Input strategy analysis for an air quality data modelling procedure at a local scale based on neural network.

In recent years, a significant part of the studies on air pollutants has been devoted to improve statistical techniques for forecasting the values of their concentrations in the atmosphere. Reliable predictions of pollutant trends are essential not only for setting up preventive measures able to avoid risks for human health but also for helping stakeholders to take decision about traffic limitations. In this paper, we present an operating procedure, including both pollutant concentration measurements (CO, SO2, NO2, O3, PM10) and meteorological parameters (hourly data of atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, wind speed), which improves the simple use of neural network for the prediction of pollutant concentration trends by means of the integration of multivariate statistical analysis. In particular, we used principal component analysis in order to define an unconstrained mix of variables able to improve the performance of the model. The developed procedure is particularly suitable for characterizing the investigated phenomena at a local scale.

Extent and severity of coronary disease and mortality in patients with end-stage renal failure evaluated for renal transplantation.

The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between coronary artery disease (CAD), transplantation status and subsequent mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients undergoing evaluation for renal transplantation. Two hundred fifty-three ESRD patients at high risk for CAD underwent coronary angiography as part of a renal transplant evaluation. The cohort was divided into three groups: Group 1 (n = 127) had no vessels with >or=50% stenosis, Group 2 (n = 56) had one vessel with >or=50% stenosis and Group 3 (n = 70) had two or more vessels with >or=50% stenosis. Long-term survival was determined; median follow-up was 3.3 years. The baseline characteristics were similar except for older age and higher proportion of diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia and peripheral vascular disease in Groups 2 and 3 patients as compared to Group 1. Survival was worse in Group 3 compared to Group 1 (p < 0.0001). Each of the three subgroups had better survival with renal transplantation than those who did not undergo transplantation (p < 0.0001). Although the degree of CAD is related to subsequent mortality, transplantation is associated with better survival regardless of the extent and severity of CAD. Thus, the presence of CAD should not exclude ESRD patients from consideration for this therapy.

Fractional flow reserve compared with intravascular ultrasound guidance for optimizing stent deployment.

BACKGROUND: Determination of fractional flow reserve (FFR) has been proposed as a means to assess stent deployment. In this prospective, multicenter trial, we evaluate the use of FFR to optimize stenting by comparing it with standard intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) criteria. METHODS AND RESULTS: Eighty-four stable patients with isolated coronary lesions underwent coronary stent deployment starting at 10 atm and increased serially by 2 atm until the FFR was >/=0.94 or 16 atm was achieved. IVUS was then performed. FFR was measured with a coronary pressure wire with intracoronary adenosine to induce hyperemia. The diagnostic characteristics of an FFR <0.94 to predict suboptimal stent expansion by IVUS, defined in both absolute and relative terms, were calculated. Over a range of IVUS criteria, the highest sensitivity, specificity, and predictive accuracy of FFR were 80%, 30%, and 42%, respectively. Receiver operator characteristic analysis defined an optimal FFR cut point at >/=0.96; at this threshold, the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive accuracy of FFR were 75%, 58%, and 62%, respectively (P=0.03 for comparison of predictive accuracy, P=0.01 for concordance between FFR and IVUS). The negative predictive value was 88%. Significantly better diagnostic performance was achieved in a subgroup that received higher doses (>30 microgram) of intracoronary adenosine during pressure measurements, suggesting that FFR might be overestimated in the other group. CONCLUSIONS: A fractional flow reserve <0.96, measured after stent deployment, predicts a suboptimal result based on validated intravascular ultrasound criteria; however, an FFR >/=0.96 does not reliably predict an optimal stent result. Higher doses of intracoronary adenosine than previously used to measure FFR improve these results.

Noninvasive quantification of coronary blood flow reserve in humans using myocardial contrast echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that coronary blood flow (CBF) reserve could be quantified noninvasively in humans using myocardial contrast echocardiography (MCE). METHODS AND RESULTS: Eleven patients with normal epicardial coronary arteries (group I) and 19 with single-vessel coronary stenosis (group II) underwent quantitative coronary angiography, MCE, and CBF velocity measurements at rest and during intravenous adenosine infusion. In group I patients, MCE-derived myocardial blood flow (MBF) velocity reserve (2.4+/-0.08) was similar to CBF velocity reserve using a Doppler flow wire (2.4+/-1.1). Patients with a single risk factor had a significantly higher MBF reserve (3.0+/-0.89) than those with >/=2 risk factors (1.7+/-0.22). In group II patients, significant differences were found in MBF velocity reserve in patients with mild (<50%), moderate (50% to 75%), or severe (>75%) stenoses (2.2+/-0.40, 1.6+/-0.65, and 0.55+/-0.19, respectively; P=0.005). A linear relation was found between flow velocity reserve determined using the 2 methods (r=0.76, P<0.001), and a curvilinear relation was noted between the percent coronary stenosis measured using quantitative coronary angiography and velocity reserve using both methods. CONCLUSIONS: CBF reserve can be measured in humans using MCE. This method may allow the noninvasive assessment of coronary stenosis severity and the detection of microvascular dysfunction.

