Cost-effectiveness of Pembrolizumab as Second-line Therapy for the Treatment of Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Urothelial carcinoma (UC) is the most common subtype of bladder cancer. The randomized phase 3 KEYNOTE-045 trial showed that pembrolizumab, used as second-line therapy significantly prolonged overall survival with fewer treatment-related adverse events than chemotherapy for advanced UC. Pembrolizumab has been approved by the European Medicines Agency for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic UC in adults who have received platinum-containing chemotherapy. Many European countries use cost-effectiveness analysis to inform reimbursement decisions. OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab as second-line therapy for the treatment of advanced UC from a Swedish health care perspective. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We developed a partitioned-survival model to assess the costs and effectiveness of pembrolizumab compared with vinflunine (base case), paclitaxel, or docetaxel monotherapy in patients with advanced UC over a 15-yr time horizon. We obtained Kaplan-Meier estimates for survival endpoints, adverse events, and utility data from KEYNOTE-045. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: We performed parametric extrapolations to estimate overall and progression-free survival beyond the clinical trial period. Swedish costs and utility weights were used to estimate total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of the model results. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In the base-case analysis, pembrolizumab resulted in a mean survival gain of 1.66 years (1.38 QALYs) at an incremental cost of €69852 and an ICER of €50529/QALY gained versus vinflunine monotherapy. ICERs for other chemotherapies were €81356/QALY for pembrolizumab versus paclitaxel or docetaxel monotherapy, and €71924/QALY for pembrolizumab versus paclitaxel, docetaxel, or vinflunine monotherapy. Long-term follow-up from KEYNOTE-045 and real-world data are needed to validate the extrapolations. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that pembrolizumab improves survival, increases QALYs, and is cost-effective as second-line therapy at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €100000/QALY for the treatment of advanced UC. PATIENT SUMMARY: To date, pembrolizumab is the only treatment associated with a significant overall survival benefit compared with chemotherapy in a randomized controlled trial as second-line therapy for advanced urothelial carcinoma. Our trial-based cost-effectiveness analysis suggests that pembrolizumab is a cost-effective option over chemotherapy in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma after platinum-based therapy in Sweden.

Modeling the durability of ZOSTAVAX® vaccine efficacy in people ≥60 years of age.

Since 2006, the vaccine, ZOSTAVAX(®), has been licensed to prevent herpes zoster. Only limited clinical follow-up data are available to evaluate duration of protection, an important consideration when developing HZ vaccination policy recommendations. Four Poisson regression models were developed based on an integrated analysis of data from the Shingles Prevention Study and its Short Term Persistence extension to estimate the effects of years-since-vaccination and chronological-age on vaccine efficacy among people ≥60 years old. The models included number of HZ cases parsed into categories by chronological-age and time-since-vaccination as the dependent variable with different explanatory variables in each model. In all models, the interaction between vaccine-group and chronological-age was statistically significant indicating that vaccine efficacy decreases with the expected effects of advancing age but the interaction between vaccine-group and time-since-vaccination was not statistically significant indicating that much of the reduction in vaccine efficacy over time-since-vaccination can be explained by increasing age.

Health care utilization and cost burden of herpes zoster in a community population.

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a population-based study to assess health care utilization (HCU) and costs associated with herpes zoster (HZ) and its complications, including postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) and nonpain complications, in adults aged 22 years and older. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Medical record data on HCU were abstracted for all confirmed new cases of HZ from January 1, 1996, through December 31, 2001, among residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota. Herpes zoster-related costs were estimated by applying the Medicare Payment Fee Schedule to health care encounters and mean wholesale prices to medications. All costs were adjusted to 2006 US dollars using the medical care component of the Consumer Price Index. RESULTS: The HCU and cost of the 1669 incident HZ cases varied, depending on the complications involved. From 3 weeks before to 1 year after initial diagnosis, there were a mean of 1.8 outpatient visits and 3.1 prescribed medications at a cost of $720 for cases without PHN or nonpain complications compared with 7.5 outpatient visits and 14.7 prescribed medications at a cost of $3998 when complications, PHN, or nonpain complications were present. CONCLUSION: The annual medical care cost of treating incident HZ cases in the United States, extrapolated from the results of this study in Olmsted County, is estimated at $1.1 billion. Most of the costs are for the care of immunocompetent adults with HZ, especially among those 50 years and older.

Incremental 1-year medical resource utilization and costs for patients with herpes zoster from a set of US health plans.

