Graphical modeling of causal factors associated with the postoperative survival of esophageal cancer subjects.

PURPOSE: To clarify the causal relationship between factors contributing to the postoperative survival of patients with esophageal cancer. METHODS: A cohort of 195 patients who underwent surgery for esophageal cancer between 2008 and 2021 was used in the study. All patients had preoperative chest computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography-CT (PET-CT) scans prior to receiving any treatment. From these images, high throughput and quantitative radiomic features, tumor features, and various body composition features were automatically extracted. Causal relationships among these image features, patient demographics, and other clinicopathological variables were analyzed and visualized using a novel score-based directed graph called "Grouped Greedy Equivalence Search" (GGES) while taking prior knowledge into consideration. After supplementing and screening the causal variables, the intervention do-calculus adjustment (IDA) scores were calculated to determine the degree of impact of each variable on survival. Based on this IDA score, a GGES prediction formula was generated. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to assess the performance of the models. The prediction results were evaluated using the R-Squared Score (R2 score). RESULTS: The final causal graphical model was formed by two PET-based image variables, ten body composition variables, four pathological variables, four demographic variables, two tumor variables, and one radiological variable (Percentile 10). Intramuscular fat mass was found to have the most impact on overall survival month. Percentile 10 and overall TNM (T: tumor, N: nodes, M: metastasis) stage were identified as direct causes of overall survival (month). The GGES casual model outperformed GES in regression prediction (R2  = 0.251) (p < 0.05) and was able to avoid unreasonable causality that may contradict common sense. CONCLUSION: The GGES causal model can provide a reliable and straightforward representation of the intricate causal relationships among the variables that impact the postoperative survival of patients with esophageal cancer.

Automated detection and segmentation of pulmonary embolisms on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) using deep learning but without manual outlining.

We present a novel computer algorithm to automatically detect and segment pulmonary embolisms (PEs) on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA). This algorithm is based on deep learning but does not require manual outlines of the PE regions. Given a CTPA scan, both intra- and extra-pulmonary arteries were firstly segmented. The arteries were then partitioned into several parts based on size (radius). Adaptive thresholding and constrained morphological operations were used to identify suspicious PE regions within each part. The confidence of a suspicious region to be PE was scored based on its contrast in the arteries. This approach was applied to the publicly available RSNA Pulmonary Embolism CT Dataset (RSNA-PE) to identify three-dimensional (3-D) PE negative and positive image patches, which were used to train a 3-D Recurrent Residual U-Net (R2-Unet) to automatically segment PE. The feasibility of this computer algorithm was validated on an independent test set consisting of 91 CTPA scans acquired from a different medical institute, where the PE regions were manually located and outlined by a thoracic radiologist (>18 years' experience). An R2-Unet model was also trained and validated on the manual outlines using a 5-fold cross-validation method. The CNN model trained on the high-confident PE regions showed a Dice coefficient of 0.676±0.168 and a false positive rate of 1.86 per CT scan, while the CNN model trained on the manual outlines demonstrated a Dice coefficient of 0.647±0.192 and a false positive rate of 4.20 per CT scan. The former model performed significantly better than the latter model (p<0.01). The promising performance of the developed PE detection and segmentation algorithm suggests the feasibility of training a deep learning network without dedicating significant efforts to manual annotations of the PE regions on CTPA scans.

A Graph-Based Approach to Identify Factors Contributing to Postoperative Lung Cancer Recurrence among Patients with Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

The accurate identification of the preoperative factors impacting postoperative cancer recurrence is crucial for optimizing neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies and guiding follow-up treatment plans. We modeled the causal relationship between radiographical features derived from CT scans and the clinicopathologic factors associated with postoperative lung cancer recurrence and recurrence-free survival. A retrospective cohort of 363 non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who underwent lung resections with a minimum 5-year follow-up was analyzed. Body composition tissues and tumor features were quantified based on preoperative whole-body CT scans (acquired as a component of PET-CT scans) and chest CT scans, respectively. A novel causal graphical model was used to visualize the causal relationship between these factors. Variables were assessed using the intervention do-calculus adjustment (IDA) score. Direct predictors for recurrence-free survival included smoking history, T-stage, height, and intramuscular fat mass. Subcutaneous fat mass, visceral fat volume, and bone mass exerted the greatest influence on the model. For recurrence, the most significant variables were visceral fat volume, subcutaneous fat volume, and bone mass. Pathologic variables contributed to the recurrence model, with bone mass, TNM stage, and weight being the most important. Body composition, particularly adipose tissue distribution, significantly and causally impacted both recurrence and recurrence-free survival through interconnected relationships with other variables.

CT-Derived Body Composition Is a Predictor of Survival after Esophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: Body composition can be accurately quantified based on computed tomography (CT) and typically reflects an individual's overall health status. However, there is a dearth of research examining the relationship between body composition and survival following esophagectomy. METHODS: We created a cohort consisting of 183 patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer without neoadjuvant therapy. The cohort included preoperative PET-CT scans, along with pathologic and clinical data, which were collected prospectively. Radiomic, tumor, PET, and body composition features were automatically extracted from the images. Cox regression models were utilized to identify variables associated with survival. Logistic regression and machine learning models were developed to predict one-, three-, and five-year survival rates. Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC/AUC). To test for the statistical significance of the impact of body composition on survival, body composition features were excluded for the best-performing models, and the DeLong test was used. RESULTS: The one-year survival model contained 10 variables, including three body composition variables (bone mass, bone density, and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) density), and demonstrated an AUC of 0.817 (95% CI: 0.738-0.897). The three-year survival model incorporated 14 variables, including three body composition variables (intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) volume, IMAT mass, and bone mass), with an AUC of 0.693 (95% CI: 0.594-0.792). For the five-year survival model, 10 variables were included, of which two were body composition variables (intramuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) volume and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) mass), with an AUC of 0.861 (95% CI: 0.783-0.938). The one- and five-year survival models exhibited significantly inferior performance when body composition features were not incorporated. CONCLUSIONS: Body composition features derived from preoperative CT scans should be considered when predicting survival following esophagectomy.