Prognostic enrichment for early-stage Huntington's disease: An explainable machine learning approach for clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: In Huntington's disease clinical trials, recruitment and stratification approaches primarily rely on genetic load, cognitive and motor assessment scores. They focus less on in vivo brain imaging markers, which reflect neuropathology well before clinical diagnosis. Machine learning methods offer a degree of sophistication which could significantly improve prognosis and stratification by leveraging multimodal biomarkers from large datasets. Such models specifically tailored to HD gene expansion carriers could further enhance the efficacy of the stratification process. OBJECTIVES: To improve stratification of Huntington's disease individuals for clinical trials. METHODS: We used data from 451 gene positive individuals with Huntington's disease (both premanifest and diagnosed) from previously published cohorts (PREDICT, TRACK, TrackON, and IMAGE). We applied whole-brain parcellation to longitudinal brain scans and measured the rate of lateral ventricular enlargement, over 3 years, which was used as the target variable for our prognostic random forest regression models. The models were trained on various combinations of features at baseline, including genetic load, cognitive and motor assessment score biomarkers, as well as brain imaging-derived features. Furthermore, a simplified stratification model was developed to classify individuals into two homogenous groups (low risk and high risk) based on their anticipated rate of ventricular enlargement. RESULTS: The predictive accuracy of the prognostic models substantially improved by integrating brain imaging features alongside genetic load, cognitive and motor biomarkers: a 24 % reduction in the cross-validated mean absolute error, yielding an error of 530 mm3/year. The stratification model had a cross-validated accuracy of 81 % in differentiating between moderate and fast progressors (precision = 83 %, recall = 80 %). CONCLUSIONS: This study validated the effectiveness of machine learning in differentiating between low- and high-risk individuals based on the rate of ventricular enlargement. The models were exclusively trained using features from HD individuals, which offers a more disease-specific, simplified, and accurate approach for prognostic enrichment compared to relying on features extracted from healthy control groups, as done in previous studies. The proposed method has the potential to enhance clinical utility by: i) enabling more targeted recruitment of individuals for clinical trials, ii) improving post-hoc evaluation of individuals, and iii) ultimately leading to better outcomes for individuals through personalized treatment selection.

Conscious but not thinking-Mind-blanks during visuomotor tracking: An fMRI study of endogenous attention lapses.

Attention lapses (ALs) are complete lapses of responsiveness in which performance is briefly but completely disrupted and during which, as opposed to microsleeps, the eyes remain open. Although the phenomenon of ALs has been investigated by behavioural and physiological means, the underlying cause of an AL has largely remained elusive. This study aimed to investigate the underlying physiological substrates of behaviourally identified endogenous ALs during a continuous visuomotor task, primarily to answer the question: Were the ALs during this task due to extreme mind-wandering or mind-blanks? The data from two studies were combined, resulting in data from 40 healthy non-sleep-deprived subjects (20M/20F; mean age 27.1 years, 20-45). Only 17 of the 40 subjects were used in the analysis due to a need for a minimum of two ALs per subject. Subjects performed a random 2-D continuous visuomotor tracking task for 50 and 20 min in Studies 1 and 2, respectively. Tracking performance, eye-video, and functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) were recorded simultaneously. A human expert visually inspected the tracking performance and eye-video recordings to identify and categorise lapses of responsiveness as microsleeps or ALs. Changes in neural activity during 85 ALs (17 subjects) relative to responsive tracking were estimated by whole-brain voxel-wise fMRI and by haemodynamic response (HR) analysis in regions of interest (ROIs) from seven key networks to reveal the neural signature of ALs. Changes in functional connectivity (FC) within and between the key ROIs were also estimated. Networks explored were the default mode network, dorsal attention network, frontoparietal network, sensorimotor network, salience network, visual network, and working memory network. Voxel-wise analysis revealed a significant increase in blood-oxygen-level-dependent activity in the overlapping dorsal anterior cingulate cortex and supplementary motor area region but no significant decreases in activity; the increased activity is considered to represent a recovery-of-responsiveness process following an AL. This increased activity was also seen in the HR of the corresponding ROI. Importantly, HR analysis revealed no trend of increased activity in the posterior cingulate of the default mode network, which has been repeatedly demonstrated to be a strong biomarker of mind-wandering. FC analysis showed decoupling of external attention, which supports the involuntary nature of ALs, in addition to the neural recovery processes. Other findings were a decrease in HR in the frontoparietal network before the onset of ALs, and a decrease in FC between default mode network and working memory network. These findings converge to our conclusion that the ALs observed during our task were involuntary mind-blanks. This is further supported behaviourally by the short duration of the ALs (mean 1.7 s), which is considered too brief to be instances of extreme mind-wandering. This is the first study to demonstrate that at least the majority of complete losses of responsiveness on a continuous visuomotor task are, if not due to microsleeps, due to involuntary mind-blanks.