BACKGROUND: Nearly 1 million new episodes of herpes zoster (HZ) occur annually in the US, yet little is known about the medical resource utilization (RU) and costs associated with HZ and its complications. OBJECTIVES: To describe the medical RU and cost burden of HZ in the first 90 days and the first year after diagnosis from the health insurer perspective and to stratify this burden for patients diagnosed with post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) and those who are immunocompromised. In addition, this study explores costs from the societal perspective as a result of work loss in the first year after diagnosis. METHODS: The medical RU and cost data were obtained from the MarketScan Research Database for the years 1998-2003. This database contains inpatient, outpatient and prescription drug data for approximately 14 million individuals of all ages, covered under a variety of fee-for-service and capitated provider reimbursement arrangements, including those with Medicare and private insurance. The work loss estimates were based on the MarketScan Health and Productivity Management Database. Claims for services incurred between 1 January 1998 and 31 December 2003 were screened to identify a cohort of HZ patients based on the presence of at least one International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9) diagnosis code 053.xx. Each patient was assigned an index date based on the earliest observed occurrence of an HZ diagnosis. A cohort of PHN patients was identified as a subset of the HZ cohort with ICD-9 codes 053.12, 053.13, 053.19 or 729.2x in the period of 90 days to 12 months after the index date. Multivariable regression was used to compare HZ cases with matched controls after adjusting for demographic characteristics, insurance status, co-morbidities and medical expenditure in the 6 months prior to diagnosis for each of the endpoints. Separate regression models were developed, in which age and immune status were stratified. All costs were adjusted to March 2008 values using the medical care component of the Consumer Price Index. The average per patient cost of all HZ cases was $US605 in the first 90 days after diagnosis and $US1052 at 1 year. For the subset with PHN, the average per patient cost of HZ at 1 year was $US3815. For the subset with an immunocompromising condition, the average HZ cost at 1 year was $US1745. The majority of the costs were the result of outpatient visits and prescription drugs. The subset of HZ cases that had both absence hour and short-term disability (STD) records available had 26.5 absence hours and 2.9 STD days. Healthcare utilization, medical care costs and work loss all increased with age for all HZ cases. Based on the results from the present study, the direct medical cost burden of HZ in the US is high, exceeding $US1000 per HZ patient. This direct medical cost may be nearly twice as high in immunocompromised patients and four times as high in the subset of HZ cases with PHN. The direct medical cost burden of HZ may exceed $US1 billion annually in the US. The majority of medical RU and cost burden is incurred by the elderly. Although many people with HZ may no longer be in the workforce, HZ does contribute to lost work time.

Comparative costs of ertapenem and cefotetan as prophylaxis for elective colorectal surgery.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The costs of treating surgical site infections can be considerable. There is a cost associated with the prophylactic use of antibiotics; however, the use of prophylactic agents may reduce infection rates and lengths of stay, thus offsetting the overall treatment cost and potentially generating cost savings to hospitals. This project was intended to determine the potential cost impact of using ertapenem 1 g vs. cefotetan 2 g as prophylaxis for elective colorectal surgery. METHODS: Cost analysis using efficacy data from the PREVENT clinical trial and drug acquisition and total hospital costs in 2005 dollars from Premier's Perspective Comparative Database in patients > or = 18 year of age, evaluable at four weeks after elective surgery of the colon or rectum and prophylactic treatment with ertapenem (n = 338) or cefotetan (n = 334). The primary outcome measures were the rate of prophylactic drug failure and the difference between the ertapenem and cefotetan groups in costs related to and total hospital stay. Prophylactic failure was defined as a surgical site infection, unexplained antibiotic use, or anastomotic leak. RESULTS: Prophylactic failure occurred in 28.1% of the patients receiving ertapenem and 42.8% of those receiving cefotetan (p < 0.05). The most common prophylactic failure was surgical site infection: 18.3% for ertapenem, 31.1% for cefotetan, difference (95% confidence interval) -13.0% (-19.5, -6.5%) (p < 0.05). The mean +/- standard deviation length of stay for all patients, including prophylactic successes and failures, was 7.6 +/- 6.6 days for ertapenem and 8.7 +/- 9.5 days for cefotetan. The mean per-patient cost of prophylactic drugs and hospital room and board was $15,245 with ertapenem and $17,428 cefotetan, a net difference of -$2,181. CONCLUSIONS: Ertapenem used in prophylaxis for elective colorectal operations results in a lower rate of surgical site infection and a shorter average length of stay than cefotetan. The calculated net difference in prophylactic antibiotic drug and hospital costs represents a saving of $2,181 per patient with ertapenem relative to cefotetan.

The potential cost-effectiveness of vaccination against herpes zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia.

