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2.
World Neurosurg X ; 23: 100355, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38516024

ABSTRACT

Purpose: The study aims to evaluate the role of substance P in cerebral edema and outcomes associated with acute TBI. Method: Patients with acute TBI who presented within 6 h and a CT scan showed predominantly cerebral edema were included in the study. Substance P level was assessed from a serum sample collected within 6 h of trauma. We also evaluated the brain-specific gravity using the Brain View software. Result: A total of 160 (128 male) patients were recruited. The median serum substance P concentration was 167.89 (IQR: 101.09-238.2). Substance P concentration was high in the early hours after trauma (p = 0.001). The median specific gravity of the entire brain was 1.04. Patients with a low Glasgow coma scale (GCS) at admission had a high concentration of the substance P. In the univariate analysis, low GCS, elevated serum concentrations of substance P level, high Rotterdam grade, high cerebral edema grade, a high international normalized ratio value, and high blood sugar levels were associated with poor outcomes at six months. In logistic regression analysis, low GCS at admission, high cerebral edema grade, and elevated blood sugar level were strongly associated with poor outcomes at six months. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.884 (0.826-0.941). Conclusion: Serum substance P is strongly associated with the severity of cerebral edema after TBI. However, brain-specific gravity does not directly correlate with posttraumatic cerebral edema severity. Serum substance P does not influence the clinical outcome of traumatic brain injury.

3.
Ann Phys Rehabil Med ; 67(2): 101783, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38147704

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) is a major cause of acquired disability and can cause devastating and progressive post-traumatic encephalopathy. TBI is a dynamic condition that continues to evolve over time. A better understanding of the pathophysiology of these late lesions is important for the development of new therapeutic strategies. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective was to compare the ability of fluid-attenuated reversion recovery (FLAIR) and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers to identify participants with a Glasgow outcome scale extended (GOS-E) score of 7-8, up to 10 years after their original TBI. The secondary objective was to study the brain regionalization of DTI markers. Finally, we analyzed the evolution of late-developing brain lesions using repeated MRI images, also taken up to 10 years after the TBI. METHODS: In this retrospective study, participants were included from a cohort of people hospitalized following a severe TBI. Following their discharge, they were followed-up and clinically assessed, including a DTI-MRI scan, between 2012 and 2016. We performed a cross-sectional analysis on 97 participants at a median (IQR) of 5 years (3-6) post-TBI, and a further post-TBI longitudinal analysis over 10 years on a subpopulation (n = 17) of the cohort. RESULTS: Although the area under the curve (AUC) of FLAIR, fractional anisotropy (FA), and mean diffusivity (MD) were not significantly different, only the AUC of FA was statistically greater than 0.5. In addition, only the FA was correlated with clinical outcomes as assessed by GOS-E score (P<10-4). On the cross-sectional analysis, DTI markers allowed study post-TBI white matter lesions by region. In the longitudinal subpopulation analysis, the observed number of brain lesions increased for the first 5 years post-TBI, before stabilizing over the next 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: This study has shown for the first time that post-TBI lesions can present in a two-phase evolution. These results must be confirmed in larger studies. French Data Protection Agency (Commission nationale de l'informatique et des libertés; CNIL) study registration no: 1934708v0.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Diffusion Tensor Imaging , Humans , Diffusion Tensor Imaging/methods , Retrospective Studies , Follow-Up Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/pathology , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain/pathology
5.
Neurocrit Care ; 39(3): 611-617, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37552410