Relationship between extent of residual myocardial viability and coronary flow reserve in patients with recent myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The presence of viability in an infarct zone implies an intact microvasculature. We hypothesized that coronary flow reserve (CFR), which assesses the microcirculation, would correlate with the extent of viability in infarction zones. METHODS: CFR was measured after stenting in 17 patients with single vessel disease >48 hours from infarction. Viability was determined with use of single-photon emission computed tomography sestamibi imaging. RESULTS: Sestamibi uptake in the infarct zone correlated with CFR in the infarct artery (r = 0.62, P =.008) and sestamibi uptake in the infarct zone was greater in patients with normal CFR than in patients with abnormal CFR (61.9 +/- 9.1% vs 46.3 +/- 9.6%, P =.004). In addition, CFR was greater in patients with viability compared with patients without viability (2.4 +/- 1.3 vs 1.4 +/- 0.4, P =.015). CONCLUSIONS: CFR correlates with the extent of viability after infarction. Preserved CFR in an infarct-related artery implies preserved viability.

Relation between myocardial viability and abnormalities on the signal-averaged electrocardiogram in patients with low (<40%) ejection fraction and coronary artery disease.

To determine a possible mechanism for the previously observed improved outcome after bypass surgery in patients with poor ventricular function and viable myocardium, we sought to examine the relation between the extent of viability and the frequency of an abnormal signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG) in patients with reduced ejection fraction and coronary artery disease. Fifty-two patients with coronary disease and ventricular dysfunction underwent quantitative redistribution thallium-201 (Tl-201) scintigraphy at rest to determine the extent of viability. The presence of late potentials was assessed by SAECG. Long-term, cardiac event-free survival was determined. Patients with greater viability (group 1, n = 23) were similar to patients with less viability (group 2, n = 29) with respect to age, gender, ejection fraction, and incidence of arrhythmia. Fewer group 1 patients had late potentials (33% vs. 65%, p = 0.05) and individual parameters were significantly more abnormal in the group 2 patients. Patients with late potentials had less viability than patients without late potentials (viability index 0.61+/-0.15 vs. 0.69+/-0.14, respectively, p = 0.05). By multivariate analysis, only the extent of viable myocardium and the left ventricular end-diastolic pressure were independent predictors of late potentials. Survival free of cardiac death or transplantation was better in patients with a normal SAECG (p<0.04) and in patients with predominantly viable myocardium (p<0.005). Thus, patients with low ejection fraction, coronary disease, and viable myocardium have a lower frequency of late potentials, suggesting reduced susceptibility to ventricular arrhythmia.

All-trans-retinoic acid limits restenosis after balloon angioplasty in the focally atherosclerotic rabbit : a favorable effect on vessel remodeling.

All-trans-retinoic acid (atRA) has potent in vitro effects on a number of processes involved in vascular injury and repair, such as modulating smooth muscle cell (SMC) proliferation and inducing SMC differentiation, and may play an important role in the in vivo response to vascular injury. We hypothesized that atRA would limit restenosis after balloon angioplasty through SMC-modulated changes in plaque size and vessel geometry. Balloon angioplasty was performed on rabbits with focal femoral atherosclerosis randomized to treatment with atRA or saline. At 28 days after balloon angioplasty, minimal luminal diameter was significantly larger in the atRA group (1.24+/-0.17 versus 1.12+/-0.22 mm, P=0.02). Histomorphometry confirmed a larger lumen area (0.51+/-0.20 versus 0. 34+/-0.13 mm(2), P=0.004) in the atRA group, with no difference in absolute plaque area. Internal elastic lamina and external elastic lamina areas were significantly larger in the atRA group (0.89+/-0. 27 versus 0.66+/-0.24 mm(2), P=0.001, and 1.29+/-0.38 versus 0. 98+/-0.32 mm(2), P=0.001, respectively). Vessel sections exhibited significantly more alpha-actin and desmin immunostaining (P=0.01) in the atRA-treated group. No differences in early cellular proliferation and collagen content were detected with the use of bromodeoxyuridine. In this atherosclerotic model of vascular injury, atRA limits restenosis after balloon angioplasty by effects secondary to overall vessel segment enlargement at the angioplasty site rather than by effects on plaque size or cellular proliferation. Increased alpha-actin and desmin immunostaining suggest a possible role for phenotypic modulation of SMCs in this favorable remodeling effect.