A clinical trial has shown that a live-attenuated varicella-zoster virus vaccine is effective against herpes zoster (HZ) and post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN). The aim of this study was to examine the cost-effectiveness of vaccination against HZ and PHN in Canada. A cohort model was developed to estimate the burden of HZ and the cost-effectiveness of HZ vaccination, using Canadian population-based data. Different ages at vaccination were examined and probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed. The economic evaluation was conducted from the ministry of health perspective and 5% discounting was used for costs and benefits. In Canada (population = 30 million), we estimate that each year there are 130,000 new cases of HZ, 17,000 cases of PHN and 20 deaths. Most of the pain and suffering is borne by adults over the age of 60 years and is due to PHN. Vaccinating 65-year-olds (HZ efficacy = 63%, PHN efficacy = 67%, no waning, cost/course = $150) is estimated to cost $33,000 per QALY-gained (90% CrI: 19,000-63,000). Assuming the cost per course of HZ vaccination is $150, probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggest that vaccinating between 65 and 75 years of age will likely yield cost-effectiveness ratios below $40,000 per Quality-Adjusted Life-Year (QALY) gained, while vaccinating adults older than 75 years will yield ratios less than $70,000 per QALY-gained. These results are most sensitive to the duration of vaccine protection and the cost of vaccination. In conclusion, results suggest that vaccinating adults between the ages of 65 and 75 years is likely to be cost-effective and thus to be a judicious use of scarce health care resources.

Evaluation of the cost-effectiveness in the United States of a vaccine to prevent herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia in older adults.

CONTEXT: A live-attenuated varicella-zoster virus vaccine, demonstrated to reduce the incidence of herpes zoster (HZ) and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) and the morbidity associated with incident HZ and its sequelae, has recently been approved for use in the United States (U.S.). OBJECTIVE: To examine the potential value of zoster vaccine for society and payers. DESIGN, SETTING AND POPULATION: An age-specific decision analytic model was designed to estimate the lifetime costs and outcomes associated with HZ, PHN and other HZ-related complications for vaccinated and non-vaccinated cohorts aged >or=60 years. Clinical trial data, published literature and other primary studies were used to inform the model. Robustness of results to key model parameters was explored through a series of one-way, multivariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Both societal and payer perspectives were considered. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. RESULTS: For a representative cohort of 1,000,000 U.S. vaccine recipients aged >or=60 years, use of the zoster vaccine was projected to eliminate 75,548-88,928HZ cases and over 20,000 PHN cases. Over 300,000 outpatient visits, 375,000 prescriptions, 9,700 ER visits and 10,000 hospitalizations were projected to be eliminated with the vaccine translating into savings of US$ 82 million to US$ 103 million in healthcare costs associated with the diagnosis and treatment of HZ, PHN and other HZ-related complications. Cost-effectiveness ratios range from US$ 16,229 to US$ 27,609 per QALY gained, depending on the input data source and analytic perspective. Results were most sensitive to PHN costs, duration of vaccine efficacy, vaccine efficacy against PHN and HZ, QALY loss associated with pain states and complication costs. CONCLUSIONS: The zoster vaccine at a price of US$ 150 is likely to be cost-effective for a cohort of immunocompetent U.S. vaccine recipients aged >or=60 years using commonly cited thresholds for judging cost-effectiveness. Conclusions are robust over plausible ranges of input parameter values and a broad range of scenarios and age cohorts.

Acute/subacute herpes zoster: healthcare resource utilisation and costs in a group of US health plans.

BACKGROUND: Although there are estimated to be nearly 1 million cases of herpes zoster diagnosed in the US each year, the economic costs associated with herpes zoster in the US have not been well described. OBJECTIVE: To describe the healthcare resource utilisation and costs associated with physician-diagnosed acute/subacute herpes zoster, from a payer perspective, using a large US healthcare claims database. METHODS: Data for the period 2000-1 were obtained from the Medstat Marketscan healthcare claims database. The duration of acute/subacute herpes zoster was considered to include the 21 days preceding, and 90 days following, the initial herpes zoster diagnosis. Resource utilisation was examined for individuals with newly diagnosed acute/subacute herpes zoster (n = 8741) and compared, through regression analyses, with that observed for control individuals from the same population (n = 50,000). Similar analyses were conducted for costs; the costs included reflected healthcare payments from patients, insurers and other sources. Regression analyses controlled for demographics (age, gender), conditions that have been observed with greater frequency among patients with acute/subacute herpes zoster in prior studies (cancer, HIV infection, organ transplantation, other immunosuppressive conditions and therapies) and the number of billed services within each of seven categories of care that were potentially related to acute/subacute herpes zoster and that were utilised within the 30-180 days prior to the diagnosis for affected patients, and over an analogous period for controls. RESULTS: The acute/subacute phase of herpes zoster was estimated to result in an average of 1.7 (standard error [SE] 0.02) additional physician and hospital outpatient visits, 0.05 (SE 0.003) additional emergency room visits, 0.03 (SE 0.003) additional inpatient hospital admissions, 2.1 (SE 0.03) additional prescriptions filled and $US431 (SE 17.60) in additional healthcare costs per patient. Among patients with acute/subacute herpes zoster, 21.1% had a diagnosis code with a designation for a herpes zoster-related complication, and 9.4% had three or more outpatient visits with a diagnosis code for herpes zoster. The average estimated incremental costs per patient with acute/subacute disease increased with age, ranging from $US258 (SE 37.70) among patients aged < or =19 years to $US805 (SE 106.30) among those aged > or =80 years. The numbers of additional outpatient visits, inpatient admissions, prescriptions filled for pain medications and coded complications were also substantially higher among older than younger patients with acute/subacute herpes zoster. CONCLUSIONS: The management of acute/subacute herpes zoster was found to result in substantial healthcare costs, with outpatient care and prescription drugs comprising the majority of the cost burden. To more fully understand the overall cost of herpes zoster disease to society, future studies should examine the healthcare costs associated with post-herpetic neuralgia and productivity losses due to herpes zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia.