Network Representation of fMRI Data Using Visibility Graphs: The Impact of Motion and Test-Retest Reliability.

Visibility graphs provide a novel approach for analysing time-series data. Graph theoretical analysis of visibility graphs can provide new features for data mining applications in fMRI. However, visibility graphs features have not been used widely in the field of neuroscience. This is likely due to a lack of understanding of their robustness in the presence of noise (e.g., motion) and their test-retest reliability. In this study, we investigated visibility graph properties of fMRI data in the human connectome project (N = 1010) and tested their sensitivity to motion and test-retest reliability. We also characterised the strength of connectivity obtained using degree synchrony of visibility graphs. We found that strong correlation (r > 0.5) between visibility graph properties, such as the number of communities and average degrees, and motion in the fMRI data. The test-retest reliability (Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC)) of graph theoretical features was high for the average degrees (0.74, 95% CI = [0.73, 0.75]), and moderate for clustering coefficient (0.43, 95% CI = [0.41, 0.44]) and average path length (0.41, 95% CI = [0.38, 0.44]). Functional connectivity between brain regions was measured by correlating the visibility graph degrees. However, the strength of correlation was found to be moderate to low (r < 0.35). These findings suggest that even small movement in fMRI data can strongly influence robustness and reliability of visibility graph features, thus, requiring robust motion correction strategies prior to data analysis. Further studies are necessary for better understanding of the potential application of visibility graph features in fMRI.

The shape of things to come. Mapping spatiotemporal progression of striatal morphology in Huntington disease: The IMAGE-HD study.

Mapping the spatiotemporal progression of neuroanatomical change in Huntington's Disease (HD) is fundamental to the development of bio-measures for prognostication. Statistical shape analysis to measure the striatum has been performed in HD, however there have been a limited number of longitudinal studies. To address these limitations, we utilised the Spherical Harmonic Point Distribution Method (SPHARM-PDM) to generate point distribution models of the striatum in individuals, and used linear mixed models to test for localised shape change over time in pre-manifest HD (pre-HD), symp-HD (symp-HD) and control individuals. Longitudinal MRI scans from the IMAGE-HD study were used (baseline, 18 and 30 months). We found significant differences in the shape of the striatum between groups. Significant group-by-time interaction was observed for the putamen bilaterally, but not for caudate. A differential rate of shape change between groups over time was observed, with more significant deflation in the symp-HD group in comparison with the pre-HD and control groups. CAG repeats were correlated with bilateral striatal shape in pre-HD and symp-HD. Robust statistical analysis of the correlates of striatal shape change in HD has confirmed the suitability of striatal morphology as a potential biomarker correlated with CAG-repeat length, and potentially, an endophenotype.

Hippocampal morphology in Huntington's disease, implications for plasticity and pathogenesis: The IMAGE-HD study.

While striatal changes in Huntington's Disease (HD) are well established, few studies have investigated changes in the hippocampus, a key neuronal hub. Using MRI scans obtained from the IMAGE-HD study, hippocampi were manually traced and then analysed with the Spherical Harmonic Point Distribution Method (SPHARM-PDM) in 36 individuals with presymptomatic-HD, 37 with early symptomatic-HD, and 36 healthy matched controls. There were no significant differences in overall hippocampal volume between groups. Interestingly we found decreased bilateral hippocampal volume in people with symptomatic-HD who took selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors compared to those who did not, despite no significant differences in anxiety, depressive symptoms, or motor incapacity between the two groups. In symptomatic-HD, there was also significant shape deflation in the right hippocampal head, showing the utility of using manual tracing and SPHARM-PDM to characterise subtle shape changes which may be missed by other methods. This study confirms previous findings of the lack of hippocampal volumetric differentiation in presymptomatic-HD and symptomatic-HD compared to controls. We also find novel shape and volume findings in those with symptomatic-HD, especially in relation to decreased hippocampal volume in those treated with SSRIs.

