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1.
Environ Health ; 22(1): 31, 2023 03 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36991377

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The adverse effects of air pollution on human health include many diseases and health conditions associated with mortality, morbidity and disability. One example of these outcomes that can be translated into economic costs is the number of days of restricted activity. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of outdoor exposure to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 10 and 2.5 µm (PM10, PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3), on restricted activity days. METHODS: Observational epidemiological studies with different study designs were included, and pooled relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated for an increase of 10 µg/m3 of the pollutant of interest. Random-effects models were chosen because of the environmental differences between the studies. Heterogeneity was estimated using prediction intervals (PI) and I-Squared (I2) values, while risk of bias was assessed using a tool developed by the World Health Organization specifically designed for air pollution studies, and based on different domains. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed where possible. The protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022339607). RESULTS: We included 18 articles in the quantitative analysis. Associations between pollutants and restricted activity days in time-series studies of short-term exposures, measured as work-loss days, school-loss days, or both were significant for PM10 (RR: 1.0191; 95%CI: 1.0058-1.0326; 80%PI: 0.9979-1.0408; I2: 71%) and PM2.5 (RR: 1.0166; 95%CI: 1.0050-1.0283; 80%PI: 0.9944-1.0397; I2: 99%), but not for NO2 or O3. Some degree of heterogeneity between studies was observed, but sensitivity analysis showed no differences in the direction of the pooled relative risks when studies with a high risk of bias were excluded. Cross-sectional studies also showed significant associations for PM2.5 and restricted activity days. We could not perform the analysis for long-term exposures because only two studies analysed this type of association. CONCLUSION: Restricted activity days and related outcomes were associated with some of the pollutants under evaluation, as shown in studies with different designs. In some cases, we were able to calculate pooled relative risks that can be used for quantitative modelling.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Environmental Pollutants , Ozone , Humans , Air Pollutants/adverse effects , Air Pollutants/analysis , Nitrogen Dioxide/adverse effects , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Cross-Sectional Studies , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Particulate Matter/adverse effects , Particulate Matter/analysis , Ozone/adverse effects , Ozone/analysis , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Observational Studies as Topic
2.
Environ Int ; 150: 106434, 2021 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33601225

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Many studies have assessed the harmful effects of ambient air pollution on human mortality, but the evidence needs further exploration, analysis, and refinement, given the large number of studies that have been published in recent years. The objective of this study was to evaluate all the available evidence of the effect of short-term exposure to ambient sulphur dioxide (SO2) on all-cause and respiratory mortality. METHODS: Articles reporting observational epidemiological studies were included, comprising time-series and case-crossover designs. A broad search and wide inclusion criteria were considered, encompassing international and regional databases, with no geographical or language restrictions. A random effect meta-analysis was conducted, and pooled relative risk for an increment of 10 µg/m3 in SO2 concentrations were calculated for each outcome. We analysed the risk of bias (RoB) in individual studies for specific domains using a new domain-based RoB assessment tool, and the certainty of evidence across studies with an adaptation of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach. The certainty of evidence was judged separately for each exposure-outcome combination. A number of subgroup and sensitivity analyses were carried out, as well as assessments of heterogeneity and potential publication bias. The protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019120738). RESULTS: Our search retrieved 1,128 articles, from which 67 were included in quantitative analysis. The RoB was low or moderate in the majority of articles and domains. An increment of 10 µg/m3 in SO2 (24-hour average) was associated with all-cause mortality (RR: 1.0059; 95% CI: 1.0046-1.0071; p-value: <0.01), and respiratory mortality (RR: 1.0067; 95% CI: 1.0025-1.0109; p-value: <0.01), while the same increment in SO2 (1-hour max.) was associated with respiratory mortality (RR:1.0052; 95% CI: 1.0013-1.0091; p-value: 0.03). Similarly, the association was positive but non-significant for SO2 (1-hour max.) and all-cause mortality (RR: 1.0016; 95% CI: 0.9930-1.0102; p-value: 0.60). These associations were still significant after the adjustment for particulate matter, but not for other pollutants, according to the results from 13 articles that evaluated co-pollutant models. In general, linear concentration-response functions with no thresholds were found for the two outcomes, although this was only evaluated in a small number of studies. We found signs of heterogeneity for SO2 (24-hour average) - respiratory mortality and SO2 (1-hour max.) - all-cause mortality, and funnel plot asymmetry for SO2 (24-hour average) - all-cause mortality. The certainty of evidence was high in two combinations, i.e. SO2 (24-hour average) - all-cause mortality and SO2 (1-hour max.) - respiratory mortality, moderate in one combination, i.e. SO2 (24-hour average) - respiratory mortality, and low in the remaining one combination. CONCLUSIONS: Positive associations were found between short-term exposure to ambient SO2 and all-cause and respiratory mortality. These associations were robust against several sensitivity analyses, and were judged to be of moderate or high certainty in three of the four exposure-outcome combinations.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Respiratory Tract Diseases , Air Pollutants/analysis , Air Pollutants/toxicity , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Humans , Particulate Matter/analysis , Respiratory Tract Diseases/chemically induced , Respiratory Tract Diseases/mortality , Sulfur Dioxide/toxicity
3.
Environ Int ; 142: 105876, 2020 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32590284

