystic diseases in adult patients, and primary hyperoxaluria in pediatric patients. RESULTS: The double transplantation was performed from the same donor in all cases. All adult patients received whole liver grafts, whereas 3 split transplants and 1 whole liver graft were transplanted in the pediatric patients. Median liver and kidney cold ischemia times were 468 and 675 minutes, respectively. After a median follow-up of 36 months (range, 1-125), the overall survival rate was 80%. Five-year patient and graft survival rates were 100% for adult CLKT, whereas they were 50% for pediatric patients. We observed only 2 cases (18%) of delayed renal function, requiring temporary hemodialysis with progressive graft improvement. There was only 1 case of kidney retransplantation due to early graft nonfunction in a pediatric patient. CONCLUSION: Although CLKT is related to major surgical risks, results after transplantation are satisfactory with an evident immunological advantage.