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over the past 5 decades, advances in neuroimaging have yielded insights into the pathophysiologic mechanisms that cause disorders of consciousness (DoC) in patients with severe brain injuries. Structural, functional, metabolic, and perfusion imaging studies have revealed specific neuroanatomic regions, such as the brainstem tegmentum, thalamus, posterior cingulate cortex, medial prefrontal cortex, and occipital cortex, where lesions correlate with the current or future state of consciousness. Advanced imaging modalities, such as diffusion tensor imaging, resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI), and task-based fMRI, have been used to improve the accuracy of diagnosis and long-term prognosis, culminating in the endorsement of fMRI for the clinical evaluation of patients with DoC in the 2018 US (task-based fMRI) and 2020 European (task-based and resting-state fMRI) guidelines. As diverse neuroimaging techniques are increasingly used for patients with DoC in research and clinical settings, the need for a standardized approach to reporting results is clear. The success of future multicenter collaborations and international trials fundamentally depends on the implementation of a shared nomenclature and infrastructure. METHODS: To address this need, the Neurocritical Care Society's Curing Coma Campaign convened an international panel of DoC neuroimaging experts to propose common data elements (CDEs) for data collection and reporting in this field. RESULTS: We report the recommendations of this CDE development panel and disseminate CDEs to be used in neuroimaging studies of patients with DoC. CONCLUSIONS: These CDEs will support progress in the field of DoC neuroimaging and facilitate international collaboration.


Subject(s)
Consciousness , Diffusion Tensor Imaging , Humans , Consciousness/physiology , Diffusion Tensor Imaging/adverse effects , Consciousness Disorders/etiology , Common Data Elements , Neuroimaging/methods , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods
6.
Acta Neurochir (Wien) ; 165(3): 717-725, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36808006

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Refractory intracranial hypertension (rICH) is a severe complication among patients with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). Medical treatment may be insufficient, and in some cases, the only viable treatment option is decompressive hemicraniectomy. The assessment of a corticosteroid therapy against vasogenic edema secondary to severe brain injuries seems interesting to prevent this surgery in sTBI patients with rICH caused by contusional areas. METHODS: This is a monocentric retrospective observational study including all consecutive sTBI patients with contusion injuries and a rICH requiring cerebrospinal fluid drainage with external ventricular drainage between November 2013 and January 2018. Patient inclusion criterium was a therapeutic index load (TIL; an indirect measure of TBI severity) > 7. Intracranial pressure (ICP) and TIL were assessed before and 48 h after corticosteroid therapy (CTC). Then, we divided the population into two groups according to the evolution of the TIL: responders and non-responders to corticosteroid therapy. RESULTS: During the study period, 512 patients were hospitalized for sTBI, and among them, 44 (8.6%) with rICH were included. They received 240 mg per day [120 mg, 240 mg] of Solu-Medrol for 2 days [1; 3], 3 days after the sTBI. The average ICP in patients with rICH before the CTC bolus was 21 mmHg [19; 23]. After the CTC bolus, the ICP fell significantly to less than 15 mmHg (p < 0.0001) for at least 7 days. The TIL decreased significantly the day after the CTC bolus and until day 2. Among these 44 patients, 68% were included in the responder group (n = 30). DISCUSSION: Short and systemic corticosteroid therapy in patients with refractory intracranial hypertension secondary to severe traumatic brain injury seems to be a potentially useful and efficient treatment for lowering intracranial pressure and decreasing the need for more invasive surgeries.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Brain Injuries , Contusions , Intracranial Hypertension , Humans , Feedback , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Intracranial Hypertension/etiology , Brain Injuries/complications , Contusions/complications , Intracranial Pressure
7.
Neurocrit Care ; 38(2): 365-377, 2023 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36109449

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Disorders of consciousness due to severe hypoglycemia are rare but challenging to treat. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to describe our multimodal neurological assessment of patients with hypoglycemic encephalopathy hospitalized in the intensive care unit and their neurological outcomes. METHODS: Consecutive patients with disorders of consciousness related to hypoglycemia admitted for neuroprognostication from 2010 to 2020 were included. Multimodal neurological assessment included electroencephalography, somatosensory and cognitive event-related potentials, and morphological and quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with quantification of fractional anisotropy. Neurological outcomes at 28 days, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years after hypoglycemia were retrieved. RESULTS: Twenty patients were included. After 2 years, 75% of patients had died, 5% remained in a permanent vegetative state, 10% were in a minimally conscious state, and 10% were conscious but with severe disabilities (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended scores 3 and 4). All patients showed pathologic electroencephalography findings with heterogenous patterns. Morphological brain MRI revealed abnormalities in 95% of patients, with various localizations including cortical atrophy in 65% of patients. When performed, quantitative MRI showed decreased fractional anisotropy affecting widespread white matter tracts in all patients. CONCLUSIONS: The overall prognosis of patients with severe hypoglycemic encephalopathy was poor, with only a small fraction of patients who slowly improved after intensive care unit discharge. Of note, patients who did not improve during the first 6 months did not recover consciousness. This study suggests that a multimodal approach capitalizing on advanced brain imaging and bedside electrophysiology techniques could improve diagnostic and prognostic performance in severe hypoglycemic encephalopathy.