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Air pollution is a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Short-term exposure (from one hour to days) to selected air pollutants has been associated with human mortality. This systematic review was conducted to analyse the evidence on the effects of short-term exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters less or equal than 10 and 2.5 µm (PM10, PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3), on all-cause mortality, and PM10 and PM2.5 on cardiovascular, respiratory, and cerebrovascular mortality. METHODS: We included studies on human populations exposed to outdoor air pollution from any source, excluding occupational exposures. Relative risks (RRs) per 10 µg/m3 increase in air pollutants concentrations were used as the effect estimates. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed using 80% prediction intervals. Risk of bias (RoB) in individual studies was analysed using a new domain-based assessment tool, developed by a working group convened by the World Health Organization and designed specifically to evaluate RoB within eligible air pollution studies included in systematic reviews. We conducted subgroup and sensitivity analyses by age, sex, continent, study design, single or multicity studies, time lag, and RoB. The certainty of evidence was assessed for each exposure-outcome combination. The protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42018087749). RESULTS: We included 196 articles in quantitative analysis. All combinations of pollutants and all-cause and cause-specific mortality were positively associated in the main analysis, and in a wide range of sensitivity analyses. The only exception was NO2, but when considering a 1-hour maximum exposure. We found positive associations between pollutants and all-cause mortality for PM10 (RR: 1.0041; 95% CI: 1.0034-1.0049), PM2.5 (RR: 1.0065; 95% CI: 1.0044-1.0086), NO2 (24-hour average) (RR: 1.0072; 95% CI: 1.0059-1.0085), and O3 (RR: 1.0043; 95% CI: 1.0034-1.0052). PM10 and PM2.5 were also positively associated with cardiovascular, respiratory, and cerebrovascular mortality. We found some degree of heterogeneity between studies in three exposure-outcome combinations, and this heterogeneity could not be explained after subgroup analysis. RoB was low or moderate in the majority of articles. The certainty of evidence was judged as high in 10 out of 11 combinations, and moderate in one combination. CONCLUSIONS: This study found evidence of a positive association between short-term exposure to PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3 and all-cause mortality, and between PM10 and PM2.5 and cardiovascular, respiratory and cerebrovascular mortality. These results were robust through several sensitivity analyses. In general, the level of evidence was high, meaning that we can be confident in the associations found in this study.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Ozone , Air Pollutants/analysis , Air Pollutants/toxicity , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Air Pollution/analysis , Cause of Death , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Environmental Exposure/analysis , Humans , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Nitrogen Dioxide/toxicity , Ozone/analysis , Ozone/toxicity , Particulate Matter/analysis , Particulate Matter/toxicity , Time Factors
4.
J Hazard Mater ; 373: 687-697, 2019 07 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30954871

ABSTRACT

This article describes the adsorption of zinc ions from synthetic solutions using residual pine sawdust as an adsorbent and, subsequently, the use of clay ceramic pieces and contaminated biomass as metal immobilizers. The process of adsorption was carried out with a synthetic solution of ZnCl2 in contact with sawdust for a fixed time of 24 h. The mixture was stirred continually. The mixture was then filtered, and the metal ions not adsorbed by the biomass and present in the liquid phase were quantified. The physicochemical characteristics of the sawdust were determined by thermogravimetric and differential thermal analysis, infrared Fourier transform spectroscopy, fluorescence and X-ray diffraction, among others. The adsorption kinetics shows that the equilibrium was reached at 24 h. The most efficient ratio of the amount of biomass and the concentration of Zn(II) was 10 g/L of sawdust and 6.5 × 104 mg/L of metal, which was used to analyse the capacity of metal immobilization in the designed bricks. The values obtained for the apparent porosity, the loss of weight by ignition, the mechanical properties and the efficiency of retention, indicate that these bricks are suitable for use in civil construction.


