Predictive Factors for Hemorrhagic Transformation in Acute Ischemic Stroke in the REAL-World Clinical Practice.

BACKGROUND: Few data exists on predictive factors of hemorrhagic transformation (HT) in real-world acute ischemic stroke patients. The aims of this study were: (i) to identify predictive variables of HT (ii) to develop a score for predicting HT. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical, radiographic, and laboratory data of patients with acute ischemic stroke consecutively admitted to our Stroke Unit along two years. Patients with HT were compared with those without HT. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of HT on CT scan at 24 hours to develop a practical score. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 564 patients with mean age 77.5±11.8 years. Fifty-two patients (9.2%) showed HT on brain CT at 24 hours (4.9% symptomatic). NIHSS score ≥8 at Stroke Unit admission (3 points), cardioembolic etiology (2 points), acute revascularization by systemic thrombolysis and/or mechanical thrombectomy (1 point), history of previous TIA/stroke (1 point), and major vessel occlusion (1 point) were found independent risk factors of HT and were included in the score (Hemorrhagic Transformation Empoli score (HTE)). The predictive power of HTE score was good with an AUC of 0.785 (95% CI: 0.749-0.818). Compared with 5 HT predictive scores proposed in the literature (THRIVE, SPAN-100, MSS, GRASPS, SITS-SIC), the HTE score significantly better predicted HT. CONCLUSIONS: NIHSS score ≥8 at Stroke Unit admission, cardioembolism, urgent revascularization, previous TIA/stroke, and major vessel occlusion were independent predictors of HT. The HTE score has a good predictive power for HT. Prospective studies are warranted.

Early reduction of estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) predicts poor outcome in acutely ill hospitalized COVID-19 patients firstly admitted to medical regular wards (eGFR-COV19 study).

BACKGROUND: Analysis of autopsy tissues obtained from patients who died from COVID-19 showed kidney tropism for SARS-COV-2, with COVID-19-related renal dysfunction representing an overlooked problem even in patients lacking previous history of chronic kidney disease. This study aimed to corroborate in a substantial sample of consecutive acutely ill COVID-19 hospitalized patients the efficacy of estimated GFR (eGFR), assessed at hospital admission, to identify acute renal function derangement and the predictive role of its association with in-hospital death and need for mechanical ventilation and admission to intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed charts of 764 patients firstly admitted to regular medical wards (Division of Internal Medicine) for symptomatic COVID-19 between March 6th and May 30th, 2020 and between October 1st, 2020 and March 15th, 2021. eGFR values were calculated with the 2021 CKD-EPI formula and assessed at hospital admission and discharge. Baseline creatinine and GFR values were assessed by chart review of patients' medical records from hospital admittance data in the previous year. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, while ARDS development and need for non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) were the secondary outcomes. RESULTS: SARS-COV-2 infection was diagnosed in 764 patients admitted with COVID-19 symptoms. A total of 682 patients (age range 23-100 years) were considered for statistical analysis, 310 needed mechanical ventilation and 137 died. An eGFR value <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was found in 208 patients, 181 met KDIGO AKI criteria; eGFR values at hospital admission were significantly lower with respect to both hospital discharge and baseline values (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, an eGFR value <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 2.6, 1.7-4.8, p = 0.003); no association was found with both ARDS and need for mechanical ventilation. eGFR was non-inferior to both IL-6 serum levels and CALL Score in predicting in-hospital death (AUC 0.71, 0.68-0.74, p = 0.55). CONCLUSIONS: eGFR calculated at hospital admission correlated well with COVID-19-related kidney injury and eGFR values < 60 mL/min/1,73 m2 were independently associated with in-hospital mortality, but not with both ARDS or need for mechanical ventilation.

Predictors of poor outcome in tocilizumab treated patients with Sars-CoV-2 related severe respiratory failure: A multicentre real world study.