Subject(s)
Consciousness Disorders , Hypoglycemia , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Persistent Vegetative State , Intensive Care Units
9.
Neurocrit Care ; 37(1): 326-350, 2022 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35534661

ABSTRACT

This proceedings article presents actionable research targets on the basis of the presentations and discussions at the 2nd Curing Coma National Institutes of Health (NIH) symposium held from May 3 to May 5, 2021. Here, we summarize the background, research priorities, panel discussions, and deliverables discussed during the symposium across six major domains related to disorders of consciousness. The six domains include (1) Biology of Coma, (2) Coma Database, (3) Neuroprognostication, (4) Care of Comatose Patients, (5) Early Clinical Trials, and (6) Long-term Recovery. Following the 1st Curing Coma NIH virtual symposium held on September 9 to September 10, 2020, six workgroups, each consisting of field experts in respective domains, were formed and tasked with identifying gaps and developing key priorities and deliverables to advance the mission of the Curing Coma Campaign. The highly interactive and inspiring presentations and panel discussions during the 3-day virtual NIH symposium identified several action items for the Curing Coma Campaign mission, which we summarize in this article.


Subject(s)
Coma , Consciousness , Coma/therapy , Consciousness Disorders/diagnosis , Consciousness Disorders/therapy , Humans , National Institutes of Health (U.S.) , United States
10.
Surgery ; 172(3): 913-918, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35589436

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pheochromocytomas and paragangliomas can induce severe cardiovascular manifestations such as Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy. What the perioperative outcomes are of patients presenting with pheochromocytomas/paragangliomas preceded by Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy remains an unresolved question. METHODS: From 2006 to 2019, all patients who underwent surgery for pheochromocytomas/paragangliomas preceded by Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy were included from 3 high-volume centers, with specific attention to perioperative hemodynamic instability and postoperative outcomes. RESULTS: Overall, 37 patients were included, with a median age of 45 years. Patients were operated on 2 months (1-4) after a Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy episode; 33 (89%) had a laparoscopic approach. All those who underwent surgery presented in a hemodynamically stable situation. All except 1 of the pheochromocytomas/paragangliomas patients had at least 1 antihypertensive treatment at the time of surgery. The median preoperative systolic blood pressure in the Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy group was 120 mm Hg (95-132). Overall, 27/34 (79%) of patients required vasoactive drugs during surgery with nicardipine (n = 22), esmolol (n = 12), and/or norepinephrine (n = 8). No patient presented a catecholamine-induced life-threatening complication such as hypertensive crisis, cardiac arrhythmias, pulmonary edema, cardiac ischemia, or Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy in the perioperative period. Severe morbi-mortality was nil. The systematic review identified 5 studies including 38 pheochromocytomas/paragangliomas patients with at least 1 episode of acute heart failure considered as Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy before surgery, of which 28 patients had delayed surgery with 1 postoperative death. CONCLUSION: Hemodynamically stabilized patients with pheochromocytomas/paragangliomas preceded by Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy can be safely scheduled for an elective pheochromocytomas/paragangliomas surgery, with similar intra and postoperative outcomes as those without Takotsubo-like cardiomyopathy.


Subject(s)
Adrenal Gland Neoplasms , Cardiomyopathies , Paraganglioma , Pheochromocytoma , Adrenal Gland Neoplasms/complications , Adrenal Gland Neoplasms/surgery , Cardiomyopathies/complications , Humans , Medical History Taking , Middle Aged , Paraganglioma/complications , Paraganglioma/surgery , Pheochromocytoma/surgery
11.
Neurophysiol Clin ; 52(3): 223-231, 2022 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35490145