Local adenovirus-mediated delivery of hirudin in a rabbit arterial injury model.

UNLABELLED: Intravascular delivery of an E1/E3 deleted adenovirus encoding the hirudin protein reduces neointimal formation in the rat arterial injury model. Given the interspecies variability in response to adenoviral vectors, we tested this same construct in the hirudin-sensitive cholesterol-fed rabbit arterial balloon injury model. We hypothesized that local delivery of an E1/E3-deleted adenovirus encoding hirudin (Ad-Hir) in addition to early hirudin infusion would limit neointimal formation compared to early hirudin alone. METHODS AND RESULTS: Local delivery of Ad-Hir, 2.5 x 10(10) PFU/ml, using a double balloon catheter [n = 6 vessels (v)] produced a 79% reduction in vessel wall thrombin activity at 48 h after balloon angioplasty (BA) compared with vehicle (Veh, n = 6v; p = 0. 05). In chronic experiments, hypercholesterolemic rabbits underwent femoral BA, and received either early hirudin alone (n = 9v) or early hirudin plus locally delivered Ad-Hir (early hirudin + Ad-Hir; n = 9v), an E1/E3-deleted adenovirus encoding beta-galactosidase (early hirudin + AdGal; n = 7v), or Veh (early hirudin + Veh; n = 10v). Early hirudin + Ad-Hir did not limit the arterial response to injury versus the other groups at 4 weeks after BA. Plaque area, cross-sectional luminal area narrowing by plaque, and T cell infiltration were significantly increased in the adenovirus- versus non-adenovirus-treated arteries. Plaque area correlated with T cell density. CONCLUSION: Following BA in cholesterol-fed rabbits, local transduction with A-Hir produced a marked reduction in vessel wall-associated thrombin activity. However, this strategy increased rather than decreased the arterial response to BA injury. Our results suggest that the lack of therapeutic effect resulted from adenovirus-stimulated plaque formation, possibly resulting from a T cell-mediated inflammatory response.

Arterial injury increases expression of inflammatory adhesion molecules in the carotid arteries of apolipoprotein-E-deficient mice.

Recent studies demonstrate increased cellular adhesion molecule expression by neointimal endothelium overlying primary and restenotic atherosclerotic plaque. In this study, we developed an atherosclerotic mouse model of arterial injury and characterized adhesion molecule expression after injury. Sixteen apolipoprotein-E-(ApoE)-deficient mice fed a Western-type diet for 4 weeks underwent carotid artery wire denudation at week 2. For each segment, the extent of neointima formation and medial thickening, or adhesion molecule expression, were scored separately on a scale from 0 (no plaque/thickening or expression) to 3 (extensive plaque/thickening or expression) using Movat staining (n = 3) or immunohistochemical analysis (n = 13). Histology revealed significant medial thickening (1.8 +/- 0.9 vs. 0.3 +/- 0.5, p < 0. 001) versus controls and pronounced staining for monocytes/macrophages in the wall of injured vessels. Immunohistochemical analysis showed more robust expression of intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) on the luminal surface of injured arteries versus controls (2.2 +/- 0.6 vs. 1.4 +/- 0.7, p < 0.01, and 2.5 +/- 0.5 vs. 1.2 +/- 0.6, p < 0.001, respectively). Injury increased adventitial ICAM-1 expression (2.6 +/- 0.5 vs. 1.6 +/- 0.5, p < 0.002) and medial VCAM-1 expression (2.2 +/- 0.6 vs. 1.2 +/- 0. 7, p < 0.004). Thus, carotid injury results in significant medial thickening and increases adhesion molecule expression beyond that induced in ApoE-deficient mice fed a Western diet alone. The observation of macrophage infiltration into the media at sites of increased ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 expression suggests that these molecules may mediate monocyte/macrophage trafficking into the wall of injured arteries.