INTRODUCTION: Despite Tocilizumab is now recognized as a concrete therapeutic option in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 related respiratory failure, literature lacks about factors influencing the response to it in this context. Therefore, the aim of our study was to provide evidence about predictors of poor outcome in Tocilizumab treated patients in the real-world practice. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed clinical, laboratory and chest computer tomography (CCT) data of patients firstly admitted in non Intensive Care Units (ICU) and suffering from severe respiratory failure, who were treated with the IL-6 antagonist Tocilizumab. We compared patients who died and/or required admission to ICU with oro-tracheal intubation (OTI) with those who did not. RESULTS: Two hundreds and eighty-seven patients (29.9% females) with mean age ± SD 64.1 ± 12.6 years were the study population. In-hospital mortality was 18.8%, while the composite endpoint in-hospital mortality and/or ICU admission with OTI occurred in 23.7%. At univariate analysis, patients who died and/or were admitted to ICU with OTI were significantly older and co-morbid, had significantly higher values of creatinine, C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin and lower lymphocytes count, PaO2/FiO2 ratio (P/F) and room air pulsossimetry oxygen saturation (RAO2S) at hospital admission. Computed tomography ground glass opacities (CT-GGO) involving the pulmonary surface ≥ 50% were found in 55.4% of patients who died and/or were admitted to ICU with OTI and in 21.5% of patients who did not (p=0.0001). At multivariate analysis, age ≥ 65 years (OR 17.3, 95% CI: 3.7-81.0), procalcitonin ≥ 0.14 (OR 9.9, 95%CI: 1.7-56.1), RAO2S ≤ 90% (OR 4.6, 95%CI: 1.2-17.0) and CCT-GGO involvement ≥ 50% (OR 5.1, 95%CI: 1.2-21.0) were independent risk factors associated with death and/or ICU admission with OTI. CONCLUSION: Tocilizumab has shown to improve outcome in patients with severe respiratory failure associated to SARS-CoV-2 related pneumonia. In our multicentre study focusing on Tocilizumab treated severe COVID-19 patients, age ≥ 65 years, procalcitonin ≥ 0.14 ng/mL, RAO2S ≤ 90% and CCT-GGO involvement ≥ 50% were independent factors associated with poor outcome.

Prognostic role of Interleukin-6/lymphocytes ratio in SARS-CoV2 related pneumonia.

INTRODUCTION AND AIM: Interleukin-6 to lymphocyte (IL-6/Lym) ratio has been identified as a potential prognostic tool in patients with SARS-CoV2 related pneumonia. The aim of our study was to compare the prognostic power of IL-6/Lym ratio with other biomarkers in patients initially admitted in a non intensive unit and suffering for respiratory failure associated with SARS-CoV2 related pneumonia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: IL-6/Lym ratio, IL-6, D-Dimer, D-Dimer/fibrinogen ratio, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein (CRP), lymphocytes count and neutrophil/lymphocyte (N/L) ratio collected at hospital admission were tested as prognosticators of negative outcome, defined as combined endpoint in-hospital mortality and/or Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission requiring oro-tracheal intubation (OTI). RESULTS: Study population encompassed two hundreds and twenty-three patients (46% females) with mean age ± DS 69.4 ± 13.3 years. Eighty-nine patients (39.9%) suffered for severe respiratory failure and required non invasive ventilation, helmets and/or high flow nasal cannula. Fourty-one patients (18.3%) died during hospital stay and/or required OTI. In these patients mean values of IL-6/Lym ratio, IL-6, CRP and N/L were significantly higher and lymphocytes count was significantly lower compared with patients discharged alive and/or not requiring OTI, while no difference was found in mean values of D-Dimer, D-Dimer/Fibrinogen ratio and fibrinogen. AUC (0.797, 95% CI: 0.738-0.848) of IL-6/Lym ratio was the highest compared with those of all the other analyzed biomarkers and the difference was significant with the exception of IL-6. At multivariate logistic regression IL-6/Lym ratio > 66.5 resulted the only independent biomarker associated with mortality and/or OTI (OR 5.65; 95% 1.63-19.54). CONCLUSION: IL-6/Lym ratio seems to be an optimal prognosticator in SARS-CoV2 related pneumonia. Its routinary use in COVID-19 patients could be warranted.

