Cost-Effectiveness Analysis to Inform Randomized Controlled Trial Design in Chronic Pain Research: Methods for Guiding Decisions on the Addition of a Run-In Period.

Introduction: Run-In (RI) periods can be used to improve the validity of randomized controlled trials (RCTs), but their utility in Chronic Pain (CP) RCTs is debated. Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) methods are commonly used in evaluating the results of RCTs, but they are seldom used for designing RCTs. We present a step-by-step overview to objectively design RCTs via CEA methods and specifically determine the cost effectiveness of a RI period in a CP RCT. Methods: We applied the CEA methodology to data obtained from several noninvasive brain stimulation CP RCTs, specifically focusing on (1) defining the CEA research question, (2) identifying RCT phases and cost ingredients, (3) discounting, (4) modeling the stochastic nature of the RCT, and (5) performing sensitivity analyses. We assessed the average cost-effectiveness ratios and incremental cost effectiveness ratios of varied RCT designs and the impact on cost-effectiveness by the inclusion of a RI period vs. No-Run-In (NRI) period. Results: We demonstrated the potential impact of varying the number of institutions, number of patients that could be accommodated per institution, cost and effectiveness discounts, RCT component costs, and patient adherence characteristics on varied RI and NRI RCT designs. In the specific CP RCT designs that we analyzed, we demonstrated that lower patient adherence, lower baseline assessment costs, and higher treatment costs all necessitated the inclusion of an RI period to be cost-effective compared to NRI RCT designs. Conclusions: Clinical trialists can optimize CP RCT study designs and make informed decisions regarding RI period inclusion/exclusion via CEA methods.

Cell adhesion proteins in the cerebrospinal fluid of neonates prenatally exposed to Zika virus: A case-control study.

To compare cell adhesion molecules levels in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) between Zika virus (ZIKV)-exposed neonates with/without microcephaly (cases) and controls, 16 neonates (cases), 8 (50%) with and 8 (50%) without microcephaly, who underwent lumbar puncture (LP) during the ZIKV epidemic (2015-2016) were included. All mothers reported ZIKV clinical symptoms during gestation, all neonates presented with congenital infection findings, and other congenital infections were ruled out. Fourteen control neonates underwent LP in the same laboratory (2017-2018). Five cell adhesion proteins were measured in the CSF using mass spectrometry. Neurexin-1 (3.50 [2.00-4.00] vs. 7.5 [5.00-10.25], P = 0.001), neurexin-3 (0.00 [0.00-0.00] vs. 3.00 [1.50-4.00], P = 0.001) and neural cell adhesion molecule 2 (NCAM2) (0.00 [0.00-0.75] vs. 1.00 [1.00-2.00], P = 0.001) were significantly lower in microcephalic and non-microcephalic cases than in controls. When these two sub-groups of prenatally ZIKA-exposed children were compared to controls separately, the same results were found. When cases with and without microcephaly were compared, no difference was found. Neurexin-3 (18.8% vs. 78.6%, P = 0.001) and NCAM2 (25.0% vs. 85.7%, P = 0.001) were less frequently found among the cases. A positive correlation was found between cephalic perimeter and levels of these two proteins. Neurexin-2 and neurexin-2b presented no significant differences. Levels of three cell adhesion proteins were significantly lower in CSF of neonates exposed to ZIKV before birth than in controls, irrespective of presence of congenital microcephaly. Moreover, the smaller the cephalic perimeter, the lower CSF cell adhesion protein levels. These findings suggest that low CSF levels of neurexin-1, neurexin-3 and NCAM2 may reflect the effects of ZIKV on foetal brain development.

Zika-exposed microcephalic neonates exhibit higher degree of inflammatory imbalance in cerebrospinal fluid.