Angiographic findings in patients undergoing catheterization for recurrent symptoms within 30 days of successful coronary intervention.

In 108 consecutive patients without abrupt vessel closure referred for repeat coronary angiography within 30 days of successful coronary intervention, 28 (26%) were found with restenosis at the treated site. None of the 27 patients who underwent stenting were found to have early restenosis; balloon angioplasty without stenting was the only independent predictor of early restenosis in patients with recurrent symptoms within 30 days of intervention.

Effectiveness of heparin in preventing thrombin generation and thrombin activity in patients undergoing coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Thrombus is important in the pathophysiology of several complications of angioplasty, including abrupt closure and restenosis. Levels of prothrombin fragment F1.2 and fibrinopeptide A reflect thrombin generation and activity. The effect of angioplasty on levels of these markers is unclear. METHODS: Patients undergoing either balloon angioplasty (n = 30) or directional atherectomy (n = 9) were treated with heparin to maintain an activated clotting time of >300 seconds. Levels of F1.2, fibrinopeptide A, and thrombin-antithrombin complex were measured in the coronary sinus and coronary artery before and after intervention. Angiograms were reviewed for lesion morphologic characteristics and dissection. RESULTS: There was no evidence for thrombin generation or increased thrombin activity after angioplasty regardless of lesion morphologic characteristics, dissection, type of intervention, or blood sampling site. In fact, coronary sinus concentrations of F1.2 decreased after intervention (median 0.31 nmol/L; 25th percentile 0.26 nmol/L, 75th percentile 0.37 nmol/L) before intervention to 0.23 nmol/L (25th percentile 0.19 nmol/L, 75th percentile 0.34 nmol/L) after intervention (P =.002). CONCLUSIONS: Angioplasty performed in the presence of adequate heparin inhibited thrombin even when there was complex lesion morphology or dissection. These data suggest that heparin provides satisfactory thrombin inhibition during routine angioplasty.

Early plus delayed hirudin reduces restenosis in the atherosclerotic rabbit more than early administration alone: potential implications for dosing of antithrombin agents.

BACKGROUND: A 2-hour infusion of r-hirudin at the time of balloon angioplasty limits restenosis in atherosclerotic rabbits. Because thrombin activity in the vessel wall after angioplasty remains high for 48 to 72 hours, we hypothesized that a second infusion of hirudin at 24 hours would reduce restenosis more than early treatment alone. METHODS AND RESULTS: Femoral atherosclerosis was induced in 35 rabbits by air desiccation injury and a high-cholesterol diet. At the time of angioplasty, rabbits were randomly assigned to 1 of 4 groups: controls: heparin bolus, saline infusion at 24 hours; early hirudin: hirudin bolus+2 hours' infusion, saline infusion at 24 hours; delayed hirudin: heparin bolus, hirudin infusion+/-bolus at 24 hours; and early+delayed hirudin: hirudin bolus+2 hours' infusion, hirudin infusion+/-bolus at 24 hours. Rabbits were euthanized after 28 days. The early+delayed hirudin treatment group had less loss of minimal lumen diameter by angiography at 28 days. By histomorphometry, cross-sectional area narrowing by plaque was least in the early+delayed treatment group compared with controls (P=0.0001), early hirudin (P=0.01), or delayed hirudin (P=0.001). The early+delayed hirudin group also had a significant reduction in absolute plaque area and an improvement in lumen area compared with the other groups. No differences were observed between treatment groups with respect to the cross-sectional area encompassed by the internal or external elastic laminae. CONCLUSIONS: Combined early+delayed administration of hirudin significantly reduces angiographic restenosis and cross-sectional area narrowing by plaque compared with early or late treatment alone. These results suggest that restenosis after balloon angioplasty is markedly influenced by thrombin-mediated events not only occurring early but also extending beyond the first 24 hours in this model.

Myocardial viability in patients with chronic coronary artery disease and previous myocardial infarction: comparison of myocardial contrast echocardiography and myocardial perfusion scintigraphy.