Increased cerebral activity during microsleeps reflects an unconscious drive to re-establish consciousness.

BACKGROUND: Microsleeps are brief instances of sleep, causing complete lapses in responsiveness and partial or total extended closure of both eyes. Microsleeps can have devastating consequences, particularly in the transportation sector. STUDY OBJECTIVES: Questions remain regarding the neural signature and underlying mechanisms of microsleeps. This study aimed to gain a better understanding of the physiological substrates of microsleeps, which might lead to a better understanding of the phenomenon. METHODS: Data from an earlier study, involving 20 healthy non-sleep-deprived subjects, were analysed. Each session lasted 50 min and required subjects to perform a 2-D continuous visuomotor tracking task. Simultaneous data collection included tracking performance, eye-video, EEG, and fMRI. A human expert visually inspected each participant's tracking performance and eye-video recordings to identify microsleeps. Our interest was in microsleeps of ≥4-s duration, leaving us with a total of 226 events from 10 subjects. The microsleep events were divided into four 2-s segments (pre, start, end, and post) (with a gap in the middle, between start and end segments, for microsleeps >4 s), then each segment was analysed relative to its prior segment by examining changes in source-reconstructed EEG power in the delta, theta, alpha, beta, and gamma bands. RESULTS: EEG power increased in the theta and alpha bands between the pre and start of microsleeps. There was also increased power in the delta, beta, and gamma bands between the start and end of microsleeps. Conversely, there was a reduction in power between the end and post of microsleeps in the delta and alpha bands. These findings support previous findings in the delta, theta, and alpha bands. However, increased power in the beta and gamma bands has not been previously reported. CONCLUSIONS: We contend that increased high-frequency activity during microsleeps reflects unconscious 'cognitive' activity aimed at re-establishing consciousness following falling asleep during an active task.

Machine Learning for Prediction of Cognitive Health in Adults Using Sociodemographic, Neighbourhood Environmental, and Lifestyle Factors.

The environment we live in, and our lifestyle within this environment, can shape our cognitive health. We investigated whether sociodemographic, neighbourhood environment, and lifestyle variables can be used to predict cognitive health status in adults. Cross-sectional data from the AusDiab3 study, an Australian cohort study of adults (34-97 years) (n = 4141) was used. Cognitive function was measured using processing speed and memory tests, which were categorized into distinct classes using latent profile analysis. Sociodemographic variables, measures of the built and natural environment estimated using geographic information system data, and physical activity and sedentary behaviours were used as predictors. Machine learning was performed using gradient boosting machine, support vector machine, artificial neural network, and linear models. Sociodemographic variables predicted processing speed (r2 = 0.43) and memory (r2 = 0.20) with good accuracy. Lifestyle factors also accurately predicted processing speed (r2 = 0.29) but weakly predicted memory (r2 = 0.10). Neighbourhood and built environment factors were weak predictors of cognitive function. Sociodemographic (AUC = 0.84) and lifestyle (AUC = 0.78) factors also accurately classified cognitive classes. Sociodemographic and lifestyle variables can predict cognitive function in adults. Machine learning tools are useful for population-level assessment of cognitive health status via readily available and easy-to-collect data.

Network diffusion model predicts neurodegeneration in limb-onset Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Emerging evidences suggest that the trans-neural propagation of phosphorylated 43-kDa transactive response DNA-binding protein (pTDP-43) contributes to neurodegeneration in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). We investigated whether Network Diffusion Model (NDM), a biophysical model of spread of pathology via the brain connectome, could capture the severity and progression of neurodegeneration (atrophy) in ALS. METHODS: We measured degeneration in limb-onset ALS patients (n = 14 at baseline, 12 at 6-months, and 9 at 12 months) and controls (n = 12 at baseline) using FreeSurfer analysis on the structural T1-weighted Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data. The NDM was simulated on the canonical structural connectome from the IIT Human Brain Atlas. To determine whether NDM could predict the atrophy pattern in ALS, the accumulation of pathology modelled by NDM was correlated against atrophy measured using MRI. In order to investigate whether network spread on the brain connectome derived from healthy individuals were significant findings, we compared our findings against network spread simulated on random networks. RESULTS: The cross-sectional analyses revealed that the network diffusion seeded from the inferior frontal gyrus (pars triangularis and pars orbitalis) significantly predicts the atrophy pattern in ALS compared to controls. Whereas, atrophy over time with-in the ALS group was best predicted by seeding the network diffusion process from the inferior temporal gyrus at 6-month and caudal middle frontal gyrus at 12-month. Network spread simulated on the random networks showed that the findings using healthy brain connectomes are significantly different from null models. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest the involvement of extra-motor regions in seeding the spread of pathology in ALS. Importantly, NDM was able to recapitulate the dynamics of pathological progression in ALS. Understanding the spatial shifts in the seeds of degeneration over time can potentially inform further research in the design of disease modifying therapeutic interventions in ALS.