Subject(s)
Ceramics , Wood/chemistry , Zinc/isolation & purification , Adsorption , Biomass , Construction Materials , Materials Testing , Pinus
5.
Rev Panam Salud Publica ; 41: e120, 2018 Feb 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29466517

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the potential occurrence of Zika transmission throughout Argentina by the mosquito Aedes aegypti considering the basic reproduction number (R0). METHODS: A model originally developed for dengue was adapted for Zika. R0 was estimated as a function of seven parameters, three of them were considered temperature-dependent. Seasonal Zika occurrence was evaluated in 9 locations representing different climatic suitability for the vector. Data of diary temperatures were extracted and included in the model. A threshold of R0 = 1 was fixed for Zika occurrence. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the uncertainty around the results. RESULTS: Zika transmission has the potential to occur in all studied locations at least in some moment of the year. In the northern region, transmission might be possible throughout the whole year or with an interruption in winter. The maximum R0 was estimated in 6.9, which means an average of 7 secondary cases from a primary case. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that during winter the transmission can only be excluded in the southern fringe of geographic distribution of the vector and in part of central Argentina. CONCLUSION: Zika virus has the potential to be transmitted in Argentina throughout the current geographic range of the mosquito vector. Although the transmission would be mainly seasonal, the possibility of winter transmission cannot be excluded in northern and central Argentina, meaning that there is a potential endemic maintenance of the disease.

6.
Vaccine ; 36(7): 979-985, 2018 02 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29331246

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Current recommendations about dengue vaccination by the World Health Organization depend on seroprevalence levels and serological status in populations and individuals. However, seroprevalence estimation may be difficult due to a diversity of factors. Thus, estimation through models using data from epidemiological surveillance systems could be an alternative procedure to achieve this goal. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the expected dengue seroprevalence in children of selected areas in Argentina, using a simple model based on data from passive epidemiological surveillance systems. METHODS: A Markov model using a simulated cohort of individuals from age 0 to 9 years was developed. Parameters regarding the reported annual incidence of dengue, proportion of inapparent cases, and expansion factors for outpatient and hospitalized cases were considered as transition probabilities. The proportion of immune population at 9 years of age was taken as a proxy of the expected seroprevalence, considering this age as targeted for vaccination. The model was used to evaluate the expected seroprevalence in Misiones and Salta provinces and in Buenos Aires city, three settings showing different climatic favorability for dengue. RESULTS: The estimates of the seroprevalence for the group of 9-year-old children for Misiones was 79% (95%CI:46-100%), and for Salta 22% (95%CI:14-30%), both located in northeastern and northwestern Argentina, respectively. Buenos Aires city, from central Argentina, showed a likely seroprevalence of 7% (95%CI: 3-11%). According to the deterministic sensitivity analyses, the parameter showing the highest influence on these results was the probability of inapparent cases. CONCLUSIONS: This model allowed the estimation of dengue seroprevalence in settings where this information is not available. Particularly for Misiones, the expected seroprevalence was higher than 70% in a wide range of scenarios, thus in this province a vaccination strategy directed to seropositive children of >9 years should be analyzed, including further considerations as safety, cost-effectiveness, and budget impact.