The aim of this study was to compare perfusion patterns on myocardial contrast echocardiography with those on myocardial perfusion scintigraphy for the assessment of myocardial viability in patients with previous myocardial infarction. Accordingly, perfusion scores with the two techniques were compared in 91 ventricular regions in 21 patients with previous (>6 weeks old) myocardial infarction. Complete concordance between the two techniques was found in 63 (69%) regions; 25 (27%) regions were discordant by only 1 grade, and complete discordance (2 grades) was found in only 3 (3%) regions. A kappa statistic of 0.65 indicated good concordance between the two techniques. Although the scores on both techniques demonstrated a relation with the wall motion score, the correlation between the myocardial contrast echocardiography and wall motion scores was closer (r = -0.63 vs r = -0.50, p = 0.05). It is concluded that myocardial contrast echocardiography provides similar information regarding myocardial viability as myocardial perfusion scintigraphy in patients with coronary artery disease and previous myocardial infarction.

Improved outcome after coronary bypass surgery in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy and residual myocardial viability.

BACKGROUND: Although residual myocardial viability in patients with coronary artery disease and extensive regional asynergy is associated with improved ventricular function after coronary bypass surgery, the relationship between viability and clinical outcome after surgery is unclear. We hypothesized that patients with poor ventricular function and predominantly viable myocardium have a better outcome after bypass surgery compared with those with less viability. METHODS AND RESULTS: Seventy patients with multivessel coronary artery disease and left ventricular ejection fractions < 40% who underwent preoperative quantitative 201Tl scintigraphy before coronary bypass surgery were analyzed retrospectively. 201Tl scintigrams were reviewed blindly, and each segment was assigned a score based on defect magnitude. Segmental viability scores were summed and divided by the number of segments visualized to determine a viability index. The viability index was significantly related to 3-year survival free of cardiac event (cardiac death or heart transplant) after bypass surgery (P=.011) and was independent of age, ejection fraction, and number of diseased coronary vessels. Patients with greater viability (group 1; viability index > 0.67; n=33) were similar to patients with less viability (group 2; viability index < or = 0.67; n=37) with respect to age, comorbidities, and extent of coronary artery disease. There were 6 cardiac deaths and no heart transplants in group 1 patients and 15 cardiac deaths and two transplants in group 2 patients. Survival free of cardiac death or transplantation was significantly better in group 1 patients on Kaplan-Meier analysis (P=.018). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that resting 201Tl scintigraphy may be useful in preoperative risk stratification for identification of patients more likely to benefit from surgical revascularization.

Predictors of luminal narrowing by neointima after angioplasty in atherosclerotic rabbits.

OBJECTIVE: The present study was designed to identify the predictors of cross-sectional area narrowing by neointima (%CSAN-N) after balloon angioplasty (BA) in the cholesterol fed rabbit model. METHODS: Angiographic, histomorphometric, and immunohistochemical data were analyzed from 91 femoral arteries of New Zealand white rabbits. Focal atherosclerosis was induced by air desiccation of the endothelium followed by a 2% cholesterol diet for 28 days. The rabbits received heparin (150 U/kg) at the time of BA (2.5 mm; three, 60-second, 10-atm inflations). Arteries were perfusion-fixed and excised 7 (n = 16), 14 (n = 11), 21 (n = 9), or 28 (n = 20) days after BA. Non-angioplastied arteries were de-endothelialized (cholesterol-fed [n = 12] or normal diet [n = 8]), non-injured but cholesterol-fed (n = 7), or normal (n = 8). RESULTS: Univariate regression across all groups showed that the absolute area of the lumen by histomorphometry (LA) correlated significantly with the area bounded by the external elastic lamina (EEL) (vessel size), but no correlation was found with the absolute area of neointima or media, the percentage disruption of the internal elastic lamina (IEL), or the percentage of neointima and media occupied by foam cells. However, %CSAN-N correlated significantly with the area bounded by the EEL, significantly with the absolute neointimal area, and negatively with the absolute LA (p < 0.0001). Significant correlations were also found between %CSAN-N and the % IEL disrupted, the area of neointima and media occupied by RAM-11 + foam cells, and the loss of alpha-actin positivity in the media (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: These studies show that neointimal formation contributes significantly to luminal narrowing 1 month after angioplasty in this model, that the degree of vascular injury and the extent of foam cell accumulation in the neointima and media are significant independent predictors of neointimal formation, and that the area of the neointima, and the percent narrowing by neointima, are important predictors of remodeling itself (EEL area). These predictors were not identifiable when the analysis was focused on the determinants of absolute luminal area alone.

Myocardial contrast echocardiography demonstrates that collateral flow can preserve myocardial function beyond a chronically occluded coronary artery.

Myocardial contrast echocardiography, unlike coronary angiography, can define collateral perfusion. This study shows that collateral blood flow can preserve myocardial function beyond a chronically occluded coronary artery.