The incidence of herpes zoster in a United States administrative database.

BACKGROUND: Few recent studies have reported data on the incidence of herpes zoster (HZ) in U.S. general clinical practice. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the age- and sex-specific incidence of HZ among U.S. health plan enrollees. DESIGN: Data for the years 2000 to 2001 were obtained from the Medstat MarketScan database, containing health insurance enrollment and claims data from over 4 million U.S. individuals. Incident HZ cases were identified through HZ diagnosis codes on health care claims. The burden of HZ among high-risk individuals with recent care for cancer, HIV, or transplantation was examined in sub-analyses. Overall incidence rates were age- and sex-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. population. PARTICIPANTS: MarketScan U.S. health plan enrollees of all ages. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified 9,152 incident cases of HZ (3.2 per 1,000 person-years) (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.1 to 3.2 per 1,000). Annual HZ rates per 1,000 person-years were higher among females (3.8) than males (2.6) (P<.0001). HZ rates rose sharply with age, and were highest among individuals over age 80 (10.9 per 1,000 person-years) (95% CI, 10.2 to 11.6). The incidence of HZ per 1,000 person-years among patients with evidence of recent care for transplantation, HIV infection, or cancer (10.3) was greater than for individuals without recent care for these conditions (3.0) (P<.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The overall incidence of HZ reported in the present study was found to be similar to rates observed in U.S. analyses conducted 10 to 20 years earlier, after age- and sex-standardizing estimates from all studies to the 2000 U.S. population. The higher rate of HZ in females compared with males contrasts with prior U.S. studies.

An observational, retrospective, cohort study of dosing patterns for rofecoxib and celecoxib in the treatment of arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: This study assessed prescribing patterns for rofecoxib and celecoxib in the treatment of osteoarthritis (OA) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), as well as differences in prescribing patterns across physician specialties. METHODS: This was an observational, retrospective, cohort study of a large, US pharmacy claims database. Eligible patients were initiating therapy with rofecoxib or celecoxib and had succeeds, equals 90 days' supply of medication, as well as > or =1 medical claim specific to OA or RA between June 1, 2000, and May 31, 2001. Analyses were stratified according to diagnosis, prescribing physician specialty, and patient demographics. The main outcome measure was mean daily usage (ie, mean daily dose [milligrams]; mean number of pills per day; and mean daily consumption [denoted as DACON], calculated as daily dose divided by most frequently prescribed strength). This was primarily a descriptive study. Tests of statistical significance were not performed because the large sample size would have rendered small differences significant. RESULTS: A total of 58,574 patients with OA (81.8% [n=47,935]) or RA (18.2% [n=10,639]) received 220,627 prescriptions for rofecoxib or celecoxib (47.7% [n=27, 924] and 52.3% [n=30, 650] of patients, respectively) during the study period. Overall, the most frequently prescribed strengths were rofecoxib 25 mg and celecoxib 200 mg. In both OA and RA, the most frequently prescribed mean daily dose of rofecoxib was 25 mg. In OA, the most frequently prescribed mean daily dose of celecoxib was 200 mg; in RA, it was 400 mg. Both pills per day and DACON were higher for celecoxib than rofecoxib. The DACON for rofecoxib was unrelated to physician specialty. Rheumatologists prescribed celecoxib at 20% to 40% higher mean daily doses than did primary care physicians, orthopedic specialists, or other specialists. Regardless of physician specialty, the DACON appeared higher for patients with RA than OA, for men than women, and for younger (aged <65 years) than older patients. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis, relative to the most frequently prescribed strength, celecoxib-treated patients with OA and RA had higher DACONs than rofecoxib-treated OA and RA patients across all subgroups. These observations may have economic implications in terms of direct effects on cost and the need for formularies to consider overall use patterns in addition to pill costs. However, these conclusions are limited by lack of clinical information (other than an OA or RA diagnosis), inability to ascertain actual use, and potential for selection bias.