Subject(s)
Dengue/epidemiology , Public Health Surveillance , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Argentina/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Dengue/prevention & control , Female , Humans , Immunization Programs , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Markov Chains , Monte Carlo Method , Program Evaluation , Vaccination
7.
J Asthma ; 55(11): 1174-1186, 2018 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29211546

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the association between asthma prevalence and outdoor air pollution in children in Latin America and the Caribbean. DATA SOURCES: We searched studies in global and regional databases: PubMed, Scopus, LILACS and SciELO. STUDY SELECTION: Articles following a cross-sectional design, studying children from 0 to 18 years old, and comparing the prevalence of asthma in two or more areas of LAC countries with different air pollution levels were included. The exclusion criteria comprised air pollution not related to human activities. RESULTS: Database searches retrieved 384 records, while 20 studies were retained for qualitative and 16 for quantitative analysis, representing 48 442 children. We found a positive association, i.e. a higher prevalence of asthma in children living in a polluted environment, with pooled odds ratio (OR) of 1.34 (95% CI: 1.17-1.54). Heterogeneity between studies was moderate (I2: 68.39%), while the risk of bias was intermediate or high in 14 studies. In all the subgroup and sensitivity analyses, the pooled ORs were significant and higher than those found in the general analysis Conclusions: Our results showed that living in a polluted environment is significantly associated with children having asthma in LAC. Limitations of this study include the low number of studies performed in LAC countries, differences in methodologies and the risk of bias in individual studies.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution/analysis , Asthma/epidemiology , Environmental Exposure/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Age Factors , Asthma/chemically induced , Carbon Monoxide/adverse effects , Carbon Monoxide/analysis , Caribbean Region/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Female , Humans , Infant , Latin America/epidemiology , Male , Nitric Oxide/adverse effects , Nitric Oxide/analysis , Ozone/adverse effects , Ozone/analysis , Particulate Matter/adverse effects , Particulate Matter/analysis , Prevalence , Sulfur Dioxide/adverse effects , Sulfur Dioxide/analysis
8.
Article in English | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr-34437

ABSTRACT

Objective. To assess the potential occurrence of Zika transmission throughout Argentina by the mosquito Aedes aegypti considering the basic reproduction number (R0). Methods. A model originally developed for dengue was adapted for Zika. R0 was estimated as a function of seven parameters, three of them were considered temperature-dependent. Seasonal Zika occurrence was evaluated in 9 locations representing different climatic suitability for the vector. Data of diary temperatures were extracted and included in the model. A threshold of R0 = 1 was fixed for Zika occurrence. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the uncertainty around the results. Results. Zika transmission has the potential to occur in all studied locations at least in some moment of the year. In the northern region, transmission might be possible throughout the whole year or with an interruption in winter. The maximum R0 was estimated in 6.9, which means an average of 7 secondary cases from a primary case. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that during winter the transmission can only be excluded in the southern fringe of geographic distribution of the vector and in part of central Argentina. Conclusion. Zika virus has the potential to be transmitted in Argentina throughout the current geographic range of the mosquito vector. Although the transmission would be mainly seasonal, the possibility of winter transmission cannot be excluded in northern and central Argentina, meaning that there is a potential endemic maintenance of the disease.


Objetivo. Evaluar la posibilidad de transmisión de zika en la Argentina por el mosquito Aedes aegypti considerando el número de reproducción básica (R0). Métodos. Se adaptó para el zika un modelo desarrollado originalmente para el dengue. Se estimó R0 en función de siete parámetros, tres de los cuales se consideraron dependientes de la temperatura. Se evaluó la ocurrencia estacional de zika en nueve localidades que representan diferente aptitud climática para el vector. Se obtuvieron los datos de las temperaturas diarias y se incluyeron en el modelo. Se fijó un umbral de R0 = 1 para la ocurrencia de zika. Se realizaron análisis de sensibilidad para evaluar la incertidumbre de los resultados. Resultados. En todos los lugares estudiados es posible la transmisión de zika al menos en algún momento del año. En la región norte, la transmisión podría ser posible durante todo el año o con una interrupción en invierno. Se estimó el R0 máximo en 6,9, lo que significa un promedio de siete casos secundarios a partir de un caso primario. El análisis de sensibilidad probabilística demostró que durante el invierno la transmisión sólo puede ser excluida en la franja sur de distribución geográfica del vector y en parte de la región central de Argentina. Conclusión. El virus del Zika puede ser transmitido en Argentina en todo el rango geográfico actual del mosquito vector. Aunque la transmisión sería principalmente estacional, no es posible descartar la posibilidad de transmisión invernal en el norte y centro de la Argentina, lo que significa que la enfermedad puede mantenerse de manera endémica.