Atrial fibrillation and COVID-19 in older patients: how disability contributes to shape the risk profile. An analysis of the GeroCovid registry.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often complicated by disabling conditions in the elderly. COVID-19 has high mortality in older people. This study aimed at evaluating the relationship of pre-infection AF with characteristics and survival of older COVID-19 patients. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed inpatients aged ≥ 60 years enrolled in GeroCovid Observational, a multicenter registry endorsed by the Italian and the Norwegian Societies of Gerontology and Geriatrics. Pre-COVID-19 sociodemographic, functional, and medical data were systematically collected, as well as in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Between March and June 2020, 808 COVID-19 subjects were enrolled (age 79 ± 9 years; men 51.7%). The prevalence of AF was 21.8%. AF patients were older (82 ± 8 vs. 77 ± 9 years, p < 0.001), had a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score (4.1 ± 1.5 vs. 3.2 ± 1.5, p < 0.001) and were more likely to present almost all comorbidities. At multivariable analysis, advanced age, white blood cell count, the presence of heart and peripheral artery diseases were significantly associated with the presence of AF. In-hospital mortality was higher in AF patients (36.9 vs. 27.5%; OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.09-2.20; p = 0.015). A decision tree analysis showed that, in AF subjects, preserved functional status at admission was the most important factor associated with survival. In patients without AF, baseline COVID-19 severity was the most relevant variable related to clinical prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: AF is frequent in older patients with COVID-19, in whom it associates with clinical complexity and high mortality. Pre-infection disability shapes the prognosis of this extremely vulnerable segment of hospitalized subjects. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: GeroCovid Observational was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04379440).

COVID-19 and Atrial Fibrillation in Older Patients: Does Oral Anticoagulant Therapy Provide a Survival Benefit?-An Insight from the GeroCovid Registry.

INTRODUCTION: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most frequent arrhythmia of older patients, associates with serious thromboembolic complications and high mortality. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severely affects aged subjects, determining an important prothrombotic status. The aim of this study was to evaluate mortality-related factors in older AF patients with COVID-19. METHODS: Between March and June 2020, we enrolled ≥60 year-old in-hospital COVID-19 patients (n = 806) in GeroCovid, a multicenter observational study promoted by the Italian Society of Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine. RESULTS: The prevalence of AF was 21.8%. In-hospital mortality was higher in the AF group (36.9 vs. 27.5%, p = 0.015). At admission, 51.7, 10.2, and 38.1% of AF cases were taking, respectively, oral anticoagulants (OACs), antiplatelet agents, and no antithrombotic therapy. During hospitalization, 51% patients switched to low-molecular-weight heparins. AF patients who survived were younger (81 ± 8 vs. 84 ± 7 years; p = 0.002) and had a lower CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.9 ± 1.6 vs. 4.4 ± 1.3; p = 0.02) than those who died. OAC use before (63.1 vs. 32.3%; p < 0.001) and during hospitalization (34.0 vs. 12.7%; p = 0.002) was higher among survivors. At multivariable analysis, lower age, higher self-sufficiency, less severe initial COVID-19 presentation, and the use of vitamin K antagonists (odds ratio [OR] = 0.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.03-0.84) or direct OACs (OR = 0.22, 95% CI: 0.08-0.56) at admission, or the persistence of OAC during hospitalization (OR = 0.05, 95% CI: 0.01-0.24), were associated with a lower chance of in-hospital death. CONCLUSION: AF is a prevalent and severe condition in older COVID-19 patients. Advanced age, dependency, and relevant clinical manifestations of disease characterized a worse prognosis. Preadmission and in-hospital anticoagulant therapies were positively associated with survival.