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Several electroencephalographic (EEG) features -mainly the reactivity of background activity-have been suggested as reliable predictors of outcome for patients with post-anoxic coma (PAC). However, EEG in PAC often contains abundant EEG paroxysms (EP) that may hinder the detection of background EEG activity. We aimed to identify the features, among the different paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal EEG patterns, that may predict the outcome of patients with PAC. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical and EEG characteristics of 67 patients with PAC and selected those with abundant EP. We classified EP according to several features and assessed their prognostic value for survival at 15 days. We calculated a global regularity score, as the sum of the value (1 if regular, 0 if not) attributed to each of 4 features of EP (duration, morphology, amplitude, and frequency). RESULTS: The 35 patient-group with abundant EP showed a higher mortality than the group without abundant EP. Among 12 features of EP, four regularity features (regularity of EP duration, morphology, amplitude, and global regularity score) had a poor prognostic value. A global regularity score ≥ 3 showed a positive predictive value of 100 % for a poor outcome and a negative predictive value of 54 %, with good interrater consistency (Cohen's kappa = .63). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of EP and their regularity features in PAC patients are strongly associated with poor outcome. We propose a global regularity score, easily derived from visual EEG inspection, that may be a reliable prognostic tool for these patients. Prospective and larger studies are needed to confirm these findings.


Subject(s)
Coma , Electroencephalography , Coma/diagnosis , Coma/etiology , Humans , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Retrospective Studies
12.
Clin Res Hepatol Gastroenterol ; 46(7): 101899, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35257960

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in hepatic surgery. In hepatic surgery, relative hypovolemia may help to limit blood loss, but the consequences of restrictive fluid intake are unknown. The goal of this study was to determine the influence of intraoperative fluid intake on the incidence of AKI and its consequences. METHODS: Data from 397 consecutive patients who underwent liver resection were prospectively recorded and retrospectively analyszed. We compared the incidence of postoperative acute kidney failure in patients given restrictive (≤ 5 mL/kg/h) versus liberal (> 5 mL/kg/h) fluid therapy. We calculated a 1:1 match propensity score using logistic regression to estimate the likelihood of patients receiving restrictive or liberal intraoperative fluid intakes. The association between the intraoperative fluid intake strategy and occurrence of postoperative AKI were tested using a Cox frailty model on the database of matched patients. RESULTS: Postoperative AKI was diagnosed in 133 of the 397 patients. Fluid intake strategy was restrictive for 121 patients and liberal for 276 patients. After propensity score matching to balance confounding factors, the liberal strategy was associated with a significantly lower risk for postoperative AKI compared to the restrictive strategy (Hazard Ratio 0.40 [0.29; 0.56], P<0.001). Patients with postoperative AKI had longer hospital stays and higher mortality. There were no cases of further blood loss in the liberal fluid intake group. CONCLUSIONS: A restrictive fluid intake strategy is a risk factor for developing postoperative AKI, with serious consequences, without reducing blood loss in liver surgery.


Subject(s)
Acute Kidney Injury , Postoperative Complications , Acute Kidney Injury/epidemiology , Acute Kidney Injury/etiology , Humans , Kidney/physiology , Liver , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Propensity Score , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
13.
J Comput Assist Tomogr ; 46(2): 236-243, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35297580

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess if quantitative diffusion magnetic resonance imaging analysis would improve prognostication of individual patients with severe traumatic brain injury. METHODS: We analyzed images of 30 healthy controls to extract normal fractional anisotropy ranges along 18 white-matter tracts. Then, we analyzed images of 33 patients, compared their fractional anisotropy values with normal ranges extracted from controls, and computed severity of injury to white-matter tracts. We also asked 2 neuroradiologists to rate severity of injury to different brain regions on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery and susceptibility-weighted imaging. Finally, we built 3 models: (1) fed with neuroradiologists' ratings, (2) fed with white-matter injury measures, and (3) fed with both input types. RESULTS: The 3 models respectively predicted survival at 1 year with accuracies of 70%, 73%, and 88%. The accuracy with both input types was significantly better (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Quantifying severity of injury to white-matter tracts complements qualitative imaging findings and improves outcome prediction in severe traumatic brain injury.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Brain Injuries , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain/pathology , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods
15.
Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med ; 41(2): 101029, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35121185