Objetivo. Avaliar a ocorrência potencial de transmissão de zika em Argentina pelo mosquito Aedes aegypti considerando o número de reprodução básico (R0). Métodos. Foi adaptado para zika um modelo originalmente desenvolvido para dengue. R0 foi estimado como uma função de sete parâmetros, três deles considerados dependentes da temperatura. A ocorrência de zika sazonal foi avaliada em nove locais que representam diferentes adequações climáticas para o vetor. Os dados das temperaturas diárias foram extraídos e incluídos no modelo. Um limite de R0 = 1 foi fixado para a ocorrência de zika, e foram realizadas análises de sensibilidade para avaliar a incerteza em torno dos resultados. Resultados. A transmissão de zika pode ocorrer em todos os locais estudados pelo menos em algum momento do ano. Na região norte, a transmissão pode ser possível durante todo o ano ou com uma interrupção no inverno. O R0 máximo foi estimado em 6.9, o que significa uma média de 7 casos secundários a partir de um caso primário. A análise de sensibilidade probabilística mostrou que durante o inverno a transmissão só pode ser excluída na franja sul da distribuição geográfica do vetor e em parte da Argentina central. Conclusão. O vírus Zika tem o potencial de ser transmitido na Argentina ao longo da atual faixa geográfica do vetor. Embora a transmissão seja principalmente sazonal, a possibilidade de transmissão no inverno não pode ser excluída no norte e centro da Argentina, o que significa que existe uma potencial manutenção endêmica da doença.


Subject(s)
Zika Virus Infection , Aedes , Disease Vectors , Argentina , Disease Vectors , Epidemiological Models , Zika Virus Infection , Zika Virus Infection , Disease Vectors
9.
PLoS One ; 12(3): e0174050, 2017.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28319180

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Several observational studies have suggested that outdoor air pollution may induce or aggravate asthma. However, epidemiological results are inconclusive due to the presence of numerous moderators which influence this association. The goal of this study was to assess the relationship between outdoor air pollutants and moderate or severe asthma exacerbations in children and adults through a systematic review and multilevel meta-analysis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We searched studies published in English on PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar between January 2000 and October 2016. Studies following a case-crossover design with records of emergency departments and/or hospital admissions as a surrogate of moderate or severe asthma exacerbations were selected. A multilevel meta-analysis was employed, taking into account the potential clustering effects within studies examining more than one lag. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated. A subgroup analysis in children aged 0 to 18 years and a sensitivity analysis based on the quality of the included studies as defined in the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale were performed. Publication bias was evaluated through visual inspection of funnel plots and by a complementary search of grey literature. (Prospero Registration number CRD42015032323). RESULTS: Database searches retrieved 208 records, and finally 22 studies were selected for quantitative analysis. All pollutants except SO2 and PM10 showed a significant association with asthma exacerbations (NO2: 1.024; 95% CI: 1.005,1.043, SO2: 1.039; 95% CI: 0.988,1.094), PM10: 1.024; 95% CI: 0.995,1.053, PM2.5: 1.028; 95% CI: 1.009,1.047, CO: 1.045; 95% CI: 1.005,1.086, O3: 1.032; 95% CI: 1.005,1.060. In children, the association was significant for NO2, SO2 and PM2.5. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis provides evidence of the association between selected air pollutants and asthma exacerbations for different lags.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants/adverse effects , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Asthma/physiopathology , Adult , Child , Humans
10.
Rev. panam. salud pública ; 41: e120, 2017. tab, graf
Article in English | LILACS | ID: biblio-961651

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT Objective To assess the potential occurrence of Zika transmission throughout Argentina by the mosquito Aedes aegypti considering the basic reproduction number (R0). Methods A model originally developed for dengue was adapted for Zika. R0 was estimated as a function of seven parameters, three of them were considered temperature-dependent. Seasonal Zika occurrence was evaluated in 9 locations representing different climatic suitability for the vector. Data of diary temperatures were extracted and included in the model. A threshold of R0 = 1 was fixed for Zika occurrence. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the uncertainty around the results. Results Zika transmission has the potential to occur in all studied locations at least in some moment of the year. In the northern region, transmission might be possible throughout the whole year or with an interruption in winter. The maximum R0 was estimated in 6.9, which means an average of 7 secondary cases from a primary case. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that during winter the transmission can only be excluded in the southern fringe of geographic distribution of the vector and in part of central Argentina. Conclusion Zika virus has the potential to be transmitted in Argentina throughout the current geographic range of the mosquito vector. Although the transmission would be mainly seasonal, the possibility of winter transmission cannot be excluded in northern and central Argentina, meaning that there is a potential endemic maintenance of the disease.