Atrial fibrillation in older patients and artificial intelligence: a quantitative demonstration of a link with some of the geriatric multidimensional assessment tools-a preliminary report.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) associates with disability and frailty. Aim of this study was to evaluate in older AF patients, using artificial intelligence (AI), the relations between geriatric tools and daily standing and resting periods. We enrolled thirty-one > 65 years patients undergoing electrical cardioversion of AF (age: 79 ± 6 years; women: 41.9%; CHA2DS2-VASc: 3.7 ± 1.2; MMSE: 27.7 ± 2.7; GDS: 3.0 ± 2.8). The data of the first day following the procedure were analyzed using machine-learning techniques in a specifically designed cloud platform. Standing, activity, time (582 ± 139 min) was directly associated with MMSE and inversely with GDS. Sleep length was 472 ± 230 min. Light sleep, the longer resting phase, was inversely related to GDS. The Chest Effort Index, a measure of obstructive sleep apnea, grew with GDS. In conclusion, AI devices can be routinely used in improving older subjects' evaluation. A correlation exists between standing time, MMSE, and depressive symptoms. GDS associates to length and quality of sleep.

The CHA2DS2-VASc score and Geriatric Multidimensional Assessment tools in elderly patients with persistent atrial fibrillation undergoing electrical cardioversion. A link with arrhythmia relapse?

INTRODUCTION: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is widely used for stroke risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Our endpoints were to evaluate in an old population undergoing electrical cardioversion (ECV) of persistent AF if the CHA2DS2-VASc was associated with some of the Geriatric Multidimensional Assessment tools and with the presence of sinus rhythm at the follow-up. METHODS: We enrolled all the consecutive patients admitted in a day-hospital setting aged ≥60 years. The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE; neurocognitive function), the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS; depressive symptoms) and the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB; physical functioning) were administered before ECV. RESULTS: Between 2017 and 2019, 134 patients were enrolled (mean age: 77±9 years, range: 60-96; men: 63.4%; EF: 60±12%). Hypertension was the most frequent comorbid condition (82.1%). The CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.8±1.6. Abnormal values of MMSE, GDS and SPPB were observed in 7.9, 19.8 and 22.3% of cases, respectively. There were significant correlations between the CHA2DS2-VASc score and the MMSE (p=0.008), the GDS (p<0.001) and the SPPB (p<0.001). Depressive symptoms increased CHA2DS2-VASc correlation with SPPB of about 20%. CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with arrhythmia relapse (p=0.048; mean length of follow-up: 195 days). This association persisted even after adjustment for amiodarone therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score significantly correlated with neuro-cognitive performance, depressive symptoms and physical functioning. It was also associated with AF relapse. Accordingly, in the elderly, the CHA2DS2-VASc could help quantify thrombo-embolic risk, give an indication of frailty status and help to choose between a rate- and a rhythm-control strategy.

The complex interaction between atrial fibrillation and heart failure in elderly patients.

Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) often coexist. Subjects with permanent AF show the highest prevalence of HF. Patients with incident AF have HF in a great number of cases and, reciprocally, in patients with incident HF, an AF can be frequently found. The simultaneous presence of the two conditions is associated with mortality rates higher than those observed in individuals with only one or none of them. Interestingly, HF and AF could synergistically promote in elderly patients the development of disability and dementia. Inflammatory mechanisms coupled with changes of renin-angiotensin system, hormonal pathways and neuro-mediators could simultaneously promote left atrium remodeling and sustain both HF and AF. Beta-blockers and digoxin seem to have small therapeutic effect and limited influence on prognosis in these very complex patients. Sinus rhythm restoration could slow down the progression of disability in symptomatic subjects. Recent evidence seem to suggest that upstream therapy coupled with rehabilitation, and that AV node ablation associated with cardiac resynchronization therapy could benefit subjects with HF and AF. In conclusion, elderly patients simultaneously presenting problems of cardiac function and arrhythmia are an important challenge for geriatric medicine, and request important efforts to improve their functional profile and prognosis.