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: In 2015, France authorised controlled donation after circulatory death (cDCD) according to a nationally approved protocol. The aim of this study is to provide an overview from the perspective of critical care specialists of cDCD. The primary objective is to assess how the organ donation procedure affects the withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies (WLST) process. The secondary objective is to assess the impact of cDCD donors' diagnoses on the whole process. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This 2015-2019 prospective observational multicentre study evaluated the WLST process in all potential cDCD donors identified nationwide, comparing 2 different sets of subgroups: 1- those whose WLST began after organ donation was ruled out vs. while it was still under consideration; 2- those with a main diagnosis of post-anoxic brain injury (PABI) vs. primary brain injury (PBI) at the time of the WLST decision. RESULTS: The study analysed 908 potential cDCD donors. Organ donation remained under consideration at WLST initiation for 54.5% of them with longer intervals between their WLST decision and its initiation (2 [1-4] vs. 1 [1-2] days, P < 0.01). Overall, 60% had post-anoxic brain injury. Time from ICU admission to WLST decision was longer for primary brain injury donors (10 [4-21] vs. 6 [4-9] days, P < 0.01). Median time to death (agonal phase) was 15 [15-20] min. CONCLUSIONS: French cDCD donors are mostly related to post-anoxic brain injury. The organ donation process does not accelerate WLST decision but increases the interval between the WLST decision and its initiation.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries , Tissue and Organ Procurement , Critical Pathways , France , Humans , Prospective Studies , Tissue Donors
17.
Ann Phys Rehabil Med ; 65(6): 101599, 2022 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34718191

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) lesions are known to evolve over time, but the duration and consequences of cerebral remodelling are unclear. Degenerative mechanisms occurring in the chronic phase after TBI could constitute "tertiary" lesions related to the neurological outcome. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this prospective study of severe TBI was to longitudinally evaluate the volume of white and grey matter structures and white matter integrity with 2 time-point multimodal MRI. METHODS: Longitudinal MRI follow-up was obtained for 11 healthy controls (HCs) and 22 individuals with TBI (mean [SD] 60 [15] months after injury) along with neuropsychological assessments. TBI individuals were classified in the "favourable" recovery group (Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended [GOSE] 6-8) and "unfavourable" recovery group (GOSE 3-5) at 5 years. Variation in brain volumes (3D T1-weighted image) and white matter integrity (diffusion tensor imaging [DTI]) were quantitatively assessed over time and used to predict neurological outcome. RESULTS: TBI individuals showed a marked decrease in volumes of whole white matter (median -11.4% [interquartile range -5.8; -14.6]; p < 0.001) and deep grey nuclear structures (-17.1% [-10.6; -20.5]; p < 0.001). HCs did not show any significant change over the same time period. Median volumetric loss in several brain regions was higher with GOSE 3-5 than 6-8. These lesions were associated with lower fractional anisotropy and higher mean diffusivity at baseline. Volumetric variations were positively correlated with normalized fractional anisotropy and negatively with normalized mean diffusivity at baseline and follow-up. A computed predictive model with baseline DTI showed good accuracy to predict neurological outcome (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.82 [95% confidence interval 0.81-0.83]) CONCLUSIONS: We characterised the striking atrophy of deep brain structures after severe TBI. DTI imaging in the subacute phase can predict the occurrence and localization of these tertiary lesions as well as long-term neurological outcome. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00577954. Registered on October 2006.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , Diffusion Tensor Imaging , Humans , Brain/pathology , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/complications , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/pathology , Follow-Up Studies , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Prospective Studies , Case-Control Studies
18.
Intensive Care Med ; 48(2): 201-212, 2022 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34904191