RESUMEN Objetivo Evaluar la posibilidad de transmisión de zika en la Argentina por el mosquito Aedes aegypti considerando el número de reproducción básica (R0). Métodos Se adaptó para el zika un modelo desarrollado originalmente para el dengue. Se estimó R0 en función de siete parámetros, tres de los cuales se consideraron dependientes de la temperatura. Se evaluó la ocurrencia estacional de zika en nueve localidades que representan diferente aptitud climática para el vector. Se obtuvieron los datos de las temperaturas diarias y se incluyeron en el modelo. Se fijó un umbral de R0 = 1 para la ocurrencia de zika. Se realizaron análisis de sensibilidad para evaluar la incertidumbre de los resultados. Resultados En todos los lugares estudiados es posible la transmisión de zika al menos en algún momento del año. En la región norte, la transmisión podría ser posible durante todo el año o con una interrupción en invierno. Se estimó el R0 máximo en 6,9, lo que significa un promedio de siete casos secundarios a partir de un caso primario. El análisis de sensibilidad probabilística demostró que durante el invierno la transmisión sólo puede ser excluida en la franja sur de distribución geográfica del vector y en parte de la región central de Argentina. Conclusión El virus del Zika puede ser transmitido en Argentina en todo el rango geográfico actual del mosquito vector. Aunque la transmisión sería principalmente estacional, no es posible descartar la posibilidad de transmisión invernal en el norte y centro de la Argentina, lo que significa que la enfermedad puede mantenerse de manera endémica.


RESUMO Objetivo Avaliar a ocorrência potencial de transmissão de zika em Argentina pelo mosquito Aedes aegypti considerando o número de reprodução básico (R0). Métodos Foi adaptado para zika um modelo originalmente desenvolvido para dengue. R0 foi estimado como uma função de sete parâmetros, três deles considerados dependentes da temperatura. A ocorrência de zika sazonal foi avaliada em nove locais que representam diferentes adequações climáticas para o vetor. Os dados das temperaturas diárias foram extraídos e incluídos no modelo. Um limite de R0 = 1 foi fixado para a ocorrência de zika, e foram realizadas análises de sensibilidade para avaliar a incerteza em torno dos resultados. Resultados A transmissão de zika pode ocorrer em todos os locais estudados pelo menos em algum momento do ano. Na região norte, a transmissão pode ser possível durante todo o ano ou com uma interrupção no inverno. O R0 máximo foi estimado em 6.9, o que significa uma média de 7 casos secundários a partir de um caso primário. A análise de sensibilidade probabilística mostrou que durante o inverno a transmissão só pode ser excluída na franja sul da distribuição geográfica do vetor e em parte da Argentina central. Conclusão O vírus Zika tem o potencial de ser transmitido na Argentina ao longo da atual faixa geográfica do vetor. Embora a transmissão seja principalmente sazonal, a possibilidade de transmissão no inverno não pode ser excluída no norte e centro da Argentina, o que significa que existe uma potencial manutenção endêmica da doença.


Subject(s)
Humans , Aedes/growth & development , Basic Reproduction Number/statistics & numerical data , Zika Virus , Zika Virus Infection/prevention & control , Argentina/epidemiology
11.
ScientificWorldJournal ; 2012: 174784, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22536123

ABSTRACT

We report a suitable quinoxaline synthesis using molybdophosphovanadates supported on commercial alumina cylinders as catalysts. These catalysts were prepared by incipient wetness impregnation. The catalytic test was performed under different reaction conditions in order to know the performance of the synthesized catalysts. The method shows high yields of quinoxaline derivatives under heterogeneous conditions. Quinoxaline formation was obtained using benzyl, o-phenylenediamine, and toluene as reaction solvent at room temperature. The CuH(2)PMo(11)VO(40) supported on alumina showed higher activity in the tested reaction. Finally, various quinoxalines were prepared under mild conditions and with excellent yields.


Subject(s)
Aluminum/chemistry , Quinoxalines/chemical synthesis , Recycling , Temperature , Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy
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