Investigating the neural signature of microsleeps using EEG.

A microsleep (MS) is a complete lapse of responsiveness due to an episode of brief sleep (≲ 15 s) with eyes partially or completely closed. MSs are highly correlated with the risk of car accidents, severe injuries, and death. To investigate EEG changes during MSs, we used a 2D continuous visuomotor tracking (CVT) task and eye-video to identify MSs in 20 subjects performing the 50-min task. Following pre-processing, FFT spectral analysis was used to calculate the activity in the EEG delta, theta, alpha, beta, and gamma bands, followed by eLORETA for source reconstruction. A group statistical analysis was performed to compare the change in activity over EEG bands of an MS to its baseline. After correction for multiple comparisons, we found maximum increases in delta, theta, and alpha activities over the frontal lobe, and beta over the parietal and occipital lobes. There were no significant changes in the gamma band, and no significant decreases in any band. Our results are in agreement with previous studies which reported increased alpha activity in MSs. However, this is the first study to have reported increased beta activity during MSs, which, due to the usual association of beta activity with wakefulness, was unexpected.

Short-term and Long-term Rates of Postacute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Systematic Review.

Importance: Short-term and long-term persistent postacute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) have not been systematically evaluated. The incidence and evolution of PASC are dependent on time from infection, organ systems and tissue affected, vaccination status, variant of the virus, and geographic region. Objective: To estimate organ system-specific frequency and evolution of PASC. Evidence Review: PubMed (MEDLINE), Scopus, the World Health Organization Global Literature on Coronavirus Disease, and CoronaCentral databases were searched from December 2019 through March 2021. A total of 2100 studies were identified from databases and through cited references. Studies providing data on PASC in children and adults were included. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines for abstracting data were followed and performed independently by 2 reviewers. Quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for cohort studies. The main outcome was frequency of PASC diagnosed by (1) laboratory investigation, (2) radiologic pathology, and (3) clinical signs and symptoms. PASC were classified by organ system, ie, neurologic; cardiovascular; respiratory; digestive; dermatologic; and ear, nose, and throat as well as mental health, constitutional symptoms, and functional mobility. Findings: From a total of 2100 studies identified, 57 studies with 250 351 survivors of COVID-19 met inclusion criteria. The mean (SD) age of survivors was 54.4 (8.9) years, 140 196 (56%) were male, and 197 777 (79%) were hospitalized during acute COVID-19. High-income countries contributed 45 studies (79%). The median (IQR) proportion of COVID-19 survivors experiencing at least 1 PASC was 54.0% (45.0%-69.0%; 13 studies) at 1 month (short-term), 55.0% (34.8%-65.5%; 38 studies) at 2 to 5 months (intermediate-term), and 54.0% (31.0%-67.0%; 9 studies) at 6 or more months (long-term). Most prevalent pulmonary sequelae, neurologic disorders, mental health disorders, functional mobility impairments, and general and constitutional symptoms were chest imaging abnormality (median [IQR], 62.2% [45.8%-76.5%]), difficulty concentrating (median [IQR], 23.8% [20.4%-25.9%]), generalized anxiety disorder (median [IQR], 29.6% [14.0%-44.0%]), general functional impairments (median [IQR], 44.0% [23.4%-62.6%]), and fatigue or muscle weakness (median [IQR], 37.5% [25.4%-54.5%]), respectively. Other frequently reported symptoms included cardiac, dermatologic, digestive, and ear, nose, and throat disorders. Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review, more than half of COVID-19 survivors experienced PASC 6 months after recovery. The most common PASC involved functional mobility impairments, pulmonary abnormalities, and mental health disorders. These long-term PASC effects occur on a scale that could overwhelm existing health care capacity, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.