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: A reliable tool for outcome prognostication in severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) would improve intensive care unit (ICU) decision-making process by providing objective information to caregivers and family. This study aimed at designing a new classification score based on magnetic resonance (MR) diffusion metrics measured in the deep white matter between day 7 and day 35 after TBI to predict 1-year clinical outcome. METHODS: Two multicenter cohorts (29 centers) were used. MRI-COMA cohort (NCT00577954) was split into MRI-COMA-Train (50 patients enrolled between 2006 and mid-2014) and MRI-COMA-Test (140 patients followed up in clinical routine from 2014) sub-cohorts. These latter patients were pooled with 56 ICU patients (enrolled from 2014 to 2020) from CENTER-TBI cohort (NCT02210221). Patients were dichotomised depending on their 1-year Glasgow outcome scale extended (GOSE) score: GOSE 1-3, unfavorable outcome (UFO); GOSE 4-8, favorable outcome (FO). A support vector classifier incorporating fractional anisotropy and mean diffusivity measured in deep white matter, and age at the time of injury was developed to predict whether the patients would be either UFO or FO. RESULTS: The model achieved an area under the ROC curve of 0.93 on MRI-COMA-Train training dataset, and 49% sensitivity for 96.8% specificity in predicting UFO and 58.5% sensitivity for 97.1% specificity in predicting FO on the pooled MRI-COMA-Test and CENTER-TBI validation datasets. CONCLUSION: The model successfully identified, with a specificity compatible with a personalized decision-making process in ICU, one in two patients who had an unfavorable outcome at 1 year after the injury, and two-thirds of the patients who experienced a favorable outcome.


Subject(s)
Brain Injuries, Traumatic , White Matter , Benchmarking , Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnostic imaging , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Prognosis , White Matter/diagnostic imaging
19.
Ann Intensive Care ; 11(1): 170, 2021 Dec 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34897559

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Predicting outcomes of critically ill intensive care unit (ICU) patients with coronavirus-19 disease (COVID-19) is a major challenge to avoid futile, and prolonged ICU stays. METHODS: The objective was to develop predictive survival models for patients with COVID-19 after 1-to-2 weeks in ICU. Based on the COVID-ICU cohort, which prospectively collected characteristics, management, and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19. Machine learning was used to develop dynamic, clinically useful models able to predict 90-day mortality using ICU data collected on day (D) 1, D7 or D14. RESULTS: Survival of Severely Ill COVID (SOSIC)-1, SOSIC-7, and SOSIC-14 scores were constructed with 4244, 2877, and 1349 patients, respectively, randomly assigned to development or test datasets. The three models selected 15 ICU-entry variables recorded on D1, D7, or D14. Cardiovascular, renal, and pulmonary functions on prediction D7 or D14 were among the most heavily weighted inputs for both models. For the test dataset, SOSIC-7's area under the ROC curve was slightly higher (0.80 [0.74-0.86]) than those for SOSIC-1 (0.76 [0.71-0.81]) and SOSIC-14 (0.76 [0.68-0.83]). Similarly, SOSIC-1 and SOSIC-7 had excellent calibration curves, with similar Brier scores for the three models. CONCLUSION: The SOSIC scores showed that entering 15 to 27 baseline and dynamic clinical parameters into an automatable XGBoost algorithm can potentially accurately predict the likely 90-day mortality post-ICU admission (sosic.shinyapps.io/shiny). Although external SOSIC-score validation is still needed, it is an additional tool to strengthen decisions about life-sustaining treatments and informing family members of likely prognosis.

20.
Cell Rep ; 36(11): 109692, 2021 09 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34525363

ABSTRACT

Heart rate has natural fluctuations that are typically ascribed to autonomic function. Recent evidence suggests that conscious processing can affect the timing of the heartbeat. We hypothesized that heart rate is modulated by conscious processing and therefore dependent on attentional focus. To test this, we leverage the observation that neural processes synchronize between subjects by presenting an identical narrative stimulus. As predicted, we find significant inter-subject correlation of heart rate (ISC-HR) when subjects are presented with an auditory or audiovisual narrative. Consistent with our hypothesis, we find that ISC-HR is reduced when subjects are distracted from the narrative, and higher ISC-HR predicts better recall of the narrative. Finally, patients with disorders of consciousness have lower ISC-HR, as compared to healthy individuals. We conclude that heart rate fluctuations are partially driven by conscious processing, depend on attentional state, and may represent a simple metric to assess conscious state in unresponsive patients.


Subject(s)
Consciousness/physiology , Heart Rate/physiology , Acoustic Stimulation , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Attention , Bayes Theorem , Brain Diseases/physiopathology , Cluster Analysis , Electrocardiography , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Photic Stimulation , Respiratory Rate , Young Adult
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