Not every neonate with congenital Zika virus (ZIKV) infection (CZI) is born with microcephaly. We compared inflammation mediators in CSF (cerebrospinal fluid obtained from lumbar puncture) between ZIKV-exposed neonates with/without microcephaly (cases) and controls. In Brazil, in the same laboratory, we identified 14 ZIKV-exposed neonates during the ZIKV epidemic (2015-2016), 7(50%) with and 7(50%) without microcephaly, without any other congenital infection, and 14 neonates (2017-2018) eligible to be controls and to match cases. 29 inflammation mediators were measured using Luminex immunoassay and multidimensional analyses were employed. Neonates with ZIKV-associated microcephaly presented substantially higher degree of inflammatory perturbation, associated with uncoupled inflammatory response and decreased correlations between concentrations of inflammatory biomarkers. The groups of microcephalic and non-microcephalic ZIKV-exposed neonates were distinguished from the control group (area under curve [AUC] = 1; P < 0.0001). Between controls and those non-microcephalic exposed to ZIKV, IL-1ß, IL-3, IL-4, IL-7 and EOTAXIN were the top CSF markers. By comparing the microcephalic cases with controls, the top discriminant scores were for IL-1ß, IL-3, EOTAXIN and IL-12p70. The degree of inflammatory imbalance may be associated with microcephaly in CZI and it may aid additional investigations in experimental pre-clinical models testing immune modulators in preventing extensive damage of the Central Nervous System.

Cerebrospinal fluid immunoglobulins are increased in neonates exposed to Zika virus during foetal life.

OBJECTIVE: To compare immunoglobulin levels in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of neonates exposed to Zika virus (ZIKV) during foetal life (cases) with levels in CSF of control neonates. METHODS: We identified 16 neonates who underwent lumbar puncture (LP), during the ZIKV epidemic (December/2015 to March/2016) whose mothers reported ZIKV clinical symptoms during gestation (cases). Congenital microcephaly was defined as head circumference ≤31.9 cm (boys) and ≤31.5 cm (girls) for term neonates, or ≤2 standard deviations below the mean for premature (<37 weeks) neonates. Subsequently, we identified neonates who underwent LP in the same lab and fulfilled criteria to be controls: age ≤4 days, CSF white blood cell count ≤8/mm3, CSF protein ≤132 mg/dL, CSF red blood cell count ≤1,000/mm3, neither central nervous system illness, nor congenital infection, nor microcephaly. CSF immunoglobulin concentrations were measured by mass spectrometry. RESULTS: 13 controls were included. IgM, IgA, IgG, IgK, and IgL were significantly higher among cases (p < 0.001). Eight (50%) ZIKV exposed infants had congenital microcephaly. These showed the strongest immunoglobulin elevation of the IgM and IgA classes. CONCLUSION: Neonates exposed to ZIKV infection during gestation present with elevated distinct immunoglobulins in CSF, both in cases that developed microcephaly and in cases that did not.

Clinical, Neuroimaging, and Neurophysiological Findings in Children with Microcephaly Related to Congenital Zika Virus Infection.

Zika virus (ZIKV) infection appeared in Brazil in 2015, causing an epidemic outbreak with increased rates of microcephaly and other serious birth disorders. We reviewed 102 cases of children who were diagnosed with microcephaly at birth and who had gestational exposure to ZIKV during the outbreak. We describe the clinical, neuroimaging, and neurophysiological findings. Most mothers (81%) reported symptoms of ZIKV infection, especially cutaneous rash, during the first trimester of pregnancy. The microcephaly was severe in 54.9% of the cases. All infants presented with brain malformations. The most frequent neuroimaging findings were cerebral atrophy (92.1%), ventriculomegaly (92.1%), malformation of cortical development (85.1%), and cortical⁻subcortical calcifications (80.2%). Abnormalities in neurological exams were found in 97.0% of the cases, epileptogenic activity in 56.3%, and arthrogryposis in 10.8% of the infants. The sensorineural screening suggested hearing loss in 17.3% and visual impairment in 14.1% of the infants. This group of infants who presented with microcephaly and whose mothers were exposed to ZIKV early during pregnancy showed clinical and radiological criteria for congenital ZIKV infection. A high frequency of brain abnormalities and signs of early neurological disorders were found, and epileptogenic activity and signs of sensorineural alterations were common. This suggests that microcephaly can be associated with a worst spectrum of neurological manifestations.